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Reference Groups and Relative Effects on Well‐Being 参照组和对幸福感的相对影响
IF 2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-20 DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12656
Laura Kudrna
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引用次数: 1
Warning: Some transaction prices can be detrimental to your house price index 警告:一些交易价格可能对您的房价指数有害
IF 2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12652
Robert J. Hill, Norbert Pfeifer, Miriam Steurer, Radoslaw Trojanek
There is a broad consensus in international statistical organizations such as Eurostat and the International Monetary Fund that house price indices (HPIs) should be constructed using transaction data. We show here how transaction data for new-built properties can undermine the timeliness of hedonic HPIs when new-built properties are pre-sold during the planning or building stage, but entered into deed books only once the projects are completed. As a consequence, HPIs for new-builds will include stale transaction prices. We investigate this issue for two Polish cities (Warsaw and Poznan) and find that HPIs for existing properties lead indices for new-builds by up to 2 years. This lag can dramatically distort National HPIs. The lag also has implications for the flagship measure of inflation in Europe—the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP)—since it is planned to include owner-occupied housing in the HICP using a transactions HPI specifically for new-builds. We show that the timeliness issue disappears when preliminary agreements on new-builds are used instead of transactions in the compilation of an HPI.
在欧盟统计局和国际货币基金组织等国际统计组织中,有一个广泛的共识,即应该使用交易数据来构建房价指数(hpi)。我们在这里展示了新建物业的交易数据如何破坏享乐hpi的及时性,当新建物业在规划或建设阶段预售,但只有在项目完成后才进入契约书。因此,新建住宅的hpi将包括过时的交易价格。我们对波兰的两个城市(华沙和波兹南)进行了调查,发现现有房产的hpi指数领先新建房产指数长达2年。这种滞后会极大地扭曲国家hpi。这种滞后也对欧洲衡量通胀的旗舰指标——消费者价格协调指数(HICP)产生了影响,因为它计划使用专门针对新建房屋的交易HPI将业主自住住房纳入HICP。我们表明,当在HPI的编译中使用新构建的初步协议而不是事务时,时效性问题就消失了。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating the Distribution of Household Wealth: Methods for Adjusting Survey Data Estimates Using National Accounts and Rich List Data 估计家庭财富分布:使用国民账户和富豪榜数据调整调查数据估计的方法
IF 2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12657
M. Cantarella, A. Neri, M. G. Ranalli
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引用次数: 0
Is Ireland the most intangible intensive economy in Europe? A growth accounting perspective 爱尔兰是欧洲最无形的密集型经济体吗?增长会计视角
IF 2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12651
Ilias Kostarakos, K. McQuinn, Petros Varthalitis
Assessing the contribution of intangible investment to growth is a challenging and complex task for any country. However, it has become increasingly difficult to determine both the exact magnitude of economic performance and its composition in the case of the Irish economy. This is mainly due to the impact of certain distortionary transactions by a select number of multinationals operating in the Irish jurisdiction. In this paper we address this issue by assessing, in a detailed manner, the contribution of intangible and tangible assets to the Irish growth story. We control for distortions in the official investment data series while also incorporating intangible assets which are not currently included in the National Accounts. Our results show that the observed unprecedented increase in the official intangible investment has a relatively minor contribution to the actual Irish labour productivity growth. Once the distortions are filtered out, Irish labour productivity growth is driven by tangible capital. More interestingly, non-national accounts intangible capital has a sizeable pro-cyclical impact on labour productivity growth.
评估无形投资对增长的贡献对任何国家来说都是一项具有挑战性和复杂的任务。然而,在爱尔兰经济的情况下,确定经济表现的确切幅度及其构成变得越来越困难。这主要是由于在爱尔兰管辖范围内经营的若干跨国公司的某些扭曲交易的影响。在本文中,我们通过详细评估无形资产和有形资产对爱尔兰增长故事的贡献来解决这个问题。我们控制了官方投资数据系列的扭曲,同时也纳入了目前未包括在国民经济核算中的无形资产。我们的研究结果表明,观察到的官方无形投资的空前增长对实际的爱尔兰劳动生产率增长的贡献相对较小。一旦这些扭曲被过滤掉,爱尔兰劳动生产率的增长就会受到有形资本的推动。更有趣的是,非国民账户无形资本对劳动生产率增长具有相当大的顺周期影响。
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引用次数: 8
Household Debt and Risk Tolerance: Evidence From China 家庭债务与风险承受能力:来自中国的证据
3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-23 DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12655
Jialong Li
Abstract This paper examines the relationship between the head of household's risk tolerance and household debt in China for a sample drawn from the China Household Finance Survey, 2011, 2013, 2015 and 2017. The effect of risk tolerance on both the decision to hold and the amount of total household debt, housing debt and non‐housing debt held is analyzed. The key findings indicate that risk tolerance is positively associated with household debt and non‐housing debt. Differences are found in the effect of risk tolerance on household debt across rural and urban households. For example, there exists a positive relationship between risk tolerance and the probability of holding housing debt for rural households while such a relationship is not found for urban households. In addition, the effect of risk tolerance on household debt is larger for rural households.
