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Impact valuation of droughts in soybean and maize production: the case of Argentina 干旱对大豆和玉米生产的影响评估:以阿根廷为例
3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-11-2022-0139
Esteban Otto Thomasz, Ana Silvia Vilker, Ismael Pérez-Franco, Agustin García-García
Purpose In Argentina, soy and maize represent 28% of the total country exports, affecting the balance of payments, international reserves accumulation and sovereign credit risk. In the past 10 years, three extreme and moderate droughts have affected the agricultural areas, causing significant losses in soybean and maize production. This study aims to estimate the economic impact generated by different drought levels for soy and maize production areas through a financial perspective that allows the estimation of the cash flow and income losses. Design/methodology/approach By analyzing the extreme deviations in yields during dry periods, the losses generated by droughts were valuated among 183 departments nationwide. Findings The aggregated results indicated a total loss of US$24.170m, representing 57.45% of the international reserves of the Argentinean Central Bank in 2021. This estimate shows the magnitude of the climate impact on the Argentinean economy, indicating that severe droughts have macroeconomic impacts, with the external sector as the main transmission channel in an economy with historic restrictions on the balance of payments, international reserve accumulation and sovereign credit risk. Originality/value This study analyses the macroeconomic impact of drought on Argentinean soybean and maize production.
在阿根廷,大豆和玉米占国家出口总额的28%,影响国际收支、国际储备积累和主权信用风险。在过去十年中,三次极端和中度干旱影响了农业地区,造成大豆和玉米生产的重大损失。本研究旨在从财务角度估计不同干旱程度对大豆和玉米产区产生的经济影响,从而估算现金流和收入损失。设计/方法/方法通过分析干旱期产量的极端偏差,对全国183个部门的干旱损失进行了评估。综合结果表明,总损失为2417万美元,占2021年阿根廷中央银行国际储备的57.45%。这一估计显示了气候对阿根廷经济的影响程度,表明严重干旱具有宏观经济影响,对外部门是一个在国际收支、国际储备积累和主权信用风险方面受到历史限制的经济体的主要传导渠道。本研究分析了干旱对阿根廷大豆和玉米生产的宏观经济影响。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: Climate change adaptation and mitigation measures at local and national levels for sustainable development 社论:地方和国家层面的气候变化适应和减缓措施促进可持续发展
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-11-2023-218
Minhaz Farid Ahmed
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引用次数: 0
Adapting to climate change: substitution effect of water on residential electricity consumption 适应气候变化:水对居民用电量的替代效应
3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-03-2023-0032
Fan Zhang, Ming Cao
Purpose As climate change impacts residential life, people typically use heating or cooling appliances to deal with varying outside temperatures, bringing extra electricity demand and living costs. Water is more cost-effective than electricity and could provide the same body utility, which may be an alternative choice to smooth electricity consumption fluctuation and provide living cost incentives. Therefore, this study aims to identify the substitute effect of water on the relationship between climate change and residential electricity consumption. Design/methodology/approach This study identifies the substitute effect of water and potential heterogeneity using panel data from 295 cities in China over the period 2004–2019. The quantile regression and the partially linear functional coefficient model in this study could reduce the risks of model misspecification and enable detailed identification of the substitution mechanism, which is in line with reality and precisely determines the heterogeneity at different consumption levels. Findings The results indicate that residential water consumption can weaken the impact of cooling demand on residential electricity consumption, especially in low-income regions. Moreover, residents exhibited adaptive asymmetric behaviors. As the electricity consumption level increased, the substitute effects gradually get strong. The substitute effects gradually strengthened when residential water consumption per capita exceeds 16.44 tons as the meeting of the basic life guarantee. Originality/value This study identifies the substitution role of water and heterogeneous behaviors in the residential sector in China. These findings augment the existing literature and could aid policymakers, investors and residents regarding climate issues, risk management and budget management.
