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Private and public debt convergence: a fractional cointegration approach 私人和公共债务趋同:分数协整方法
4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10663-023-09594-9
Maria Malmierca-Ordoqui, Luis A. Gil-Alana, Lorenzo Bermejo
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引用次数: 0
Industry-mix effects at different levels of sectoral disaggregation: a decomposition of inter-country differences in energy costs 不同程度部门分解的工业混合效应:分解能源成本的国家间差异
4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10663-023-09593-w
Wolfgang Koller, Andreas Eder, Bernhard Mahlberg
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引用次数: 1
Special Issue: Challenges in the Post Pandemic Economy—Selected Papers of the 2022 Annual Meeting of the Austrian Economic Association 特刊:流行病后经济的挑战——奥地利经济协会2022年年会论文选集
4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10663-023-09595-8
Brigitte Hochmuth, Paul Pichler
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引用次数: 0
Dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic in Slovenia: simulations with a macroeconometric model 应对斯洛文尼亚COVID-19大流行:宏观计量经济模型模拟
4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10663-023-09591-y
Klaus Weyerstrass, Dmitri Blueschke, Reinhard Neck, Miroslav Verbič
Abstract In this paper we analyse the effectiveness of fiscal policies with respect to macroeconomic stabilisation during the COVID-19 pandemic in the small open economy of Slovenia. Using SLOPOL11, an econometric model of the Slovenian economy, we simulate the development of the its economy during the 2020s under alternative assumptions about future pandemic-related shocks. We also determine optimal fiscal policies to combat the effects of the pandemic and to stabilise the economy under two scenarios for the future course of developments under COVID-19. Our simulations show that those public spending measures that entail both demand- and supply-side effects are more effective at stimulating real GDP and increasing employment than pure demand-side measures. Successful stabilisation policies should thus contain a supply-side component in addition to a demand-side component.
在本文中,我们分析了斯洛文尼亚小型开放经济体在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间财政政策在宏观经济稳定方面的有效性。利用斯洛文尼亚经济计量经济学模型SLOPOL11,我们在对未来流行病相关冲击的不同假设下,模拟了2020年代斯洛文尼亚经济的发展。我们还根据COVID-19的未来发展进程,确定了两种情景下的最佳财政政策,以应对大流行的影响并稳定经济。我们的模拟表明,与纯粹的需求侧措施相比,那些同时包含需求侧和供给侧效应的公共支出措施在刺激实际GDP和增加就业方面更有效。因此,成功的稳定政策除了包含需求方面的内容外,还应包含供给方面的内容。
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引用次数: 1
Long run non-linearity in $$hbox {CO}_2$$ emissions: the I(2) cointegration model and the environmental Kuznets curve $$hbox {CO}_2$$排放的长期非线性:I(2)协整模型与环境库兹涅茨曲线
4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10663-023-09587-8
Bjørnar Karlsen Kivedal
Abstract I utilize the I(2) cointegration model to assess the empirical relevance of the environmental Kuznets curve for $$hbox {CO}_2$$ CO 2 emissions in the US between 1960 and 2014. This takes the non-linearity of $$hbox {CO}_2$$ CO 2 emissions into account by directly incorporating data that are integrated of order two, I(2). As a result, it enables an extensive dynamic analysis of the relationship between emissions and economic growth, as postulated by the environmental Kuznets curve both in the short, medium, and long run. The results indicate that the primary drivers behind the non-linear shape of US $$hbox {CO}_2$$ CO 2 emissions in the long run are an increase in emissions caused by energy use and a decrease caused by more trade and the utilization of less polluting energy sources. GDP only exhibits short run effects. Hence, I do not find evidence in favor of a long-run relationship between economic development and the concave shape of emissions, as suggested by the environmental Kuznets curve.
