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The price of the slow lane: Traffic congestion and stock block trading premium 慢车道的价格:交通拥堵和股票大宗交易溢价
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-21 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12432
Tingqiu Cao, Xianhang Qian, Le Zhang

Using data on city-level daily traffic congestion and stock block trading, we investigate the impact of trader cities' traffic congestion on the stock block trading price. We find that higher level of traffic congestion in the traders' cities is associated with lower stock block trading premium, particularly when the information asymmetry between the trading parties is high. We also find that the buyers have more bargaining power in determining the price premium of block trading. Moreover, we employ a multi-pronged approach to address the identification issue and find confirming evidence for the causal link.

利用城市层面的每日交通拥堵和股票大宗交易数据,我们调查了交易城市的交通拥堵对股票大宗交易价格的影响。我们发现,交易者所在城市的交通拥堵程度越高,股票大宗交易溢价越低,尤其是当交易各方之间的信息不对称程度高时。我们还发现,买家在决定大宗交易的价格溢价方面有更大的议价能力。此外,我们采用多管齐下的方法来解决身份识别问题,并找到因果关系的确凿证据。
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引用次数: 0
In family we trust—In good and bad times 在家庭中我们信任——无论顺境还是逆境
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12429
Philippe Masset, Cédric Poretti, Jean-Philippe Weisskopf

This short report investigates the stock market behavior of Swiss companies during the COVID-19 pandemic. Results suggest that family firms performed better during the outbreak and post-lockdown periods than widely-held firms. Family firms also displayed a larger abnormal trading volume drop than widely-held companies. In size-sorted subsamples, the volume difference appears more pronounced for smaller firms. We explain these findings by family firms, especially smaller ones, predominantly attracting investors with a long-term horizon. Such investors are less likely to sell during market turmoil, making family firms not only less liquid but also less sensitive to market fluctuations.

这份简短报告调查了2019冠状病毒病疫情期间瑞士公司的股票市场行为。结果表明,家族企业在疫情爆发和封锁后时期的表现要好于广泛持有的企业。家族企业的异常交易量下降幅度也比广泛持有的公司大。在规模排序的子样本中,规模较小的公司的数量差异似乎更为明显。我们通过家族企业,尤其是小型企业来解释这些发现,这些企业主要吸引具有长期眼光的投资者。这些投资者在市场动荡期间不太可能抛售,这不仅降低了家族企业的流动性,而且对市场波动也不那么敏感。
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引用次数: 0
Climate risks and forecastability of the weekly state-level economic conditions of the United States 气候风险和美国每周州一级经济状况的可预测性
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-13 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12431
Oguzhan Cepni, Rangan Gupta, Wenting Liao, Jun Ma

In this paper, we first utilize a dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility (DFM-SV) to filter out the national factor from the local components of weekly state-level economic conditions indexes of the United States (US) over the period of April 1987 to August 2021. In the second step, we forecast the state-level factors in a panel data set-up based on the information content of corresponding state-level climate risks, as proxied by changes in temperature and its SV. The forecasting experiment depicts statistically significant evidence of out-of-sample predictability over a one-month- to one-year-ahead horizon, with stronger forecasting gains derived for states that do not believe that climate change is happening and are Republican. We also find evidence of national climate risks in accurately forecasting the national factor of economic conditions. Our analyses have important policy implications from a regional perspective.

在本文中,我们首先利用具有随机波动率的动态因子模型(DFM‐SV)从1987年4月至2021年8月期间美国(US)每周州一级经济状况指数的地方成分中过滤出国家因素。在第二步中,我们根据相应的状态气候风险的信息含量,在面板数据集中预测状态因子,以温度及其SV变化为代表。预测实验描述了一个月到一年的样本外可预测性的统计显著证据,对不相信气候变化正在发生的共和党州的预测收益更强。在对国家经济状况因子的准确预测中也发现了国家气候风险的证据。从区域角度来看,我们的分析具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
A novel approach to portfolio selection using news volume and sentiment 一种利用新闻量和情绪进行投资组合选择的新方法
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-08 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12427
Kin-Yip Ho, Kun Tracy Wang, Wanbin Walter Wang

In this study, we develop a novel approach to portfolio diversification by integrating information on news volume and sentiment with the k-nearest neighbors (kNN) algorithm. Our empirical analysis indicates that high news volume contributes to portfolio risk, whereas news sentiment contributes to portfolio return. Based on these findings, we propose a kNN algorithm for portfolio selection. Our in-sample and out-of-sample tests suggest that the proposed kNN portfolio selection approach outperforms the benchmark index portfolio. Overall, we show that incorporating news volume and sentiment into portfolio selection can enhance portfolio performance by improving returns and reducing risk.

