首页 > 最新文献

International Review of Finance最新文献

英文 中文
Life-cycle planning model with stochastic volatility and recursive preferences 具有随机波动和递归偏好的生命周期规划模型
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70025
Hao Wang, Dongdong Liu, Lin Xu, Ning Wang

This study examines the optimal investment, consumption, and life insurance choices faced by a wage earner with recursive preferences within a finite time horizon. We posit that the financial market comprises a risk-free asset and a risky asset that follows a general stochastic volatility model. The objective of the wage earner is to identify optimal investment, consumption, and life insurance strategies that maximize the expected utility of discounted intertemporal consumption, legacy wealth, and terminal wealth throughout the uncertain lifespan. Using the dynamic programming principle, we derive the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation to describe the optimal investment–consumption–insurance strategy and its corresponding value function. By solving the HJB equations, we derive the analytical solutions for the optimal strategy and value function in the cases of the exponential-polynomial form and the Heston's stochastic volatility model. Through numerical simulations, we investigate the impact of several parameters, providing further economic insights obtained in this study.

本研究考察了在有限时间范围内具有递归偏好的工薪族所面临的最优投资、消费和人寿保险选择。我们假设金融市场由无风险资产和遵循一般随机波动模型的风险资产组成。工薪阶层的目标是确定最优的投资、消费和人寿保险策略,使跨期消费、遗产财富和终端财富在不确定的生命周期内的预期效用最大化。利用动态规划原理,导出了最优投资-消费-保险策略的Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB)方程及其对应的价值函数。通过求解HJB方程,导出了指数多项式形式和赫斯顿随机波动模型下的最优策略和最优值函数的解析解。通过数值模拟,我们研究了几个参数的影响,提供了本研究中获得的进一步的经济见解。
{"title":"Life-cycle planning model with stochastic volatility and recursive preferences","authors":"Hao Wang,&nbsp;Dongdong Liu,&nbsp;Lin Xu,&nbsp;Ning Wang","doi":"10.1111/irfi.70025","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.70025","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines the optimal investment, consumption, and life insurance choices faced by a wage earner with recursive preferences within a finite time horizon. We posit that the financial market comprises a risk-free asset and a risky asset that follows a general stochastic volatility model. The objective of the wage earner is to identify optimal investment, consumption, and life insurance strategies that maximize the expected utility of discounted intertemporal consumption, legacy wealth, and terminal wealth throughout the uncertain lifespan. Using the dynamic programming principle, we derive the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation to describe the optimal investment–consumption–insurance strategy and its corresponding value function. By solving the HJB equations, we derive the analytical solutions for the optimal strategy and value function in the cases of the exponential-polynomial form and the Heston's stochastic volatility model. Through numerical simulations, we investigate the impact of several parameters, providing further economic insights obtained in this study.</p>","PeriodicalId":46664,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Finance","volume":"25 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/irfi.70025","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144148258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Aftermarket performance of emerging growth companies: The long-term effects of the JOBS act and the role of institutional investors 新兴成长型公司的后市场表现:JOBS法案的长期影响和机构投资者的作用
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70024
Mengxi Chen, Liang Guo, Xu Niu

We study the long-run aftermarket performance of Emerging Growth Companies (EGCs), a new category of IPO issuers created by the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act (JOBS Act). We document that, in the long run, EGCs outperform by about 25 percentage points, compared to those firms that would have qualified as EGCs had they gone public after the enactment of the JOBS Act. We further find that institutional investors play an important role in supporting the long-run performance of EGCs—not only do EGCs have greater institutional ownership, but the positive effect of institutional ownership on IPO firms' long-run performance is also more pronounced. The paper represents a first attempt to study the long-run aftermarket performance of EGCs and its determinants. Our findings contribute to the burgeoning literature on the effectiveness of the JOBS Act and evidence of the supporting role of institutional investors on IPO aftermarket performance.

