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Greenhouse gas emissions and stock market volatility: an empirical analysis of OECD countries 温室气体排放与股市波动:经合组织国家的实证分析
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-10-2021-0124
Jungsik Noh, Heejin Park
PurposeThis study aims to explore empirical evidence of the impact of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions on stock market volatility.Design/methodology/approachUsing panel data of 35 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development countries from 1992 to 2018, we conduct both fixed effects panel model and Prais-Winsten model with panel-corrected standard errors.FindingsThe authors document that there is a significant positive relationship between GHG emissions and stock market volatility. The results remain robust after controlling for potential endogeneity problems.Originality/valueThis study contributes to the literature in that it provides additional empirical evidence for the financial risk posed by climate change.
目的本研究旨在探索温室气体排放对股市波动影响的实证证据。设计/方法/方法利用1992年至2018年35个经济合作与发展组织国家的面板数据,我们进行了具有面板校正标准误差的固定效应面板模型和Prais-Winsten模型。研究结果作者记录了温室气体排放与股市波动之间存在显著的正相关关系。在控制了潜在的内生性问题后,结果仍然稳健。独创性/价值这项研究为文献提供了额外的经验证据,证明气候变化带来的金融风险。
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引用次数: 1
China’s power industry’s carbon emission intensity in the context of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality: measurement and regional difference 碳达峰和碳中和背景下的中国电力行业碳排放强度:测度与区域差异
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-09 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-08-2022-0119
Pinjie Xie, Baolin Sun, Li Liu, Yuwen Xie, Fan Yang, Rong Zhang
PurposeTo cope with the severe situation of the global climate, China proposed the “30 60” dual-carbon strategic goal. Based on this background, the purpose of this paper is to investigate scientifically and reasonably the interprovincial pattern of China’s power carbon emission intensity and further explore the causes of differences on this basis.Design/methodology/approachConsidering the principle of “shared but differentiated responsibilities,” this study measures the carbon emissions within the power industry from 1997 to 2019 scientifically, via the panel data of 30 provinces in China. The power carbon emission intensity is chosen as the indicator. Using the Dagum Gini coefficient to explore regional differences and their causes.FindingsThe results of this paper show that, first, China’s carbon emission intensity from the power industry overall is significantly different. From the perspective of geospatial distribution, the three regions have unbalanced characteristics. Second, according to the decomposition results of the Gini coefficient, the overall difference in power carbon emission intensity is generally expanding. The geospatial and economic development levels are examined separately. The gaps between the eastern and economically developed regions are the smallest, and the regional differences are the source of the overall disparity.Research limitations/implicationsFurther exploring the causes of differences on this basis is crucial for relevant departments to formulate differentiated energy conservation and emission reduction policies. This study provides direction for analyzing the green and low carbon development of China’s power industry.Practical implicationsAs an economic indicator of green and low-carbon development, CO2 intensity of power industry can directly reflect the dependence of economic growth on the high emission of electricity and energy. and further exploring the causes of differences on this basis is crucial for relevant departments to formulate differentiated energy conservation and emission reduction policies.Social implicationsFor a long time, with the rapid economic development, resulting in the unresolved contradiction between low energy efficiency and high carbon emissions. To this end, scientifically and reasonably investigating the interprovincial pattern of China’s power carbon emission intensity, and further exploring the causes of differences on this basis, is crucial for relevant departments to formulate differentiated energy conservation and emission reduction policies.Originality/valueThird, considering the influence of spatial factors on the convergence of power carbon emission intensity, a variety of different spatial weight matrices are selected. Based on the β-convergence theory from both absolute and conditional perspectives, we dig deeper into the spatial convergence of electricity carbon emission intensity across the country and the three regions.
