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Generalized Multiplicative Model for Assessing Outcomes in Psychotherapy: Disordered Eating Behaviors and Obesity. 评估心理治疗结果的广义乘法模型:饮食失调行为与肥胖。
IF 0.9 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2020-01-01
Irina G Malkina-Pykh

The study presents further development and application of generalized multiplicative models (GMultM) for assessing outcomes in psychotherapy. GMultM is a flexible nonlinear regression method which is able to predict the impact of subjects' psychological variables (common factors) as well as theirchanges on the outcomes of cognitive-behavioral therapy and rhythmic-movement therapy. The main objectives of our present study are (a) to construct GMultM with the aim to predict the impact of pre-treatment scores of subject'psychological variables (common factors) on the outcome of cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) for disordered eating behaviors and obesity; (b) to employ GMultM to model the change of Body Mass Index (BMI) in each participant (non18 responders to CBT treatment) individually after sessions of rhythmic movement therapy (RMT); (c) to demonstrate that GMultM is able to predict whether intervention-related changes in several psychological variables are mechanisms underlying BMI change in each individual subject participating in RMT intervention program. The processes of model construction, identification of parameters and validation procedure using data from CBT program are described. Sensitivity analysis of the developed model was provided. Results revealed that: (a) the GMultM not only predicts the outcomes of psychotherapy satisfactorily but also allows obtaining the partial response functions of psychological predictors of weight loss directly as a result of estimation of model's parameters; (b) GMultM predicts the changes in BMI after RMT intervention in each participant satisfactorily and thus can be applied as the individualized assessment tool for psychotherapy's outcome.

本研究提出了进一步发展和应用广义乘法模型(GMultM)来评估心理治疗的结果。GMultM是一种灵活的非线性回归方法,能够预测被试心理变量(共同因素)及其变化对认知行为治疗和节奏运动治疗结果的影响。本研究的主要目的是:(a)构建GMultM,旨在预测受试者心理变量(共同因素)的治疗前得分对饮食失调和肥胖的认知行为治疗(CBT)结果的影响;(b)采用GMultM对每位参与者(非18名CBT治疗应答者)在节奏运动治疗(RMT)后的体重指数(BMI)变化进行建模;(c)证明GMultM能够预测与干预相关的几个心理变量的变化是否是参与RMT干预计划的每个个体受试者BMI变化的机制。描述了模型构建、参数识别和使用CBT程序数据的验证过程。对所建立的模型进行了敏感性分析。结果表明:(a) GMultM不仅能令人满意地预测心理治疗的结果,而且可以通过对模型参数的估计直接获得减肥心理预测因子的部分反应函数;(b) GMultM能令人满意地预测RMT干预后每个参与者的BMI变化,可作为心理治疗效果的个体化评估工具。
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引用次数: 0
Capturing Interpersonal Synergies in Social Settings: An Example within a Badminton Cooperative Task. 在社会环境中捕捉人际协同作用:以羽毛球合作任务为例。
IF 0.9 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2020-01-01
P Passos, E Lacasa, J Milho, C Torrents

In social contexts of racket sports, the interactive behaviour between players in the same team is supported by visual coupling. Visual cues allow the players to dynamically coordinate their movements and maintain a suitable interpersonal distance, thereby decreasing the odds of missing score a point. The dynamic feature of this interpersonal coordination requiring reciprocal nonlinear behavioural adjustments to stabilize a relative position may be considered an interpersonal synergy. We used the Uncontrolled Manifold Hypothesis (UCM) methodology to test this hypothesis and capture interpersonal synergies in badminton doubles. The variability of the distance between players was utilized as a performance variable and the variability of player velocities were used as task-relevant elements. To our knowledge, this is the first study to identify interpersonal synergies in a cooperative task in badminton doubles at different moments within the same rally. Eight male badminton players were randomly assigned in four doubles with similar technical and tactical level. The participants performed 154 trials over two matches. Interpersonal synergies were found on approximately half of the trials examined. Moreover, the results reveal that shortest interpersonal distances create better conditions for the nonlinear adjustments required for interpersonal synergy formation in badminton doubles.

