Pub Date : 2023-10-30DOI: 10.1080/21565503.2023.2266710
Stephanie Chan, Michelangelo Landgrave
ABSTRACTDo Americans identify as immigrants and, if so, what are the political implications? We argue that many Americans hold an immigrant identity, and that the strength of immigrant identity varies by race and immigrant generation. We find that an immigrant identity exists, that it is associated with several political outcomes, and that it is distinct from racial identity and a country-of-origin identity. We used the 2020 Collaborative Multiracial Post-Election Study to provide an in-depth, cross-racial, and cross-generation analysis of immigrant identity in the United States. We hope this initial work creates more space for work on the political consequences of the United States’ complex identity as a nation of immigrants.KEYWORDS: Immigration politicsAAPI politicsLatino/a politicsidentity politicsracecountry of origin Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 Based on CMPS survey item 713. We count migrant identifiers as individuals who self-identify as immigrants at least “sometimes”.2 The 2020 American Community Survey estimates that approximately 13.5% of United States residents are foreign-born.3 There are 1402 respondents who do not primarily identify as white, AAPI, Black or Latinx. These respondents are not included in our analyses.
{"title":"A nation of immigrants? The case for a politically influential and intersectional immigrant identity in the United States","authors":"Stephanie Chan, Michelangelo Landgrave","doi":"10.1080/21565503.2023.2266710","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/21565503.2023.2266710","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTDo Americans identify as immigrants and, if so, what are the political implications? We argue that many Americans hold an immigrant identity, and that the strength of immigrant identity varies by race and immigrant generation. We find that an immigrant identity exists, that it is associated with several political outcomes, and that it is distinct from racial identity and a country-of-origin identity. We used the 2020 Collaborative Multiracial Post-Election Study to provide an in-depth, cross-racial, and cross-generation analysis of immigrant identity in the United States. We hope this initial work creates more space for work on the political consequences of the United States’ complex identity as a nation of immigrants.KEYWORDS: Immigration politicsAAPI politicsLatino/a politicsidentity politicsracecountry of origin Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 Based on CMPS survey item 713. We count migrant identifiers as individuals who self-identify as immigrants at least “sometimes”.2 The 2020 American Community Survey estimates that approximately 13.5% of United States residents are foreign-born.3 There are 1402 respondents who do not primarily identify as white, AAPI, Black or Latinx. These respondents are not included in our analyses.","PeriodicalId":46590,"journal":{"name":"Politics Groups and Identities","volume":"46 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136069692","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-30DOI: 10.1080/21565503.2023.2265906
Tyler Reny, Justin Gest
ABSTRACTAs the political salience of immigrant-origin minorities continues to increase in the United States and Europe, researchers are increasingly focused on understanding what interventions reduce exclusionary attitudes. While several recent studies have examined the effect of different narrative and interpersonal communication techniques, few have focused on the role of the “messenger” that delivers these techniques. Drawing from psychological research on persuasion, we hypothesize that anti-exclusionary messages are more persuasive when delivered by elite messengers who reinforce shared identities. To test this, we conduct a large, pre-registered survey experiment exposing a sample of American adults to audio messages on immigration from persuasive elites performed by professional voice actors. We find that a persuasive message only shifts attitudes about immigration when elites include co-identity reinforcement primes. These findings offer additional nuance to the literature on immigration attitudes, persuasion, and elite-led public opinion, and have important implications for immigration advocacy work.KEYWORDS: Immigration attitudespersuasionelitespublic opinionidentity Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 While this study focuses on explicit prejudice, researchers have studied interventions for reducing implicit prejudice