目的为应对全球气候的严峻形势,中国提出了“30—60”双碳战略目标。基于这一背景,本文旨在科学合理地调查我国电力碳排放强度的省际格局,并在此基础上进一步探究差异产生的原因。设计/方法/方法考虑到“责任分担但有区别”的原则,本研究通过中国30个省份的面板数据,科学地测量了1997-2019年电力行业的碳排放量。选择功率碳排放强度作为指标。利用Dagum-Gini系数探讨区域差异及其原因。研究结果表明:第一,我国电力行业的碳排放强度总体上存在显著差异。从地理空间分布来看,这三个区域具有不平衡的特征。其次,根据基尼系数的分解结果,电力碳排放强度的总体差异总体上正在扩大。分别考察了地理空间和经济发展水平。东部地区与经济发达地区之间的差距最小,地区差异是整体差距的根源。研究局限性/含义在此基础上进一步探究差异产生的原因,对于相关部门制定差异化的节能减排政策至关重要。本研究为分析中国电力工业绿色低碳发展提供了方向。实践意义电力行业二氧化碳排放强度作为绿色低碳发展的经济指标,可以直接反映经济增长对高排放电力和能源的依赖程度。在此基础上进一步探究差异产生的原因,对于相关部门制定差异化的节能减排政策至关重要。社会影响长期以来,随着经济的快速发展,导致低能效和高碳排放之间的矛盾尚未解决。为此,科学合理地调查我国电力碳排放强度的省际格局,并在此基础上进一步探究差异产生的原因,对于相关部门制定差异化的节能减排政策至关重要。原创性/价值第三,考虑到空间因素对电力碳排放强度收敛的影响,选择了各种不同的空间权重矩阵。基于β-收敛理论,从绝对和条件两个角度,我们深入挖掘了全国和三个地区电力碳排放强度的空间收敛性。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change and extremes: implications on city livability and associated health risks across the globe 气候变化和极端情况:对全球城市宜居性和相关健康风险的影响
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-07-2021-0078
W. Leal Filho, Liza Tuladhar, Chunlan Li, A. Balogun, Marina Kovaleva, I. Abubakar, H. Azadi, F. Donkor
PurposeAs global warming intensifies, climatic conditions are changing dramatically, potentially affecting specific businesses and cities’ livability. The temperature increase in cities significantly affects urban residents whose percentage is to reach about 70% by 2050. This paper aimed at highlighting the climate change risks in cities, particularly focusing on the threats to people’s health due to a continuous temperature increase.Design/methodology/approachThis study was conducted in three main steps. First, the literature review on the effects of climate change, particularly on the continuous temperature rise in cities, was conducted based on the publications retrieved from PubMed, Science Direct, Google Scholar and Research Gate. Second, the survey was conducted for the sample cities for one month. Third, the questionnaire was used to assess possible climate change threats to the livability of cities.FindingsThe findings showed that urban areas are usually warmer than the surrounding rural areas, mainly due to the urban heat island effect, causing more hot days in metropolitan areas compared to rural areas. This paper outlines some mitigation and adaptation measures, which can be implemented to improve the livability in cities, their sustainability and the well-being of their populations.Originality/valueThis study reports on the climate change impacts on the health and livability of 15 cities, in industrialized and developing countries. It examines the average and maximum temperature and relative humidity of each city and its correlation with their livability. It was complemented by a survey focused on 109 cities from Africa, Asia, Europe, Latin America, North America and Oceania.
