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A study on the journey to homicide and offender characteristics in Spain 西班牙杀人之路与罪犯特征研究
IF 1 4区 心理学 Q3 Psychology Pub Date : 2021-01-18 DOI: 10.1002/jip.1568
Jorge Santos-Hermoso, David Villalba-García, Miguel Camacho-Collados, Ricardo Tejeiro, José L. González-Álvarez

In this study, the displacement of 687 murderers in Spain (2010–2012) is analysed. The Euclidean distance between the offender's residence and the furthest scene related to the event has been calculated. The analyses showed that the murderers registered a displacement of 0.5 km, with 255 cases of non-traveller homicide (37.1%). The bivariate analysis found that men, young and foreign, with a criminal record and unrelated to the victim, registered a large distance, as well as multi-offender homicides and were related to criminal activities. Traveller homicide registered a displacement of 4.3 km, with adults unrelated to the victim travelling the farthest. Multi-offender and crime-related homicides continued to show the largest distance. Multivariate analyses showed that if the offender is foreign, has no previous relationship with the victim and there are several offenders involved, the distance will be larger. When only traveller homicides were analysed, only the type of relationship showed significant differences.

在这项研究中,分析了西班牙687名杀人犯(2010-2012)的流离失所。计算出犯罪者住所与与事件相关的最远现场之间的欧几里得距离。分析表明,凶手登记的位移为0.5公里,有255起非旅行者杀人案件(37.1%)。双变量分析发现,有犯罪记录但与受害者无关的男性,年轻和外国,登记的距离大,以及多罪犯杀人并与犯罪活动有关。旅行者杀人案记录了4.3公里的流离失所,与受害者无关的成年人走得最远。多重罪犯和与犯罪有关的杀人案继续显示出最大的差距。多变量分析表明,如果犯罪者是外国人,与受害者没有任何关系,并且涉及多个犯罪者,则距离会更大。当只分析旅行者杀人案时,只有关系类型显示出显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Applying the criminal narrative experience framework to missing children 犯罪叙事经验框架在失踪儿童中的应用
IF 1 4区 心理学 Q3 Psychology Pub Date : 2020-11-06 DOI: 10.1002/jip.1567
Daniel Hunt

Over 320,000 missing persons are estimated to go missing annually in United Kingdom due to a variety of intentional and unintentional factors. This article aims to investigate whether the criminal narrative experience framework can be applied to missing persons to acquire a deeper insight into the psychological differences between missing children. Sixty-one previously missing persons completed a missing experience survey, narrative roles questionnaire, and emotions questionnaire. Data were content analysed and subjected to a non-metric, multi-dimensional scaling procedure in the form of smallest space analysis. The results identified four distinct behavioural themes as follows: depressed throwaway victim, distressed pushaway revenger, calm runaway professional and elated fallaway hero. Following a stringent criterion, 88.50% of the sample could be differentiated into one dominant behavioural theme with the remaining 11.50% identified as a hybrid theme. Due to the exploratory nature of the study, additional exploration of the applicability of the framework is required.

据估计,由于各种有意和无意的因素,英国每年有32万多名失踪人员失踪。本文旨在探讨犯罪叙事经验框架是否可以适用于失踪人口,从而更深入地了解失踪儿童的心理差异。六十一之前失踪人员完成了失踪的经验调查,问卷叙事角色问卷和情绪。数据进行内容分析,并以最小空间分析的形式进行非度量的多维尺度程序。结果确定了四种不同的行为主题:沮丧的被抛弃的受害者,痛苦的被抛弃的复仇者,冷静的逃跑的专业人员和兴高采烈的逃跑的英雄。根据严格的标准,88.50%的样本可以区分为一个主要的行为主题,其余11.50%被确定为混合主题。由于研究的探索性,需要对框架的适用性进行额外的探索。
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引用次数: 0
The application of Newton and Swoope's geographical profile to serial killers 牛顿和斯沃普的地理侧写在连环杀手身上的应用
IF 1 4区 心理学 Q3 Psychology Pub Date : 2020-10-18 DOI: 10.1002/jip.1566
Daniel Salafranca Barreda

Quite possibly, the first application of geographic analysis to identify and characterise the spatial behaviour of the offender concerning the crime scene was developed in 1980 by Milton Newton. Although previous studies have used Newton and Swoope's geoforensic process (Kent, 2009, Essays on the integration of anisotropic landscapes within contemporary geographic profiling models [LSU doctoral dissertations]; Leitner et al., 2007, Police Practice and Research, 8[4], 359–370) to verify the effectiveness of the algorithm, there are, to our knowledge, no investigations that have validated the procedure with cases of serial murderers. The main objective of the study is to analyse a sample of 41 serial killers with a minimum number of six crimes and to evaluate the method proposed by Newton (1988, Geographical discovery of the residence of an unknown dispersing localized serial murder). The results confirm only Newton's first assumption in which after the fifth crime in the series, the estimated ‘haven’ is close to the actual ‘haven’, ruling out that the search area becomes progressively smaller and that the ‘haven’ is located in the search area.