由于气候变化对居住生活的影响,人们通常使用加热或冷却设备来应对外界温度的变化,从而带来额外的电力需求和生活成本。水比电更具成本效益,可以提供相同的身体效用,这可能是平滑电力消费波动和提供生活成本激励的另一种选择。因此,本研究旨在确定水在气候变化与居民用电量关系中的替代效应。本研究利用2004-2019年中国295个城市的面板数据,确定了水的替代效应和潜在异质性。本研究采用分位数回归和部分线性功能系数模型,降低了模型错配的风险,能够详细识别替代机制,符合实际,准确确定了不同消费水平下的异质性。结果表明,居民用水可以减弱制冷需求对居民用电量的影响,特别是在低收入地区。此外,居民表现出适应性不对称行为。随着用电量水平的提高,替代效应逐渐增强。当居民人均用水量超过16.44吨,满足基本生活保障时,替代效应逐渐增强。原创性/价值本研究确定了水和异质性行为在中国住宅部门的替代作用。这些发现补充了现有文献,可以帮助政策制定者、投资者和居民了解气候问题、风险管理和预算管理。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change energy futures in business, industry and mining in Saskatchewan, Canada 加拿大萨斯喀彻温省商业、工业和采矿业的气候变化能源期货
3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-27 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-04-2023-0057
Margot Hurlbert, Tanushree Das, Charisse Vitto
Purpose This study aims to report business preferences for achieving net-zero power production emissions in Saskatchewan, Canada as well as business perceptions of the most preferable power production sources, barriers to change and suggestions for improvement. Mixed methods included focus groups and a survey with experimental design. This research demonstrates that this method of advancing academic and business knowledge systems can engender a paradigmatic shift to decarbonization. Design/methodology/approach The study is a mixed-methods study using five focus groups and a survey which included a 15-min information video providing more information on power production sources (small modular reactors and biomass). Participants requested more information on these topics in the initial three focus groups. Findings There is a significant gap in Canadian Government targets for net-zero emissions by 2050 and businesses’ plans. Communications, knowledge and capacity gaps identified include lack of regulatory requirements, institutional barriers (including a capacity charge in the event a business chooses to self-generate with a cleaner source) and multi-level governance dissonance. More cooperation between provincial governments and the federal government was identified by participants as a requirement for achieving targets. Providing information to survey respondents increased support for clean and renewable sources, but gender and knowledge are still important characteristics contributing to support for different power production sources. Scientists and teachers were the most trusted sources of information. Power generated from small modular nuclear reactors was identified as the primary future source of power production followed by solar, wind and natural gas. Research results also confirmed the high level of support for hydropower generated in Saskatchewan versus import from Manitoba based on high values of energy solidarity and security within the province. Originality/value This study is original, as it concerns upstream system power production portfolios and not failed projects; the mixed-method research design including a focus group and an experimental survey is novel. This research partially addresses a gap in knowledge surrounding which knowledge systems advance paradigmatic shifts and how and whether involving business people in upstream power production decisions can inform decarbonization.
