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Interstate migration networks and stock return comovement 州际移民网络与股票回报率的相关性
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12364
Suin Lee, Christos Pantzalis, Jung Chul Park

We document sizable and robust excess return comovement between migration-flow receiving and sending states at the state-portfolio level. Migration comovement is not fully explained by economic fundamentals and strengthens with the size of the migration network. Consistent with the view that it is partially driven by correlated trading of a common investor base within migration networks, migration comovement a) increases substantially when there is an exogenous positive shock to migration flows, b) is greater with old firms in migration-sending states, and c) strengthens when retail investors display “old home” bias in addition to local bias.

在国家组合层面,我们记录了移民流接收国和输出国之间可观且稳健的超额回报相关性。经济基本面并不能完全解释移民流动的相关性,随着移民网络规模的扩大,这种相关性也会增强。与部分由移民网络内共同投资者基础的相关交易驱动的观点相一致的是,当移民流受到外生正向冲击时,移民相关性(a)大幅增加;(b)移民输出国的老牌企业的相关性更大;(c)当散户投资者除了本地偏好外还表现出 "老家 "偏好时,移民相关性增强。
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引用次数: 0
Are stress-tested banks in the United States becoming similar? Evidence from convergence tests 美国接受压力测试的银行变得相似了吗?趋同测试的证据
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12362
Destan Kirimhan, Saban Nazlioglu, James E. Payne

US bank stress tests were introduced to improve the risk posture and management practices of large and complex banking institutions. We investigate whether stress-tested banks in the United States converge to each other in their levels and determinants of profitability, as well as their risk taking and systemic risk contributions. Our results are consistent with convergence in profitability, asset quality, management quality, securitization income, and income diversification of stress-tested banks. Our difference-in-differences estimation results provide causal evidence of stress tests leading to convergence in income diversification. Furthermore, stress-tested banks converge in their income diversification strategies, return volatility, default risk, leverage risk, and systemic risk contributions. This study sheds light on a situation where these banks may simultaneously have exposure to the same risks, leaving the financial system more vulnerable to a crisis as a result of the exposed risk.

美国引入银行压力测试是为了改善大型复杂银行机构的风险态势和管理实践。我们研究了美国接受压力测试的银行是否在盈利水平和决定因素以及风险承担和系统性风险贡献方面相互趋同。我们的研究结果表明,接受压力测试的银行在盈利能力、资产质量、管理质量、证券化收入和收入多样化方面存在趋同性。我们的差分估计结果提供了压力测试导致收入多样化趋同的因果证据。此外,接受压力测试的银行在收入多样化策略、回报波动性、违约风险、杠杆风险和系统性风险贡献方面趋于一致。这项研究揭示了一种情况,即这些银行可能同时面临相同的风险,从而使金融体系更容易因暴露的风险而陷入危机。
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引用次数: 0
Executive compensation, internal control quality, and corporate social responsibility in China 中国的高管薪酬、内部控制质量和企业社会责任
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12365
Junnan Hu, Xuan Lin, Feixue Xie

We explore the relations among executive compensation, internal control quality (ICQ), and corporate social responsibility (CSR), focusing on improving the CSR outcomes of listed firms in China. Our findings are fourfold. First, we document that executive compensation and ICQ have a significant positive impact on CSR. Second, we find that executive compensation positively affects ICQ; hence, we identify ICQ as a channel that can further improve the impact of executive compensation on CSR. Third, we discover that the documented effects are stronger in state-owned firms than in non-state-owned firms. Fourth, we observe that regulatory changes have both positive and negative impacts on CSR. Our findings are less vulnerable to endogeneity and have key implications for policy makers.

我们探讨了高管薪酬、内部控制质量(ICQ)和企业社会责任(CSR)之间的关系,重点是改善中国上市公司的企业社会责任成果。我们的研究结果有四个方面。首先,我们发现高管薪酬和 ICQ 对企业社会责任有显著的积极影响。其次,我们发现高管薪酬会对 ICQ 产生积极影响;因此,我们将 ICQ 定义为可以进一步提高高管薪酬对企业社会责任影响的一个渠道。第三,我们发现国有企业比非国有企业受到的影响更大。第四,我们发现监管变化对企业社会责任既有正面影响,也有负面影响。我们的研究结果不易受到内生性的影响,对政策制定者具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Lending and risk controls for BHCs after the Dodd–Frank act 多德-弗兰克法案》之后银行控股公司的贷款和风险控制
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12363
Marta Degl'Innocenti, Si Zhou, Yue Zhou

