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Do Elections Promote Conflict? A Quantitative Text Analysis of Postwar Iraqi News Coverage 选举会助长冲突吗?战后伊拉克新闻报道的定量文本分析
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-22 DOI: 10.1111/deve.12422
Dai Yamao

This article seeks to investigate whether conflict-motivating coverage in newspapers increases during the election period, employing a quantitative text analysis of several major newspapers in postwar Iraq. In the aftermath of the war in Iraq, the exclusion or inclusion of the former Baathist regime emerged as one of the most contentious issues in elections. Consequently, this study analyzes how the exclusion or inclusion of the former regime was asserted during election periods and the degree of emphasis in reporting, aiming to identify conflict-inspiring coverage during elections. The analysis encompasses over 500,000 articles from various prominent newspapers. In summary, while election cycles typically feature coverage that denies inclusiveness and exacerbates fragmentation, official government-affiliated newspapers tend to consistently underscore inclusiveness, even during election periods.

本文试图通过对战后伊拉克几家主要报纸的定量文本分析,调查报纸在选举期间是否增加了关于冲突的报道。伊拉克战争结束后,将前复兴党(Baathist)政权排除在外成为选举中最具争议的问题之一。因此,本研究分析了在选举期间如何排除或包容前政权,以及在报道中强调的程度,旨在确定选举期间引发冲突的报道。该分析涵盖了来自各大知名报纸的50多万篇文章。总而言之,虽然选举周期通常以否认包容性和加剧分裂的报道为特色,但政府下属的官方报纸往往始终强调包容性,即使在选举期间也是如此。
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引用次数: 0
Uncovering Xi Jinping's Policy Agenda: Text As Data Approach
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1111/deve.12418
Jaehwan Lim, Asei Ito, Hongyong Zhang

How many agendas has Xi Jinping put forth and promoted since taking office in 2012, and what are the types of agendas? How much of political attention has each agenda received, and how has the allocation of attention changed over time? We utilize a dataset of presidential statements, speeches, and reports from 2012 to 2022 and employed automated text analysis to identify major topics and terms associated with each topic. Our analysis reveals the identification of about 25 distinct policy agendas across diverse policy domains, with remarkable temporal variations between agendas in terms of the amount of leadership attention. Particularly, we find a significant shift in both the substance and relative weight of policy agendas between the first and second terms of Xi's tenure, indicating his adaptation and responses to changing domestic and foreign policy environments.

​每个议程获得了多少政治关注?随着时间的推移,关注的分配如何变化?我们利用2012年至2022年总统声明、演讲和报告的数据集,并采用自动文本分析来识别主要主题和与每个主题相关的术语。我们的分析显示,在不同的政策领域中,确定了大约25个不同的政策议程,就领导层关注的程度而言,议程之间存在显著的时间差异。特别是,我们发现一个重大转变的物质和相对体重之间的政策议程第一和第二Xi的任期内,指示他的适应和应对不断变化的国内外政策环境。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Minimum Wages on Employment: Evidence From a Lower Middle-Income Country 最低工资对就业的影响:来自中低收入国家的证据
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1111/deve.12419
Cuong Viet Nguyen

In this study, we examine the impact of minimum wages in Vietnam using individual-level data from the annual Labor Force Surveys (2012–20). During this period, the average real minimum wage increased by around 4% per year. Overall, we do not find significant effects from minimum wages on employment and monthly wage earnings. However, we find a considerable negative effect on workers' total working hours. Working hours per week are reduced by 0.38% for a 1% increase in the minimum wage. Since total wages remain unchanged, a reduction in working hours results in an increase in hourly earnings. A 1% increase in the minimum wage leads to a 0.32% increase in hourly earnings.

在本研究中,我们利用年度劳动力调查(2012-20 年)中的个人层面数据,研究了越南最低工资的影响。在此期间,平均实际最低工资每年增长约 4%。总体而言,我们没有发现最低工资对就业和月工资收入的显著影响。然而,我们发现最低工资对工人的总工时有相当大的负面影响。最低工资每增加 1%,每周工作时间就会减少 0.38%。由于工资总额保持不变,工时减少导致每小时收入增加。最低工资增加 1%,每小时收入增加 0.32%。
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引用次数: 0
China's Chance to Lead: Acquiring Global Influence via Infrastructure Development and Digitalization by Richard W. Carney, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2024, xix + 363 pp. 中国的领导机会:通过基础设施发展和数字化获取全球影响力》,理查德-W-卡尼著,剑桥,剑桥大学出版社,2024 年,xix + 363 页。
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1111/deve.12421
Alvin Camba
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引用次数: 0
Breaking the Mold: India's Untraveled Path to Prosperity by Raghuram G. Rajan and  Rohit Lamba, Princeton, NJ, Princeton University Press, 2024, xxxii + 298 pp. 打破模式:拉古拉姆-拉詹 (Raghuram G.Rajan) 和罗希特-兰巴 (RohitLamba) 著,新泽西州普林斯顿,普林斯顿大学出版社,2024 年,xxxii + 298 页。
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/deve.12417
Tirthankar Roy
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引用次数: 0
Land Value, and Urban Transport and Amenities: Evidence From Antananarivo, Madagascar 土地价值与城市交通和便利设施:来自马达加斯加塔那那利佛的证据
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-21 DOI: 10.1111/deve.12415
Atsushi Iimi

