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Planning for health and wellbeing? Reflections on urban policy and practice in the City of Cape Town and Western Cape Province during the COVID-19 pandemic 为健康和幸福做计划?对2019冠状病毒病大流行期间开普敦市和西开普省城市政策和实践的思考
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1080/03736245.2022.2081594
Michael Hathorn
ABSTRACT The COVID-19 pandemic presents a major disruption to urban systems in cities all around the world. As such, it is vital to use this moment as an opportunity to re-evaluate contemporary planning directions in the government structures of the City of Cape Town and the Western Cape Province. This article aims to do this by understanding the lessons that state-led COVID-19 responses hold for urban policy and practice in the City and Province in the future. It finds that, while it is too early to draw definitive conclusions about future planning directions, it is possible to reflect on early learnings from the events of the pandemic’s initial surge, particularly in the context of historical urban responses to public health crises.
2019冠状病毒病大流行对世界各地城市的城市系统造成了重大破坏。因此,利用这一机会重新评估开普敦市和西开普省政府结构的当代规划方向至关重要。本文旨在通过了解国家主导的COVID-19应对措施对未来我省和市的城市政策和实践的借鉴意义,实现这一目标。报告认为,虽然现在就未来规划方向得出明确结论还为时过早,但有可能从大流行最初激增的事件中吸取早期教训,特别是在历史上城市应对公共卫生危机的背景下。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal pattern of road traffic fatalities in Africa: the effect of economic development 非洲道路交通死亡的时空格局:经济发展的影响
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1080/03736245.2022.2066163
Y. C. Akinyemi
ABSTRACT This study aims to analyse the spatiotemporal trends and effect of economic development on road traffic fatalities (RTF) across 48 countries in Africa using annual data between 2007 and 2016. Data on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, population density, road fatalities and registered vehicles were obtained from WHO and World Development Indicators. Spatial autocorrelation and clustering of mortality rates were analysed using spatial statistical techniques. Average mortality rate declined from 32.2 per 100,000 population in 2007 to 26.6 in 2016. There was wide spatial variation in mortality rates across countries. The year 2010 exhibited a statistically significant spatial dependence on mortality rates. Locally, hotspots of mortality rates were located in 10 countries in 2010 and in 2 countries in 2016. Significant ‘coldspots’ were exhibited in four countries during the study period. Mixed-effect negative binomial regression analysis results reveal significant negative relationship between GDP per capita and road fatalities for both highly developed and less developed countries. Furthermore, 1% increase in registered vehicles leads to a rise in RTF. The government needs to invest more funds in road infrastructure, safe public transport, enforcement of regulations and post-crash emergency care.
本研究旨在利用2007年至2016年的年度数据,分析非洲48个国家经济发展对道路交通死亡(RTF)的时空趋势和影响。关于人均国内生产总值、人口密度、道路死亡人数和登记车辆的数据来自卫生组织和世界发展指标。利用空间统计技术分析死亡率的空间自相关和聚类。平均死亡率从2007年的每10万人32.2人下降到2016年的26.6人。各国的死亡率存在很大的空间差异。在统计上,2010年死亡率具有显著的空间依赖性。在当地,2010年有10个国家出现死亡率热点,2016年有2个国家出现死亡率热点。在研究期间,有四个国家出现了显著的“冷点”。混合效应负二项回归分析结果显示,无论是高度发达国家还是欠发达国家,人均GDP与道路死亡人数之间都存在显著的负相关关系。此外,每增加1%的登记车辆就会导致RTF上升。政府需要在道路基础设施、安全的公共交通、法规的执行和事故后的紧急护理方面投入更多资金。
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引用次数: 1
Regional fire occurrence in Southern Africa using BFAST iterative break detection in seasonal and trend components of a MODIS time series 在MODIS时间序列的季节和趋势分量中使用BFAST迭代破裂检测的南部非洲区域火灾发生
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-04-27 DOI: 10.1080/03736245.2022.2066165
A. W. Marden, T. Meyer, Kelley A. Crews Meyer
ABSTRACT Fire is an integral part of southern African savannas, but despite being well-studied, complex relationships among fire, humans, climate and ecological systems remain poorly understood across much of the region. Analyses that provide information on fire trends in diverse regional contexts are essential for informing fire management and monitoring change. Harmonic seasonal patterns, linear time-series trends and breakpoints in fire occurrence (BFAST) were analysed for 2001–2018 in Botswana using remotely sensed fire occurrence measurements. Regional classification schemes were organized by human land-use, annual precipitation zones and vegetation communities. At the regional scale, mean annual precipitation, land-use and vegetation type influenced fire occurrence magnitude. Seasonality and variability were most clearly organized according to mean annual precipitation. Variability in seasonal and long-term fire trends were observed across the different classification schemes apart from mean annual precipitation zones above 600 mm. The methodology used effectively identified key differences in fire variability across regional classification schemes. However, the spatial resolution and classification scheme may be less effective for human land use and small fires. Overall, MODIS fire data analysed with BFAST is a promising and accessible method for analysing regional savanna fire regimes.
