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Cost-effectiveness and budget impact analysis of Daratumumab, Lenalidomide and dexamethasone for relapsed-refractory multiple myeloma. 达拉单抗、来那度胺和地塞米松治疗复发-难治性多发性骨髓瘤的成本效益和预算影响分析。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1186/s12962-024-00525-4
Zahra Goudarzi, Rahil Sadat Shahtaheri, Zhila Najafpour, Haleh Hamedifar, Hamidreza Ebrahimi

Background: The prominent efficacy in terms of increasing progression-free survival (PFS) of Daratumumab, Lenalidomide and dexamethasone (DRd) triplet therapy versus Carfilzomib, Lenalidomide and dexamethasone (KRd) was proven previously in relapsed-refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM). However, the cost effectiveness of DRd versus KRd is unknown.

Methods: We developed a Markov model by using an Iranian payer perspective and a 10-year time horizon to estimate the healthcare cost, Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and life years gain (LYG) for DRd and KRd triplet therapies. Clinical data were obtained from meta-analyses and randomized clinical trials (RCTs). One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to assess model uncertainty. Budget impact analysis of 5 years of treatment under the DRd triplet therapy was also analysed.

Results: DRd was estimated to be more effective compared to KRd, providing 0.28 QALY gain over the modelled horizon. DRd-treated patients incurred $264 in total additional costs. The incremental cost utility ratio (ICUR) and cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) were $956/QALY and $472/LYG respectively. The budget impact analysis indicates that adding Daratumumab to Lenalidomide and dexamethasone regimen, in the first 5 years, will increase the healthcare system's expenses by $6.170.582.

Conclusion: DRd triplet therapy compared to KRd is a cost-effective regimen for RRMM under Iran willingness-to-pay threshold.

背景达拉单抗、来那度胺和地塞米松(DRd)三联疗法与卡非佐米、来那度胺和地塞米松(KRd)三联疗法在提高无进展生存期(PFS)方面的突出疗效已在复发-难治性多发性骨髓瘤(RRMM)中得到证实。然而,DRd与KRd的成本效益尚不清楚:方法:我们从伊朗支付方的角度和 10 年的时间跨度建立了一个马尔可夫模型,以估算 DRd 和 KRd 三联疗法的医疗成本、质量调整生命年 (QALY) 和生命年收益 (LYG)。临床数据来自荟萃分析和随机临床试验(RCT)。为评估模型的不确定性,进行了单向和概率敏感性分析。此外,还分析了 DRd 三联疗法 5 年治疗的预算影响:据估计,与 KRd 相比,DRd 更为有效,在建模期间可提供 0.28 QALY 增益。接受 DRd 治疗的患者产生了 264 美元的额外总成本。增量成本效用比 (ICUR) 和成本效益比 (ICER) 分别为 956 美元/QALY 和 472 美元/LYG。预算影响分析表明,在来那度胺和地塞米松治疗方案中加入达拉单抗后,在最初的5年内,医疗系统的支出将增加6 170.582美元:DRd三联疗法与KRd疗法相比,在伊朗的支付意愿阈值下,是一种治疗RRMM的经济有效的方案。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Cost-effectiveness analysis of digital therapeutics for home-based cardiac rehabilitation for patients with chronic heart failure: model development and data analysis. 更正:慢性心力衰竭患者居家心脏康复数字疗法的成本效益分析:模型开发与数据分析。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI: 10.1186/s12962-024-00524-5
Tianyi Liu, Yiyang Zhan, Silei Chen, Wenhong Zhang, Jian Jia
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引用次数: 0
Out-of-pocket pharmaceutical expenditure and its determinants among Iranian households with elderly members: a double-hurdle model. 有老年人的伊朗家庭的自付医药费及其决定因素:双桨叶模型。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: 10.1186/s12962-024-00521-8
Mehran Faraji, Tahereh Sharifi, Saeed Mohammad-Pour, Javad Javan-Noughabi, Ali Aboutorabi, Shaghayegh Yousefi, Mihajlo Jakovljevic

Objectives: The population of older adults continues to grow in Iran, with pharmaceutical costs as a leading driver of household health-related costs. The present study was conducted to estimate the out-of-pocket pharmaceutical expenditure and its socioeconomic predictors among households with the elderly in Iran.

