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CEOs’ financial work experience and firms’ outbound investments 首席执行官的金融工作经验与企业对外投资
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2024.100848
Xiaoming Zeng , Hao Chen , Yanzhao Yin , Youjin Liu

Outbound investment refers to the act of investing by enterprises or individuals in regions or countries outside their home country. We explore the impact of CEO financial work experience on the outbound investments of Chinese A-share listed firms. The results demonstrate a significant, positive correlation between CEO financial work experience and the scale of outbound investments, particularly for nonbank financial work experience. We also reveal that the intermediary mechanism of CEO financial work experience is due to an increase in the proportion of financial assets and the easing of financing constraints, thereby promoting outbound investments. Moreover, the research shows that the effect of CEO financial work experience varies by ownership type and scale, with state-owned and large-scale firms receiving greater benefits.

对外投资是指企业或个人对母国以外的地区或国家进行投资的行为。我们探讨了CEO金融工作经验对中国A股上市公司对外投资的影响。结果表明,CEO的金融工作经验与对外投资规模之间存在明显的正相关关系,尤其是非银行金融工作经验。我们还发现,CEO金融工作经验的中介机制是由于金融资产比重的增加和融资约束的缓解,从而促进了对外投资。此外,研究还表明,CEO 金融工作经验的影响因所有制类型和规模而异,国有企业和大型企业受益更大。
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引用次数: 0
Nonlinear effects of financial openness on financial development in ASEAN 金融开放对东盟金融发展的非线性影响
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2024.100846
Hyun-Jung Nam , Jeongseok Bang , Doojin Ryu

This study examines the nonlinear effects of financial openness on financial development in the representative ASEAN member states: Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. It reveals that with a low (high) level of financial openness, the assets and liabilities of foreign direct investment increase (decrease) equity market capitalization and the financial development, institution, and market indices. We identify a threshold of financial openness where its positive impact begins to diminish; beyond this point, excessive financial openness may become detrimental to financial development. By reassessing the risks associated with financial openness after the Asian financial crisis, we can understand that the potential toxicity amplified by financial openness may pose threats to financial development.

本研究探讨了金融开放对东盟代表性成员国金融发展的非线性影响:印度尼西亚、马来西亚、菲律宾、新加坡和泰国。研究表明,在金融开放度较低(较高)的情况下,外国直接投资的资产和负债会增加(减少)股票市值以及金融发展、机构和市场指数。我们确定了金融开放的临界点,在这个临界点上,金融开放的积极影响开始减弱;超过这个临界点,过度的金融开放可能会不利于金融发展。通过在亚洲金融危机后重新评估与金融开放相关的风险,我们可以理解金融开放所放大的潜在毒性可能会对金融发展构成威胁。
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引用次数: 0
Government reporting credibility as immunity: Evidence from a public health event 作为免疫力的政府报告公信力:来自公共卫生事件的证据
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2024.100847
Christine Jiang , Xiaori Zhang , Bill Hu

We investigate the relationship between the credibility of officially reported COVID-19 infection cases and the direct effects of the public health crisis on stock market performance. Employing the law of left digits, we estimate the likelihood of misreporting in official data to evaluate government reporting credibility (RC). A higher deviation from expected Benford’s distributions implies a greater likelihood of misreporting and lower RC. Our premise is that high credibility of government reporting during crisis mitigates the negative consequences of disasters through lowering investors’ risk aversion and bolstering their confidence. Our main results are highly consistent with this hypothesis. The positive influence of RC is particularly pronounced for companies situated in economies characterized by higher uncertainty and weaker governance before the crisis, and during periods of heightened market panic. Our findings suggest that the credibility of government reporting can act as immunity-like protection for stock markets in times of crisis.

