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Beginning farmer status and financial performance differentials 开始农民地位和财务表现的差异
Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1108/afr-05-2023-0054
Rebecca Weir, Joleen Hadrich, Alessandro Bonanno, Becca B.R. Jablonski
Purpose Beginning Farmer and Rancher programs are available for operators with ten years of experience or less on any farm. These programs support farmers who are starting operations, often without an initial asset allocation. However, some beginning farmers acquire operations that are already established, with substantial assets in place. The authors investigate whether a profitability gap exists between beginning farmers entering the industry ex novo and those operating a preexisting operation and if so, what factors contribute to the gap. Design/methodology/approach The authors utilize the Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition to determine what drives financial differences between first-generation beginning farmers, second-generation beginning farmers and established farmers using a unique farm-level panel dataset from 1997 to 2021. Findings Results indicate that first- and second-generation beginning farmers have similar operating profit margins, but first-generation beginning farmers have a statistically higher rate of return on assets than second-generation beginning farmers. Established farmers outperform second-generation beginning farmers on both the operating profit margin and rate of return on assets. These results suggest that economic viability for beginning farmers differs depending upon the initial status of their operation, suggesting that heterogenous policies may be more impactful in supporting various pathways to enter agriculture. Originality/value This analysis is the first to identify beginning farmers that enter the industry without an asset base and those that take over a principal operator role on an established farm through an assumed farm transition. The authors quantify differences in financial performance using detailed accrual-based financial data that tracks farms over time in one dataset.
目的:开办农民和牧场主项目适用于在任何农场有10年或更少经验的经营者。这些项目支持刚开始经营的农民,通常没有初始资产分配。然而,一些刚起步的农民收购了已经建立起来的业务,拥有大量的资产。作者调查了从头开始进入该行业的农民与那些经营已有业务的农民之间是否存在盈利差距,如果存在,是什么因素造成了这种差距。设计/方法/方法作者利用Blinder-Oaxaca分解来确定是什么导致了第一代新手农民、第二代新手农民和成熟农民之间的财务差异,使用的是1997年至2021年的独特农场水平面板数据集。研究结果表明,第一代和第二代创业农户的经营利润率相似,但第一代创业农户的资产收益率在统计学上高于第二代创业农户。老农在经营利润率和资产收益率上都优于第二代创业农。这些结果表明,新手农民的经济可行性因其经营的初始状态而异,这表明异质政策在支持各种进入农业的途径方面可能更有效。该分析首次确定了没有资产基础进入该行业的初级农民,以及通过假设的农场转型接管已建立农场的主要经营者角色的农民。作者使用详细的基于权责发生制的财务数据来量化财务绩效的差异,这些数据在一个数据集中跟踪了农场的一段时间。
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引用次数: 1
Estimating US farmers' speed of climate change adaptation: the case of subsurface tile drainage 估算美国农民适应气候变化的速度:以地砖排水为例
Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-09-18 DOI: 10.1108/afr-02-2023-0027
Haden Comstock, Nathan DeLay
Purpose Climate change is expected to cause larger and more frequent precipitation events in key agricultural regions of the United States, damaging crops and soils. Subsurface tile drainage is an important technology for mitigating the risks of a wetter climate in crop production. In this study, the authors examine how quickly farmers adapt to increased precipitation by investing in drainage technology. Design/methodology/approach Using farm-level data from the 2018 Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS) of soybean producers, the authors construct a drainage adoption timeline based on when the operator began farming their land and when tile drainage was installed, if at all. The authors examine both the initial investment decision and the speed with which drainage is installed by adopters. A Heckman-style Poisson regression is used to model the count nature of adoption speed (measured in years taken to install tile drainage) and to correct for potential sample-selection bias. Findings The authors find that local precipitation is not a significant determinant of the drainage investment decision but may be highly influential in the timing of adoption among drainage users. Farms exposed to crop-damaging levels of precipitation install tile drainage faster than those with low to moderate levels of rainfall. Estimates of farm adaptation speeds are heterogeneous across farm and operator characteristics, most notably land tenure status. Originality/value Understanding how US farmers adapt to extreme weather through technology adoption is key to predicting the long-term impacts of climate change on America's food system. This study extends the existing climate adaptation literature by focusing on the speed of adoption of an important and increasingly common climate-mitigating technology – subsurface tile drainage.