Method: This study is a secondary analysis using 2019 national household expenditure and income survey data in Iran. The sample size was 9381 households with at least one member older than 65. The double-hurdle model in STATA 16 was used to examine the association between independent variables and households' out-of-pocket pharmaceutical expenditures.

Results: The mean out-of-pocket pharmaceutical expenditures for each household with elderly member was $8065 per year. There was a positive association between the (female) gender of the household head, urban residence, employment status, insurance expenditure and a higher level of education of the head of the household with the out-of-pocket pharmaceutical expenditures (P < 0.05). The income of elderly households did not affect these expenditures (P > 0.05).

Conclusions: This study showed that the socioeconomic characteristics of elderly families not only influenced their decision to enter the medicine market, but also the rate of medicine purchase. It is helpful to manage and control the pharmaceutical costs among the elderly.

目的:伊朗老年人口持续增长,医药费用是家庭健康相关费用的主要驱动因素。本研究旨在估算伊朗老年人家庭的自付医药支出及其社会经济预测因素:本研究是利用伊朗 2019 年全国家庭支出和收入调查数据进行的二次分析。样本量为 9381 个至少有一名成员年龄超过 65 岁的家庭。使用 STATA 16 中的双飓风模型来研究自变量与家庭自付药品支出之间的关联:结果:每个有老年成员的家庭的平均自付药品支出为每年 8065 美元。户主(女性)性别、城市居住地、就业状况、保险支出和户主受教育程度较高与自付药费支出呈正相关(P 0.05):本研究表明,老年人家庭的社会经济特征不仅影响其进入医药市场的决定,也影响其购药率。这有助于管理和控制老年人的医药费用。
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引用次数: 0
Cost-consequence analysis of tocilizumab versus adalimumab and etanercept among rheumatoid arthritis patients in Saudi Arabia: a single-center study. 沙特阿拉伯类风湿关节炎患者使用托西珠单抗与阿达木单抗和依那西普的成本后果分析:一项单中心研究。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: 10.1186/s12962-024-00522-7
Areej S Albahdal, Amjad M Alotaibi, Miteb A Alanazi, Norah Abanmy, Monira Alwhaibi, Yazed AlRuthia

Background: The study aimed to examine the direct medical cost and impact of tocilizumab (TOZ) versus adalimumab (ADM) and etanercept (ETC) on reducing the levels of two inflammatory markers (e.g., C-reactive protein (CRP) and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR)) among patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) using real-world data from Saudi Arabia.

Method: This was a single-center retrospective cohort study in which data for biologic-naïve RA patients aged ≥ 18 years and treated with TOZ, ADM, ETC were retrieved from the electronic medical records (EMRs) of a university-affiliated tertiary care center in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Patients were followed up at least one year after the treatment initiation. Bottom-up microcosting was utilized to estimate the direct medical costs. Additionally, inverse probability treatment weighting and bootstrapping with 10,000 replications were conducted to generate 95% confidence levels for costs and the mean reductions in CRP and ESR levels.

Results: The number of patients who met the inclusion criteria and were included in the analysis was 150 patients (TOZ (n = 56), ADM (n = 41), ETC (n = 53)). Patients on TOZ had 3.96 mg/L (95% CI: -0.229-4.95) and 11.21 mm/hr (95% CI: 10.28-18.11) higher mean reductions in the CRP and ESR levels compared to their counterparts on ADM, ETC, respectively. However, this was associated with mean annual incremental costs of USD 10,087.88 (95% CI: 9494.50-11,441.63) in all cost-effectiveness bootstrap distributions.

Conclusion: Tocilizumab has shown better effectiveness in reducing the levels of CRP and ESR but with higher costs. Future studies should examine whether the reduction of these two inflammatory markers is associated with quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gains.

