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External Validity and Generalizability in Program Evaluation: Embracing Complexity. 项目评估的外部有效性与可泛化性:拥抱复杂性。
IF 3.7 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X251380908
Anne Revillard

This introduction to the second special issue of Evaluation review on external validity and generalizability opens a dialogue between different ways to think about generalizability in program evaluation. It argues that generalizability in impact evaluation fundamentally is about inferring some form of causality at a level broader than the specific circumstances of the initial study or studies from which these inferences are drawn. The question, then, is about how one apprehends causality: in other words, what is being generalized and how? The first special issue mainly relied on a counterfactual conception of causality, embodied by experimental and quasi-experimental methods, that aimed at impact measurement. The articles in this volume, drawing on mixed methods, also mobilize generative and configurational causal inferences to provide further levers of generalizability, focusing on how the impact is produced. The introduction insists on the specific input of qualitative methods in this respect, as theorized by grounded theory.

本文对《评价评论》第二期特刊《外部效度与概括性》的介绍,开启了对项目评价中概括性的不同思考方式之间的对话。它认为,影响评估的概括性基本上是在比最初研究或从中得出这些推论的研究的具体情况更广泛的层面上推断某种形式的因果关系。那么,问题就在于一个人如何理解因果关系:换句话说,什么被一般化了,怎样一般化了?第一期特刊主要依靠反事实的因果关系概念,以实验和准实验方法为体现,旨在衡量影响。本卷中的文章采用混合方法,还调动了生成性和配置性因果推论,以提供进一步的概括性杠杆,重点关注影响是如何产生的。引言部分坚持定性方法在这方面的具体投入,以扎根理论为依据。
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引用次数: 0
Time to Take a Chance: The Promise of Royston-Parmar Proportional Hazard Models for Understanding Caseload Transitions. 是时候抓住机会了:Royston-Parmar比例风险模型对理解案例负荷转换的承诺。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-23 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241305869
David C Seith, Siyanbade Adegoke, Camisha Burchett, Ryan Kennedy

In this letter to the editor, we compare six different event history models to estimate which eligible families participated in a subsidized rental housing program and when. Answering these questions can inform efforts to improve program marketing and outreach, staffing and budgeting, triage, bias identification, as well as benchmarking and evaluation. One of six specifications clearly outperforms the others and understanding how will inform similar research pursuits. Although decision-relevant participation patterns are available in state administrative records, deciphering them is difficult for several well-known reasons. Participants enter and exit the eligible risk pool at different times, for different reasons, and at different rates. To answer our questions of when and whom, we restructure the data from calendar to relative months and then employ event history models designed to accurately estimate a complete hypothetical risk trajectory from observed spells of varying lengths, many of which ended before families took up the rental subsidy, (i.e., censored observation spells). We find that eligible parents most likely to take up the subsidy live in high-rent counties, have relatively strong recent work history, short prior adult lifetime TANF receipt, and medium-size families. Program take-up fell substantially during the COVID-19 pandemic. Contrasting the application of six parallel specifications, we find that a Royston-Parmar proportional hazard model achieves an exceptional balance between the descriptive accuracy of discrete time approaches and the elegance of Cox regression.

在这封致编辑的信中,我们比较了六种不同的事件历史模型,以估计哪些符合条件的家庭参加了补贴租赁住房计划,以及何时参加。回答这些问题可以为改进项目营销和推广、人员配备和预算、分类、偏见识别以及基准和评估提供信息。六种规格中的一种明显优于其他规格,了解如何将为类似的研究追求提供信息。虽然与决策相关的参与模式在国家行政记录中是可用的,但由于几个众所周知的原因,破译它们是困难的。参与者在不同的时间、出于不同的原因和以不同的速率进入和退出符合条件的风险池。为了回答我们关于何时和谁的问题,我们将数据从日历重组为相对月份,然后使用事件历史模型,旨在从观察到的不同长度的时间段准确估计完整的假设风险轨迹,其中许多时间段在家庭接受租金补贴之前结束(即审查的观察时间段)。我们发现,符合条件的父母最有可能接受补贴,他们住在租金较高的县,最近的工作经历相对较强,之前的成年TANF收据较短,并且家庭规模中等。在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,该计划的入学率大幅下降。对比六种平行规范的应用,我们发现Royston-Parmar比例风险模型在离散时间方法的描述准确性和Cox回归的优雅性之间取得了卓越的平衡。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Effect on Infants and Parents Attending the Parent-Child Psychological Support Programme®, a Community-Based Program to Promote Attachment Security. 评估参加亲子心理支持计划®的婴儿和父母的效果,这是一个以社区为基础的计划,以促进依恋安全。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-23 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X251315508
Jesús M Jornet-Meliá, Carlos Sancho-Álvarez, Purificación Sánchez-Delgado, M Ángeles Cerezo