火是南部非洲稀树草原不可分割的一部分,但尽管研究得很充分,但在该地区的大部分地区,人们对火、人类、气候和生态系统之间的复杂关系仍然知之甚少。提供不同区域火灾趋势信息的分析对于为火灾管理和监测变化提供信息至关重要。利用遥感火灾发生测量数据,分析了博茨瓦纳2001-2018年火灾发生的调和季节模式、线性时间序列趋势和断点(BFAST)。区域分类方案以人类土地利用、年降水量带和植被群落为分类标准。在区域尺度上,年平均降水量、土地利用和植被类型对火灾发生强度有显著影响。季节性和变率以年平均降水量最为明显。除了年平均降水量大于600 mm的区域外,在不同的分类方案中观测到季节性和长期火灾趋势的变异。所使用的方法有效地确定了不同区域分类方案之间火灾变异性的关键差异。然而,空间分辨率和分类方案对人类土地利用和小型火灾可能不太有效。总的来说,利用BFAST分析MODIS火灾数据是一种很有前途的、可获得的分析区域稀树草原火情的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Small towns as research sites: the impacts of deindustrialisation on urban livelihoods in Norton, Zimbabwe 小城镇作为研究地点:去工业化对津巴布韦诺顿城市生计的影响
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-03-15 DOI: 10.1080/03736245.2022.2049633
Martin Magidi
ABSTRACT The paper deviates from the general trend to focus on big cities as research sites. It explores the impacts of deindustrialization on urban livelihoods in Norton – a small town west of Harare using the Sustainable Livelihoods Approach (SLA) to unpack how deindustrialization compromised livelihood assets and outcomes in Norton. Data were collected using triangulation of methods, which comprised interviews and field observations. Findings showed that key industries collapsed, leading to massive job losses, and job-related benefits. Findings further point to reduced service delivery capacity, resulting in poor sanitation, water, and electricity supply in the town, and how these relate to sustainable livelihoods. Deindustrialization also triggered a surge in urban poverty, food insecurity, poor housing, and the rise of the informal economy in Norton. The study concludes that despite its rural origins, the SLA is an effective tool to analyse urban livelihoods. It suggests that deindustrialization tends to be rampant in small towns vis-à-vis big cities. The study further highlights that financial assets tend to be more important in building urban livelihoods than the other forms of assets constitutive of the SLA. It concludes by reflecting on how human skills easily become redundant and stranded assets where industry is dysfunctional.
本文偏离一般趋势,以大城市为研究地点。本报告探讨了去工业化对哈拉雷西部小镇诺顿城市生计的影响,利用可持续生计方法(SLA)揭示了去工业化如何损害诺顿的生计资产和成果。数据是用三角测量法收集的,包括访谈和实地观察。调查结果显示,主要行业崩溃,导致大量失业,以及与工作相关的福利。调查结果进一步指出,服务提供能力下降,导致该镇的卫生设施、水和电力供应不佳,以及这些与可持续生计的关系。去工业化还引发了城市贫困、食品不安全、住房条件差以及诺顿非正规经济的兴起。该研究的结论是,尽管SLA起源于农村,但它是分析城市生计的有效工具。这表明,相对于-à-vis大城市,去工业化在小城镇更为猖獗。该研究进一步强调,金融资产在建立城市生计方面往往比构成SLA的其他形式的资产更重要。最后,它反思了在行业功能失调的情况下,人类技能如何容易成为多余和搁浅的资产。
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引用次数: 0
National health insurance in the face of COVID-19: urban tendencies in South Africa 面对COVID-19的国民医疗保险:南非的城市趋势
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-03-14 DOI: 10.1080/03736245.2021.2020585
G. Weir-Smith, T. Mokhele, S. Dlamini
ABSTRACT South Africa is set to implement a universal health care system, called National Health Insurance (NHI). The country is plagued by inequality at various levels, and the NHI will attempt to provide more equitable access to health. A national online COVID-19 survey in 2020, measured respondents’ favour or not of such a system. Multivariate logistic regression identified unique determinants of perception of NHI among urban residents (total respondents 12,682) in South Africa. Data were benchmarked using 2019 mid-year population estimates. Results showed that the majority (77.5%) of urban residents were in favour of NHI in South Africa. Furthermore, township (aOR = 1.36, 95% CI [1.10–1.69], p = 0.005) and informal settlement (aOR = 1.55, 95% CI [1.09–2.20], p = 0.016) residents were significantly more likely to be in favour of NHI than those residing in inner cities. This research sheds light on urban people’s perception of the NHI system for South Africa. The findings showed, respondents were mostly in favour of the NHI. It is recommended that the question of NHI be repeated in future research, during a time when knowledge of the COVID-19 pandemic has broadened and to a population with more representative education levels.