as well. For a thorough comparative investigation of these techniques, see Lai (Citation2014).2 This is consistent with recent research on elites and attitudes related to race, ethnicity, and immigration.3 https://immigrationforum.org/landing_page/bibles-badges-business/4 There is evidence that generic elite/party cues – those from “Republicans,” “Democrats,” or fictional candidates (see Arcenueax 2008; Bullock 2011; Ciuk and Yose 2016; Druckman et al 2013) – are often not powerful enough to persuade co-partisans to update their attitudes. Instead, evidence suggests that cues from known elites like the president of the United States, are the most persuasive (Agadjanian 2020; Lenz 2012; Nicholson 2012; Barber and Pope Citation2019). We suspect that generic party cues are often weak because of issues of informational equivalence where the respondent might project onto the elite their perception of the elite’s strength of partisan identity or core political values, for example.5 We pre-registered our design and analyses with OSF.io on August 7, 2020, before full data collection commenced on August 10, 2020. Full pre-analysis plan is included in Appendix B. IRB approval was acquired for all pilot tests and the full survey experiment at each of the authors’ institutions.6 We discuss our decision to measure our moderator before treatment in Appendix A.7 In Appendix A, we also display tests for non-random attrition and show balance for pre-registered pre-treatment covariates across treatment conditions.8 We ensured compliance with the treatment in a few different ways. First
摘要随着美国和欧洲移民出身的少数族裔的政治地位不断提高,研究人员越来越关注于了解哪些干预措施可以减少排外态度。虽然最近有几项研究考察了不同的叙述和人际沟通技巧的影响,但很少有人关注传递这些技巧的“信使”的作用。根据对说服的心理学研究,我们假设反排他性信息在由强化共同身份的精英信使传递时更有说服力。为了验证这一点,我们进行了一项预先登记的大型调查实验,让一组美国成年人听由专业配音演员表演的有说服力的精英们关于移民的音频信息。我们发现,有说服力的信息只有在精英阶层包含共同身份强化启动因子时才会改变对移民的态度。这些发现为有关移民态度、说服和精英主导的公众舆论的文献提供了额外的细微差别,并对移民倡导工作具有重要意义。关键词:移民态度、说服精英、舆论认同披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。注1本研究的重点是外显偏见,研究者也研究了减少内隐偏见的干预措施。有关这些技术的全面比较调查,请参见Lai (Citation2014).2这与最近关于精英和与种族、民族和移民有关的态度的研究是一致的。3 https://immigrationforum.org/landing_page/bibles-badges-business/4有证据表明,一般的精英/政党线索——来自“共和党人”、“民主党人”或虚构的候选人(见Arcenueax 2008;布洛克2011;Ciuk and Yose 2016;Druckman等人2013)——往往不足以说服同僚更新他们的态度。相反,有证据表明,来自美国总统等知名精英的暗示最有说服力(Agadjanian 2020;楞次2012;尼科尔森2012;Barber and Pope citation(2019)。我们怀疑,由于信息对等的问题,一般的党派线索往往很弱,例如,被调查者可能会将他们对精英的党派认同或核心政治价值观的力量的看法投射到精英身上我们预先在OSF注册了我们的设计和分析。2020年8月10日开始全面数据收集。完整的预分析计划载于附录b。在每个提交人所在机构进行的所有试点试验和全面调查实验都获得了审计委员会的批准我们在附录A中讨论了我们在治疗前测量调节因子的决定。在附录A中,我们还显示了非随机损耗的检验,并显示了在治疗条件下预登记的预处理协变量的平衡我们用几种不同的方法来确保治疗的依从性。首先,我们让受访者通过视频和音频检查(牛的图片和狗叫的音频),确保他们有正常工作的扬声器,并可以在他们的设备上观看视频,然后他们才能继续观看视频。视频本身托管在YouTube上,以最大限度地提高移动设备和浏览器的兼容性,并最大限度地减少流媒体问题。我们为视频时间设置了一个计时器,这样受访者就不能跳过视频,除非等待20秒,从视频中删除滚动条,这样他们就必须观看整个视频,并在视频结束时嵌入一个代码,受访者必须在文本框中正确输入才能继续。所有被曝光的应答者在调查结束时都被立即告知骗局。作为实验设计的一部分,这种欺骗是必要的,这样所有信使的陈述都是标准化的。然而,这些声明是根据真正的政治精英发出的真实信息精心制作的。为了在我们的实验中分离出说话者的效果,我们需要对每个人使用完全相同的信息;否则,我们就会把不同的信息与不同的说话者混淆。所采用的欺骗对受试者的风险最小。虽然欺骗可能会改变受访者对真人的印象,但这种改变只会持续到调查管理结束。没有被调查者在没有被告知欺骗的情况下完成参与,因此它不会对任何参与者的权利或福利产生不利影响这一信息来自已故亚利桑那州共和党参议员约翰·麦凯恩就移民问题发表的演讲。虽然麦凯恩是一位杰出的意识形态保守派,曾是共和党总统候选人,但他在移民政策上持非常中立的观点,并说服许多共和党选民和议员在他试图通过全面移民改革的过程中采取更自由的立场。有关此消息构造的更多信息,请参见附录A。
{"title":"Viewers like you: the effect of elite co-identity reinforcement on U.S. immigration attitudes","authors":"Tyler Reny, Justin Gest","doi":"10.1080/21565503.2023.2265906","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/21565503.2023.2265906","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTAs the political salience of immigrant-origin minorities continues to increase in the United States and Europe, researchers are increasingly focused on understanding what interventions reduce exclusionary attitudes. While several recent studies have examined the effect of different narrative and interpersonal communication techniques, few have focused on the role of the “messenger” that delivers these techniques. Drawing from psychological research on persuasion, we hypothesize that anti-exclusionary messages are more persuasive when delivered by elite messengers who reinforce shared identities. To test this, we conduct a large, pre-registered survey experiment exposing a sample of American adults to audio messages on immigration from persuasive elites performed by professional voice actors. We find that a persuasive message only shifts attitudes about immigration when elites include co-identity reinforcement primes. These findings offer additional nuance to the literature on immigration attitudes, persuasion, and elite-led public opinion, and have important implications for