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The Alternative Factors Leading to Replication Crisis: Prediction and Evaluation. 导致复制危机的其他因素:预测与评估。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-20 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241229106
Gregory Chernov

Most existing solutions to the current replication crisis in science address only the factors stemming from specific poor research practices. We introduce a novel mechanism that leverages the experts' predictive abilities to analyze the root causes of replication failures. It is backed by the principle that the most accurate predictor is the most qualified expert. This mechanism can be seamlessly integrated into the existing replication prediction market framework with minimal implementation costs. It relies on an objective rather than subjective process and unstructured expert opinions to effectively identify various influences contributing to the replication crisis.

针对当前科学界的复制危机,现有的大多数解决方案都只能解决源于特定不良研究实践的因素。我们引入了一种新的机制,利用专家的预测能力来分析复制失败的根本原因。它所遵循的原则是:最准确的预测者就是最合格的专家。这种机制可以无缝集成到现有的复制预测市场框架中,实施成本极低。它依靠客观而非主观的过程和非结构化的专家意见,有效识别导致复制危机的各种影响因素。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating Sustainable Mobility: Motorized and Non-motorized Modes in Suburban Areas of Thailand. 评估可持续交通:泰国郊区的机动车和非机动车模式。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-20 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241233669
Pawinee Iamtrakul, Jirawan Klaylee, I-Soon Raungratanaamporn

The impact of sustainable mobility may be considered through the mode of non-motorization, which may vary by spatial environmental conditions, especially accessibility by active mobility in a necessarily safe, comfortable, and pleasant atmosphere. Sustainable mobility comprises willingness to allow commuting behaviors on non-motorized travel for safety and green ethics. These chiefly participate to create livable places, improve health and well-being, and promote quality of life and economic growth. By contrast, an impoverished street environment decreases the possibility of active mobility and relies on motorization. It is essential to explore the perception of road users through diverse environmental features of street networks and sidewalks directly affecting road user behavior and preferences about motorization and non-motorization. This study evaluated multi-indicators of sustainable urban mobility (SUM) for a group of road users, with data gathered by questionnaire-based survey. 1,998 Pathum Thani Province inhabitants in Thailand were asked to evaluate their neighborhood characteristics by SUM indicators. In addition to different social dimensions and socioeconomic backgrounds, transportation characteristics among diverse trip makers and different perceptions of mobility indicators were classified by factor analysis using principal components and spatial visualization. Results were that traffic management, including intersection controls and signage, as well as information, sidewalk, management, and personal mobility choices, is a key strategy to improve sustainable mobility. This is achieved by tailoring solutions to achieve a modal shift prioritized over other supportive facilities.

可持续交通的影响可以通过非机动化模式来考虑,而非机动化模式可能因空间环境条件而异,特别是在安全、舒适和愉悦的氛围中通过主动交通的可达性。可持续交通包括出于安全和绿色道德的考虑,允许非机动化出行的通勤行为。这主要是为了创造宜居的地方,改善健康和福祉,促进生活质量和经济增长。与此相反,贫乏的街道环境会降低主动移动的可能性,并使人们依赖机动车出行。街道网络和人行道的各种环境特征直接影响道路使用者的行为以及对机动化和非机动化的偏好,因此探索道路使用者的感知至关重要。本研究通过问卷调查收集数据,对道路使用者群体的可持续城市交通(SUM)的多项指标进行了评估。泰国巴吞他尼府(Pathum Thani)的 1,998 名居民被要求根据可持续城市交通(SUM)指标来评估他们所在社区的特征。除了不同的社会维度和社会经济背景外,还利用主成分和空间可视化进行因子分析,对不同出行者的交通特征和对交通指标的不同看法进行了分类。研究结果表明,交通管理,包括交叉路口控制和标志,以及信息、人行道、管理和个人交通选择,是改善可持续交通的关键策略。要做到这一点,必须量身定制解决方案,以实现优先于其他辅助设施的交通模式转变。
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引用次数: 0
Studying Parole Revocation Practices: Accounting for Dependency Between Competing Events. 研究撤销假释的做法:研究假释撤销做法:竞争事件之间的依赖关系。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-24 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241234412
William Rhodes, Gerald Gaes, William Sabol

