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A common component of Fama and French factor variances 法马因子和法国因子方差的共同成分
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102292
Masoumeh Fathi , Klaus Grobys , Janne Äijö
This is the first study that explicitly explores the risk of the Fama and French equity factors in terms of their realized variances. Our results show that realized factor variances exhibit strong power-law behavior. A striking commonality is that the power-law exponents are close to α ≈ 2 regardless of which factor variance is analyzed. Notably, our novel joint test designed to test Mandelbrot’s infinite variance hypothesis in the cross-section of realized factor variances shows that the null hypothesis of α = 1.9 cannot be rejected, which further corroborates the evidence that (a) there exist a common component governing factor variance risk, and (b) factor variance risk is statistically undefined. Further evidence derived from co-fractality analysis shows that (c) risk diversification appears to be very limited as factor variances tend to exhibit power-law behavior coincidently. We argue that our study has several theoretical and practical implications—especially due to the fact that factor investing reached $5 trillion in assets under management.
这是第一项明确探讨法马和弗伦奇股票因子实现方差风险的研究。我们的研究结果表明,已实现的因子方差表现出很强的幂律行为。一个显著的共同点是,无论分析哪个因子方差,幂律指数都接近 α ≈ 2。值得注意的是,我们为检验曼德尔布罗特在已实现因子方差横截面中的无限方差假说而设计的新颖联合检验表明,α = 1.9 的零假设不能被拒绝,这进一步证实了以下证据:(a)存在支配因子方差风险的共同成分;(b)因子方差风险在统计上是不确定的。共折线分析得出的进一步证据表明,(c) 风险分散似乎非常有限,因为因子方差往往不约而同地表现出幂律行为。我们认为,我们的研究具有若干理论和实践意义--特别是鉴于因子投资管理的资产已达到 5 万亿美元这一事实。
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引用次数: 0
Sources of CEO power and firm mergers & acquisitions——Evidence from Chinese listed family firms CEO权力来源与企业并购--来自中国上市家族企业的证据
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102290
Yuping Deng , Haicheng Wang , Cenjie Liu
Since the announcement of China’s dual circulation strategy, family firms’ participation in mergers and acquisitions (M&As) has been prevalent. This paper investigates the impacts of family CEOs on firm M&As and further explains how family CEOs affect firm M&A performance by reducing agency costs and enhancing internal control quality. We find that listed family firms controlled by family CEOs have better M&A performance than family firms controlled by non-family CEOs, and this effect is more profound for firms located in coastal areas or regions with low levels of social trust and equity restrictions. Our research provides an important reference for coordination between family business governance and firm performance.
自中国宣布实施双循环战略以来,家族企业参与并购(M&As)的现象十分普遍。本文研究了家族首席执行官对企业并购的影响,并进一步解释了家族首席执行官如何通过降低代理成本和提高内部控制质量来影响企业的并购绩效。我们发现,由家族首席执行官控制的上市家族企业比由非家族首席执行官控制的家族企业具有更好的并购绩效,而且这种影响对于位于沿海地区或社会信任度低、股权限制少的地区的企业更为显著。我们的研究为协调家族企业治理与企业绩效之间的关系提供了重要参考。
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引用次数: 0
Re-examining China and the u.s.’s respective green bond markets in extreme conditions: Evidence from quantile connectedness 重新审视极端条件下中国和美国各自的绿色债券市场:量子关联性的证据
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102286
Mei-Chih Wang , Peiyun Jiang , Tsangyao Chang

This study explores the role of green bonds in mitigating risks during extreme conditions, considering China and the US’ robust green bond markets and global risk events. It analyzes the interconnectedness of green bonds with other sectors like conventional bonds, equities, crude oil, and monetary policy. Using the quantile connectedness approach, it reveals how stabilized green bond markets in both countries act as hedges during extreme situations. By examining time-varying spillover effects, it identifies commonalities and differences in linkages between green bond markets and other sectors. These findings endorse green bonds’ integration into finance and hold implications for enhancing portfolio management and risk models.