immigration advocacy work.KEYWORDS: Immigration attitudespersuasionelitespublic opinionidentity Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 While this study focuses on explicit prejudice, researchers have studied interventions for reducing implicit prejudice as well. For a thorough comparative investigation of these techniques, see Lai (Citation2014).2 This is consistent with recent research on elites and attitudes related to race, ethnicity, and immigration.3 https://immigrationforum.org/landing_page/bibles-badges-business/4 There is evidence that generic elite/party cues – those from “Republicans,” “Democrats,” or fictional candidates (see Arcenueax 2008; Bullock 2011; Ciuk and Yose 2016; Druckman et al 2013) – are often not powerful enough to persuade co-partisans to update their attitudes. Instead, evidence suggests that cues from known elites like the president of the United States, are the most persuasive (Agadjanian 2020; Lenz 2012; Nicholson 2012; Barber and Pope Citation2019). We suspect that generic party cues are often weak because of issues of informational equivalence where the respondent might project onto the elite their perception of the elite’s strength of partisan identity or core political values, for example.5 We pre-registered our design and analyses with OSF.io on August 7, 2020, before full data collection commenced on August 10, 2020. Full pre-analysis plan is included in Appendix B. IRB approval was acquired for all pilot tests and the full survey experiment at each of the authors’ institutions.6 We discuss our decision to measure our moderator before treatment in Appendix A.7 In Appendix A, we also display tests for non-random attrition and show balance for pre-registered pre-treatment covariates across treatment conditions.8 We ensured compliance with the treatment in a few different ways. First","PeriodicalId":46590,"journal":{"name":"Politics Groups and Identities","volume":"137 ","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136068685","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-19DOI: 10.1080/21565503.2023.2266699
Sean Long, Charles Crabtree
ABSTRACTTo what extent are appeals to pro-white sentiment effective in American politics? Does it matter if such appeals are implicit or explicit? We investigate the degree to which white Americans are less likely to vote for candidates that use explicit appeals to white identity than they are to those who use more implicit appeals to white identity or to out-group animus. In doing so, we provide a crucial supplement to recent work on this topic, which finds that the implicit/explicit model is becoming less relevant for whites, as well as to research on the increased relevance of white in-group attitudes for white voter behavior. To examine the effect of such white identity appeals, we conduct a survey experiment with a national sample of 2746 white Americans. We find that respondents accept both explicit and implicit white identity appeals at the same rate as out-group appeal. Additionally, we see evidence that those who identify strongly as white are more likely to support candidates who engage in racial messaging. Our findings have broad implications for our evolving understanding of racial appeals in American politics, as well as the role of white identity in contemporary political discourse.KEYWORDS: Racial politicscommunicationsocial identitywhite identity Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 https://www.cnn.com/2016/01/22/politics/donald-trump-retweet-white-genocide/index.html2 https://www.npr.org/2018/08/23/641181345/heres-the-story-behind-that-trump-tweet-on-south-africa-and-why-it-sparked-outra3 https://www.npr.org/2020/09/30/918483794/from-debate-stage-trump-declines-to-denounce-white-supremacy4 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2017/12/27/ryans-pro-white-primary-foe-denounced-by-breitbart-after-his-anti-semitic-tweets/5 https://www.washingtonpost.com/magazine/2022/01/04/jd-vance-hillbilly-elegy-radicalization/6 Specifically, we dropped from the survey all those respondents who completed it in less than one third of the median time. This was in line with Lucid's recommendations about how to deal with speeders, satisficers, and inattentive respondents. However, results are substantively the same regardless of whether speeders are included as shown in Appendix 5.7 To check the robustness of our results, we also collapsed this variable into a binary indicator that coded replies as 0 if respondents indicated “Not at all likely” and 1 otherwise. Our results are robust to this alternative measurement strategy.
