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Vertical deformation before and after the 2022 Menyuan Ms6.9 earthquake and analysis of earthquake precursors 2022年门源6.9级地震前后垂直形变及前兆分析
4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geog.2023.03.005
Sixin Zhang, Peng Jia, Bowen Hou, Ming Hao

This study analyzed the vertical deformation before and after the 2022 Menyuan Ms6.9 earthquake in Qinghai Province, China, using leveling profiles across faults measured from Minle County in Gansu Province to Menyuan County in Qinghai Province. Our results suggest the following: (1) The amplitude of regional vertical differential motion near the Sunna-Qilian and Lenglongling faults within the Qilian Shan increased before the 2022 Menyuan earthquake. It was accompanied by the emergence of high gradient deformation zones. Deformation at the Tongziba cross-fault leveling site near the Sunan-Qilian fault was considerable. In contrast, deformation at the Daliang cross-fault leveling site near the stepover region (adjacent to the epicenter) between the Lenglongling and Tuolaishan faults was minor. After 2018, vertical deformation at the Tongziba site notably accelerated, while that at the Daliang site was insignificant. (2) After the 2022 Menyuan earthquake, 140–150 mm of subsidence deformation occurred near the Daliang site, while the Tongziba site did not experience significant deformation. (3) Vertical deformation before and after the 2022 Menyuan earthquake conforms with the elastic-rebound theory, and the evolution of pre-earthquake deformation was consistent with the strike-slip fault deformation pattern at different seismogenic stages, i.e., the relative motion near the locked fault in the late seismogenic stage gradually weakened. The characteristics of strain accumulation and release derived from the vertical deformation before and after the Menyuan MS6.9 earthquake help understand the deformation process of earthquake preparation and earthquake precursors.

利用从甘肃民乐县到青海门源县的断层测深剖面,分析了2022年青海门源6.9级地震前后的垂直形变。结果表明:(1)2022年门源地震前,祁连山内孙纳—祁连断裂和冷龙岭断裂附近区域垂直差动幅度增大。伴随着高梯度变形带的出现。苏南-祁连断裂带附近的桐子坝断裂带变形较大。而在冷龙岭和沱莱山断裂之间靠近震源的陡坡区(靠近震中)的大梁跨断层平地处,变形较小。2018年以后,铜子坝站点的垂直变形明显加速,而大梁站点的垂直变形不明显。(2) 2022年门源地震后,大梁场址附近发生了140 ~ 150 mm的沉降变形,而铜子坝场址没有发生明显的沉降变形。(3) 2022年门源地震前后垂向变形符合弹性—回弹理论,震前变形演化与不同孕震阶段走滑断层变形模式一致,即孕震晚期闭锁断层附近相对运动逐渐减弱。门源MS6.9地震前后垂直形变的应变积累与释放特征有助于了解地震准备和前兆的形变过程。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the weekly changes in terrestrial water storage estimated by two different inversion strategies in the Amazon River Basin 评估亚马逊河流域两种不同反演策略估算的陆地储水量周变化
4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geog.2023.07.007
Bo Zhong , Xianpao Li , Qiong Li , Jiangtao Tan , Xianyun Dai

