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Multifractal Detrended Cross-Correlation Patterns in the Dynamics of the Global Energy and Green Investment Markets: Insights From Pre-COVID-19 and Pandemic Experiences 全球能源和绿色投资市场动态中的多重分形去趋势相互关联模式:来自covid -19前和大流行经验的见解
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3139
Mahdi Ghaemi Asl, Oluwasegun Babatunde Adekoya, Johnson Ayobami Oliyide, Umer Shahzad, Hamed Tajmir Riahi

Despite the increasing concentration on the budding, but yet immature, green investment markets, less empirical information is known on their multifractal and efficiency behaviour, with no study particularly linking these to the crude oil market. In addition, how the recent COVID-19 affects the multifractality and cross-correlation between oil price and the green investment assets remains unexamined in the literature. Filling these gaps, this study employs novel multifractal techniques that cut across univariate, multiscale, and cross-correlation analyses. We find that oil price and all the green investment assets are strongly multifractal in behaviour before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, although the pandemic intensifies persistence and market inefficiency. Moreover, the multifractality is established to vary across scales, thereby making it to be complex and heterogeneous. On a final note, oil price has a strong multifractal cross-correlation with all the green investment assets, and this is more pronounced during the pandemic. Thus, the oil and green investment markets are closely knitted. These findings are followed with suitable policy implications for investors who desire to effectively assess and manage financial risks and policymakers that desire optimal performance of the markets to achieve the goal of a carbon-friendly economy.

尽管人们越来越关注萌芽但尚未成熟的绿色投资市场,但关于其多重分形和效率行为的经验信息却很少,也没有将其与原油市场联系起来的研究。此外,最近的COVID-19如何影响油价与绿色投资资产之间的多重分形和相互关系,在文献中尚未得到研究。填补这些空白,本研究采用新颖的多重分形技术,跨越单变量,多尺度和相互关联分析。我们发现,在新冠肺炎大流行之前和期间,石油价格和所有绿色投资资产的行为都具有强烈的多重分形,尽管大流行加剧了持久性和市场无效率。此外,多重分形在不同尺度上存在差异,从而使其具有复杂性和异质性。最后需要说明的是,油价与所有绿色投资资产都具有很强的多重分形交叉相关性,这在疫情期间更为明显。因此,石油和绿色投资市场紧密相连。这些发现对希望有效评估和管理金融风险的投资者和希望市场表现最佳以实现碳友好型经济目标的政策制定者具有适当的政策含义。
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引用次数: 0
How Does Environmental Regulation Promote Environmental Total Factor Productivity: Evidence From China's Total Carbon Emission Control Policy 环境规制如何促进环境全要素生产率:来自中国碳排放总量控制政策的证据
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-03-02 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3141
Kai Xu, Xinyi Jin, Yihua Xu, Lingqian Kong

To address the challenge of reducing carbon emissions and achieving carbon neutrality, assessing the efficacy of total carbon emission control policy (TCP) is imperative for the pursuit of sustainable economic growth in China. This study leverages a dataset comprising 282 Chinese cities across the period from 2010 to 2021 to quantify China's environmental total factor productivity (ETFP). Employing the differences-in-difference (DID) approach, this research scrutinises the influence of TCP on ETFP. The findings reveal that the implementation of TCP significantly enhances ETFP within the regions subject to the policy. Notably, the policy exerts a more pronounced influence on ETFP in the eastern regions, cities reliant on resource extraction and those with higher administrative status. The promotion of ETFP through TCP is largely mediated by advancements in technology and shifts in the industrial landscape. This study offers valuable insights to facilitate the effective rollout of TCP in China.