在本研究中,我们开发了一种新颖的方法,通过将新闻量和情绪信息与k近邻(kNN)算法相结合来实现投资组合多样化。实证分析表明,高新闻量增加了投资组合风险,而新闻情绪增加了投资组合收益。基于这些发现,我们提出了一种kNN算法用于投资组合选择。我们的样本内和样本外测试表明,所提出的kNN投资组合选择方法优于基准指数投资组合。总体而言,我们表明将新闻量和情绪纳入投资组合选择可以通过提高回报和降低风险来提高投资组合绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Do academic directors matter? Evidence from Taiwan equity market 学术负责人重要吗?台湾股市证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-07 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12428
Tai-Hsi Wu, Mei-Chen Lin, Pei-Ju Lucy Ting, Jyun Yan Huang

In this study, we investigate the impact of academic directors on a firm's performance and decisions in the Taiwan equity market. We find that firms with more independent directors and board size are more likely to appoint academic directors, and academic directors can improve firm performance. The presence of academic directors positively affects firm performance through channels like more capital expenditure and larger R&D expenses. Academic directors with finance and technology backgrounds positively correlate with both Tobin's Q and ROA. Moreover, the appropriate match of expertise between firms and their academic directors contributes to a better performance. However, corporations with academic directors have a higher compensation gap between top managers and employees.

在本研究中,我们调查台湾股票市场学术董事对公司绩效和决策的影响。我们发现,拥有更多独立董事和董事会规模的公司更有可能任命学术董事,而学术董事可以提高公司业绩。学术董事的存在通过更多的资本支出和更大的研发费用等渠道对公司业绩产生积极影响。具有金融和技术背景的学术主管与Tobin的Q和ROA呈正相关。此外,企业与其学术主管之间的专业知识的适当匹配有助于提高绩效。然而,拥有学术型董事的公司高层管理人员和员工之间的薪酬差距更大。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of corporate annual report quality on the relationship between institutional blockholder monitoring and firm's information environment 企业年度报告质量对制度块持有人监控与企业信息环境关系的影响
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-02 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12430
Chune Young Chung, Amirhossein Fard, Hong Kee Sul

Expanding on current research, this study finds that firms with better financial report readability demonstrate a stronger relationship between institutional blockholder monitoring and information asymmetry. This result supports our hypothesis that enhanced readability improves firm information and aids the institutional investor monitoring of firms, reducing information asymmetry. By demonstrating that readability amplifies the marginal effect of institutional blockholder monitoring, we highlight the significance and policy implications of better corporate disclosure readability.

在现有研究的基础上,本研究发现,财务报告可读性较好的公司表现出机构大股东监控与信息不对称之间更强的关系。这一结果支持了我们的假设,即可读性的增强改善了企业信息,有助于机构投资者对企业的监控,减少了信息不对称。通过证明可读性放大了机构整体持有人监控的边际效应,我们强调了更好的公司披露可读性的重要性和政策含义。
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引用次数: 0
The cross-predictability of industry returns in international financial markets 国际金融市场中行业回报的交叉可预测性
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12426
Xin Wang, Haofei Zhang

This article finds evidence of return cross-predictability among trading partners in international financial markets. We show that the predictability of international customers dominates the predictability of domestic customers, and the predictability of international intra-industry customers dominates the predictability of international inter-industry customers. This return cross-predictability decreases with two country characteristics: financial sophistication and size.

本文发现了国际金融市场中贸易伙伴之间收益交叉可预测性的证据。研究表明,国际客户的可预测性支配着国内客户的可预测性,国际行业内客户的可预测性支配着国际行业间客户的可预测性。这种回报的交叉可预测性随着两个国家的特征而降低:金融成熟度和规模。
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引用次数: 0
Topic tones of analyst reports and stock returns: A deep learning approach 分析报告和股票回报的主题语调:一种深度学习方法
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12425
Hitoshi Iwasaki, Ying Chen, Jun Tu

We present a novel approach that analyzes topics and tones of analyst reports using a deep neural network in a supervised learning approach. By letting trained classifiers evaluate topics and tones of the reports, we find that incorporation of topic tones significantly enhances the accuracy of predicting cumulative abnormal returns, increasing adjusted R2 from 6.1% without considering textual information to 17.9% with detailed topic tones. This improvement is primarily driven by the inclusion of opinion and corporate fact type of topics. Our findings highlight importance of topic assessment to make the most use of analyst reports for informed investment decisions.

