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Enhancing customer repurchase prediction: Integrating classification algorithms with RFM analysis for precision and actionable insights 增强客户再购买预测:将分类算法与RFM分析集成在一起,以获得精度和可操作的见解
IF 1.7 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iimb.2025.100574
Rakesh Verma , Devesh Rathor , Saurabh Kumar , Mayank Mishra , Mayank Baranwal
Accurate prediction of customer repurchase behaviour is vital for businesses aiming to boost customer retention. This study introduces an advanced approach that merges classification algorithms with RFM analysis, a widely adopted framework in customer relationship management. The proposed models utilise RFM scores as input features to categorise customers into likely or unlikely repurchasers. The developed models demonstrate strong accuracy (74%) and performance on an online UK retail store dataset, showcasing their efficacy in identifying customers likely to make future purchases. Furthermore, a feature importance analysis identifies key RFM dimensions influencing repurchase behaviour, empowering businesses to tailor targeted marketing strategies.
准确预测客户的再购买行为对于企业提高客户留存率至关重要。本研究引入一种先进的方法,将分类算法与RFM分析相结合,RFM分析是客户关系管理中广泛采用的框架。所提出的模型利用RFM分数作为输入特征,将客户分为可能的或不可能的再购买者。开发的模型在英国在线零售商店数据集上显示出很高的准确性(74%)和性能,展示了它们在识别未来可能购买的客户方面的功效。此外,特征重要性分析确定了影响再购买行为的关键RFM维度,使企业能够定制有针对性的营销策略。
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引用次数: 0
Implication of global financial cycle on emerging market economies: Evidence from India 全球金融周期对新兴市场经济体的影响:来自印度的证据
IF 1.7 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iimb.2025.100575
Vrinda Gupta , Amlendu Dubey
In this paper, we examine how the global financial cycle is translated into domestic financial cycle across different financial assets comprising equity prices, credit, and leverage for India. Using quarterly data from 1990 to 2021, we find that ‘risk-taking channel’ transfers global financial cycle into domestic economy which manifests itself through equity prices, credit, and leverage; however, Indian housing cycle seems resilient to the global housing cycle. In this context, macroprudential policies might be employed to limit the risk-taking channel and hence reduce palpability of domestic economy to the global financial cycle.
在本文中,我们研究了全球金融周期如何通过不同的金融资产(包括股票价格、信贷和杠杆)转化为印度的国内金融周期。利用1990 - 2021年的季度数据,我们发现“风险承担渠道”将全球金融周期转移到国内经济,并通过股票价格、信贷和杠杆表现出来;然而,印度房地产周期似乎对全球房地产周期具有弹性。在这种情况下,可以采用宏观审慎政策来限制风险承担渠道,从而降低国内经济对全球金融周期的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Does salary disparity affect team performance in cricket? Evidence from the Indian Premier League 工资差距会影响板球球队的表现吗?证据来自印度超级联赛
IF 1.7 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iimb.2025.100568
Deepak Srivastav , Praveen Puram , Rudra Sensarma , Anand Gurumurthy
We examine salary disparity and team performance using data from 11 seasons of the Indian Premier League (IPL) between 2008 and 2019. Research on corporate pay structures and professional team sports organisations has examined salary disparity and its ramifications, but the case of cricket is less explored, particularly in relation to team performance. We study the world’s largest cricket league, viz. IPL, which imposes hard budget caps making pay disparities more likely. We find evidence for equity pay theory according to which salary disparity cripples group harmony and team performance by creating a perception of inequality and jealousy among employees.
我们使用2008年至2019年印度超级联赛(IPL) 11个赛季的数据来研究工资差距和球队表现。对企业薪酬结构和专业团队体育组织的研究考察了薪酬差距及其后果,但对板球的研究较少,尤其是与球队表现的关系。我们研究了世界上最大的板球联赛,即印度板球超级联赛(IPL),它施加了严格的预算上限,使薪酬差距更有可能出现。我们发现了公平薪酬理论的证据,根据该理论,薪酬差距会在员工中产生不平等和嫉妒的感觉,从而削弱团队和谐和团队绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating office politics: How do self-concept and upward voice influence women's workplace well-being? 驾驭办公室政治:自我概念和向上的声音如何影响女性的职场幸福感
IF 1.7 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iimb.2024.04.001
Apoorva Goel , Nabila Khan , Lata Dyaram
Using the Job Demands-Resources theory, this study examines how organisational politics and self-concept affect women employees’ voice and workplace well-being (WWB). It employs an explanatory-sequential design, with study 1 (quantitative research, n = 463) using experimental vignettes and scale measures to test the hypotheses, followed by study 2 (qualitative research, n = 12) using in-depth interviews to explain the quantitative results. It was found that women's perceptions of organisational politics debilitated their WWB mediated by their voices. Furthermore, the “relational” self-concept moderated the mediated association, which reduced the negative impact. The study goes beyond the typical conception of work-family balance to provide strategies for improving women's work experiences.
