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The Alternative Factors Leading to Replication Crisis: Prediction and Evaluation. 导致复制危机的其他因素:预测与评估。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-02-20 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241229106
Gregory Chernov

Most existing solutions to the current replication crisis in science address only the factors stemming from specific poor research practices. We introduce a novel mechanism that leverages the experts' predictive abilities to analyze the root causes of replication failures. It is backed by the principle that the most accurate predictor is the most qualified expert. This mechanism can be seamlessly integrated into the existing replication prediction market framework with minimal implementation costs. It relies on an objective rather than subjective process and unstructured expert opinions to effectively identify various influences contributing to the replication crisis.

针对当前科学界的复制危机,现有的大多数解决方案都只能解决源于特定不良研究实践的因素。我们引入了一种新的机制,利用专家的预测能力来分析复制失败的根本原因。它所遵循的原则是:最准确的预测者就是最合格的专家。这种机制可以无缝集成到现有的复制预测市场框架中,实施成本极低。它依靠客观而非主观的过程和非结构化的专家意见,有效识别导致复制危机的各种影响因素。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating Sustainable Mobility: Motorized and Non-motorized Modes in Suburban Areas of Thailand. 评估可持续交通:泰国郊区的机动车和非机动车模式。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-02-20 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X241233669
Pawinee Iamtrakul, Jirawan Klaylee, I-Soon Raungratanaamporn

The impact of sustainable mobility may be considered through the mode of non-motorization, which may vary by spatial environmental conditions, especially accessibility by active mobility in a necessarily safe, comfortable, and pleasant atmosphere. Sustainable mobility comprises willingness to allow commuting behaviors on non-motorized travel for safety and green ethics. These chiefly participate to create livable places, improve health and well-being, and promote quality of life and economic growth. By contrast, an impoverished street environment decreases the possibility of active mobility and relies on motorization. It is essential to explore the perception of road users through diverse environmental features of street networks and sidewalks directly affecting road user behavior and preferences about motorization and non-motorization. This study evaluated multi-indicators of sustainable urban mobility (SUM) for a group of road users, with data gathered by questionnaire-based survey. 1,998 Pathum Thani Province inhabitants in Thailand were asked to evaluate their neighborhood characteristics by SUM indicators. In addition to different social dimensions and socioeconomic backgrounds, transportation characteristics among diverse trip makers and different perceptions of mobility indicators were classified by factor analysis using principal components and spatial visualization. Results were that traffic management, including intersection controls and signage, as well as information, sidewalk, management, and personal mobility choices, is a key strategy to improve sustainable mobility. This is achieved by tailoring solutions to achieve a modal shift prioritized over other supportive facilities.

可持续交通的影响可以通过非机动化模式来考虑,而非机动化模式可能因空间环境条件而异,特别是在安全、舒适和愉悦的氛围中通过主动交通的可达性。可持续交通包括出于安全和绿色道德的考虑,允许非机动化出行的通勤行为。这主要是为了创造宜居的地方,改善健康和福祉,促进生活质量和经济增长。与此相反,贫乏的街道环境会降低主动移动的可能性,并使人们依赖机动车出行。街道网络和人行道的各种环境特征直接影响道路使用者的行为以及对机动化和非机动化的偏好,因此探索道路使用者的感知至关重要。本研究通过问卷调查收集数据,对道路使用者群体的可持续城市交通(SUM)的多项指标进行了评估。泰国巴吞他尼府(Pathum Thani)的 1,998 名居民被要求根据可持续城市交通(SUM)指标来评估他们所在社区的特征。除了不同的社会维度和社会经济背景外,还利用主成分和空间可视化进行因子分析,对不同出行者的交通特征和对交通指标的不同看法进行了分类。研究结果表明,交通管理,包括交叉路口控制和标志,以及信息、人行道、管理和个人交通选择,是改善可持续交通的关键策略。要做到这一点,必须量身定制解决方案,以实现优先于其他辅助设施的交通模式转变。
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引用次数: 0
Go for Economic Transformation and Development in China: Financial Development, Higher Education, and Green Technology Evolution. 为中国的经济转型和发展加油:金融发展、高等教育和绿色技术演进。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-04-06 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231166741
Xiaoxiao Zhou, Xinyue Hu, Mei Duan, Licheng Peng, Xin Zhao

