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Inflation Surge and Sovereign Borrowing: The Role of Policy Practices in Strengthening Sovereign Resilience 通胀飙升与主权借贷:政策实践在增强主权抵御能力中的作用
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00228-5
Joshua Aizenman, Huanhuan Zheng

Sovereign borrowing during inflation surges is a litmus test of a government’s ability to withstand and navigate macroeconomic shocks. Based on transaction-level bond issuance data, we explore how sovereign financing strategies differ between surging and stable inflations and how policy practices affect their ability to weather inflation shocks. We find that governments lean more toward external borrowing in foreign currency during periods of high inflation, in part to reduce borrowing costs. This pattern is particularly prevalent in emerging markets (EMs), especially when the inflation surge is prolonged and severe. We further show that good practices of fiscal discipline and credibly pegged exchange rate regime alleviate external borrowing in foreign currency amid inflation surges.

在通胀飙升期间,主权债务是检验一国政府抵御和应对宏观经济冲击能力的试金石。基于交易级债券发行数据,我们探讨了主权融资策略在飙升和稳定通胀之间的差异,以及政策实践如何影响它们抵御通胀冲击的能力。我们发现,在高通胀时期,政府更倾向于以外币对外借款,部分原因是为了降低借款成本。这种模式在新兴市场尤其普遍,尤其是在通胀飙升持续且严重的情况下。我们进一步表明,良好的财政纪律和可靠的钉住汇率制度的做法,在通货膨胀激增的情况下,减轻了外币的外部借款。
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引用次数: 0
Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered 灾难无处不在:重新考虑商业周期的成本
2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00221-y
Òscar Jordà, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor
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引用次数: 0
Great Dilution: The Global Impact of the US Inflation Shock on Sovereign Debt 大稀释:美国通胀冲击对主权债务的全球影响
2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-11 DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00220-z
Gautam Nair, Federico Sturzenegger
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引用次数: 0
Global Liquidity: Drivers, Volatility and Toolkits 全球流动性:驱动因素、波动性和工具
2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00208-9
Linda S. Goldberg
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引用次数: 0
Tracking Foreign Capital: The Effect of Capital Inflows on Bank Lending in the UK 追踪外国资本:资本流入对英国银行贷款的影响
2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00215-w
Christiane Kneer, Alexander Raabe
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引用次数: 0
The Effects of a Money-Financed Fiscal Stimulus in a Small Open Economy 小型开放经济中货币融资财政刺激的效果
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-04 DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00219-6
Eiji Okano, Masataka Eguchi
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引用次数: 0
Transformational Recovery: Seizing Opportunities from the Crisis 转型复苏:从危机中抓住机遇
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00211-0
Kenza Benhima, K. Cosar
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of U.S. Monetary Policy on Foreign Firms 美国货币政策对外国公司的影响
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00218-7
Julian di Giovanni, John Rogers
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引用次数: 0
Inflation with Covid Consumption Baskets Covid消费篮子的通货膨胀
2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00213-y
Alberto Cavallo
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引用次数: 0
Tariffs and the Exchange Rate: Evidence from Twitter 关税和汇率:来自推特的证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00206-x
D. Matveev, F. Ruge-Murcia
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引用次数: 6
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