目的随着全球变暖加剧,气候条件正在急剧变化,可能会影响特定的企业和城市的宜居性。城市的气温上升对城市居民产生了重大影响,到2050年,城市居民的比例将达到70%左右。本文旨在强调城市的气候变化风险,特别是关注持续升温对人们健康的威胁。设计/方法论/方法本研究分三个主要步骤进行。首先,根据PubMed、Science Direct、Google Scholar和Research Gate检索的出版物,对气候变化的影响,特别是对城市持续升温的影响进行了文献综述。其次,对样本城市进行为期一个月的调查。第三,问卷用于评估气候变化对城市宜居性可能造成的威胁。调查结果表明,城市地区通常比周围的农村地区更温暖,这主要是由于城市热岛效应,与农村地区相比,大都市地区的炎热天数更多。本文概述了一些缓解和适应措施,这些措施可以用来改善城市的宜居性、可持续性和人口福祉。原创性/价值本研究报告了气候变化对工业化国家和发展中国家15个城市的健康和宜居性的影响。它考察了每个城市的平均和最高温度和相对湿度,以及它们与宜居性的相关性。此外,还对来自非洲、亚洲、欧洲、拉丁美洲、北美洲和大洋洲的109个城市进行了调查。
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引用次数: 3
Climate change, extreme events and mental health in the Pacific region 太平洋区域的气候变化、极端事件和心理健康
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-06 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-03-2022-0032
W. Leal Filho, M. Krishnapillai, Aprajita Minhas, Sannia Ali, Gabriela Nagle Alverio, Medhat Sayed Hendy Ahmed, Roselyn Naidu, R. Prasad, Navjot Bhullar, Ayyoob Sharifi, Gustavo J. Nagy, Marina Kovaleva
PurposeThis paper aims to address a gap in investigating specific impacts of climate change on mental health in the Pacific region, a region prone to extreme events. This paper reports on a study on the connections between climate change, public health, extreme weather and climate events (EWEs), livelihoods and mental health, focusing on the Pacific region Islands countries.Design/methodology/approachThis paper deploys two main methods. The first is a bibliometric analysis to understand the state of the literature. For example, the input data for term co-occurrence analysis using VOSviewer is bibliometric data of publications downloaded from Scopus. The second method describes case studies, which outline some of the EWEs the region has faced, which have also impacted mental health.FindingsThe results suggest that the increased frequency of EWEs in the region contributes to a greater incidence of mental health problems. These, in turn, are associated with a relatively low level of resilience and greater vulnerability. The findings illustrate the need for improvements in the public health systems of Pacific nations so that they are in a better position to cope with the pressures posed by a changing environment.Originality/valueThis paper contributes to the current literature by identifying the links between climate change, extreme events, environmental health and mental health consequences in the Pacific Region. It calls for greater awareness of the subject matter of mental health among public health professionals so that they may be better able to recognise the symptoms and relate them to their climate-related causes and co-determinant factors.
目的本文旨在解决太平洋地区在调查气候变化对心理健康的具体影响方面存在的差距,太平洋地区是一个容易发生极端事件的地区。本文报告了一项关于气候变化、公共卫生、极端天气和气候事件、生计和心理健康之间联系的研究,重点是太平洋地区岛屿国家。设计/方法论/方法本文采用了两种主要方法。第一种是文献计量分析,以了解文献的状况。例如,使用VOSviewer进行术语共现分析的输入数据是从Scopus下载的出版物的文献计量数据。第二种方法描述了案例研究,概述了该地区面临的一些EWE,这些EWE也影响了心理健康。研究结果表明,该地区EWE频率的增加导致了心理健康问题的更高发生率。这些反过来又与相对较低的复原力和更大的脆弱性有关。研究结果表明,太平洋国家需要改善公共卫生系统,以便更好地应对环境变化带来的压力。原创性/价值本文通过确定太平洋地区气候变化、极端事件、环境健康和心理健康后果之间的联系,为当前的文献做出了贡献。它呼吁公共卫生专业人员提高对心理健康主题的认识,以便他们能够更好地识别症状,并将其与气候相关的原因和共同决定因素联系起来。
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引用次数: 2
Climate risk, climate risk distance and foreign direct investment 气候风险、气候风险距离与外商直接投资
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-09-2021-0100
Zhaopeng Xing, Yawen Wang
PurposeClimate risk greatly increases the risk exposure of global investments. Both the climate risks of home countries and host countries may affect international investment behaviors. The purpose of this paper is to explore the impact of climate risk and climate risk distance on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and outflows. Targeted proposals are provided to promote international economic and trade cooperation and the authors provide suggestions for the FDI strategies of multinational enterprises.Design/methodology/approachThe authors define “climate risk distance” as the difference in climate risks between two countries. This paper uses both a theoretical model and a generalized least squares test to investigate the impact of climate risk distance on FDI from the perspectives of FDI inflows and outflows. In addition, the authors subdivide the samples according to the sign of climate risk distance and rank the FDI share from home country to host country into four groups according to the host country’s climate risk index. Finally, the authors undertake empirical tests with outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) data to support the empirical results.FindingsInvestors from countries with low climate risks have the upper hand due to their competitive advantages, like their skills, trademarks and patent rights, which they can transfer abroad to offset the disadvantage of being non-native. This is generally defined as ownership advantage. The impact of climate risk distance on FDI depends on the sign of climate risk distance. Specifically, host countries with higher climate risks compared with the climate risk levels of home countries may experience insignificant reductions in FDI inflows. For investors from home countries with higher climate risks, they are less likely to invest in host countries with lower climate risks. The results for samples from emerging market economies are shown to be more significant.Originality/valueThis study advances the O (ownership advantage) part of the ownership, location and internationalization (OLI) paradigm by incorporating the climate risk distance between the home country and the host country into the influencing factors of FDI. Both the O part and the L (location advantage, the advantage that host countries offers to make internationalization worthwhile to undertake FDI) part of the OLI paradigm concerning climate risks are validated with FDI and OFDI data.