Technology innovation is the key driving force in achieving economic transformation and development. Financial development and the expansion of higher education can promote technological progress primarily by easing financing constraints and improving the level of human capital. This study examines the impact of financial development and higher education expansion on green technology innovation. It conducts an empirical analysis by constructing a linear panel model and a nonlinear threshold model. The present study sample is based on the urban panel data of China from 2003-2019. (1) Financial development can significantly promote the expansion of higher education. (2) The expansion of higher education can improve energy and environment-based technological progress. (3) Financial development can both directly and indirectly promote green technology evolution by expanding higher education. The joint financial development and higher education expansion can significantly empower green technology innovation. (4) In the process of promoting green technology innovation, financial development has a non-linear influence on it, with higher education as the threshold. The effect of financial development on green technology innovation varies according to the degree of higher education. Based on these findings, we put forward policy proposals for green technology innovation to promote economic transformation and development in China.

技术创新是实现经济转型和发展的关键动力。金融发展和高等教育扩张主要通过缓解融资约束和提高人力资本水平来促进技术进步。本研究探讨了金融发展和高等教育扩张对绿色技术创新的影响。研究通过构建线性面板模型和非线性门槛模型进行实证分析。本研究样本基于 2003-2019 年中国城市面板数据。(1)金融发展能显著促进高等教育规模的扩大。(2)高等教育的发展可以提高能源和环境方面的技术进步。(3)金融发展可以通过扩大高等教育规模直接或间接地促进绿色技术演进。金融发展与高等教育发展共同促进绿色技术创新。(4)在推动绿色技术创新的过程中,金融发展对其具有非线性影响,高等教育是其影响的临界点。高等教育程度不同,金融发展对绿色技术创新的影响也不同。基于以上结论,我们提出了绿色技术创新的政策建议,以促进中国经济转型和发展。
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引用次数: 0
Digitalization, new business Startups, information and Communication Technologies and product innovation: Evidence From China in the lens of sustainability. 数字化、新创企业、信息和通信技术与产品创新:可持续发展视角下的中国证据》。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-04-24 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231169419
Jiawen Bai, Tianyu Bai, Chengyun Zhang

The global economies and international organizations are inclined towards sustainable growth, technological advancements and product innovations. China is the leading economy in information and communication technologies and among the major industrially expanded economies covering a substantial share of the global market in exports. The prime objective of this study is to explore the role of digitalization and Information and communication technologies (ICT) for product innovation (PIN). In doing so, the study also attempts to draw some novel implications regarding business, entrepreneurship, and product innovation in the lens of sustainability. This current study use the annual data of China from 1990-2020. The empirical analysis was conducted using the stationarity testing and the Johansen cointegration test. In addition, due to the data's asymmetrical distribution, the non-parametric "quantile regression" is used. For robustness, this study employs the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square, Canonical Cointegration, and Dynamic Ordinary Least Square methods. The empirical results reveal that economic progress and financial development are substantial factors of product innovation. The robust analysis reveals that medium and high-tech industries and information and communication technology adversely affect product innovation. Further, the presence of financial development transforms the negative influence of information and communication technology into a positive. The current study concludes more investments in the technological industry are required to encourage product innovation in China. The study discusses some policy-related implications in the context of business sustainability and product innovation.

全球经济和国际组织都倾向于可持续增长、技术进步和产品创新。中国是信息和通信技术领域的领先经济体,也是主要的工业扩张型经济体之一,其出口在全球市场中占有相当大的份额。本研究的主要目的是探讨数字化和信息通信技术(ICT)对产品创新(PIN)的作用。在此过程中,本研究还试图从可持续发展的角度,就商业、创业和产品创新得出一些新的启示。本研究使用了中国 1990-2020 年的年度数据。实证分析采用了静态检验和 Johansen 协整检验。此外,由于数据的非对称分布,本研究采用了非参数 "量化回归 "方法。为稳健起见,本研究采用了完全修正普通最小二乘法、卡农协整法和动态普通最小二乘法。实证结果表明,经济进步和金融发展是产品创新的重要因素。稳健分析表明,中高科技产业和信息通信技术对产品创新有不利影响。此外,金融发展将信息和通信技术的负面影响转化为正面影响。本研究的结论是,要鼓励中国的产品创新,需要对科技产业进行更多投资。本研究还讨论了在企业可持续发展和产品创新方面的一些政策相关影响。
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引用次数: 0
From Over-Tourism to Under-Tourism via COVID-19: Lessons for Sustainable Tourism Management. 通过 COVID-19 从过度旅游到不足旅游:可持续旅游业管理的经验教训。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-20 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231189805
Mandeep Mahendru, Vibha Arora, Ravi Chatterjee, Gagan Deep Sharma, Irum Shahzadi