In this study, we estimated the weekly Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) spherical harmonic (SH) solutions and regional mascon solutions using GRACE-based Geopotential Difference (GPD) data and investigated their abilities in retrieving terrestrial water storage (TWS) changes over the Amazon River Basin (ARB) from January 2003 to February 2013. The performance of the weekly GPD-SH and GPD-mascon solutions was evaluated by comparing them with the weekly GFZ-SH solutions, Global Land Data Assimilation Systems (GLDAS)-NOAH hydrological model outputs, and monthly GFZ-SH, GPD-SH, and CSR-mascon solutions in the spatio-temporal and spectral domains. The results demonstrate that the weekly GPD-SH and GPD-mascon present good consistency with the weekly GFZ-SH solutions and GLDAS-NOAH estimates in the spatio-temporal domains, but GPD-mascon presents stronger signal amplitudes and more spatial details. The comparison of the monthly average of weekly estimates and monthly solutions demonstrates that the weekly GPD-mascon and GFZ-SH with DDK1 filtering are close to the monthly CSR-mascon and GFZ-SH solutions, respectively. However, the signal amplitudes of TWS changes from GPD-SH and GFZ-SH with 650 km Gaussian filtering are smaller than the monthly solutions, and the corresponding Root Mean Square Errors between the TWS change time series from the monthly average of weekly solutions and monthly estimates are 18.12 mm (GPD-mascon), 18.81 mm (GFZ-SH-DDK1), 24.93 mm (GPD-SH-G650km), and 33.07 mm (GFZ-SH-G650km), respectively. Additionally, the TWS change time series derived from weekly solutions present more high-frequency time-varying information than monthly solutions. Furthermore, the 300 km Gaussian filtering can improve the signal amplitudes of TWS changes from the weekly GPD-SH solutions more than those with 650 km Gaussian filtering, but the corresponding noise level is higher. The weekly GPD-SH and GPD-mascon solutions can extend the application scopes of GRACE and provide good complements to the current GRACE monthly solutions.

本文利用基于GRACE的重力恢复与气候实验(GRACE)的周次球谐解(SH)和区域mascon解(GPD)数据,对2003年1月至2013年2月亚马逊河流域(ARB)的TWS变化进行了估算,并研究了它们的反演能力。通过将每周GPD-SH和GPD-mascon方案与每周GFZ-SH方案、全球土地数据同化系统(GLDAS)-NOAH水文模型输出以及每月GFZ-SH、GPD-SH和CSR-mascon方案在时空和光谱域的性能进行比较,评估了GPD-SH和GPD-SH方案的性能。结果表明:每周GPD-SH和GPD-mascon与每周GFZ-SH解和GLDAS-NOAH解在时空域上具有较好的一致性,但GPD-mascon具有更强的信号幅度和更多的空间细节。周估计和月解的月平均值比较表明,DDK1滤波后的周GPD-mascon和GFZ-SH分别接近月度CSR-mascon和GFZ-SH。而经650 km高斯滤波的GPD-SH和GFZ-SH的TWS变化信号幅度小于月解,周解月均值与月估计值的TWS变化时间序列的均方根误差分别为18.12 mm、18.81 mm、24.93 mm和33.07 mm。此外,由周解导出的TWS变化时间序列比月解呈现出更多的高频时变信息。此外,300 km高斯滤波比650 km高斯滤波更能改善周GPD-SH解的TWS变化信号幅度,但相应的噪声水平更高。每周GPD-SH和GPD-mascon解决方案可以扩展GRACE的应用范围,对目前GRACE每月解决方案提供很好的补充。
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引用次数: 0
Noise reduction and periodic signal extraction for GNSS height data in the study of vertical deformation 垂直形变研究中GNSS高程数据的降噪与周期信号提取
4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geog.2023.07.002
Jingqi Wang , Kaihua Ding , Heping Sun , Geng Zhang , Xiaodong Chen

Global navigation satellite system (GNSS) technique has irreplaceable advantages in the continuous monitoring of surface deformation. Reducing noise to improve the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and extract the concerned signals is of great significance. As an improved algorithm of empirical mode decomposition (EMD), complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) algorithm has better signal processing ability. Using the CEEMDAN algorithm, the height time series of 29 GNSS stations in Chinese mainland were analyzed, and good denoising effects and extraction from periodic signals were achieved. The numerical results showed that the annual signal obtained with the CEEMDAN algorithm was significantly based on Lomb_Scargle spectrum analysis, and large differences in the long-term signals were found between the stations at different locations in Chinese mainland. With respect to data denoising, compared with the EMD and wavelet denoising algorithms, the CEEMDAN algorithm respectively improved the SNR by 29.35% and 36.54%, increased the correlation coefficient by 8.67% and 11.96%, and reduced root mean square error (RMSE) by 44.68% and 43.48%, indicating that the CEEMDAN algorithm had better denoising behavior than the other two algorithms. In addition, the results demonstrated that different denoising methods had little influence on estimating the annual vertical deformation velocity. The extraction of periodic signals showed that more components were retained by using the CEEMDAN algorithm than the EMD algorithm, which indicated that the CEEMDAN algorithm had advantages over frequency aliasing. In conclusion, the CEEMDAN algorithm was recommended for processing the GNSS height time series to analyze the vertical deformation due to its excellent features of denoising and the extraction of periodic signals.