研究背景该研究旨在利用沙特阿拉伯的实际数据,考察托西珠单抗(TOZ)与阿达木单抗(ADM)和依那西普(ETC)相比,在降低类风湿关节炎(RA)患者两种炎症指标(如C反应蛋白(CRP)和红细胞沉降率(ESR))水平方面的直接医疗成本和影响:这是一项单中心回顾性队列研究,从沙特阿拉伯利雅得一所大学附属三级医疗中心的电子病历(EMR)中检索了年龄≥18岁、接受过TOZ、ADM和ETC治疗的生物制剂无效类风湿关节炎患者的数据。治疗开始后,对患者进行了至少一年的随访。自下而上的微观成本计算用于估算直接医疗成本。此外,还进行了反概率治疗加权和 10,000 次重复的引导,以得出成本的 95% 置信度以及 CRP 和 ESR 水平的平均降低率:符合纳入标准并纳入分析的患者人数为150人(TOZ(n = 56)、ADM(n = 41)、ETC(n = 53))。与服用 ADM 和 ETC 的患者相比,服用 TOZ 的患者 CRP 和 ESR 水平的平均降幅分别为 3.96 毫克/升(95% CI:-0.229-4.95)和 11.21 毫米/小时(95% CI:10.28-18.11)。然而,在所有成本效益引导分布中,这与平均每年10087.88美元(95% CI:9494.50-11441.63)的增量成本有关:结论:托昔单抗在降低 CRP 和 ESR 水平方面具有更好的疗效,但成本较高。未来的研究应探讨这两种炎症指标的降低是否与质量调整生命年(QALYs)收益相关。
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引用次数: 0
Cost-utility analysis of treating mild stage normal tension glaucoma by surgery in China: a decision-analytic Markov model. 中国通过手术治疗轻度正常张力青光眼的成本效用分析:决策分析马尔可夫模型。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1186/s12962-024-00523-6
Di Song, Liwen Wang

Background: Many individuals suffer from normal tension glaucoma (NTG) in China. This study utilized Markov models to evaluate the cost-utility of applying many medications and surgery for mild-stage NTG when disease progression occurred at a mild stage.

Methods: A 10-year decision-analytic Markov model was developed for the cost-utility analysis of treating mild-stage NTG with surgery and increased application of medication. We hypothesized that all 100,000 samples with a mean age of 64 were in mild stages of NTG. Transitional probabilities from the mild to moderate to severe stages and the basic parameters acquired from the CNTGS were calculated. Incremental cost-utility ratios (ICUR) were calculated for treating all patients with NTG by probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) and Monte Carlo simulation. One-way sensitivity analysis were conducted by adjusting the progression rate, cost of medications or trabeculectomy, cost of follow-up, and surgical acceptance rate.

Results: The ICUR of treating mild stage NTG with medication over 10 years was $12743.93 per quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). The ICUR for treating mild stage NTG patients with a 25% and 50% surgery rate with medication were $8798.93 and $4851.93 per QALYs, respectively. In this model, the cost-utility of treating NTG was sensitive to disease progression rate, surgical treatment rate, and medication costs.

Conclusions: According to the results of the cost-utility analysis, it was a reasonable and advantageous strategy to administer a lot of medication and surgery for NTG in the mild stages of the disease. In the model, the greater the probability of patients undergoing surgery, the strategy becomes more valuable.

背景:中国有许多人患有正常张力青光眼(NTG)。本研究利用马尔可夫模型评估了在轻度NTG病情发展时应用多种药物和手术治疗轻度NTG的成本效用:方法:我们建立了一个为期 10 年的决策分析马尔可夫模型,用于分析通过手术和增加药物应用治疗轻度 NTG 的成本效用。我们假设平均年龄为 64 岁的所有 100,000 个样本都处于 NTG 的轻度阶段。我们计算了从轻度到中度再到重度的过渡概率以及从 CNTGS 获得的基本参数。通过概率敏感性分析(PSA)和蒙特卡罗模拟,计算出治疗所有 NTG 患者的增量成本效用比(ICUR)。通过调整进展率、药物或小梁切除术费用、随访费用和手术接受率,进行了单向敏感性分析:用药物治疗轻度 NTG 阶段 10 年的 ICUR 为每质量调整生命年(QALYs)12743.93 美元。对手术率分别为 25% 和 50% 的轻度 NTG 患者进行药物治疗,每质量调整生命年的 ICUR 分别为 8798.93 美元和 4851.93 美元。在该模型中,治疗NTG的成本效用对疾病进展率、手术治疗率和药物治疗成本非常敏感:根据成本效用分析的结果,在病情轻微阶段对 NTG 采取大量药物治疗和手术治疗是合理且有利的策略。在模型中,患者接受手术的概率越大,该策略就越有价值。
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引用次数: 0
Is it time for China to prioritize pan-genotypic regimens for treating patients with hepatitis C? 中国是否应优先考虑治疗丙型肝炎患者的泛基因型方案?
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1186/s12962-024-00519-2
Yusi Tu, Xiangyan Tang, Dachuang Zhou, Hanqiao Shao, Leyi Liang, Wenxi Tang