很有可能,第一次应用地理分析来识别和描述罪犯在犯罪现场的空间行为是在1980年由米尔顿·牛顿开发的。尽管之前的研究使用了Newton和Swoope的地理法医过程(Kent, 2009, Essays on the integration of anisotropic landscapes within contemporary geographical profiling models [LSU博士论文];Leitner et al., 2007, Police Practice and Research, 8[4], 359-370)来验证该算法的有效性,据我们所知,没有调查已经在连环杀人犯的案件中验证了该程序。本研究的主要目的是分析41名连环杀手的样本,其中至少有6起犯罪,并评估牛顿提出的方法(1988年,地理上发现了一个未知的分散的局部连环谋杀案的住所)。结果只证实了牛顿的第一个假设,即在系列中的第五起犯罪之后,估计的“避风港”接近实际的“避风港”,排除了搜索区域逐渐变小以及“避风港”位于搜索区域的可能性。
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引用次数: 4
A critical analysis of the Model Statement literature: Should this tool be used in practice? 对模型陈述文献的批判性分析:该工具应在实践中使用吗?
IF 1 4区 心理学 Q3 Psychology Pub Date : 2020-10-14 DOI: 10.1002/jip.1563
Cody Normitta Porter, Rachel Taylor, Giacomo Salvanelli

Investigators need to elicit detailed statements from interviewees to find potential leads, whilst simultaneously judging if a statement is genuine or fabricated. Researchers have proposed that the Model Statement (MS) can both (a) increase information elicitation from interviewees and (b) amplify the verbal differences between liars and truth tellers, thereby enhancing lie-detection accuracy. Based upon a critical analysis of the MS literature, we argue that this tool is not currently ready for practical usage, as its utility has not been fully established. We highlight a diverse range of existing MS scripts, and a greater diversity in the dependent measures examined in conjunction with this tool. More robust replications of these procedures are needed. We also highlight why some measures of verbal content may not be suitable as outcome measures and suggest that new research could use the well-established reality monitoring criteria to allow for standardisation across studies.

调查人员需要从受访者那里引出详细的陈述,以找到潜在的线索,同时判断陈述是真实的还是捏造的。研究人员提出,模型陈述(MS)可以(a)增加从受访者那里获得的信息,(b)放大说谎者和诚实者之间的语言差异,从而提高测谎的准确性。基于对MS文献的批判性分析,我们认为这个工具目前还没有准备好实际使用,因为它的效用还没有完全建立起来。我们强调了现有MS脚本的多样性,以及与此工具结合检查的依赖度量的更大多样性。需要对这些程序进行更可靠的复制。我们还强调了为什么一些口头内容的测量可能不适合作为结果测量,并建议新的研究可以使用成熟的现实监测标准来实现研究的标准化。
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引用次数: 2
Serial theft case linkage based on a two-step cumulative probability model 基于两步累积概率模型的连环盗窃案件联动
IF 1 4区 心理学 Q3 Psychology Pub Date : 2020-10-06 DOI: 10.1002/jip.1564
Ning Ding, Mingyuan Ma, Yiming Zhai

At present, serial theft case linkage remains at the stage of empiricism. In order to overcome this subjective arbitrariness, this study proposes using a ‘two-step cumulative probability model’ for investigation. In the first step, based on expert grading method, the opinions of 99 policemen were combined to quantify the serial theft case characteristics. In the second step, when a new case occurred, the characteristics of it were compared with the characteristics of each serial theft case, and the corresponding probabilities were added according to the calculations of the second step; when the accumulated points exceeded the threshold, we considered concatenating the new case with the corresponding serial cases. The results demonstrated that the average accuracy of the two-step cumulative probability model was 87.5% and that the average response rate of the irrelevant case (control group) was 12.3%. We concluded that the two-step cumulative probability model could assist in criminal investigations.

目前,连环盗窃案件的关联还停留在经验主义的阶段。为了克服这种主观随意性,本研究提出采用“两步累积概率模型”进行调查。第一步,在专家评分法的基础上,结合99名警察的意见对连环盗窃案件特征进行量化。在第二步中,当新案件发生时,将其特征与每个连环盗窃案件的特征进行比较,并根据第二步的计算结果添加相应的概率;当累积点超过阈值时,我们考虑将新病例与相应的序列病例串联起来。结果表明,两步累积概率模型的平均准确率为87.5%,不相关病例(对照组)的平均反应率为12.3%。我们的结论是,两步累积概率模型可以辅助刑事侦查。
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引用次数: 1
Dull versus creative liars—Who deceives better? Fantasy proneness and verifiability of genuine and fabricated accounts 愚蠢的骗子和有创造力的骗子——谁更会骗人?真实和虚构账目的幻想倾向和可验证性
IF 1 4区 心理学 Q3 Psychology Pub Date : 2020-10-06 DOI: 10.1002/jip.1565
Irena Boskovic, Ayla Ramakers, Ali Yunus Emre Akca