我们研究了官方报告的 COVID-19 感染病例的可信度与公共卫生危机对股市表现的直接影响之间的关系。利用左数定律,我们估算了官方数据中误报的可能性,以评估政府报告的可信度(RC)。与预期本福德分布的偏差越大,意味着误报的可能性越大,RC 越低。我们的前提是,危机期间政府报告的高可信度可以通过降低投资者的风险规避和增强他们的信心来减轻灾害的负面影响。我们的主要结果与这一假设高度一致。对于危机前不确定性较高、治理较弱的经济体中的公司,以及在市场恐慌加剧的时期,RC 的积极影响尤为明显。我们的研究结果表明,政府报告的可信度可以在危机时期为股市提供类似于免疫力的保护。
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引用次数: 0
Geopolitical risk and the predictability of spillovers between exchange, commodity and stock markets 地缘政治风险以及外汇市场、商品市场和股票市场之间溢出效应的可预测性
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2024.100843
Xinlei Hao , Yong Ma , Dongtao Pan

We utilize the cross-quantilogram method to assess the predictive capacity of geopolitical risk (GPR) on volatility spillovers calculated by the time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model, across international commodity, exchange, and U.S. and Chinese stock markets. The findings yield three notable observations: First, we establish the directional predictive influence of GPR on net and net pairwise volatility spillovers, indicating discernible shifts in the risk roles of specific markets and transmission pathways. Second, these shifts, anticipated by GPR, manifest swiftly within a single day and subside within a quarter, albeit with varying durations contingent on market categories and transmission pathways. Third, disparities are evident in the predictive effectiveness of geopolitical acts and geopolitical threats. These findings remain robust even when considering factors such as economic policy uncertainty, alternative proxies, and other spillover models.

我们利用交叉量表法来评估地缘政治风险对时变参数向量自回归模型计算出的波动溢出效应的预测能力。研究结果提出了三个值得注意的观点:首先,我们确定了 GPR 对净波动溢出效应和净成对波动溢出效应的方向性预测影响,表明特定市场和传导途径的风险角色发生了明显转变。其次,GPR 所预期的这些转变在一天内迅速显现,并在一个季度内消退,尽管持续时间因市场类别和传导途径而异。第三,地缘政治行为和地缘政治威胁的预测效果存在明显差异。即使考虑到经济政策不确定性、替代代用指标和其他溢出效应模型等因素,这些发现仍然是有力的。
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引用次数: 0
Geopolitical risk and foreign subsidiary performance of emerging market multinationals 地缘政治风险与新兴市场跨国公司海外子公司的业绩
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2024.100836
Xin Li , Yan Tong , Kai Zhong , Guoquan Xu , Wenyi Zhao

In recent years, enterprises have faced increasing uncertainty due to rising geopolitical risks. This paper examines the impact of geopolitical risk (GPR) in host countries on the performance of foreign subsidiaries of A-share-listed Chinese multinational enterprises (MNEs) from 2003 to 2020. The results show that the GPR of host countries negatively affects the foreign subsidiary performance of Chinese MNEs. The deteriorated local business environment acts as a channel for this negative relationship. Moreover, such a negative relationship is mitigated for listed firms with more international experience and senior executives with an overseas background, when the foreign subsidiaries do not operate in sensitive industries or when there is a better institutional environment in the host countries. This study extends the literature on how external uncertainty affects the performance of foreign subsidiaries of emerging market multinational enterprises. It also sheds light on the internationalization of firms through the management of international uncertainty.

近年来,由于地缘政治风险不断上升,企业面临着越来越多的不确定性。本文研究了 2003 年至 2020 年东道国地缘政治风险(GPR)对 A 股上市中国跨国企业(MNE)境外子公司绩效的影响。研究结果表明,东道国的地缘政治风险对中国跨国企业海外子公司的绩效有负面影响。当地商业环境的恶化是造成这种负面关系的一个渠道。此外,当外国子公司不在敏感行业运营或东道国有更好的制度环境时,国际经验更丰富的上市公司和有海外背景的高管可以缓解这种负面关系。本研究扩展了有关外部不确定性如何影响新兴市场跨国企业海外子公司绩效的文献。它还揭示了企业通过管理国际不确定性实现国际化的过程。
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引用次数: 0
The international linkages of market risk perception 市场风险认知的国际联系
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100826
Pedro Serrano , Antoni Vaello-Sebastià , M. Magdalena Vich-Llompart