The foremost index of caregiving quality is child attachment, as supported by attachment theory. Research supports the relevance of early parenting interventions in improving child outcomes in attachment quality to promote public health because of their long-term effects on mental health and functioning. This study aimed at evaluating the impact on both parenting and child outcomes of the Parent-Child Psychological Support Programme® (PCPS), a community-based program individually tailored to parents and their infants during periodic center-based visits to promote attachment security. The evaluation involved two cohorts from "vulnerable populations" and used the resources embedded in the program design without interfering with the normal functioning of the service. From an evaluative research approach, the effects on mothers and children were assessed using a quantitative approach. Pre- and post-test measures (parenting questionnaires) and child attachment quality assessments through the Strange Situation Procedure were examined. The equivalence of the cohorts was verified and used as a baseline for parenting outcomes. PCPS participants demonstrated increased parental competence and self-efficacy, as well as reduced levels of parenting stress. Analysis of the two cohorts showed a significant difference in the number of visits and proxies for intervention, which were associated with the expected pre-post changes in parenting dimensions. The proportion of securely attached children was significantly higher in the "medium-high intervention" group than in the "no/low intervention" group (72.7% vs 54.5%). Furthermore, compared with international baselines, this proportion showed no differences in the "no-/low-intervention" group but demonstrated expected significant differences in the "medium-high intervention" group.

儿童依恋是衡量照料质量的最重要指标,依恋理论支持这一指标。研究支持早期养育干预在改善儿童依恋质量方面的相关性,因为它们对心理健康和功能有长期影响。本研究旨在评估亲子心理支持计划®(ppps)对养育子女和子女结果的影响,ppps是一个基于社区的计划,在定期的中心访问期间为父母和他们的婴儿量身定制,以促进依恋安全。评估涉及来自“弱势群体”的两组人群,并在不干扰服务正常运作的情况下使用了方案设计中嵌入的资源。从评估研究方法出发,采用定量方法评估对母亲和儿童的影响。测试前和测试后的测量(父母问卷)和通过陌生情境程序的儿童依恋质量评估进行了检查。验证了队列的等效性,并将其用作育儿结果的基线。pps参与者表现出父母能力和自我效能的提高,以及父母压力水平的降低。对两个队列的分析显示,在访问次数和干预代理方面存在显著差异,这与育儿维度的预期前后变化有关。“中高干预”组安全依恋儿童比例明显高于“无/低干预”组(72.7% vs 54.5%)。此外,与国际基线相比,该比例在“无/低干预”组中没有差异,但在“中高干预”组中表现出预期的显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Impact of Private and Public Sentiments on the Linkage Between Gold and Stock Markets: Evidence from China. 评估民间和公众情绪对黄金和股票市场联系的影响:来自中国的证据。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-27 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X251317024
Lin Ren, Yingyue Sun, Deping Xiong, Yu Wei

Gold and stocks, which are conventionally regarded as a safe haven and risk assets, respectively, exhibit complex interrelationships, with significant implications for financial risk management. This paper builds on the sentiment categorization proposed by Liang et al. (2020) to distinguish between private and public sector sentiment. The construction of sentiment indices for both sectors aims to allow the exploration of the heterogeneous effects of these sector-specific sentiments on the gold-stock market linkages in China under different market conditions. The empirical results demonstrate a notable asymmetry in the impact of market sentiment between the public and private sectors, with distinct manifestations in stable versus highly volatile market environments. Specifically, positive sentiment in the public sector tends to diminish the safe-haven function of gold, whereas positive sentiment in the private sector tends to reinforce it. This disparity becomes particularly evident during periods of extreme market volatility. Our findings not only underscore the diverse impacts of market sentiment but also provide novel insights into the importance of incorporating sector-specific sentiment when devising hedging strategies for specific industries.

黄金和股票,传统上分别被视为安全港和风险资产,表现出复杂的相互关系,对金融风险管理具有重大影响。本文建立在Liang等人(2020)提出的情绪分类的基础上,以区分私人和公共部门的情绪。构建这两个行业的情绪指数,旨在探索不同市场条件下,这些行业特定情绪对中国黄金股票市场联系的异质效应。实证结果表明,公共和私营部门对市场情绪的影响存在显著的不对称性,在稳定和高度波动的市场环境中表现明显。具体来说,公共部门的积极情绪往往会削弱黄金的避险功能,而私营部门的积极情绪往往会加强黄金的避险功能。这种差异在市场剧烈波动期间尤为明显。我们的研究结果不仅强调了市场情绪的不同影响,而且还提供了在为特定行业设计对冲策略时纳入特定行业情绪的重要性的新见解。
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引用次数: 0
Internal Control Quality and Boardroom Backscratching. 内部控制、质量和董事会幕后操纵。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-29 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241304134
Lei Huang, Chunmei Tang, Manman Li