Introduction: The treatment of hepatitis C has entered the pan-genotypic era, but the effectiveness is not good for the genotype 3b patients who have a large proportion in China. The guidelines for hepatitis C recommend the use of gene-specific regimens when the regional 3b prevalence rate greater than 5%. This study is to explore rationality of this proportion and the cost-effectiveness to implement pan-genotypic regimens in China.

Methods: A decision Markov model was developed from the health system perspective to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness between pan-genotypic and gene-specific treatment regimens for hepatitis C patients. Additionally, we set a regional genotype 3b patient proportion of 0-100% to explore at which proportion it is necessary to perform genotype identification and typing therapy on patients. Model parameters were derived from published literature and public databases. Effectiveness was measured by cured patient numbers, newly diagnosed cases of decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, need for liver transplantation, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Cost-effectiveness outcomes included costs and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The 1-3 times 2022 Chinese per capita gross domestic product was used as the willingness-to-pay threshold. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the uncertainty of the model parameters.

Results: Compared with gene-specific regimens, pan-genotypic regimens resulted in an additional 0.13 QALYs and an incremental cost of $165, the ICER was $1,268/QALY. From the view of efficacy, the pan-genotypic regimens cured 5,868 more people per 100,000 patients than gene-specific regimens, avoiding 86.5% of DC cases, 64.6% of HCC cases, and 78.2% of liver transplant needs. Identifying 3b patients before treatment was definitely cost-effectiveness when their prevalence was 12% or higher. The results remained robust in sensitivity analyses.

Conclusions: In China, the prioritized recommendation of pan-genotypic therapeutics proves to be both cost-effective and efficacious. But, in regions where the prevalence of genotype 3b exceeds 12%, it is necessary to identify them to provision of more suitable therapies.

导言:丙型肝炎的治疗已进入泛基因型时代,但对于在中国占很大比例的基因型 3b 患者来说,疗效并不理想。丙肝指南建议,当地区 3b 感染率超过 5%时,应使用基因特异性方案。本研究旨在探讨这一比例的合理性,以及在中国实施泛基因型治疗方案的成本效益:方法:我们从卫生系统的角度建立了一个决策马尔可夫模型,以评估丙肝患者采用泛基因型治疗方案和基因特异性治疗方案的有效性和成本效益。此外,我们还将地区基因型 3b 患者的比例设定为 0-100%,以探讨在多大比例的患者中有必要进行基因型鉴定和分型治疗。模型参数来自已发表的文献和公共数据库。疗效通过治愈患者人数、新诊断的失代偿性肝硬化病例、肝细胞癌、肝移植需求以及质量调整生命年(QALYs)来衡量。成本效益结果包括成本和增量成本效益比(ICER)。2022 年中国人均国内生产总值的 1-3 倍被用作支付意愿阈值。为评估模型参数的不确定性,进行了单向和概率敏感性分析:与基因特异性治疗方案相比,泛基因型治疗方案可增加 0.13 QALYs,增量成本为 165 美元,ICER 为 1268 美元/QALY。从疗效来看,与基因特异性方案相比,泛基因型方案每10万名患者中多治愈了5868人,避免了86.5%的DC病例、64.6%的HCC病例和78.2%的肝移植需求。当 3b 患者的发病率为 12% 或更高时,在治疗前识别 3b 患者无疑具有成本效益。在敏感性分析中,结果依然稳健:结论:在中国,优先推荐泛基因型疗法被证明既经济又有效。但在基因型 3b 患病率超过 12% 的地区,有必要对其进行识别,以便提供更合适的疗法。
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引用次数: 0
Topic identification, selection, and prioritization for health technology assessment in selected countries: a mixed study design. 选定国家卫生技术评估的主题确定、选择和优先顺序:混合研究设计。
IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1186/s12962-024-00513-8
Julia Bidonde, Vigdis Lauvrak, Aparna Ananthakrishnan, Pritaporn Kingkaew, Elizabeth F Peacocke

Background: There is limited evidence-informed guidance on TISP processes for countries where health technology assessment (HTA) is in a nascent phase. We aimed to explore the range of topic identification, selection and prioritization (TISP) processes and practices for HTA in selected countries and identify aspects relevant to emerging HTA systems.