本研究旨在报告企业在加拿大萨斯喀彻温省实现净零电力生产排放的偏好,以及企业对最理想的电力生产来源的看法,变革的障碍和改进建议。混合方法包括焦点小组和有实验设计的调查。本研究表明,这种推进学术和商业知识系统的方法可以产生一个范式转移到脱碳。该研究是一项混合方法研究,使用了五个焦点小组和一项调查,其中包括一个15分钟的信息视频,提供有关电力生产来源(小型模块化反应堆和生物质)的更多信息。与会者要求在最初的三个焦点小组中提供关于这些主题的更多信息。加拿大政府到2050年实现净零排放的目标与企业的计划存在很大差距。已确定的沟通、知识和能力差距包括缺乏监管要求、制度障碍(包括企业选择使用更清洁的来源自行发电时的能力收费)和多层次治理不协调。与会者认为,加强省级政府与联邦政府之间的合作是实现目标的必要条件。向调查答复者提供信息增加了对清洁和可再生能源的支持,但性别和知识仍然是有助于支持不同电力生产来源的重要特征。科学家和教师是最值得信赖的信息来源。小型模块化核反应堆产生的电力被确定为未来主要的电力来源,其次是太阳能、风能和天然气。研究结果还证实,基于省内能源团结和安全的高度价值,萨斯喀彻温省对水力发电的支持程度高于从曼尼托巴省进口。本研究是原创的,因为它关注的是上游系统电力生产组合,而不是失败的项目;混合方法的研究设计包括焦点小组和实验调查是新颖的。本研究部分解决了围绕知识系统推进范式转变的知识差距,以及如何以及是否让商界人士参与上游电力生产决策可以为脱碳提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of relocation in response to climate change on farmers’ livelihood capital in minority areas: a case study of Yunnan Province 民族地区应对气候变化的搬迁对农民生计资本的影响——以云南省为例
3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-03-2023-0044
Jiaxin Wu, Jigang Zhang, Hongjuan Yang
Purpose This study aims to construct an evaluation system for farmers’ livelihood capital in minority areas and evaluate the impact of relocation in response to climate change on farmers’ livelihood capital. Design/methodology/approach According to the characteristics of Yunnan minority areas, the livelihood capital of farmers in minority areas is divided into natural, physical, financial, social, human and cultural capital. The improved livelihood capital evaluation system measures farmers’ livelihood capital from 2015 to 2021. The net impact of relocation on farmers’ livelihood capital was separated using propensity score matching and the difference-in-difference (PSM-DID) method. Findings The shortage of livelihood capital makes it difficult for farmers to resist climate change, and the negative impacts of climate change further aggravate their livelihood vulnerability and reduce their livelihood capital. Relocation has dramatically increased the livelihood capital of farmers living in areas with poor natural conditions by 15.67% and has enhanced their ability to cope with climate change and realise sustainable livelihoods. Originality/value An improved livelihood capital evaluation system is constructed to realise the future localisation and development of livelihood capital research. The PSM-DID method was used to overcome endogeneity problems and sample selection bias of the policy evaluation methods. This study provides new ideas for academic research and policy formulation by integrating climate change, poverty governance and sustainable livelihoods.
本研究旨在构建民族地区农民生计资本评价体系,评估应对气候变化的迁移对农民生计资本的影响。根据云南少数民族地区的特点,将少数民族地区农民生计资本分为自然资本、物质资本、金融资本、社会资本、人力资本和文化资本。改进后的生计资本评价体系衡量了2015年至2021年农民的生计资本。采用倾向得分匹配和差中差(PSM-DID)方法分离了迁移对农户生计资本的净影响。发现生计资本的短缺使农民难以抵御气候变化,气候变化的负面影响进一步加剧了农民的生计脆弱性,减少了农民的生计资本。易地搬迁使自然条件较差地区农民的生计资本大幅增加15.67%,提高了他们应对气候变化和实现可持续生计的能力。构建完善的民生资本评价体系,实现未来民生资本研究的本土化与发展。采用PSM-DID方法克服了政策评价方法的内生性问题和样本选择偏差。本研究通过整合气候变化、贫困治理和可持续生计,为学术研究和政策制定提供了新的思路。
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引用次数: 0
Farm households’ adaptive strategies in response to climate change in lowlands of southern Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚南部低地农户应对气候变化的适应策略
3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-05-2023-0064
Almaz Balta Aboye, James Kinsella, Tekle Leza Mega
Purpose This study aims to investigate the adaptation strategies they practice and the factors that influence their use of adaptation strategies. Design/methodology/approach The mixed-method sequential explanatory design was used to triangulate the data collected. Multistage sampling was used to select 400 sampled households for household surveys. Eight focus groups, each with eight to ten participants, and 24 key informants, were specifically chosen based on their farming experiences. Chi-square tests, one-way ANOVA and a binary logit model were used to analyze the data. Findings The majority of farmers used simple and low-cost adaptation strategies like changing planting dates, selling livestock and off-farm and nonfarm work. A minority of farmers used advanced adaptation strategies like crop diversification and water harvesting for irrigation. The result further revealed that: the age of the household head, educational status of household heads, farm size, livestock ownership, farming experiences, household income, access to credit and access to climate information significantly influenced the adoption of the adaptation strategies. Public policy should provide water harvesting and irrigation technology, climate-related information and the provision of microcredit facilities to enhance the farmers’ resilience to climate change risks. Originality/value Although several studies on climate change adaptation strategies are available, this paper is one of the few studies focusing on a particular agro-ecological zone, an essential precursor to dealing with current and projected climate change in the area. It provides helpful insights for developing successful adaptation policies that improve adaptive capacity and agricultural sustainability in southern Ethiopia’s lowlands.
