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Does carbon market add investment value in multi-asset portfolios? Evidence from hedge, safe haven, and portfolio performance 碳市场是否增加了多资产组合的投资价值?证据来自对冲、避险和投资组合的表现
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-16 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70031
Haiying Wang, Ting Luo, Chonghui Jiang, Mingchen Sun

This study explores the investment value of China's carbon market by analyzing its diversification potential and contribution. Specifically, we first assess the diversification potential from perspectives including potential identification, diversification roles, improvement on efficient frontier, and optimal weight analyses using the DCC-GARCH and dummy variable regression models. We further explore the diversification contribution by comparing the portfolio performance with and without the carbon market under various asset allocation strategies. Our results confirm the diversification potential of the carbon market and demonstrate its roles as both a hedge and a safe haven during the past decade and several periods of extreme market downturns. We also show the significant role of the carbon market in reducing portfolio risks. However, its risk-reducing capacity is weaker than that of green bonds, despite its superior return-enhancing capabilities in certain cases. Attractively, the diversification contribution of the carbon market is more pronounced in both portfolio risk reduction and return enhancement during turbulent periods compared to tranquil ones. These findings are crucial for developing effective asset allocation and risk management strategies.

本研究通过分析中国碳市场的多元化潜力和贡献,探讨中国碳市场的投资价值。具体而言,我们首先使用DCC-GARCH和虚拟变量回归模型,从潜力识别、多元化作用、有效前沿改进和最优权重分析等方面评估了多元化潜力。我们通过比较不同资产配置策略下有碳市场和没有碳市场的投资组合绩效,进一步探讨了多元化的贡献。我们的研究结果证实了碳市场的多样化潜力,并证明了它在过去十年和几个市场极端低迷时期作为对冲和避风港的作用。我们还展示了碳市场在降低投资组合风险方面的重要作用。然而,其降低风险的能力弱于绿色债券,尽管在某些情况下其提高收益的能力更强。值得注意的是,在动荡时期,碳市场在降低投资组合风险和提高收益方面的多元化贡献比平静时期更为显著。这些发现对于制定有效的资产配置和风险管理策略至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Shareholding arrangement within controlling family and ESG performance: Insights from succession planning in Chinese family businesses 控股家族内部股权安排与ESG绩效:来自中国家族企业继任计划的启示
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-15 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70028
Xin Jin, Gordon Yuan, Shan Wang, Junli Yu

This study examines how share allocation strategies during intergenerational succession affect the Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance of Chinese family businesses. Using data from 207 publicly listed Chinese family firms spanning 2009 to 2016 (totaling 1277 firm-year observations), we analyze the impact of the proportion and concentration of shares allocated to second-generation heirs on ESG outcomes. We apply a theoretical framework that integrates socioemotional wealth (SEW), agency, stewardship, and stakeholder theories to understand the role of equity allocation decisions in shaping firms' sustainability priorities. Our results indicate that increasing heirs' share proportions positively enhance ESG performance, while higher share concentration among family members negatively affects ESG outcomes. These findings remain consistent after multiple robustness checks and corrections for endogeneity. Furthermore, we demonstrate that traditional familism culture moderates these relationships, particularly influenced by founder characteristics, heirs' background, and the separation between ownership and management. This research provides new insights into the importance of internal share allocation decisions and cultural factors in promoting sustainable practices. Our findings contribute to existing literature by integrating multiple theoretical perspectives and offer practical guidance for family businesses and policymakers in China.

本研究探讨了代际传承过程中股权配置策略对中国家族企业环境、社会和治理绩效的影响。利用2009年至2016年207家中国上市家族企业的数据(共1277家公司年观察数据),我们分析了第二代继承人分配的股份比例和集中度对ESG结果的影响。我们运用了一个理论框架,整合了社会情感财富(SEW)、代理、管理和利益相关者理论,以理解股权分配决策在塑造公司可持续发展优先事项中的作用。我们的研究结果表明,继承人持股比例的增加对企业的ESG绩效有积极的促进作用,而家族成员持股比例的增加对企业的ESG绩效有消极的影响。这些发现在多次稳健性检查和内生性修正后保持一致。此外,我们证明了传统的家族主义文化调节了这些关系,特别是受到创始人特征、继承人背景和所有权与经营权分离的影响。本研究对内部股份分配决策和文化因素在促进可持续实践中的重要性提供了新的见解。本文的研究结果整合了多种理论视角,对现有文献有所贡献,并为中国家族企业和政策制定者提供了实践指导。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting value-at-risk for cryptocurrencies 预测加密货币的风险价值
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-14 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70029
Michael Michaelides, Niraj Poudyal

Value-at-Risk (VaR), the primary measure of downside risk in market risk management, relies heavily on the accuracy of volatility forecasts produced by risk models. This paper shows that, for forecasting the VaR of cryptocurrencies, the time-heterogeneous Student's t autoregressive model outperforms standard models commonly used by practitioners.