We investigate the impact of the Dodd–Frank Act (DFA) on the credit risk behavior of complex bank holding companies (BHCs). Specifically, we assess the effectiveness of the DFA in reducing the credit riskiness of complex banks. Consistent with the moral hazard hypothesis, we find that complex BHCs affected by the DFA increase their credit risk. We argue that possible explanations are that BHCs decreased their lending portfolio quality, loan monitoring, and strength and independence of the risk management function after the DFA. The results are robust to endogeneity concerns, different sample selection criteria, various model and treatment specifications, and placebo tests.

我们研究了《多德-弗兰克法案》(DFA)对复杂银行控股公司(BHC)信用风险行为的影响。具体而言,我们评估了《多德-弗兰克法案》在降低复杂银行信贷风险方面的有效性。与道德风险假说一致,我们发现受 DFA 影响的复杂银行控股公司会增加其信贷风险。我们认为,可能的解释是,在 DFA 之后,银行控股公司降低了贷款组合质量、贷款监控以及风险管理职能的强度和独立性。这些结果对于内生性问题、不同的样本选择标准、各种模型和处理规范以及安慰剂测试都是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
New ESG Rating Drivers in the Cross‐Section of European Stock Returns 欧洲股票收益横截面中新的ESG评级驱动因素
3区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-27 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12356
Ian Berk, Massimo Guidolin, Monia Magnani
Abstract We assess the performance of two quantitative signals based on ESG scores across a large, multi‐national cross‐section of European stock returns. We test whether the cost of equity capital is more influenced by the upward momentum (measured over time) of the ESG scores of the firms issuing stocks or by their stability (identified as the volatility of the scores over time), measured around a changing mean level. We find that short‐term ESG momentum over 1 month has a significant impact on the cross‐section of stock returns, lowering the anticipated cost of capital and leading to positive average abnormal returns. This suggests that short‐term ESG momentum may represent a novel, priced systematic risk factor. Furthermore, we find strong evidence that an ESG volatility spread strategy which buys low ESG score volatility stocks and sells high volatility ones, generates a substantial alpha and affects the ex‐ante cost of capital. Both quantitative ESG signals result in portfolio sorting and long‐short strategies that enhance the overall sustainability profile of the issuing firms without compromising the raw average of their ESG scores. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
摘要我们评估了基于ESG分数的两个定量信号在欧洲股票回报的大型多国横截面上的表现。我们测试了股权资本成本是否更受发行股票公司ESG得分的上升势头(随时间测量)或其稳定性(确定为分数随时间的波动性)的影响,这是围绕变化的平均水平测量的。我们发现,超过1个月的短期ESG势头对股票收益横截面有显著影响,降低了预期资金成本,导致平均异常收益为正。这表明短期ESG势头可能代表一种新的、定价的系统性风险因素。此外,我们发现强有力的证据表明,一个ESG波动率价差策略,即买入低ESG波动率股票,卖出高ESG波动率股票,产生了大量的阿尔法,并影响了事前资本成本。这两种量化的ESG信号都会导致投资组合排序和多空策略,从而在不影响其ESG得分的原始平均水平的情况下提高发行公司的整体可持续性。这篇文章受版权保护。版权所有。
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引用次数: 0
Firm Reaction to Geopolitical Crises: Evidence from the Russia‐Ukraine Conflict 对地缘政治危机的坚定反应:来自俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突的证据
3区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-26 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12354
Md Asif Ul Alam, Erik Devos, Zifeng Feng
Abstract This paper investigates corporate announcements related to the Russia‐Ukraine conflict of S&P 500 firms. We observe that firms withdrawing from Russia or suspending operations possess higher cash levels. Additionally, firms with more cash seem to announce withdrawals or suspensions more promptly. These findings suggest that cash levels are pivotal in how firms respond to geopolitical events. While cash does not seem influential when firms announce donations due to the conflict, it does affect the speed of such announcements. Social media also appears to play a significant role. Examining investor reactions to donation or withdrawal/suspension announcements, we report negative returns surrounding these announcements. Our paper underscores the critical role of cash reserves (i.e., financial flexibility) in shaping firm reactions to geopolitical events. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
摘要本文研究了标普500公司与俄乌冲突相关的公司公告。我们观察到,从俄罗斯撤出或暂停业务的公司拥有更高的现金水平。此外,拥有更多现金的公司似乎更迅速地宣布取款或暂停。这些发现表明,现金水平对企业如何应对地缘政治事件至关重要。虽然当公司因冲突而宣布捐款时,现金似乎没有影响力,但它确实影响了宣布捐款的速度。社交媒体似乎也发挥了重要作用。通过调查投资者对捐款或撤资/停牌公告的反应,我们报告了这些公告的负回报。我们的论文强调了现金储备(即财务灵活性)在塑造企业对地缘政治事件的反应方面的关键作用。这篇文章受版权保护。版权所有。