目的本研究旨在探讨中国大学生的适应策略及其影响因素。设计/方法/方法采用混合方法序贯解释设计对收集的数据进行三角测量。采用多阶段抽样方法,抽取400户抽样家庭进行入户调查。8个焦点小组,每个小组有8到10名参与者,24名关键线人,是根据他们的农业经验特别选择的。采用卡方检验、单因素方差分析和二元logit模型对数据进行分析。大多数农民采用简单和低成本的适应策略,如改变种植日期、出售牲畜以及非农和非农业工作。少数农民采用先进的适应策略,如作物多样化和取水灌溉。结果进一步表明:户主年龄、户主受教育程度、农场规模、牲畜拥有量、农业经验、家庭收入、信贷获取和气候信息获取显著影响适应策略的采用。公共政策应提供集水和灌溉技术、与气候有关的信息以及提供小额信贷设施,以增强农民对气候变化风险的抵御能力。虽然有一些关于气候变化适应策略的研究,但本文是少数关注特定农业生态区的研究之一,这是处理该地区当前和预测的气候变化的重要先驱。它为制定成功的适应政策提供了有益的见解,这些政策可以提高埃塞俄比亚南部低地的适应能力和农业可持续性。
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引用次数: 1
Enhancing climate change adaptation governance through transforming institutions in Kwa-Zulu Natal Province, South Africa 南非夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省通过机构转型加强气候变化适应治理
3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-12-2022-0157
Richard Kwame Adom, Mulala Danny Simatele, Dillip Kumar Das, Kalumba Ahmed Mukalazi, Mazinyo Sonwabo, Lindelani Mudau, Mikateko Sithole, Serge Kubanza, Coleen Vogel, Leocadia Zhou
Purpose Globally, climate change governance continues to be a significant challenge to policymakers, environmentalists and politicians despite international summits, conferences and programmes designed to find sustainable solutions to the climate change crises. Climate change continues to be viewed primarily as a challenge for the future, whereas many leaders and administrators globally regard it as an environmental issue rather than a challenge that encompasses all aspects of life. In South Africa, these misleading perceptions of climate change continue to prevail both at national and local levels. The government and private organisations do not attach the required levels of urgency needed to address the climate change crisis. While numerous policies and institutions have been established to address these challenges, they lack financial backing, coordination and synergy that cut across the broad objectives of environmental, social and economic agendas. Additionally, weak, eroding trust and manipulating of institutions continue to hinder effective policy implementation and focus-driven governance. This paper aims to explore the structural and governance weaknesses of climate change administration in the KwaZulu-Natal province and South Africa in general. Design/methodology/approach This paper used extensive literature reviews and a triangulated approach to investigate the weaknesses of the current governance structure in the context of institutional and capacity constraints. Findings The findings uncovered that most institutions and organisations mandated to address climate change challenges operate in silos, lack required investment and capacity and have weak accountability mechanisms with a shallow understanding of climate change governance. Originality/value This paper recommends better coordination between national, provincial and local governments as well as the private sector towards climate change activities and capacity to ensure that climate change actions are effectively implemented.