摘要本文以2011年、2013年、2015年和2017年《中国家庭金融调查》为样本,研究中国户主风险承受能力与家庭债务之间的关系。分析了风险承受能力对持有决策和持有家庭债务总额、住房债务和非住房债务的影响。主要研究结果表明,风险承受能力与家庭债务和非住房债务呈正相关。风险承受能力对城乡家庭债务的影响存在差异。例如,农村家庭的风险承受能力与持有住房债务的概率之间存在正相关关系,而城市家庭则没有这种关系。此外,风险承受能力对家庭债务的影响在农村家庭中更大。
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引用次数: 0
Shlomo Yitzhaki (1944–2023): In Memoriam 什洛莫·伊扎基(1944-2023):悼念
IF 2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-16 DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12649
Carsten Schröder, J. Silber
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引用次数: 0
Mortgage prepayments and tax‐exempted intergenerational transfers: from rich parents to rich children? 抵押贷款提前支付和免税代际转移:从富裕的父母到富裕的孩子?
3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-07 DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12644
Yue Li, Mauro Mastrogiacomo
The Dutch government implemented two changes to the taxation of intergenerational transfers aimed at mortgage down payments and prepayments. We identify the effects of these tax exemptions on prepayments and inter vivos transfers separately by taking advantage of the changes in policy design. The policy changes resulted in two expansions of tax‐exempt transfers, which increased the probability of receiving such transfers, translating into a modest increase in prepayments. Initially, the amounts prepaid increased by a similar magnitude, while the second policy change only resulted in an increase in the amounts being transferred but not the prepayments. The macroprudential policy goal was to reduce the number of underwater mortgages, but the policy was too generic and did not help to achieve this. The prepayments triggered by the policy change increased mostly for borrowers with low original loan‐to‐value ratios, implying that most transfers were made from wealthy parents to housing‐rich children.
荷兰政府对代际转移税实施了两项改革,针对的是抵押贷款首付款和预付款项。我们通过利用政策设计的变化,分别确定了这些免税对提前支付和体内转移的影响。政策变化导致免税转移的两次扩大,这增加了接受这种转移的可能性,转化为预付款项的适度增加。最初,预付的数额增加了类似的幅度,而第二次政策变动只增加了转移的数额,而没有增加预付的数额。宏观审慎政策的目标是减少资不抵债抵押贷款的数量,但该政策过于笼统,无助于实现这一目标。政策变化引发的提前还款增加主要针对原始贷款价值比较低的借款人,这意味着大多数转移都是从富有的父母转移到住房富裕的孩子身上。
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引用次数: 0
Safe at Last? Late Effects of a Mass Immunization Campaign on Households' Economic Insecurity 终于安全了?大规模免疫运动对家庭经济不安全的后期影响
3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-29 DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12643
Alessandro Belmonte, Harry Pickard
We study the effects of receiving immunization from COVID‐19 on households' economic insecurity. To provide causal estimates we use a fuzzy regression discontinuity design which takes advantage of the UK's immunization plan. The plan was primarily based on age, granting differential eligibility to proximate cohorts. Our estimated local average treatment effect indicates that the share of households who declared being economically insecure dropped by 41 percentage points among those who received the vaccine due to the eligibility criteria. Using a difference‐in‐discontinuity design we next document that immunization was more salient for women as well as for large households and those with children. Our results suggest that the mass immunization campaign against COVID‐19 had relevant short‐run economic effects, well beyond its expected impact on people's health.
我们研究了接受COVID - 19免疫接种对家庭经济不安全感的影响。为了提供因果估计,我们使用模糊回归不连续设计,该设计利用了英国的免疫计划。该计划主要基于年龄,对接近的队列给予不同的资格。我们估计的当地平均治疗效果表明,根据资格标准,在接受疫苗接种的家庭中,宣布经济不安全的家庭比例下降了41个百分点。采用差异-非连续性设计,我们接下来证明免疫接种对妇女以及大家庭和有孩子的家庭更为突出。我们的研究结果表明,针对COVID - 19的大规模免疫运动具有相关的短期经济效应,远远超出其对人们健康的预期影响。
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引用次数: 0
Income sources, intrahousehold allocation and individual poverty 收入来源、家庭内部分配和个人贫困
IF 2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-03 DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12642
O. Bargain
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引用次数: 0
Land Allocation Policy and Income Inequality: Evidence From Vietnam 土地分配政策与收入不平等:来自越南的证据
IF 2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1111/roiw.12640
Jinjing Li, Thi Bich Hanh Tran, H. A. La, M. Nguyen
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引用次数: 2
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Review of Income and Wealth
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