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European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research最新文献

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More Than a Glance: Investigating the Differential Efficacy of Radicalizing Graphical Cues with Right-Wing Messages 不只是一瞥:研究用右翼信息辐射图形提示的不同效果
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10610-022-09508-8
S. Tomczyk, Diana Pielmann, S. Schmidt
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引用次数: 0
Radicalization in Adolescence: the Identification of Vulnerable Groups 青少年辐射:弱势群体的识别
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-04 DOI: 10.1007/s10610-022-09505-x
C. P. Schröder, Jannik Bruns, Lena Lehmann, Laura-Romina Goede, Thomas Bliesener, S. Tomczyk
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引用次数: 0
Institutional Response to Trafficking in Human Beings in Spain: Are All Victims Equally Protected? 西班牙对人口贩运的体制回应:所有受害者都受到同等保护吗?
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-02-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10610-022-09506-w
Carolina Villacampa, C. Torres, Xavier Miranda
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引用次数: 1
Towards a More Evidence-Based Risk Assessment for People in the Criminal Justice System: the Case of OxRec in the Netherlands. 对刑事司法系统中的人员进行更注重证据的风险评估:荷兰的 OxRec 案例。
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10610-022-09520-y
Seena Fazel, Amir Sariaslan, Thomas Fanshawe

Risk assessment tools are widely used throughout the criminal justice system to assist in making decisions about sentencing, supervision, and treatment. In this article, we discuss several methodological and practical limitations associated with risk assessment tools currently in use. These include variable predictive performance due to the exclusion of important background predictors; high costs, including the need for regular staff training, in order to use many tools; development of tools using suboptimal methods and poor transparency in how they create risk scores; included risk factors being based on dated evidence; and ethical concerns highlighted by legal scholars and criminologists, such as embedding systemic biases and uncertainty about how these tools influence judicial decisions. We discuss the potential that specific predictors, such as living in a deprived neighbourhood, may indirectly select for individuals in racial or ethnic minority groups. To demonstrate how these limitations and ethical concerns can be addressed, we present the example of OxRec, a risk assessment tool used to predict recidivism for individuals in the criminal justice system. OxRec was developed in Sweden and has been externally validated in Sweden and the Netherlands. The advantages of OxRec include its predictive accuracy based on rigorous multivariable testing of predictors, transparent reporting of results and the final model (including how the probability score is derived), scoring simplicity (i.e. without the need for additional interview), and the reporting of a wide range of performance measures, including those of discrimination and calibration, the latter of which is rarely reported but a key metric. OxRec is intended to be used alongside professional judgement, as a support for decision-making, and its performance measures need to be interpreted in this light. The reported calibration of the tool in external samples clearly suggests no systematic overestimation of risk, including in large subgroups.

风险评估工具在整个刑事司法系统中被广泛使用,以协助做出有关判刑、监管和治疗的决定。在本文中,我们将讨论与目前使用的风险评估工具相关的几种方法和实际局限性。这些局限性包括:由于排除了重要的背景预测因素,导致预测性能参差不齐;使用许多工具的成本较高,包括需要对工作人员进行定期培训;开发工具时使用了次优方法,并且在如何创建风险评分方面透明度较低;包含的风险因素以过时的证据为基础;以及法律学者和犯罪学家强调的道德问题,如嵌入系统性偏见和这些工具如何影响司法决策的不确定性。我们讨论了特定预测因素(如生活在贫困社区)可能间接选择少数种族或族裔群体中的个人的可能性。为了说明如何解决这些局限性和伦理问题,我们以 OxRec 为例进行了介绍,OxRec 是一种风险评估工具,用于预测刑事司法系统中个人的累犯情况。OxRec 由瑞典开发,已在瑞典和荷兰通过外部验证。OxRec 的优点包括:基于对预测因素的严格多变量测试的预测准确性、结果和最终模型的透明报告(包括如何得出概率分数)、评分简单(即无需额外访谈),以及报告广泛的绩效指标,包括歧视和校准指标,后者很少报告,但却是一个关键指标。OxRec 旨在与专业判断一起使用,为决策提供支持,因此需要从这个角度来解释其性能指标。据报道,该工具在外部样本中的校准结果清楚地表明,它没有系统性地高估风险,包括在大的亚群体中。
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引用次数: 0
The Practice of Pre-trial Detention in England & Wales - Changing Law and Changing Culture. 英格兰和威尔士审前羁押的实践——法律的变迁与文化的变迁。
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-02-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10610-022-09504-y
Tom Smith

Pre-trial detention empowers criminal courts to imprison defendants before they have been convicted of an offence. This is a significant power which should be subject to a rigourous decision-making process. A 2016 study of pre-trial detention practice in England and Wales highlighted concerns about such processes, recommending changes to law and practice in that jurisdiction. In 2017, several of these recommendations became law. This article details a follow-up empirical study, conducted in 2020, which sought to examine the impact of these changes on day-to-day pre-trial detention practice in criminal courts. After analysing the data, the article concludes that the changes in fact had minimal impact on practice, and suggests that changing the law does not necessarily translate into a change in the culture of pre-trial detention practice.

审前拘留授权刑事法院在被告被判有罪之前将其监禁。这是一项重要的权力,应该受到严格决策过程的制约。2016年对英格兰和威尔士审前拘留做法的一项研究强调了对此类程序的担忧,并建议修改该司法管辖区的法律和实践。2017年,其中几项建议成为法律。本文详细介绍了一项后续实证研究,该研究于2020年进行,旨在研究这些变化对刑事法院日常审前拘留实践的影响。在分析了这些数据之后,这篇文章得出结论,这些变化实际上对实践的影响微乎其微,并指出,改变法律并不一定会改变审前拘留实践的文化。
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引用次数: 3
Does democracy or personal freedom affect the flow and return of IS foreign fighters? 民主或个人自由会影响IS外国战士的流动和回归吗?
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-20 DOI: 10.1007/s10610-021-09499-y
Moamen Gouda, Shimaa Hanafy
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引用次数: 0
Policing Directions: a Systematic Review on the Effectiveness of Police Presence 警务指引:警务存在有效性的系统检讨
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10610-021-09500-8
Philip Dau, C. Vandeviver, Maite Dewinter, F. Witlox, T. Vander Beken
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引用次数: 9
A Biographical Perspective on Processes of Radicalisation 激进主义过程的传记视角
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10610-021-09498-z
Jana Meier, Nicole Bögelein, Frank Neubacher
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引用次数: 2
Crime Is Down and so Is Fear? Analyzing Resident Perceptions of Neighborhood Unsafety in Rotterdam, the Netherlands 犯罪率下降,恐惧也下降?荷兰鹿特丹居民对社区不安全的认知分析
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10610-021-09495-2
Iris Glas
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引用次数: 1
Beyond Custody Versus Care: Understanding the Ethical Dilemmas of Prison Officers in Belgium 超越拘留与护理:了解比利时监狱官员的道德困境
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-09-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10610-021-09490-7
Milou van Dijk, J. Maesschalck, T. Daems
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引用次数: 2
期刊
European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research
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