在全球范围内,尽管有旨在寻找气候变化危机可持续解决方案的国际峰会、会议和方案,但气候变化治理仍然是政策制定者、环保主义者和政治家面临的重大挑战。气候变化仍然主要被视为未来的挑战,而全球许多领导人和管理者将其视为环境问题,而不是涉及生活方方面面的挑战。在南非,这些关于气候变化的误导性看法继续在国家和地方层面盛行。政府和私人组织对应对气候变化危机的紧迫感不够。虽然已经建立了许多政策和机构来应对这些挑战,但它们缺乏贯穿环境、社会和经济议程的广泛目标的财政支持、协调和协同作用。此外,信任薄弱、受到侵蚀和机构操纵继续阻碍政策的有效实施和重点驱动型治理。本文旨在探讨夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省和整个南非气候变化管理的结构和治理弱点。设计/方法/方法本文使用了广泛的文献综述和三角法来调查在制度和能力限制的背景下当前治理结构的弱点。调查结果发现,大多数被授权应对气候变化挑战的机构和组织都在各自运作,缺乏所需的投资和能力,问责机制薄弱,对气候变化治理的理解也很肤浅。本文建议加强国家、省和地方政府以及私营部门在气候变化活动和能力方面的协调,以确保气候变化行动得到有效实施。
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引用次数: 1
How does low-carbon city construction drive enterprise green governance? A complete chain mediation model 低碳城市建设如何推动企业绿色治理?一个完整的链式中介模型
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-04-2023-0050
Zhiping Hou, Jun Wan, Zhenyu Wang, Changgui Li
PurposeIn confronting the challenge of climate change and progressing towards dual carbon goals, China is actively implementing low-carbon city pilot policy. This paper aims to focus on the potential impact of this policy on enterprise green governance, aiming to promote the reduction and balance of carbon emissions.Design/methodology/approachBased on the panel data of China's large-scale industrial enterprises from 2007 to 2013, this paper uses the Difference-in-differences (DID) method to study the impact and path mechanism of the implementation of low-carbon city pilot policy on enterprise green governance. Heterogeneity analysis is used to compare the effects of low-carbon city pilot policy in different regions, different enterprises and different industries.FindingsThe low-carbon pilot can indeed effectively enhance corporate green governance, a conclusion that still holds after a series of robustness tests. The low-carbon city pilot policy mainly enhances enterprise green governance through two paths: an industrial structure upgrade and enterprise energy consumption, and it improves green governance by reducing enterprise energy consumption through industrial structure upgrade. The impact of low-carbon city pilot policy on enterprise green governance shows significant differences across different regions, different enterprises and different industries.Research limitations/implicationsThis paper examines the impact of low-carbon city pilot policy on enterprise green governance. However, due to availability of data, there are still some limitations to be further tackled. The parallel trend test in this paper shows that the pilot policy has a significant positive effect on the green governance of enterprises. However, due to serious lack of data in some years, the authors only selected the enterprise data of a shorter period as our experimental data, which leads the results to still have certain deficiencies. For the verification of the impact mechanism, the conclusions obtained in this paper are relatively limited. Although all the mechanism tests are passed, the reliability of the results still needs to be further tested through future data samples. In addition, as the pilot policy of low-carbon cities is still in progress, the policy can be tracked and analysed in the future as more data are