风险价值(VaR)是市场风险管理中衡量下行风险的主要指标,在很大程度上依赖于风险模型所产生的波动率预测的准确性。本文表明,对于预测加密货币的VaR,时间异构的学生t自回归模型优于从业者常用的标准模型。
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引用次数: 0
The power of spirit: CEOs' university mottos and corporate innovation 精神的力量:ceo的大学格言与企业创新
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70030
Yimin Gong, Xinyu Li, Xianhang Qian, Cheng Colin Zeng

This paper investigates the impact of CEOs' university mottos on corporate innovation. We find that firms led by CEOs who graduated from universities with the word innovation in their mottos exhibit higher levels of innovation. This positive effect is more pronounced when the CEOs graduated from science and technology or national key universities, and when the firm operates in a high-tech sector or is a non-state-owned enterprise (non-SOE). Channel tests reveal that CEOs whose university mottos include the word innovation enhance corporate innovation through three crucial mechanisms: (1) increasing focus on research and development (R&D), (2) allocating more resources to R&D endeavors, and (3) cultivating a corporate culture that embraces high-risk ventures. Overall, our study illuminates the crucial role of CEOs' innovative mindsets, which are shaped by their university mottos, in driving corporate innovation.

本文研究了ceo的大学格言对企业创新的影响。我们发现,那些毕业于座右铭中有“创新”一词的大学的ceo所领导的企业,其创新水平更高。当ceo毕业于科技大学或国家重点大学,当企业属于高科技行业或非国有企业时,这种积极效应更为明显。渠道测试显示,大学校训中包含“创新”一词的ceo通过三个关键机制促进企业创新:(1)增加对研发(R&;D)的关注;(2)为研发工作分配更多资源;(3)培养拥抱高风险企业的企业文化。总的来说,我们的研究阐明了ceo的创新思维在推动企业创新方面的关键作用,这种思维是由他们的大学格言塑造的。
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引用次数: 0
Adjusted air pollution exposure and corporate innovation investment: Evidence from China 调整后的空气污染暴露与企业创新投资:来自中国的证据
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-19 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70027
Jie Liu, Jing Chi, M. Humayun Kabir, Bilal Hafeez

Using a novel measure of air pollution exposure adjusted for the heterogeneity of exposures and the extent of local air pollution, we find a significant negative relationship between adjusted air pollution exposure and corporate innovation investment. This finding still holds after controlling for endogeneity and conducting a series of robustness tests. While the relationship is mediated through net operating cash flows and debt financing costs, we also find that firms with high adjusted air pollution exposure might have deteriorated productivity of R&D personnel, which ultimately hinders innovation input and output. However, state ownership appears to mitigate this adverse effect of adjusted air pollution exposure. Furthermore, the adverse effects of air pollution exposure on innovation investment are more pronounced among firms that disclose environmental information, exhibit low managerial risk tolerance, operate in non-polluting industries, or are located in developed and less polluted regions. Additionally, the negative impact is particularly evident in the subsample of firms after the signing of the 2015 Paris Agreement. This study sheds light on the importance of adjusted air pollution exposure and its influence on corporate investment in China.

通过对空气污染暴露的异质性和当地空气污染程度进行调整,我们发现调整后的空气污染暴露与企业创新投资之间存在显著的负相关关系。在控制内生性并进行一系列稳健性测试后,这一发现仍然成立。虽然这种关系是通过净经营性现金流和债务融资成本来中介的,但我们也发现,高调整空气污染暴露的企业可能会使研发人员的生产率下降,从而最终阻碍创新投入和产出。然而,国家所有权似乎减轻了调整空气污染暴露的这种不利影响。此外,空气污染暴露对创新投资的不利影响在披露环境信息、管理风险承受能力较低、从事无污染行业或位于污染较轻的发达地区的企业中更为明显。此外,在2015年《巴黎协定》签署后的公司子样本中,负面影响尤为明显。本研究揭示了调整空气污染暴露的重要性及其对中国企业投资的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Displacement of labor by capital: Its implication on stock liquidity 劳动力被资本取代:对股票流动性的影响
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-06 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70026
Jang-Chul Kim, Sharif Mazumder, Qing Su