为了应对减少碳排放和实现碳中和的挑战,评估碳排放总量控制政策(TCP)的有效性对于追求中国经济的可持续增长至关重要。本研究利用2010年至2021年中国282个城市的数据集,对中国的环境全要素生产率(ETFP)进行了量化。采用差异中的差异(DID)方法,本研究考察了TCP对ETFP的影响。研究结果表明,TCP的实施显著提高了受政策影响地区的ETFP。值得注意的是,该政策对东部地区、资源依赖型城市和行政地位较高的城市的ETFP影响更为明显。通过TCP促进ETFP在很大程度上受到技术进步和工业格局变化的影响。本研究为促进TCP在中国的有效推广提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Driving ESG Excellence: Analysing China's Green Finance Policy With Double/Debiased Machine Learning 推动卓越ESG:用双重/去偏向机器学习分析中国绿色金融政策
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-02-28 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3142
Weiwei Zhong, Weijun Xu, Minghui Han, Junhao Zhong, Khaldoon Albitar

The study explores the effect of China's Green Financial Reform and Innovation (GFRI) pilot zone policy on corporate ESG performance from 2012 to 2021. Utilising a double/debiased machine learning (DDML) model, we find that the policy enhances ESG performance by mitigating financial constraints, improving environmental practices, and reducing short-sighted management behaviour in Chinese corporates. Heterogeneity analysis reveals varied effects based on resource endowments, geographic locations, ownership properties and life cycles. This study underscores the significance of the GFRI policy in advancing China's dual-carbon goals. It further illustrates the potential of this policy to serve as a model for similar initiatives globally, offering empirical evidence that supports environmental governance and remediation efforts at both regional and corporate levels.

本研究探讨了2012 - 2021年中国绿色金融改革创新(GFRI)试验区政策对企业ESG绩效的影响。利用双/去偏见机器学习(DDML)模型,我们发现该政策通过缓解中国企业的财务约束、改善环境实践和减少短视的管理行为来提高ESG绩效。异质性分析表明,资源禀赋、地理位置、所有权属性和生命周期对企业的影响是不同的。本研究强调了GFRI政策在推进中国双碳目标方面的重要意义。它进一步说明了这一政策作为全球类似倡议模式的潜力,提供了支持区域和企业层面的环境治理和补救工作的经验证据。
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引用次数: 0
Green R&D Efficiency and China's Industrial Carbon Intensity: New Evidence From a Spatial Perspective 绿色研发效率与中国工业碳强度:基于空间视角的新证据
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-02-27 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3138
Changhua Chen, Junbing Huang, Yajun Wang

Optimising the allocation of limited research and development (R&D) resources significantly enhances the environmental benefits. Based on the innovation value chain theory, this study defines green R&D efficiency and investigates its impact on industrial carbon intensity from a spatial perspective. Using the spatial Durbin model, the results indicate that green R&D efficiency reduces industrial carbon intensity both locally and in neighbouring provinces. Endogenous bias and robustness check further confirm these findings. The key mechanisms driving this effect include green output efficiency and green industrial transformation. Additional analysis manifests that the reduction effect is more pronounced during the development stage of green R&D activities than during the research stage. However, both stages work synergistically to reduce industrial carbon intensity. Environmental regulation and a free market environment positively influence the environmental performance of green R&D efficiency. Finally, policy recommendations are provided.

优化有限的研发资源配置可以显著提高环境效益。本文基于创新价值链理论,对绿色研发效率进行了界定,并从空间角度考察了绿色研发效率对工业碳强度的影响。利用空间Durbin模型,结果表明绿色研发效率降低了本地和邻近省份的工业碳强度。内源性偏倚和稳健性检验进一步证实了这些发现。驱动这一效应的关键机制包括绿色产出效率和绿色产业转型。进一步分析表明,在绿色研发活动的开发阶段,减排效应比研究阶段更为明显。然而,这两个阶段协同工作,以降低工业碳强度。环境规制和自由市场环境对绿色研发效率的环境绩效有正向影响。最后,提出政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Women on Board and Climate Change: An Illustration Through Greenhouse Gas Emissions 女性登机与气候变化:温室气体排放的例证
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-02-26 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3140
Ammar Ali Gull, Tanveer Ahsan, Sabri Boubaker, Fabiana Roberto

Women directors' role in addressing climate change is the source of increasing scholarly interest. We study the impact of women directors on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions worldwide using a dataset of 2758 firms listed in 36 countries between 2002 and 2019 and reveal a significantly negative association between women board directors and GHG emissions, including direct as well as indirect GHG emissions. In recent years, many countries have enacted board gender quotas, leading to a marked rise in women's board representation. Our findings indicate that the marginal effect of women directors on GHG emissions after implementing gender quotas also remains negative and highly significant. We also note that the impact of women directors on GHG emissions is significant when the board has two or more women and is mainly influenced by independent rather than executive women directors. Moreover, industry nature and climate change action-oriented compensation policies drive the relationship between women directors and GHG emissions. The results remain robust to alternate proxies, various subsample analyses, and alternative specifications and offer significant research and managerial implications. This study contributes to the emergent literature on the role of women directors and board gender quotas in tackling the global issue of climate change.