disclosed, and further research can be carried out through dimensional expansion.Practical implicationsLow-carbon city pilot policy plays an important role in inducing the green governance of enterprises. Therefore, policy makers can continue to strengthen the construction of low-carbon city pilots by refining pilot experience, building typical cases, actively promoting pilot policy experience, expanding pilot scope and enhancing the implementation efficiency of pilot policy nationwide, which will contribute to the optimization and upgrading of the regional industrial structure at the urban level and will provide experience and referen
为应对气候变化挑战,推进双碳目标,中国正在积极实施低碳城市试点政策。本文旨在关注该政策对企业绿色治理的潜在影响,旨在促进碳排放的减少与平衡。本文基于2007 - 2013年中国大型工业企业面板数据,运用差分法(DID)研究低碳城市试点政策实施对企业绿色治理的影响及路径机制。采用异质性分析比较低碳城市试点政策在不同地区、不同企业、不同行业的效果。结果低碳试点确实能够有效提升公司绿色治理,这一结论经过一系列稳健性检验仍然成立。低碳城市试点政策主要通过产业结构升级和企业能耗两条路径提升企业绿色治理,通过产业结构升级降低企业能耗来提升绿色治理。低碳城市试点政策对企业绿色治理的影响在不同地区、不同企业、不同行业之间存在显著差异。本文考察了低碳城市试点政策对企业绿色治理的影响。然而,由于数据的可用性,仍有一些限制需要进一步解决。本文的平行趋势检验表明,试点政策对企业绿色治理具有显著的正向作用。然而,由于某些年份的数据严重缺乏,作者只选择了较短时期的企业数据作为我们的实验数据,导致结果仍然存在一定的不足。对于影响机理的验证,本文得出的结论相对有限。虽然所有的机理试验都通过了,但结果的可靠性还需要通过未来的数据样本进一步检验。此外,由于低碳城市试点政策仍在进行中,未来随着更多数据的披露,可以对政策进行跟踪和分析,并通过维度拓展进行进一步的研究。实践启示慢碳城市试点政策对引导企业绿色治理具有重要作用。因此,政策制定者可以通过提炼试点经验,构建典型案例,积极推广试点政策经验,扩大试点范围,提高全国试点政策的实施效率,不断加强低碳城市试点建设。这将有利于区域产业结构在城市层面的优化升级,为污染减排和碳减排协同实施方案提供经验和借鉴。低碳城市试点政策对企业绿色治理的影响不仅存在于城市产业升级和企业能耗两条独立的路径上,而且存在从宏观到微观的连锁传导路径。研究发现,各影响路径的作用值不同,企业绿色治理作用存在明显的主导影响路径。因此,在实施低碳城市试点政策的过程中,应针对不同的机制进行针对性的政策设计。此外,应提倡多种路径互补协调,充分发挥不同路径对企业的绿色治理效果,进一步扩大政策发挥作用的行业和企业范围。原创性/价值在作者所知的范围内,本文首次将宏观机制与微观机制联系起来,发现了低碳城市试点政策影响企业绿色治理过程中宏观到微观的传导机制。即低碳城市试点政策可以促进产业结构升级,从而降低企业能耗,最终增强企业绿色治理。
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引用次数: 0
Perceptions, trends and adaptation to climate change in Yala wetland, Kenya 肯尼亚Yala湿地对气候变化的认识、趋势和适应
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-07-2022-0089
Yvonne Githiora, M. Owuor, R. Abila, S. Oriaso, D. Olago
PurposeTropical wetland ecosystems are threatened by climate change but also play a key role in its mitigation and adaptation through management of land use and other drivers. Local-level assessments are needed to support evidence-based wetland management in the face of climate change. This study aims to examine the local communities’ knowledge and perception of climate change in Yala wetland, Kenya, and compare them with observed data on climate trends. Such comparisons are useful to inform context-specific climate change adaptation actions.Design/methodology/approachThe study used a mixed methods approach that combined analysis of climate data with perceptions from the local community. Gridded data on temperature and rainfall for the period from 1981 to 2018 were compared with data on climate change perceptions from semi-structured questionnaires with 286 key informants and community members.FindingsMajority of the respondents had observed changes in climate parameters – severe drought (88.5%), increased frequency of floods (86.0%) and irregular onset and termination of rains (90.9%) in the past 20 years. The perceptions corresponded with climate trends that showed a significant increasing trend in the short rains and