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How migration intentions change during periods of political instability and violence: Panel survey evidence from Kenya 在政治不稳定和暴力时期,移民意图如何变化:来自肯尼亚的小组调查证据
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-09-26 DOI: 10.1093/migration/mnab026
C. Ruhe
Forced migration research suggests that violence plays a central role in individuals’ decision to flee. However, research has not yet examined how individuals form migration decisions in violent contexts over time. I argue that forced migration decision making consists of anticipatory and reactive processes. Distinguishing these stages improves our understanding of seemingly contradictory evidence on the violence–displacement link. I posit that some individuals anticipate security risks based on personal characteristics such as affiliations with specific identity groups and based on previous experiences. Consequently, they consider leaving due to security concerns relatively early and are likely to flee in anticipation of violence. Others will only react to direct consequences of political conflict, but leave quickly when they experience violence regardless of previous intentions. To evaluate this argument empirically, I analyze an original panel dataset among the adult population of Nairobi and Mombasa which tracks individual migration considerations and actual displacement during the violent 2017 Kenyan elections over time. The longitudinal design disaggregates migration decision making and studies when and for which reasons people consider leaving as well as when individuals implement their plans to leave their homes. The results underscore the theoretical argument: Some individuals react quickly to changing events and start to consider leaving their homes. Moreover, these considerations translate into action: individuals who report security-related migration intentions are much more likely to flee. Regardless of the previous migration plans, however, a second group of individuals flees once they personally experience violence. The decision logic mirrors two-step models of non-conflict migration decision making.
强迫移民研究表明,暴力在个人决定逃离的过程中起着核心作用。然而,研究尚未考察个人如何在暴力环境中长期形成移民决定。我认为,强迫移民的决策包括预期和反应过程。区分这些阶段有助于我们理解关于暴力与流离失所之间联系的看似矛盾的证据。我认为,有些人根据个人特征(如与特定身份团体的关系)和以前的经验来预测安全风险。因此,出于安全考虑,他们考虑相对较早地离开,并可能因预期暴力而逃离。另一些人只会对政治冲突的直接后果作出反应,但当他们经历暴力时,不管之前的意图如何,他们都会迅速离开。为了从经验上评估这一论点,我分析了内罗毕和蒙巴萨成年人口的原始面板数据集,该数据集跟踪了2017年肯尼亚暴力选举期间的个人移民考虑和实际流离失所情况。纵向设计分解了迁移决策,并研究了人们何时以及出于何种原因考虑离开,以及个人何时实施离开家园的计划。研究结果强调了理论上的论点:一些人对变化的事件反应迅速,开始考虑离开家。此外,这些考虑转化为行动:报告与安全相关的迁移意图的个人更有可能逃离。然而,不管之前的移民计划如何,第二组人一旦亲身经历暴力就会逃离。决策逻辑反映了非冲突迁移决策的两步模型。
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引用次数: 2
Migration and development in Ethiopia: Exploring the mechanisms behind an emerging mobility transition 埃塞俄比亚的移民与发展:探索新出现的流动性转型背后的机制
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-09-25 DOI: 10.1093/migration/mnab036
K. Schewel, L. Asmamaw
This article examines the impact of Ethiopia’s historical development on the nature, volume, and direction of internal and international migration. We describe three important trends associated with an emerging ‘mobility transition’: the sedentarization of nomadic and semi-nomadic populations; the urbanization of internal migration trajectories; and the diversification of international migration. Within these overarching trends, we discuss periods of political conflict, resettlement, and famine that led to significant internal and international displacement. We then explore the drivers of these mobility shifts, evaluating the relative influence of various political, economic, cultural, and technological developments on migration patterns over time. Our analyses distinguish between the deep drivers of an emerging mobility transition (e.g. nation-state formation, rising educational attainment, infrastructure development, and industrialization) and the drivers of displacement (e.g. political conflict or resettlement programs) that can suddenly affect the movements of large population segments. This detailed case study contributes to a growing body of research on the ‘mobility transition’ by revealing how a society’s entire mobility complex changes—not only levels of international migration—as the social transformations associated with modern-day development proceed.