我们研究了新兴成长型公司(EGCs)的长期后市场表现,EGCs是由《创业创业法案》(JOBS法案)创建的一种新的IPO发行人类别。我们发现,从长期来看,与那些在《就业法案》颁布后上市的公司相比,EGCs的表现要高出约25个百分点。我们进一步发现,机构投资者在支持上市公司长期绩效方面发挥了重要作用,不仅上市公司拥有更大的机构持股,而且机构持股对IPO公司长期绩效的积极影响也更为显著。本文首次尝试研究EGCs的长期售后表现及其决定因素。我们的研究结果促进了关于JOBS法案有效性的新兴文献,并证明了机构投资者对IPO后市场表现的支持作用。
{"title":"Aftermarket performance of emerging growth companies: The long-term effects of the JOBS act and the role of institutional investors","authors":"Mengxi Chen,&nbsp;Liang Guo,&nbsp;Xu Niu","doi":"10.1111/irfi.70024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.70024","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We study the long-run aftermarket performance of Emerging Growth Companies (EGCs), a new category of IPO issuers created by the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act (JOBS Act). We document that, in the long run, EGCs outperform by about 25 percentage points, compared to those firms that would have qualified as EGCs had they gone public after the enactment of the JOBS Act. We further find that institutional investors play an important role in supporting the long-run performance of EGCs—not only do EGCs have greater institutional ownership, but the positive effect of institutional ownership on IPO firms' long-run performance is also more pronounced. The paper represents a first attempt to study the long-run aftermarket performance of EGCs and its determinants. Our findings contribute to the burgeoning literature on the effectiveness of the JOBS Act and evidence of the supporting role of institutional investors on IPO aftermarket performance.</p>","PeriodicalId":46664,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Finance","volume":"25 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144085430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Examining the impact of domestic monetary policy on foreign portfolio investment flows to India 考察国内货币政策对外国证券投资流入印度的影响
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-14 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70023
Virender Kumar

While the determinants of foreign portfolio investment (FPI) flows to India have been extensively analyzed, research has largely failed to document the impact and the relative importance of domestic monetary policy shock vis-à-vis other variables in causing FPI flows to India. This study adds to the literature by empirically examining the impact of the domestic monetary policy shock on FPI flows to India using the structural VAR methodology. It further disaggregates the analysis of FPI flows into portfolio equity flows (PEF) and portfolio debt flows (PDF) to investigate whether a domestic monetary policy shock affects the two flows similarly or differently. The study finds that domestic monetary policy shock (measured through shocks to interest rate differential and domestic money supply growth) significantly influences FPI flows to India, explaining about 10.1% of the total variation in these flows. The disaggregated analysis of FPI also reveals similar results for both portfolio equity flows and portfolio debt flows; however, the impact of the domestic monetary policy shock is greater on the debt component of FPI (portfolio debt flows) than on the equity component of FPI (portfolio equity flows).