我们提出了一种新的方法,使用深度神经网络在监督学习方法中分析分析报告的主题和音调。通过让训练过的分类器评估报告的主题和音调,我们发现主题音调的结合显著提高了预测累积异常收益的准确性,将调整后的r2从不考虑文本信息的6.1%提高到有详细主题音调的17.9%。这种改进主要是由于纳入了意见和公司事实类型的主题。我们的研究结果强调了主题评估的重要性,以充分利用分析师报告进行明智的投资决策。
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引用次数: 0
The contribution of macroprudential policies to banks' resilience: Lessons from the systemic crises and the COVID-19 pandemic shock 宏观审慎政策对银行韧性的贡献:系统性危机和COVID - 19大流行冲击的教训
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-07-15 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12424
Tiago F. A. Matos, João C. A. Teixeira, Tiago M. Dutra

This study examines the effectiveness of macroprudential policies in reducing the banks' risk during the COVID-19 pandemic and compares these results with the systemic banking crises years. Based on a sample of 624 banks across 40 countries during the period 2006–2020, we find that loosening capital-aimed macroprudential policies effectively reduced banks' risk during the COVID-19 pandemic, while this behavior led to increased risk during the systemic crises years. In contrast, tightening the remaining macroprudential policies during the systemic crises years and during the pandemic proved effective in reducing banks' risk. Furthermore, we show that the magnitude of the impact of macroprudential policies was stronger during the systemic crisis than that during the pandemic. Finally, we show that the results are driven by the capital requirement prudential policy, both during the systemic crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, although the conservation buffer and the leverage limit also contributes to the ineffectiveness of these policies during the COVID-19 pandemic. The banks' leverage and loan growth also play an enhancing role of the effects of the macroprudential policies.

本研究考察了宏观审慎政策在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间降低银行风险方面的有效性,并将这些结果与系统性银行危机年份进行了比较。基于2006-2020年期间40个国家624家银行的样本,我们发现放松以资本为目标的宏观审慎政策有效降低了银行在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间的风险,而这种行为导致系统性危机时期的风险增加。相比之下,在系统性危机时期和大流行期间,收紧剩余的宏观审慎政策被证明对降低银行风险是有效的。此外,我们表明宏观审慎政策的影响程度在系统性危机期间比在大流行期间更强。最后,我们表明,在系统性危机和COVID-19大流行期间,这一结果都受到资本要求审慎政策的推动,尽管保护性缓冲和杠杆限制也导致了这些政策在COVID-19大流行期间的无效。银行杠杆率和贷款增长对宏观审慎政策的效果也有增强作用。
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引用次数: 1
Political institutions and corporate risk-taking: International evidence 政治制度与企业风险承担:国际证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.12423
Helen X. H. Bao, Rohan Cardoza

Tapping into firm-level accounting data across 90 countries over a 26-year period, we find that sound political institutions are positively associated with corporate risk-taking. This result is economically significant, robust to alternative proxies for corporate risk-taking and political institutions, and continues to hold after mitigating endogeneity concerns of political institutions. We also collect evidence that sound political institutions may compensate for weak legal institutions in inducing corporate risk-taking. We argue that sound political institutions improve the investment environment for firms and can induce higher levels of corporate risk-taking, which is ultimately associated with economic growth.

通过分析90个国家26年间的企业会计数据,我们发现健全的政治制度与企业的风险承担呈正相关。这一结果在经济上具有重要意义,对于企业冒险和政治制度的替代代理来说是稳健的,并且在缓解政治制度的内生性担忧后继续成立。我们还收集证据表明,健全的政治制度可能会在诱导企业冒险方面弥补薄弱的法律制度。我们认为,健全的政治制度可以改善企业的投资环境,并可以诱导更高水平的企业冒险,这最终与经济增长有关。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Review of Finance
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