女性董事在应对气候变化方面的作用引起了越来越多的学术兴趣。我们利用2002年至2019年间36个国家2758家上市公司的数据集,研究了女性董事对全球温室气体排放的影响,发现女性董事与温室气体排放(包括直接和间接温室气体排放)之间存在显著的负相关关系。近年来,许多国家制定了董事会性别配额,导致董事会中女性代表人数显著增加。我们的研究结果表明,实施性别配额后,女性董事对温室气体排放的边际效应仍然是负的,并且非常显著。我们还注意到,如果董事会有两名或两名以上女性,并且主要受独立而非执行女性董事的影响,那么女性董事对温室气体排放的影响就会很大。此外,行业性质和以气候变化行动为导向的薪酬政策推动了女性董事与温室气体排放之间的关系。结果对替代代理、各种子样本分析和替代规范保持稳健,并提供重要的研究和管理意义。本研究对女性董事和董事会性别配额在应对全球气候变化问题中的作用的新兴文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
To What Extent Does Green Finance Influence Carbon Intensity: The Role of Green Innovation and Industrial Structure 绿色金融对碳强度的影响:绿色创新和产业结构的作用
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-02-26 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3143
Haiying Lin, Jingpeng Chen, Zigong Cai

Against the backdrop of global climate change and slowing economic growth, nations are urgently seeking strategies to both stimulate economic recovery and reduce carbon intensity (CI). In this context, China has prioritised the expansion of green finance as a pivotal mechanism for fostering green transformation and securing sustainable growth. This study delves into the effect of green finance on China's CI. Employing an empirical analysis across 30 Chinese provinces from 2007 to 2020, this paper leverages the entropy method to forge a comprehensive green finance indicator. The findings show green finance diminishing CI, predominantly driven by green innovation and industrial structure. Further examination using the threshold effect model reveals a pronounced threshold impact of green innovation and industrial structure on the efficacy of green finance in reducing CI, with the inhibitory effect of green finance peaking within an optimal threshold range. The heterogeneity test reveals that, compared to the western and northeastern regions, green finance has a more pronounced inhibitory effect on CI in the eastern and central regions. The research findings of this paper provide a perspective on how green finance facilitates the reduction of regional CI.

在全球气候变化和经济增长放缓的背景下,各国正在迫切寻求既能刺激经济复苏又能降低碳强度(CI)的战略。在此背景下,中国优先发展绿色金融,将其作为促进绿色转型和确保可持续增长的关键机制。本研究探讨了绿色金融对中国CI的影响。本文以2007 - 2020年中国30个省份的实证分析为基础,运用熵值法构建了绿色金融综合指标。研究发现,绿色金融的CI呈递减趋势,主要受绿色创新和产业结构的驱动。进一步利用阈值效应模型进行检验,发现绿色创新和产业结构对绿色金融降低CI效能的阈值影响显著,绿色金融的抑制作用在最优阈值范围内达到峰值。异质性检验表明,与西部和东北地区相比,东部和中部地区绿色金融对CI的抑制作用更为明显。本文的研究结果为绿色金融如何促进区域CI的降低提供了一个视角。
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引用次数: 0
How Do GCC Countries Stocks Interact With US and European Debt Markets? 海湾合作委员会国家的股票如何与美欧债券市场互动?
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-02-19 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3129
Waqas Hanif, Rim El Khoury, Mariya Gubareva

This study conducts a comprehensive analysis of interconnectedness in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) equity markets and global bond markets, primarily focusing on European Monetary Union (EMU) and US bonds, from July 2007 to September 2023. Using innovative methodologies such as quantile connectedness and quantile coherency, we capture the dynamic relationships across different market conditions, particularly during extreme events. The quantile connectedness includes a moderate to low degree of interconnectedness during normal market conditions, intensifying during extreme market conditions. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia are identified as influential players, transcending borders to impact returns in other GCC markets. Roles of GCC countries as net transmitters or receivers of returns shift over time, necessitating adaptable investment strategies. The interconnectedness of GCC markets with bonds responds differently to global crises and turbulences, including geopolitical and health crises. Our quantile coherence analysis provides insights for risk management and portfolio allocation. These findings have crucial implications for investors, encouraging adaptive asset allocation strategies, and for policymakers to monitor intra-regional spillovers in shaping market dynamics.