全球卫星导航系统(GNSS)技术在地表形变连续监测方面具有不可替代的优势。降低噪声对提高信噪比、提取相关信号具有重要意义。CEEMDAN算法作为经验模态分解(EMD)的改进算法,具有更好的信号处理能力。利用CEEMDAN算法对中国大陆29个GNSS站点的高度时间序列进行了分析,取得了较好的去噪效果和周期信号提取效果。数值结果表明,CEEMDAN算法获得的年度信号具有明显的Lomb_Scargle谱特征,且中国大陆不同位置站点的长期信号存在较大差异。在数据去噪方面,与EMD和小波去噪算法相比,CEEMDAN算法的信噪比分别提高了29.35%和36.54%,相关系数分别提高了8.67%和11.96%,均方根误差(RMSE)分别降低了44.68%和43.48%,表明CEEMDAN算法的去噪性能优于其他两种算法。结果表明,不同的去噪方法对年垂直形变速度的估计影响不大。通过对周期信号的提取,CEEMDAN算法比EMD算法保留了更多的分量,表明CEEMDAN算法比EMD算法具有频率混叠的优势。综上所述,CEEMDAN算法具有良好的去噪和提取周期信号的特性,因此推荐用于GNSS高度时间序列的垂直变形分析。
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引用次数: 0
Synthetic aperture radar interferometry–based coseismic deformation and slip distribution of the 2022 Menyuan MS6.9 earthquake in Qinghai, China 基于合成孔径雷达干涉测量的2022年青海门源MS6.9级地震同震形变与滑动分布
4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geog.2023.07.004
Qiang Zhao, Fengyun Jiang, Liangyu Zhu, Jing Xu

On January 8, 2022, a 6.9 magnitude earthquake occurred in Menyuan County, Qinghai Province, with the epicenter located at the intersection of the Tuolaishan Fault and the Lenglongling Fault, which are part of the Qilian–Haiyuan fault zone. This study investigated the sliding characteristics and seismic mechanism of the earthquake to understand the activity and seismic risk of the fault on the northeastern margin of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. This paper analyzed Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar images to obtain the coseismic deformation field of the earthquake, which was then used to invert the slip distribution of the seismogenic fault and the coseismic Coulomb stress on the surrounding faults caused by the earthquake. It was found that the earthquake was primarily characterized by sinistral strike-slip movement. Along the satellite line of sight, the south wall of the fault had a maximum deformation of 0.62 m, and the north wall had a maximum deformation of 0.48 m. The coseismic slip distribution results indicated that the maximum slip of the earthquake was 4.51 m, and the moment magnitude was MW6.7. The Coulomb stress analysis showed that the 2016 Menyuan earthquake promoted the occurrence of the 2022 Menyuan earthquake.

