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Machine learning for inference: using gradient boosting decision tree to assess non-linear effects of bus rapid transit on house prices 用于推理的机器学习:使用梯度增强决策树评估快速公交对房价的非线性影响
IF 5 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-03-27 DOI: 10.1080/19475683.2021.1906746
Linchuan Yang, Yuan Liang, Qing Zhu, Xiaoling Chu
ABSTRACT The adoption of bus rapid transit (BRT) systems has gained worldwide popularity over the past several decades. China is no exception as it has long been aiming at promoting public transportation. Prior studies have provided extensive evidence that BRT has substantial effects on house prices with traditional econometric techniques, such as hedonic pricing models. However, few of those investigations have discussed the non-linear relationship between BRT and house prices. Using the Xiamen data, this study employs a machine learning technique, namely the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), to scrutinize the non-linear relationship between BRT and house prices. This study documents a positive association between accessibility to BRT stations and house prices and a negative association between proximity to the BRT corridor and house prices. Moreover, it suggests a non-linear relationship between BRT and house prices and indicates that GBDT has more substantial predictive power than hedonic pricing models.
在过去的几十年里,快速公交系统(BRT)在全球范围内得到了广泛的应用。中国也不例外,因为它一直致力于促进公共交通。先前的研究已经提供了大量的证据,证明BRT对房价有实质性的影响,使用传统的计量经济学技术,如享乐定价模型。然而,这些调查中很少讨论BRT与房价之间的非线性关系。利用厦门的数据,本研究采用了一种机器学习技术,即梯度提升决策树(GBDT),来审视BRT与房价之间的非线性关系。本研究证明了BRT站点的可达性与房价之间存在正相关关系,而BRT走廊的邻近性与房价之间存在负相关关系。此外,BRT与房价之间存在非线性关系,表明GBDT比享乐定价模型具有更强的预测能力。
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引用次数: 14
Spatial search and a three level model based water layer extraction from C-band SAR image 基于空间搜索和三级模型的c波段SAR图像水层提取
IF 5 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-03-22 DOI: 10.1080/19475683.2021.1897675
Bipin Chandran, C. Rao, P. Sridevi
ABSTRACT This paper describes a spatial search and a three-level model-based approach for automatic extraction of surface water layers from Sentinel-1 C-band SAR images at 10 m spatial resolution. The technique incorporates a connected component spatial search for segmenting low backscatter regions and uses the segmented image object for characterizing the segments. The water body is described here as a collection of different spatially connected segments. A three-level model is used to describe the connected segments of a water body in SAR data. Noise tolerance is achieved in this method by incorporating a speckle noise level into the model. The segmentation process further calculates contextual information which includes shadow estimated from DEM, polarization angle of the segment, and a boundary co-occurrence in both polarization to qualify the detected segments as a water body. The proposed method is found to have an accuracy of 94% in terms of f1 score. The algorithm, estimation of different parameters, and the results obtained in selected regions are explained in this paper.