目的气候风险大大增加了全球投资的风险敞口。母国和东道国的气候风险都可能影响国际投资行为。本文旨在探讨气候风险和气候风险距离对外国直接投资流入和流出的影响。为促进国际经贸合作提出了有针对性的建议,并对跨国企业的FDI战略提出了建议。设计/方法/方法作者将“气候风险距离”定义为两国之间气候风险的差异。本文采用理论模型和广义最小二乘检验,从FDI流入和流出的角度研究了气候风险距离对FDI的影响。此外,作者根据气候风险距离的符号对样本进行了细分,并根据东道国的气候风险指数将母国对东道国的外国直接投资份额分为四组。最后,作者用对外直接投资数据进行了实证检验,以支持实证结果。发现来自气候风险较低国家的投资者占据了上风,因为他们的竞争优势,如技能、商标和专利权,他们可以将这些优势转移到国外,以抵消非本土的劣势。这通常被定义为所有权优势。气候风险距离对FDI的影响取决于气候风险距离的标志。具体而言,与母国的气候风险水平相比,气候风险较高的东道国的外国直接投资流入可能略有减少。对于来自气候风险较高的母国的投资者来说,他们不太可能投资于气候风险较低的东道国。新兴市场经济体样本的结果更为显著。原创性/价值本研究通过将母国和东道国之间的气候风险距离纳入外国直接投资的影响因素,提出了所有权、区位和国际化(OLI)范式中的O(所有权优势)部分。外国直接投资和对外直接投资数据验证了OLI范式中关于气候风险的O部分和L部分(区位优势,东道国为进行外国直接投资提供的国际化价值的优势)。
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引用次数: 1
Potential impacts of climate extremes on snow under global warming conditions in the Mongolian Plateau 全球变暖条件下蒙古高原极端气候对积雪的潜在影响
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-22 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-05-2021-0050
Chunlan Li, Xinwu Xu, Hongyu Du, Debin Du, W. Leal Filho, Jun Wang, G. Bao, Xiaowen Ji, Shan Yin, Y. Bao, H. Azadi
PurposeThe paper aims to investigate the possible changes in mean temperature in the Mongolian Plateau associated with the 1.5 and 2°C global warming targets and how snow changes in the Mongolian Plateau when the mean global warming is well below 2°C or limited to 1.5°C.Design/methodology/approachIn total, 30 model simulations of consecutive temperature and precipitation days from Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) are assessed in comparison with the 111 meteorological monitoring stations from 1961–2005. Multi-model ensemble and model relative error were used to evaluate the performance of CMIP5 models. Slope and the Mann–Kendall test were used to analyze the magnitude of the trends and evaluate the significance of trends of snow depth (SD) from 1981 to 2014 in the Mongolian Plateau.FindingsSome models perform well, even better than the majority (80%) of the models over the Mongolian Plateau, particularly HadGEM2-CC, CMCC-CM, BNU-ESM and GFDL-ESM2M, which simulate best in consecutive dry days (CDD), consecutive wet days (CWD), cold spell duration indicator (CSDI) and warm spell duration indicator (WSDI), respectively. Emphasis zones of WSDI on SD were deeply analysed in the 1.5 and 2 °C global warming period above pre-industrial conditions, because it alone has a significant negative relation with SD among the four indices. It is warmer than before in the Mongolian Plateau, particularly in the southern part of the Mongolian Plateau, indicating less SD.Originality/valueProviding climate extremes and SD data sets with different spatial-temporal scales over the Mongolian Plateau. Zoning SD potential risk areas and proposing adaptations to promote regional sustainable development.