2022年1月8日,青海省门源县发生6.9级地震,震中位于祁连-海原断裂带的沱来山断裂带和冷龙岭断裂带的交汇处。研究了此次地震的滑动特征和地震机制,以了解青藏高原东北缘断裂的活动性和地震危险性。本文对Sentinel-1合成孔径雷达图像进行分析,得到地震的同震变形场,并利用同震变形场反演发震断层的滑动分布和地震引起的周围断层的同震库仑应力。结果表明,地震以左旋走滑运动为主要特征。沿卫星观测线,断层南盘最大变形量为0.62 m,北盘最大变形量为0.48 m。同震滑移分布结果表明,本次地震最大滑移量为4.51 m,矩震级为MW6.7。库仑应力分析表明,2016年门源地震促进了2022年门源地震的发生。
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引用次数: 1
A new method for coseismic offset detection from GPS coordinate time series 基于GPS坐标时间序列的同震偏移检测新方法
4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geog.2023.09.001
Zhiwei Yang , Guangyu Xu , Tengxu Zhang , Mingkai Chen , Fei Wu , Zhiping Chen

Currently, the extraction of coseismic offset signals primarily relies on earthquake catalog data to determine the occurrence time of earthquakes. This is followed by the process of differencing the average GPS coordinate time series data, with a time interval of 3 to 5 days before and after the earthquake. In the face of the huge amount of GPS coordinate time series data today, the conventional approach of relying on earthquake catalog data to assist in obtaining coseismic offset signals has become increasingly burdensome. To address this problem, we propose a new method for automatically detecting coseismic offset signals in GPS coordinate time series without an extra earthquake catalog for reference. Firstly, we pre-process the GPS coordinate time series data for filtering out stations with significant observations missing and detecting and removing outliers. Secondly, we eliminate other signals and errors in the GPS coordinate time series, such as trend and seasonal signals, leaving the coseismic offset signals as the primary signal. The resulting coordinate time series is then modeled using the first-order difference and data stacking method. The modeling method enables automatic detection of the coseismic offset signals in the GPS coordinate time series. The aforementioned method is applied to automatically detect coseismic offset signals using simulated data and the Searles Valley GPS data in California, USA. The results demonstrate the efficacy of our proposed method, successfully detecting coseismic offsets from vast amounts of GPS coordinate time series data.

目前,同震偏移信号的提取主要依靠地震目录数据定位地震发生时间,然后将地震前后GPS平均坐标时间序列数据差3-5天。面对海量的GPS坐标时间序列数据,传统的依靠地震目录数据辅助获取同震偏移信号的方法变得越来越繁琐。为了解决这一问题,我们提出了一种无需额外地震目录作为参考的GPS坐标时间序列同震偏移信号自动检测方法。首先,对GPS坐标时间序列数据进行预处理,滤除显著观测缺失台站,检测和去除异常点;其次,消除GPS坐标时间序列中的其他信号和误差,如趋势信号和季节信号,留下同震偏移信号作为主要信号。然后使用一阶差分和数据叠加方法对得到的坐标时间序列进行建模。该建模方法实现了GPS坐标时间序列中同震偏移信号的自动检测。将上述方法应用于美国加利福尼亚州Searles Valley GPS数据和模拟数据的同震偏移信号自动检测。结果证明了该方法的有效性,成功地从大量GPS坐标时间序列数据中检测出同震偏移。
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引用次数: 0
Geodetic constraints on contemporary three-dimensional crustal deformation in the Laji Shan–Jishi Shan tectonic belt 拉鸡山—鸡石山构造带当代三维地壳变形特征的大地测量约束
4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geog.2023.03.006
Wenquan Zhuang, Duxin Cui, Ming Hao, Shangwu Song, Zhangjun Li

The Laji Shan–Jishi Shan tectonic belt (LJTB), located in the southern part of the northeastern Tibetan Plateau (NETP), is a tectonic window to reveal regional tectonic deformation in the NETP. However, its kinematics in the Holocene remains controversial. We obtain the latest and dense horizontal velocity field based on data collected from our newly constructed and existing GNSS stations. Combined with fault kinematics from geologic observations, we analyze the crustal deformation characteristics along the LJTB. The results show that: (1) The Laji Shan fault (LJF) is inactive, and the northwest-oriented Jishi Shan fault (JSF) exhibits a significant dextral and thrust slip. (2) The transpression along the arc-shaped LJTB accommodates deformation transformation between the dextral Riyue Shan fault and the sinistral west Qinling fault. (3) With the continuous pushing of the Indian plate, internal strains in the Tibetan Plateau are continuously transferred in the northeast via the LJTB as they are gradually dissipated near the LJTB and translated into significant crustal uplift in these regions.