The Verifiability Approach (VA), a lie detection method, postulates that genuine statements contain more verifiable information, whereas fabricated reports include more non-verifiable details. We investigated whether participants low (n = 19), medium (n = 23) and high (n = 26) on fantasy proneness differ in the (non)verifiability of their genuine and fabricated accounts. The results showed that groups did not differ in terms of statements' (non)verifiability. Overall, fabricated accounts included more non-verifiable details, but did not differ in verifiable details from genuine stories. The fabricated accounts from each group were given to legal psychology experts (N = 13) who rated accounts' authenticity. Experts more often recognised false accounts from the high fantasy proneness group, hence, high fantasy prone deceivers might be easier to detect than people with lower fantasy engagement. Overall, our results show that the VA is not sensitive to fantasy proneness, however, that experts might be.

可验证性方法(VA)是一种测谎方法,它假设真实的陈述包含更多可验证的信息,而虚构的报告包含更多不可验证的细节。我们调查了幻想倾向低(n = 19)、中(n = 23)和高(n = 26)的参与者在真实和虚构账户的(非)可验证性方面是否存在差异。结果表明,各组在陈述的可验证性(非可验证性)方面没有差异。总的来说,编造的故事包含了更多无法证实的细节,但在可证实的细节上与真实故事没有区别。每组编造的账目被交给法律心理学专家(N = 13),他们对账目的真实性进行评估。专家们更容易识别出高幻想倾向组的虚假账户,因此,高幻想倾向组的骗子可能比低幻想倾向组的骗子更容易被发现。总的来说,我们的结果表明,VA对幻想倾向并不敏感,然而,专家们可能是敏感的。
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引用次数: 3
Deception detection in repeated interviews: The effects of immediate type of questioning on the delayed accounts 重复访谈中的欺骗侦测:即时型提问对延迟陈述的影响
IF 1 4区 心理学 Q3 Psychology Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1002/jip.1561
Aleksandras Izotovas, Aldert Vrij, Lorraine Hope, Leif A. Strömwall, Pär A. Granhag, Samantha Mann

In this study, we examined how different types of interviewing (eliciting more complete vs. less complete accounts) used in an interview conducted shortly after an event affected truth tellers' and liars' responses when they were interviewed again after a two-week delay. Participants (n = 80) were shown a mock intelligence operation video and told either the truth or lied about its contents in two interviews, immediately after watching the video, and after a two-week delay. In the immediate interview participants were instructed either to report everything they remembered, or asked spatial questions related to the event. In the delayed interview, all participants were asked to report everything. The differences between truth tellers and liars were slightly larger in the report everything than in the spatial questions condition. Results suggest that an immediate “report everything” instruction can aid to effectively discriminate between truthful and deceptive accounts.

在这项研究中,我们研究了在事件发生后不久进行的采访中使用的不同类型的采访(引出更完整和更不完整的叙述)如何影响真话者和说谎者在两周后再次接受采访时的反应。参与者(n = 80)观看了一段模拟的情报行动视频,并在观看视频后立即和两周后的两次采访中对视频内容说真话或撒谎。在即时采访中,参与者被要求要么报告他们记得的所有事情,要么询问与事件相关的空间问题。在延迟的面试中,所有的参与者都被要求报告一切。说实话者和说谎者在“报告一切”问题上的差异略大于在空间问题条件下的差异。结果表明,立即“报告一切”的指令有助于有效区分真实和虚假的账户。
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引用次数: 3
Behavioural themes in Spanish missing persons cases: An empirical typology 西班牙失踪人口案件中的行为主题:一种经验类型
IF 1 4区 心理学 Q3 Psychology Pub Date : 2020-09-27 DOI: 10.1002/jip.1562
Néstor García-Barceló, José Luis González Álvarez, Penny Woolnough, Louise Almond

The high number of missing person reports that occur globally each year highlights the need for research in this academically neglected field. This research focuses on establishing whether there are different scenarios or behavioural themes that consistently appear in missing person cases in Spain, which could assist the police investigation process. A representative sample of 341 missing person police reports was collated and up to 27 behaviours, which occur during the disappearance, have been codified, as well as circumstances surrounding the case. Through multidimensional scaling four behavioural themes have been identified: intentional-escape, intentional-dysfunctional, unintentional-accidental, and forced-criminal. These findings entail implications, both in terms of prevention and in the scope of police investigations. Specifically, this research is considered a key step in the development of: (a) a predictive risk assessment system for harmed or deceased outcomes, and (b) in-depth review of forced-criminal disappearances that concur with homicide.