考虑到中国和美国强劲的绿色债券市场以及全球风险事件,本研究探讨了绿色债券在极端条件下降低风险的作用。研究分析了绿色债券与传统债券、股票、原油和货币政策等其他领域的相互联系。利用量子关联方法,它揭示了两国稳定的绿色债券市场如何在极端情况下起到对冲作用。通过研究随时间变化的溢出效应,它确定了绿色债券市场与其他部门之间联系的共性和差异。这些研究结果支持绿色债券融入金融业,并对加强投资组合管理和风险模型产生了影响。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the crypto-green nexus: A risk management and investment strategy approach through the lens of NFTs, DeFis, green cryptocurrencies, and green investments 揭开加密货币与绿色关系的神秘面纱:从 NFT、DeFis、绿色加密货币和绿色投资的角度看风险管理和投资战略方法
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102289
Ritesh Patel , Sanjeev Kumar , Shalini Agnihotri

This study focuses to examine the connectedness among the Green Investments, NFTs, DeFis & Green Cryptocurrencies, along with the portfolio diversification and hedging potential of the Green Investment against the other investments. We examined the connectedness using the Quantile VAR and Wavelet Quantile Correlation method, indicating the existence of the partial connectedness among the selected assets. The connectedness among the assets changes due to change in global uncertainty caused by Covid-19 and Russia-Ukraine war. The green investment offers the hedging benefits to other green investment. Among all crypto assets, Dai serve as a good hedge for the green investment and other crypto assets. MCoP is best performing portfolio with Sharpe ratio, followed by MCP. However, the investment as per MCoP and MCP approaches increases the volatility of green assets. Further, the hedging benefits are varying with the changing global dynamics. None of the approach gives positive cumulative return and Sharpe ratio to the investors during the Russia-Ukraine war period. Our study has implications for the investors and portfolio managers with respect to portfolio framing and fund allocation.

本研究重点考察绿色投资、NFTs、DeFis & 绿色加密货币之间的关联性,以及绿色投资相对于其他投资的投资组合多样化和对冲潜力。我们使用量子 VAR 和小波量子相关性方法对关联性进行了检验,结果表明所选资产之间存在部分关联性。由于科维德-19 和俄乌战争导致全球不确定性的变化,资产之间的关联性也随之变化。绿色投资为其他绿色投资提供了对冲效益。在所有加密资产中,Dai 是绿色投资和其他加密资产的良好对冲工具。MCoP 是夏普比率表现最好的投资组合,其次是 MCP。然而,按照 MCoP 和 MCP 方法进行投资会增加绿色资产的波动性。此外,对冲效益也随着全球动态的变化而变化。在俄乌战争期间,没有一种方法能给投资者带来正的累计收益和夏普比率。我们的研究对投资者和投资组合经理在投资组合框架和资金分配方面具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
ESG investment performance and global attention to sustainability ESG 投资业绩和全球对可持续发展的关注
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102287
Thanh Nam Vu , Heikki Lehkonen , Juha-Pekka Junttila , Brian Lucey

We analyze ESG-based investments in stocks across 23 developed markets using daily data from 2004 to 2022. The findings suggest a weak relationship between the ESG ratings and expected returns, with some evidence of modest underperformance of high ESG stocks compared to lower-rated ones in specific periods. This outcome indicates that stock prices have already reflected ESG information, and well-known asset pricing factors can effectively capture the returns of portfolios based on ESG ratings. However, the strength of this relationship depends on global attention to sustainability, where high ESG-rated stocks tend to gain advantages during unexpected attention increases, highlighting the dynamic, nonlinear nature of this relationship.

我们利用 2004 年至 2022 年的每日数据分析了 23 个发达市场基于 ESG 的股票投资。研究结果表明,ESG 评级与预期回报之间的关系较弱,有证据表明,在特定时期,ESG 高的股票与ESG 评级低的股票相比表现略差。这一结果表明,股票价格已经反映了 ESG 信息,众所周知的资产定价因素可以有效捕捉基于 ESG 评级的投资组合的回报。然而,这种关系的强弱取决于全球对可持续发展的关注度,ESG评级高的股票往往会在关注度意外上升时获得优势,这凸显了这种关系的动态、非线性性质。
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引用次数: 0
Hedge funds network and stock price crash risk 对冲基金网络与股价暴跌风险
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102288
Youtao Xiang, Sumuya Borjigin

Utilizing a dataset from 2013 to 2022 on China’s listed companies, we explored whether a hedge fund network could help explain the occurrence of Chinese stock crash. First, this study constructs a hedge fund network based on common holdings. Then, from the perspective of network centrality, we explore the impact of hedge fund network on stock crash risk and its mechanisms. Our findings suggest that companies with greater network centrality experience lower stock crash risk. Such results remain valid after alternating measures, using the propensity score matching method, and excluding other network effects. We further document that the centrality of hedge fund network reduces crash risk through two channels: information asymmetry and governance monitoring. In addition, the negative impact of hedge fund network centrality on stock crash risk is more pronounced for non-SOEs firms. In summary, our research shed light on the important role of hedge fund information network in curbing stock crash.