本文考察了埃塞俄比亚的历史发展对国内和国际移民的性质、数量和方向的影响。我们描述了与新兴的“流动性转型”相关的三个重要趋势:游牧和半游牧人口的定居化;国内移徙轨迹的城市化;以及国际移民的多样化。在这些总体趋势中,我们讨论了导致大量国内和国际流离失所的政治冲突、重新安置和饥荒时期。然后,我们探讨这些流动性转变的驱动因素,评估各种政治、经济、文化和技术发展对迁移模式的相对影响。我们的分析区分了新兴流动转型的深层驱动因素(如民族国家的形成、教育程度的提高、基础设施的发展和工业化)和流离失所的驱动因素(如政治冲突或重新安置计划),这些驱动因素可能会突然影响大量人口的流动。这个详细的案例研究揭示了随着与现代发展相关的社会转型的进行,一个社会的整个流动性是如何变化的,而不仅仅是国际移民的水平,从而为越来越多的关于“流动性转型”的研究做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 5
Identity or interests? Religious conservatives’ attitudes toward Syrian refugees in Turkey 身份还是兴趣?宗教保守派对土耳其叙利亚难民的态度
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-09-16 DOI: 10.1093/migration/mnab039
Kerem Morgül, Osman Savaşkan
The literature on religion and migration attitudes shows that religious concerns may play a significant role in motivating anti-migrant sentiments. Most of these studies, however, focus on Western countries, where religious beliefs and symbols have been utilized to amplify the cultural differences between natives and newcomers. In this article, we contribute to this scholarship by examining religious conservatives’ attitudes toward Syrian refugees in Turkey, a Muslim-majority country where political elites have employed religiously informed narratives to mitigate hostility toward migrants. To do so, we use a sequential mixed methods design, whereby nine focus group discussions conducted with religious conservatives in Istanbul in November 2019 were complemented by an original survey of Istanbul residents fielded in July–August 2020. Our results indicate that religious motives have a bias-reducing effect on conservative Sunni Muslims’ attitudes toward Syrian refugees; however, such motives are not powerful enough to overcome personal economic concerns. More broadly, the results suggest that researchers should be cautious about generalizing findings from Western societies to non-Western contexts and pay greater attention to the ways in which cultural and economic factors may interact in shaping natives’ migration preferences.
关于宗教和移民态度的文献表明,宗教关切可能在激发反移民情绪方面发挥重要作用。然而,这些研究大多集中在西方国家,那里的宗教信仰和象征被用来放大本地人和新来者之间的文化差异。在这篇文章中,我们通过研究宗教保守派对土耳其叙利亚难民的态度,为这项研究做出了贡献。土耳其是一个穆斯林占多数的国家,政治精英采用宗教知情的叙事来减轻对移民的敌意。为此,我们使用了顺序混合方法设计,2019年11月在伊斯坦布尔与宗教保守派进行的九次焦点小组讨论得到了2020年7-8月对伊斯坦布尔居民进行的原始调查的补充。我们的研究结果表明,宗教动机对保守的逊尼派穆斯林对叙利亚难民的态度具有减少偏见的作用;然而,这样的动机还不足以克服个人的经济担忧。更广泛地说,研究结果表明,研究人员应该谨慎地将西方社会的研究结果推广到非西方环境中,并更多地关注文化和经济因素在塑造当地人的移民偏好方面可能相互作用的方式。
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引用次数: 7
The European Union Is Killing Migrants 欧盟正在杀害移民
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.1093/migration/mnab028
Nandita Sharma
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引用次数: 0
Rethinking Christianity in the Migration Process 移民过程中的基督教反思
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-09-11 DOI: 10.1093/migration/mnab038
A. Drigo
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引用次数: 0
Caravana al Norte: La larga caminata de Misael//Caravan to the North: Misael’s Long Walk. By Jorge Argueta 北大篷车:米塞尔的长途跋涉//北大篷车:米塞尔的长途跋涉。豪尔赫·阿吉塔
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-08-26 DOI: 10.1093/migration/mnab013
A. García
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引用次数: 1
L’immigrazione spiegata ai bambini. Il viaggio di Amal 向孩子们解释移民。阿玛尔的旅程
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-08-26 DOI: 10.1093/MIGRATION/MNAB008
Marta Occhipinti
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引用次数: 1
Was it all worth it? The consequences of parental migration decisions for the life satisfaction of their descendants 这一切值得吗?父母迁移对其后代生活满意度的影响
