A. Ujunwa, C. Okoyeuzu, Nelson N. Nkwor, A. Ujunwa
{"title":"Potential Impact of Climate Change and Armed Conflict on Inequality in Sub‐Saharan Africa","authors":"A. Ujunwa, C. Okoyeuzu, Nelson N. Nkwor, A. Ujunwa","doi":"10.1111/SAJE.12271","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/SAJE.12271","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2021-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/SAJE.12271","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47391271","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Abstract In an attempt to minimise the negative economic impacts of COVID-19 on vulnerable households the South African government allocated R50 billion in additional social assistance spending The cash transfer package included a temporary increase in existing grants and introduced a new ?Covid grant ? We assess the chosen package and compare it with an initial proposal to increase the Child Support Grant (CSG) Coverage, cost and welfare effects are calculated to measure the relative impacts in each case We find that while a significant increase in the CSG delivers resources most progressively, the addition of the COVID-19 grant may potentially reach a much larger group of otherwise uncovered, vulnerable individuals Critically, this extended coverage comes at a cost to the poorest households, via additional transfers to the upper income deciles However, we identify several categories of vulnerable household groups which suggests that the workers most negatively affected by the pandemic are not necessarily those in the poorest households The paper emphasises that social assistance to mitigate the consequences of COVID-19 should not be viewed necessarily as a standard poverty reduction exercise, but rather as an attempt to mitigate COVID-19-related income shocks for the vulnerable who were most negatively affected by the pandemic
{"title":"Social Assistance Amidst the COVID‐19 Epidemic in South Africa: A Policy Assessment","authors":"H. Bhorat, M. Oosthuizen, Benjamin Stanwix","doi":"10.1111/SAJE.12277","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/SAJE.12277","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In an attempt to minimise the negative economic impacts of COVID-19 on vulnerable households the South African government allocated R50 billion in additional social assistance spending The cash transfer package included a temporary increase in existing grants and introduced a new ?Covid grant ? We assess the chosen package and compare it with an initial proposal to increase the Child Support Grant (CSG) Coverage, cost and welfare effects are calculated to measure the relative impacts in each case We find that while a significant increase in the CSG delivers resources most progressively, the addition of the COVID-19 grant may potentially reach a much larger group of otherwise uncovered, vulnerable individuals Critically, this extended coverage comes at a cost to the poorest households, via additional transfers to the upper income deciles However, we identify several categories of vulnerable household groups which suggests that the workers most negatively affected by the pandemic are not necessarily those in the poorest households The paper emphasises that social assistance to mitigate the consequences of COVID-19 should not be viewed necessarily as a standard poverty reduction exercise, but rather as an attempt to mitigate COVID-19-related income shocks for the vulnerable who were most negatively affected by the pandemic","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":"89 1","pages":"63-81"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2021-01-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/SAJE.12277","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42520844","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
One of the Sustainable Development Goals is to significantly reduce all forms of violence and related death rates everywhere. The economic development literature widely concurs that conflicts have adverse economic consequences that contribute to poverty, disinvestment, and lower human capital leading to widespread inequality and lower economic growth. As such, understanding the nature of conflict has been an important focus for political leaders, policymakers and researchers alike. However, the existing literature does not typically distinguish between the types of conflict, and empirical evidence relies on the assumption that effects are similar across the world. Using panel data analysis and a comprehensive disaggregated georeferenced conflict dataset from 1997 to 2016, we find significant evidence of heterogeneity in the predictors' effects on different types of conflicts in Africa.