气候变化预计将在美国主要农业地区造成更大、更频繁的降水事件,破坏农作物和土壤。地下排水是减轻作物生产中潮湿气候风险的一项重要技术。在这项研究中,作者研究了农民通过投资排水技术来适应降水增加的速度。利用2018年大豆生产者农业资源管理调查(ARMS)的农场级数据,作者根据经营者开始耕种土地的时间和安装瓦片排水的时间(如果有的话)构建了排水采用时间表。作者考察了最初的投资决策和采用者安装排水系统的速度。赫克曼式泊松回归用于模拟采用速度的计数性质(以安装瓷砖排水系统的年数衡量),并纠正潜在的样本选择偏差。作者发现,当地降水不是排水投资决策的重要决定因素,但可能对排水用户采用的时机有很大影响。暴露在对农作物有害的降雨水平下的农场比那些低到中等降雨水平的农场安装瓷砖排水系统的速度更快。对农场适应速度的估计因农场和经营者特征而异,最明显的是土地权属状况。了解美国农民如何通过采用技术来适应极端天气,是预测气候变化对美国粮食系统长期影响的关键。本研究扩展了现有的气候适应文献,重点关注了一项重要且日益普遍的气候缓解技术——地下瓦排水的采用速度。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of village saving groups on adoption intensity of sustainable agricultural practices among smallholder farmers in Northern region, Ghana 加纳北部地区乡村储蓄团体对小农采用可持续农业做法强度的影响
Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-09-15 DOI: 10.1108/afr-01-2023-0001
Abdul-Karim Alhassan, Vivian Fiatusey Boateng, Gideon Danso-Abbeam
Purpose Access to formal financial services is one of the main obstacles to the adoption of agricultural technologies such as Sustainable Agricultural Practices (SAPs). In order to increase financial inclusion and lessen farmers' liquidity restrictions, Village Savings and Loans Associations (VSLA) are being promoted in rural farming communities. However, there extent to which VSLA contributes to the acceleration of agricultural practices, such as SAP, remains little explored in existing literature. The objective of this study was to quantitatively assess the impact of VSLA on the intensity of adoption of SAPs. Design/methodology/approach This study used cross-sectional data from 376 farming households in the East Gonja district of Ghana. An Endogenous Poisson Treatment Regression (EPTR) was applied to correct for self-selection bias that might emanate from both observed and unobserved differences in household characteristics. Findings The empirical results indicated that farmers' engagement in non-farm economic activities, ownership of land and size of agricultural land under cultivation positively and significantly influence the intensity of SAPs adoption. Moreover, participation in VSLA improves the adoption of SAPs, and that VSLA-participants adopted about three more SAPs than they would have if they did not participate in VSLA. Practical implications This study re-affirmed the significance of VSLA in rural farming communities and recommend that it should be promoted as an alternative to formal financial services to enhance financial inclusiveness, and consequently boost the uptake of SAPs. Originality/value In the search of literature, this study is the first to estimate the impact of VSLA on adoption of SAPs. The use of EPTR helps to bring out the true treatment effects of VSLA on SAPs.
获得正规金融服务是采用可持续农业实践等农业技术的主要障碍之一。为了增加金融包容性和减少农民的流动性限制,正在农村农业社区推广村储蓄和贷款协会。然而,VSLA在多大程度上促进了农业实践的加速,如SAP,在现有文献中仍然很少探索。本研究的目的是定量评估VSLA对sap采用强度的影响。设计/方法/方法本研究使用了加纳东Gonja地区376个农户的横断面数据。应用内源性泊松处理回归(EPTR)来纠正可能由观察到的和未观察到的家庭特征差异引起的自我选择偏差。实证结果表明,农民参与非农经济活动、土地所有权和耕地规模对企业采用sap的强度有显著的正向影响。此外,参与VSLA提高了sap的采用,并且VSLA参与者采用的sap比他们不参与VSLA时多三个。本研究再次肯定了VSLA在农村农业社区的重要性,并建议将其作为正式金融服务的替代方案加以推广,以增强金融包容性,从而促进sap的采用。在文献检索中,本研究首次估计了VSLA对sap采用的影响。EPTR的使用有助于揭示VSLA对sap的真实治疗效果。
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引用次数: 0
Feeder and fed cattle purchases of livestock risk protection 饲养和饲养牛购买牲畜风险保护
IF 1.6 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1108/afr-06-2023-0063
Christopher N. Boyer, Eunchun Park, K. DeLong, A. Griffith, Charles Martinez
PurposePremium subsidy rates were increased in 2019 and 2020 for livestock risk protection (LRP) insurance, which is price insurance for cattle producers. The authors examined if the LRP subsidy rate changes affected the LRP coverage levels purchased by feeder and fed cattle producers.Design/methodology/approachThe authors collected the United States Department of Agriculture Risk Management Agency summary of business sales data for daily LRP purchases from 2015 to 2023. The authors estimated a multinomial logit model to determine if subsidy rate changes were associated with the likelihood of LRP policies being purchased at different coverage levels.FindingsAfter the 2019 and 2020 subsidy rate changes, the likelihood of producers buying LRP-feeder cattle policies with coverage over 95% increased relative to the policies with coverage less than 89.99% but did not influence the likelihood of