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Oil Price Volatility and Tail Risk Dynamics in the Indian Stock Market: Insights From the CAViaR and TVP-VAR Models 印度股市的油价波动和尾部风险动态:来自CAViaR和tpv - var模型的见解
IF 2.6 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-10-29 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70044
Son Duy Pham, Pranjal Srivastava, Thao Thac Thanh Nguyen

This study examines tail risk transmission across Indian stock sectors, employing the conditional autoregressive value-at-risk (CAViaR) model and time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) methodology. We uncover substantial interconnectedness, with total connectedness indices (TCIs) for both negative and positive tail risks reflecting significant inter-sectoral dependency. Analysis highlights symmetrical tail risk transmission across sectors and identifies consumer discretionary, financial services, and industrials as pivotal in risk distribution. Crude oil volatility is pinpointed as a key factor influencing negative tail risk connectedness, notably during geopolitical upheavals. The results emphasize the constrained potential for sectoral diversification in mitigating systemic risks, advocating for advanced risk management practices and diversified investment portfolios.

本研究采用条件自回归风险价值(CAViaR)模型和时变参数向量自回归(TVP-VAR)方法,考察了印度股票行业的尾部风险传导。我们发现了实质性的相互关联性,负面和正面尾部风险的总关联度指数(tci)反映了显著的部门间依赖性。分析强调了跨部门的对称尾部风险传递,并确定非必需消费品、金融服务和工业是风险分布的关键。原油波动被确定为影响负尾部风险连通性的关键因素,特别是在地缘政治动荡期间。研究结果强调了行业多样化在缓解系统性风险方面的有限潜力,提倡采用先进的风险管理实践和多样化的投资组合。
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引用次数: 0
Controlling Shareholders and Innovation: Evidence From Trademark Registrations 控股股东与创新:来自商标注册的证据
IF 2.6 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-10-29 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70046
Domenico Tarzia, Daniel Sungyeon Kim, Srinivasan Selvam

We examine how controlling shareholders influence corporate innovation, using trademark registration data from Chinese listed firms between 2003 and 2020. We find that the effect of control depends on the nature of the controlling entity: in state-owned enterprises (SOEs), government control is associated with significantly lower levels of innovation output, whereas in non-SOEs, greater authoritative power of the controlling shareholder is positively associated with innovation. Our findings suggest that institutional investors may help mitigate agency problems related to innovation in SOEs, although their role is limited in non-SOEs. Additional analyses reveal that trademarks are positively linked to future firm performance and that controlling shareholder authority is positively associated with innovation efficiency. Our findings underscore the importance of ownership structure in shaping firms' innovation strategies and outcomes.

本文利用2003年至2020年中国上市公司的商标注册数据,研究了控股股东对企业创新的影响。我们发现,控制的效果取决于控制实体的性质:在国有企业中,政府控制与创新产出水平显著降低相关,而在非国有企业中,更大的控股股东权威与创新水平呈正相关。研究结果表明,尽管机构投资者在非国有企业中的作用有限,但它们可能有助于缓解国企创新相关的代理问题。进一步的分析表明,商标与企业未来绩效呈正相关,控股股东权力与创新效率呈正相关。我们的研究结果强调了股权结构在塑造企业创新战略和成果方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Contrast effects: The phantom of an analyst's latest earnings forecasts 对比效应:分析师最新盈利预测的幻影
IF 2.6 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70041
Huan Cai, Xiaodi Zhang, Jie Zheng

Psychology research on contrast effects suggests that information from a previous decision may be compared with the information of the current task. We document a new stylized fact that an analyst's current annual earnings forecast error of one firm is negatively correlated with her latest forecast revision of another firm. We tease out contrast effects as the main driving force of this negative relationship by excluding other potential mechanisms such as firms' information environment and analyst constraints. We show that variables which may influence analysts' retrieval of past experiences have significant impacts on the magnitude of contrast effects, as predicted by the memory-based valuation model.