{"title":"White candidate support continues amidst explicit and implicit white identity cues","authors":"Sean Long, Charles Crabtree","doi":"10.1080/21565503.2023.2266699","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/21565503.2023.2266699","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTTo what extent are appeals to pro-white sentiment effective in American politics? Does it matter if such appeals are implicit or explicit? We investigate the degree to which white Americans are less likely to vote for candidates that use explicit appeals to white identity than they are to those who use more implicit appeals to white identity or to out-group animus. In doing so, we provide a crucial supplement to recent work on this topic, which finds that the implicit/explicit model is becoming less relevant for whites, as well as to research on the increased relevance of white in-group attitudes for white voter behavior. To examine the effect of such white identity appeals, we conduct a survey experiment with a national sample of 2746 white Americans. We find that respondents accept both explicit and implicit white identity appeals at the same rate as out-group appeal. Additionally, we see evidence that those who identify strongly as white are more likely to support candidates who engage in racial messaging. Our findings have broad implications for our evolving understanding of racial appeals in American politics, as well as the role of white identity in contemporary political discourse.KEYWORDS: Racial politicscommunicationsocial identitywhite identity Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 https://www.cnn.com/2016/01/22/politics/donald-trump-retweet-white-genocide/index.html2 https://www.npr.org/2018/08/23/641181345/heres-the-story-behind-that-trump-tweet-on-south-africa-and-why-it-sparked-outra3 https://www.npr.org/2020/09/30/918483794/from-debate-stage-trump-declines-to-denounce-white-supremacy4 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2017/12/27/ryans-pro-white-primary-foe-denounced-by-breitbart-after-his-anti-semitic-tweets/5 https://www.washingtonpost.com/magazine/2022/01/04/jd-vance-hillbilly-elegy-radicalization/6 Specifically, we dropped from the survey all those respondents who completed it in less than one third of the median time. This was in line with Lucid's recommendations about how to deal with speeders, satisficers, and inattentive respondents. However, results are substantively the same regardless of whether speeders are included as shown in Appendix 5.7 To check the robustness of our results, we also collapsed this variable into a binary indicator that coded replies as 0 if respondents indicated “Not at all likely” and 1 otherwise. Our results are robust to this alternative measurement strategy.","PeriodicalId":46590,"journal":{"name":"Politics Groups and Identities","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135732313","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-15DOI: 10.1080/21565503.2023.2266721
Migrantes Unidos, Adriano Udani, Maria Torres Wedding, Ángel Flores Fontanez, Sara John, Allie Seleyman
ABSTRACTPeople with lived experiences of violence have minimal opportunities to address policies that affect them, which poses challenges to producing relevant results beyond academia. In this paper, we ask: in what ways can groups formulate a collective plan to address policy decisions that harm them? We used a framework called group concept mapping (GCM) with Central American and Mexican asylum seekers (named Migrantes Unidos), who are committed to ending the use of ankle monitors and other forms of detention in immigration enforcement. They identified distinct actions and group values, providing mutual support to each other, developing leadership skills, and receiving strength and knowledge to navigate the immigration system as top priorities. Our field work also showed how GCM participation led to actual subsequent political activism. Our results uncover new attitudes and ideas that add more depth to immigrant political behavior and advocacy. While our results demonstrate that GCM is a useful method to center voices of impacted community members’ ideas for change, we also argued that academics and their partners must value reciprocity regardless of the method or framework chosen to answer empirical questions.KEYWORDS: Asylum seekersparticipatory researchgroup concept mappingLatino political behaviorcivic engagement Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.Notes1 A person must prove that they have (1) a well-founded fear of persecution, (2) based on past persecution or risk of future persecution, (3) because of their membership in a particular social group, and (4) by a persecutor who the government is unwilling or unable to control.2 The support team consists of a second-generation Filipino American male, Mexican woman, Afro-Caribbean male, and two white women. They are immigrants or children of immigrants with no personal experience of digital surveillance or detention, but who are passionate about immigrant justice and developing best practices in centering impacted communities in advocacy.3 Group Wisdom can be used to collect data