With various strains of the novel coronavirus emerging during the last few years, there is a need to reinvent and manage the tourism industry by engaging various stakeholders. Industry and policymakers need to observe the shift and curate tourism-related products and offerings accordingly. In light of the increasing demand for innovations and future directions in the post-COVID-19 period, this article conducts a bibliometric analysis for sustainable tourism studies spanning the years 1990-2021. This paper presents an integrative review of tourism, environment and sustainable tourism to reveal geographical, contextual, and methodological directions for future research. The comprehensive analysis includes contributions on topics and methods, country collaborations, and thematic analysis. The findings are consistent with the Sustainable Development Goals of sustainable production and consumption (SDG-12), with a particular emphasis on sustainable tourism to promote local culture and create jobs (SDG-12.b) and on sustainable growth (SDG-13). The study's findings can be used to inform future policies and directions; for example, the findings indicate that the hospitality industry is facing challenges that necessitate new regulations to address its socioeconomic and environmental impacts.

过去几年中出现了各种新型冠状病毒,因此有必要让各利益相关方参与进来,重塑和管理旅游业。行业和政策制定者需要观察这一转变,并相应地策划旅游相关产品和服务。鉴于后 COVID-19 时代对创新和未来方向的需求日益增长,本文对 1990-2021 年期间的可持续旅游业研究进行了文献计量分析。本文对旅游、环境和可持续旅游进行了综合评述,揭示了未来研究的地理、背景和方法论方向。综合分析包括对主题和方法、国家合作以及专题分析的贡献。研究结果符合可持续发展目标中的可持续生产和消费目标(SDG-12),特别强调了可持续旅游业对促进当地文化和创造就业(SDG-12.b)以及可持续增长(SDG-13)的作用。研究结果可用于指导未来的政策和方向;例如,研究结果表明,酒店业正面临着各种挑战,有必要制定新的法规来应对其对社会经济和环境的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Examining the Effects of Renewable Energy and Economic Growth on Carbon Emission in Canada: Evidence from the Nonlinear ARDL Approaches. 研究加拿大可再生能源和经济增长对碳排放的影响:非线性 ARDL 方法的证据。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-04-18 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231166973
Esma Erdoğan, Duygu Serin Oktay, Müge Manga, Harun Bal, Neşe Algan

Increasing industrial activities trigger the intense use of fossil fuels and increase the number of carbon emissions in the atmosphere. Countries with a high share in current carbon emissions need to expand their use of renewable energy sources. Canada is an important energy producer and consumer globally. In this regard, its decisions are important for the future development of global emissions. This study examines the asymmetric effects of economic growth, renewable energy, and non-renewable energy consumption on carbon emissions in Canada from 1965 to 2017. In the first stage of the analysis, unit root testing was performed for the variables. For this, Lee-Strazicich (2003), ADF and PP unit root tests were used. The nonlinear ARDL method was used to analyze the relationship between variables. and Measures: In order to analyze the relationship between the variables in the established model, renewable energy consumption (%), non-renewable energy consumption (%), and carbon emissions (per capita-Mt). In addition, the economic growth (constant price 2010- US$) parameter was added to the model as a control variable. The findings support that energy consumption, economic growth, and renewable energy have an asymmetric effect on carbon emissions in the long run. The positive shock in renewable energy reduces carbon emissions, and a unit increase in renewable energy reduces carbon emissions by 1.29%. Besides, the negative shock in economic growth greatly deteriorates the quality of the environment; that is, a 1% reduction in economic growth causes emissions to increase by 0.74% in the long run. On the other hand, positive shocks in energy consumption have a positive and significant effect on carbon emissions. A 1% increase in energy consumption causes 1.69% carbon emissions. There are important policy implications for Canada to eliminate carbon emissions, increase the share of renewable energy sources and achieve its economic growth targets. In addition, Canada needs to reduce its consumption of non-renewable energy (such as gasoline coal, diesel, and natural gas).