对比效应的心理学研究表明,以前的决策信息可能会与当前任务的信息进行比较。我们记录了一个新的风格化事实,即分析师当前对一家公司的年度收益预测误差与她对另一家公司的最新预测修正负相关。我们通过排除公司信息环境和分析师约束等其他潜在机制,梳理出对比效应作为这种负相关关系的主要驱动力。我们发现,正如基于记忆的评估模型所预测的那样,可能影响分析师对过去经验检索的变量对对比效应的大小有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
News about biodiversity risk and excess value of diversification 关于生物多样性风险和多样化价值过高的新闻
IF 2.6 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-10-05 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70042
Amanjot Singh

This study investigates the excess value implications of news about biodiversity risk for investors of diversified firms using a sample of 1019 US firms from 2001 to 2023. In a given year, more positive news about biodiversity risk increases the value of diversified firms relative to a benchmark portfolio of single-segment firms, especially for large-diversified firms. This diversification premium effect, that is, the excess value of diversified firms, in response to positive news about biodiversity risk, is non-linear, robust to several alternative specifications, and exists regardless of internal capital market efficiency, number of business segments, excess net income, and the climate change exposure of diversified firms. Our study highlights the potent role of diversified firms in exploiting biodiversity protection-related investment opportunities, as investors attach a relative premium to such firms.

本研究以2001年至2023年的1019家美国公司为样本,调查了多元化公司的投资者对生物多样性风险新闻的超额价值含义。在给定的年份里,更多关于生物多样性风险的积极消息增加了多元化公司相对于单一部门公司的基准投资组合的价值,特别是对于大型多元化公司。这种多元化溢价效应,即多元化公司的超额价值,对有关生物多样性风险的积极消息的反应,是非线性的,对几个替代规范具有鲁棒性,并且与内部资本市场效率、业务部门数量、超额净收入和多元化公司的气候变化风险无关。我们的研究强调了多元化公司在利用生物多样性保护相关投资机会方面的强大作用,因为投资者会给这些公司带来相对的溢价。
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引用次数: 0
The role of anchor investors in initial public offerings 锚定投资者在首次公开发行中的作用
IF 2.6 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-04 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70040
Ankit Singhal, Shalu Kalra, S. R. Vishwanatha

Do capital market regulations improve the efficiency of allocation of capital to IPO firms? We answer this question by examining a regulation in India that allows IPO firms to seek investment from lead (anchor) institutional investors. Using a sample of 158 anchor investor-backed IPOs and 689 non-anchor IPOs from 2006 to 2020, we find that anchor-backed IPO firms are more profitable and sell at higher valuations. These IPOs raise more equity than non-anchor firms, and anchor-backed firms with higher productivity of capital raise more equity than other firms. We find that anchor-backed IPOs experience a significant improvement in profitability and Q over 4 years after the IPO. Anchor backing is associated with a lower probability of the stock being downgraded to lower categories of listing and less illiquidity. Our results suggest that capital market regulations can be effective in directing capital to firms with higher investment efficiency.

资本市场监管是否提高了IPO公司的资本配置效率?我们通过考察印度允许IPO公司向牵头(锚定)机构投资者寻求投资的法规来回答这个问题。通过对2006年至2020年间158宗锚定投资者支持的IPO和689宗非锚定投资者支持的IPO的样本分析,我们发现锚定投资者支持的IPO公司盈利能力更强,出售价格也更高。这些ipo比非锚定公司筹集更多的股权,锚定公司的资本生产率更高,比其他公司筹集更多的股权。我们发现,锚定支持的IPO在IPO后4年内的盈利能力和Q都有显著改善。锚定支持与股票被降级为较低上市类别和较低流动性的可能性较低有关。我们的研究结果表明,资本市场监管可以有效地引导资本流向投资效率更高的企业。
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引用次数: 0
State ownership and green innovation in family firms 家族企业的国有制与绿色创新
IF 2.6 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70039
Ying Tang, Tingting Yang, Jinyu Chen, Zhiyong Li