electronically. Users are invited to create personal accounts and can perform the sorting, rating, and answer other survey questions at their own pace. After a considerable number of MU members expressed hesitation to do the sorting activity online, we elected to use a paper-and-pencil approach to collect sorting data. MU members also wanted the support team to be available for questions during the in-person activity.4 One member who was present did not feel comfortable reading or writing. The member’s partner (non-MU member) worked with them to describe the statements to facilitate the sorting and naming of piles.5 The only exceptions were “sustaining a better future” and “immigrant ally work,” which the researcher and service provider created after reviewing the statements.Additional informationFundingThis work was supported by University of Missouri System Tier 3 Strate
{"title":"Envisioning a world without prisons: group concept mapping as a collective strategy for justice and dignity","authors":"Migrantes Unidos, Adriano Udani, Maria Torres Wedding, Ángel Flores Fontanez, Sara John, Allie Seleyman","doi":"10.1080/21565503.2023.2266721","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/21565503.2023.2266721","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTPeople with lived experiences of violence have minimal opportunities to address policies that affect them, which poses challenges to producing relevant results beyond academia. In this paper, we ask: in what ways can groups formulate a collective plan to address policy decisions that harm them? We used a framework called group concept mapping (GCM) with Central American and Mexican asylum seekers (named Migrantes Unidos), who are committed to ending the use of ankle monitors and other forms of detention in immigration enforcement. They identified distinct actions and group values, providing mutual support to each other, developing leadership skills, and receiving strength and knowledge to navigate the immigration system as top priorities. Our field work also showed how GCM participation led to actual subsequent political activism. Our results uncover new attitudes and ideas that add more depth to immigrant political behavior and advocacy. While our results demonstrate that GCM is a useful method to center voices of impacted community members’ ideas for change, we also argued that academics and their partners must value reciprocity regardless of the method or framework chosen to answer empirical questions.KEYWORDS: Asylum seekersparticipatory researchgroup concept mappingLatino political behaviorcivic engagement Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.Notes1 A person must prove that they have (1) a well-founded fear of persecution, (2) based on past persecution or risk of future persecution, (3) because of their membership in a particular social group, and (4) by a persecutor who the government is unwilling or unable to control.2 The support team consists of a second-generation Filipino American male, Mexican woman, Afro-Caribbean male, and two white women. They are immigrants or children of immigrants with no personal experience of digital surveillance or detention, but who are passionate about immigrant justice and developing best practices in centering impacted communities in advocacy.3 Group Wisdom can be used to collect data electronically. Users are invited to create personal accounts and can perform the sorting, rating, and answer other survey questions at their own pace. After a considerable number of MU members expressed hesitation to do the sorting activity online, we elected to use a paper-and-pencil approach to collect sorting data. MU members also wanted the support team to be available for questions during the in-person activity.4 One member who was present did not feel comfortable reading or writing. The member’s partner (non-MU member) worked with them to describe the statements to facilitate the sorting and naming of piles.5 The only exceptions were “sustaining a better future” and “immigrant ally work,” which the researcher and service provider created after reviewing the statements.Additional informationFundingThis work was supported by University of Missouri System Tier 3 Strate","PeriodicalId":46590,"journal":{"name":"Politics Groups and Identities","volume":"117 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135759106","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-12DOI: 10.1080/21565503.2023.2265899
Udi Sommer, Idan Franco
The juxtaposition of the 2016 and 2020 elections reveals that despite articulating prejudiced positions as a candidate and then as president, Donald Trump broadened his support among minorities. Particularly perplexing is the fact that support for Trump grew among African Americans. We propose a counterintuitive explanation: racial resentment among Blacks accounted for Trump’s increased support. Our highly robust results motivate a reevaluation of standard understandings of the role of race in American politics writ large and in American elections more specifically. Blacks show considerably more variance in voting behavior than what would be expected given accounts focused on their linked fate; Blacks behave not just in the mold of Stacey Abrams, but more than commonly thought also in the mold of Clarence Thomas. As racially resentful Blacks reside disproportionately in certain swing states, our account portrays Blacks as citizens with political agency, who may be pivotal in determining election outcomes, sometimes in unexpected ways.