本文介绍了一种基于空间搜索和三级模型的方法,用于从Sentinel-1 c波段SAR图像中自动提取10 m空间分辨率的地表水层。该技术结合了连通分量空间搜索来分割低后向散射区域,并使用分割后的图像对象来表征片段。这里将水体描述为不同空间连接片段的集合。在SAR数据中,采用三级模型来描述水体的连通段。该方法通过在模型中加入散斑噪声水平来实现噪声容限。分割过程进一步计算上下文信息,包括从DEM估计的阴影,段的偏振角,以及两个偏振中的边界共现,以确定检测到的段是否为水体。结果表明,该方法在f1分数方面的准确率为94%。本文对算法、不同参数的估计以及在选定区域得到的结果进行了说明。
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引用次数: 0
Human mobility and COVID-19 transmission: a systematic review and future directions 人员流动与COVID-19传播:系统综述和未来方向
IF 5 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-02-05 DOI: 10.1080/19475683.2022.2041725
Mengxi Zhang, Siqin Wang, T. Hu, Xiaokang Fu, Xiaoyue Wang, Yaxin Hu, B. Halloran, Zhenlong Li, Yunhe Cui, Haokun Liu, Zhimin Liu, S. Bao
ABSTRACT Without a widely distributed vaccine, controlling human mobility has been identified and promoted as the primary strategy to mitigate the transmission of COVID-19. Many studies have reported the relationship between human mobility and COVID-19 transmission by utilizing the spatial-temporal information of mobility data from various sources. To better understand the role of human mobility in the pandemic, we conducted a systematic review of articles that measure the relationship between human mobility and COVID-19 in terms of their data sources, mathematical models, and key findings. Following the guidelines of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement, we selected 47 articles from the Web of Science Core Collection up to September 2020. Restricting human mobility reduced the transmission of COVID-19, although the effectiveness and stringency of policy implementation vary temporally and spatially across different stages of the pandemic. We call for prompt and sustainable measures to control the pandemic. We also recommend researchers 1) to enhance multi-disciplinary collaboration; 2) to adjust the implementation and stringency of mobility-control policies in corresponding to the rapid change of the pandemic; 3) to improve mathematical models used in analysing, simulating, and predicting the transmission of the disease; and 4) to enrich the source of mobility data to ensure data accuracy and suability.
在没有广泛分布的疫苗的情况下,控制人员流动已被确定并推广为减轻COVID-19传播的主要策略。许多研究利用各种来源的人员流动数据的时空信息,报道了人员流动与COVID-19传播的关系。为了更好地了解人员流动在大流行中的作用,我们从数据来源、数学模型和主要发现等方面对衡量人员流动与COVID-19之间关系的文章进行了系统回顾。根据系统评价和荟萃分析首选报告项目(PRISMA)声明的指导方针,我们从Web of Science核心馆藏中选择了截至2020年9月的47篇文章。限制人员流动减少了COVID-19的传播,尽管在大流行的不同阶段,政策执行的有效性和严格程度在时间和空间上有所不同。我们呼吁采取迅速和可持续的措施来控制这一流行病。我们也建议研究者1)加强多学科合作;2)根据疫情的快速变化,调整流动控制政策的实施和力度;3)改进用于分析、模拟和预测疾病传播的数学模型;4)丰富出行数据来源,保证数据的准确性和可持续性。
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引用次数: 42
A user-driven process for INSPIRE-compliant land use database: example from Wallonia, Belgium 符合inspire标准的土地使用数据库的用户驱动过程:以比利时瓦隆尼亚为例
IF 5 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-01-17 DOI: 10.1080/19475683.2021.1875047
B. Beaumont, T. Grippa, M. Lennert
ABSTRACT Regional land use monitoring at high spatial, temporal, and thematic resolution is an important expectation of Walloon stakeholders. Over the last decade, increased data-processing capacities and the annual acquisition of remotely sensed data have resulted in the production of a large amount of relevant geodata. The INSPIRE directive and its obligations for 2020 serve as a path for the development of a new user-driven and open-source hierarchical land use classification system mapping scheme, as presented in this paper. The process includes intensive user consultation, the development of an entire automatic processing chain, and efforts to address challenges such as big data handling, the variability of input data properties, and reproducibility. The thematically detailed land use map, with its 69 classes, is already widely used by Walloon stakeholders, and new demands for updating have already emerged. Based on a European classification system that is compulsory for all member states, INSPIRE-compliant land use maps will make it possible to carry out cross-border studies and compare spatial planning strategies between states.