运用工作需求-资源理论,本研究探讨了组织政治和自我概念如何影响女性员工的声音和工作场所幸福感。它采用解释顺序设计,研究1(定量研究,n = 463)使用实验小片段和量表测量来检验假设,其次是研究2(定性研究,n = 12)使用深度访谈来解释定量结果。研究发现,女性对组织政治的认知削弱了她们通过声音介导的WWB。此外,“关系型”自我概念调节了中介关联,降低了负向影响。这项研究超越了工作与家庭平衡的典型概念,为改善女性的工作体验提供了策略。
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引用次数: 0
A set of linearised partially-parallel splitting methods for separable convex programs 可分离凸程序的线性化部分并行分割方法集
IF 1.7 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iimb.2024.03.001
Jitamitra Desai , Kai Wang
The proximal partially-parallel splitting method (PPSM), originally proposed in Wang, Desai, and He (2017), is a hybrid mechanism that inherits the nice properties of both Gauss-Seidel and Jacobian substitution procedures for solving the multiple-block convex minimisation problem, whose objective function is the sum of m individual (separable) functions without any shared variables, subject to a linear coupling constraint. In this paper, we extend this work and present some linearised versions of the PPSM, which fully utilise the separable structure and result in subproblems that either have closed-form solutions or are relatively easy to solve as compared to their original nonlinear versions. Global convergence of these linearised methods under the projection contraction algorithmic framework is proven, and furthermore, detailed remarks that serve to clarify the interconnections between these linearised variants are highlighted. Finally, the worst-case O(1/t) convergence rate of these methods under ergodic conditions is also established.
近似部分并行分割法(PPSM)最初由 Wang 等人(2017)提出,它是一种混合机制,继承了高斯-赛德尔程序和雅各布替代程序的优良特性,用于求解多块凸最小化问题,该问题的目标函数是没有任何共享变量的单个(可分离)函数之和,受线性耦合约束。在本文中,我们对这一工作进行了扩展,提出了一些 PPSM,这些方法充分利用了可分离结构,所产生的子问题要么具有闭式解,要么与其原始非线性版本相比相对容易求解。这些线性化方法在投影收缩算法框架下的全局收敛性得到了证明,此外,还强调了有助于澄清这些线性化变体之间相互联系的详细说明。最后,还确定了这些方法在遍历条件下的最坏收敛率。
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引用次数: 0
Targeting audience personas with programmatic geographic segments using unsupervised methods 使用无监督的方法,通过程序化的地理细分来定位受众角色
IF 1.7 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iimb.2025.100549
Viraj Noorithaya
The digital advertising industry, where clients advertise to existing and potential customers through digital channels, is going through a rapid transformation. This is necessitated by evolving privacy laws such as General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA), heading towards a cookie-less future by decreasing reliance on Personally identifiable information (PII). While approaches like Data clean rooms, Federated learning have started gaining prominence, the current AdTech space is highly fragmented regarding channels, standards, platforms, inventory, cookieless targeting approaches, and compatibility.
For marketers, it is crucial to have generalized and interoperable but privacy-compliant approaches to reach their audience. While it is safer not to limit to a specific advertising stack, it must not come at a substantial performance cost. When a brand starts an advertising campaign, they usually have objectives and a target audience in mind. While their objectives are aligned with business goals and performance metrics, the desired audience personas are defined by either market research or new/ historically well-performing consumer profiles suited to their products and services. This paper presents ways to convert multi-characteristic personas into geographic targeting without relying on cookie-based data. These geographic segments have broad compatibility across marketing platforms.
We sourced data from 5 privacy-compliant datasets containing ∼9000 variables aggregated at Forward Sortation Area (FSA) level by a leading Canadian data provider. These variables span a wide range of characteristics such as demographic, econometric, lifestyle and media choices, brand affinities, purchasing behaviors, and spending. The persona-related variables are optionally indexed, after which dimensionality reduction techniques, such as Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection (UMAP), were applied. Unsupervised learning methods, such as KMeans, KMeans++ and Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs), were then used to build an optimal number of FSA clusters. These clusters were then analyzed to identify those beneficial to targeting, which helps reduce the number of FSAs to target. The final output for marketing consumption is in the form of FSA segments for targeting aligned with our desired profiles. We analyze campaign metrics against different combinations of dimensional reduction and clustering techniques to assess what works well for advertising.