Methods: This mixed design study included a systematic literature review, an electronic survey, and individual interviews. We conducted a systematic literature review with criteria that were developed a priori to identify countries deemed to have a recently formalized HTA system. Based on the literature review, a twenty-three item online survey was shared with the identified countries, we completed follow-up interviews with ten participants who have experience with HTA. We analyzed documents, survey responses and interview transcripts thematically to identify lessons related to TISP processes and practices.

Results: The literature review identified 29 nine candidate countries as having a "potential" recently formalized HTA system. Twenty-one survey responses were analyzed and supplemented with ten individual interviews. We found variation in countries' approaches to TISP - particularly between pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions. Results indicate that TISP is heavily driven by policy makers, expert involvement, and to a lesser extent, relevant stakeholders. The use of horizon-scanning and early warning systems is uncommon. Interviewee participants provided further insight to the survey data, reporting that political awareness and an institutional framework were important to support TISP. TISP can be optimized by stronger national regulations and legislative structures, in addition to education and advocacy about HTA among politicians and decision-makers. In some settings regional networks have been useful, particularly in the development of TISP guidelines and methodologies. Additionally, the technical capacity to conduct TISP, and access to relevant local data were factors limiting TISP in national settings. Increased network collaboration and capacity building were reported as future needs.

Conclusions: This study provides current insights into a topic where there is limited published peer reviewed literature. TISP is an important first step of HTA, and topics should be selected and prioritized based on local need and relevance. The limited capacity for TISP in settings where HTA is emerging may be supported by local and international collaboration to increase capacity and knowledge. To succeed, both TISP and HTA need to be embedded within national health care priority setting and decision-making. More in-depth understanding of where countries are situtated in formalizing the TISP process may help others to overcome factors that facilitate or hinder progress.

背景:对于卫生技术评估(HTA)尚处于起步阶段的国家,有关 TISP 流程的循证指导十分有限。我们旨在探索某些国家的 HTA 课题识别、选择和优先排序(TISP)流程和实践的范围,并确定与新兴 HTA 系统相关的方面:这项混合设计研究包括系统文献综述、电子调查和个别访谈。我们根据事先制定的标准进行了系统的文献综述,以确定哪些国家被认为最近拥有了正式的 HTA 系统。在文献综述的基础上,我们与所确定的国家分享了一份包含 23 个项目的在线调查,并与 10 位具有 HTA 经验的参与者进行了后续访谈。我们对文件、调查回复和访谈记录进行了专题分析,以找出与 TISP 流程和实践相关的经验教训:文献综述确定了 29 个候选国中的 9 个国家拥有 "潜在的 "近期正式化的 HTA 系统。我们对 21 份调查回复进行了分析,并辅以 10 次个别访谈。我们发现各国的 TISP 方法存在差异,尤其是在药品和非药品干预措施之间。结果表明,TISP 在很大程度上是由政策制定者和专家参与推动的,其次才是相关利益方。使用前景扫描和预警系统的情况并不常见。受访者对调查数据提供了进一步的见解,他们报告说,政治意识和制度框架对支持技术综合创新战略计划非常重要。除了在政治家和决策者中开展有关 HTA 的教育和宣传外,还可以通过加强国家法规和立法结构来优化 TISP。在某些情况下,区域网络非常有用,特别是在制定 TISP 指南和方法方面。此外,开展 TISP 的技术能力以及获取相关当地数据的途径也是限制国家环境中 TISP 的因素。据报告,未来需要加强网络合作和能力建设:这项研究为一个发表的同行评审文献有限的课题提供了最新见解。TISP 是 HTA 重要的第一步,应根据当地需求和相关性选择主题并确定优先顺序。在 HTA 刚刚兴起的环境中,TISP 的能力有限,可通过地方和国际合作来提高能力和知识水平。要想取得成功,TISP 和 HTA 都需要纳入国家医疗保健优先事项的制定和决策中。更深入地了解各国在将 TISP 进程正规化方面的情况,可能有助于其他国家克服促进或阻碍进展的因素。
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引用次数: 0
A new innovative method to measure the cost of war: future with fewer conflicts via harm reduction approaches. 衡量战争成本的创新方法:通过减少伤害的方法减少冲突的未来。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1186/s12962-024-00517-4
Ehsan Jozaghi