This paper delves into the influence of state ownership on green innovation in family firms using a sample of Chinese listed companies from 2008 to 2021. Our results show that state ownership significantly promotes family firms' green innovation performance. Intergenerational succession, CEO's green experience, and Confucian cultural atmosphere moderate this positive relationship significantly. Channel tests indicate that state ownership positively affects green innovation in family firms by enhancing their corporate social responsibility, facilitating their access to external resources, and improving their internal control quality. Cross-sectional analysis shows that the promoting effect of state ownership on green innovation is more prominent among family firms in non-heavily polluting industries, those with higher levels of information transparency, and those facing lower levels of market competition. These findings provide new insights into the reverse mixed-ownership reform in China and offer valuable guidance for family firms in formulating effective green innovation strategies.

本文以2008 - 2021年中国上市公司为样本,研究国有制对家族企业绿色创新的影响。研究结果表明,国有企业显著提升了家族企业的绿色创新绩效。代际传承、CEO绿色体验、儒家文化氛围显著调节了这一正向关系。渠道检验表明,国有制通过增强家族企业的社会责任、促进家族企业获取外部资源、提高家族企业的内部控制质量等正向影响家族企业的绿色创新。横断面分析表明,国有制对绿色创新的促进作用在非重污染行业、信息透明度较高行业和市场竞争程度较低行业的家族企业中更为突出。这些研究结果为研究中国的反向混合所有制改革提供了新的视角,并为家族企业制定有效的绿色创新战略提供了有价值的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Cultural values and cross-country differences in responsible investing sectors 负责任投资部门的文化价值观和跨国差异
IF 2.6 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70035
Jędrzej Białkowski, Laura T. Starks, Moritz Wagner

Given the large variations in the evolution and the size of the responsible investing (RI) mutual fund sectors across countries, we examine factors affecting their growth. We find that the size of a country's RI fund industry, whether measured relative to the size of the conventional fund industry, total equity market capitalization, or relative to the country's GDP, is strongly related to the country's cultural norms, as measured by dimensions from Hofstede, World Values Survey, or GLOBE. The RI fund sector also increases with the country's wealth, as measured by the GDP per capita.

鉴于各国责任投资(RI)共同基金部门的演变和规模存在巨大差异,我们研究了影响其增长的因素。我们发现,一个国家的国际扶轮基金产业的规模,无论是相对于传统基金产业的规模、股票总市值,还是相对于该国的GDP,都与该国的文化规范密切相关,如Hofstede、World Values Survey或GLOBE的维度所衡量的。以人均GDP衡量,国际扶轮基金部门也随着国家财富的增加而增加。
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引用次数: 0
Geographical proximity and information advantage evidence from the Chinese seasoned equity offering market 地理邻近性和信息优势来自中国经验丰富的股票发行市场
IF 2.6 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70037
Yujia Wang, Qingbin Meng, Solomon Wang

Studying the Chinese SEO market, we find that investors geographically closer to an SEO firm's headquarters tend to submit bids that align more closely with the final offer price and tend to win the auction with a higher likelihood, particularly for high-demand SEOs. This local advantage is especially pronounced when bidding on firms with high operational uncertainty, active earnings management, and limited visits from institutional investors and analysts. Additionally, local investors are more likely to conduct on-site visits to SEO firms before the offering process than their nonlocal counterparts. However, this local edge diminishes during the nationwide COVID-19 lockdown and with the establishment of efficient transportation links to SEO firms. Overall, the evidence suggests that proximity provides investors with a significant advantage to gain information.

