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Board Gender Diversity and Firm Performance in an Emerging Economy: The Role of Women Directors' Attributes 新兴经济体中董事会性别多样性与公司绩效:女性董事属性的作用
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-22 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3107
Tien-Minh Pham, Marian Rizov, Xuan Vinh Vo

Despite the extensive research on board gender diversity (BGD), questions persist regarding its impact on firm performance and the mechanisms through which it operates, especially in emerging economies. This research enhances our understanding of how the attributes of female directors contribute to firm performance. Using data from large, listed firms in Vietnam over the period 2014–2020, we find a positive effect of BGD on firm performance, with a significant impact when at least two women serve on the board. Notably, our results show that women executive directors exert a stronger positive influence than women independent directors. We also demonstrate the importance of women directors' age, rather than their education level, in shaping firm performance. Our findings are robust across various tests. Overall, this study provides compelling evidence that, in the context of emerging economies, BGD's impact on firm performance is driven by older (more experienced) women executive directors.

尽管对董事会性别多样性(BGD)进行了广泛的研究,但关于其对公司业绩的影响及其运作机制的问题仍然存在,尤其是在新兴经济体。本研究增进了我们对女性董事属性如何影响公司绩效的理解。使用2014-2020年期间越南大型上市公司的数据,我们发现性别性别差异对公司绩效有积极影响,当董事会中至少有两名女性时,其影响显著。值得注意的是,我们的研究结果表明,女性执行董事比女性独立董事具有更强的积极影响。我们还证明了女性董事的年龄,而不是她们的教育水平,在塑造公司业绩方面的重要性。我们的发现在各种测试中都是可靠的。总体而言,本研究提供了令人信服的证据,表明在新兴经济体背景下,年龄较大(经验更丰富)的女性执行董事推动了BGD对公司绩效的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Robust Determinants of Current Account Imbalances in Emerging and Developing Countries 新兴和发展中国家经常账户失衡的有力决定因素
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-22 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3101
Christophe Martial Mbassi, Michel Cyrille Samba, Prince de Pierre Lakouetene

We aim to identify robust determinants of current account imbalances in 87 emerging and developing countries in the context of model uncertainty and selection bias, from 1980 to 2017. The uncertainty arises from the diversity of competing theories and the contradictory findings of empirical works, while the systemic unavailability of current account data causes selection bias. To overcome these issues, we extend Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) approach to HeckitBMA in order to address model uncertainty in the presence of selection bias. We find that out of 21 potential determinants, only 10 are robust determinants. However, these determinants differ according to country groupings, and since the 2008 financial crisis, some determinants have gained importance, such as inflation targeting, macroprudential policies, and income inequality. Finally, we find that the determinants of current account surpluses are not strictly the same as those of deficits. Our results shed more light on how policy makers can manage current account imbalances and which levers to use.

我们的目标是在1980年至2017年的模型不确定性和选择偏差背景下,确定87个新兴和发展中国家经常账户失衡的强大决定因素。这种不确定性源于相互竞争的理论的多样性和实证工作的相互矛盾的结果,而经常账户数据的系统性不可获得性导致了选择偏差。为了克服这些问题,我们将贝叶斯模型平均(BMA)方法扩展到HeckitBMA,以解决存在选择偏差的模型不确定性。我们发现在21个潜在的决定因素中,只有10个是稳健的决定因素。然而,这些决定因素因国家而异,自2008年金融危机以来,一些决定因素变得越来越重要,如通胀目标制、宏观审慎政策和收入不平等。最后,我们发现经常账户盈余的决定因素与赤字的决定因素并不完全相同。我们的研究结果为决策者如何管理经常账户失衡以及使用何种杠杆提供了更多启示。
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引用次数: 0
Is Fintech Good for Bank Performance? The Case of Mobile Money in the East African Community 金融科技对银行业绩有利吗?东非共同体的移动货币案例
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-22 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3100
Serge Stéphane Ky, Clovis Rugemintwari, Alain Sauviat

Mobile money, a technology-driven innovation in financial services, has profoundly penetrated the financial landscape in Sub-Saharan Africa, including banks. Yet, besides anecdotal evidence, little is known about whether mobile money adoption enhances or worsens bank performance. Combining hand-collected data with balance sheet data from the Bureau Van Djik (BvD) Bankscope and Bankfocus databases for a panel of 141 banks over the period 2009–2018, we find a strong positive and significant relationship between the time elapsed since banks' involvement in mobile money and their performance considering bank profitability, efficiency, and stability. In further investigations, we explore possible channels by showing how bank size, deposit collection and diversification levels alter such an association. Our results are robust to using instrumental variables, controlling for bank and macro level confounding factors, bank fixed effects and considering alternative measures of bank performance and bank-MNO partnerships. Overall, our findings highlight the bright side of cooperation between banks and mobile network operators in the provision of mobile money.