目的本文旨在研究与1.5和2°C全球变暖目标相关的蒙古高原平均温度的可能变化,以及当全球平均变暖远低于2°C或限制在1.5°C时,蒙古高原的雪是如何变化的,将耦合模型相互比较项目第五阶段(CMIP5)的30个连续温度和降水日的模型模拟与1961-2005年的111个气象监测站进行了比较。使用多模型集成和模型相对误差来评估CMIP5模型的性能。斜率和Mann–Kendall检验用于分析1981年至2014年蒙古高原雪深(SD)趋势的幅度并评估其显著性。发现一些模型表现良好,甚至优于蒙古高原上的大多数(80%)模型,特别是HadGEM2 CC、CMCC-CM、BNU-ESM和GFDL-ESM2M,其分别在连续干旱日(CDD)、连续潮湿日(CWD)、冷期持续时间指示器(CSDI)和暖期持续时间指示符(WSDI)中模拟得最好。在1.5和2中深入分析了WSDI对SD的强调区域 °C的全球变暖期高于工业化前的条件,因为在四个指数中,仅此一项与SD呈显著负相关。蒙古高原比以前更温暖,特别是蒙古高原南部,这表明SD.Originality/value在蒙古高原提供不同时空尺度的极端气候和SD数据集。对SD潜在风险区域进行分区,并提出适应措施,以促进区域可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
The spatial-temporal evolution analysis of carbon emission of China's thermal power industry based on the three-stage SBM—DEA model 基于三阶段SBM-DEA模型的中国火电行业碳排放时空演化分析
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-09 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-08-2022-0115
Guoquan Xu, Shi Feng, Shucen Guo, Xiaolan Ye
PurposeChina has proposed two-stage goals of carbon peaking by 2030 and carbon neutralization by 2060. The carbon emission reduction effect of the power industry, especially the thermal power industry, will directly affect the progress of the goal. This paper aims to reveal the spatial-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of carbon emission efficiency of the thermal power industry and proposes policy suggestions for realizing China’s carbon peak and carbon neutralization goals.Design/methodology/approachThis paper evaluates and compares the carbon emission efficiency of the thermal power industry in 29 provinces and regions in China from 2014 to 2019 based on the three-stage slacks-based measure (SBM) of efficiency in data envelopment analysis (DEA) model of undesired output, excluding the influence of environmental factors and random errors.FindingsEmpirical results show that during the sample period, the carbon emission efficiency of China’s thermal power industry shows a fluctuating upward trend, and the carbon emission efficiency varies greatly among the provincial regions. The carbon emission efficiency of the interregional thermal power industry presents a pattern of “eastern > central > western,” which is consistent with the level of regional economic development. Environmental factors such as economic level and environmental regulation level are conducive to the improvement of carbon emission efficiency of the thermal power industry, but the proportion of thermal power generation and industrial structure is the opposite.Originality/valueThis paper adopts the three-stage SBM–DEA model of undesired output and takes CO2 as the undesired output to reveal the spatial-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of carbon emission efficiency in China’s thermal power industry. The results provide a more comprehensive perspective for regional comparative evaluation and influencing factors of carbon emission efficiency in China’s thermal power industry.
