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Parametric and nonparametric models and methods in financial econometrics 金融计量经济学中的参数与非参数模型与方法
IF 3.3 Q1 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2008-01-10 DOI: 10.1214/08-SS034
Zhibiao Zhao
Financial econometrics has become an increasingly popular research field. In this paper we review a few parametric and nonparametric models and methods used in this area. After introducing several widely used continuous-time and discrete-time models, we study in detail dependence structures of discrete samples, including Markovian property, hidden Markovian structure, contaminated observations, and random samples. We then discuss several popular parametric and nonparametric estimation methods. To avoid model mis-specification, model validation plays a key role in financial modeling. We discuss several model validation techniques, including pseudo-likelihood ratio test, nonparametric curve regression based test, residuals based test, generalized likelihood ratio test, simultaneous confidence band construction, and density based test. Finally, we briefly touch on tools for studying large sample properties.
金融计量经济学已经成为一个越来越受欢迎的研究领域。本文综述了在这一领域中使用的一些参数和非参数模型和方法。在介绍了几种广泛使用的连续时间和离散时间模型之后,我们详细研究了离散样本的依赖结构,包括马尔可夫性质、隐马尔可夫结构、污染观测值和随机样本。然后讨论了几种常用的参数估计和非参数估计方法。为了避免模型的错误规范,模型验证在金融建模中起着关键作用。我们讨论了几种模型验证技术,包括伪似然比检验、基于非参数曲线回归的检验、基于残差的检验、广义似然比检验、同时置信带构建和基于密度的检验。最后,我们简要介绍了研究大样本性质的工具。
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引用次数: 33
Testing polynomial covariate effects in linear and generalized linear mixed models. 检验多项式协变量效应在线性和广义线性混合模型。
IF 3.3 Q1 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.1214/08-ss036
Mingyan Huang, Daowen Zhang

An important feature of linear mixed models and generalized linear mixed models is that the conditional mean of the response given the random effects, after transformed by a link function, is linearly related to the fixed covariate effects and random effects. Therefore, it is of practical importance to test the adequacy of this assumption, particularly the assumption of linear covariate effects. In this paper, we review procedures that can be used for testing polynomial covariate effects in these popular models. Specifically, four types of hypothesis testing approaches are reviewed, i.e. R tests, likelihood ratio tests, score tests and residual-based tests. Derivation and performance of each testing procedure will be discussed, including a small simulation study for comparing the likelihood ratio tests with the score tests.

线性混合模型和广义线性混合模型的一个重要特征是,给定随机效应的响应的条件均值经过链接函数变换后,与固定协变量效应和随机效应线性相关。因此,检验这一假设的充分性,特别是线性协变量效应假设的充分性具有重要的实际意义。在本文中,我们回顾了可用于测试这些流行模型中的多项式协变量效应的程序。具体来说,回顾了四种假设检验方法,即R检验、似然比检验、分数检验和残差检验。将讨论每个测试程序的推导和性能,包括比较似然比测试和分数测试的小型模拟研究。
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引用次数: 2
Wavelet methods in statistics: Some recent developments and their applications 统计中的小波方法:一些最新发展及其应用
IF 3.3 Q1 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2007-12-03 DOI: 10.1214/07-SS014
A. Antoniadis
The development of wavelet theory has in recent years spawned applications in signal processing, in fast algorithms for integral transforms, and in image and function representation methods. This last application has stimulated interest in wavelet applications to statistics and to the analysis of experimental data, with many successes in the efficient analysis, processing, and compression of noisy signals and images. This is a selective review article that attempts to synthesize some recent work on ``nonlinear'' wavelet methods in nonparametric curve estimation and their role on a variety of applications. After a short introduction to wavelet theory, we discuss in detail several wavelet shrinkage and wavelet thresholding estimators, scattered in the literature and developed, under more or less standard settings, for density estimation from i.i.d. observations or to denoise data modeled as observations of a signal with additive noise. Most of these methods are fitted into the general concept of regularization with appropriately chosen penalty functions. A narrow range of applications in major areas of statistics is also discussed such as partial linear regression models and functional index models. The usefulness of all these methods are illustrated by means of simulations and practical examples.
近年来,小波理论的发展在信号处理、快速积分变换算法以及图像和函数表示方法中得到了广泛的应用。最后一个应用激发了人们对小波在统计和实验数据分析中的应用的兴趣,在有效分析、处理和压缩噪声信号和图像方面取得了许多成功。这是一篇选择性的综述文章,试图综合一些关于“非线性”小波方法在非参数曲线估计中的最新工作及其在各种应用中的作用。在对小波理论的简短介绍之后,我们详细讨论了几个小波收缩和小波阈值估计器,这些估计器分散在文献中,并在或多或少的标准设置下开发,用于从i.i.d观测值进行密度估计或将数据建模为具有加性噪声的信号观测值。这些方法中的大多数都适合于正则化的一般概念,并适当地选择惩罚函数。在统计的主要领域的狭窄范围的应用也进行了讨论,如部分线性回归模型和功能指数模型。通过仿真和实例说明了这些方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 174
Statistical inference for disordered sphere packings 无序球体填充的统计推断
IF 3.3 Q1 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2007-11-19 DOI: 10.1214/09-SS058
J. Picka
Sphere packings are essential to the development of physical models for powders, composite materials, and the atomic structure of the liquid state. There is a strong scientific need to be able to assess the fit of packing models to data, but this is complicated by the lack of formal probabilistic models for packings. Without formal models, simulation algorithms and collections of physical objects must be used as models. Identification of common aspects of different realizations of the same packing process requires the use of new descriptive statistics, many of which have yet to be developed. Model assessment will require the use of large samples of independent and identically distributed realizations, rather than the large single stationary realizations found in conventional spatial statistics. The development of procedures for model assessment will resemble the development of thermodynamic models, and will be based on much exploration and experimentation rather than on extensions of established statistical methods.
球体填料对于粉末、复合材料和液态原子结构的物理模型的发展至关重要。有一个强大的科学需要,能够评估包装模型与数据的拟合,但这是复杂的,缺乏正式的概率模型包装。如果没有正式的模型,仿真算法和物理对象的集合就必须用作模型。确定同一包装过程的不同实现的共同方面需要使用新的描述性统计,其中许多还有待发展。模型评估将需要使用独立和相同分布实现的大样本,而不是传统空间统计中发现的大型单一平稳实现。模型评估程序的发展将类似于热力学模型的发展,并且将基于大量的探索和实验,而不是基于已建立的统计方法的扩展。
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引用次数: 7
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