移动支付作为一种技术驱动的金融服务创新,已经深刻渗透到撒哈拉以南非洲的金融领域,包括银行。然而,除了坊间证据外,人们对采用移动支付是提高还是恶化银行业绩知之甚少。将手工收集的数据与来自Bureau Van Djik (BvD) Bankscope和Bankfocus数据库的2009-2018年141家银行的资产负债表数据相结合,我们发现,考虑到银行的盈利能力、效率和稳定性,银行参与移动货币的时间与它们的表现之间存在着强烈的正相关关系。在进一步的调查中,我们通过展示银行规模、存款收集和多样化水平如何改变这种联系来探索可能的渠道。我们的结果对于使用工具变量、控制银行和宏观层面的混杂因素、银行固定效应以及考虑银行绩效和银行- mno合作伙伴关系的替代衡量标准具有稳健性。总的来说,我们的研究结果突出了银行和移动网络运营商在提供移动货币方面合作的光明一面。
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引用次数: 0
A Learning Model with Memory in the Financial Markets 金融市场中具有记忆的学习模型
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-19 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3094
Shikta Singh, Supun Chandrasena, Yue Shi, Abdullah Alhussaini, Claude Diebolt, Martin Enilov, Tapas Mishra

Learning is central to a financial agent's aspiration to gain persistent strategic advantage in asset value maximisation. The implicit mechanism that transforms this aspiration into an observed value gain is the speed of error corrections (demonstrating, an agent's speed of learning) whilst facing increased uncertainty. In such a setting, perpetual learning can lead to a type of memory that financial agents can exploit as an information set to plan for their next strategic decisions. The existing literature focuses predominantly on a learning model with a long-lag characterisation of asset values. However, recent methodological advances show that long memory can be generated from a learning model with just one lag. In this paper, we exploit this strand of literature and integrate the new construct into our proposed duration-compliant ‘social distance’ mechanic as an alternative robust model of learning in a financial market. We assess the efficacy of our approach with a numerical example and a calibration exercise.

学习是金融代理在资产价值最大化中获得持久战略优势的核心。将这种期望转化为观察到的值增益的隐含机制是在面对增加的不确定性时纠正错误的速度(证明代理的学习速度)。在这种情况下,持续学习可以产生一种记忆,金融代理人可以利用这种记忆作为一种信息集,为他们的下一个战略决策制定计划。现有文献主要集中在具有资产价值长滞后特征的学习模型上。然而,最近的方法进步表明,长记忆可以从一个只有一个滞后的学习模型中产生。在本文中,我们利用这一文献链,并将新结构整合到我们提出的符合持续时间的“社会距离”机制中,作为金融市场学习的另一种稳健模型。我们通过一个数值例子和校准练习来评估我们的方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
ESG Rating Disagreement and the Quality of Analysts' Forecasts: Information or Noise ESG评级分歧与分析师预测质量:信息还是噪音
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3089
Menghan Li, Qi Chen

The rise of ESG investment has stimulated the development of ESG ratings, while there is substantial ESG rating disagreement among different rating agencies, which creates a major obstacle to sustainable investment. This study empirically examines the impact of ESG rating disagreement on the quality of analysts' forecasts based on the data of Chinese listed companies from 2015 to 2021. It is found that the ESG rating disagreement significantly improves the quality of analysts' forecasts. Mechanism analysis demonstrates that ESG rating disagreement can enhance the quality of analysts' forecasts by increasing analysts' attention. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the observed effect is more pronounced in companies with low information quality and those with star analysts. These findings not only objectively assess the impact of ESG rating disagreement, but also emphasise the crucial role of analysts in improving the capital market information environment.