本研究对2007年7月至2023年9月期间海湾合作委员会(GCC)股票市场和全球债券市场的互联性进行了全面分析,主要关注欧洲货币联盟(EMU)和美国债券。使用创新的方法,如分位数连通性和分位数一致性,我们捕捉不同市场条件下的动态关系,特别是在极端事件期间。分位数连通性包括在正常市场条件下的中等到低程度的相互联系,在极端市场条件下加剧。阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE)和沙特阿拉伯被认为是有影响力的参与者,它们超越国界,影响海湾合作委员会其他市场的回报。海湾合作委员会国家作为回报的净发送者或净接收者的作用随着时间的推移而变化,因此需要有适应性的投资战略。海湾合作委员会市场与债券的相互联系对全球危机和动荡,包括地缘政治和卫生危机的反应不同。我们的分位数一致性分析为风险管理和投资组合配置提供了见解。这些发现对投资者、鼓励适应性资产配置策略以及政策制定者在形成市场动态过程中监测区域内溢出效应具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of FinTech on the Relationship Between Ownership Structure and Dividend Payments 金融科技在股权结构与股利支付关系中的作用
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-02-18 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3130
Tahir Akhtar

This study aims to investigate the relationship between ownership structure and dividend payments (DP) and whether financial technology (FinTech) has an impact on this relationship. The study uses a panel sample of 278 Chinese financial firms during the period 2009–2022. The study applies regressions and finds that FinTech firms pay lower dividends, suggesting that these firms are holding onto the money to re-invest for future growth. The results demonstrate that Institutional-shareholding, and inside shareholding (Chairman-shareholdings and Managerial-shareholdings) increase DP in firms, while Largest- and Top_10 shareholdings decrease the DP. With the induction of FinTech, the Institutional-shareholdings and inside shareholding decrease DP, so they utilise funds for future growth. Moreover, FinTech intensifies the negative impact of the Largest- and Top10-shareholdings on DP. The results from the sub-sample further support the findings. Several other economic parameters, such as the dynamic panel model, difference-in-differences and propensity score matching, and different dividend measures confirm the findings. The study contributes to other contentious findings found in the literature and offers helpful insights into the effects of innovation on prospective financial sector firms' ownership structure and DP, which seem to be impacted by FinTech.

本研究旨在探讨股权结构与股息支付(DP)之间的关系,以及金融科技(FinTech)是否对这种关系产生影响。该研究使用了2009年至2022年期间278家中国金融公司的面板样本。该研究采用回归分析,发现金融科技公司支付的股息较低,这表明这些公司正在保留资金以重新投资于未来的增长。研究结果表明,机构持股和内部持股(董事长持股和管理层持股)增加了公司的DP,而最大股东和前10名股东的持股则降低了DP。随着FinTech的引入,机构持股和内部持股降低了DP,因此他们将资金用于未来的增长。此外,金融科技加剧了第一大股和前10股对gdp的负面影响。子样本的结果进一步支持了这些发现。其他几个经济参数,如动态面板模型,差异中的差异和倾向得分匹配,以及不同的股息措施证实了这一发现。该研究有助于文献中发现的其他有争议的发现,并为创新对未来金融部门公司所有权结构和DP的影响提供了有益的见解,这似乎受到金融科技的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Capital Structure Decisions and Zombie Firms in India 印度的资本结构决策与僵尸企业
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-02-18 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3135
Asha K. Rai, Ruchi Sharma