拉集山—积石山构造带(LJTB)位于青藏高原东北部(NETP)南部,是揭示该地区区域构造变形的构造窗口。然而,它在全新世的运动学仍然存在争议。我们根据新建和现有GNSS站收集的数据,获得最新和密集的水平速度场。结合地质观测的断层运动学,分析了LJTB沿线的地壳变形特征。结果表明:(1)拉鸡山断裂(LJF)不活动,西北向的鸡鸡山断裂(JSF)表现出明显的右旋和逆冲滑动。(2)沿弧形LJTB的逆压作用,容纳了日月山断裂右旋与西秦岭断裂左旋之间的变形转换。(3)随着印度板块的持续推动,青藏高原内部应变通过LJTB向东北方向持续传递,在LJTB附近逐渐消散,转化为显著的地壳隆升。
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引用次数: 1
Abnormal characteristics and effectiveness evaluation of the micro-seismic signal before the Debao MS4.8 earthquake 德保MS4.8地震前微地震信号的异常特征及有效性评价
4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geog.2023.02.006
Jin Wei , Huining Huang , Ying Jiang , Ziwei Liu

The Debao MS4.8 earthquake occurred in western Guangxi on August 5, 2021, near where the Jingxi MS5.2 earthquake occurred in 2019. To study the increasing seismicity in western Guangxi, it is necessary to determine whether there was an anomaly related to the earthquake source near the Pingxiang gravity station, which is located approximately 100 km from the epicenter of the Debao MS4.8 earthquake. In this study, the R-value scoring method was used to analyze the anomaly and evaluate the prediction efficiency of the double frequency (DF) micro-seismic signal vertical displacement (referred to as vertical displacement, VD) and the absolute value of monthly extreme rate (referred to as the monthly rate). Results show that earthquakes larger than MS4.0 in the 350 km range from the Pingxiang station tend to coincide with yearly typhoons, and the VD of micro-seismic signals correspondingly changes from low to high. The Debao MS4.8 earthquake occurred during a gradual VD increase from 0.05 × 10−6 to 0.10 × 10−6 m. When discussing the relationships among R, the rate threshold, and the effective duration of prediction, the rate threshold of the micro-seismic signal converges from 0.00039 × 10−6 to 0.00031 × 10−6 m/month, the effective duration of prediction is approximately 6–10 months, and R also converges from 0.29 to 0.31. By comparing the results of three gPhone gravity stations in Guangxi, we found that the increase of short-term VD before the Debao earthquake was related to the enhancement of the DF micro-seismic signal excited by the typhoon. When the typhoon track was perpendicular to the coastline of China, the possibility of an earthquake occurring was increased. This study provides evidence and reference for the future occurrence period of earthquakes above MS4.0 in western Guangxi.

2021年8月5日,广西西部发生德宝4.8级地震,靠近2019年靖西5.2级地震发生地。为了研究桂西地区地震活动性的增加,有必要确定在距离德宝MS4.8地震震中约100 km的萍乡重力站附近是否存在与震源有关的异常。本研究采用r值评分法对双频(DF)微震信号垂直位移(简称垂直位移,VD)和月极值率绝对值(简称月极值率)进行异常分析和预测效果评价。结果表明,萍乡站350 km范围内大于MS4.0的地震往往与年台风重合,微震信号的VD相应由低到高变化。德宝MS4.8地震发生在VD从0.05 × 10−6 m逐渐增大到0.10 × 10−6 m的过程中。在讨论R、速率阈值和预测有效持续时间三者之间的关系时,微震信号的速率阈值收敛于0.00039 × 10−6 ~ 0.00031 × 10−6 m/月,预测有效持续时间约为6 ~ 10个月,R也收敛于0.29 ~ 0.31。对比广西3个gPhone重力站的观测结果,发现德宝地震前短期VD的增加与台风激发DF微震信号的增强有关。当台风路径垂直于中国海岸线时,发生地震的可能性增加。本研究为今后桂西地区MS4.0以上地震的发生周期提供了依据和参考。
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引用次数: 0
Time-varying gravity field model of Sichuan-Yunnan region based on the equivalent mass source model 基于等效质量源模型的川滇地区时变重力场模型
4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geog.2023.04.006
Xiaozhen Hou , Shi Chen , Linhai Wang , Jiancheng Han , Dong Ma