高空间、时间和主题分辨率的区域土地利用监测是瓦隆利益相关者的重要期望。在过去十年中,由于数据处理能力的提高和每年遥感数据的获取,产生了大量相关的地理数据。INSPIRE指令及其2020年的义务为开发新的用户驱动的开源分层土地利用分类系统制图方案提供了途径,如本文所述。该过程包括密集的用户咨询,整个自动处理链的开发,以及应对大数据处理、输入数据属性的可变性和可重复性等挑战的努力。该专题详细的土地使用地图共有69个类别,已经被瓦隆利益相关者广泛使用,并且已经出现了更新的新要求。基于对所有成员国强制执行的欧洲分类系统,符合inspire标准的土地利用地图将使开展跨境研究和比较国家之间的空间规划策略成为可能。
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引用次数: 2
Assessment of channel shifting of Karnali Megafan in Nepal using remote sensing and GIS 基于遥感和GIS的尼泊尔卡纳利河流域河道移动评价
IF 5 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-01-15 DOI: 10.1080/19475683.2021.1871950
Biplob Rakhal, T. R. Adhikari, Sanjib Sharma, G. Ghimire
ABSTRACT River flow exhibits morphological changes over time. The shifting of river channels is a common natural phenomenon which often poses risk to life and property. Channel shifting is mostly associated with weak geology, extreme floods, and land cover alterations. Here we assess the changing morphology of the largest depositional landform in Nepal, called the Karnali Megafan, over the period of 1977–2013. We applied geographic information system (GIS) and remote sensing techniques to analyse the spatiotemporal changes in the Karnali Megafan. We obtained historical channel information from Landsat Operational Land Imager (OLI) and the Thermal InfraRed Sensor (TRIS) satellite image, Landsat Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+), Thematic Mapper (TM) and Multispectral Scanner (MSS) for years 1977, 1990, 2000, 2010 and 2013. The channel shifting depicts a generally increasing trend in the right branch while the trend is less prominent in the left branch. We find that the extreme rainfall and flooding contribute to channel shifting in the Karnali Megafan. This study identifies the channel shifting spatiotemporal trends along the Karnali Megafan and are of practical use in developing and implementing appropriate river management strategies.
河流流量随时间呈现形态变化。河道移位是一种常见的自然现象,它经常对生命和财产造成威胁。河道移动主要与脆弱的地质、极端洪水和土地覆盖变化有关。在这里,我们评估了尼泊尔最大的沉积地貌,称为卡纳利Megafan,在1977-2013年期间的变化形态。应用地理信息系统(GIS)和遥感技术对卡纳里Megafan的时空变化进行了分析。利用Landsat Operational Land Imager (OLI)和热红外传感器(TRIS)卫星图像、Landsat Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+)、Thematic Mapper (TM)和Multispectral Scanner (MSS)获取了1977、1990、2000、2010和2013年的历史通道信息。通道移动在右支路表现出普遍增加的趋势,而在左支路表现出不太明显的趋势。研究发现,极端降雨和洪水对卡纳里Megafan的河道移动有促进作用。本研究确定了卡纳利Megafan流域河道转移的时空趋势,对制定和实施适当的河流管理策略具有实际意义。
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引用次数: 7
Predicting land use/cover changes and its association to agricultural production on the slopes of Mount Kilimanjaro, Tanzania 预测坦桑尼亚乞力马扎罗山坡地土地利用/覆被变化及其与农业生产的关系
IF 5 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-01-11 DOI: 10.1080/19475683.2020.1871406
Mateso Said, C. Hyandye, H. Komakech, I. C. Mjemah, L. Munishi
ABSTRACT Increasing demand for food production results in Land use and land cover (LULC) changes, which afflicts the provision of ecosystem services in high mountain areas. This work used time-series LULC and selected spatial metrics to predict the LULC changes for Kikafu-Weruweru-Karanga (KWK) watershed (on the southern slopes of Mt. Kilimanjaro) for the next decade. LULC maps were generated by classifying time-series satellite images. We further predicted the implications for selected staple crop production over the next decade. The simulated LULC shows expansion in built-up (by 32.55%/27.04 km2) and agriculture (by 39.52%/52.0 km2) areas from 2018 to 2030. These results suggest that urbanization is likely the next biggest threat to water availability and food production. Grasslands and wetlands are expected to decrease by 57.24% and 39.29%, respectively. The forest area is likely to shrink by 6.37%, about 9.82 km2, and 1.26 km2 being converted to agriculture and built-up areas, respectively. However, expansion in agricultural land shows very little increase in staple food crop production records, suggesting that farm size plays a minor role in increasing crop production. Predicting the near future LULC around KWK is useful for evaluating the likelihood of achieving development and conservation targets that are set locally, nationally and internationally.