When individuals are released from prison, they typically enter a period of post confinement community supervision. While under community supervision, their behaviors are subject to special conditions requiring them to report to supervisors and prohibiting certain behaviors such as drug and alcohol use. Many supervisees are returned to prison because they violate those special conditions, or because they commit minor crimes that would not result in prison were they not being supervised. But others are returned to prison for serious new crimes. We distinguish the two as nuisance behaviors (the former) and pernicious behaviors (the latter). Our research applies competing events survival analysis to distinguish a structural model that accounts for nuisance behaviors from a structural model that accounts for pernicious behaviors. We demonstrate that returning offenders to prison for technical violations and minor crimes may reduce the incidence of major crimes because the occurrence of nuisance behaviors and pernicious behaviors are highly correlated. Our findings support the theory that nuisance behaviors signal the likelihood of pernicious behaviors.

个人从监狱释放后,通常会进入一段监禁后社区监管期。在社区监管期间,他们的行为受到一些特殊条件的限制,要求他们向监管人员报告,并禁止某些行为,如吸毒和酗酒。许多被监管者之所以被送回监狱,是因为他们违反了这些特殊条件,或者是因为他们犯了一些轻微的罪行,如果没有被监管,这些罪行是不会导致他们被送回监狱的。但也有一些人是因为严重的新罪行而被送回监狱。我们将这两种行为区分为滋扰行为(前者)和恶性行为(后者)。我们的研究应用了竞争事件生存分析法,以区分说明滋扰行为的结构模型和说明有害行为的结构模型。我们证明,由于滋扰行为和有害行为的发生高度相关,将技术性违规和轻微犯罪的罪犯送回监狱可能会降低重大犯罪的发生率。我们的研究结果支持了滋扰行为预示着有害行为发生可能性的理论。
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引用次数: 0
Education Experiments in Latin America: Empirical Evidence to Guide Evaluation Design. 拉丁美洲的教育实验:指导评估设计的经验证据》。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241241354
Steven Glazerman, Larissa Campuzano, Nancy Murray

Randomized experiments involving education interventions are typically implemented as cluster randomized trials, with schools serving as clusters. To design such a study, it is critical to understand the degree to which learning outcomes vary between versus within clusters (schools), specifically the intraclass correlation coefficient. It is also helpful to anticipate the benefits, in terms of statistical power, of collecting household data, testing students at baseline, or relying on administrative data on previous cohorts from the same school. We use data from multiple cluster-randomized trials in four Latin American countries to provide information on the intraclass correlations in early grade literacy outcomes. We also describe the proportion of variance explained by different types of covariates. These parameters will help future researchers conduct statistical power analysis, estimate the required sample size, and determine the necessity of collecting different types of baseline data such as child assessments, administrative data at the school level, or household surveys.

涉及教育干预措施的随机试验通常是以学校为群组进行的群组随机试验。要设计这样的研究,关键是要了解群组(学校)内部和群组之间学习成果的差异程度,特别是类内相关系数。此外,预测收集家庭数据、对学生进行基线测试或依靠同一所学校以往批次学生的管理数据在统计能力方面的益处也很有帮助。我们利用来自四个拉丁美洲国家的多个分组随机试验的数据,提供了关于低年级识字成果的类内相关性的信息。我们还描述了不同类型的协变量所解释的方差比例。这些参数将有助于未来的研究人员进行统计功率分析,估计所需的样本量,并确定是否有必要收集不同类型的基线数据,如儿童评估、学校层面的行政数据或家庭调查。
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引用次数: 0
Introducing a Competency Framework for Educational Researchers: The Case of Vietnam. 引入教育研究人员能力框架:越南案例。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241240639
Thuan Van Pham, Loc My Thi Nguyen, Trung Tran, Hoang Yen Thi Duong, Hoan Huu Tran, Thanh Thi Nghiem