In modern firms, conflicts may arise between the chief executive officer and board of directors due to the separation of ownership and operations. Such conflicts may weaken listed companies' performance in the short term or affect their development in the long term. Using data on Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies from 2013 to 2022, this study empirically examines the impact of internal control quality on boardroom backscratching. We find that internal control quality significantly mitigates boardroom backscratching by reducing agency costs and increasing analyst attention. This effect is more significant in firms where the management holds less power and the product market is highly competitive. Furthermore, the mitigating effects of internal control quality on boardroom backscratching effectively reduce the risk of the company's share price collapsing. Overall, this study enriches the literature on boardroom backscratching and internal control quality, and provides valuable references for stakeholders, including listed companies, to improve firm governance efficiency and, thus, maintain the stability of capital markets.

在现代企业中,由于所有权和经营权的分离,首席执行官和董事会之间可能会产生冲突。这种冲突可能会在短期内削弱上市公司的业绩,或者在长期内影响上市公司的发展。本文利用2013 - 2022年沪深两市a股上市公司的数据,实证检验了内部控制质量对董事会背后操纵行为的影响。我们发现,内部控制质量通过降低代理成本和增加分析师的关注,显著减轻了董事会的背抓行为。这种效应在管理层权力较小、产品市场竞争激烈的企业中更为显著。此外,内部控制质量对董事会背后操纵行为的缓解作用有效降低了公司股价崩盘的风险。总体而言,本研究丰富了董事会背后操纵与内部控制质量的相关文献,为包括上市公司在内的利益相关者提高公司治理效率,从而维护资本市场的稳定提供了有价值的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Workplace Cyberbullying: Nature, Characteristics, and Implications. 工作场所网络欺凌:性质、特征和影响。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-19 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241304293
Tansif Ur Rehman

The information technology revolution has fundamentally altered company operations around the world. The Internet has significantly enhanced employee connectedness in the workplace, eclipsing the antiquated brick-and-mortar model. Nonetheless, as information technology advances, cyberbullying has grown in popularity in the professional environment. Cyberbullying is not geographically, temporally, or milieu-specific. Arguments concerning this ubiquitous danger have plagued scholars and professionals for several decades as they debated its conception, prevalence, and implications. The current research digs into many facets of cyberbullying to facilitate the creation of constructive policies and effectively manage the labor environment. Additionally, a few ideas and remedies are offered, as well as the future course of action for effectively addressing the crucial issue of cyberbullying.

信息技术革命从根本上改变了世界各地的公司运营。互联网大大增强了员工在工作场所的联系,使过时的实体模式黯然失色。尽管如此,随着信息技术的进步,网络欺凌在专业环境中越来越受欢迎。网络欺凌不受地域、时间或环境的限制。关于这种无处不在的危险的争论已经困扰了学者和专业人士几十年,他们争论它的概念、流行程度和含义。目前的研究深入探讨了网络欺凌的许多方面,以促进建设性政策的制定和有效管理劳动环境。此外,还提供了一些想法和补救措施,以及有效解决网络欺凌这一关键问题的未来行动方针。
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引用次数: 0
Sleep, Mood, and Economic Preferences. 睡眠、情绪和经济偏好。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-06 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241311974
Trung Thong Nguyen, Duy Duong, Son Dinh Phan

This study used daily experimental data from smart bands worn by 142 respondents to investigate the relationship between the number of minutes slept and self-reported mood. The results showed that more minutes of sleep were associated with improved mood. Time preferences, altruism, and trust were also associated with mood. Finally, our analysis revealed that the only mechanism through which sleep affects mood is positive reciprocity. This study contributes to the existing literature by examining the connections among healthy habits, sleep quality, economic preferences, and their effects on mood.

这项研究使用了142名受访者佩戴的智能手环的日常实验数据,以调查睡眠分钟数与自我报告的情绪之间的关系。结果显示,睡眠时间越长,情绪越好。时间偏好、利他主义和信任也与情绪有关。最后,我们的分析表明,睡眠影响情绪的唯一机制是积极互惠。本研究通过检验健康习惯、睡眠质量、经济偏好及其对情绪的影响之间的联系,为现有文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Performance Evaluation of University-Based Scientific Research Institutions With a Non-Independent Parallel System. 基于非独立并行系统的高校科研机构绩效评估。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241312823
Junming Guo, Chuanbin Liu, Han Zhang, Dan Wang, Jintao Lu

Performance management in university-based scientific research institutions is essential for driving reform, advancing education quality, and fostering innovation. However, current performance evaluation models often focus solely on research indicators, neglecting the critical interdependence between the education and research systems. This oversight leads to inefficiencies in resource allocation and an underestimation of overall institutional performance, particularly in universities with varying development levels. To address these deficiencies, this study introduces two innovative two-stage data envelopment analysis models: the group-frontier and meta-frontier evaluation models. The findings are validated using data from 144 universities across China. They demonstrate that the proposed models effectively mitigate the underestimation of efficiency in traditional models and accurately reflect the intertwined nature of university subsystems and the disparities in university development. These results offer valuable insights for improving the performance of scientific research institutions and informing the strategic decisions of university administrators and government education departments.

