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Large Games: Robustness and Stability 分析大型游戏的稳健性和稳定性
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-08-02 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-ECONOMICS-072720-042303
R. Gradwohl, E. Kalai
This review focuses on properties related to the robustness and stability of Nash equilibria in games with a large number of players. Somewhat surprisingly, these equilibria become substantially more robust and stable as the number of players increases. We illustrate the relevant phenomena through a binary-action game with strategic substitutes, framed as a game of social isolation in a pandemic environment.
这篇综述的重点是与具有大量参与者的博弈中纳什均衡的鲁棒性和稳定性相关的性质。令人惊讶的是,随着参与者数量的增加,这些均衡变得更加稳健和稳定。我们通过一个具有战略替代品的二元行动游戏来说明相关现象,该游戏被框定为疫情环境中的社会隔离游戏。
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引用次数: 5
Theoretical Foundations of Relational Incentive Contracts 关系激励合同的理论基础
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-ECONOMICS-090820-110736
Joel Watson
This article describes the emerging game-theoretic framework for modeling long-term contractual relationships with moral hazard. The framework combines self-enforcement and external enforcement, accommodating alternative assumptions regarding how actively the parties initially set and renegotiate the terms of their contract. A progression of theoretical components is reviewed, building from the recursive formulation of equilibrium continuation values in repeated games. A principal-agent setting serves as a running example.
本文描述了新兴的博弈论框架,用于建模具有道德风险的长期合同关系。该框架结合了自我执行和外部执行,提供了关于各方最初如何积极制定和重新谈判合同条款的替代假设。从重复博弈中均衡连续值的递归公式出发,回顾了理论组成部分的进展。委托代理环境是一个运行的例子。
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引用次数: 2
Emmanuel Farhi, Economist Par Excellence 杰出经济学家伊曼纽尔·法希
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-ECONOMICS-032621-030422
J. Tirole
Undoubtedly one of the best economists of his generation, Emmanuel Farhi transformed the theories of taxation, macroeconomics, and international finance. This essay describes his itinerary and his research style and attempts to pay tribute to his immense contribution to economics.
毫无疑问,埃马纽埃尔·法希是他那一代最优秀的经济学家之一,他改变了税收、宏观经济和国际金融的理论。这篇文章描述了他的行程和研究风格,并试图向他在经济学方面的巨大贡献致敬。
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引用次数: 0
Inflation Inequality: Measurement, Causes, and Policy Implications 通货膨胀不平等:测量、原因和政策含义
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-05-26 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-ECONOMICS-091520-082042
Xavier Jaravel
Does inflation vary across the income distribution? This article reviews the growing literature on inflation inequality, describing recent advances and opportunities for further research in four areas. First, new price index theory facilitates the study of inflation inequality. Second, new data show that inflation rates decline with household income in the United States. Accurate measurement requires granular price and expenditure data because of aggregation bias. Third, new evidence quantifies the impacts of innovation and trade on inflation inequality. Contrary to common wisdom, empirical estimates show that the direction of innovation is a significant driver of inflation inequality in the United States, whereas trade has similar price effects across the income distribution. Fourth, inflation inequality and non-homotheticities have important policy implications. They transform cost-benefit analysis, optimal taxation, the effectiveness of stabilization policies, and our understanding of secular macroeconomic trends—including structural change, the decline in the labor share and interest rates, and labor market polarization.