虽然外国证券投资(FPI)流入印度的决定因素已被广泛分析,但研究在很大程度上未能记录国内货币政策冲击与-à-vis其他变量在导致FPI流入印度方面的影响和相对重要性。本研究通过使用结构性VAR方法实证检验国内货币政策冲击对流入印度的fdi的影响,从而增加了文献。它进一步将FPI流动分析分解为投资组合权益流动(PEF)和投资组合债务流动(PDF),以调查国内货币政策冲击对这两种流动的影响是否相似或不同。研究发现,国内货币政策冲击(通过对利率差异和国内货币供应增长的冲击来衡量)显著影响流入印度的FPI,解释了这些流动中约10.1%的总变化。FPI的分类分析也揭示了投资组合股权流动和投资组合债务流动的类似结果;然而,国内货币政策冲击对FPI的债务部分(投资组合债务流动)的影响大于对FPI的股权部分(投资组合股权流动)的影响。
{"title":"Examining the impact of domestic monetary policy on foreign portfolio investment flows to India","authors":"Virender Kumar","doi":"10.1111/irfi.70023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.70023","url":null,"abstract":"<p>While the determinants of foreign portfolio investment (FPI) flows to India have been extensively analyzed, research has largely failed to document the impact and the relative importance of domestic monetary policy shock vis-à-vis other variables in causing FPI flows to India. This study adds to the literature by empirically examining the impact of the domestic monetary policy shock on FPI flows to India using the structural VAR methodology. It further disaggregates the analysis of FPI flows into portfolio equity flows (PEF) and portfolio debt flows (PDF) to investigate whether a domestic monetary policy shock affects the two flows similarly or differently. The study finds that domestic monetary policy shock (measured through shocks to interest rate differential and domestic money supply growth) significantly influences FPI flows to India, explaining about 10.1% of the total variation in these flows. The disaggregated analysis of FPI also reveals similar results for both portfolio equity flows and portfolio debt flows; however, the impact of the domestic monetary policy shock is greater on the debt component of FPI (portfolio debt flows) than on the equity component of FPI (portfolio equity flows).</p>","PeriodicalId":46664,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Finance","volume":"25 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143944452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Production promotion versus liquidity constraints: Agricultural production loans and farmers' staple crop storage behavior 生产促进与流动性约束:农业生产贷款与农民主粮储存行为
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-05 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70020
Ziying Yang, Junjie Liu, Xinlong Tan

Extensive research has documented the benefits of agricultural production loans, yet limited studies address the impacts of liquidity constraints during harvest season due to loan repayment obligations. This study examines how agricultural production loans influence farmers' crop storage decisions. Based on a theoretical two-period household model, we demonstrate that the net effect of such loans on grain storage behavior is ambiguous, contingent upon the relative dominance of liquidity constraint relief versus production enhancement incentives. Utilizing data from the China National Fixed-Point Survey (2004–2014), our empirical analysis using fixed-effect models corroborates the theoretical predictions. Specifically, we find that agricultural production loans negatively affect wheat storage and the storage-to-output ratio for wheat. Conversely, these loans positively correlate with storage levels and storage-to-output ratios for maize and soybeans. Additionally, our results indicate a negative impact on rice storage but no significant effect on the rice storage-to-output ratio. Further analysis reveals that, compared with wheat and rice, maize and soybeans have a higher output return of capital input. Furthermore, we find agricultural production loans raise household income and consumption.

广泛的研究记录了农业生产贷款的好处,但有限的研究解决了由于贷款偿还义务而导致的收获季节流动性限制的影响。本研究探讨农业生产贷款如何影响农民的作物储存决策。基于理论两期家庭模型,我们证明了此类贷款对粮食储存行为的净影响是模糊的,取决于流动性约束缓解与增产激励的相对优势。本文利用2004-2014年全国定点调查数据,运用固定效应模型进行实证分析,验证了理论预测。具体而言,我们发现农业生产贷款对小麦储存量和小麦储出比有负向影响。相反,这些贷款与玉米和大豆的储存水平和储存产出比呈正相关。此外,我们的研究结果表明,水稻储存量受到负面影响,但对水稻储出比没有显著影响。进一步分析表明,与小麦和水稻相比,玉米和大豆具有更高的资本投入产出回报率。此外,我们发现农业生产贷款提高了家庭收入和消费。
{"title":"Production promotion versus liquidity constraints: Agricultural production loans and farmers' staple crop storage behavior","authors":"Ziying Yang,&nbsp;Junjie Liu,&nbsp;Xinlong Tan","doi":"10.1111/irfi.70020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.70020","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Extensive research has documented the benefits of agricultural production loans, yet limited studies address the impacts of liquidity constraints during harvest season due to loan repayment obligations. This study examines how agricultural production loans influence farmers' crop storage decisions. Based on a theoretical two-period household model, we demonstrate that the net effect of such loans on grain storage behavior is ambiguous, contingent upon the relative dominance of liquidity constraint relief versus production enhancement incentives. Utilizing data from the China National Fixed-Point Survey (2004–2014), our empirical analysis using fixed-effect models corroborates the theoretical predictions. Specifically, we find that agricultural production loans negatively affect wheat storage and the storage-to-output ratio for wheat. Conversely, these loans positively correlate with storage levels and storage-to-output ratios for maize and soybeans. Additionally, our results indicate a negative impact on rice storage but no significant effect on the rice storage-to-output ratio. Further analysis reveals that, compared with wheat and rice, maize and soybeans have a higher output return of capital input. Furthermore, we find agricultural production loans raise household income and consumption.</p>","PeriodicalId":46664,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Finance","volume":"25 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143908867","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effect of corporate governance on the relationship between performance and competition 公司治理对绩效与竞争关系的影响
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-03 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70018
Di Wu, Wayne W. Yu