利用 2013 年至 2022 年中国上市公司的数据集,我们探讨了对冲基金网络是否有助于解释中国股灾的发生。首先,本研究基于共同持股构建了对冲基金网络。然后,从网络中心性的角度,探讨对冲基金网络对股灾风险的影响及其机制。我们的研究结果表明,网络中心度越高的公司股价暴跌风险越低。在交替测量、使用倾向得分匹配法和排除其他网络效应后,这些结果仍然有效。我们进一步证明,对冲基金网络中心性通过两个渠道降低股灾风险:信息不对称和治理监督。此外,对冲基金网络中心性对股灾风险的负面影响在非国有企业中更为明显。总之,我们的研究揭示了对冲基金信息网络在抑制股灾中的重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Who is smarter? Evidence from extreme financial risk contagion in hedge funds and mutual funds 谁更聪明?对冲基金和共同基金极端金融风险传染的证据
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102283
Changqing Luo , Xinxin Fu , Carl R. Chen , Liang Dong

We investigate the extreme risk contagion of hedge funds and mutual funds, thereby comparing their performance, and studying whether hedge funds are smarter than mutual funds or vice versa. We construct the Copula-CoVaR model to measure the dynamic and nonlinear extreme risk contagion of hedge funds and mutual funds from January 1994 to April 2020. Our findings suggest that compared with mutual funds, hedge funds are subject to lower extreme risk contagion and offer higher average returns. This outperformance is robust in different crisis periods. Moreover, although almost all types of hedge funds outperform mutual funds, the characteristics of hedge funds have a different impact on the outperformance. Specifically, hedge funds adopting strategies of long/short equity hedge, event-driven, funds of funds, emerging markets, equity market neutral, multi-strategy, and global macro, funds with moderate activism, and illiquid hedge funds are smarter than mutual funds from the perspective of extreme risk contagion.

我们研究对冲基金和共同基金的极端风险传染,从而比较它们的表现,研究对冲基金是否比共同基金更聪明,反之亦然。我们构建了 Copula-CoVaR 模型来衡量对冲基金和共同基金在 1994 年 1 月至 2020 年 4 月期间的动态和非线性极端风险传染。我们的研究结果表明,与共同基金相比,对冲基金受到的极端风险传染较低,平均回报较高。在不同的危机时期,这种超额收益都是稳健的。此外,尽管几乎所有类型的对冲基金的表现都优于共同基金,但对冲基金的特征对其表现有不同的影响。具体而言,从极端风险传染的角度来看,采用多空股票对冲、事件驱动、基金中的基金、新兴市场、股票市场中性、多策略和全球宏观等策略的对冲基金、适度激进的基金以及非流动性对冲基金比共同基金更聪明。
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引用次数: 0
Overconfident investors, Predictable Returns, and optimal consumption-portfolio rules 过度自信的投资者、可预测回报和最优消费组合规则
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102284
Shuangling Zhao , Yunmin Wang , Guohua Cao

In a market characterized by partial information, we delve into the influence of overconfidence on individual optimal consumption and portfolio decisions. To address this, we tackle the max–min expected utility problem, which allows us to derive the optimal consumption and portfolio rules. Solving this problem yields two higher-order nonlinear partial differential equations that capture the scaled deterministic equivalent wealth − a key component for evaluating the value function and quantifying welfare loss. This paper presents an alternative theoretical perspective on the phenomena of underconsumption or overinvestment, attributing these behaviors to the overconfidence bias. Our model forecasts that overconfidence bias leads to an excessive allocation to risky assets and a reduction in consumption, thereby inevitably resulting in a certain degree of welfare loss. Moreover, it provides a cohesive theoretical framework to explain stock return puzzles, such as the momentum and reversal effects, within a structured model. Significantly, we discover that the conditional Sharpe ratio adheres to a mean-reverting process. These insights indicate that overconfidence bias significantly influences individual behavior, which in turn has a profound impact on return anomalies.