高校科研机构绩效管理是推动改革、提高办学质量、促进创新的重要环节。然而,目前的绩效评估模型往往只关注研究指标,而忽视了教育与研究系统之间至关重要的相互依存关系。这种监督导致资源分配效率低下和对整体机构绩效的低估,特别是在发展水平不同的大学中。为了解决这些不足,本研究引入了两种创新的两阶段数据包络分析模型:群体前沿评价模型和元前沿评价模型。这一发现得到了来自中国144所大学的数据的验证。研究结果表明,本文提出的模型有效地缓解了传统模型对效率的低估,准确地反映了大学子系统相互交织的性质和大学发展的差异。研究结果为提高科研机构绩效,为高校管理者和政府教育部门的战略决策提供了有价值的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Increasing Internal and External Validity Through a Multimethod Evaluation With Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and Process Tracing: The Case of Training Transfer Effectiveness in Flemish SMEs. 通过定性比较分析和过程追溯的多方法评价提高内部效度和外部效度:以佛兰德中小企业培训转移效果为例。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X251352020
Priscilla Alamos-Concha, Valèrie Pattyn, Bart Cambré, Benoît Rihoux

This paper presents a methodological advancement by integrating Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and Process Tracing (PT) in the evaluation of training transfer effectiveness in Flemish SMEs. This multimethod approach leverages the strengths of both QCA and PT to enhance internal and external validity, offering a robust framework for capturing the conditions and causal mechanisms underlying policy interventions. By sequentially applying QCA to identify necessary and sufficient conditions and PT to unpack the causal processes, the study provides a comprehensive analysis that addresses both "what works" and "how it works." Our findings demonstrate that combining these methods allows for more nuanced insights into the effectiveness of training programs, ultimately contributing to the empirical validation of policy theories and the development of evidence-based interventions. This research underscores the potential of multimethod evaluations to produce more reliable and generalizable results, thereby offering valuable guidance for evaluators and policymakers seeking to enhance the impact of their programs.

本文提出了将定性比较分析(QCA)和过程追踪(PT)结合起来评价法兰德中小企业培训转移效果的方法进展。这种多方法方法利用QCA和PT的优势来增强内部和外部有效性,为捕获政策干预的条件和因果机制提供了一个强大的框架。通过顺序应用QCA来确定必要和充分条件,并应用PT来解开因果过程,该研究提供了一个全面的分析,解决了“什么有效”和“如何有效”的问题。我们的研究结果表明,结合这些方法可以更细致地了解培训计划的有效性,最终有助于政策理论的实证验证和基于证据的干预措施的发展。这项研究强调了多方法评估产生更可靠和可推广结果的潜力,从而为寻求增强其项目影响的评估人员和政策制定者提供了有价值的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Using Interactive Television Instruction (ITV) to Reduce the Propensity to Engage in Substance Abuse and Drug Trafficking Among Vulnerable Adolescents in Nigeria. 利用交互式电视教学(ITV)降低尼日利亚弱势青少年参与药物滥用和毒品贩运的倾向。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241273288
Verlumun Celestine Gever

This study examined the impact of ITV intervention on reduction in the propensity to abuse substances and engage in drug trafficking. The researcher conducted this study using an experiment of 517 vulnerable adolescents aged 10-19 years. The participants were randomly assigned to control (n = 258) and treatment (n = 259) groups. The researchers found a significant main effect of treatment conditions on reduction in the propensity to engage in substance abuse and drug trafficking among vulnerable adolescents. That is, before the intervention, there was no significant statistical difference between the control and treatment groups on the propensity to engage in substance abuse and drug trafficking. However, vulnerable children who received the intervention reported a significant reduction in propensity after the intervention. The results highlight the usefulness of ITV as a behaviour change strategy for vulnerable children.

本研究探讨了信息与传播技术干预对减少滥用药物和参与贩毒倾向的影响。研究人员对 517 名 10-19 岁的弱势青少年进行了实验。参与者被随机分配到对照组(258 人)和治疗组(259 人)。研究人员发现,治疗条件对降低弱势青少年滥用药物和贩毒的倾向有明显的主效应。也就是说,在干预前,对照组和治疗组在药物滥用和贩毒倾向方面没有明显的统计学差异。然而,接受干预的弱势儿童报告称,干预后他们的倾向性明显降低。这些结果突出表明,ITV 作为改变弱势儿童行为的策略是有用的。
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引用次数: 0
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Evaluation Review
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