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-08-17 DOI: 10.1093/migration/mnab031
Randy Stache, Antje Röder
Does migration pay off for subsequent generations? This article applies a counterfactual logic (‘what if the parents had not migrated?’) to compare the life satisfaction of descendants of Turkish guest workers in Western Europe and return migrants with that of Turks without a migration history in the family. Using data from the 2000 Families Study, we test a theoretical model that aims to explain differences along three dimensions: personal resources, social position, and normative settings. Results show that only permanent migration was successful in terms of higher life satisfaction for descendants, as offspring of return migrants do not differ from those without a migration history in the family. The higher life satisfaction of subsequent generations in Europe is largely due to access to higher resources obtained through migration, and persists despite barriers such as a lower relative socioeconomic position and experiences of discrimination. While religiosity appears to only play a minor role in explaining differences, there is evidence that descendants whose lifestyle deviates from the normative expectations of the country-of-origin benefit in particular from the migration of their parents.
移民对后代有好处吗?这篇文章运用了一个反事实的逻辑(“如果父母没有移民会怎样?”)来比较在西欧的土耳其客工和返回移民的后代与家庭中没有移民历史的土耳其人的生活满意度。利用2000年家庭研究的数据,我们测试了一个理论模型,该模型旨在从三个方面解释差异:个人资源、社会地位和规范设置。研究结果表明,只有永久移民的后代生活满意度更高,因为返回移民的后代与家庭中没有移民历史的后代没有区别。欧洲后代较高的生活满意度主要是由于通过移民获得了更高的资源,尽管存在诸如相对较低的社会经济地位和歧视经历等障碍,但这种满意度仍然存在。虽然宗教信仰在解释差异方面似乎只起了很小的作用,但有证据表明,生活方式偏离原籍国规范期望的后代尤其受益于其父母的移民。
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引用次数: 0
Towards a psychoanalytic migration studies: A son, a brother, a father, an American, and his house in a Cameroonian village 走向精神分析移民研究:一个儿子、一个兄弟、一个父亲、一个美国人和他在喀麦隆村庄的房子
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-07-23 DOI: 10.1093/MIGRATION/MNAB027
B. Page
Around the world, migrants are building houses in their countries-of-origin. For the women and men who create them, these houses are unambiguously significant. Yet, in academic migration studies, they are often seen as peripheral—interesting rather than important. This article follows recent work that aims to show why these houses really do matter. These houses are where migrants can seek to process the trauma of the disconnection that is inherent in migration and are how they repress the anxieties that arise from transnationalism. Migrants’ emotions are externalised onto the house. Based on ethnographic fieldwork in Cameroon between 2013 and 2018, this article develops a case study about one transnational migrant, his family, and his house. It uses the example to develop two arguments: first that these houses sit within transnational networks, but the networks are subject-centred so a theory of the subject is needed to analyse them. Secondly, that human subjects make a deal when they exchange infantile egocentrism for collective inter-subjectivity, which is similar to the deal made between transnational migrants and their ancestral home when they receive permission to leave in exchange for continuing to connect—a link that is materialised in the house. Both these arguments combine to support an underlying claim that migration studies in general, and studies of migrant housing in particular would benefit from building further on existing work that draws on psychoanalytical approaches.