客户通过数字渠道向现有和潜在客户投放广告的数字广告行业正在经历快速转型。《通用数据保护条例》(GDPR)和《加州消费者隐私法》(CCPA)等不断发展的隐私法要求这样做,通过减少对个人身份信息(PII)的依赖,走向无cookie的未来。虽然数据洁净室、联邦学习等方法已经开始崭露头角,但目前的广告技术领域在渠道、标准、平台、库存、无cookie定位方法和兼容性方面高度分散。对于营销人员来说,拥有通用的、可互操作的、但又符合隐私的方法来接触他们的受众是至关重要的。虽然不限制特定的广告堆栈更安全,但它一定不能以大量的性能成本为代价。当一个品牌开始广告活动时,他们通常有目标和目标受众。虽然他们的目标与业务目标和绩效指标一致,但期望的受众角色是由市场研究或适合其产品和服务的新/历史上表现良好的消费者形象定义的。本文提出了在不依赖基于cookie的数据的情况下将多特征人物角色转换为地理定位的方法。这些地理区域在营销平台之间具有广泛的兼容性。我们从5个符合隐私标准的数据集中获取数据,这些数据集包含约9000个变量,由一家领先的加拿大数据提供商在前向分类区(FSA)级别汇总。这些变量涵盖了广泛的特征,如人口统计学、计量经济学、生活方式和媒体选择、品牌亲和力、购买行为和支出。对人物相关变量进行可选索引,然后应用主成分分析(PCA)和均匀流形逼近与投影(UMAP)等降维技术。然后使用KMeans、kmeans++和高斯混合模型(GMMs)等无监督学习方法来构建最优数量的FSA聚类。然后对这些簇进行分析,以确定那些有利于靶向的簇,这有助于减少要靶向的fsa的数量。营销消费的最终输出是与我们期望的配置文件一致的FSA细分目标的形式。我们根据不同的降维和聚类技术组合来分析活动指标,以评估哪些对广告有效。
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引用次数: 0
War-driven attention and cryptocurrency returns: The case of the Russia–Ukraine war 战争引发的关注和加密货币回报:俄乌战争案例
IF 1.7 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iimb.2025.100552
Arushi Verma, Madhumita Chakraborty
The paper investigates how attention to the Russia-Ukraine war affects cryptocurrency returns by creating a Google search volume index (GSVI) using Google trends keywords. It finds that crypto returns react positively to attention to war and negatively to the volatility index (VIX), demonstrating that investor fear during times of crisis may increase interest in cryptocurrencies. The research provides specific insights into crypto markets that can aid portfolio managers and regulators. It also adds to the limited studies on the impact of war on cryptocurrency returns.
本文通过使用谷歌趋势关键字创建谷歌搜索量指数(GSVI),研究了对俄罗斯-乌克兰战争的关注如何影响加密货币的回报。研究发现,加密货币的回报对战争的关注有积极的反应,对波动率指数(VIX)有消极的反应,这表明投资者在危机时期的恐惧可能会增加对加密货币的兴趣。该研究提供了对加密市场的具体见解,可以帮助投资组合经理和监管机构。这也增加了关于战争对加密货币回报影响的有限研究。
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引用次数: 0
Acknowledgement to Reviewers 审稿人致谢
IF 1.7 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/S0970-3896(25)00017-5
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引用次数: 0
An innovative modelling framework for freight consolidation in transportation planning 运输规划中货运整合的创新建模框架
IF 1.7 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iimb.2025.100550
Manoj Kumar , Anoop K. P.
This paper addresses freight consolidation in rail transportation planning. Multiple demand destinations are served in a single trip to utilise the volume discount on freight rate. An efficient mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) based modelling framework is proposed to optimally allocate rail wagons to a given set of destinations considering the shipment options offered by Indian Railways. Twelve problem instances are derived using real data from an Indian food grain organisation and are solved to optimum using the CPLEX solver in quick time. The results indicate that multi-point orders can reduce the total transportation cost and ease the handling of shipments at terminals.
本文讨论了铁路运输规划中的货物集运问题。在一次行程中服务多个需求目的地,以利用运费的批量折扣。提出了一种基于混合整数线性规划(MILP)的高效建模框架,以考虑印度铁路提供的运输选项,将铁路货车最优地分配到给定的一组目的地。利用印度某粮食组织的实际数据导出了12个问题实例,并利用CPLEX求解器快速求解出最优解。结果表明,多点订单可以降低总运输成本,并简化终端的货物处理。
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引用次数: 0
Organisational healing in VUCA times: A theoretical refinement VUCA时代的组织愈合:一种理论改进
IF 1.7 Q3 MANAGEMENT Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iimb.2025.100551
Aditya Agrawal , Ashish Pandey , Payal Kumar
Organisational healing (OH), as an existing theoretical concept developed by Powley et al., refers to the process of repairing and restoring the social relationships of an organisation after any external trauma. In this study, we aim to expand the nature and application of OH by exploring additional areas of applicability. We examine the critical assumptions in the existing conceptualisation of OH and propose modifications and additions, which help make OH a more robust construct. Finally, we identify the theoretical and managerial implications of this study and discuss future research implications.
组织愈合(organizational healing, OH)是Powley等人提出的一个已有的理论概念,是指组织在遭受外部创伤后修复和恢复其社会关系的过程。在本研究中,我们的目标是通过探索更多的适用性领域来扩展OH的性质和应用。我们研究了现有OH概念化中的关键假设,并提出了修改和补充,这有助于使OH成为一个更强大的结构。最后,我们确定了本研究的理论和管理意义,并讨论了未来的研究意义。
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引用次数: 0
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IIMB Management Review
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