the average maximum temperature, high incidence of very wet years and variability in onset and termination of rainfall between 1981 and 2018. Gender, age and education had little influence on knowledge and awareness of climate change, except for frequency of floods and self-reported understanding of climate change. The community perceived the wetland to be important for climate change adaptation, particularly the provision of resources such as grazing grounds during drought.Research limitations/implicationsThe study faced challenges of low sample size, use of gridded climate data and reproducibility in other contexts. The results of this study apply to local communities in a tropical wetland in Western Kenya, which has a bi-modal pattern of rainfall. The sample of the study was regional and may therefore not be representative of the whole of Kenya, which has diverse socioeconomic and ecological contexts. Potential problems have been identified with the use of gridded data (for example, regional biases in models), although their usefulness in data scarce contexts is well established. Moreover, the sample size has been found to be a less important factor in research of highly complex socio-ecological systems where there is an attempt to bridge natural and social sciences.Practical implicationsThis study addresses the paucity of studies on climate change trends in papyrus wetlands of sub-Saharan Africa and the role of local knowledge and perceptions in influencing the management of such wetlands. Perceptions largely influence local stakeholders’ decisions, and a study that compares perceptions vs “reality” provides evidence for engagement with the stakeholders in managing these highly vulnerable ecosystems. The stud
目的热带湿地生态系统受到气候变化的威胁,但也通过管理土地使用和其他驱动因素在缓解和适应气候变化方面发挥着关键作用。面对气候变化,需要进行地方一级的评估,以支持基于证据的湿地管理。本研究旨在检验肯尼亚亚拉湿地当地社区对气候变化的认识和感知,并将其与气候趋势观测数据进行比较。这种比较有助于为具体情况下的气候变化适应行动提供信息。设计/方法/方法该研究采用了一种混合方法,将气候数据分析与当地社区的看法相结合。将1981年至2018年期间的温度和降雨量网格数据与286名关键信息提供者和社区成员的半结构化问卷中的气候变化感知数据进行了比较。调查结果:在过去20年中,大多数受访者观察到气候参数的变化——严重干旱(88.5%)、洪水频率增加(86.0%)以及降雨不规律(90.9%)。这些看法与气候趋势相一致,气候趋势显示,1981年至2018年间,短雨和平均最高温度、非常潮湿年份的高发率以及降雨开始和结束的可变性都有显著增加的趋势。性别、年龄和教育对气候变化的知识和意识几乎没有影响,除了洪水的频率和对气候变化自我报告的理解。社区认为湿地对适应气候变化非常重要,特别是在干旱期间提供牧场等资源。研究局限性/含义该研究面临样本量低、网格气候数据的使用以及在其他情况下的再现性等挑战。这项研究的结果适用于肯尼亚西部热带湿地的当地社区,该湿地具有双模态降雨模式。该研究的样本是区域性的,因此可能不能代表整个肯尼亚,因为肯尼亚有着不同的社会经济和生态环境。网格数据的使用已经发现了潜在的问题(例如,模型中的区域偏见),尽管它们在数据匮乏的情况下的有用性已经得到了很好的证实。此外,在试图连接自然科学和社会科学的高度复杂的社会生态系统研究中,样本量被发现是一个不那么重要的因素。实际意义这项研究解决了撒哈拉以南非洲纸莎草湿地气候变化趋势研究的匮乏,以及当地知识和观念在影响此类湿地管理中的作用。感知在很大程度上影响着当地利益相关者的决策,一项将感知与“现实”进行比较的研究为与利益相关者一起管理这些高度脆弱的生态系统提供了证据。研究表明,当地社区的看法与气候记录一致,该地区已经在采取适应措施。原创性/价值本研究为了解气候变化和土地利用变化威胁下的热带湿地的社区对气候变化的看法和知识提供了一个案例,为气候变化下的管理提供了信息。
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引用次数: 1
Climate change perception and adaptation among farmers in coastal communities of Bayelsa State, Nigeria: a photovoice study 尼日利亚巴耶尔萨州沿海社区农民对气候变化的感知和适应:一项摄影语音研究
IF 3.6 3区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-08-17 DOI: 10.1108/ijccsm-07-2022-0100
Z. Elum, M. Snijder