不断增加的工业活动导致化石燃料的大量使用,增加了大气中的碳排放量。目前碳排放量较高的国家需要扩大可再生能源的使用。加拿大是全球重要的能源生产国和消费国。因此,加拿大的决策对全球排放的未来发展非常重要。本研究考察了 1965 年至 2017 年加拿大经济增长、可再生能源和不可再生能源消费对碳排放的不对称影响。在分析的第一阶段,对变量进行了单位根检验。为此,采用了 Lee-Strazicich(2003)、ADF 和 PP 单位根检验。非线性 ARDL 方法用于分析变量与计量单位之间的关系:为了分析既定模型中变量之间的关系,使用了可再生能源消耗量(%)、不可再生能源消耗量(%)和碳排放量(人均-公吨)。此外,模型中还加入了经济增长(2010 年不变价格-美元)参数作为控制变量。研究结果表明,从长期来看,能源消耗、经济增长和可再生能源对碳排放的影响是不对称的。可再生能源的正向冲击会减少碳排放,可再生能源每增加一个单位,碳排放就会减少 1.29%。此外,经济增长的负向冲击会大大恶化环境质量,即经济增长每下降 1%,长期内碳排放量会增加 0.74%。另一方面,能源消耗的正向冲击对碳排放有显著的正向影响。能源消耗每增加 1%,碳排放量就会增加 1.69%。这对加拿大消除碳排放、增加可再生能源比例和实现经济增长目标具有重要的政策意义。此外,加拿大还需要减少不可再生能源(如汽油、煤炭、柴油和天然气)的消耗。
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引用次数: 0
Investment Hysteresis: An Empirical Essay Turkish Case. 投资滞后:土耳其案例的实证分析
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-13 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231174754
Koray Yıldırım, Neşe Algan, Harun Bal

After the 2008 World Crisis, there is a view that the economic recovery has not been adequate. In this context, the debate on hysteresis and especially investment hysteresis has increased in the last decade. The aim of this study is to analyze the investment hysteresis and the basic dynamics of hysteresis in the Turkish economy. Structural break tests are used to identify hysteresis. Traditional and asymmetric causality tests are used to identify the fundamental dynamics of hysteresis. Investment, GDP, interest rate, and productivity variables are used to analyze investment hysteresis. Structural break tests were applied to the variables, while conventional and asymmetric causality tests were applied between investments and their determinants. Structural break tests prove the existence of hysteresis. According to the Granger causality test, there is no causality from interest rates, GDP and productivity to investments. The fact that interest rates have no effect on investments proves hysteresis. According to the asymmetric causality test, there is no relationship between interest rates and investments. There is an inverse relationship between GDP and investments. There is an asymmetric relationship between productivity and investments. The fact that productivity shocks cause asymmetric effects on investments makes productivity shocks the main dynamic of hysteresis. In addition, there is considerable evidence that the strong hysteresis and high uncertainty of TFP exacerbate investment hysteresis. Therefore, productivity shocks should be taken into account in policymaking for hysteresis.

2008年世界金融危机后,有一种观点认为,经济复苏力度不够。在这种背景下,关于滞后,特别是投资滞后的争论在过去十年中有所增加。本研究的目的是分析土耳其经济中的投资滞后和滞后的基本动态。结构断裂试验用于识别迟滞。传统的和非对称的因果关系检验被用来确定迟滞的基本动力学。利用投资、GDP、利率、生产率等变量分析投资滞后。结构断裂检验应用于变量,而传统和不对称因果关系检验应用于投资及其决定因素之间。结构断裂试验证明了迟滞的存在。根据格兰杰因果检验,利率、GDP、生产率与投资之间不存在因果关系。利率对投资没有影响的事实证明了滞后性。根据非对称因果检验,利率与投资之间不存在关系。GDP和投资之间呈反比关系。生产率和投资之间存在不对称关系。生产率冲击对投资产生不对称影响的事实使生产率冲击成为滞后的主要动力。此外,大量证据表明,全要素生产率的强滞后和高不确定性加剧了投资滞后。因此,在制定政策时应考虑到生产率冲击的滞后性。
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引用次数: 0
An Evaluation of the Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions From China's Light Sector to Achieve Sustainable Development Goals. 为实现可持续发展目标,对中国轻工业与能源相关的二氧化碳排放量进行评估。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231164880
Yang Yu, Jun Nie, Atif Jahanger

As a high-energy-consuming sector, China's light sector should have received more attention for its carbon emissions (CO2e). However, the literature on energy-related CO2e in China's light sector is limited at present. This paper aims to assess the impact of China's light sector on CO2e. This paper applies the energy consumption technique, input-output analysis technique, and structural decomposition model to analyze China's light sector energy-related CO2e and emission reduction from the input-output perspective. The results show that the energy structure effect, energy intensity effect, and input structure effect are the main restraining factors for the growth of the light sector energy-related CO2e, which are caused by the expansion of the energy utilization structure on the supply side of the light sector. The final demand effect is the factor promoting the growth of the light sector energy-related CO2e. It reveals that the final demand products in the light sector still have high environmental degradation features. Policymakers should actively enhance and rationally adjust the demand for the light sector in numerous industries to avoid the resource waste caused by the excessive expansion of the light sector.