In this paper, based on the established Vitae Researcher Development Framework (RDF), we introduce a new framework, tailor-made specifically for Vietnamese educational researchers, namely, Vietnam's Framework for Educational Researchers (VFER). VFER is expected to serve as a tool for Vietnamese educational researchers to self-evaluate their skills and support them in developing their career qualities from junior to senior career ladders. The framework includes four domains with ten subdomains and 28 indicators. To date, VFER has been implemented in some Vietnamese universities of pedagogical education. We expect that other research fields will look to VFER as a reference to build their own research capacity framework.

在本文中,我们在已建立的 "伟特研究人员发展框架"(RDF)的基础上,介绍了一个专为越南教育研究人员量身定制的新框架,即 "越南教育研究人员框架"(VFER)。VFER 可望成为越南教育研究人员自我评估技能的工具,并支持他们从初级到高级职业阶梯发展自己的职业素质。该框架包括四个领域、十个子领域和 28 个指标。迄今为止,VFER 已在越南一些师范大学实施。我们希望其他研究领域也能以 VFER 为参考,建立自己的研究能力框架。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating a Theoretically Consistent Human Capital Production Function With an Application to Head Start. 估算理论上一致的人力资本生产函数,并将其应用于 "启蒙教育"。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241239512
Luis Faundez, Robert Kaestner

This article describes a conceptual and empirical approach for estimating a human capital production function of child development that incorporates mother- or child-fixed effects. The use of mother- or child-fixed effects is common in this applied economics literature, but its application is often inconsistent with human capital theory. We outline the problem and demonstrate its empirical importance with an analysis of the effect of Head Start and preschool on child and adult outcomes. The empirical specification we develop has broad implications for a variety of applied microeconomic analyses beyond our specific application. Results of our analysis indicate that attending Head Start or preschool had no economically or statistically significant effect on child or adult outcomes.

本文介绍了一种估算儿童发展的人力资本生产函数的概念和实证方法,其中包含了母亲或儿童的固定效应。使用母亲或儿童固定效应在应用经济学文献中很常见,但其应用往往与人力资本理论不一致。我们概述了这一问题,并通过分析启蒙教育和学前教育对儿童和成人结果的影响来证明其在实证方面的重要性。除了我们的具体应用外,我们制定的经验规格对各种应用微观经济分析具有广泛的影响。我们的分析结果表明,接受启蒙教育或学前教育对儿童或成人的结果没有经济或统计上的显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
When Who Matters: Interviewer Effects and Survey Modality. 当谁重要时:受访者效应与调查方式。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231221303
Rebecca Walcott, Isabelle Cohen, Denise Ferris

When and how to survey potential respondents is often determined by budgetary and external constraints, but choice of survey modality may have enormous implications for data quality. Different survey modalities may be differentially susceptible to measurement error attributable to interviewer assignment, known as interviewer effects. In this paper, we leverage highly similar surveys, one conducted face-to-face (FTF) and the other via phone, to examine variation in interviewer effects across survey modality and question type. We find that while there are no cross-modality differences for simple questions, interviewer effects are markedly higher for sensitive questions asked over the phone. These findings are likely explained by the enhanced ability of in-person interviewers to foster rapport and engagement with respondents. We conclude with a thought experiment that illustrates the potential implications for power calculations, namely, that using FTF data to inform phone surveys may substantially underestimate the necessary sample size for sensitive questions.