在球拍运动的社会语境中,同一团队中运动员之间的互动行为是由视觉耦合支持的。视觉线索允许玩家动态地协调他们的动作并保持适当的人际距离,从而减少失分的几率。这种需要相互非线性行为调整来稳定相对位置的人际协调的动态特征可以被认为是人际协同。我们使用不受控制的流形假设(UCM)方法来检验这一假设,并捕捉羽毛球双打人际协同效应。玩家之间距离的可变性被用作表现变量,玩家速度的可变性被用作任务相关元素。据我们所知,这是第一次研究在同一场比赛中,羽毛球双打在不同时刻的合作任务中人际协同效应。男子羽毛球运动员8名,随机分为技战术水平相近的4个双打组。参与者在两场比赛中进行了154次试验。在大约一半的试验中发现了人际协同作用。人际距离越短,为羽毛球双打人际协同形成所需的非线性调整创造了更好的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Hierarchical Levels of Biological Systems and their Integration as a Principal Cause for Tumour Occurrence. 生物系统的等级水平及其整合是肿瘤发生的主要原因。
IF 0.9 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2019-07-01
Svetoslav Nikolov, Assen Dimitrov, Julio Vera

The development of new theories, mathematical methods and models for effective control of complex systems is one of the main problems for modern science. Biological systems are complex and hierarchically organized, with the behaviour of higher levels influencing the dynamics of the lower ones and vice versa. Hierarchical organization can be observed from subcellular to supercellular levels. When biological systems are far from their steady states, then nonlinear dependences take place, and a slight external impact can cause unexpected and unpredictable (chaotic, irregular) behaviour in these systems, resulting in fractal hierarchical structures. By examining tumours as strange (chaotic) attractors, we define in this article the hypothesis that the cause of their occurrence, development and spread (metastasis) is due to disorders in the hierarchical structure and integration of cell signalling pathways in tumour cells. An essential point in this article is the thesis (contrary to the view that the only causality in hierarchical systems is physical causality, i.e. there is no "top-down,' "holistic causality,' "intelligent causality,' etc.) that hierarchical systems are built on the principle of communication. Intelligent systems (in particular biological) that do not interact as mechanical objects, but on the basis of different meanings of biochemical signals obtained after their interpretation, participate in this communication.

为复杂系统的有效控制发展新的理论、数学方法和模型是现代科学的主要问题之一。生物系统是复杂的、分层组织的,较高层次的行为影响较低层次的动态,反之亦然。从亚细胞到超细胞水平可以观察到等级组织。当生物系统远离其稳定状态时,就会发生非线性依赖,并且轻微的外部冲击会导致这些系统中意想不到的和不可预测的(混沌,不规则)行为,从而导致分形层次结构。通过研究肿瘤作为奇怪的(混沌的)吸引子,我们在本文中定义了一个假设,即它们的发生、发展和扩散(转移)的原因是由于肿瘤细胞中分层结构和细胞信号通路整合的紊乱。这篇文章的要点是一个论点(与等级系统中唯一的因果关系是物理因果关系的观点相反,即不存在“自上而下”、“整体因果关系”、“智能因果关系”等),等级系统是建立在沟通原则之上的。智能系统(特别是生物系统)不像机械物体那样相互作用,而是基于它们解释后获得的生化信号的不同含义,参与这种交流。
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引用次数: 0
Chaotic Structure of Oil Prices, Inflation and Unemployment. 石油价格、通货膨胀和失业的混沌结构。
IF 0.9 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2019-07-01
Melike E Bildirici, Fulya Ozaksoy Sonustun

This article investigates the chaotic relationship among inflation rate, unemployment rate and oil prices over the period of January, 1974-October, 2018 in the USA. This study complements the previous studies on this subject. However, it differs from the existing literature in examination of inflation-unemployment trade-off by a neural network model in which oil prices are considered as an exogenous variable, and in analyzing the chaotic causality relation among the variables by Hristu-Varsakelis and Kyrtsou and Bai nonlinear causality tests. The results first suggested by a class of neural network model, which was the multi-layer perceptron (MLP), pointed out an important relation among the analyzed variables. Accordingly, oil price changes have substantial effect on unemployment and inflation. Following, the empirical findings of Hristu-Varsakelis and Kyrtsou and Bai nonlinear causality tests show that there is a unidirectional chaotic relation from oil price to inflation, from oil price to unemployment and from inflation to unemployment.