每年全球发生的大量失踪人口报告突出了对这一学术上被忽视的领域进行研究的必要性。本研究的重点是确定在西班牙失踪人口案件中是否存在不同的场景或行为主题,这可以帮助警方调查过程。对341份失踪人员警察报告的代表性样本进行了整理,并编纂了失踪期间发生的多达27种行为以及有关案件的情况。通过多维尺度,确定了四种行为主题:故意逃避、故意功能失调、无意意外和被迫犯罪。这些调查结果对预防和警察调查范围都有影响。具体而言,这项研究被认为是开发以下方面的关键步骤:(a)对伤害或死亡结果的预测风险评估系统,以及(b)对与凶杀相一致的强迫犯罪失踪进行深入审查。
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引用次数: 4
A critical examination of Iacono and Ben-Shakhar's critique of Ginton's innovative technique for estimating polygraph CQT accuracy in real-life cases 对Iacono和Ben-Shakhar对Ginton在现实生活中估计测谎仪CQT准确性的创新技术的批评进行了批判性的审查
IF 1 4区 心理学 Q3 Psychology Pub Date : 2020-09-17 DOI: 10.1002/jip.1558
Avital Ginton

Given the inherent difficulties in validating the comparison question polygraph test (CQT) by using a wide range of the conventional two categories of studies—field and laboratory— (NRC - The polygraph and lie detection, 2003), the innovative method presented by Ginton (Psychology, Crime & Law, 2013, 19, pp. 577–594), has been considered to be a breakthrough (Raskin & Kircher, 2014, Validity of polygraph techniques and decision methods. p. 82). In their recent review of the current status of polygraph validity, Iacono and Ben-Shakhar (Law & Human Behavior, 2019, 43, pp. 86–98), dedicated a significant portion of their article to scrutinising that novel approach. They did applaud Ginton's innovation for the development of the new methods but criticised its outcomes to the point that nullified any contributions it might have had in dealing with the long-lasting controversy regarding the CQT validity. The present response to that critique examines their argumentations in dismissing Ginton's study point by point, indicating reliance on some speculations that had nothing to do with reality and a profound misunderstanding or misinterpreting of the data.

考虑到在验证比较问题测谎测试(CQT)的固有困难,通过使用广泛的传统两类研究-现场和实验室- (NRC -测谎仪和测谎,2003),金顿(心理学,犯罪&;Law, 2013, 19, pp. 577-594),被认为是一个突破(Raskin &Kircher, 2014,测谎技术和决策方法的有效性。p . 82)。Iacono和Ben-Shakhar (Law &《人类行为》,2019年,第43期,第86-98页),他们的文章用了很大一部分来仔细研究这种新方法。他们确实赞扬了金顿在发展新方法方面的创新,但批评了它的结果,以至于使它在处理关于CQT有效性的长期争议方面可能做出的任何贡献无效。目前对这一批评的回应检验了他们的论点,逐点驳斥了金顿的研究,表明他们依赖于一些与现实毫无关系的猜测,以及对数据的深刻误解或误解。
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引用次数: 2
Behavioural profiles and offender characteristics: Typology based on the Personality Assessment Inventory (PAI) in homicide cases 行为特征和罪犯特征:杀人案中基于人格评估量表(PAI)的类型分析
IF 1 4区 心理学 Q3 Psychology Pub Date : 2020-09-14 DOI: 10.1002/jip.1559
Jonghan Sea, Eric Beauregard, Donna Youngs

This study used cluster analysis in 126 homicide cases based on Personality Assessment Inventory (PAI; Morey, 1999). PAI was implemented by 126 homicides and then dichotomously coded for the presence or absence of cut-off PAI scale score in order to create criteria for analysis. These cases were input for the agglomerative hierarchical cluster using Ward's method as the clustering algorithm. The results of the analysis classified five clusters: “normal,” “antisocial,” “submissive-depressive,” “soma-anxiety” and “isolated.” The representative characteristics were explored and compared with five clusters. As a result, these five clusters significantly differed in various criminogenic variables, such as criminal record and imprisonment experience. But, other variables were not significantly discriminated.

本研究以人格评估量表(PAI)为基础,对126例杀人案进行聚类分析;莫雷,1999)。通过126起凶杀案实施PAI,然后对是否存在截止PAI量表得分进行二分类编码,以便创建分析标准。使用Ward方法作为聚类算法将这些案例输入到聚类层次聚类中。分析结果分为五类:“正常”、“反社会”、“顺从抑郁”、“躯体焦虑”和“孤立”。探讨了五个集群的代表性特征并进行了比较。因此,这五个集群在犯罪记录和监禁经历等各种犯罪因素上存在显著差异。而其他变量的差异不显著。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Journal of Investigative Psychology and Offender Profiling
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