Background: The destruction of World War I (WWI) and World War II (WWII) changed the world forever. In this analysis, the economic costs of WWI and WWII are considered via a harm reduction approach to highlight the cost of war via the mortality of military personnel. The harm reduction philosophy and homeostasis of a biological cell are utilized as a pragmatic approach and analogy to give a greater context to the findings, despite the omission of civilian casualties and military disabilities.

Methods: Tangible (e.g., loss of wages, productivity, and contributions) and intangible (e.g., quality of life) costs are estimated based on the value of each military personnel derived from secondary data and a mathematical model. This is the first study to estimate the cost of war based on soldier's mortality during the first and second World War.

Results: Based on the tangible value, the WWI and WWII cost for the military personnel was US$43.204 billion ($13 billion ≤ α ≤ $97 billion) and US$540.112 billion ($44 billion ≤ α ≤ $1 trillion). When the intangible cost is considered, it is estimated that the WWI cost was beyond US$124 trillion ($43 trillion ≤ β ≤ $160 trillion), and the WWII cost was above US$328 trillion ($115 trillion ≤ β ≤ $424 trillion). The sensitivity analyses conducted for WWI and WWII demonstrate different ranges based on tangible and intangible values.

Conclusions: In the current climate of increasing hostilities, inequalities, global warming, and an ever-changing world, economic prosperities are directly linked to peace, stability, and security. Therefore, any future decisions for military conflicts need to increasingly consider harm reduction approaches by considering the cost of life and potential disabilities for each nations' soldiers, sailors, and pilots.

背景:第一次世界大战(WWI)和第二次世界大战(WWII)的毁灭永远地改变了世界。在本分析中,通过减低危害的方法来考虑第一次世界大战和第二次世界大战的经济成本,从而通过军事人员的死亡率来突出战争的成本。尽管遗漏了平民伤亡和军人伤残的情况,但减少伤害的理念和生物细胞的平衡被用作一种实用的方法和类比,为研究结果提供了更大的背景:方法:根据二手数据和数学模型得出的每个军事人员的价值,估算有形成本(如工资、生产力和贡献的损失)和无形成本(如生活质量)。这是第一项根据第一次和第二次世界大战期间士兵死亡率估算战争成本的研究:根据有形价值,第一次世界大战和第二次世界大战的军事人员成本分别为 432.04 亿美元(130 亿美元≤α≤970 亿美元)和 5401.12 亿美元(440 亿美元≤α≤1 万亿美元)。如果考虑无形成本,估计一战成本超过 124 万亿美元(43 万亿美元≤β≤160 万亿美元),二战成本超过 328 万亿美元(115 万亿美元≤β≤424 万亿美元)。对一战和二战进行的敏感性分析表明,有形价值和无形价值的范围不同:在当前敌意、不平等、全球变暖和世界不断变化的环境下,经济繁荣与和平、稳定和安全直接相关。因此,未来的任何军事冲突决策都需要越来越多地考虑减少伤害的方法,考虑每个国家的士兵、水手和飞行员的生命代价和潜在残疾。
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引用次数: 0
Preferences as fairness judgments: a critical review of normative frameworks of preference elicitation and development of an alternative based on constitutional economics. 作为公平判断的偏好:对偏好激发规范框架的批判性审查和基于宪法经济学的替代方案的开发。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1186/s12962-024-00510-x
Wolf Rogowski, Jürgen John

Preference elicitation is widely used within health economic evaluations to inform coverage decisions. However, coverage decisions involve questions of social justice and it is unclear what role empirical evidence about preferences can play here. This study reviews the prevalent normative frameworks for using population-based preference elicitation and the criticisms they face, and proposes an alternative based on constitutional economics. The frameworks reviewed include a supposedly value-neutral framework of preferences as predictors of choice, preference utilitarian frameworks that aim to maximize preference satisfaction, and substantive consequentialist frameworks that aim to maximize happiness, health, or capabilities. The proposed alternative implements the idea that indices of social value are tools for conflict resolution, rather than tools for maximization. Preference elicitation is used for validating values generated by multi-criteria decision analysis results within representative processes of stakeholder deliberation.