何时以及如何对潜在受访者进行调查通常由预算和外部限制因素决定,但调查方式的选择可能会对数据质量产生巨大影响。不同的调查方式可能会因受访者的分配而产生不同的测量误差,这就是所谓的受访者效应。在本文中,我们利用高度相似的调查,一种是面对面调查(FTF),另一种是通过电话调查,来研究不同调查方式和问题类型下访问者效应的差异。我们发现,虽然在简单问题上不存在跨调查方式的差异,但在敏感问题上,电话调查的受访者效应明显更高。这些发现的原因可能是,面对面的采访者更有能力与受访者建立融洽的关系和互动。最后,我们用一个思想实验来说明功率计算的潜在影响,即使用 FTF 数据为电话调查提供信息可能会大大低估敏感问题所需的样本量。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Behaviour Change Communication on Knowledge and Prevention of Malaria Among Women in Ghana. 行为改变交流对加纳妇女疟疾知识和预防的影响。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-11 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231194565
Emmanuel Orkoh, Uchenna Efobi

Behaviour change communication (BCC) remains a central component of the interventions used in the fight against malaria in Ghana. However, there is limited evidence of its effectiveness. This study evaluated the effects of BCC strategies on knowledge (symptoms, causes and prevention) and overall knowledge of malaria among Ghanaian women aged 15-49 years. The propensity score matching (PSM) approach and logistic regression were used to analyse data from the 2016 edition of the Malaria Indicator Survey (MIS). Women who participated in community-level education or heard/saw media messages on malaria, or both, had significantly more knowledge of the disease than women who lacked access to any of these mediums of communication. The effect of these strategies on women's overall knowledge of malaria is about 2% to 4% and is higher on their knowledge of the symptoms (3% to 6%) and prevention (2% to 4%) than the causes (2%). The combined effects of both mediums of communication are relatively higher than the effect of either of them as a single medium of communication. Further analysis showed that improved knowledge of the disease is associated with higher preventive measures taken by women for themselves and for their children. The results are more significant in rural and poor households than in urban and non-poor households. These findings underscore the need for the Ministry of Health and its partner institutions to adopt an innovative approach which combines the two strategies in intensively educating Ghanaians, and women in particular, on the symptoms and prevention of malaria, giving due cognisance to households' socioeconomic status and geographical location.

行为改变交流(BCC)仍然是加纳抗击疟疾干预措施的核心组成部分。然而,有关其有效性的证据却很有限。本研究评估了 BCC 策略对 15-49 岁加纳妇女疟疾知识(症状、病因和预防)和总体知识的影响。研究采用倾向得分匹配法(PSM)和逻辑回归法分析了 2016 年疟疾指标调查(MIS)的数据。参加社区教育或听到/看到有关疟疾的媒体信息或两者兼而有之的妇女对疟疾的了解程度明显高于没有机会接触任何一种传播媒介的妇女。这些策略对妇女总体疟疾知识的影响约为 2% 至 4%,对症状(3% 至 6%)和预防(2% 至 4%)的了解高于对病因(2%)的了解。两种传播媒介的综合效果相对高于其中任何一种作为单一传播媒介的效果。进一步的分析表明,对疾病知识的了解越多,妇女为自己和子女采取的预防措施就越多。与城市和非贫困家庭相比,农村和贫困家庭的结果更为显著。这些研究结果突出表明,卫生部及其伙伴机构有必要采取一种创新方法,将这两种战略结合起来,对加纳人,特别是妇女进行有关疟疾症状和预防的强化教育,同时适当考虑到家庭的社会经济地位和地理位置。
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引用次数: 0
Calibrating Items Using an Unfolding Model of Item Response Theory: The Case of the Trait Personality Questionnaire 5 (TPQue5). 使用项目反应理论的展开模型校准项目:特质人格问卷 5 (TPQue5) 案例。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-12-25 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231223374
Eirini M Mitropoulou, Leonidas A Zampetakis, Ioannis Tsaousis