南非将实施全民医疗保健系统,称为国民健康保险(NHI)。这个国家受到各级不平等现象的困扰,国民健康保险计划将努力提供更公平的保健机会。2020年的一项全国COVID-19在线调查衡量了受访者对这种制度的支持与否。多元逻辑回归确定了南非城市居民(总受访者12,682人)对国民健康保险的感知的独特决定因素。数据以2019年年中人口估计数为基准。结果显示,南非大多数城镇居民(77.5%)赞成全民健康保险。此外,城镇居民(aOR = 1.36, 95% CI [1.10-1.69], p = 0.005)和非正式住区居民(aOR = 1.55, 95% CI [1.09-2.20], p = 0.016)比居住在内城的居民更倾向于支持全民健康保险。这项研究揭示了城市居民对南非国民健康保险制度的看法。调查结果显示,大多数受访者支持全民健康保险。建议在未来的研究中,在对COVID-19大流行的认识扩大的时候,在更具代表性的教育水平的人群中,重复全民健康保险的问题。
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引用次数: 5
Development or destruction? Impacts of mining on the environment and rural livelihoods at Connemara Mine, Zimbabwe 发展还是毁灭?采矿对津巴布韦Connemara矿区环境和农村生计的影响
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-02-22 DOI: 10.1080/03736245.2022.2032294
Martin Magidi, P. Hlungwani
ABSTRACT This study interrogates the impacts of mining at Connemara Gold Mine on the environment and rural livelihoods for surrounding communities the mine. While we acknowledge that mining is a very lucrative business and one of the major drivers of the Zimbabwean economy, we argue that most of the benefits of mining tend to be enjoyed elsewhere and not by host communities. We roped in the Treadmill of Production and the Resource Curse theories to demonstrate the interplay between capitalism, the environment and local ordinary people’s livelihoods around Connemara mine. Data were collected through interviews with local community residents, leaders and stakeholder organizations with interests in mining who were selected through purposive and snowballing techniques. We collected data over a period of 13 weeks, interviewing twenty-five respondents in the process and undertaking a series of transect walks across the mined site and its adjacent surroundings. We discovered that mining caused extensive environmental destruction, creating artificial hills and open pits as well as promoting massive soil erosion, contaminating water and land with dangerous chemicals making them unusable for productive purposes. As a result, we conclude that mining at the site did not generate wealth for the local populace but for the mine owners and the state while impoverishing the host communities, destroying their livelihoods in doing so. We conclude by arguing that mining at Connemara is a perfect example of how the Treadmill of Production works and an evident testimony of the Resource Curse.