通过对中国搜索引擎优化市场的研究,我们发现,地理位置靠近搜索引擎优化公司总部的投资者倾向于提交与最终报价更接近的报价,并且更有可能赢得拍卖,特别是对于高需求的搜索引擎优化。在竞标经营不确定性高、积极的盈利管理、机构投资者和分析师访问有限的公司时,这种本地优势尤为明显。此外,与非本地投资者相比,本地投资者更有可能在发行过程之前对SEO公司进行现场访问。然而,在全国范围内的COVID-19封锁期间,以及与SEO公司建立有效的交通联系期间,这种本地优势减弱了。总的来说,证据表明,接近为投资者提供了获取信息的显著优势。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of credit constraints and risk tolerance on self-employment: Accounting for the hidden majority 信贷约束和风险承受能力对自营职业的影响:占隐性多数
IF 2.6 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-08-18 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70038
Muhammad Nawaz, Michael D. Noel

Small businesses are important drivers of economic activity and job creation but face significant credit constraints. This study examines the joint impact of credit constraints and risk tolerance on a household's decision to become self-employed using data from the 2022 Survey of Consumer Finance (SCF), and in a novel way. First, it uncovers and then accounts for the large numbers of households that are truly credit constrained yet systematically overlooked with traditional measures of credit constraints based on loan rejections. Three hidden groups are identified– underfunded borrowers, discouraged borrowers, and priced-out borrowers– which collectively make up an actual majority of credit constrained borrowers. Second, the study isolates and estimates the independent impact of credit constraints and risk tolerance on self-employment, avoiding a persistent common omitted variables problem in the literature. The results show that credit constraints and risk aversion significantly limit business activities. The exclusion biases are quantified.

小企业是经济活动和创造就业机会的重要推动力,但面临严重的信贷限制。本研究利用2022年消费者金融调查(SCF)的数据,以一种新颖的方式考察了信贷约束和风险承受能力对家庭自主创业决定的共同影响。首先,它揭示并解释了大量真正受到信贷约束的家庭,而传统的基于拒绝贷款的信贷约束措施却系统性地忽视了这些家庭。研究确定了三个隐藏的群体——资金不足的借款人、气馁的借款人和价格过高的借款人——它们共同构成了信贷受限借款人的实际多数。其次,该研究分离并估计了信贷约束和风险承受能力对自营职业的独立影响,避免了文献中持续存在的常见遗漏变量问题。结果表明,信用约束和风险规避显著地限制了商业活动。排除偏差是量化的。
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引用次数: 0
CEOs' financial work experience and corporate supplier stability: Evidence from China ceo财务工作经验与企业供应商稳定性:来自中国的证据
IF 2.6 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-30 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70036
Yewei Liu, Xianhang Qian, Qian Wu

This paper examines the impact of CEOs' financial work experience on corporate supplier stability. We find that a firm's supplier stability decreases when it's CEO has financial work experience. The impact is more pronounced for firms with fewer local procurement and less analyst coverage, and firms with lower industry concentration and limited market power. We also find that the impact of financial work experience is weakened when the financial expert CEO is female or older. The investigation into influencing channels shows that CEOs' financial work experience decreases corporate supplier stability through an increase in corporate financial investments, a decrease in financial slack, and an increase in agency costs. Finally, we find that decreased supplier stability driven by CEOs' financial work experience increases corporate operating risk. Our findings highlight the costs of hiring financial expert CEOs from the perspective of supply chain.

本文考察了ceo财务工作经历对企业供应商稳定性的影响。我们发现,当CEO有财务工作经验时,公司的供应商稳定性降低。对于本地采购较少、分析师覆盖面较少的公司,以及行业集中度较低、市场力量有限的公司,影响更为明显。我们还发现,当财务专家CEO为女性或年龄较大时,财务工作经验的影响减弱。通过对影响渠道的调查发现,ceo的财务工作经历通过增加企业财务投资、减少财务松弛和增加代理成本来降低企业供应商稳定性。最后,我们发现ceo财务工作经验导致的供应商稳定性下降增加了企业经营风险。我们的研究结果从供应链的角度强调了聘请财务专家首席执行官的成本。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Review of Finance
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