Unfolding item response theory (IRT) models are important alternatives to dominance IRT models in describing the response processes on self-report tests. Their usage is common in personality measures, since they indicate potential differentiations in test score interpretation. This paper aims to gain a better insight into the structure of trait personality, by investigating whether the dominance or alternatively the unfolding IRT model are better descriptors of the response processes on a personality measure constructed under the dominance response theorem. For the assessment of the dominant model, the Graded Response Model (GRM) is used; while for the unfolding model, the Generalized Graded Unfolding Model (GGUM) was examined. All analyses are conducted with the freely available R. A sample of 1340 Greek adults, employed in private and public organizations, fulfilled the Trait Personality Questionnaire 5 short-form (TPQue5). Findings contradict previous research on trait personality. In accordance to the construction method employed, the TPQue5 items are best understood by monotonically increasing item response functions (IRFs). Individuals responding to the TPQue5 increase their probability of endorsing its items as their trait level increases; this stands for all personality dimensions, although Openness to Experience exhibited mixed type of item response patterns. Further research directions, implications and limitations are also discussed.

在描述自我报告测验的反应过程时,展开项目反应理论(IRT)模型是支配性 IRT 模型的重要替代模型。这些模型常用于人格测量,因为它们能显示测验分数解释中的潜在差异。本文旨在通过研究支配型 IRT 模型或展开型 IRT 模型是否能更好地描述根据支配型反应定理构建的人格测量中的反应过程,从而更好地了解特质人格的结构。在评估主导模型时,使用了分级反应模型(GRM);而在评估展开模型时,则研究了广义分级展开模型(GGUM)。所有分析均使用免费提供的 R 软件进行。1340 名希腊成年人(受雇于私营和公共组织)填写了特质人格问卷 5 简表(TPQue5)。研究结果与以往有关特质人格的研究相矛盾。根据所采用的构建方法,TPQue5 项目最好通过单调递增的项目反应函数(IRF)来理解。对 TPQue5 做出反应的个体会随着其特质水平的提高而增加其赞同项目的概率;这适用于所有人格维度,尽管经验开放性表现出混合类型的项目反应模式。此外,还讨论了进一步的研究方向、意义和局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Multistage Supply Chain Channel Principal-Agent Model in the Context of e-Commerce With Fairness Preference. 具有公平偏好的电子商务背景下的多阶段供应链渠道委托代理模型。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-01-23 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241227878
Xin Liu, Zhen Xu, Qingxia Zhang, Liang Zhou

This research aims to investigate information asymmetry in e-commerce supply chain channels and the impact of the fair preference model on the behavior and returns of channel members. Therefore, by contrasting it with the model in the completely rational case, this research establishes a more realistic principal-agent model and incorporates the fair preference model into the e-commerce supply chain channel. According to the model's analysis, the effort level of the retailer at each stage is positively correlated with the e-commerce efficiency coefficient, and the incentive coefficient of manufacturers is positively correlated with the e-commerce efficiency coefficient in the case where all rationality is assumed. Manufacturing companies' anticipated profits are positively correlated with the e-commerce efficiency coefficient. According to the fair preference model, retailers will put forth more effort to sell products when their fixed income from manufacturers is higher and their optimal effort level is positively correlated with that income. When e-commerce's efficiency coefficient is higher than 1, the retailer's revenue and effort exceeded those of traditional channels. Manufacturers and retailers both experience Pareto improvements in their earnings after the fair preference model is introduced.

本研究旨在探讨电子商务供应链渠道中的信息不对称问题,以及公平偏好模型对渠道成员行为和收益的影响。因此,通过与完全理性情况下的模型对比,本研究建立了一个更符合实际情况的委托代理模型,并将公平偏好模型融入到电子商务供应链渠道中。根据模型分析,在假定完全理性的情况下,零售商各阶段的努力程度与电子商务效率系数呈正相关,制造商的激励系数与电子商务效率系数呈正相关。制造企业的预期利润与电子商务效率系数正相关。根据公平偏好模型,当零售商从制造商那里获得的固定收入较高时,他们会付出更多努力来销售产品,并且他们的最佳努力水平与该收入正相关。当电子商务的效率系数大于 1 时,零售商的收入和努力都超过了传统渠道。在引入公平偏好模型后,制造商和零售商的收益都有帕累托改进。
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引用次数: 0
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