producers buying LRP-feeder cattle policies with coverage between 90 and 94.99% relative to policies with coverage less than 89.99%. Marginal effects show these subsidy rate changes increased the likelihood of buyers purchasing LRP-feeder cattle policies with greater than 95% coverage. The subsidy change did not affect the purchase of LRP-fed cattle policies.Originality/valueThe results demonstrate the influence of the recent LRP policy adjustments on insurance purchases, which could be important for agency officials and policy makers. This is the first study to explore the LRP policy purchases which provides the United States cattle industry insight into the LRP price insurance take-up, which can guide producer extension education on managing price risk.
目的2019年和2020年提高了牲畜风险保护(LRP)保险的保费补贴率,LRP保险是牛生产者的价格保险。作者考察了LRP补贴率的变化是否影响了饲养和饲养牛生产者购买的LRP覆盖水平。设计/方法/方法作者收集了2015年至2023年美国农业部风险管理机构每日LRP采购业务销售数据摘要。作者估计了一个多项逻辑模型,以确定补贴率的变化是否与在不同覆盖水平上购买LRP政策的可能性有关。结果:2019年和2020年补贴率变化后,农户购买覆盖率超过95%的lrp饲养牛政策的可能性相对于覆盖率低于89.99%的政策增加,但不影响农户购买覆盖率在90 ~ 94.99%之间的lrp饲养牛政策的可能性相对于覆盖率低于89.99%的政策。边际效应表明,这些补贴率的变化增加了购买者购买覆盖率超过95%的lrp饲养牛政策的可能性。补贴的变化没有影响到购买lrp饲养牛的政策。研究结果显示了近期LRP政策调整对保险购买的影响,这对机构官员和政策制定者可能很重要。这是第一个探讨LRP政策购买的研究,为美国养牛业提供了对LRP价格保险接受情况的洞察,可以指导生产者推广管理价格风险的教育。
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引用次数: 0
Input credit scheme, farm productivity and food security nexus among smallholder rice farmers: evidence from North East Ghana 投入信贷计划,小农稻农的农业生产力和粮食安全关系:来自加纳东北部的证据
IF 1.6 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1108/afr-03-2023-0039
C. Wongnaa, A. Abudu, A. Abdul‐Rahaman, Ernest Amegawovor Akey, Stephen Prah
PurposeThis study examined the impact of the Input Credit Scheme (ICS) by the Integrated Water Management and Agriculture Development (IWAD) on the productivity and food security of smallholder rice farmers in Ghana.Design/methodology/approachCross-sectional data from 250 rice farming households in the Mamprugu Moagduri district of the North East Region obtained from a multi-stage sampling technique were used for the study. Inverse Probability Weighted Regression Adjustment (IPWRA), Propensity Score Matching (PSM) and Kendall's coefficient of concordance were the methods of analysis employed.FindingsEmpirical results show that education, rice farming experience, dependency ratio, FBO membership, farm size and farm age were the significant factors influencing participation in the input credit scheme (ICS). Also, participants had an average rice productivity of 1,476.83 kg/ha, whereas non-participants had 1,131.81 kg/ha implying that participants increased their productivity by about 30%. In addition, the study revealed that participant households increased their household dietary diversity (HDDS) by 0.45 points amounting to about 8% diversity in their diets. High-interest rates associated with credit received, the short periods of credit repayment and the high cost of inputs provided under the scheme were the most challenging constraints associated with partaking in the ICS.Practical implicationsThe available literature on agricultural interventions have predominantly emphasized input credit as a key factor for improving cropt productivity and food security of smallholders. This study provides compelling evidence that participation in ICSs can result in substantial benefits for agricultural development, as evidenced by increased productivity leading to improved food security. The significance of these findings is highlighted by the fact that, through participation in input credit schemes, smallholder rice farmers in many developing countries see substantial improvement in their capacity to access productive resources, thereby improving their productivity, while simultaneously reducing food insecurity.Social implicationsLeveraging on the improved productivity of participants in the ICS, this study advocates that such input credit schemes should scale up to more food-insecure farming communities in Ghana.Originality/valueThe study uses a doubly robust econometric approach to evaluate the impact of ICS on smallholder rice farmers' productivity and food security in Ghana, making it the first of its kind. The findings offer a solid basis for future research and provide guidance for policymakers looking to boost agricultural development in Ghana.
