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Does performance-chasing behavior matter? International evidence 追求业绩的行为重要吗?国际证据
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100799
Jennifer Eunkyeong Lee , Hoon Cho , Doojin Ryu , Sangik Seok

We use funds of hedge funds data from more than 40 countries to analyze how investors’ performance-chasing behaviors affect subsequent fund performance. Fund performance improves when investors are sensitive to past performance. Higher flow-performance sensitivity (FPS) leads to better subsequent performance. A one-standard-deviation increase in FPS is associated with an increase of around 1% per annum in subsequent performance. The positive effect is stronger when fund flows are less affected by market uncertainty, when funds are less prone to decreasing returns to scale, and when funds have shorter share restriction periods. This positive effect varies across regions, and it is most significant in low individualistic countries, suggesting that investors in low individualistic countries can influence fund performance through their response to past performance.

我们使用来自40多个国家的对冲基金的基金数据来分析投资者追逐业绩的行为对后续基金业绩的影响。当投资者对过去的业绩敏感时,基金业绩就会改善。更高的流量性能灵敏度(FPS)意味着更好的后续性能。FPS每增加一个标准偏差,随后的性能每年就会增加约1%。当资金流动受市场不确定性影响较小、基金收益规模递减倾向较低、基金股份限制期限较短时,正效应更强。这种积极效应因地区而异,在低个人主义国家最为显著,这表明低个人主义国家的投资者可以通过对过去业绩的反应来影响基金业绩。
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引用次数: 0
Do politically connected directors play an information role under policy uncertainty? 在政策不确定的情况下,有政治关系的董事是否扮演着信息角色?
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100787
Bunyamin Onal

We examine whether politically connected directors (PCDs) play an information role in corporate investments in periods of uncertainty about government policy (PU). Our identification strategy relies on a 2013 ruling in China which mandated eviction of PCDs from corporate boards. Using difference-in-differences estimation around the ruling, we find that PU is less disruptive to capital expenditures and acquisitions in the presence of PCDs and this benefit dissipates in their absence. Managers also pay closer attention to stock price signals after their firms get politically disconnected. Thus, we conclude that political connections provide informational benefits that facilitate corporate investments under PU.

我们研究了在政府政策不确定时期,政治关联董事(PCDs)是否在公司投资中发挥信息作用。我们的识别策略依赖于2013年中国的一项裁决,该裁决要求将个人电脑业人士逐出公司董事会。使用围绕裁决的差异中之差估计,我们发现,在PCDs存在的情况下,PU对资本支出和收购的破坏性较小,而这种好处在PCDs不存在的情况下消散。在公司与政治脱节后,经理们也会更加关注股价信号。因此,我们得出结论,政治关系提供了信息利益,促进了企业在PU下的投资。
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引用次数: 1
International transmission of exchange rate volatility: Evidence from FIEs’ investments in China 汇率波动的国际传导:外资企业在华投资的证据
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100797
Yanke Dai , Baoxin Li , Yangfei Xu

This paper studies the cross-border transmission of exchange rate volatility through foreign-invested enterprises (FIEs)’ investments. We find that exchange rate volatility in FIEs’ home countries reduces the investments made by FIEs, which is exacerbated in industries with greater external finance dependence. We further confirm that the reduction in investment is due to a decrease in financial support from FIEs’ parent enterprises. By comparing FIEs whose parents are located in countries with different levels of financial development and in sectors with different levels of investment irreversibility, we test two potential channels of transmission, namely, the uncertainty channel and the financing channel. We also attempt to test the potential indirect impact on local firms through the production network.

