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Margin trading, short selling, and information asymmetry 保证金交易、卖空和信息不对称
IF 2.1 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2024.100926
Minggang Xu , Xueyong Zhang , Yeqing Zhang

We investigate the impact of margin trading and short selling (MTSS) on information asymmetry using data from a unique Chinese pilot program that permits MTSS for a specific list of stocks. We establish a theoretical framework indicating that MTSS enhances the pricing system’s informativeness, leading to reduced information asymmetry. Motivated by this theoretical framework, we design a quasi-experiment to analyze data from 2013 to 2016. We find that indeed MTSS weakens information asymmetry. Furthermore, the reduction of information asymmetry can be attributed to both margin trading and short selling.

我们利用中国允许对特定股票进行保证金交易和卖空(MTSS)的试点项目的数据,研究了保证金交易和卖空(MTSS)对信息不对称的影响。我们建立了一个理论框架,表明保证金交易和卖空交易(MTSS)能提高定价系统的信息透明度,从而降低信息不对称程度。在这一理论框架的激励下,我们设计了一个准实验来分析 2013 年至 2016 年的数据。我们发现,MTSS 确实削弱了信息不对称。此外,信息不对称的减少可归因于保证金交易和卖空。
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引用次数: 0
Synchronous social media and the stock market 同步社交媒体与股票市场
IF 2.1 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2024.100915

I examine stock discussions from real-time (synchronous) group chats on Discord and compare them with forum-style (asynchronous) postings on Reddit’s WallStreetBets. Findings suggest that popular stocks on Discord include fewer ”meme” stocks and are more diverse and profitable. A Discord-based long-short strategy outperforms several comparable strategies. Discord-based popularity predicts future trading volume, volatility, and returns, and this effect is stronger for smaller stocks. By contrast, popularity on WallStreetBets or on both platforms correlates with lower returns. Results suggest that academicians and practitioners should consider social interaction settings when evaluating the impact of social media on investment decisions.

我研究了 Discord 上实时(同步)群聊中的股票讨论,并将其与 Reddit 的 WallStreetBets 上论坛式(异步)发帖进行了比较。研究结果表明,Discord 上的热门股票中 "meme "股票较少,而且更多样化、更有利可图。基于 Discord 的多空策略表现优于几种同类策略。基于 Discord 的受欢迎程度可以预测未来的交易量、波动率和回报率,而且对小型股票的影响更大。相比之下,WallStreetBets 或两个平台上的人气与较低的回报率相关。研究结果表明,学者和从业人员在评估社交媒体对投资决策的影响时,应考虑社交互动环境。
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引用次数: 0
Firm visibility, liquidity, and valuation for thinly traded assets 交易稀少资产的公司知名度、流动性和估值
IF 2.1 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2024.100914

We employ a regression discontinuity design to study how a market division experiment affects stock liquidity and firm valuation in an illiquid market. We document that an increase in firm visibility can substantially improve a firm's liquidity (measured by trading immediacy) and increase valuation by 28.4% for thinly traded assets. We also find some evidence that an improved information environment may contribute to enhanced liquidity and valuation.

我们采用回归不连续设计来研究市场划分实验如何影响非流动市场中的股票流动性和公司估值。我们发现,对于交易稀少的资产而言,公司知名度的提高可大幅改善公司的流动性(以交易即时性衡量),并将估值提高 28.4%。我们还发现一些证据表明,信息环境的改善可能有助于提高流动性和估值。
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引用次数: 0
Search friction, liquidity risk, and bond misallocation 搜索摩擦、流动性风险和债券错配
IF 2.1 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2024.100912

Search friction is a key driver of changes in corporate bond yield spreads over time. In the cross-section, the liquidity risk stemming from search friction is significantly priced, and is strongly correlated with the misallocation of bond positions among different traders. I propose a novel measure of bond-specific misallocation, which is the negative covariance between traders’ private valuations and their inventory positions for each bond. I find that bonds with higher levels of misallocation are associated with lower absolute levels of liquidity risk from search friction. I develop a search-and-matching model to explain this correlation.

搜索摩擦是公司债券收益率利差随时间变化的主要驱动因素。在横截面上,搜索摩擦导致的流动性风险被显著定价,并与不同交易者之间的债券仓位错配密切相关。我提出了一种新的衡量债券错配的方法,即交易者对每种债券的私人估值与其库存头寸之间的负协方差。我发现,错配程度较高的债券与搜索摩擦造成的流动性风险绝对水平较低有关。我建立了一个搜索匹配模型来解释这种相关性。
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引用次数: 0
Doctors managing mutual funds: Returns to specialization in asset management 管理共同基金的医生:资产管理专业化的回报
IF 2.1 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2024.100916

We investigate the returns to specialized knowledge in asset management by comparing the performance of medical specialists versus generalists in managing healthcare sector mutual funds. Specialist alpha is 5% higher on an annualized basis. This result is robust to controlling for other observable characteristics and using different performance measures, subperiods, and variable definitions. The positive effect of a medical education on fund performance and specialists’ ability to time industry-specific events suggest that knowledge-based skills, rather than social connections, are key to specialist outperformance. Our paper provides new evidence on fund manager characteristics that provide a competitive advantage in generating alpha.