作为高耗能行业,中国轻工行业的碳排放(CO2e)理应受到更多关注。然而,目前有关中国轻工行业与能源相关的 CO2e 的文献十分有限。本文旨在评估中国轻工业对 CO2e 的影响。本文运用能源消耗技术、投入产出分析技术和结构分解模型,从投入产出角度分析了中国轻工行业与能源相关的 CO2e 和减排情况。结果表明,能源结构效应、能源强度效应和投入结构效应是轻工行业能源相关 CO2e 增长的主要抑制因素,这些因素是由轻工行业供给侧能源利用结构的扩张引起的。最终需求效应是轻工业能源相关 CO2e 增长的促进因素。研究表明,轻工业的最终需求产品仍然具有较高的环境恶化特征。决策者应积极加强和合理调整众多行业对轻工业的需求,避免轻工业过度扩张造成资源浪费。
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引用次数: 0
Preface to Special Issue on "Evaluation of Policy Conflicts Towards Sustainable Development Goals"-II. 实现可持续发展目标的政策冲突评估 "特刊序言-II。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-12-05 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231220474
Avik Sinha, Mehmet Akif Destek, Daniel Balsalobre Lorente
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引用次数: 0
Income Inequality, Economic Complexity, and Renewable Energy Impacts in Controlling Consumption-Based Carbon Emissions. 收入不平等、经济复杂性和可再生能源对控制消费型碳排放的影响。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231173766
Recep Ulucak, Danish, Yaoqi Zhang, Rui Chen, Yiting Qiu

Although many studies have been conducted on the role of renewable energy in the environment, literature has ignored the potential role of socioeconomic indicators in renewable energy and pollution nexus. Also, critical questions arose with the critical factors, such as income inequality and economic complexity, have not been answered properly. This study explores the nexus between income inequality, economic complexity, renewable energy consumption, GDP per capita, and pollution and thus aims to reach efficient policy strategies by revealing empirical evidence. The study follows an environmental impact model structure and conducts the panel-corrected standard errors and fixed effect regression. BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) are selected to conduct our research. Annual data covering the period 1990-2017 for the sample countries are employed. Consumption-based carbon dioxide emissions as an indicator of environmental pollution are used since income inequality makes more sense in terms of the consumption side of an economy and is more related to consumers rather than the production sector. The obtained results reveal that income inequality has a positive and significant impact on consumption-based carbon dioxide emissions. However, GDP per capita, renewable energy, and economic complexity reduce pollution. It is also observed that the interaction term of inequality and renewable energy decreases emissions. Findings confirm that socioeconomic indicators, such as economic complexity and income inequality with the interaction of renewable energy, are crucial factors in reducing emissions and designing a greener future.

尽管对可再生能源在环境中的作用进行了许多研究,但文献忽略了社会经济指标在可再生能源与污染关系中的潜在作用。此外,与收入不平等和经济复杂性等关键因素相关的重要问题也没有得到恰当的回答。本研究探讨了收入不平等、经济复杂性、可再生能源消费、人均 GDP 和污染之间的关系,旨在通过揭示经验证据来制定有效的政策战略。本研究采用环境影响模型结构,并进行面板校正标准误差和固定效应回归。研究选取了金砖国家(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)。采用了样本国家 1990-2017 年的年度数据。使用基于消费的二氧化碳排放量作为环境污染指标,因为收入不平等在经济消费方面更有意义,与消费者而非生产部门更相关。研究结果表明,收入不平等对基于消费的二氧化碳排放有积极而显著的影响。然而,人均国内生产总值、可再生能源和经济复杂性会减少污染。同时还发现,不平等与可再生能源的交互项会减少排放量。研究结果证实,社会经济指标,如经济复杂性和收入不平等与可再生能源的相互作用,是减少排放和设计更绿色未来的关键因素。
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引用次数: 0
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