通货膨胀是否因收入分配的不同而不同?本文回顾了关于通货膨胀不平等的越来越多的文献,描述了四个领域的最新进展和进一步研究的机会。首先,新的价格指数理论有利于研究通货膨胀不平等。第二,新的数据显示,美国的通货膨胀率随着家庭收入的增加而下降。由于聚集偏差,准确的测量需要细粒度的价格和支出数据。第三,新的证据量化了创新和贸易对通胀不平等的影响。与常识相反,实证估计表明,创新的方向是美国通货膨胀不平等的重要驱动因素,而贸易在整个收入分配中具有类似的价格效应。第四,通胀不平等和非同质性具有重要的政策含义。它们改变了成本效益分析、最优税收、稳定政策的有效性,以及我们对长期宏观经济趋势的理解——包括结构变化、劳动力份额和利率的下降以及劳动力市场两极分化。
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引用次数: 35
The Blossoming of Economic Epidemiology 经济流行病学的蓬勃发展
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-05-24 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-ECONOMICS-082120-122900
David McAdams
Infectious diseases, ideas, new products, and other infectants spread in epidemic fashion through social contact. The COVID-19 pandemic, the proliferation of fake news, and the rise of antimicrobial resistance have thrust economic epidemiology into the forefront of public policy debate and reinvigorated the field. Focusing for concreteness on disease-causing pathogens, this review provides a taxonomy of economic-epidemic models, emphasizing both the biology/immunology of the disease and the economics of the social context. An economic epidemic is one whose diffusion through the agent population is generated by agents’ endogenous behavior. I highlight properties of the equilibrium epidemic trajectory and discuss ways in which public health authorities can change the game for the better by ( a) imposing restrictions on agent activity to reduce the harm done during a viral outbreak and ( b) enabling diagnostic-informed interventions to slow or even reverse the rise of antibiotic resistance.
传染病、思想、新产品和其他传染病通过社会接触以流行病的方式传播。2019冠状病毒病大流行、假新闻的泛滥以及抗菌素耐药性的上升,使经济流行病学成为公共政策辩论的前沿,并为该领域注入了活力。着眼于具体的致病病原体,本综述提供了经济流行病模型的分类,强调疾病的生物学/免疫学和社会背景的经济学。经济流行病是指其在主体群体中的扩散是由主体的内生行为产生的。我强调了均衡流行病轨迹的特性,并讨论了公共卫生当局可以通过以下方式使游戏变得更好:(a)对药剂活动施加限制,以减少病毒爆发期间造成的伤害;(b)使诊断知情的干预措施能够减缓甚至扭转抗生素耐药性的上升。
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引用次数: 10
Social Networks and Migration 社交网络与移民
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-economics-082019-031419
Kaivan Munshi
The frictions that restrict migration are among the largest sources of inefficiency in the global economy. The first step in designing policies to address these frictions is to understand the funda...
限制移民的摩擦是全球经济效率低下的最大根源之一。设计解决这些摩擦的政策的第一步是了解其基本原理。
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引用次数: 11
The Search Theory of Over-the-Counter Markets 场外交易市场的搜索理论
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-economics-091819-124829
Pierre-Olivier Weill
I review the recent literature that applies search-and-matching theory to the study of over-the-counter financial markets. I formulate and solve a simple model to illustrate the typical assumptions...
我回顾了最近将搜索和匹配理论应用于场外金融市场研究的文献。我制定并求解了一个简单的模型来说明典型的假设。。。
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引用次数: 22
Robust Decision Theory and Econometrics 稳健决策理论与计量经济学
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-economics-081919-042544
G. Chamberlain
This review uses the empirical analysis of portfolio choice to illustrate econometric issues that arise in decision problems. Subjective expected utility (SEU) can provide normative guidance to an ...
这篇综述使用投资组合选择的实证分析来说明决策问题中出现的计量经济学问题。主观期望效用(SEU)可以为企业提供规范的指导。。。
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引用次数: 5
Social Identity, Group Behavior, and Teams 社会认同、群体行为和团队
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-economics-091619-032800
G. Charness, Yan Chen
The issue of one's identity has loomed large recently and has unfortunately been used more and more as a wedge to separate subgroups. It is important to understand the ramifications of identity, bo...
一个人的身份问题最近显得很突出,不幸的是,它越来越多地被用作分离子群的楔子。重要的是要理解身份的影响,bo。。。
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引用次数: 62
Aspirations and Economic Behavior 抱负与经济行为
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-ECONOMICS-080217-053245
Garance Genicot, Debraj Ray
This article reviews the literature on aspirations in economics, with a particular focus on socially determined aspirations. The core theory builds on two fundamental principles: (a) Aspirations ca...
本文回顾了经济学中关于愿望的文献,特别关注社会决定的愿望。核心理论建立在两个基本原则之上:(a)愿望可以……
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引用次数: 38
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Annual Review of Economics
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