目的中国提出了到2030年实现碳达峰和到2060年实现碳中和的两阶段目标。电力行业,特别是火电行业的碳减排效果,将直接影响目标的进展。本文旨在揭示火电行业碳排放效率的时空特征和影响因素,并为实现我国碳达峰和碳中和目标提出政策建议。设计/方法论/方法本文基于非期望产出数据包络分析(DEA)模型中效率的三阶段松弛测度(SBM),排除环境因素和随机误差的影响,对2014-2019年中国29个省区火电行业的碳排放效率进行了评估和比较。实证结果表明,在样本期内,中国火电行业的碳排放效率呈波动上升趋势,各省份的碳排放率差异较大。区域间火电产业的碳排放效率呈现“东>中>西”的格局,与区域经济发展水平相一致。经济水平和环境调控水平等环境因素有利于火电行业碳排放效率的提高,但火电发电占比和产业结构则相反。独创性/价值本文采用不期望产出的三阶段SBM–DEA模型,以CO2为不期望产出,揭示了中国火电行业碳排放效率的时空特征和影响因素。研究结果为中国火电行业碳排放效率的区域比较评价和影响因素提供了更全面的视角。
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引用次数: 3
Critical findings of the sixth assessment report (AR6) of working Group I of the intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC) for global climate change policymaking a summary for policymakers (SPM) analysis 政府间气候变化专门委员会(气专委)全球气候变化政策制定第一工作组第六次评估报告的重要结论供决策者分析的摘要
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-08 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-04-2022-0049
Majid Asadnabizadeh
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to assess how intergovernmental panel on climate change’s (IPCC’s) sixth assessment report of Working Group I (WGI), a Summary for Policymakers (SPM), has evaluated the current climate change situation. The author uses the qualitative content analysis (QCA) method (i.e. summative content analysis [SCA]) to identify critical points of the SPM.Design/methodology/approachTo better understand the WGI report and its SPM, the author uses the thematic analysis, often called the QCA method. This study takes more steps and uses one of the main qualitative content analysis approaches (i.e. SCA). Therefore, QCA (SCA) can help the author count the occurrence of certain words using computer-assisted qualitative data analysis software that quantifies the words in the data. This process helps the author to understand codes and patterns (e.g. the concept in the results section).FindingsInterestingly, the AR6 says more about adaptation for policy makers in sections C (Climate information for risk assessment) and D (Mitigation of future climate change) than in sections A and D. Finally, this study concludes that the IPCC WGI SPM has addressed evidence on global climate change policymaking for SPMa, SPMd (mitigation-based strategies and mitigation policy [MP]) and SPMb, SPMc (adaptation policy and adaptation-based strategy).Research limitations/implicationsFirst, this study refers only to the contribution of WGI, a SPM. The findings of this study do not necessarily provide a full understanding of what the AR6 WGI SPM says about climate change. It points out that the QDA Miner software and Voyant tool do not include all variables and examples where mitigation and adaptation-based strategies are discussed. The guidance for coding is based on the approved version of IPCC AR6 WGI SPM. The final limitation is that the relatedness of key words (e.g. confidence, high and warming) is sometimes ambiguous; even experts may disagree on how the words are linked to form a concept. Thus, this method works at the keyword level. A more intelligent method would use more meaningful information than keywords.Originality/valueThis study used qualitative data analysis (SCA) to explore what was said about climate change in four sections of the IPCC AR6 WGI SPM, which may influence current and future global climate change policymaking.