摘要本文利用I(2)协整模型来评估环境库兹涅茨曲线的经验相关性 $$hbox {CO}_2$$ 美国1960年至2014年间的二氧化碳排放量。它的非线性是 $$hbox {CO}_2$$ 通过直接纳入二阶积分数据I(2)来考虑二氧化碳排放。因此,它能够对排放与经济增长之间的关系进行广泛的动态分析,正如环境库兹涅茨曲线在短期、中期和长期所假设的那样。研究结果表明,美国的非线性形状背后的主要驱动因素 $$hbox {CO}_2$$ 从长远来看,二氧化碳排放是能源使用造成的排放增加和贸易增加和使用污染较少的能源造成的排放减少。GDP只显示出短期效应。因此,我没有找到证据支持经济发展与排放凹形之间的长期关系,正如环境库兹涅茨曲线所表明的那样。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of the duration of membership in the GATT/WTO on human development in developed and developing countries 关贸总协定/世贸组织成员期限对发达国家和发展中国家人力发展的影响
4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10663-023-09589-6
Sèna Kimm Gnangnon
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引用次数: 0
Can we all be Denmark? The role of civic attitudes in welfare state reforms 我们都能成为丹麦人吗?公民态度在福利国家改革中的作用
4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10663-023-09588-7
Andrea Celico, Martin Rode
Abstract Research has demonstrated the economic effectiveness of welfare state reforms that follow the Danish flexicurity model, broadly specifying the combination of highly flexible labor market policies and generous protection schemes. Notwithstanding, it has also been argued that large and generous welfare states may erode civic attitudes, defined here as people’s willingness to cheat on taxes and claim transfers to which they are not entitled. Combining data from all available waves of the World Values Survey and the European Values Study with a self-constructed flexicurity index, this paper finds that welfare state reforms involving a combination of higher benefits, lower labor market regulations, and active labor market policies are not significantly associated with an erosion of civic attitudes.
研究已经证明了遵循丹麦灵活模式的福利国家改革的经济有效性,广泛地规定了高度灵活的劳动力市场政策和慷慨的保护计划的结合。尽管如此,也有人认为,庞大而慷慨的福利国家可能会侵蚀公民的态度,这里的定义是,人们愿意在税收上作弊,并要求他们无权获得的转移支付。结合世界价值观调查和欧洲价值观研究的所有可用数据以及自建的灵活性指数,本文发现,福利国家改革包括更高的福利、更低的劳动力市场监管和积极的劳动力市场政策的组合,与公民态度的侵蚀没有显著关联。
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引用次数: 0
Corruption as a push and pull factor of migration flows: evidence from European countries 腐败作为移民潮的推拉因素:欧洲国家的证据
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-10566
Andrea Bernini, Laurent Bossavie, Daniel Garrote-Sánchez, Mattia Makovec
Conclusive evidence on the relationship between corruption and migration has remained scant in the literature to date. Using 2008–2018 data on bilateral migration flows across EU28 and EFTA countries and four measures of corruption, we show that corruption acts as both push and pull factors on migration patterns. Based on a gravity model, a 1-unit increase in the corruption level in the origin country is associated with an 11% increase in out-migration. The same 1-unit increase in corruption in the destination country is associated with a 10% decline in in-migration.
迄今为止,有关腐败与移民之间关系的确凿证据在文献中仍然很少。利用 2008-2018 年欧盟 28 国和欧洲自由贸易联盟国家双边移民流动数据以及四种腐败衡量标准,我们发现腐败既是移民模式的推力因素,也是拉力因素。根据引力模型,原籍国的腐败水平每增加 1 个单位,向外移民的人数就会增加 11%。同样,目的地国的腐败程度每增加 1 个单位,迁入移民人数就会减少 10%。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of bail-in debt yields in the EU banking sector: a multi-country approach with idiosyncratic factors 欧盟银行业纾困债券收益率的决定因素:一种具有特殊因素的多国方法
4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10663-023-09586-9
Manuel Monjas, María Rocamora, Nuria Suárez
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引用次数: 0
A note on CO2 emissions using two new tests 使用两种新测试的二氧化碳排放说明
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10663-023-09584-x
Peter Sephton, Tolga Omay
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引用次数: 0
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