目的本研究考察了水资源综合管理和农业发展(IWAD)的投入信贷计划(ICS)对加纳小农生产力和粮食安全的影响。设计/方法/方法来自东北地区Mampurgu Moagduri区250户水稻种植户的多阶段抽样交叉数据该研究采用了技术。采用逆概率加权回归平差(IPWRA)、倾向得分匹配(PSM)和肯德尔一致系数进行分析。实证结果表明,教育程度、水稻种植经验、抚养比、FBO成员、农场规模和农场年龄是影响参与投入信贷计划的重要因素。此外,参与者的平均水稻生产力为1476.83公斤/公顷,而非参与者的平均稻米生产力为1131.81公斤/公顷。这意味着参与者的生产力提高了约30%。此外,研究显示,参与家庭的家庭饮食多样性(HDDS)增加了0.45个百分点,约占其饮食多样性的8%。与收到的信贷相关的高利率,信贷偿还期短和根据该计划提供的投入成本高是与参与ICS相关的最具挑战性的制约因素。实际意义现有的农业干预文献主要强调投入信贷是提高小农户生产力和粮食安全的关键因素。这项研究提供了令人信服的证据,证明参与ICSs可以为农业发展带来实质性好处,生产力的提高可以改善粮食安全。通过参与投入信贷计划,许多发展中国家的小农户获得生产资源的能力大幅提高,从而提高了生产力,同时减少了粮食不安全,这突出了这些发现的重要性。社会影响利用ICS参与者生产力的提高,本研究主张此类投入信贷计划应扩大到加纳更不安全的农业社区。原创性/价值该研究使用双重稳健的计量经济学方法来评估ICS对加纳小农户水稻生产力和粮食安全的影响,使其成为同类产品中的第一个。这些发现为未来的研究提供了坚实的基础,并为寻求促进加纳农业发展的政策制定者提供了指导。
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引用次数: 1
Simulating corn futures market reaction and prices under weekly yield forecasts 在周产量预测下模拟玉米期货市场反应和价格
IF 1.6 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.1108/afr-04-2023-0045
Francis Tsiboe, Jesse B. Tack, Keith Coble, Ardian Harri, Joseph Cooper
PurposeThe increased availability and adoption of precision agriculture technologies has left researchers to grapple with how to best utilize the associated high-frequency large-volume of data. Since the wealth of information from precision equipment can easily be aggregated in real-time, this poses an interesting question of how aggregates of high-frequency data may complement, or substitute for, publicly released periodic reports from government agencies.Design/methodology/approachThis study utilized advances in event study and yield projection methodologies to test whether simulated weekly harvest-time yields potentially drive futures price that are significantly different from the status quo. The study employs a two-step methodology to ascertain how corn futures price reactions and price levels would have evolved if market participants had access to weekly forecasted yields. The marginal effects of new information on futures price returns are first established by exploiting the variation between news in publicly available information and price returns. Given this relationship, the study then estimates the counterfactual evolution of corn futures price attributable to new information associated with simulated weekly forecasted yields.FindingsThe results show that the market for corn exhibits only semi-strong form efficiency, as the “news” provided by the monthly Crop Production and World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates reports is incorporated into prices in at most two days after the release. As expected, an increase in corn yields relative to what was publicly known elicits a futures price decrease. The counterfactual analysis suggests that if weekly harvest-time yields were available to market participants, the daily corn futures price will potentially be relatively volatile during the harvest period, but the final price at the end of the harvest season will be lower.Originality/valueThe study uses simulation to show the potential evolution of corn futures price if market participants had access to weekly harvest-time yields. In doing so, the study provides insights centered around the ongoing debate regarding the economic value of USDA reports in the presence of growing information availability within the private sector.