This paper examines the effect of corporate governance on the relationship between performance and market competition. We use changes in import tariffs as exogenous shocks to product market competition to examine how the effect of these shocks on performance varies with corporate governance. We find that elevated product market competition due to import tariff cuts results in significant performance deterioration for firms with strong corporate governance, but little effect or even a significant positive effect on performance for firms with poor governance. We further find that these effects are much stronger for nonexporting firms and small firms because they do not have the opportunity/resources to soften the impact of increased competitive pressure. Our findings suggest that elevated market competition helps to reduce managerial entrenchment/slack, which can offset the adverse effects of increased competitive pressure, especially for nonexporting firms and small firms. The findings lend support to the hypothesis that managerial slack is inversely related to industry competitive pressure and, hence, that product market competition and internal corporate governance are substitutes for each other.

本文考察了公司治理对绩效与市场竞争关系的影响。我们将进口关税的变化作为产品市场竞争的外生冲击来考察这些冲击对绩效的影响如何随公司治理而变化。我们发现,由于进口关税削减而导致的产品市场竞争加剧,对公司治理较强的企业的绩效显著恶化,但对公司治理较差的企业的绩效几乎没有影响,甚至有显著的积极影响。我们进一步发现,这些影响对非出口企业和小企业更为强烈,因为它们没有机会/资源来减轻竞争压力增加的影响。我们的研究结果表明,提高市场竞争有助于减少管理堑壕/懈怠,这可以抵消竞争压力增加的不利影响,特别是对非出口企业和小企业。研究结果支持了管理松弛与行业竞争压力呈负相关的假设,因此,产品市场竞争和内部公司治理是相互替代的。
{"title":"The effect of corporate governance on the relationship between performance and competition","authors":"Di Wu,&nbsp;Wayne W. Yu","doi":"10.1111/irfi.70018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.70018","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper examines the effect of corporate governance on the relationship between performance and market competition. We use changes in import tariffs as exogenous shocks to product market competition to examine how the effect of these shocks on performance varies with corporate governance. We find that elevated product market competition due to import tariff cuts results in significant performance deterioration for firms with strong corporate governance, but little effect or even a significant positive effect on performance for firms with poor governance. We further find that these effects are much stronger for nonexporting firms and small firms because they do not have the opportunity/resources to soften the impact of increased competitive pressure. Our findings suggest that elevated market competition helps to reduce managerial entrenchment/slack, which can offset the adverse effects of increased competitive pressure, especially for nonexporting firms and small firms. The findings lend support to the hypothesis that managerial slack is inversely related to industry competitive pressure and, hence, that product market competition and internal corporate governance are substitutes for each other.</p>","PeriodicalId":46664,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Finance","volume":"25 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/irfi.70018","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143900917","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Synergizing domain knowledge and machine learning: Intelligent early fraud detection enhanced by earnings management analysis 协同领域知识和机器学习:盈余管理分析增强的智能早期欺诈检测
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-05-02 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70021
Shipei Zeng, Shan Dai

This paper addresses firm fraud detection by synergizing domain knowledge with machine learning through heuristic and explainable feature construction. Unlike traditional approaches that focus on algorithmic improvements, our method introduces a set of features based on earnings management analysis, providing factors influencing firm fraudulent behavior. Empirical results using a firm-year dataset from China demonstrate better classification accuracy of fraud detection compared to machine learning models with raw financial statement features alone. Additionally, the results remain robust with different false positive rates, observation periods, and firm groups. This domain knowledge-enhanced machine learning method, with alternative features for fraud detection, leads to more transparent regulation and the potential for similar counterfeit detection applications in China and beyond.