目的本研究的目的是评估政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)第一工作组(WGI)的第六份评估报告《政策制定者摘要》(SPM)如何评估当前的气候变化形势。作者使用定性内容分析(QCA)方法(即总结性内容分析[SCA])来确定SPM的关键点。设计/方法/方法为了更好地理解WGI报告及其SPM,作者使用了主题分析,通常称为QCA方法。本研究采取了更多步骤,并使用了一种主要的定性内容分析方法(即SCA)。因此,QCA(SCA)可以帮助作者使用计算机辅助的定性数据分析软件来统计某些单词的出现,该软件可以量化数据中的单词。这个过程有助于作者理解代码和模式(例如结果部分中的概念)。发现有趣的是,AR6在C节(用于风险评估的气候信息)和D节(缓解未来气候变化)中比在A节和D节中更多地谈到了政策制定者的适应问题。最后,本研究得出结论,IPCC WGI SPM已经针对SPMa、SPMd(基于缓解的战略和缓解政策[MP])和SPMb处理了全球气候变化决策的证据,SPMc(适应政策和基于适应的战略)。研究局限性/含义首先,本研究仅提及WGI(一种SPM)的贡献。本研究的发现不一定能充分理解AR6 WGI SPM对气候变化的看法。它指出,QDA-Miner软件和Voyant工具并没有包括讨论基于缓解和适应策略的所有变量和示例。编码指南基于IPCC AR6 WGI SPM的批准版本。最后的限制是关键词(如置信度、高和变暖)的相关性有时不明确;即使是专家也可能对如何将这些单词联系起来形成一个概念意见不一。因此,这种方法在关键字级别起作用。一种更智能的方法会使用比关键字更有意义的信息。原创性/价值本研究使用定性数据分析(SCA)来探讨IPCC AR6 WGI SPM四个部分对气候变化的看法,这可能会影响当前和未来的全球气候变化政策制定。
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引用次数: 3
Smallholder farmers’ perceptions and adaptation strategies to climate change risks in northwest Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚西北部小农对气候变化风险的认知与适应策略
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-04 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-01-2022-0001
Aimro Likinaw, W. Bewket, Aragaw Alemayehu
PurposeThe purpose of this paper was to examine smallholder farmers’ perceptions of climate change risks, adaptation responses and the links between adaptation strategies and perceived/experienced climate change risks in South Gondar, Ethiopia.Design/methodology/approachThis paper used a convergent mixed methods design, which enables us to concurrently collect quantitative and qualitative data. Survey data was collected from 352 households, stratified into Lay Gayint 138 (39%), Tach Gayint 117 (33%) and Simada district 97 (28%). A four-point Likert scale was used to produce a standardised risk perception index for 14 climate events. Moreover, using a one-way analysis of variance, statistical differences in selecting adaptation strategies between the three districts were measured. A post hoc analysis was also carried out to identify the source of the variation. The findings of this paper are supplemented by qualitative data gathered through focus group discussions and key informant interviews of households who were chosen at random.FindingsThe standardised climate change risk perception index suggests that persistent drought, delayed onset of rainfall, early termination of rainfall and food insecurity were the major potentially dangerous climate change risks perceived by households in the study area. In response to climate change risks, households used several adaptation strategies such as adjusting crop planting dates, crop diversification, terracing, tree planting, cultivating drought-tolerant crop varieties and off-farm activities. A Tukey’s post hoc test revealed a significant difference in off-farm activities, crop diversification and planting drought-tolerant crop types among the adaptation strategies in the study area between Lay Gayint and Simada districts (p < 0.05). This difference reconfirms that adaptation strategies are location-specific.Originality/valueAlthough many studies are available on coping and adaptation strategies to climate change, this paper is one of the few studies focusing on the linkages between climate change risk perceptions and adaptation responses of households in the study area. The findings of this paper could be helpful for policymakers and development practitioners in designing locally specific, actual adaptation options that shape adaptation to recent and future climate change risks.