目的精准农业技术的可用性和采用率的提高使研究人员不得不努力解决如何最好地利用相关的高频大数据量。由于来自精密设备的丰富信息可以很容易地实时汇总,这就提出了一个有趣的问题,即高频数据的汇总如何补充或替代政府机构公开发布的定期报告。设计/方法论/方法本研究利用事件研究和产量预测方法的进展来测试模拟的每周收获时间产量是否有可能推动与现状显著不同的期货价格。该研究采用了两步方法,以确定如果市场参与者能够获得每周预测收益率,玉米期货价格反应和价格水平将如何演变。新信息对期货价格回报的边际效应首先是通过利用公开信息中的新闻与价格回报之间的变化来建立的。鉴于这种关系,该研究随后估计了玉米期货价格的反事实演变,这归因于与模拟每周预测产量相关的新信息。调查结果显示,玉米市场只表现出半强的形式效率,因为每月的《作物生产》和《世界农业供需估计》报告提供的“新闻”最多在发布后两天内纳入价格。正如预期的那样,玉米产量相对于公众所知的增加会导致期货价格下跌。反事实分析表明,如果市场参与者可以获得每周收获时间的产量,那么在收获期间,玉米期货的日价格可能会相对波动,但收获季节结束时的最终价格会更低。原创性/价值该研究使用模拟来显示如果市场参与者能够获得每周收获时间的产量,玉米期货价格的潜在演变。在这样做的过程中,该研究围绕着正在进行的关于美国农业部报告的经济价值的辩论提供了见解,因为私营部门的信息可用性不断增加。
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引用次数: 0
Does crop insurance attenuate farm financial risk? 农作物保险能减轻农场财务风险吗?
IF 1.6 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.1108/afr-01-2023-0003
Madhav Regmi, Allen M. Featherstone, Jesse Tack
PurposeFederally subsidized crop insurance aims to mitigate farm risks of crop producers. A body of literature has examined informational problems under this program. However, few studies empirically link crop insurance participation with farm financial performance. Most use county-level aggregates to argue that crop insurance participation is associated with increased farm financial debt. Using farm-level data, this study provides empirical evidence of crop insurance's effects on farm financial risk.Design/methodology/approachThe impact of crop insurance on farm financial risks is assessed using farm-level data from Kansas. The sample consists of at least 1,600 farms each year from 2002 to 2015. Financial risks are measured using the probability of falling into the critical zone of five different financial ratios. The study uses two matching estimators to estimate the causal effects of crop insurance participation on farm financial risks. Several alternative empirical approaches account for unobserved heterogeneity and potential endogeneity.FindingsCrop insurance participation has reduced the farm's likelihood of being in the critical liquidity risk by 8%. This result is robust across matching estimators and alternative specifications to account for unobserved heterogeneity and potential endogeneity.Originality/valueThis is one of the few studies to examine whether crop insurance reduces farm financial risks. This study provides empirical evidence of the extent to which crop insurance enrollment impacts farm financial risks. Findings suggest that crop insurance is critical to maintaining the financial well-being of crop producers, and significantly reduces the likelihood of producers being in a critical liquidity risk.
联邦补贴的农作物保险旨在减轻农作物生产者的农场风险。大量的文献研究了这个项目下的信息问题。然而,很少有实证研究将作物保险参与与农场财务绩效联系起来。大多数人使用县一级的汇总数据来论证作物保险的参与与农业金融债务的增加有关。利用农场层面的数据,本研究提供了农作物保险对农场财务风险影响的经验证据。设计/方法/方法作物保险对农场金融风险的影响使用来自堪萨斯州的农场层面的数据进行评估。从2002年到2015年,该样本每年至少包括1600个农场。财务风险是用落入五种不同财务比率临界区域的概率来衡量的。该研究使用两个匹配估计器来估计作物保险参与对农场金融风险的因果影响。几种可供选择的经验方法解释了未观察到的异质性和潜在的内生性。研究发现,参与农作物保险将农场处于关键流动性风险中的可能性降低了8%。该结果在匹配估计器和替代规范中是稳健的,以解释未观察到的异质性和潜在的内生性。原创性/价值这是检验农作物保险是否降低农场财务风险的少数研究之一。本研究提供了农作物保险参保对农场财务风险影响程度的实证证据。研究结果表明,作物保险对维持作物生产者的财务健康至关重要,并显著降低了生产者处于关键流动性风险中的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Struggle to survive: case of flood risk on US community banks 挣扎求生:美国社区银行面临洪水风险的案例
IF 1.6 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-08-22 DOI: 10.1108/afr-02-2023-0018
N. O., K. Kim
PurposeThe survivorship of firms under extreme weather poses an essential question about the local economy's health. Over 90% of agricultural banks are categorized as community banks, which are important financial institutions promoting local growth. While previous studies suggest that climate change and weather shocks adversely impact community banks' resiliency, studies on whether these institutions engage in risk-reducing management strategies have been limited. In this study, the authors examine strategic choices of local community banks when facing flood events which include (1) safety net increase, (2) portfolio diversification, and (3) branch opening. These strategic choices are the coping mechanisms banks can take to survive while affecting the local competitive lending market.