粮食生产需求的增加导致了土地利用和土地覆盖(LULC)的变化,从而影响了高山区生态系统服务的提供。本研究采用时间序列土地利用储量和空间指标对Kikafu-Weruweru-Karanga (KWK)流域(位于乞力马扎罗山南坡)未来十年的土地利用储量变化进行了预测。LULC地图是通过对时间序列卫星图像进行分类生成的。我们进一步预测了未来十年对某些主要作物生产的影响。模拟LULC显示,2018 - 2030年,建成区和农业区分别扩大32.55%/27.04 km2和39.52%/52.0 km2。这些结果表明,城市化可能是水资源供应和粮食生产的下一个最大威胁。草地和湿地预计分别减少57.24%和39.29%。森林面积可能减少6.37%,约9.82 km2,农业用地和建成区面积可能分别减少1.26 km2。然而,农业用地的扩大表明,主粮作物产量记录的增长很少,这表明农场规模在提高作物产量方面起着次要作用。预测KWK附近近期的LULC对于评估实现地方、国家和国际设定的开发和保护目标的可能性非常有用。
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引用次数: 16
Prediction modelling of riverine landscape dynamics in the context of sustainable management of floodplain: a Geospatial approach 河漫滩可持续管理背景下的河流景观动态预测建模:地理空间方法
IF 5 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-01-05 DOI: 10.1080/19475683.2020.1870558
Nasibul Alam, Subrata Saha, Srimanta Gupta, S. Chakraborty
ABSTRACT Presently, sustainability of floodplain, a diverse element of the riverine landscape, provides an ideal research setting for investigating complex interaction between anthropogenic disturbance and eco-environmental degradation. Nowadays, these floodplains are continually degraded and fragmented on account of unsustainable land use. To analyse the spatial and temporal changes of landuse/landcover, a supervised classification (maximum likelihood algorithm) method has been made for the period 1998 to 2018. Present research simulates and predicts landuse/landcover dynamics of lower stretch of the Ganges river up to 2038 to analyse future riverine landscape dynamics stressed by various natural and socio-economic factors based on Cellular Automata-Artificial Neuron Network (CA-ANN) model clubbed with Modules for Land Use Change Evaluation (MOLUSCE) plugin of QGIS software. Outcome of research reveals that the trend of agriculture land, sand, and inland waterbody areas is reduced by 15.75, 5.71, and 1.95%, whereas, for orchard, agricultural fallow and bare land areas increased by 7.94, 7.92, and 5.69% for the period from 1998 to 2018. The simulation model predicted a continuation of the similar trend till 2038. The significant reduction of agricultural land and sand areas is largely an attribute to floodplain degradation in an altered hydrological regime. Ultimately, hydro-morphological changes, increasing population pressure, and agriculture intensification in floodplain landscape were identified as main driving forces in temporal landuse/landcover changes. The prediction of future forecast indicates that if the present rate of landuse/landcover trend persists in the study stretch of Ganges river without appropriate sustainable development practice, severe floodplain degradation will ensue. This study provides a holistic measure for understanding long-term environmental degradation related to anthropogenic activities and impact of climate changes in floodplain landscape at local and regional scale.