本文研究了1974年1月至2018年10月期间美国通货膨胀率、失业率和油价之间的混沌关系。这项研究补充了先前对这一课题的研究。但与现有文献不同的是,本文采用神经网络模型将油价作为外生变量来检验通胀-失业权衡,采用hritu - varsakelis和Kyrtsou and Bai非线性因果检验分析变量之间的混沌因果关系。结果首先由一类神经网络模型,即多层感知器(MLP)提出,指出了被分析变量之间的重要关系。因此,油价变化对失业率和通货膨胀有实质性影响。随后,Hristu-Varsakelis和Kyrtsou and Bai非线性因果检验的实证结果表明,油价与通货膨胀、油价与失业、通货膨胀与失业之间存在单向混沌关系。
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引用次数: 0
The Spontaneous Rise of the Herd Instinct: Agent-Based Simulation. 群体本能的自发兴起:基于主体的模拟。
IF 0.9 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2019-07-01
Stanislaw Raczynski

The problem being investigated is the spontaneous rise of the herd instinct in an artificial population, where the population members have no explicit stimuli for such instinct implanted in their original behavior patterns. The simulations are focused on the creation of the herd instinct in the population that originally does not reveal the gregarious behavior. In this agent-based model, the members of the population (agents) move over a limited region, look for renewable food, reproduce, escape a threat and die. The evolution of the herd instinct is simulated. No explicit instinct is imposed on the agents. It is pointed out that both the search for food and fear, are factors that cause the rise of the herd instinct. The evolution of the amount of the instinct is slow and needs long model time intervals, running over several hundred generations of the agents. The herd instinct is inherited from parent agents during the reproduction, with certain random deviation. This makes the total amount of the instinct evolve and reach an optimal level.

正在研究的问题是,在人工种群中,群体本能的自发上升,种群成员在其原始行为模式中没有植入这种本能的明确刺激。模拟的重点是群体本能的产生,而群体本能最初并没有揭示群居行为。在这个基于智能体的模型中,群体中的成员(智能体)在有限的区域内移动,寻找可再生食物,繁殖,逃离威胁并死亡。模拟了群体本能的进化过程。没有明确的本能强加给代理人。有人指出,寻找食物和恐惧都是导致群体本能上升的因素。本能数量的进化是缓慢的,需要很长的模型时间间隔,运行几百代代理。群体本能是在繁殖过程中遗传自亲本个体的,存在一定的随机偏差。这使得本能的总量进化并达到最佳水平。
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引用次数: 0
Physiological Synchronization and Subjective Workload in a Competitive Emergency Response Task. 竞争性应急任务中的生理同步性与主观工作量
IF 0.9 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2019-07-01
Stephen J Guastello, Anthony N Correro Ii, David E Marra, Anthony F Peressini

Human dyads and larger teams tend to acquire synchronized movements and autonomic arousal levels while working together or simply socializing. The synchronization of arousal patterns is of theoretical interest for group dynamics because they may add predictive value to the dynamics of group cohesion and team performance. This study examined the four-way relationship among experimental conditions: team size, task difficulty, time pressure (between-subjects) and subsequent experimental sessions (within-subjects). Previously, we have shown these conditions affect subjective ratings of workload that come from individual and group-level sources, synchronization of arousal, and team performance. In an experiment involving an emergency response (ER) simulation, 360 undergraduates, who were wearing electrodermal sensors, were organized into 44 teams of various sizes. Workload was experimentally varied by team size (three, four, seven or eight members), number of opponents (one or two), and time pressure; the latter was introduced sooner or later across two experimental sessions. Results showed that the experimental conditions affected synchronization levels, either at the beginning of a session or in the middle; synchronization and experimental conditions were not directly related to team performance. Subjective group workload ratings of the coordination demand of the task correlated with synchronization at the beginning of a session while team satisfaction was correlated with greater synchrony at the end of a session. The competitive nature of the ER task, as compared to strictly cooperative tasks, could be responsible for the complexity of these empirical relationships.