在以部分信息为特征的市场中,我们深入研究了过度自信对个人最佳消费和投资组合决策的影响。为了解决这个问题,我们解决了最大最小预期效用问题,从而推导出最优消费和投资组合规则。解决这个问题可以得到两个高阶非线性偏微分方程,它们可以捕捉到按比例确定的等价财富--这是评估价值函数和量化福利损失的关键部分。本文从另一个理论角度探讨了消费不足或过度投资现象,将这些行为归因于过度自信偏差。我们的模型预测,过度自信偏差会导致对风险资产的过度配置和消费减少,从而不可避免地造成一定程度的福利损失。此外,它还提供了一个内聚的理论框架,在一个结构化模型中解释股票回报的困惑,如动量效应和反转效应。值得注意的是,我们发现条件夏普比率遵循均值回复过程。这些见解表明,过度自信的偏差会严重影响个人行为,进而对回报率异常产生深远影响。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-asset bubbles equilibrium price dynamics 多资产泡沫均衡价格动力学
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102281
Francesco Cordoni

The price-bubble and crash formation process is theoretically investigated in a two-asset equilibrium model. Sufficient and necessary conditions are derived for the existence of average equilibrium price dynamics of different agent-based models, where agents are distinguished in terms of factor and investment trading strategies. In line with experimental results, we show that assets with a positive average dividend, i.e., with a strictly declining fundamental value, display at the equilibrium price the typical hump-shaped bubble observed in experimental asset markets. Moreover, a misvaluation effect is observed in the asset with a constant fundamental value, triggered by the other asset that displays the price bubble shape when a sharp price decline is exhibited at the end of the market.

在双资产均衡模型中对价格泡沫和崩溃形成过程进行了理论研究。我们推导出了不同代理模型平均均衡价格动态存在的充分和必要条件,其中代理是按要素和投资交易策略区分的。与实验结果一致,我们发现平均股息为正的资产,即基本价值严格下降的资产,在均衡价格上会出现实验资产市场上观察到的典型驼峰形泡沫。此外,在基本面价值不变的资产中也观察到了错误估值效应,这种效应是由另一种资产引发的,这种资产在市场结束时价格急剧下降,从而显示出价格泡沫形状。
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引用次数: 0
Cross-border ESG rating dynamics: An in-depth connectedness analysis of portfolio returns and volatilities in the USA and Canada 跨境环境、社会和公司治理评级动态:美国和加拿大投资组合回报和波动率的深度关联分析
IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102282
Carlos Esparcia , Mariya Gubareva , Tatiana Sokolova , Francisco Jareño

This study uses a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) model to examine the dynamic relationship between rating changes and portfolio returns in the US and Canada across the environmental (E), social (S), governance (G) and total ESG assessment pillars. The analysis includes both return and volatility spillovers and covers the period from March 2009 to October 2022. The study reveals a fluctuating pattern of connectedness, influenced by global financial events, such as the 2008 financial crisis. In particular, the US shows higher levels of connectedness. Rating changes, particularly in the ESG dimension, show stronger spillovers than returns, highlighting their importance in portfolio construction. The study further explores net connectedness profiles, identifying ESG rating changes as net transmitters. The results suggest that investors should prioritize rating changes over returns, highlighting the importance of considering ESG factors in portfolio management, especially the social criterion, to mitigate investment risks. The research contributes to the understanding of ESG dynamics in international equity markets and provides valuable insights for investors and market regulators.

本研究采用时变参数向量自回归(TVP-VAR)模型,考察了美国和加拿大在环境(E)、社会(S)、治理(G)和总体 ESG 评估支柱方面的评级变化与投资组合回报之间的动态关系。分析包括收益和波动溢出效应,时间跨度为 2009 年 3 月至 2022 年 10 月。研究显示,受 2008 年金融危机等全球金融事件的影响,关联性呈波动模式。其中,美国的关联度更高。评级变化,尤其是环境、社会和公司治理方面的评级变化,显示出比回报更强的溢出效应,突出了其在投资组合构建中的重要性。该研究进一步探讨了净关联度概况,将环境、社会和公司治理评级变化确定为净传递者。研究结果表明,投资者应优先考虑评级变化,而不是收益,这凸显了在投资组合管理中考虑环境、社会和治理因素(尤其是社会标准)以降低投资风险的重要性。该研究有助于理解国际股票市场的环境、社会和治理动态,并为投资者和市场监管者提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
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North American Journal of Economics and Finance
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