Although urbanization is an engine of growth, many African cities are overly crowded with massive traffic congestion and high housing prices, pushing the poor away to unfavorable settlements or remote suburban areas and making them commute long. The paper sheds light on the relationship between land value and urban attributes in a rapidly growing African city, Antananarivo, Madagascar. It shows that the land value gradient is steep with an elasticity of −0.78 with respect to trip time to the city center. Thus, housing prices are overshooting. Better urban planning is needed through improving transport accessibility by minibus. Other urban infrastructure services, such as piped water and garbage collection, and urban amenities are also important to add to land values. Spatial heterogeneity is found across different locations in the city. While some areas require clean water and climate resilience, others need more city amenities, such as parks.

虽然城市化是经济增长的引擎,但许多非洲城市过于拥挤,交通严重堵塞,房价居高不下,将穷人推向不利的居住区或偏远的郊区,使他们不得不长时间通勤。本文揭示了快速发展的非洲城市马达加斯加塔那那利佛的土地价值与城市属性之间的关系。研究表明,土地价值梯度陡峭,与前往市中心的时间有关的弹性为-0.78。因此,房价正在超调。需要通过改善小巴的交通可达性来改善城市规划。其他城市基础设施服务,如自来水和垃圾收集,以及城市便利设施对于增加土地价值也很重要。城市的不同地点存在空间异质性。一些地区需要洁净水和气候适应能力,而另一些地区则需要更多的城市设施,如公园。
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引用次数: 0
Shadow Empires: An Alternative Imperial History by Thomas J. Barfield, Princeton, NJ, Princeton University Press, 2023, xii + 366 pp. 影子帝国:另类帝国史》,托马斯-J-巴菲尔德著,新泽西州普林斯顿,普林斯顿大学出版社,2023 年,xii + 366 页。
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1111/deve.12416
Christopher Chase-Dunn
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引用次数: 0
How Institutional Quality Causes Financial Development? 制度质量如何导致金融发展?
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1111/deve.12410
Hira Yousaf, Khalid Riaz

Institutional quality has received considerable attention in recent years as a potential determinant of variation in the level of financial development across countries. The current paper critically reviews the literature linking formal and informal institutions and financial development. It discusses the main theories in this regard—namely, legal origins theory, the new political economy of finance, and cultural finance. The paper provides an overview of the latest empirical research in each of these areas with a focus on the data and methods used. The directions for further research are also highlighted.

近年来,机构质量作为各国金融发展水平差异的潜在决定因素受到了广泛关注。本文批判性地回顾了将正规和非正规机构与金融发展联系起来的文献。本文讨论了这方面的主要理论,即法律起源理论、新金融政治经济学和文化金融。本文概述了每个领域的最新实证研究,重点介绍了所使用的数据和方法。本文还强调了进一步研究的方向。
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引用次数: 0
Global Value Chain Participation and Firm Exit During COVID-19: Evidence from Emerging Countries COVID-19 期间的全球价值链参与和企业退出:来自新兴国家的证据
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-07 DOI: 10.1111/deve.12411
Ngoc Thang Doan

This paper uncovers the nexus between global value chain participation and firm exit during COVID-19 using merged data from World Bank Enterprises Survey and the Enterprise Survey Follow-Up on COVID-19. Empirical results suggest that participation in global value chain could positively extend firm survival and is robust to several specifications, including alternative measures of firm exit and global value chain participation. Further analysis indicates that global value chain participation helps a firm to improve productivity, enhance bargaining power, and mitigate financial constraints, thereby lifting the firm survival. Our paper contributes to understanding how global value chain participation influences firm exit, suggesting several policy and managerial implications.

本文利用世界银行企业调查和 COVID-19 后续企业调查的合并数据,揭示了 COVID-19 期间全球价值链参与与企业退出之间的关系。实证结果表明,参与全球价值链可以积极延长企业的存活期,并且对几种规格都是稳健的,包括企业退出和全球价值链参与的替代措施。进一步的分析表明,参与全球价值链有助于企业提高生产率、增强议价能力和缓解财务约束,从而提高企业的存活率。我们的论文有助于理解全球价值链参与如何影响企业退出,并提出了一些政策和管理方面的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Modern Arab Kingship: Remaking the Ottoman Political Order in the Interwar Middle East by Adam Mestyan, Princeton, NJ, Princeton University Press, 2023, xxi + 322 pp. 现代阿拉伯王权:Adam Mestyan 著,新泽西州普林斯顿,普林斯顿大学出版社,2023 年,xxi + 322 页。
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1111/deve.12413
Camille Lyans Cole
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引用次数: 0
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