This study explores the impact of Indian non-financial firms' capital structure on corporate zombification. The study uses a logit model, with the capital structure mix as a covariate, to determine the likelihood of a firm becoming a zombie. Panel data from 1999 to 2020 for all non-financial firms were utilised to examine the effect of debt capital on the probability of corporate zombification. The findings reveal that increased debt-to-equity financing raises the risk of default. However, the study underscores the importance of maintaining an optimal debt level and conscious capital structure decision-making by managers that support relevant capital structure theories. Going overboard with debt capital erodes its benefits. Debt financing is associated with an unequal distribution of information and financial commitments. To a certain extent, the conclusions of the present study could guide firm managers to make informed decisions related to capital structure and adjust the intensity and direction of a firm turning into a zombie. By providing practical insights, the study empowers managers to make strategic decisions that can potentially prevent their firms from becoming zombies. The study will further enrich the literature, focusing on the factors responsible for a firm turning into a zombie.

本研究探讨了印度非金融企业的资本结构对企业僵尸化的影响。该研究使用logit模型,将资本结构组合作为协变量,以确定企业成为僵尸的可能性。从1999年到2020年,所有非金融公司的面板数据被用来检验债务资本对企业僵尸化概率的影响。研究结果表明,债转股融资的增加增加了违约风险。然而,该研究强调了支持相关资本结构理论的管理者维持最佳债务水平和有意识的资本结构决策的重要性。过度使用债务资本会侵蚀其收益。债务融资与信息和财政承诺分配不均有关。本文的研究结论可以在一定程度上指导企业管理者做出与资本结构相关的明智决策,调整企业“僵尸化”的强度和方向。通过提供实用的见解,该研究使管理者能够做出战略决策,从而有可能防止他们的公司成为僵尸。该研究将进一步丰富文献,重点关注导致公司变成僵尸的因素。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing US and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Effects on Non-Performing Loans in MENA's Islamic and Conventional Banks 评估美国和全球经济政策的不确定性对中东和北非地区伊斯兰和传统银行不良贷款的影响
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-02-18 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3121
Shadi Ratib Mohammad Aledeimat, Murad Abdurahman Bein

Banks within the MENA regions serve as pivotal agents in fostering economic growth through extensive lending to businesses, individuals and corporations, thereby amplifying employment within the banking sector. A pressing concern affecting these banks is the proliferation of NPLs, which not only diminishes net earnings but also escalates credit risks. This study examined the impact of US monetary certainty and global economic policy uncertainty on NPLs within MENA, involving both conventional and Islamic banks. The study selected 92 banks from 13 countries across the MENA region, spanning an 18-year dataset from 2005 to 2022, comprising 50 conventional and 42 Islamic institutions. Utilising GMM estimation to surmount endogeneity and auto-serial correlation. The study discerned that US monetary policy uncertainty exerted a significant negative influence on NPLs across MENA, encompassing both conventional and Islamic banks. Moreover, the research highlighted a positive and significant relationship between global economic policy uncertainty, bank size and capital adequacy ratio with NPLs in MENA banks. These findings provide comprehensive insights for banks in the MENA region, informing their loan-granting strategies amidst uncertainty, ultimately mitigating the incidence of NPLs.

中东和北非地区的银行通过向企业、个人和公司提供广泛贷款,在促进经济增长方面发挥着关键作用,从而扩大了银行业的就业。影响这些银行的一个紧迫问题是不良贷款的激增,这不仅减少了净利润,还加剧了信贷风险。本研究考察了美国货币确定性和全球经济政策不确定性对中东和北非地区不良贷款的影响,包括传统银行和伊斯兰银行。该研究选择了中东和北非地区13个国家的92家银行,涵盖了从2005年到2022年的18年数据集,包括50家传统机构和42家伊斯兰机构。利用GMM估计克服了内生性和自序列相关。该研究发现,美国货币政策的不确定性对整个中东和北非地区的不良贷款产生了重大的负面影响,包括传统银行和伊斯兰银行。此外,研究还强调了全球经济政策不确定性、银行规模和资本充足率与中东和北非地区银行不良贷款之间的显著正相关关系。这些发现为中东和北非地区的银行提供了全面的见解,为他们在不确定的情况下提供贷款策略,最终减少不良贷款的发生率。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Finance & Economics
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