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引用次数: 0
Board Structure and Market Performance: Does One Solution Fit All? 董事会结构与市场表现:一个解决方案适合所有吗?
3区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12361
Milena Petrova
Abstract We investigate the relationship between internal corporate governance and market performance across multiple countries, utilizing a comprehensive dataset comprising 77,440 firm observations from 15 European Union countries over the period 2002‐2018. Specifically, we examine the impact of board characteristics, including size, independence, gender diversity, CEO duality, and classified boards, on market performance. Our findings reveal that CEO duality is generally negatively related to returns, whereas independent directors and board diversity are positively related to market performance. We observe a positive association between staggered boards and market performance as well as Tobin's Q, aligning with the EU's emphasis on stakeholder investments. Upon analyzing the data at the country level, we identify that the links between board structure and performance vary by country, and there isn't a single variable that is consistently related to market returns or Tobin's Q. These divergent findings indicate that there is no universally applicable corporate governance solution that can be recommended for companies throughout Europe. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
我们利用一个综合数据集研究了多个国家内部公司治理与市场绩效之间的关系,该数据集包括2002年至2018年期间来自15个欧盟国家的77,440家公司的观察结果。具体而言,我们考察了董事会特征,包括规模、独立性、性别多样性、CEO二元性和董事会分类对市场表现的影响。我们的研究结果表明,CEO二元性通常与收益呈负相关,而独立董事和董事会多样性与市场绩效呈正相关。我们观察到交错董事会与市场表现以及托宾Q之间存在正相关关系,这与欧盟对利益相关者投资的强调相一致。在分析国家层面的数据后,我们发现董事会结构和绩效之间的联系因国家而异,并且没有一个单一的变量与市场回报或托宾q一致相关。这些不同的发现表明,没有普遍适用的公司治理解决方案可以推荐给整个欧洲的公司。这篇文章受版权保护。版权所有。
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引用次数: 0
European Equity Markets Volatility Spillover: Destabilizing Energy Risk is the New Normal 欧洲股市波动溢出:不稳定的能源风险是新常态
3区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-24 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12359
Zsuzsa R. Huszár, Balázs B. Kotró, S. K. Tan Ruth
Abstract While energy risk is increasingly recognized as a systemic risk, there is limited comprehensive analysis of the risk propagation in regional contexts. In this study, we examine oil and natural gas price changes and shocks in relation to equity market returns and volatility for 24 European Economic Area (EEA) countries. In addition to traditional panel regressions, we also deploy the Diebold‐Yilmaz (2014) spillover index for a closed network analysis. We differentiate in the cross‐section across the core EU block, PIIGS countries, EU enlargement countries joining after 2004, and other non‐EU countries, to provide insights into the ongoing debates on the European energy market stability. While we find evidence of the manifestation of energy risk throughout the sample period, we find that until 2019 the primary sources of volatility spillover in the EEA economic network arose from economic or political uncertainty. Energy risks, measured by large crude oil and natural gas price shocks also significantly contributed to equity market volatility, with increasing volatility risk arising from natural gas, a green labelled energy source after 2019. Last, we show that CEEC equity markets are more sensitive to oil and natural gas price shocks when domestic currencies depreciate against the Euro. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
能源风险日益被视为一种系统性风险,但对区域风险传播的综合分析却十分有限。在本研究中,我们研究了24个欧洲经济区(EEA)国家的石油和天然气价格变化和冲击与股票市场回报和波动性的关系。除了传统的面板回归,我们还采用Diebold‐Yilmaz(2014)溢出指数进行封闭网络分析。我们在欧盟核心集团、PIIGS国家、2004年后加入的欧盟扩大国家和其他非欧盟国家的横截面上进行区分,以提供对欧洲能源市场稳定的持续辩论的见解。虽然我们发现了能源风险在整个样本期内表现的证据,但我们发现,直到2019年,欧洲经济区经济网络中波动性溢出的主要来源来自经济或政治的不确定性。以原油和天然气价格大幅震荡衡量的能源风险也显著推动了股市波动,2019年之后,天然气(一种绿色能源)带来的波动风险越来越大。最后,我们表明中东欧国家股票市场对本国货币对欧元贬值时的石油和天然气价格冲击更为敏感。这篇文章受版权保护。版权所有。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of labor on the performance of founder-family firms 劳动力对创始人家族企业绩效的影响
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12353
Murali Jagannathan, Brett W. Myers, Xu Niu