High-precision time-varying gravity field is an effective way to study the internal mass movement and understanding the spatio-temporal evolution process of the geodynamic system. Compared to the satellite gravity measurement, the repeated terrestrial gravity observation can provide a more high-order signal related to the shallow crust and subsurface. However, the suitable and unified method for gravity model estimation is a key problem for further applications. In this study, we introduce the spherical hexahedron element to simulate the field source mass and forward model the change of gravity field located at the Sichuan-Yunnan region (99–104°E, 23–29°N) in the four epochs from 2015 to 2017. Compared to the experimental results based on Slepian or spherical harmonics frequency domain method, this alternative approach is suitable for constructing the equivalent mass source model of regional-scale gravity data, by introducing the first-order smooth prior condition of gravity time-varying signal to suppress the high-frequency component of the signal. The results can provide a higher spatial resolution reference for regional gravity field modeling in the Sichuan-Yunnan region.

高精度时变重力场是研究岩体内部运动和了解地球动力系统时空演化过程的有效途径。与卫星重力测量相比,地面重复重力观测可以提供与地壳浅层和地下相关的高阶信号。然而,合适的、统一的重力模型估计方法是进一步应用的关键问题。本文采用球面六面体单元模拟了2015 - 2017年4个时期川滇地区(99-104°E, 23-29°N)重力场的变化,并对其进行了正演模拟。与基于Slepian或球谐频域方法的实验结果相比,该方法通过引入重力时变信号的一阶平滑先验条件来抑制信号的高频成分,适合于构建区域尺度重力数据的等效质量源模型。研究结果可为川滇地区区域重力场模拟提供更高的空间分辨率参考。
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引用次数: 0
The GNSS PWV retrieval using non-observation meteorological parameters based on ERA5 and its relation with precipitation 基于ERA5非观测气象参数的GNSS PWV检索及其与降水的关系
4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geog.2023.09.002
Weifeng Yang, Zhiping Chen, Kaiyun Lv, Pengfei Xia, Tieding Lu
The pressure and temperature significantly influence precipitable water vapor (PWV) retrieval. Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) PWV retrieval is limited because the GNSS stations lack meteorological sensors. First, this article evaluated the accuracy of pressure and temperature in 68 radiosonde stations in China based on ERA5 Reanalysis data from 2015 to 2019 and compared them with GPT3 model. Then, the accuracy of pressure and temperature calculated by ERA5 were estimated in 5 representative IGS stations in China. And the PWV calculated by these meteorological parameters from ERA5 (ERA5-PWV) were analyzed. Finally, the relation between ERA5-PWV and precipitation was deeply explored using wavelet coherence analysis in IGS stations. These results indicate that the accuracy of pressure and temperature of ERA5 is better than the GPT3 model. In radiosonde stations, the mean BIAS and MAE of pressure and temperature in ERA5 are −0.41/1.15 hpa and −0.97/2.12 K. And the mean RMSEs are 1.35 hpa and 2.87 K, which improve 74.77% and 40.58% compared with GPT3 model. The errors of pressure and temperature of ERA5 are smaller than the GPT3 model in bjfs, hksl and wuh2, and the accuracy of ERA5-PWV is improved by 18.77% compared with the GPT3 model. In addition, there is a significant positive correlation between ERA5-PWV and precipitation. And precipitation is always associated with the sharp rise of ERA5-PWV, which provides important references for rainfall prediction.