This study investigates the impact of firms' potential to automate routine-task labor on stock liquidity. We demonstrate that firms with a high potential for automation (AP), characterized by a significant share of displaceable labor, experience a decline in stock liquidity. Our analysis shows that this association is particularly pronounced during positive technological shocks and heightened product market competition. Using the catastrophic 2011 Thai flooding as an exogenous shock to AP, we find evidence that the relationship between AP and liquidity is likely causal. The findings withstand rigorous testing, encompassing industry-level analysis, propensity score matching, and the utilization of alternative proxies for both displaceable labor and stock liquidity. This examination is augmented by the inclusion of additional control variables. These results contribute to a deeper understanding of the interplay between automation, market dynamics, and liquidity, offering valuable insights for investors, policymakers, and firms navigating the evolving technological innovation landscape.

本研究探讨公司自动化日常工作对股票流动性的影响。我们证明,具有高自动化潜力(AP)的公司,其特征是可替代劳动力的显著份额,经历股票流动性的下降。我们的分析表明,这种关联在积极的技术冲击和产品市场竞争加剧时尤为明显。利用2011年泰国灾难性洪灾作为对AP的外生冲击,我们发现AP与流动性之间可能存在因果关系的证据。这些发现经受住了严格的检验,包括行业层面的分析、倾向得分匹配,以及对可替代劳动力和股票流动性的替代代理的利用。这种检查通过包含额外的控制变量而得到加强。这些结果有助于更深入地了解自动化、市场动态和流动性之间的相互作用,为投资者、政策制定者和企业在不断发展的技术创新前景中提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Incorporation in offshore financial centers: Naughty or Nice? 在离岸金融中心注册公司:好还是坏?
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-03 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70022
Warren Bailey, Edith X. Liu

We highlight the importance of law and regulation using firms incorporated in offshore financial centers (OFCs) that promise an efficient institutional environment but can also enable expropriation of minority shareholders. We find SEC action is more likely for these firms, which is consistent with lower investor valuation and our model's intuition. Our identification strategy using a Cayman Islands corporate law change, a related court decision, and increases in government scrutiny confirms that easier takeover provisions benefit minority shareholders. Thus, whether these unusual jurisdictions are beneficial or destructive depends on law, regulation, and firm, home country, and listing country characteristics.

我们强调利用在离岸金融中心(OFCs)注册的公司制定法律法规的重要性,离岸金融中心承诺提供高效的制度环境,但也可能使少数股东被征用。我们发现SEC更有可能对这些公司采取行动,这与较低的投资者估值和我们模型的直觉是一致的。我们利用开曼群岛公司法变更、相关法院判决和政府审查力度加大的识别策略证实,更宽松的收购条款有利于小股东。因此,这些不寻常的司法管辖区是有益的还是有害的,取决于法律、法规、公司、母国和上市国的特点。
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引用次数: 0
Life-cycle planning model with stochastic volatility and recursive preferences 具有随机波动和递归偏好的生命周期规划模型
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70025
Hao Wang, Dongdong Liu, Lin Xu, Ning Wang

This study examines the optimal investment, consumption, and life insurance choices faced by a wage earner with recursive preferences within a finite time horizon. We posit that the financial market comprises a risk-free asset and a risky asset that follows a general stochastic volatility model. The objective of the wage earner is to identify optimal investment, consumption, and life insurance strategies that maximize the expected utility of discounted intertemporal consumption, legacy wealth, and terminal wealth throughout the uncertain lifespan. Using the dynamic programming principle, we derive the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation to describe the optimal investment–consumption–insurance strategy and its corresponding value function. By solving the HJB equations, we derive the analytical solutions for the optimal strategy and value function in the cases of the exponential-polynomial form and the Heston's stochastic volatility model. Through numerical simulations, we investigate the impact of several parameters, providing further economic insights obtained in this study.