PurposeThere is an increasing need for greater awareness and understanding of the risks climate change poses to farming communities so as to inform appropriate adaptive responses. The purpose of this study is to investigate farmers’ climate change impacts, awareness, risk perception and current adaptation strategies adopted to deal with the impacts of climate change on their livelihood.Design/methodology/approachThis research was undertaken with 67 farmers in Bayelsa State, Nigeria. This study used a combination of focus group discussion and quantitative survey to obtain data. Surveyed farmers were invited to an initial workshop and asked to take photos of climate change impacts on their land and the adaptation strategies being adopted. The photos were analysed and discussed with the farmers in a second workshop. Then, in a third workshop, farmers and other stakeholders came together to rank the most important consequences of climate change and shared knowledge on adaptation strategies. The survey and photovoice data were analysed using descriptive and inferential statistics.FindingsThe results of this study showed that a majority of the farmers were knowledgeable of climate change, mostly got climate information through media. Floods and high temperatures were perceived as the most occurring climate change-related disaster risks. Majority of the farmers perceived climate change as high risk and have taken up multiple adaptation strategies in response to it, including changing planting times, mulching their land and digging irrigation pits. Farmers’ responses indicated that they want to do more but are restricted by financial resources.Practical implicationsThis study outcomes provide evidence for a need to consider stakeholders’ participation in planning climate change responses to effectively address the challenges posed by climate change, particularly in coastal agricultural communities. Government and relevant agencies as recommended need to support farmers to undertake needed adaptive strategies to adapt with future flooding, high temperature and drought, providing them with necessary facilities to enhance their adaptive capacities.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this was one of the first studies to use photovoice to investigate climate change awareness, impacts and adaptations strategies with majority female farmers in west Africa. This study highlights the importance of participatory approaches to capture grassroots climate adaptation approaches.
目的人们越来越需要提高对气候变化给农业社区带来的风险的认识和理解,以便为适当的适应性应对措施提供信息。本研究的目的是调查农民对气候变化的影响、意识、风险感知以及目前为应对气候变化对其生计的影响而采取的适应策略。设计/方法/方法这项研究是对尼日利亚巴耶尔萨州的67名农民进行的。本研究采用了焦点小组讨论和定量调查相结合的方法来获取数据。受调查的农民被邀请参加最初的研讨会,并被要求拍摄气候变化对他们土地的影响和正在采取的适应战略的照片。在第二次研讨会上,对这些照片进行了分析,并与农民进行了讨论。然后,在第三次研讨会上,农民和其他利益攸关方聚集在一起,对气候变化最重要的后果进行了排名,并分享了关于适应战略的知识。调查和摄影语音数据采用描述性和推断统计学方法进行分析。研究结果表明,大多数农民了解气候变化,大多通过媒体获取气候信息。洪水和高温被认为是与气候变化相关的最常见的灾害风险。大多数农民认为气候变化风险很高,并采取了多种适应策略来应对,包括改变种植时间、覆盖土地和挖掘灌溉坑。农民的反应表明,他们想做得更多,但受到财政资源的限制。实际意义这项研究结果提供了证据,证明有必要考虑利益相关者参与规划气候变化应对措施,以有效应对气候变化带来的挑战,特别是在沿海农业社区。根据建议,政府和相关机构需要支持农民采取必要的适应战略,以适应未来的洪水、高温和干旱,为他们提供必要的设施,提高他们的适应能力。原创性/价值据作者所知,这是最早使用摄影声音调查西非大多数女性农民对气候变化的认识、影响和适应策略的研究之一。这项研究强调了参与性方法在捕捉基层气候适应方法方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management
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