摘要本研究探讨了康尼马拉金矿开采对矿区周边社区环境和农村生计的影响。虽然我们承认采矿是一项非常有利可图的业务,也是津巴布韦经济的主要推动力之一,但我们认为,采矿的大部分好处往往是由其他地方享受的,而不是由东道国社区享受的。我们引入了“生产跑步机”理论和“资源诅咒”理论,以展示资本主义、环境和康尼马拉矿周围当地普通民众的生计之间的相互作用。数据是通过对当地社区居民、领导人和对采矿感兴趣的利益相关者组织的访谈收集的,这些访谈是通过有目的和滚雪球技术选择的。我们在13周的时间里收集了数据,在这个过程中采访了25名受访者,并在矿区及其周边地区进行了一系列横断面行走。我们发现,采矿造成了广泛的环境破坏,造成了人工山丘和露天坑,还造成了大规模的土壤侵蚀,危险化学品污染了水和土地,使它们无法用于生产目的。因此,我们得出结论,在该地点采矿并没有为当地民众创造财富,而是为矿主和国家创造财富,同时使东道社区陷入贫困,破坏了他们的生计。最后,我们认为Connemara的采矿是“生产跑步机”运作的完美例子,也是“资源诅咒”的明显证据。
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引用次数: 5
The geomorphic origin of large wetlands in Africa’s elevated drylands: a Geographic Information System and Earth Observation approach 非洲高架旱地大湿地的地貌起源:地理信息系统和地球观测方法
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-02-16 DOI: 10.1080/03736245.2022.2030247
Z. Lidzhegu, W. Ellery, S. Mantel
ABSTRACT The topographic, climatic and tectonic conditions of the sub-continent present opportunities to better understand the role that geomorphological processes play in determining the origin of large wetlands. Yet, there is limited information on the geomorphic origin of large wetlands in southern and eastern Africa due to wetland inaccessibility and limited wetland geomorphological studies that have been conducted in these regions. The current study aims to provide an understanding of the geomorphic origin of large wetlands in Africa’s elevated drylands. Satellite images were used to identify geomorphic features, while digital elevation models were used for topographic analysis, and geological maps provided tectonic and lithological information. Abductive reasoning was used to infer geomorphic features to processes that could have led to their formation while drawing inference from existing knowledge or relevant literature. The study demonstrated different processes that contribute to wetland formation, structure, and evolution. In some instances, tectonic processes may be primarily responsible for the formation of basins that hosts wetlands such as Wembere and Bahi wetlands in Tanzania. In other cases, wetlands such as the Lufira and Barotse wetlands in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Zambia, respectively, may be structured primarily by fluvial processes.
南亚次大陆的地形、气候和构造条件为更好地理解地貌过程在确定大型湿地起源中的作用提供了机会。然而,由于非洲南部和东部湿地的不可达性以及在这些地区进行的湿地地貌学研究有限,关于这些地区大型湿地地貌起源的信息有限。目前的研究旨在了解非洲高架旱地大型湿地的地貌起源。卫星图像用于识别地貌特征,数字高程模型用于地形分析,地质图提供构造和岩性信息。溯因推理用于从现有知识或相关文献中推断可能导致地貌特征形成的过程。研究揭示了湿地形成、结构和演化的不同过程。在某些情况下,构造过程可能是盆地形成的主要原因,这些盆地拥有坦桑尼亚的温贝雷和巴希湿地等湿地。在其他情况下,诸如刚果民主共和国的卢费拉和赞比亚的巴罗茨湿地等湿地可能主要是由河流作用形成的。
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引用次数: 1
Determining the distribution of wetlands across Eswatini 确定整个斯瓦蒂尼湿地的分布
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-02-14 DOI: 10.1080/03736245.2021.2021975
J. L. Le Roux, H. Beckedahl, A. Grundling, P. Sumner
ABSTRACT Eswatini became a signatory to the Ramsar Convention on the 15th of June, 2013. To date, the country does not have a national wetland inventory. This study applies a newly developed wetland mapping technique (produced in South Africa) to Eswatini, to provide baseline information on the potential distribution of wetlands across the country. Results of this study show that when applying the mapping technique as it was applied in South Africa, watercourses (rivers, drainage lines, and riparian zones) are more frequently mapped than true wetlands. Given that Eswatini currently uses the broad Ramsar definition of a wetland, the potential wetland map produced in this study is well suited to identify wetlands falling under such definition. However, the technique does not suffice where a more specific definition for wetlands is used. To improve the initial potential wetland map, this study made use of data, obtained from 2 000 points distributed across the initial wetland map, by classifying areas with the highest potential of being wetlands into hydrogeomorphic units. Results indicate that the methods used to improve the initial map areable to distinguish watercourses with a higher potential of being a true wetland and identify certain hydrogeomorphic units. This method can therefore be used to provide baseline data of potential wetland distribution for countries that do not possess the means, or attribute data to produce a comprehensive wetland map.