健康经济评估中广泛使用偏好征询来为覆盖决策提供信息。然而,医保决策涉及社会公正问题,目前尚不清楚有关偏好的经验证据在此方面能发挥什么作用。本研究回顾了使用基于人口的偏好征询的主流规范框架及其面临的批评,并提出了基于宪法经济学的替代方案。所回顾的框架包括作为选择预测因素的所谓偏好价值中立框架、旨在最大限度满足偏好的偏好功利主义框架,以及旨在最大限度提高幸福、健康或能力的实质结果主义框架。拟议的替代方案落实了社会价值指数是解决冲突的工具,而不是最大化的工具这一理念。在具有代表性的利益相关者商议过程中,偏好征询用于验证多标准决策分析结果所产生的价值。
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引用次数: 0
A cost-effectiveness analysis of the combination of serplulimab with chemotherapy for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: insights from the ASTRUM-007 trial. 晚期食管鳞状细胞癌舍曲利单抗联合化疗的成本效益分析:ASTRUM-007 试验的启示。
IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q3 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-01-27 DOI: 10.1186/s12962-024-00516-5
Jiahui Li, Chaoqun Xu, Suyun Yuan

Background: Combined serplulimab and chemotherapy demonstrated improved clinical survival outcomes in patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and PD-L1 combined positive scores (CPS) ≥ 1. The present study aimed to evaluate the economic viability of integrating serplulimab in combination with chemotherapy as a potential therapeutic approach for treating ESCC in China.

Methods: A Markov model was constructed to evaluate the economic and health-related implications of combining serplulimab with chemotherapy. With the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), costs and results in terms of health were estimated. For assessing parameter uncertainty, one-way and probabilistic sensitivity studies were carried out.

Results: The combination of serplulimab and chemotherapy yielded incremental costs and QALYs of $3,163 and 0.14, $2,418 and 0.10, and $3,849 and 0.15, respectively, for the overall population as well as patients with PD-L1 CPS1-10 and PD-L1 CPS ≥ 10. This corresponds to ICER values per QALY of $23,657, $23,982, and $25,134. At the prespecified WTP limit, the probabilities of serplulimab with chemotherapy being the preferred intervention option were 74.4%, 61.3%, and 78.1% for the entire patient population, those with PD-L1 1 ≤ CPS < 10, and those with PD-L1 CPS ≥ 10, respectively. The stability of the presented model was confirmed through sensitivity studies.

Conclusions: In conclusion, the combination of Serplulimab and chemotherapy showed excellent cost-effectiveness compared to chemotherapy alone in treating PD-L1-positive patients with ESCC in China.

背景:在PD-L1联合阳性评分(CPS)≥1的晚期食管鳞癌(ESCC)患者中,联合舍普单抗和化疗可改善临床生存预后。本研究旨在评估在中国将舍普利单抗联合化疗作为治疗ESCC的一种潜在治疗方法的经济可行性:方法:建立马尔可夫模型,评估舍普单抗联合化疗的经济和健康相关影响。通过增量成本效益比(ICER),估算了健康方面的成本和结果。为评估参数的不确定性,进行了单向和概率敏感性研究:结果:对于总体人群以及PD-L1 CPS1-10和PD-L1 CPS≥10的患者,舍曲利单抗和化疗联合治疗的增量成本和QALY分别为3163美元和0.14,2418美元和0.10,3849美元和0.15。这相当于每QALY的ICER值分别为23,657美元、23,982美元和25,134美元。在预设的WTP限值下,对于整个患者群体,即PD-L1 1≤CPS的患者,丝裂霉素联合化疗成为首选干预方案的概率分别为74.4%、61.3%和78.1%:总之,在治疗中国PD-L1阳性的ESCC患者时,与单纯化疗相比,丝裂霉素单抗和化疗的联合治疗具有极佳的成本效益。
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Cost Effectiveness and Resource Allocation
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