本文通过启发式和可解释的特征构建,通过协同领域知识和机器学习来解决企业欺诈检测问题。与注重算法改进的传统方法不同,我们的方法引入了一组基于盈余管理分析的特征,提供了影响企业欺诈行为的因素。使用来自中国的公司年度数据集的实证结果表明,与仅使用原始财务报表特征的机器学习模型相比,欺诈检测的分类准确性更高。此外,不同的假阳性率、观察期和固定组的结果仍然稳健。这种领域知识增强的机器学习方法,具有欺诈检测的替代功能,导致更透明的监管,并有可能在中国和其他地区进行类似的假冒检测应用。
{"title":"Synergizing domain knowledge and machine learning: Intelligent early fraud detection enhanced by earnings management analysis","authors":"Shipei Zeng,&nbsp;Shan Dai","doi":"10.1111/irfi.70021","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.70021","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper addresses firm fraud detection by synergizing domain knowledge with machine learning through heuristic and explainable feature construction. Unlike traditional approaches that focus on algorithmic improvements, our method introduces a set of features based on earnings management analysis, providing factors influencing firm fraudulent behavior. Empirical results using a firm-year dataset from China demonstrate better classification accuracy of fraud detection compared to machine learning models with raw financial statement features alone. Additionally, the results remain robust with different false positive rates, observation periods, and firm groups. This domain knowledge-enhanced machine learning method, with alternative features for fraud detection, leads to more transparent regulation and the potential for similar counterfeit detection applications in China and beyond.</p>","PeriodicalId":46664,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Finance","volume":"25 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143900996","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A simple model of managerial incentives with monitoring 一个管理激励与监督的简单模型
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-26 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70019
Gino Loyola

We propose a model of corporate governance that characterizes the optimal managerial compensation scheme when the board of directors can monitor by auditing. The results reveal a significant substitution effect such that when monitoring is sufficiently weak, the optimal compensation depends on performance, but as it grows stronger, the incentive power of compensation declines. When monitoring is sufficiently strong, however, the compensation gives the manager full insurance. These properties are consistent with the reduction in executive pay-performance sensitivity observed after U.S. regulatory reforms aimed at improving corporate internal control.

本文提出了当董事会可以通过审计进行监督时,最优管理层薪酬方案的公司治理模型。结果表明,当监督足够弱时,最优薪酬取决于绩效,但当监督越来越强时,薪酬的激励能力就会下降。然而,当监督足够强大时,补偿给了经理充分的保障。这些特性与美国旨在改善公司内部控制的监管改革后观察到的高管薪酬绩效敏感性的降低是一致的。
{"title":"A simple model of managerial incentives with monitoring","authors":"Gino Loyola","doi":"10.1111/irfi.70019","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.70019","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We propose a model of corporate governance that characterizes the optimal managerial compensation scheme when the board of directors can monitor by auditing. The results reveal a significant substitution effect such that when monitoring is sufficiently weak, the optimal compensation depends on performance, but as it grows stronger, the incentive power of compensation declines. When monitoring is sufficiently strong, however, the compensation gives the manager full insurance. These properties are consistent with the reduction in executive pay-performance sensitivity observed after U.S. regulatory reforms aimed at improving corporate internal control.</p>","PeriodicalId":46664,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Finance","volume":"25 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143875537","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analyst forecasts worldwide: The impact of ESG information from diverse sources and regulatory mandates 全球分析师预测:来自不同来源的ESG信息和监管要求的影响
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70017
Miao Yu, Ziyao San, Dan Shi, Albert Tsang