本文研究了外商投资企业投资对汇率波动的跨境传导。我们发现外商投资企业所在国的汇率波动减少了外商投资企业的投资,在对外部融资依赖程度较高的行业,这种情况会加剧。我们进一步确认,投资减少是由于外资企业母公司的资金支持减少。通过比较母公司位于金融发展水平不同的国家和投资不可逆性水平不同的行业的外商投资企业,我们检验了两种潜在的传播渠道,即不确定性渠道和融资渠道。我们还试图测试通过生产网络对当地企业的潜在间接影响。
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引用次数: 0
International knowledge transfers and capital structure of multinational affiliates: Evidence from expatriate managers as the transfer agents 国际知识转移与跨国公司的资本结构:来自作为转移代理人的外籍经理的证据
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100801
Youngho Kang , Ryoonhee Kim , Unjung Whang

This study investigates how knowledge transfers within multinational corporations affect the financing decisions of foreign affiliates using a unique dataset on Korean multinationals and their foreign affiliates’ employment structure. We document that affiliates with more expatriate managers tend to maintain lower financial leverage, suggesting that the greater number of expatriate managers facilitate knowledge transfer and increase risk of affiliates. We further show that the negative relation between expatriate managers on affiliate leverage is more pronounced when parents or affiliates own greater intangible assets and host countries have fewer knowledge assets in place. The instrumental variable estimation also confirms the negative relation.

本研究利用韩国跨国公司及其外国子公司就业结构的独特数据集,探讨了跨国公司内部的知识转移如何影响其外国子公司的融资决策。我们的研究表明,拥有更多外派管理人员的子公司往往保持较低的财务杠杆,这表明更多的外派管理人员促进了知识转移,增加了子公司的风险。我们进一步表明,当母公司或子公司拥有更多的无形资产,而东道国拥有较少的知识资产时,外派管理人员对子公司杠杆的负相关关系更为明显。工具变量估计也证实了负相关关系。
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引用次数: 1
Dynamic connectedness between credit and liquidity risks in euro area sovereign debt markets 欧元区主权债务市场信用风险与流动性风险的动态关联性
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100800
Marta Gómez-Puig , Mary Pieterse-Bloem , Simón Sosvilla-Rivero

We examine the dynamic interconnections between sovereign credit and liquidity risks in ten euro area countries at the 5-year maturity with daily CDS data from IHS Markit and high-frequency data from MTS between 2008 and 2018 using the extended TVP-VAR connectedness approach of Antonakakis et al. (2020). We find that, for most of the period, net connectedness is from credit risk to liquidity risk, but this indicator is time-dependent, detecting some episodes where it goes from liquidity risk to credit risk. We set up an event study and discover that most of the latter episodes can be related to several unconventional monetary policy measures of the ECB. Then, we examine the drivers of the connectedness indicator using a Probit model. Our results suggest that a decline in global funding liquidity, monetary policy shocks and economic policy uncertainty increase the probability of risk transmission from liquidity to credit, while tensions in financial markets and the deterioration of fiscal sustainability are factors that reduce such a probability.

我们使用Antonakakis等人(2020)的扩展tpv - var连通性方法,利用IHS Markit的每日CDS数据和MTS在2008年至2018年间的高频数据,研究了10个欧元区国家5年期主权信用和流动性风险之间的动态相互关系。我们发现,在大多数时期,净连通性是从信用风险到流动性风险,但这个指标是时间相关的,检测到从流动性风险到信用风险的一些事件。我们建立了一项事件研究,发现后一阶段的大多数事件可能与欧洲央行的几项非常规货币政策措施有关。然后,我们使用Probit模型检查连通性指标的驱动因素。我们的研究结果表明,全球资金流动性的下降、货币政策冲击和经济政策的不确定性增加了风险从流动性向信贷传导的可能性,而金融市场的紧张局势和财政可持续性的恶化是降低这种可能性的因素。
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引用次数: 1
Foreign ownership in joint ventures under knowledge leakage risks: The influence of industrial munificence and dynamism 知识泄漏风险下合资企业的外资所有权:产业慷慨与活力的影响
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100796
Tiancheng Hu

This research investigates the role of industrial munificence and dynamism in foreign ownership of international joint ventures (IJVs) in emerging markets. Based on an investigation of 50,069 observations of IJVs in China, I find that foreign ownership in IJVs increases with industrial munificence and decreases with industrial dynamism in the local market. Moreover, while foreign firms with higher intangible asset intensity tend to hold higher foreign ownership in IJVs, industrial munificence positively moderates this relationship due to its role in enhancing the knowledge leakage risks. Furthermore, the roles of intangible asset intensity, munificence and dynamism on foreign ownership are more observable in industries with medium technology intensities and more liberalized FDI policies. The moderating roles of munificence and dynamism are not significant in IJVs with conventional local partners and foreign partners with Chinese cultural background.