在世界各地,移民正在他们的原籍国建造房屋。对于建造它们的男男女女来说,这些房子无疑意义重大。然而,在学术移民研究中,他们经常被看作是次要的——有趣而不是重要。这篇文章遵循最近的研究,旨在说明为什么这些房子真的很重要。这些房子是移民可以寻求处理移民固有的与外界脱节的创伤的地方,也是他们压抑跨国主义产生的焦虑的地方。移民的情绪被外化到房子上。本文基于2013年至2018年在喀麦隆进行的民族志田野调查,对一名跨国移民、他的家庭和他的房子进行了案例研究。它利用这个例子提出了两个论点:首先,这些房屋位于跨国网络中,但这些网络是以学科为中心的,因此需要一种学科理论来分析它们。其次,当人类主体用幼稚的自我中心主义交换集体的主体间性时,他们达成了一项交易,这类似于跨国移民和他们祖先的家园之间达成的交易,当他们获准离开时,他们会继续联系——一种在房子里具体化的联系。这两个论点结合起来支持一个潜在的主张,即一般的移民研究,特别是移民住房研究,将受益于利用精神分析方法进一步建立现有的工作。
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引用次数: 1
Chameleon brokers: A translocal take on migration industries in the Thai-Swedish wild berry business 变色龙经纪人:泰国-瑞典野生浆果生意中的跨国移民产业
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-07-15 DOI: 10.1093/MIGRATION/MNAB030
Peter van Eerbeek, Charlotta Hedberg
Migrant brokers constitute a substantial node in the industries that underpin contemporary global migration processes, including seasonal labour migrants in agri-food businesses. This article adds a translocal perspective to the role of migrant brokers, while emphasising the multi-sited embeddedness of brokers in sending and receiving countries, and their role in sustaining transnational migration flows. The example of the Swedish wild berry industry shows how two groups of translocal brokers operate in multi-sited space, first, Thai women brokers residing in rural Sweden, and second, local brokers, residing in rural Thailand. This article emphasises how translocal brokers are giving migration industries access to multi-sited embeddedness, both at the site of recruitment in Thai villages and at the site of work in Sweden. The translocal embeddedness is noticed in how moral economies and trust are at play in recruitment processes, and how moral economies are then transferred across space to the site of work. Also, it accentuates how translocal brokers are main subjects, in how their biographical histories are creating translocal relations across space. Lastly, we show how spatial divisions of labour are creating social hierarchies among workers, where the brokers themselves incorporate shifting, ‘chameleon’ roles in multi-sited space. The analysis brings the moral complexity of brokers to the surface, while showing how the social relations of their ‘moral economies’ are commodified within profit-seeking migration industries.
移民经纪人是支撑当代全球移民进程的行业中的一个重要节点,包括农业食品企业的季节性劳动力移民。本文为移民经纪人的角色增加了一个跨地方的视角,同时强调经纪人在输出国和接受国的多地点嵌入性,以及他们在维持跨国移民流动方面的作用。瑞典野生浆果行业的例子显示了两组跨地区经纪人如何在多站点空间中运作,第一组是居住在瑞典农村的泰国女性经纪人,第二组是居住在泰国农村的当地经纪人。这篇文章强调了跨国经纪人是如何让移民行业获得多地点的嵌入性的,无论是在泰国村庄的招聘地点还是在瑞典的工作地点。在道德经济和信任如何在招聘过程中发挥作用,以及道德经济如何跨空间转移到工作场所时,可以注意到跨区域嵌入性。此外,它强调了跨地域经纪人是如何成为主要主题的,他们的传记历史如何在空间上创造跨地域关系。最后,我们展示了空间分工如何在工人之间创造社会等级,其中经纪人自己在多地点空间中融入了变化的“变色龙”角色。该分析将经纪人的道德复杂性带到了表面,同时展示了他们的“道德经济”的社会关系如何在追求利润的移民行业中被商品化。
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引用次数: 3
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Migration Studies
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