本研究考察了在有限时间范围内具有递归偏好的工薪族所面临的最优投资、消费和人寿保险选择。我们假设金融市场由无风险资产和遵循一般随机波动模型的风险资产组成。工薪阶层的目标是确定最优的投资、消费和人寿保险策略,使跨期消费、遗产财富和终端财富在不确定的生命周期内的预期效用最大化。利用动态规划原理,导出了最优投资-消费-保险策略的Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB)方程及其对应的价值函数。通过求解HJB方程,导出了指数多项式形式和赫斯顿随机波动模型下的最优策略和最优值函数的解析解。通过数值模拟,我们研究了几个参数的影响,提供了本研究中获得的进一步的经济见解。
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引用次数: 0
Aftermarket performance of emerging growth companies: The long-term effects of the JOBS act and the role of institutional investors 新兴成长型公司的后市场表现:JOBS法案的长期影响和机构投资者的作用
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70024
Mengxi Chen, Liang Guo, Xu Niu

We study the long-run aftermarket performance of Emerging Growth Companies (EGCs), a new category of IPO issuers created by the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act (JOBS Act). We document that, in the long run, EGCs outperform by about 25 percentage points, compared to those firms that would have qualified as EGCs had they gone public after the enactment of the JOBS Act. We further find that institutional investors play an important role in supporting the long-run performance of EGCs—not only do EGCs have greater institutional ownership, but the positive effect of institutional ownership on IPO firms' long-run performance is also more pronounced. The paper represents a first attempt to study the long-run aftermarket performance of EGCs and its determinants. Our findings contribute to the burgeoning literature on the effectiveness of the JOBS Act and evidence of the supporting role of institutional investors on IPO aftermarket performance.

我们研究了新兴成长型公司(EGCs)的长期后市场表现,EGCs是由《创业创业法案》(JOBS法案)创建的一种新的IPO发行人类别。我们发现,从长期来看,与那些在《就业法案》颁布后上市的公司相比,EGCs的表现要高出约25个百分点。我们进一步发现,机构投资者在支持上市公司长期绩效方面发挥了重要作用,不仅上市公司拥有更大的机构持股,而且机构持股对IPO公司长期绩效的积极影响也更为显著。本文首次尝试研究EGCs的长期售后表现及其决定因素。我们的研究结果促进了关于JOBS法案有效性的新兴文献,并证明了机构投资者对IPO后市场表现的支持作用。
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引用次数: 0
Examining the impact of domestic monetary policy on foreign portfolio investment flows to India 考察国内货币政策对外国证券投资流入印度的影响
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-14 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70023
Virender Kumar

While the determinants of foreign portfolio investment (FPI) flows to India have been extensively analyzed, research has largely failed to document the impact and the relative importance of domestic monetary policy shock vis-à-vis other variables in causing FPI flows to India. This study adds to the literature by empirically examining the impact of the domestic monetary policy shock on FPI flows to India using the structural VAR methodology. It further disaggregates the analysis of FPI flows into portfolio equity flows (PEF) and portfolio debt flows (PDF) to investigate whether a domestic monetary policy shock affects the two flows similarly or differently. The study finds that domestic monetary policy shock (measured through shocks to interest rate differential and domestic money supply growth) significantly influences FPI flows to India, explaining about 10.1% of the total variation in these flows. The disaggregated analysis of FPI also reveals similar results for both portfolio equity flows and portfolio debt flows; however, the impact of the domestic monetary policy shock is greater on the debt component of FPI (portfolio debt flows) than on the equity component of FPI (portfolio equity flows).

虽然外国证券投资(FPI)流入印度的决定因素已被广泛分析,但研究在很大程度上未能记录国内货币政策冲击与-à-vis其他变量在导致FPI流入印度方面的影响和相对重要性。本研究通过使用结构性VAR方法实证检验国内货币政策冲击对流入印度的fdi的影响,从而增加了文献。它进一步将FPI流动分析分解为投资组合权益流动(PEF)和投资组合债务流动(PDF),以调查国内货币政策冲击对这两种流动的影响是否相似或不同。研究发现,国内货币政策冲击(通过对利率差异和国内货币供应增长的冲击来衡量)显著影响流入印度的FPI,解释了这些流动中约10.1%的总变化。FPI的分类分析也揭示了投资组合股权流动和投资组合债务流动的类似结果;然而,国内货币政策冲击对FPI的债务部分(投资组合债务流动)的影响大于对FPI的股权部分(投资组合股权流动)的影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Review of Finance
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