本研究探讨了新兴市场中工业慷慨度和工业活力在外资持有国际合资企业(IJVs)中的作用。基于对中国50069家合资企业的调查,我发现外资在合资企业中的持股比例随着当地市场产业的丰富程度而增加,随着当地市场产业的活跃程度而减少。此外,虽然无形资产强度较高的外资企业往往在合资企业中持有较高的外资所有权,但产业慷慨会因其增加知识泄漏风险而正向调节这一关系。此外,无形资产强度、慷慨度和动态性对外资所有权的作用在技术强度中等和外国直接投资政策较自由化的行业中更为明显。在传统本土合作伙伴和具有中国文化背景的外国合作伙伴的合资企业中,慷慨度和动态性的调节作用不显著。
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引用次数: 0
Towards inclusive growth in Africa: Remittances, and financial development interactive effects and thresholds 实现非洲包容性增长:汇款和金融发展的相互影响和门槛
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100798
Isaac K. Ofori , Emmanuel Y. Gbolonyo , Marcel A. Toyo Dossou , Richard K. Nkrumah , Emmanuel Nkansah

The study employs macro data for 42 African countries to examine the interactive and threshold effects of financial development in the remittances-inclusive growth relationship. First, evidence based on the system GMM estimator shows that remittances are not statistically significant in promoting inclusive growth in Africa. Notably, across the economic growth and income inequality dimensions of inclusive growth, we find that although remittances are ineffective in boosting the former, they deepen the latter. Second, we find that Africa’s underdeveloped financial sector dampens the marginal positive effect of remittances on inclusive growth. Third, our threshold analysis indicates that for financial development to interact with complementary policies to foster inclusive growth in Africa, a minimum threshold of 14.5% is required. We conclude by informing policy on the level of investments needed for financial development to promote fairer income growth and distribution in Africa.

本研究采用42个非洲国家的宏观数据,考察了金融发展在汇款-包容性增长关系中的互动效应和门槛效应。首先,基于系统GMM估计器的证据表明,汇款在促进非洲包容性增长方面没有统计学意义。值得注意的是,在包容性增长的经济增长和收入不平等维度上,我们发现尽管汇款对促进前者无效,但却加深了后者。第二,我们发现非洲金融部门的不发达抑制了汇款对包容性增长的边际积极作用。第三,我们的阈值分析表明,要使金融发展与互补政策相互作用以促进非洲的包容性增长,最低阈值需要达到14.5%。最后,我们就促进非洲更公平的收入增长和分配所需的金融发展投资水平提供政策信息。
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引用次数: 3
Russia-Ukraine conflict: The effect on European banks’ stock market returns 俄乌冲突:对欧洲银行股票市场收益的影响
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100786
António Miguel Martins , Pedro Correia , Ricardo Gouveia

We examine the short-term market impact of the beginning of the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine (February 24, 2022) on the largest European listed banks. Using an event study, for the 100 largest European listed banks, we observe a negative and statistically significant stock price reaction at and around the beginning of the military conflict. These results are consistent with investor sentiment, investment portfolio rebalancing and the asset pricing perspective. Furthermore, we use a cross-sectional analysis against a set of country- and bank-specific variables. The results show a higher negative stock market reaction for Russian listed banks and for foreign banks with a high exposure to Russia. The magnitude of the stock market reaction to the military conflict is reinforced or mitigated by bank-specific determinants such as size, profitability, risk aversion, operational efficiency level, institutional ownership and exposure to Russia.