This article studies the international linkages of market risk perception, which embeds a statistical measure of risk as well as the subjective beliefs and preferences of the representative investor. We find high commonality between the risk perception of different countries/economic areas, with a first principal component explaining more than 80% of the total variability. The level of integration is dynamic, peaking during crises. A connectedness analysis shows that the transmission of shocks goes from Western to Asia-Pacific economies. We also disentangle whether risk perception spillovers are due to shocks in the aggregate risk aversion or a resolution of uncertainty. A local projection analysis documents a short-term impact of risk aversion in the perception of risk. Uncertainty is also statistically significant, and although their effects are milder they span for longer periods.

本文研究了市场风险认知的国际联系,其中包含风险的统计测量以及代表性投资者的主观信念和偏好。我们发现,不同国家/经济地区的风险认知具有高度共性,第一主成分可解释总变异性的 80% 以上。一体化程度是动态的,在危机期间达到顶峰。关联性分析表明,冲击从西方经济体传导至亚太经济体。我们还区分了风险认知溢出效应是由于总体风险规避的冲击还是不确定性的解决。局部预测分析表明,风险规避会对风险认知产生短期影响。不确定性在统计上也有显著影响,虽然其影响较弱,但持续时间较长。
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引用次数: 0
Religion and corporate innovation 宗教与企业创新
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100833
Junyong Lee , Frederick Dongchuhl Oh , Donglim Shin

This study represents the first comprehensive analysis of the role of national religiosity in corporate innovation. Using a PCA method, we divide religiosity into five dimensions: ideological, ritualistic, experiential, intellectual, and consequential. For 1506 firms in 27 countries, we find that the ideological and ritualistic dimensions promote corporate innovation, whereas the experiential, intellectual, and consequential dimensions hinder corporate innovation. Furthermore, religiosity overall has a positive impact on corporate innovation. Finally, we show that the positive effect of religiosity is more pronounced for firms in Judeo-Christian countries. Overall, we provide the first guideline to understand the diverse and comprehensive effects of religion on corporate innovation. (JEL G3, O3, Z12)

本研究首次全面分析了民族宗教信仰在企业创新中的作用。使用PCA方法,我们将宗教信仰分为五个维度:意识形态,仪式,经验,智力和后果。在27个国家的1506家企业中,我们发现意识形态和仪式维度促进了企业创新,而经验、智力和后果维度阻碍了企业创新。此外,总体而言,宗教信仰对企业创新有积极影响。最后,我们表明,在犹太-基督教国家的公司,宗教虔诚的积极影响更为明显。总体而言,我们提供了理解宗教对企业创新的多样性和综合性影响的第一个准则。(凝胶g3, o3, z12)
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引用次数: 0
How does bank competition affect trade-mode transformation? Evidence from Chinese export enterprises 银行竞争如何影响贸易方式的转变?来自中国出口企业的证据
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100825
Rui Wang, Keqi Mao

This study investigates the effect of banking competition on the transformation of Chinese firms' export trade mode. We use matched data from the Chinese Industrial Enterprise Database and the Chinese Customs Trade Statistics between 2007 and 2013 to measure export firm trade-mode, and apply the number of commercial bank branches at the prefecture level to gauge bank competitiveness. With a large firm-level dataset, we find that bank competition affects a company's transition from processing mode to ordinary trade. The validity of our findings is confirmed through several robustness tests. Furthermore, we examine the underlying processes through which bank competition influences trade-mode transformation by means of firms' financial constraints, the regional marketization process and banking structural characteristics. Finally, we investigate the heterogeneity conditions and find that firms with distinct ownership structures and in different geographical locations demonstrate diverse performances in the aforementioned connection. The empirical findings provide crucial evidence to enhance the understanding of the relationship between banking institutions and company exports in emerging economies.