目前,河漫滩作为河流景观的一个多元元素,其可持续性为研究人为干扰与生态环境退化之间复杂的相互作用提供了理想的研究环境。如今,由于不可持续的土地利用,这些洪泛平原不断退化和破碎。为了分析1998 - 2018年土地利用/土地覆盖的时空变化,采用监督分类(最大似然算法)方法。本文基于元胞自动机-人工神经网络(CA-ANN)模型,结合QGIS软件的土地利用变化评估模块(MOLUSCE)插件,对恒河下游至2038年的土地利用/覆被动态进行了模拟和预测,分析了各种自然和社会经济因素强调下的未来河流景观动态。研究结果表明,1998 - 2018年,农用地、沙土和内陆水体面积分别减少了15.75%、5.71%和1.95%,果园、农业闲耕地和裸地面积分别增加了7.94%、7.92%和5.69%。模拟模型预测,类似的趋势将持续到2038年。农业用地和沙区的显著减少主要是由于在改变的水文制度下洪泛区退化。结果表明,洪泛平原的水文形态变化、人口压力增加和农业集约化是土地利用/覆被变化的主要驱动力。对未来预测的预测表明,如果恒河研究河段的土地利用/覆被速度保持不变,不采取适当的可持续发展措施,将导致河漫滩严重退化。该研究为了解与人为活动相关的长期环境退化和气候变化对漫滩景观的影响提供了局域尺度和区域尺度的整体测度。
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引用次数: 25
Introduction to advancements of GIS in the new IT era 介绍地理信息系统在新资讯科技时代的发展
IF 5 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/19475683.2021.1890920
Weiwei Song, Changshan Wu
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引用次数: 6
Status analysis of geographic information science major in Chinese higher education 我国高等教育地理信息科学专业现状分析
IF 5 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/19475683.2021.1883108
Shuliang Zhang, Ying Chen, Xin Yang, Li-yang Xiong, Zhenzhen Liu, G. Tang
ABSTRACT Geographic Information Science (GIS) Major in China has been developing and flourishing for nearly 40 years. Chinese educators have made many achievements on major construction in GIS. However, opportunities and challenges coexist under the new situation of ‘Double First-Rate’ major construction in China. Thus, investigating and analysing the major status comprehensively are necessary for enhancing the development of the GIS major. This study analyses the enrolment magnitude of undergraduate and postgraduate students, student development, construction of teaching team and professional curriculum construction for GIS majors in mainland Chinese universities. The professional survey results showed that there are about 30,000 undergraduates and 4,000 postgraduates who graduate with GIS degrees every year. However, most of the undergraduates in this major do not take gGIS as their first choice in college major selection. In addition, 190 colleges and universities have set up GIS majors, who have played an important role in the development of GIS and industry. These colleges and universities are mostly concentrated in China’s central and eastern regions. The Education and Popularization Science Working Committee of the China Association for Geographic Information Society and the Ministry of Education’s Education Committee and other institutions have also organized several meaningful activities to strengthen the guidance of the GIS professional construction. A complete education system has been established to train undergraduates and postgraduates for the development of the geographic information industry in China.
地理信息科学(GIS)专业在中国经历了近40年的发展和繁荣。我国教育工作者在地理信息系统重大建设方面取得了许多成就。然而,在中国“双一流”重大建设的新形势下,机遇与挑战并存。因此,全面调查和分析我国地理信息系统专业的现状,是促进我国地理信息系统专业发展的必要条件。本研究分析了中国大陆高校地理信息系统专业的本科生和研究生招生规模、学生发展、教学团队建设和专业课程建设。专业调查结果显示,每年有大约3万名本科生和4000名研究生毕业于GIS学位。然而,这个专业的大部分本科生并没有把gGIS作为大学专业选择的第一选择。此外,全国有190所高校开设了GIS专业,在GIS和GIS产业的发展中发挥了重要作用。这些高校大多集中在中国的中部和东部地区。中国地理信息学会教育与科普工作委员会和教育部教育委员会等机构也组织了多次有意义的活动,加强对GIS专业建设的指导。建立了为中国地理信息产业发展培养本科生和研究生的完整教育体系。
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引用次数: 1
Geospatial analysis of malaria mortality in the kintampo health and demographic surveillance area of central Ghana 加纳中部金坦波卫生和人口监测地区疟疾死亡率的地理空间分析
IF 5 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2020-12-21 DOI: 10.1080/19475683.2020.1853231