我们通过比较医学专家和普通专家在管理医疗保健行业共同基金中的表现,研究了资产管理中专业知识的回报。专家的阿尔法年化收益率高出 5%。这一结果在控制其他可观察到的特征以及使用不同的绩效衡量标准、子时期和变量定义时都是稳健的。医学教育对基金业绩的积极影响以及专家对特定行业事件的把握能力表明,知识技能而非社会关系是专家取得优异业绩的关键。我们的论文为基金经理的特征提供了新的证据,这些特征为产生阿尔法提供了竞争优势。
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引用次数: 0
Oil information uncertainty and aggregate market returns: A natural experiment based on satellite data 石油信息的不确定性与总体市场回报:基于卫星数据的自然实验
IF 2.1 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2024.100913

Satellites can “see” oil inventory in oil tanks, but they are sensitive to cloud cover. Cloud cover introduces a new uncertainty related to information quality. We measure such information uncertainty by assessing cloud cover over floating roof oil tanks. Using a cloud cover index, we demonstrate that higher information uncertainty leads to lower future returns (mean effect) and a stronger momentum anomaly (interaction effect). These two effects can be explained by investor overconfidence and arbitrage costs, respectively. An investor with a mean–variance preference obtains sizable gains in terms of certainty equivalent return, which accounts for the mean effect.

卫星可以 "看到 "油罐中的石油存量,但对云层很敏感。云层带来了与信息质量有关的新的不确定性。我们通过评估浮顶油罐上空的云层来衡量这种信息不确定性。利用云层指数,我们证明了较高的信息不确定性会导致较低的未来回报(平均效应)和较强的动量异常(交互效应)。这两种效应可分别用投资者过度自信和套利成本来解释。具有均值方差偏好的投资者在确定性等价收益方面会获得可观的收益,这就是均值效应的原因。
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引用次数: 0
The role of options markets in corporate social responsibility 期权市场在企业社会责任中的作用
IF 2.1 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2024.100910

We explore the relationship between options trading and corporate social responsibility (CSR). We find that options trading can enhance CSR by (i) fostering shareholder activism, as indicated by increased long-term and socially responsible institutional ownership and CSR proposals and (ii) intensifying product market competition, which spurs green innovation and product-related CSR initiatives. The positive effects are more pronounced in well-governed firms but diminished in firms with managerial entrenchment. Moreover, CSR improvements driven by options trading positively influence firm value, with notable enhancements in environmental performance. Our results underscore that options markets play a crucial role in promoting responsible corporate practices.

我们探讨了期权交易与企业社会责任(CSR)之间的关系。我们发现,期权交易可以通过以下方式增强企业社会责任:(i) 促进股东积极性,表现为长期和有社会责任感的机构所有权和企业社会责任提案的增加;(ii) 加剧产品市场竞争,从而刺激绿色创新和与产品相关的企业社会责任倡议。这些积极影响在治理良好的企业中更为明显,但在管理强化的企业中则有所减弱。此外,期权交易推动的企业社会责任改善对公司价值产生了积极影响,并显著提高了环境绩效。我们的研究结果强调,期权市场在促进负责任的企业实践方面发挥着至关重要的作用。
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引用次数: 0
The volatility of stock investor returns 股票投资者收益的波动性
IF 2.1 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2024.100927

The volatility of stock investor returns depends not only on the volatility of the stocks they hold but also on their time-varying capital exposure to these holdings. Using individual stocks, portfolios of stocks, and indexes across U.S. and international stock markets, we provide comprehensive evidence that the volatility of investor returns is consistently higher than the corresponding volatility of stock returns across nearly all specifications. The relative magnitude of the volatility differential ranges from 10% to 75%, increasing with investment horizon. This discrepancy is driven primarily by investors’ propensity to "flee volatility," withdrawing equity capital following periods of high volatility.

股票投资者收益的波动性不仅取决于其所持股票的波动性,还取决于其所持股票的时变资本敞口。利用美国和国际股票市场的个股、股票投资组合和指数,我们提供了全面的证据,表明在几乎所有的规格中,投资者回报的波动性始终高于股票回报的相应波动性。波动率差异的相对幅度从 10%到 75%不等,随着投资期限的增加而增加。造成这种差异的主要原因是投资者 "逃离波动 "的倾向,即在高波动期后撤出股票资本。
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引用次数: 0
Arbitrage opportunities and efficiency tests in crypto derivatives 加密货币衍生品中的套利机会和效率测试
IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2024.100930
Carol Alexander, Xi Chen, Jun Deng, Tianyi Wang
We test the joint efficiency of the bitcoin and ether options and perpetual futures markets and identify the determinants of arbitrage opportunities. Our novel fiat-currency-free put–call parity relationship motivates new arbitrage tests for options-only and option–perpetual cross-markets. Bitcoin and ether derivatives markets are becoming more efficient, especially for options of maturity 15 days. Bitcoin derivative markets are generally more efficient than ether derivative markets, but arbitrage strategies can still be highly profitable even under conservative transaction cost scenarios, which include slippage for large orders, especially during periods of high trading volumes or when the blockchain traffic becomes more congested.
我们测试了比特币和以太币期权与永久期货市场的联合效率,并确定了套利机会的决定因素。我们新颖的无法币看跌-看涨平价关系激发了对纯期权和期权-永久跨市场的新套利测试。比特币和以太币衍生品市场正变得越来越有效,特别是对于 15 天到期的期权。比特币衍生品市场的效率普遍高于以太币衍生品市场,但即使在保守的交易成本情况下,套利策略仍能获得高额利润,其中包括大订单的滑点,尤其是在交易量大或区块链流量变得更加拥堵的时期。
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引用次数: 0
Financial congestion 财务拥挤
IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2024.100933
Deniz Okat
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Financial Markets
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