Firms managed by the scions of founders continue to be prevalent in the United States despite the increase in shareholder activism over the last few decades, calling into question the argument that such organizational structures reduce firm value. Founder-family successions are rare in high-growth industries where the benefits of selecting from a larger pool of managers is significant. Rather, they tend to happen in low-growth industries, in manufacturing/retail firms. Once we account for the differences in firm characteristics, we do not find that founder-family successions reduce firm value. We explore a mechanism that compensates for the costs of choosing from a smaller pool of managers and document evidence consistent with family firms benefiting from improved labor relations.

在美国,尽管过去几十年来股东激进主义愈演愈烈,但由创始人后代管理的公司仍很普遍,这让人们对这种组织结构会降低公司价值的说法产生了质疑。在高增长行业中,创始人家族接班的情况很少见,因为在这些行业中,从更多的经理人中挑选人才的好处很大。相反,这种情况往往发生在低增长行业的制造/零售企业中。一旦考虑到企业特征的差异,我们就不会发现创始人-家族继承会降低企业价值。我们探索了一种机制来补偿从较小的经理人库中选择经理人的成本,并记录了与家族企业从改善的劳资关系中受益相一致的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Cyclicality of liquidity creation: Nonlinear evidence from US bank holding companies 流动性创造的周期性:来自美国银行控股公司的非线性证据
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12352
Ghulame Rubbaniy, Ali Awais Khalid, Shoaib Ali, Efstathios Polyzos

Using a panel smooth transition regression framework on a new proxy of the business cycle (BC) index and quarterly data of US bank holding companies from 1993Q1 to 2020Q1, our results provide empirical support for the theory that the BC has a nonlinear effect on liquidity creation. We find a positive and highly significant nonlinear effect of the BC on liquidity creation, which not only supports the pro-cyclicality of liquidity creation but also improves the liquidity creation estimation compared to previous studies. The results are robust to different proxies of the BC and model specifications. We also document that US bank holding companies create liquidity more during the expansion phase (normal times) than during the recession phase (crisis times) of the BC, suggesting an asymmetrical effect of BC changes on liquidity creation. Our findings have important implications for financial market participants by suggesting that banks should keep alternative sources of funding on hand during the BC recession phase. Insights from our study also provide policy implications for central banks and prudent supervisors to consider when incentivizing banks, for instance, by lowering regulatory requirements, adjusting the policy rate, or implementing any other quantitative easing policy during the BC recession phase to keep the financial system efficient.

利用新的商业周期(BC)指数代理和美国银行控股公司1993年第一季度至2020年第一季度的季度数据,采用面板平滑过渡回归框架,我们的结果为BC对流动性创造具有非线性影响的理论提供了实证支持。我们发现BC对流动性创造具有高度显著的正非线性影响,这不仅支持流动性创造的顺周期性,而且与以往的研究相比,也改进了流动性创造的估计。结果对于BC和模型规范的不同代理具有鲁棒性。我们还记录了美国银行控股公司在扩张阶段(正常时期)比在衰退阶段(危机时期)创造更多的流动性,这表明BC变化对流动性创造的不对称影响。我们的研究结果对金融市场参与者具有重要意义,表明银行应该在不列颠哥伦比亚省经济衰退阶段保持其他资金来源。我们的研究还为中央银行和审慎的监管机构在激励银行时提供了政策启示,例如,通过降低监管要求,调整政策利率,或在英国经济衰退阶段实施任何其他量化宽松政策,以保持金融体系的效率。这篇文章受版权保护。版权所有。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Financial Research
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