压力和温度对可降水量(PWV)的反演有显著影响。全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)的PWV检索由于缺乏气象传感器而受到限制。首先,基于2015 - 2019年ERA5 Reanalysis数据,对中国68个探空站的压力和温度精度进行了评估,并与GPT3模型进行了比较。然后,利用ERA5对中国5个代表性IGS站点的压力和温度进行精度估算。并对ERA5气象参数计算的PWV (ERA5-PWV)进行了分析。最后,利用小波相干分析深入探讨了ERA5-PWV与降水的关系。这些结果表明,ERA5模型的压力和温度精度优于GPT3模型。在探空台站,ERA5气压和温度的平均BIAS和MAE分别为- 0.41/1.15 hpa和- 0.97/2.12 K。均方根误差分别为1.35 hpa和2.87 K,分别比GPT3模型提高了74.77%和40.58%。在bjfs、hksl和wuh2中,ERA5的压力和温度误差小于GPT3模型,ERA5- pwv的精度比GPT3模型提高了18.77%。此外,ERA5-PWV与降水呈显著正相关。降水与ERA5-PWV的急剧上升密切相关,为降水预报提供了重要参考。
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引用次数: 0
Study on lithospheric strength of the Anatolian plateau and implications for strong earthquake activity in Turkey 安纳托利亚高原岩石圈强度研究及其对土耳其强震活动的意义
4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geog.2023.09.003
Pan Yuhang, Chen Shi, Shi Wen
On February 6, 2023, the doublet earthquake including two main shocks with magnitudes MW7.8 and MW7.5, occurred near the western side of the East Anatolian Fault at the southeast boundary of the Anatolian Plateau in Turkey. Based on the WGM2012 Bouguer gravity anomaly data and the Etopo1 topography data, this study first introduced a joint inversion of admittance and coherence functions and used the Bayesian optimal parameter estimation method to obtain the effective elastic thickness Te and loading ratio F of the lithosphere for various tectonic units in the Anatolian Plateau. Secondly, we discussed the characteristics and influencing factors of the lithospheric mechanical strength and analyzed its relationship with seismic activity. The lithospheric mechanical strength of the Anatolian Plateau showed clear lateral heterogeneity and a "weak-strong-weak" spatial pattern from east to west, reflecting various tectonic processes. At last, the strong seismic activity was found where the lithospheric strength was low in the Anatolian Plate. We also incorporated GPS strain rate and other results to investigate the tectonic background and primary causes of the MW7.8 and MW7.5 doublet earthquakes in Turkey. The results have a good insight into urban safety design in the Turkish region, including post-disaster rehabilitation, earthquake hazard assessment, and loss reduction.
2023年2月6日,土耳其安纳托利亚高原东南边界东安纳托利亚断裂带西侧附近发生MW7.8级和MW7.5级双重地震。基于WGM2012 bouger重力异常资料和Etopo1地形资料,首次引入导纳函数和相干函数联合反演,采用贝叶斯最优参数估计方法,得到了安纳托利亚高原各构造单元岩石圈有效弹性厚度Te和载荷比F。其次,讨论了岩石圈机械强度的特征和影响因素,并分析了其与地震活动的关系。安纳托利亚高原岩石圈机械强度表现出明显的横向非均质性和自东向西“弱-强-弱”的空间格局,反映了不同的构造过程。最后,在安纳托利亚板块岩石圈强度较低的地方发现了强烈的地震活动。结合GPS应变率等结果,探讨了土耳其MW7.8和MW7.5双重地震的构造背景和主要原因。研究结果对土耳其地区的城市安全设计,包括灾后重建、地震危害评估和减少损失有很好的启示。
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Geodesy and Geodynamics
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