{"title":"Trump’s African Americans? Racial resentment and Black support for Trump in the 2020 elections","authors":"Udi Sommer, Idan Franco","doi":"10.1080/21565503.2023.2265899","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/21565503.2023.2265899","url":null,"abstract":"The juxtaposition of the 2016 and 2020 elections reveals that despite articulating prejudiced positions as a candidate and then as president, Donald Trump broadened his support among minorities. Particularly perplexing is the fact that support for Trump grew among African Americans. We propose a counterintuitive explanation: racial resentment among Blacks accounted for Trump’s increased support. Our highly robust results motivate a reevaluation of standard understandings of the role of race in American politics writ large and in American elections more specifically. Blacks show considerably more variance in voting behavior than what would be expected given accounts focused on their linked fate; Blacks behave not just in the mold of Stacey Abrams, but more than commonly thought also in the mold of Clarence Thomas. As racially resentful Blacks reside disproportionately in certain swing states, our account portrays Blacks as citizens with political agency, who may be pivotal in determining election outcomes, sometimes in unexpected ways.","PeriodicalId":46590,"journal":{"name":"Politics Groups and Identities","volume":"103 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136014415","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-11DOI: 10.1080/21565503.2023.2266715
Jacob Smith
ABSTRACTThe paper “Courting Constituents? An Analysis of the Senate Confirmation Vote on Justice Clarence Thomas” tests the theory that electoral pressure from Black constituents played a role in the confirmation of Justice Clarence Thomas to the United States Supreme Court (Overby, L. Marvin, Beth M. Henschen, Michael H. Walsh, and Julie Strauss. 1992. “Courting Constituents? An Analysis of the Senate Confirmation Vote on Justice Clarence Thomas.” American Political Science Review 86 (4): 997–1003. https://do.org/10.2307/1964351). This paper reveals several methodological errors in the original paper and also provides a friendly critique of several of the underlying assumptions put forth in the 1992 paper. This paper then offers an alternative explanation that the expected judicial ideology of Clarence Thomas nomination was relatively more important than electoral pressure from Black voters.KEYWORDS: Supreme courtraceattitudinal modeldescriptive representationconfirmation votes AcknowledgementsI would like to thank Jonathan Spiegler, Isaac Unah, Elizabeth Menninga, Jonathan Green, Simon Hoellerbauer, Anthony Chergosky, Ryan Williams, Mary Willis Bode, Apurba Chakraborty, John Lappie, Jason Roberts, Jeffery Jenkins, and Valerie Martinez-Ebers for their comments and suggestions on this paper. I would also like to acknowedge Lyle Overby, Beth Henschen, Michael Walsh, and Julie Strauss for their important contribution to this area of study.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 In the case of the party variable, Republican senators are coded “-1” instead of “0”; senators not up for reelection are coded “-1” instead of “0.”2 While using much more recent data after the parties' electoral coalitions have shifted, Badas and Simas (Citation2021) demonstrate that Court appointments may be more important to Republican voters than it is to Democratic voters.3 For Sotomayor and Kagan, the authors use data from the Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES), while for Thomas, they use data from the American National Election Study: Pooled Senate Election Study (ASES).4 For recent nominees, see: http://www.stonybrook.edu/commcms/polisci/jsegal/QualTable.pdf.5 This idea of deference is similar to Stimson's (Citation2018, 22) notion of a “zone of acquiescence” for voters, who push back when the president proposes policies outside this zone. In the same way, in this era of Supreme Court nominees, a potential justice who was viewed as wholly outside the mainstream drew more opposition than the slightly more moderate Clarence Thomas. Admittedly, political elites do not behave the exact same way as mass publics, but I argue that the analogy used by Stimson is relatively analogous to the process of advise and consent in the partisan, but not as partisan as today 1980s and 1990.6 DW-Nominate Scores (see www.voteview.com) have the advantage of being calculated with all non-unanimous roll call votes. Importantly,