斯瓦蒂尼于2013年6月15日成为拉姆萨尔公约的签署国。到目前为止,该国还没有全国湿地清查。本研究将一种新开发的湿地测绘技术(在南非生产)应用于Eswatini,以提供关于全国湿地潜在分布的基线信息。这项研究的结果表明,当应用在南非应用的制图技术时,水道(河流、排水线和河岸带)比真正的湿地更频繁地被绘制出来。鉴于Eswatini目前使用广泛的拉姆萨尔湿地定义,本研究中生成的潜在湿地地图非常适合识别属于该定义的湿地。然而,在使用更具体的湿地定义时,这种技术是不够的。为了改进初始潜在湿地地图,本研究利用分布在初始湿地地图上的2000个点的数据,将湿地潜力最大的区域划分为水文地貌单元。结果表明,改进初始地图的方法能够区分具有较高湿地潜力的河道和确定某些水文地貌单元。因此,该方法可用于为不具备制作综合湿地地图的手段或属性数据的国家提供潜在湿地分布的基线数据。
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引用次数: 0
Using land cover, population, and night light data to assess urban expansion in Kimberley, South Africa 利用土地覆盖、人口和夜间灯光数据来评估南非金伯利的城市扩张
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-01-30 DOI: 10.1080/03736245.2022.2028667
T. Kabanda
ABSTRACT Information on urban expansion is a significant input in forecasting upcoming land cover and land use changes in a city. This study combines Landsat 8, night-time lights, and population data to assess urban expansion in Kimberley, South Africa from 2013 to 2018. This study used a post-classification change detection approach to measure urban expansion. Urban and non-urban land use classes where the two classes mapped and evaluated for this analysis. Overall, urban expansion from 2013 to 2018 was 15% while the annual urban expansion rate experienced was 0.6%. Night-time lights, calculated from satellite imagery, are increasingly used by social scientists as a proxy for economic activity or economic development. During the period of 2013 to 2018, both the urban night-time lights and the urban population experienced high rates of growth. This study obtained a positive correlation for night-time light and population datasets of 0.51 for 2013 and 0.57 for 2018, to suggest a positive population and lighting increase in the study area. Municipal authorities and policymakers may use this knowledge as feedback during urban and environmental planning.
城市扩张信息是预测未来城市土地覆盖和土地利用变化的重要输入。这项研究结合了Landsat 8、夜间灯光和人口数据,评估了2013年至2018年南非金伯利的城市扩张。本研究采用分类后变化检测方法对城市扩张进行测度。城市和非城市土地利用类别,这两个类别为本分析绘制和评估。总体而言,2013年至2018年的城市扩张率为15%,而年城市扩张率为0.6%。根据卫星图像计算出的夜间灯光越来越多地被社会科学家用作经济活动或经济发展的代表。在2013年至2018年期间,城市夜间照明和城市人口都经历了高速增长。该研究获得了2013年夜间照明和人口数据集的正相关系数为0.51,2018年为0.57,这表明研究区域的人口和照明正增加。市政当局和决策者可以在城市和环境规划期间利用这些知识作为反馈。
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引用次数: 8
Bibliometric analysis on African Urbanization studies: patterns and trends of published articles 非洲城市化研究的文献计量分析:已发表文章的模式和趋势
IF 1.4 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-01-25 DOI: 10.1080/03736245.2021.2010590
Hang Ren, Zhenke Zhang, Priyanko Das
ABSTRACT The process of urbanization in Africa is receiving global attention and is subject to comprehensive scientific research due to the wide socioeconomic influence of this continent. Adopting specific search terms and strategies, this paper conducts a statistical analysis of the research articles addressing African urbanization (n = 2046) from the Web of Science core collection. The results show that since 2006, research on African urbanization has entered a stage of rapid development. South Africa and the Global North are the main regions engaged in research on African urbanization. With the application of the bibliometric software HistCite, this paper tries to investigate the research streams and trends contributed by highly cited articles. The main research streams can be divided into 5 areas, with the relationship between disciplines becoming stronger. Population, economy and land-use are the core issues of African urbanization studies, with the largest volume of highly cited articles. Furthermore, the changes in research hotspots were explored based on keyword analysis by CiteSpace. The results indicate that the topics of research hot spots by African and Global North researchers are different, and the Global North has a stronger influence on African urbanization studies.
由于非洲大陆广泛的社会经济影响,非洲的城市化进程受到全球的关注,并受到全面的科学研究。本文采用特定的检索词和检索策略,对Web of Science核心馆藏中有关非洲城市化的研究文章(n = 2046)进行了统计分析。结果表明,2006年以来,非洲城市化研究进入快速发展阶段。南非和全球北方是从事非洲城市化研究的主要地区。本文运用文献计量软件HistCite,对高被引文章的研究流和趋势进行了调查。主要研究方向可划分为5个领域,学科之间的联系日益紧密。人口、经济和土地利用是非洲城市化研究的核心问题,高被引文章数量最多。通过CiteSpace的关键词分析,探讨了研究热点的变化。研究结果表明,非洲和全球北方研究人员研究热点的主题不同,全球北方对非洲城市化研究的影响更大。
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引用次数: 1
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South African Geographical Journal
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