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use panel-fixed effect regressions based on the storm data from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s National Weather Service (NWS) and the call reports from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). The authors focus on community banks' account variable characteristics and the number of offices to examine whether community banks take an active role in managing flood risk.FindingsResults suggest that community banks do employ the selected strategic choices to a certain degree, as it is found that there is an increase in the core capital that absorbs shocks and portfolio diversification. However, the magnitudes of these activities are rather small and not large enough to fully mitigate the climate risk. Also, the authors do not find any evidence of branch expansion associated with local floods.Originality/valueThis study contributes to the literature by examining different strategic choices of community banks in the face of natural uncertainty. Even though concerns of climate risk have been raised in the regulatory setting, a lack of guidance or assessment tools could contribute to the passive action of these community banks, even though climate risks can have a significant economic impact. Thus, the evidence documented from this study calls for further guidelines and the importance of highlighting climate risks on community banks so that they can actively engage in risk-reducing strategies.
目的:企业在极端天气下的生存提出了一个关于当地经济健康的基本问题。90%以上的农业银行被归类为社区银行,是促进地方经济增长的重要金融机构。虽然以前的研究表明,气候变化和天气冲击对社区银行的弹性产生不利影响,但关于这些机构是否采取降低风险的管理策略的研究有限。在本研究中,作者考察了当地社区银行在面对洪水事件时的战略选择,包括:(1)增加安全网,(2)投资组合多样化,(3)开设分支机构。这些战略选择是银行在影响本地竞争性贷款市场的同时可以采取的应对机制。设计/方法/方法作者基于美国国家海洋和大气管理局(NOAA)的国家气象局(NWS)的风暴数据和联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)的电话报告使用面板固定效应回归。本文以社区银行的账户变量特征和办事处数量为研究对象,考察了社区银行是否在洪水风险管理中发挥了积极作用。研究结果表明,社区银行确实在一定程度上采用了所选择的战略选择,因为发现吸收冲击和投资组合多样化的核心资本有所增加。然而,这些活动的规模相当小,不足以完全减轻气候风险。此外,作者没有发现任何与局部洪水有关的分支扩张的证据。独创性/价值本研究通过考察社区银行在面对自然不确定性时的不同战略选择,为文献做出了贡献。尽管在监管环境中已经提出了对气候风险的担忧,但缺乏指导或评估工具可能导致这些社区银行采取被动行动,尽管气候风险可能产生重大的经济影响。因此,本研究记录的证据要求制定进一步的指导方针,并强调气候风险对社区银行的重要性,以便它们能够积极参与降低风险的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Investments, subsidies and financial constraints in Estonian agriculture 爱沙尼亚农业的投资、补贴和财政限制
IF 1.6 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-08-22 DOI: 10.1108/afr-10-2022-0132
Olha Aleksandrova, I. Fertő, A. Viira
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to explore the determinants of investment decisions of Estonian farms after the transition to market economy and accession to the European Union (EU), in the period 2006–2019.Design/methodology/approachThe paper employs Estonian Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) individual farm-level data from the period 2006–2019, and standard and augmented accelerator investment models. Generalised methods of moments (GMM) and bias-corrected least-squares dummy variables (LSDVC) regressions were used to estimate parameters of these models.FindingsIn the considered period, farm investments were positively affected by sales growth, investment subsidies and the cash flow. Decomposition of cash flow into volatile, market income related part, and more stable, farm subsidies related part indicated that investments do not depend on market income part of cash flow. Instead, the stable part of the cash flow (farm subsidies) had a significant and positive effect on investments. This suggests that credit rationing could be present in the EU agriculture, and it depends on the farm subsidies not market income of farms.Originality/valueDespite the wealth of literature on the investment behaviour of farmers, this article is the first attempt to decompose farm cash flow into stable (farm subsidies) and volatile (market income) parts to explain the role of subsidies as a part of cash flow in credit rationing.