In this study, we investigate the informativeness of the non-financial environmental, social, and governance (ESG) information provided by various intermediaries including firms, the media, and ESG rating agencies, to financial analysts. By analyzing cross-sectional ESG data from various sources related to 56 countries, we find that ESG information plays a crucial role in shaping analyst forecasts. More importantly, we examine the interaction between internally and externally sourced information on affecting analysts. Our results suggest that while ESG information from the media attenuates the impact of firms' ESG disclosures on reducing analysts' forecast errors and dispersion, information from ESG rating agencies increases this impact. We also find that globally implemented mandatory ESG disclosure regulations significantly increase the effect of ESG information from all three sources on analysts. In countries with a stronger stakeholder orientation, financial analysts tend to derive greater relative benefits from ESG information obtained from various sources. Overall, the findings of this study support the conclusion that both externally and internally sourced ESG information is of significant value for financial analysts, and the implementation of mandatory ESG disclosure requirements in a country increases this significance.

在本研究中,我们调查了包括公司、媒体和ESG评级机构在内的各种中介机构向金融分析师提供的非金融环境、社会和治理(ESG)信息的信息量。通过分析来自56个国家的不同来源的ESG横截面数据,我们发现ESG信息在形成分析师预测中起着至关重要的作用。更重要的是,我们检查影响分析人员的内部和外部来源信息之间的相互作用。我们的研究结果表明,虽然来自媒体的ESG信息减弱了公司ESG披露对减少分析师预测误差和分散性的影响,但来自ESG评级机构的信息增加了这种影响。我们还发现,全球实施的强制性ESG披露法规显著增加了来自这三个来源的ESG信息对分析师的影响。在利益相关者取向更强的国家,金融分析师往往从各种来源获得的ESG信息中获得更大的相对利益。总体而言,本研究的结果支持以下结论:外部和内部来源的ESG信息对金融分析师都具有重要价值,而在一个国家实施强制性ESG披露要求增加了这种重要性。
{"title":"Analyst forecasts worldwide: The impact of ESG information from diverse sources and regulatory mandates","authors":"Miao Yu,&nbsp;Ziyao San,&nbsp;Dan Shi,&nbsp;Albert Tsang","doi":"10.1111/irfi.70017","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.70017","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this study, we investigate the informativeness of the non-financial environmental, social, and governance (ESG) information provided by various intermediaries including firms, the media, and ESG rating agencies, to financial analysts. By analyzing cross-sectional ESG data from various sources related to 56 countries, we find that ESG information plays a crucial role in shaping analyst forecasts. More importantly, we examine the interaction between internally and externally sourced information on affecting analysts. Our results suggest that while ESG information from the media attenuates the impact of firms' ESG disclosures on reducing analysts' forecast errors and dispersion, information from ESG rating agencies increases this impact. We also find that globally implemented mandatory ESG disclosure regulations significantly increase the effect of ESG information from all three sources on analysts. In countries with a stronger stakeholder orientation, financial analysts tend to derive greater relative benefits from ESG information obtained from various sources. Overall, the findings of this study support the conclusion that both externally and internally sourced ESG information is of significant value for financial analysts, and the implementation of mandatory ESG disclosure requirements in a country increases this significance.</p>","PeriodicalId":46664,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Finance","volume":"25 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143857122","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Monetary policy, stock market and inflation amid economic uncertainty: Fresh evidence from an emerging market (the Indian case) 经济不确定性下的货币政策、股市和通胀:来自新兴市场的新证据(印度案例)
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-14 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70016
Asis Kumar Sahu, Byomakesh Debata, Paras Sachdeva

This study examines the transmission of monetary policy shocks on stock market returns, liquidity, expected inflation, and inflation under varying economic policy uncertainty (EPU) levels in the Indian context. Using a Smooth Transition VAR model, we find that contractionary monetary policy increases illiquidity and decreases returns during the high EPU regime but has minimal effects during the low EPU regime. Additionally, monetary policy effectively curtails expected inflation and inflation in a low EPU regime more than in a high EPU regime. The results emphasize monetary policy transmission via expectation channels over asset pricing channels.