本文研究银行业竞争对我国企业出口贸易方式转变的影响。本文采用2007 - 2013年中国工业企业数据库和中国海关贸易统计数据的匹配数据来衡量出口企业贸易模式,并采用地级商业银行分支机构数量来衡量银行竞争力。利用大型企业层面的数据集,我们发现银行竞争会影响企业从加工模式向普通贸易模式的转变。我们的研究结果的有效性通过几个稳健性测试得到证实。此外,我们还通过企业的资金约束、区域市场化进程和银行结构特征考察了银行竞争影响贸易方式转变的潜在过程。最后,我们考察了异质性条件,发现不同股权结构和不同地理位置的公司在上述联系中表现出不同的绩效。实证研究结果为加深对新兴经济体银行机构与企业出口之间关系的理解提供了重要证据。
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引用次数: 0
Climate risk and bank stability: International evidence 气候风险与银行稳定性:国际证据
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100824
Anh-Tuan Le , Thao Phuong Tran , Anil V. Mishra

The paper studies the association between climate risk and bank stability. Using an international sample of 6433 commercial banks in 109 countries between 2005 and 2019, we illustrate that increased climate risk leads to decreased bank stability. These findings are robust to alternative bank stability measures and after controlling for endogeneity by an instrumental variable and system GMM approach. Further analysis shows that the negative impact of climate risk on bank stability is more pronounced in small banks and banks that have low capital. In addition, we also find better institutional governance, bank supervision, and regulations can eliminate the adverse impact of climate risk. Our results are neither determined by the effect of the financial crisis nor by the heterogeneity of different regions. Overall, our findings add a novel determinant of bank stability globally.

本文研究了气候风险与银行稳定性之间的关系。利用2005年至2019年109个国家6433家商业银行的国际样本,我们发现气候风险增加导致银行稳定性下降。通过工具变量和系统GMM方法控制内生性后,这些发现对替代银行稳定性措施具有鲁棒性。进一步分析表明,气候风险对银行稳定性的负面影响在小银行和低资本银行中更为明显。此外,我们还发现,更好的机构治理、银行监管和法规可以消除气候风险的不利影响。我们的结果既不是由金融危机的影响决定的,也不是由不同地区的异质性决定的。总的来说,我们的发现为全球银行稳定性增加了一个新的决定因素。
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引用次数: 0
Culture and payout policy: International evidence 文化和支付政策:国际证据
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100823
Mohamed Nasrallah Khiar , Maher Kooli

The purpose of the study is to examine the effect of national culture on corporate payout mix policy (dividends and share repurchases). Using an extensive data set covering 55 countries during 1980–2018, we find that the national cultural dimension significantly affects the payout policy mix, choice, and levels. Firms in countries with high uncertainty avoidance, masculinity, long-term orientation, and indulgence vs. restraint are inclined to pay out through share repurchases. In contrast, firms in countries with low uncertainty avoidance, masculinity, long-term orientation, and indulgence vs. restraint tend to pay out through dividends. Our findings are robust to control for firm and country characteristics, alternative payout ratios, different culture proxies, sub-period samples, and subsamples.

本研究的目的是检验民族文化对公司支出组合政策(股息和股票回购)的影响。使用涵盖1980-2018年55个国家的广泛数据集,我们发现国家文化维度显著影响支出政策组合、选择和水平。在那些具有高度不确定性规避、男性气质、长期导向、放纵与克制的国家,公司倾向于通过回购股票来支付。相比之下,在不确定性规避、男性气质、长期导向、放纵与克制程度较低的国家,公司往往会通过分红来获得回报。我们的研究结果对于控制公司和国家特征、替代支出比率、不同文化指标、子时期样本和子样本是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Multinational Financial Management
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