K. Wiru, Felix Boakye Oppong, Stephaney Gyaase, Oscar Agyei, S. Abubakari, S. Amenga‐Etego, Charles Zandoh, Kwaku Poku Asante
ABSTRACT Malaria remains a menace to the existence of humanity in most contexts. Geospatial analysis of malaria mortality is crucial to identifying clusters of high disease burden and areas with limited access to malaria care for targeted control and remedial interventions. This study identified spatial and space-time clusters of malaria mortality in the Kintampo area of central Ghana. We used 1301 malaria deaths archived from 2005 to 2017 and Global Positioning System (GPS) point locations of the sub-districts in which these deaths occurred for our analysis. Mortality risks were smoothed and mapped using the Spatial Empirical Bayesian smoothing technique in Geoda (version 1.12.1.161) whereas spatial and spatio-temporal clustering analysis was done using SaTScan (version 9.6). Malaria mortality risks ranged between 1.2 and 2.4 deaths per 1000 population for persons of all ages and between 3.3 and 6.0 deaths per 1000 population for children under five years of age by sub-district. Two spatial clusters were detected for all-age malaria mortality with only the primary cluster (RR = 1.42, p = 0.001) being statistically significant. Also, two statistically significant space-time clusters were detected for all-age malaria mortality in the study area. The most likely cluster occurred between 2006 and 2011 in five sub-districts with a relative risk of 2.12 (p < 0.001) whilst the secondary cluster which had a relative risk of 2.47 (p < 0.001) occurred between 2005 and 2010 in four sub-districts. Similarly, only the most likely spatial cluster of under-five malaria mortality was statistically significant (RR = 1.36, p = 0.024). Furthermore, three spatio-temporal clusters of under-five malaria mortality were detected in the study area. The primary and second secondary clusters were statistically significant whilst the first secondary cluster had borderline significance. The primary cluster (RR = 4.49, p = 0.002) occurred in two sub-districts between 2006 and 2007. The first secondary cluster (RR = 2.21, P = 0.005) covered four sub-districts and was detected between 2006 and 2011 whereas the second secondary cluster (RR = 2.51, p = 0.003) covered two sub-districts between 2008 and 2013. Ultimately, our analysis identified a number of substantial spatial and apace-time clusters of malaria mortality in the study context, which could aid in the strategic planning, implementation and monitoring of targeted malaria control interventions.
在大多数情况下,疟疾仍然威胁着人类的生存。疟疾死亡率的地理空间分析对于确定疾病负担高的群集和获得疟疾护理机会有限的地区,以便进行有针对性的控制和补救措施至关重要。本研究确定了加纳中部金坦波地区疟疾死亡率的空间和时空集群。我们使用了2005年至2017年存档的1301例疟疾死亡病例,以及这些死亡病例所在分区的全球定位系统(GPS)点位置进行分析。死亡率风险使用Geoda(版本1.12.1.161)的空间经验贝叶斯平滑技术进行平滑和映射,而空间和时空聚类分析使用SaTScan(版本9.6)进行。按分区划分,所有年龄段人口的疟疾死亡率风险为每1000人中1.2至2.4人死亡,五岁以下儿童的死亡率为每1000人中3.3至6.0人死亡。所有年龄段疟疾死亡率存在两个空间聚类,其中只有主要聚类(RR = 1.42, p = 0.001)具有统计学意义。此外,在研究地区的所有年龄段疟疾死亡率中发现了两个具有统计学意义的时空聚类。2006 - 2011年间,5个街道发生了最可能的聚类,相对危险度为2.12 (p < 0.001); 2005 - 2010年间,4个街道发生了第二可能的聚类,相对危险度为2.47 (p < 0.001)。同样,只有最可能的5岁以下儿童疟疾死亡率空间聚类具有统计学意义(RR = 1.36, p = 0.024)。此外,研究区还发现了3个5岁以下儿童疟疾死亡率时空聚类。第一级和第二级聚类具有统计学显著性,而第一级聚类具有临界显著性。2006 - 2007年主要聚集区(RR = 4.49, p = 0.002)分布在2个分区。第一次要聚集性病例(RR = 2.21, P = 0.005)覆盖4个分区,于2006 - 2011年发现;第二次要聚集性病例(RR = 2.51, P = 0.003)覆盖2个分区,于2008 - 2013年发现。最终,我们的分析确定了研究背景下大量的空间和时间上的疟疾死亡率集群,这有助于有针对性的疟疾控制干预措施的战略规划、实施和监测。
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引用次数: 5
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