人类二人组和更大的团队倾向于在一起工作或仅仅是社交时获得同步运动和自主觉醒水平。唤醒模式的同步性对群体动力学具有理论意义,因为它们可以为群体凝聚力和团队绩效的动力学增加预测价值。本研究考察了实验条件:团队规模、任务难度、时间压力(被试间)和后续实验阶段(被试内)之间的四向关系。在此之前,我们已经证明了这些条件会影响个人和团队对工作负荷的主观评分,以及团队绩效。在一项涉及紧急反应(ER)模拟的实验中,360名佩戴皮肤电传感器的大学生被分成44个不同规模的小组。根据团队规模(三个、四个、七个或八个成员)、对手数量(一个或两个)和时间压力,实验性地改变了工作量;后者迟早会在两次实验中被引入。结果表明,实验条件影响同步水平,无论是在会话开始时还是在会话中间;同步性和实验条件与团队绩效无直接关系。任务的协调需求的主观小组工作量评级与会议开始时的同步性相关,而团队满意度与会议结束时的更大同步性相关。与严格的合作任务相比,ER任务的竞争性质可能导致这些经验关系的复杂性。
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引用次数: 0
Co-Adaptation Processes of Syntactic Complexity in Real-Time Kindergarten Teacher-Student Interactions. 幼儿园师生实时互动中句法复杂性的协同适应过程
IF 0.9 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2019-04-01
Astrid Menninga, Marijn van Dijk, Ralf Cox, Henderien Steenbeek, Paul van Geert

Under the premise that language learning is bidirectional in nature, this study aimed to investigate syntactic coordination within teacher-student interactions by using cross-recurrence quantification analysis (CRQA). Seven teachers' and a group of their students' interactions were repeatedly measured in the course of an intervention in early science education. Results showed changes in the proportion of recurrent points; in case of simple sentences teachers and students became less coordinated over time, whereas in case of complex sentences teachers and students showed increasing coordination. Results also revealed less rigid (more flexible) syntactic coordination, although there were no changes in the relative contribution of teacher and students to this. In the light of the intervention under investigation this is an important result. This means that teachers and students learn to use more complex language and coordinate their language complexity better in order to co-construct science discourse. The application of CRQA provides new insights and contributes to better understanding of the dynamics of syntactic coordination.

在语言学习具有双向性的前提下,本研究旨在通过交叉递归量化分析(cross- recurrent quantification analysis, CRQA)研究师生互动中的句法协调。在早期科学教育的干预过程中,反复测量了七名教师和一组学生的互动。结果显示:复发点比例的变化;在简单句中,随着时间的推移,教师和学生的协调性越来越差,而在复杂句中,教师和学生的协调性越来越高。结果还显示,尽管教师和学生在这方面的相对贡献没有变化,但刚性(更灵活)的句法协调程度有所降低。鉴于正在调查的干预措施,这是一个重要的结果。这意味着教师和学生学习使用更复杂的语言,并更好地协调他们的语言复杂性,以共同构建科学话语。CRQA的应用提供了新的见解,有助于更好地理解句法协调的动态。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling a Fast-Slow Bitrophic Food Chain with Harvesting. 用收割模拟快-慢双营养食物链。
IF 0.9 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2019-04-01
S M Salman

In the present paper, the Rosenzweig-MacArthur predator-prey model (RM), which is a bitrophic food chain model, is considered. We develop the model by adding two assumptions. First, we assume that both species are of economic interest, that is can be harvested. Second, we assume that each specie has its own time scale which range from fast for the prey to slow for the predator. We consider that both the death rate and the catch of the predator are very small which leads to a fast-slow dynamical system. That is, the RM model is transformed into a singular perturbed system with a perturbation parameter E in the set [0,1]. The existence and stability of equilibria are discussed for E > 0. The model experiences both transcritical and Hopf bifurcations for E>0. The singular perturbation model at E = 0 is discussed by separating the system into two subsystems; fast and slow and studying them simultaneously. When 0