本研究考察了货币政策冲击在印度不同经济政策不确定性(EPU)水平下对股票市场回报、流动性、预期通胀和通胀的传导。利用平滑过渡VAR模型,我们发现紧缩货币政策在高EPU制度下增加了非流动性并降低了收益,但在低EPU制度下影响最小。此外,货币政策在低EPU制度下比在高EPU制度下更有效地抑制预期通货膨胀和通货膨胀。结果强调货币政策通过预期渠道而不是资产定价渠道传导。
{"title":"Monetary policy, stock market and inflation amid economic uncertainty: Fresh evidence from an emerging market (the Indian case)","authors":"Asis Kumar Sahu,&nbsp;Byomakesh Debata,&nbsp;Paras Sachdeva","doi":"10.1111/irfi.70016","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.70016","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines the transmission of monetary policy shocks on stock market returns, liquidity, expected inflation, and inflation under varying economic policy uncertainty (EPU) levels in the Indian context. Using a Smooth Transition VAR model, we find that contractionary monetary policy increases illiquidity and decreases returns during the high EPU regime but has minimal effects during the low EPU regime. Additionally, monetary policy effectively curtails expected inflation and inflation in a low EPU regime more than in a high EPU regime. The results emphasize monetary policy transmission via expectation channels over asset pricing channels.</p>","PeriodicalId":46664,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Finance","volume":"25 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-04-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143827062","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Insider trading footprints: An empirical look at detected cases in Australia 内幕交易足迹:对澳大利亚已发现案件的实证研究
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1111/irfi.70013
Dean Katselas, Sarah Osborne

This paper examines illegal insider trading in Australian equity markets, focusing on whether such trades leave observable footprints in prices and returns. We compile a hand-collected dataset of identified insider-trading incidents. Using an event-study design, we find minimal footprints for earnings announcements and a small negative price effect for M&A deals. A detection-controlled estimation (DCE) model reveals that while 17.79% of M&A announcements likely involve insider trading, regulators detect only 29.59%. Thus, relying solely on detected trades understates insider trading's broader impact. Our results highlight stealthy trading tactics and the need for enhanced surveillance to combat hidden illegal trades.

本文研究了澳大利亚股票市场的非法内幕交易,重点关注此类交易是否在价格和回报中留下可观察的足迹。我们汇编了一个手工收集的已确认内幕交易事件数据集。使用事件研究设计,我们发现收益公告的影响最小,并购交易的负面价格效应很小。检测控制估计(DCE)模型显示,尽管17.79%的并购公告可能涉及内幕交易,但监管机构仅检测到29.59%。因此,仅仅依靠侦测到的交易低估了内幕交易的广泛影响。我们的调查结果强调了秘密交易策略和加强监察以打击隐藏的非法交易的必要性。
{"title":"Insider trading footprints: An empirical look at detected cases in Australia","authors":"Dean Katselas,&nbsp;Sarah Osborne","doi":"10.1111/irfi.70013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.70013","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper examines illegal insider trading in Australian equity markets, focusing on whether such trades leave observable footprints in prices and returns. We compile a hand-collected dataset of identified insider-trading incidents. Using an event-study design, we find minimal footprints for earnings announcements and a small negative price effect for M&amp;A deals. A detection-controlled estimation (DCE) model reveals that while 17.79% of M&amp;A announcements likely involve insider trading, regulators detect only 29.59%. Thus, relying solely on detected trades understates insider trading's broader impact. Our results highlight stealthy trading tactics and the need for enhanced surveillance to combat hidden illegal trades.</p>","PeriodicalId":46664,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Finance","volume":"25 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/irfi.70013","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143818761","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
International Review of Finance
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1