我们研究了俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的军事冲突(2022年2月24日)开始对欧洲最大的上市银行的短期市场影响。通过对100家最大的欧洲上市银行的事件研究,我们观察到,在军事冲突开始时及其前后,股价出现了负面的、统计上显著的反应。这些结果与投资者情绪、投资组合再平衡和资产定价观点一致。此外,我们对一组国家和银行特定变量进行了横断面分析。结果显示,对俄罗斯上市银行和对俄罗斯有高敞口的外国银行而言,股市的负面反应更高。股票市场对军事冲突的反应程度会因银行的特定决定因素而增强或减弱,如规模、盈利能力、风险规避、运营效率水平、机构所有权和对俄罗斯的敞口。
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引用次数: 13
Does foreign institutional ownership matter for stock price synchronicity? International evidence 外资机构所有权对股价同步性有影响吗?国际证据
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100783
Tung Lam Dang , Thi Thuy Anh Vo , Xuan Vinh Vo , Linh Thi My Nguyen

We investigate the relation between foreign institutional ownership and stock price synchronicity, and whether this relation varies across country-level institutional and information infrastructures. Using a comprehensive dataset for firms across 40 countries over the period between 2000 and 2016, we document the following notable findings. First, foreign institutional ownership is negatively associated with stock price synchronicity. Second, we find that improved information transparency is a possible channel underlying the effect of foreign institutional ownership on stock price synchronicity. In addition, the synchronicity-reducing effect of foreign institutional ownership is more pronounced for firms in countries with weaker institutional infrastructures. Finally, our results reveal different impacts of foreign institutional ownership on stock price synchronicity across various types of foreign institutional ownership, highlighting the importance of foreign investor heterogeneity in improving firm information environment.

我们研究了外资机构所有权与股价同步性之间的关系,以及这种关系是否在国家层面的机构和信息基础设施中有所不同。使用2000年至2016年期间40个国家的公司的综合数据集,我们记录了以下值得注意的发现。首先,外资机构持股与股价同步性呈负相关。第二,我们发现提高信息透明度可能是外资机构持股影响股价同步性的一个潜在渠道。此外,在制度基础设施较弱的国家,外国机构所有权的同步性降低效应更为明显。最后,我们的研究结果揭示了不同类型外资机构持股对股价同步性的不同影响,突出了外资投资者异质性对改善企业信息环境的重要性。
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引用次数: 2
COVID-19 pandemic impact on banking sector: A cross-country analysis COVID-19大流行对银行业的影响:一项跨国分析
IF 4.2 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2023.100784
Mohsin Shabir , Ping Jiang , Wenhao Wang , Özcan Işık

This study examines the effects of the COVID-19 outbreak on the performance and stability of the banking sector. Our sample consists of 2073 banks in 106 countries from 2016Q1 to 2021Q2. We employ several alternative bank performance and stability measures for a comprehensive analysis and robustness. The findings show that the COVID-19 outbreak has significantly reduced bank performance and stability. These results are consistently observed across several geographical regions and countries’ income classifications. Additional analysis shows that the adverse impact of COVID-19 depends on the characteristics of the bank and market structure. While a better regulatory environment, institutional quality, and financial development have significantly increased the strength and resilience of banks. These findings provide practical implications for regulators and policymakers in the face of unprecedented uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

本研究探讨了COVID-19疫情对银行业绩效和稳定性的影响。我们的样本包括2016年第一季度至2021年第二季度106个国家的2073家银行。我们采用几种替代银行绩效和稳定性措施进行全面分析和稳健性。研究结果表明,新冠肺炎疫情严重影响了银行的业绩和稳定性。这些结果在多个地理区域和国家的收入分类中都得到了一致的观察。进一步分析表明,COVID-19的不利影响取决于银行和市场结构的特点。更好的监管环境、制度质量和金融发展显著提高了银行的实力和韧性。面对COVID-19大流行带来的前所未有的不确定性,这些发现为监管机构和政策制定者提供了实际意义。
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引用次数: 12
期刊
Journal of Multinational Financial Management
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