本文考虑了双营养食物链模型Rosenzweig-MacArthur捕食-食饵模型(RM)。我们通过添加两个假设来发展这个模型。首先,我们假设这两种物种都具有经济利益,即可以收获。其次,我们假设每个物种都有自己的时间尺度,从猎物的快到捕食者的慢。我们认为捕食者的死亡率和捕获量都很小,这导致了一个快慢的动力系统。即将RM模型转化为集[0,1]中扰动参数为E的奇异摄动系统。讨论了E > 0时平衡点的存在性和稳定性。当E>0时,模型经历了跨临界和Hopf分岔。将系统分为两个子系统,讨论了E = 0处的奇异摄动模型;快,慢,同时学习。当0
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引用次数: 0
Embodied Synchronization and Complexity in a Verbal Interaction. 言语互动中的具身同步与复杂性。
IF 0.9 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2019-04-01
R C Schmidt, Paula Fitzpatrick

Previous research has found that spontaneous synchronization of bodily movements emerges when people interact. This dynamic interactional synchrony occurs in all kinds of everyday movements and has been demonstrated empirically in a variety of social contexts. The objective of this study is to advance our understanding of the dynamical processes that enable the spontaneous and fluid coordination of movements in more naturalistic social interactions. We measured the degree of interactional synchrony of 44 dyads who enacted a series of knock-knock jokes together and we manipulated the perceptual information available (using auditory occlusion) and the individuals' dynamical motor 'signatures' by weighting their limbs. Our analyses using relative phase and fractal/multifractal measures support the conclusion that both local and global dynamical synchronization processes sustain the interactional fluidity seen in conversational exchanges and provide an embodied foundation for how humans connect and cooperate socially.

先前的研究发现,当人们互动时,身体动作会自发同步。这种动态的互动同步发生在各种日常运动中,并已在各种社会环境中得到实证证明。本研究的目的是促进我们对动态过程的理解,使运动在更自然的社会互动中自发和流畅的协调成为可能。我们测量了44对二人组的互动同步程度,这些二人组一起玩了一系列的敲门声笑话,我们操纵了可用的感知信息(使用听觉阻断)和个体的动态运动“特征”,通过加权他们的四肢。我们使用相对相位和分形/多重分形测量的分析支持这样的结论:局部和全局动态同步过程维持了对话交流中的互动流动性,并为人类如何联系和社会合作提供了具体的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Warning Signs of Impending Critical Transitions in Love Affairs. 爱情中即将发生关键转变的警告信号。
IF 0.9 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL Pub Date : 2019-04-01
Sergio Rinaldi, Fabio Della Rossa

Psychoanalysts and therapists have noticed that the increase of the reconciliation time, i.e., the period of dissatisfaction that two lovers need to return to their positive equilibrium after a dispute, is often a warning sign of an impending consistent drop of quality of the relationship, possibly followed by a breakup (e.g., a divorce). Here this rule is investigated and shown to be the logical consequence of the attitude of individuals (here called secure) who increase their reaction when their partners get more involved. The analysis is carried out with a well-known and repeatedly validated mathematical model composed of two nonlinear differential equations and the rule follows from the discovery that the model has catastrophic bifurcations with respect to the psychophysical traits of the partners. Thus, for example, negative trends in the appeal of the partners or in the reactiveness to it slowly but inevitably push couples toward a tipping point, from which a critical transition can originate. Since the rule is here justified only for couples composed of secure individuals, finding out if it holds also for other couples remains an interesting open problem.

精神分析学家和治疗师已经注意到,和解时间的增加,即两个恋人在争吵后需要回到积极平衡的不满时期,通常是关系质量即将持续下降的警告信号,可能随之而来的是分手(例如,离婚)。在这里,这条规则被调查并被证明是个人(这里称为安全)态度的逻辑结果,当他们的伴侣更多地参与时,他们的反应会增加。该分析是用一个由两个非线性微分方程组成的著名且反复验证的数学模型进行的,该规律来自于该模型在伴侣的心理物理特征方面具有灾难性的分岔。因此,例如,伴侣的吸引力或对它的反应的负面趋势缓慢但不可避免地将夫妻推向一个临界点,从这个临界点可以产生一个关键的转变。由于该规则仅适用于由安全个体组成的夫妻,因此找出它是否也适用于其他夫妻仍然是一个有趣的开放问题。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences
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