ESG投资的兴起刺激了ESG评级的发展,但不同评级机构对ESG评级的分歧很大,这对可持续投资造成了重大障碍。本研究基于2015 - 2021年中国上市公司数据,实证检验了ESG评级分歧对分析师预测质量的影响。研究发现,ESG评级分歧显著提高了分析师预测的质量。机制分析表明,ESG评级分歧可以通过增加分析师的关注度来提高分析师预测的质量。异质性分析表明,在信息质量较低的公司和拥有明星分析师的公司中,观察到的效应更为明显。这些发现不仅客观地评估了ESG评级分歧的影响,而且强调了分析师在改善资本市场信息环境方面的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Profitability and Bank De-Branching in the Digital Age: Evidence From Russian Regions 数字时代的盈利能力和银行去分支化:来自俄罗斯地区的证据
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3095
Evgenii Zimin, Maria Semenova

This study examines the relationship between bank de-branching and profitability in Russian regions depending on the region's internet infrastructure development and financial digital literacy. Using data from 84 Russian regions from 2010 to 2020 and panel data analysis techniques, we test whether the adequacy of internet infrastructure for online banking and financial digital literacy are positively related to bank de-branching and whether they add to bank de-branching efficiency in terms of bank profitability. We show that a higher degree of the region's internet infrastructure development and higher levels of financial digital literacy are positively related to bank de-branching. We observe that banks closing their branches in regions exhibiting higher levels of internet development and financial digital literacy gain more profit from de-branching. This study adds to the literature by being the first to examine whether financial digital literacy and the development of internet technologies enhance the positive effect of bank de-branching on bank profitability.

本研究根据俄罗斯地区的互联网基础设施发展和金融数字素养,考察了银行去分支化与盈利能力之间的关系。利用2010年至2020年俄罗斯84个地区的数据和面板数据分析技术,我们测试了网上银行和金融数字素养的互联网基础设施的充分性是否与银行去分支化呈正相关,以及它们是否在银行盈利能力方面增加了银行去分支化效率。研究表明,该地区互联网基础设施发展程度越高,金融数字素养水平越高,与银行去分支化呈正相关。我们观察到,在互联网发展水平和金融数字素养较高的地区关闭分支机构的银行从去分支中获得更多利润。本研究首次考察了金融数字素养和互联网技术的发展是否会增强银行去分支对银行盈利能力的积极影响,从而为文献提供了补充。
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引用次数: 0
The Credit Channel of Monetary Transmission in the US: Is It a Bank Lending Channel, a Balance Sheet Channel or Both or Neither? 美国货币传导中的信贷渠道:是银行借贷渠道,还是资产负债表渠道,抑或两者皆有?
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-16 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3077
Sophocles N. Brissimis, Michalis-Panayiotis Papafilis

We develop a theoretical framework that extends the Bernanke and Blinder model to incorporate imperfect substitution between internal and external finance of firms to study the operation of both the bank lending and the balance sheet channels of monetary transmission in the US. Our model is used to quantify the financial accelerator effects due to the operation of these channels. Empirically, we use multivariate cointegration techniques to identify the equilibrium relationships included in our model, and we provide evidence that only the balance sheet channel is operational for the period before and after the global financial crisis.

我们发展了一个理论框架,扩展了伯南克和布林德模型,纳入了公司内部和外部融资之间的不完全替代,以研究美国银行贷款和资产负债表货币传导渠道的运作。我们的模型用于量化由于这些渠道的运作而产生的金融加速器效应。从经验上看,我们使用多元协整技术来确定模型中包含的均衡关系,并提供证据表明,在全球金融危机前后,只有资产负债表渠道是可操作的。
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引用次数: 0
Sovereign Credit Ratings: A Friend or Foe to Financial Development of African Countries? 主权信用评级:对非洲国家金融发展是敌是友?
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-16 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3091
Sodiq Arogundade, Biyase Mduduzi, Cephas Naanwaab

This study examined the impact of sovereign credit rating on financial development. Using a sample of 21 African countries from 1995 to 2019, the empirical result indicates a significant and positive link between sovereign credit rating and financial development that is, higher credit ratings are associated with lower borrowing costs, increased access to capital, and increased investor confidence. The study further finds that (1) sovereign credit ratings improve the financial institutions and markets of the selected countries; (2) the magnitude of the impact of credit rating on financial development is greater for countries with very high financial development; and (3) there is bidirectional causality between credit rating and financial development. The empirical results are remarkably robust to different measures of sovereign credit rating (Fitch and S&P), local currency debt ratings, sub-categories of financial development (financial market and institution), and various estimators such as the two-step system GMM, JKS Granger non-causality, and the Machado and Silva quantile regression. In order to improve the financial depth and access funding from local and international markets to finance the sustainable development goals and Agenda 2063, the study recommends that African countries implement the necessary policies to obtain better ratings.