摘要“拉拢选民?”《参议院对克拉伦斯·托马斯大法官确认投票的分析》检验了一种理论,即来自黑人选民的选举压力在克拉伦斯·托马斯大法官被确认为美国最高法院大法官的过程中发挥了作用(Overby, L. Marvin, Beth M. Henschen, Michael H. Walsh和Julie Strauss. 1992)。“讨好选民?参议院对克拉伦斯·托马斯大法官的确认投票分析中国政治研究,26(4):397 - 397。https://do.org/10.2307/1964351)。本文揭示了原论文中的几个方法论错误,并对1992年论文中提出的几个基本假设进行了友好的批评。然后,本文提供了另一种解释,即克拉伦斯·托马斯提名的预期司法意识形态相对于黑人选民的选举压力更为重要。我要感谢Jonathan Spiegler、Isaac Unah、Elizabeth Menninga、Jonathan Green、Simon Hoellerbauer、Anthony Chergosky、Ryan Williams、Mary Willis Bode、Apurba Chakraborty、John Lappie、Jason Roberts、Jeffery Jenkins和Valerie Martinez-Ebers对本文的评论和建议。我还要感谢Lyle Overby, Beth Henschen, Michael Walsh和Julie Strauss对这一研究领域的重要贡献。披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。注1对于政党变量,共和党参议员的编码为“-1”而不是“0”;没有竞选连任的参议员被编码为“-1”而不是“0”。巴达斯和西马斯(Citation2021)在两党选举联盟发生变化后使用了更近期的数据,他们证明,法院的任命对共和党选民来说可能比对民主党选民更重要对于索托马约尔和卡根,作者使用了来自合作国会选举研究(CCES)的数据,而对于托马斯,他们使用了来自美国国家选举研究:联合参议院选举研究(ASES)的数据对于最近的提名者,请参阅:http://www.stonybrook.edu/commcms/polisci/jsegal/QualTable.pdf.5这种尊重的想法类似于斯廷森(citation2018,22)对选民的“默许区”概念,当总统提出超出该区域的政策时,选民会反对。同样,在这个最高法院提名人的时代,一个被视为完全非主流的潜在大法官,比稍微温和一点的克拉伦斯·托马斯(Clarence Thomas)遭到了更多的反对。诚然,政治精英的行为方式与大众公众并不完全相同,但我认为,史汀生使用的类比相对类似于党派中的建议和同意过程,但不像今天的20世纪80年代和90年代那样党派化。dw提名分数(见www.voteview.com)具有计算所有非一致的点名投票的优势。重要的是,这些分数衡量的是参议员投票记录的意识形态,这可能是参议员自身偏好之外的许多因素的结果。
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Pub Date : 2023-10-08DOI: 10.1080/21565503.2023.2265896
Lindsey Cormack, Jeff Gulati
ABSTRACTAfter the murder of George Floyd in May 2020 the Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement had a second, large attention surge. Media focus intensified and public opinion of the movement was the most supportive it had ever been. Legislators got involved too, taking to their e-newsletters, Facebook, Twitter, and press releases to publicize support or opposition to the movement. Using those four mediums we ask which sorts of legislators were more or less likely to make public their position, and how these trends vary by medium. Partisanship drives the biggest differences, but that within parties, legislators with more extreme roll-call voting histories, and those from districts expressing greater perceptions of racism tend to be more likely to discuss their positions in explicit and oblique ways. Black legislators and those with greater shares of Black constituents do not seem to have distinct patterns of signaling support or opposition.KEYWORDS: Black Lives Matterpolitical communicationracemovementsCongress Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 Will Hurd did not seek re-election in 2020.2 The manner of identifying the race of a user in this study was by visual determination made by the author, so the results ought to be taken with reasonable caution.3 CrowdTangle is the platform created by Facebook that permits academic and research work on the public groups and persons on Facebook by application on a case-by-case basis.4 ProPublica Represent Collection maintained by Derek Willis, Allison McCartney and Jeremy B. Merrill at: https://projects.propublica.org/represent/5 The six questions that comprise the perception of racism scale are: (1) Irish, Italians, Jewish and many other minorities overcame prejudice and worked their way up. Blacks should do the same without any special favors; (2) Generations of slavery and discrimination have created conditions that make it difficult for blacks to work their way out of the lower class; (3) Over the past few years, blacks have gotten less than they deserve; (4) It’s really a matter of some people not trying hard enough, if blacks would only try harder they could be just as well off as whites; (5) White people in the U.S. have certain advantages because of the color of their skin; and (6) Racial problems in the U.S. are rare, isolated situations.6 The Propublica legislator database of current and former legislators available here: https://github.com/unitedstates/congress-legislators7 The decision to assess additional words that are implicit anti-Black Lives Matters terms was made after the initial data collection and thus limited our analyses of these frames to the medium of e-newsletters which are continuously maintained at DCinbox.com. We thank an anonymous reviewer for this suggestion.8 Nine of these communications refer to the 1969 Stonewall riots because Pride month celebrations also take place annually during June which is in our time window.9 Though
【摘要】在2020年5月乔治·弗洛伊德(George Floyd)被谋杀之后,“黑人的命也是命”(BLM)运动迎来了第二次大规模关注。媒体的关注加强了,公众舆论对这场运动的支持达到了前所未有的程度。议员们也参与了进来,他们通过电子通讯、Facebook、Twitter和新闻稿来宣传支持或反对这项运动。通过这四种媒介,我们询问哪些类型的立法者或多或少倾向于公开他们的立场,以及这些趋势如何随媒介而变化。党派关系造成了最大的分歧,但在政党内部,有更极端的唱名表决历史的议员,以及来自种族主义观念更强烈的地区的议员,往往更有可能以明确和间接的方式讨论他们的立场。黑人议员和那些黑人选民比例较高的议员似乎没有明确的支持或反对模式。关键词:黑人的生命很重要政治传播种族运动国会披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。注1 Will Hurd在2020年没有寻求连任。2在本研究中,识别用户种族的方式是由作者通过视觉确定的,因此应该合理谨慎对待结果CrowdTangle是由Facebook创建的一个平台,它允许对Facebook上的公共团体和个人进行个案研究由德里克·威利斯、艾莉森·麦卡尼和杰里米·b·梅里尔维护的ProPublica代表收集网站:https://projects.propublica.org/represent/5包含对种族主义看法的六个问题:(1)爱尔兰人、意大利人、犹太人和许多其他少数民族克服了偏见,并努力向上发展。黑人也应该这样做,没有任何特殊待遇;(2)一代又一代的奴隶制和歧视造成了黑人难以通过劳动摆脱下层阶级的条件;(3)过去几年,黑人得到的比他们应得的少;(4)这实际上是一些人不够努力的问题,如果黑人再努力一点,他们就能和白人一样富裕;(5)美国的白人由于肤色有一定的优势;(6)种族问题在美国是罕见的、孤立的情况Propublica现任及前任立法委员资料库可在此找到:https://github.com/unitedstates/congress-legislators7我们在最初的资料收集后,决定评估其他隐含反“黑人的命也是命”(black Lives Matters)字眼,因此我们对这些框架的分析,仅限于DCinbox.com持续保存的电子通讯媒介。我们感谢一位匿名评论者的建议其中9个是关于1969年的石墙暴动,因为骄傲月的庆祝活动也在每年的6月举行,这是我们的时间窗口尽管在2016年至2018年期间,“蓝色生命很重要”一词共被提及13次,但要更深入地了解“所有生命都很重要”一词的误用和误解,请参见(阿特金斯引文2019)。在我们分析的其他三种媒体中,对“黑人的命也是命”的关注也有所增加。