目的本文的目的是检验埃塞俄比亚南贡达尔的小农户对气候变化风险的感知、适应反应以及适应策略与感知/经历的气候变化风险之间的联系,这使我们能够同时收集定量和定性数据。调查数据收集自352户家庭,分为Lay Gayint 138户(39%)、Tach Gayint 117户(33%)和Simada区97户(28%)。使用四点Likert量表为14个气候事件生成标准化的风险感知指数。此外,使用单向方差分析,测量了三个地区在选择适应策略方面的统计差异。还进行了事后分析,以确定变异的来源。本文的研究结果得到了通过焦点小组讨论和随机选择的家庭的关键线人访谈收集的定性数据的补充。研究结果标准化的气候变化风险感知指数表明,持续干旱、降雨延迟、降雨提前结束和粮食不安全是研究地区家庭感知到的主要潜在危险气候变化风险。为了应对气候变化风险,家庭采用了几种适应策略,如调整作物种植日期、作物多样化、梯田、植树、培育耐旱作物品种和场外活动。Tukey的事后测试揭示了农场外活动的显著差异,在Lay Gayint和Simada地区之间的研究区域,作物多样化和种植耐旱作物类型是适应策略中的一个(p<0.05)。这种差异再次证实了适应策略是特定于地点的。原始性/价值尽管有许多关于应对和适应气候变化策略的研究,本文是该研究领域为数不多的关注气候变化风险认知与家庭适应反应之间联系的研究之一。本文的研究结果可能有助于政策制定者和发展从业者设计针对当地的实际适应方案,以适应最近和未来的气候变化风险。
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引用次数: 2
Influence mechanism of technological innovation of electric power industry on carbon emission reduction in China 我国电力工业技术创新对碳减排的影响机制
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-03 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-04-2022-0055
Ming Yang, Duoxiang Wang, Xiaofeng Chen, Xiaomiao Lei, Linxiang Cao
PurposeThis study aims to analyse the scientific relationship between technological innovation and carbon emissions. Taking the Chinese electric power industry as the empirical research object, this study examined the effect of power technological innovation on carbon emissions and proposed policy recommendations for the development of technological innovation in China.Design/methodology/approachThis study first calculated the energy consumption and carbon emission level of the Chinese electric power industry from 2005 to 2018. Secondly, this study built an evaluation index system for technological innovation of electric power with six indicators: average utilisation hours of power generation equipment; power consumption rate of power plant; line loss rate; standard coal consumption for power generation; standard coal consumption for power supply; and number of patent applications granted for generation, conversion or distribution of electric power in China. Finally, from a practical point of view, the relationship between technological innovation and carbon emissions of the Chinese electric power industry from 2005 to 2018 is evaluated and analysed.FindingsPower technology innovation has been found to have a long-term and relatively large effect on carbon emissions, and carbon emissions have a short-term and insignificant impact on power technology innovation.Research limitations/implicationsThis study puts forward relevant suggestions for developing technological innovation and technology transfer, which is essential to establishing a low-carbon or zero-carbon power system in China.Practical implicationsThis study provides empirical evidence for clarifying the relationship between technological innovation and carbon emissions in the power industry and further develops research theories on technological innovation and carbon emissions.Social implicationsRelevant authorities will adopt measures to promote technological innovation and development in the power sector to reduce carbon emissions.Originality/valueThis study built an evaluation index system with six indicators for technological innovation of electric power. The evaluation method was used to measure the technological innovation level of the Chinese electric power industry. The causal link between technological innovation and carbon emissions in China was analysed.
目的本研究旨在分析技术创新与碳排放之间的科学关系。以中国电力工业为实证研究对象,本研究考察了电力技术创新对碳排放的影响,并提出了中国发展技术创新的政策建议。设计/方法/方法本研究首次计算了2005-2008年中国电力行业的能源消耗和碳排放水平。其次,本研究构建了电力技术创新评价指标体系,包括六个指标:发电设备平均利用小时数;电厂耗电率;线路损耗率;发电标准煤耗;供电标准煤耗;以及中国发电、转换或配电的专利申请数量。最后,从实践的角度对2005-2008年中国电力行业技术创新与碳排放的关系进行了评估和分析。发现电力技术创新对碳排放的影响是长期且相对较大的,而碳排放对电力技术创新的影响是短期且不显著的。研究局限性/含义本研究对发展技术创新和技术转移提出了相关建议,实践启示本研究为阐明电力行业技术创新与碳排放之间的关系提供了实证证据,进一步发展了技术创新和碳排放的研究理论。社会影响有关部门将采取措施促进电力行业的技术创新和发展,以减少碳排放。独创性/价值本研究构建了一个包含六个指标的电力技术创新评价指标体系。运用该评价方法对我国电力行业的技术创新水平进行了测度。分析了中国技术创新与碳排放之间的因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management
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