{"title":"Time, health service utilisation and health status in Africa: Evidence from six countries","authors":"G. Mwabu","doi":"10.1111/saje.12320","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12320","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2022-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44128581","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reweighting the OHS and GHS to improve data quality: Representativeness, household counts, and small households","authors":"A. Thornton, Martin Wittenberg","doi":"10.1111/saje.12319","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12319","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2022-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41757507","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Reza Che Daniels, Kim P. Ingle, Timothy S. L. Brophy
We introduce a new approach to the analysis of attrition in South African longitudinal surveys by supplementing the public-use data with paradata about the survey process and interview experience. The number of successfully interviewed respondents reduced from 7,073 in Wave 1 of NIDS-CRAM to 5,676 in Wave 2—a level of attrition of almost 20%. We fit probit regression models to predict the determinants of attrition. In the fully specified model, attrition was most affected by contact effort by the survey organisation, the sample batch the respondent was in during Wave 1, employment status and whether they had a missing value for household income. Another important finding was that respondents who underwent COVID-19 tests were 3% more likely to attrite, a trend that could negatively affect the efficacy of the survey to track COVID-19 testing behaviour in future waves. Attrition was not influenced by how often respondents previously participated or refused in NIDS, the interviewer-interviewee experience in the interview or by the respondent's observable demographic characteristics. This is a new contribution to the South African literature on attrition and shows the importance of using paradata to understand nonresponse.
{"title":"Determinants of attrition between Waves 1 and 2 of South Africa's National Income Dynamics Study – Coronavirus Rapid Mobile Survey (NIDS-CRAM)","authors":"Reza Che Daniels, Kim P. Ingle, Timothy S. L. Brophy","doi":"10.1111/saje.12318","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12318","url":null,"abstract":"We introduce a new approach to the analysis of attrition in South African longitudinal surveys by supplementing the public-use data with paradata about the survey process and interview experience. The number of successfully interviewed respondents reduced from 7,073 in Wave 1 of NIDS-CRAM to 5,676 in Wave 2—a level of attrition of almost 20%. We fit probit regression models to predict the determinants of attrition. In the fully specified model, attrition was most affected by contact effort by the survey organisation, the sample batch the respondent was in during Wave 1, employment status and whether they had a missing value for household income. Another important finding was that respondents who underwent COVID-19 tests were 3% more likely to attrite, a trend that could negatively affect the efficacy of the survey to track COVID-19 testing behaviour in future waves. Attrition was not influenced by how often respondents previously participated or refused in NIDS, the interviewer-interviewee experience in the interview or by the respondent's observable demographic characteristics. This is a new contribution to the South African literature on attrition and shows the importance of using paradata to understand nonresponse.","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":"9 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2022-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138495904","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Economists rely on the gross domestic product (GDP) to assess the economic performance of a country. This paper, however, argues that in Africa, the GDP alone cannot be used as a sufficient macroeconomic indicator in accounting for poverty rates and the overall health of the economy. Existing alternatives to GDP also fail to account adequately for relevant factors that are vital in determining the well-being of individuals in Africa. The current study, therefore, proposes an inclusive macroeconomic performance index (IMPI) computed for 45 African countries with data from 2002 to 2015. Using the dynamic panel system generalised method of moments estimation method, we evaluate the impact of governance (i.e. the quality of institutions), social and growth-related factors on the IMPI developed. Our results show that growth-related variables such as trade have a positive impact while FDI had a negative and significant impact on the index. Education also has a positive and significant effect on the index. Social factors such as civil war, ethnic and religious fractionalisations on the other hand significantly impacted the index negatively. This study contributes to the literature by introducing a new economic performance index which combines both poverty and per capita GDP into a single index to assess the well-being of individuals in Africa.
{"title":"Evaluating the economic well-being in the context of Africa","authors":"Comlanvi Martin Konou, Edwin Clifford Mensah","doi":"10.1111/saje.12317","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12317","url":null,"abstract":"Economists rely on the gross domestic product (GDP) to assess the economic performance of a country. This paper, however, argues that in Africa, the GDP alone cannot be used as a sufficient macroeconomic indicator in accounting for poverty rates and the overall health of the economy. Existing alternatives to GDP also fail to account adequately for relevant factors that are vital in determining the well-being of individuals in Africa. The current study, therefore, proposes an inclusive macroeconomic performance index (IMPI) computed for 45 African countries with data from 2002 to 2015. Using the dynamic panel system generalised method of moments estimation method, we evaluate the impact of governance (i.e. the quality of institutions), social and growth-related factors on the IMPI developed. Our results show that growth-related variables such as trade have a positive impact while FDI had a negative and significant impact on the index. Education also has a positive and significant effect on the index. Social factors such as civil war, ethnic and religious fractionalisations on the other hand significantly impacted the index negatively. This study contributes to the literature by introducing a new economic performance index which combines both poverty and per capita GDP into a single index to assess the well-being of individuals in Africa.","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":"9 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2022-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138495905","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jose L. Diaz-Sanchez, Abrams M. E. Tagem, Joana Mota
{"title":"Tax revenue effort and aid in fragile states: The case of Comoros","authors":"Jose L. Diaz-Sanchez, Abrams M. E. Tagem, Joana Mota","doi":"10.1111/saje.12312","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12312","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2022-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47741094","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
South Africa's manufacturing sector experiences declining growth and labour demand, and increased imports of intermediate goods. The paper investigates the influence of offshoring on employment and wages for capital- and labour-intensive industries and skilled and unskilled workers, using firm- and employer–employee-level data. Unlike findings in developed countries, offshoring generally lowers employment in manufacturing firms and increases and decreases the percentage of unskilled workers and lower skilled workers, respectively. Increased narrow offshoring seemingly grows the cohort of unskilled workers, particularly in ultra-labour-intensive industries. As offshoring gains momentum, worker-level earnings increase in capital- and labour-intensive industries but decrease in ultra-labour-intensive industries.
{"title":"Offshoring within South African manufacturing firms: An analysis of the labour market effects","authors":"Anmar Pretorius, Carli Bezuidenhout, Marianne Matthee, Derick Blaauw","doi":"10.1111/saje.12315","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12315","url":null,"abstract":"South Africa's manufacturing sector experiences declining growth and labour demand, and increased imports of intermediate goods. The paper investigates the influence of offshoring on employment and wages for capital- and labour-intensive industries and skilled and unskilled workers, using firm- and employer–employee-level data. Unlike findings in developed countries, offshoring generally lowers employment in manufacturing firms and increases and decreases the percentage of unskilled workers and lower skilled workers, respectively. Increased narrow offshoring seemingly grows the cohort of unskilled workers, particularly in ultra-labour-intensive industries. As offshoring gains momentum, worker-level earnings increase in capital- and labour-intensive industries but decrease in ultra-labour-intensive industries.","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":"9 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2022-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138495914","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kazeem O. Isah, A. C. Mahomedy, Elias A. Udeaja, O. Adelakun, Yusuf Yakubu, Danmecca Musa
{"title":"Revisiting the accuracy of inflation forecasts in Nigeria: The oil price–exchange rate–asymmetry perspectives\u0000 1","authors":"Kazeem O. Isah, A. C. Mahomedy, Elias A. Udeaja, O. Adelakun, Yusuf Yakubu, Danmecca Musa","doi":"10.1111/saje.12313","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12313","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2022-02-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44546035","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Export margins and survival: A firm‐level analysis using Kenyan data","authors":"K. Türkcan, Socrates Majune Kraido, E. Moyi","doi":"10.1111/saje.12314","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12314","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2022-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45474453","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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