本研究考察了主权信用评级对金融发展的影响。以1995年至2019年的21个非洲国家为样本,实证结果表明,主权信用评级与金融发展之间存在显著的正相关关系,即较高的信用评级与较低的借贷成本、更多的资本获取渠道和更高的投资者信心相关。研究进一步发现:(1)主权信用评级改善了所选国家的金融机构和市场;(2)金融发展水平较高的国家,信用评级对金融发展的影响程度更大;(3)信用评级与金融发展之间存在双向因果关系。实证结果对不同的主权信用评级(惠誉和标普)、本币债务评级、金融发展子类别(金融市场和机构)以及各种估计器(如两步系统GMM、JKS格兰杰非因果关系和Machado和Silva分位数回归)都具有显著的稳健性。为了提高财政深度,从当地和国际市场获得资金,为可持续发展目标和《2063年议程》提供资金,该研究建议非洲国家实施必要的政策,以获得更好的评级。
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引用次数: 0
Does Peer-to-Peer Lending Have Resilience During the COVID-19 Pandemic? Evidence From China 在COVID-19大流行期间,个人对个人贷款是否具有弹性?来自中国的证据
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3098
Ziwei Wang, Haijun Yang, Harris Wu

Does Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending, a digital FinTech platform, show resilience in response to COVID-19 shocks? We examine this question by considering both the absorbing and adapting abilities based on psychological perceptions and objective infection cases. We collect data on infection cases, the Baidu search index, and 54,166 textual news articles to propose a novel perspective that incorporates both subjective psychological perceptions and objective infection cases to measure the response of P2P lending firms to COVID-19 shocks. We calculate the extent of P2P lending's resilience using four metrics: maximum loss, total loss, recovery periods, and net impacts from local projections impulse responses. Our findings demonstrate that P2P lending displays resilience, as its total trade volume, new investors, and new investments initially decrease slightly and then rebound in response to the COVID-19 shock. Psychological perception of COVID-19 shocks, rather than objective infection, elicits a more pronounced response in the performance of P2P lending firms.

数字金融科技平台点对点(P2P)借贷是否在应对COVID-19冲击时表现出弹性?我们通过考虑基于心理感知和客观感染病例的吸收和适应能力来研究这个问题。我们收集了感染病例、百度搜索指数和54166篇文本新闻文章的数据,提出了一个结合主观心理感知和客观感染病例的新视角,以衡量P2P借贷公司对COVID-19冲击的反应。我们使用四个指标来计算P2P借贷的弹性程度:最大损失、总损失、恢复期和本地预测脉冲响应的净影响。我们的研究结果表明,P2P借贷表现出弹性,因为其总交易量、新投资者和新投资最初略有下降,然后在应对COVID-19冲击时反弹。对COVID-19冲击的心理感知,而不是客观感染,在P2P借贷公司的表现中引发了更明显的反应。
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引用次数: 0
CEO Inside Debt and Corporate Investment Efficiency CEO内部债务与企业投资效率
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-12-08 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3066
Claudia Girardone, Jiyuan Li, Yiwei Li, Mengying Zhao

This paper investigates whether and how the chief executive officer (CEO)'s inside debt holding influences a firm's investment policy. Our evidence on a sample of US S&P 1500 firms indicates that CEO inside debt can significantly improve investment efficiency and help to overcome both over-investment and under-investment, suggesting that the CEO's higher positions of inside debt can lead to optimal investment decisions. The results are robust when we use PSM, entropy balancing, the Heckman two-stage method and the lagged value of the independent variables to mitigate the endogeneity concerns and other robustness checks. Furthermore, we document that the effectiveness of the CEO inside debt on investment is not sensitive to agency problems, as well as financial constraints. Overall, we confirm the importance of investigating the effect of managerial inside debt holdings on corporate capital investment and provide new insights into how inside debt mitigates agency problems.

本文研究了首席执行官内部债务持有是否以及如何影响企业的投资政策。我们对美国标准普尔1500公司样本的证据表明,CEO内部债务可以显著提高投资效率,并有助于克服过度投资和投资不足,这表明CEO较高的内部债务地位可以导致最优的投资决策。当我们使用PSM、熵平衡、Heckman两阶段方法和自变量的滞后值来减轻内生性问题和其他鲁棒性检查时,结果是稳健的。此外,我们发现CEO内部债务对投资的有效性对代理问题和财务约束不敏感。总体而言,我们确认了调查管理层内部债务持有对公司资本投资的影响的重要性,并为内部债务如何缓解代理问题提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Finance & Economics
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