目的本研究的目的是探讨2006-2019年爱沙尼亚农场向市场经济转型和加入欧盟后投资决策的决定因素。设计/方法/方法本文采用了2006-2019年期间爱沙尼亚农场会计数据网络(FADN)的个体农场级数据,以及标准和增强加速器投资模型。使用矩量(GMM)和偏差校正最小二乘伪变量(LSDVC)回归的广义方法来估计这些模型的参数。发现在考虑的时期内,农场投资受到销售增长、投资补贴和现金流的积极影响。将现金流分解为波动的、与市场收入相关的部分和更稳定的、与农业补贴相关的部分,表明投资不依赖于现金流中的市场收入部分。相反,现金流的稳定部分(农业补贴)对投资产生了重大而积极的影响。这表明,信贷配给可能存在于欧盟农业中,它取决于农场补贴,而不是农场的市场收入。原创性/价值尽管有大量关于农民投资行为的文献,但本文首次尝试将农业现金流分解为稳定(农业补贴)和波动(市场收入)两部分,以解释补贴作为现金流一部分在信贷配给中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
The empirical demand for farm insurance in Ireland: a quantile regression approach 爱尔兰农业保险的实证需求:分位数回归方法
IF 1.6 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.1108/afr-04-2022-0051
Jason Loughrey, H. Vidyaratne
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to analyse the association between farm/farmer characteristics and unsubsidized farm insurance premium expenditure in Ireland. The distribution of farm insurance expenditures is wide, and it is important to understand the extent to which individual factors influence demand for different levels of insurance premium.Design/methodology/approachThe quantile regression approach and farm accountancy data from the Teagasc National Farm Survey are used to model the association between farm/farmer characteristics and farm insurance demand in Ireland.FindingsAsset values (livestock, buildings and machinery) are positively associated with total insurance expenditure. Both forestry area and crop area are significantly associated with farm insurance expenditure with a stronger influence on the middle and upper part of the distribution. The interaction between farm income and farmer age is positively associated with insurance expenditure pointing to the importance of farm income protection.Research limitations/implicationsThe research is mainly concerned with insuring against substantive risks, which are capable of threatening the asset base and continuation of the farm business. Future research can integrate questions in relation to farm safety and farmer health with research on the economic survival of the farm business.Practical implicationsFarmers in Ireland adopt unsubsidized farm insurance as a risk management tool. This situation is relevant to other EU member states including Belgium, Denmark, Germany and Sweden. The findings can be used to inform stakeholders and policymakers about the relative impact of different factors on insurance expenditure.Originality/valuePrevious research has typically focused on the linear relationship between farm/farmer characteristics and insurance demand without accounting for variability across the size distribution. This research is based on the quantile regression approach where the association between farm/farmer characteristics and farm insurance expenditure can be assessed at different points of the distribution.
本文的目的是分析爱尔兰农场/农民特征与无补贴农场保险费支出之间的关系。农业保险支出分布广泛,了解个体因素对不同保费水平需求的影响程度非常重要。设计/方法/方法采用分位数回归方法和来自Teagasc国家农场调查的农场会计数据来模拟爱尔兰农场/农民特征与农场保险需求之间的关系。发现资产价值(牲畜、建筑物和机械)与保险总支出呈正相关。森林面积和作物面积与农业保险支出均呈显著相关,且对中上分布的影响更大。农民收入与农民年龄的交互作用与保险支出呈正相关,表明农民收入保护的重要性。研究的局限性/意义本研究主要关注实质性风险的保险,这些风险可能威胁到农场业务的资产基础和延续。未来的研究可以将与农场安全和农民健康有关的问题与农场企业的经济生存研究结合起来。实际意义爱尔兰农民采用无补贴农业保险作为风险管理工具。这种情况与比利时、丹麦、德国、瑞典等其他欧盟成员国有关。研究结果可用于告知利益相关者和政策制定者不同因素对保险支出的相对影响。原创性/价值以前的研究通常集中在农场/农民特征与保险需求之间的线性关系上,而没有考虑到规模分布的可变性。本研究基于分位数回归方法,其中农场/农民特征与农场保险支出之间的关联可以在分布的不同点进行评估。
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引用次数: 0
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Agricultural Finance Review
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