{"title":"Conflict heterogeneity in Africa","authors":"Carolyn Chisadza, Matthew Clance","doi":"10.1111/saje.12297","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12297","url":null,"abstract":"One of the Sustainable Development Goals is to significantly reduce all forms of violence and related death rates everywhere. The economic development literature widely concurs that conflicts have adverse economic consequences that contribute to poverty, disinvestment, and lower human capital leading to widespread inequality and lower economic growth. As such, understanding the nature of conflict has been an important focus for political leaders, policymakers and researchers alike. However, the existing literature does not typically distinguish between the types of conflict, and empirical evidence relies on the assumption that effects are similar across the world. Using panel data analysis and a comprehensive disaggregated georeferenced conflict dataset from 1997 to 2016, we find significant evidence of heterogeneity in the predictors' effects on different types of conflicts in Africa.","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/saje.12297","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"63729608","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do International Sanctions Reduce Household and Government Consumption in Developing Countries?","authors":"K. Williams","doi":"10.1111/saje.12281","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12281","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2020-12-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/saje.12281","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42009471","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Spatial Analysis of Property Crime Rates in South Africa","authors":"K. C. Mulamba","doi":"10.1111/saje.12279","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12279","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2020-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/saje.12279","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43164005","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Non‐income effect of land ownership and tenure on subjective wellbeing in South Africa","authors":"Umakrishnan Kollamparambil","doi":"10.1111/saje.12276","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12276","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2020-12-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/saje.12276","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48169689","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The economic effects of the lockdown period in South Africa will be devastating We simulated the industry level capacity constraints imposed by the lockdown regulations since 27 March 2020 on all industries in South Africa by reducing the amount of capital and labour available for production We found a decrease in real GDP to 10% below the baseline level in 2020, and recovery of all industries and macroeconomic variables towards the baseline by 2027 Industries that are suffering and would continue to suffer are the hospitality and tourism industry and all industries related to it, such as transport services, as well as beverages and tobacco Manufacturing in general is also hard hit because they were prohibited to let large groups of labourers enter their premises The model shows that most manufacturing will suffer throughout the forecast period, which was modelled up to 2027
{"title":"The Possible Effects of the Extended Lockdown Period on the South African Economy: A CGE Analysis","authors":"J. Van Heerden, E. Roos","doi":"10.1111/saje.12273","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12273","url":null,"abstract":"The economic effects of the lockdown period in South Africa will be devastating We simulated the industry level capacity constraints imposed by the lockdown regulations since 27 March 2020 on all industries in South Africa by reducing the amount of capital and labour available for production We found a decrease in real GDP to 10% below the baseline level in 2020, and recovery of all industries and macroeconomic variables towards the baseline by 2027 Industries that are suffering and would continue to suffer are the hospitality and tourism industry and all industries related to it, such as transport services, as well as beverages and tobacco Manufacturing in general is also hard hit because they were prohibited to let large groups of labourers enter their premises The model shows that most manufacturing will suffer throughout the forecast period, which was modelled up to 2027","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2020-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/saje.12273","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48584229","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-11-04DOI: 10.35188/unu-wider/2020/810-8
Ihsaan Bassier, I. Woolard
Despite South Africa's need for inclusive economic growth, we find that the income trajectories of the rich continue to diverge from the rest of the income distribution. We combine household survey data and tax data (which, unlike household survey data, includes accurate data for the very rich) to investigate the patterns of income growth over the period 2003 to 2017. We find that the gap between the stagnant middle and the top end of the income distribution widened between 2003 and 2017.
{"title":"Exclusive Growth? Rapidly Increasing Top Incomes Amid Low National Growth in South Africa","authors":"Ihsaan Bassier, I. Woolard","doi":"10.35188/unu-wider/2020/810-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.35188/unu-wider/2020/810-8","url":null,"abstract":"Despite South Africa's need for inclusive economic growth, we find that the income trajectories of the rich continue to diverge from the rest of the income distribution. We combine household survey data and tax data (which, unlike household survey data, includes accurate data for the very rich) to investigate the patterns of income growth over the period 2003 to 2017. We find that the gap between the stagnant middle and the top end of the income distribution widened between 2003 and 2017.","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2020-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43001331","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Associations Between Logistics and Economic Growth in Africa","authors":"Chengete Chakamera, N. Pisa","doi":"10.1111/saje.12272","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12272","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46929,"journal":{"name":"SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2020-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/saje.12272","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47950795","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
京公网安备 11010802042870号
京ICP备2023020795号-1
扫码关注我们
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：