{"title":"Black lives matter messaging across multiple congressional communication mediums","authors":"Lindsey Cormack, Jeff Gulati","doi":"10.1080/21565503.2023.2265896","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/21565503.2023.2265896","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTAfter the murder of George Floyd in May 2020 the Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement had a second, large attention surge. Media focus intensified and public opinion of the movement was the most supportive it had ever been. Legislators got involved too, taking to their e-newsletters, Facebook, Twitter, and press releases to publicize support or opposition to the movement. Using those four mediums we ask which sorts of legislators were more or less likely to make public their position, and how these trends vary by medium. Partisanship drives the biggest differences, but that within parties, legislators with more extreme roll-call voting histories, and those from districts expressing greater perceptions of racism tend to be more likely to discuss their positions in explicit and oblique ways. Black legislators and those with greater shares of Black constituents do not seem to have distinct patterns of signaling support or opposition.KEYWORDS: Black Lives Matterpolitical communicationracemovementsCongress Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 Will Hurd did not seek re-election in 2020.2 The manner of identifying the race of a user in this study was by visual determination made by the author, so the results ought to be taken with reasonable caution.3 CrowdTangle is the platform created by Facebook that permits academic and research work on the public groups and persons on Facebook by application on a case-by-case basis.4 ProPublica Represent Collection maintained by Derek Willis, Allison McCartney and Jeremy B. Merrill at: https://projects.propublica.org/represent/5 The six questions that comprise the perception of racism scale are: (1) Irish, Italians, Jewish and many other minorities overcame prejudice and worked their way up. Blacks should do the same without any special favors; (2) Generations of slavery and discrimination have created conditions that make it difficult for blacks to work their way out of the lower class; (3) Over the past few years, blacks have gotten less than they deserve; (4) It’s really a matter of some people not trying hard enough, if blacks would only try harder they could be just as well off as whites; (5) White people in the U.S. have certain advantages because of the color of their skin; and (6) Racial problems in the U.S. are rare, isolated situations.6 The Propublica legislator database of current and former legislators available here: https://github.com/unitedstates/congress-legislators7 The decision to assess additional words that are implicit anti-Black Lives Matters terms was made after the initial data collection and thus limited our analyses of these frames to the medium of e-newsletters which are continuously maintained at DCinbox.com. We thank an anonymous reviewer for this suggestion.8 Nine of these communications refer to the 1969 Stonewall riots because Pride month celebrations also take place annually during June which is in our time window.9 Though ","PeriodicalId":46590,"journal":{"name":"Politics Groups and Identities","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135198612","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-08-31DOI: 10.1080/21565503.2023.2251651
Matthew Polacko, Allison Harell
{"title":"Racial discrimination at the polls? The Canadian case of Jagmeet Singh","authors":"Matthew Polacko, Allison Harell","doi":"10.1080/21565503.2023.2251651","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/21565503.2023.2251651","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46590,"journal":{"name":"Politics Groups and Identities","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73926218","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-08-30DOI: 10.1080/21565503.2023.2248715
J. Anthony, David Kimball, Jack Santucci, Jamil Scott
{"title":"Support for ranked choice voting across party and race: results from a national survey experiment","authors":"J. Anthony, David Kimball, Jack Santucci, Jamil Scott","doi":"10.1080/21565503.2023.2248715","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/21565503.2023.2248715","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46590,"journal":{"name":"Politics Groups and Identities","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81663427","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-08-29DOI: 10.1080/21565503.2023.2248075
Elizabeth Baisley
{"title":"Institutional opportunities and party position change: the case of LGBTQ+ rights in Canada","authors":"Elizabeth Baisley","doi":"10.1080/21565503.2023.2248075","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/21565503.2023.2248075","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46590,"journal":{"name":"Politics Groups and Identities","volume":"28 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76584751","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}