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Subnational Turnover, Accountability Politics, and Electoral Authoritarian Survival: Evidence from Museveni's Uganda 次国家更替、问责政治与选举权威的生存——来自穆塞韦尼乌干达的证据
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.5129/001041521X16060530242223DOI:
Sam Wilkins
Most non-democratic regimes engineer elections such that regime change is effectively impossible via the ballot. However, many of these elections see high turnover of politicians at the subnational level, often through competitive processes that occur within ruling parties. This is the case for President Yoweri Museveni's dominant National Resistance Movement (NRM) in Uganda, the ranks of which have been decimated by intra-party competition at each election throughout its three decades in power. This competition includes high levels of voter participation in mass primaries and general elections and is particularly acute in the rural southern areas where Museveni's simultaneous presidential candidacy draws most support. Based on qualitative data from the 2016 elections, this article investigates the relationship between this local, intra-party competition and Museveni's survival, building a theory that local competition in electoral authoritarian regimes can provide an outlet for accountability politics by redirecting widespread voter frustrations away from a regime and towards expendable local politicians.
大多数非民主政权设计了选举,使得政权更迭实际上不可能通过投票进行。然而,在这些选举中,许多次国家一级的政治家更替率很高,通常是通过执政党内部的竞争程序进行的。乌干达总统约韦里•穆塞韦尼(Yoweri Museveni)领导的占主导地位的全国抵抗运动(NRM)就是这种情况。在其执政的30年里,每次选举都有党内竞争,NRM的队伍都被摧毁了。这种竞争包括选民在大规模初选和大选中的高度参与,在南部农村地区尤其激烈,穆塞韦尼同时作为总统候选人获得了最多的支持。基于2016年选举的定性数据,本文调查了这种地方、党内竞争与穆塞韦尼的生存之间的关系,建立了一种理论,即选举专制政权中的地方竞争可以通过将选民普遍的不满从政权转移到可消耗的地方政治家身上,为问责政治提供一个出口。
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引用次数: 0
Aspirational Identity Politics and Support for Radical Reform: The Case of Post-Maidan Ukraine 渴望的身份政治与对激进改革的支持——以后独立战争时期的乌克兰为例
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.5129/001041521x16007978024129
H. Hale, V. Kulyk
How does ethnicity influence mass support for radical reforms? Treating ethnicity as a set of cognitively useful categories serving both ethnocentric and inclusive ends, we argue people can strive toward civic visions for their state yet interpret obstacles through “ethnic” lenses. We label this phenomenon aspirational identity politics, prominent when external aggressors exploit identity commonalities with home-state subpopulations. Consequently, ethnic cognition can facilitate radical reform support not only through ethnocentrism, but also by connecting prosocial dispositions to support for ingroup favoring reforms. Accordingly, original survey data from Ukraine in 2017 reveal prosocial values better predict support for nine radical reforms – including in-group favoring ones – than does ethnocentrism. Support is also strongest among economically better-off people, indicating backing for radical reform is generally more about aspiration than desperation.
种族如何影响群众对激进改革的支持?将种族视为一组认知上有用的类别,既服务于以种族为中心的目的,也服务于包容性的目的,我们认为人们可以努力实现自己国家的公民愿景,但也可以通过“种族”的视角来解释障碍。我们将这种现象称为渴望的身份政治,当外部侵略者利用与母国亚群体的身份共性时,这种现象尤为突出。因此,种族认知不仅可以通过种族中心主义,而且可以通过将亲社会倾向与支持内部群体的改革联系起来,促进激进的改革支持。因此,2017年来自乌克兰的原始调查数据显示,亲社会价值观比种族中心主义更能预测对九项激进改革的支持,包括对群体有利的改革。在经济状况较好的人群中,支持率也最高,这表明支持激进改革通常更多的是愿望,而不是绝望。
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引用次数: 2
What Capital Wants: Business Interests and Labor Market Reform in Portugal and Spain 资本想要的:葡萄牙和西班牙的商业利益和劳动力市场改革
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.5129/001041521x16059843939568
Jimena Valdez
Under what conditions are governments able to liberalize labor markets? I leverage the cases of Portugal and Spain, two countries hit by the Eurozone crisis and constrained in their policy options, that diverge in the key measure mandated by international creditors to recover – the decentralization of collective bargaining. Against the common assumption that the liberalization of labor is widely embraced by capital, I show that governments are only able to advance labor reforms when there is a leading industrial export sector that benefits from it and provides a powerful domestic social partner. I test this argument with in-depth qualitative data collected during twelve months of fieldwork in both countries, including 129 interviews with politicians, policy-makers, and members of business associations and labor confederations, among others.
政府在什么条件下能够放开劳动力市场?我以葡萄牙和西班牙为例,这两个受到欧元区危机打击、政策选择受限的国家,在国际债权人要求的复苏关键措施——集体谈判权力下放——上存在分歧。与劳动力自由化被资本广泛接受的普遍假设相反,我表明,只有当有一个领先的工业出口部门从中受益并提供强大的国内社会合作伙伴时,政府才能推进劳动力改革。我在这两个国家进行了为期12个月的实地考察,收集了深入的定性数据,其中包括对政治家、政策制定者、商业协会和劳工联合会成员等的129次采访,以此来验证这一论点。
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引用次数: 1
Can Police Patrols Prevent Pollution? The Limits of Authoritarian Environmental Governance in China 警察巡逻能防止污染吗?威权式环境治理在中国的局限性
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.5129/001041521x15982729490361
D. V. D. Kamp
China’s high-profile anti-pollution campaigns have fuelled theories of authoritarian environmental efficiency. In a regime where bureaucrats are sensitive to top-down scrutiny, central campaigns are expected to be powerful tool for reducing pollution. Focusing on China’s nationwide pollution inspections campaign, I assess these claims of authoritarian efficiency. I find that central inspections (or ‘police patrols’) have no discernable impact on air pollution. I argue that inspections were ineffective because environmental enforcement requires a degree of sustained scrutiny that one-off campaigns cannot provide. The deterrent effect of inspections is also undercut by the regime’s ambivalence towards independent courts and unsupervised public participation. These findings suggest that China’s obstacles to pollution enforcement may be greater than anticipated, and theories of authoritarian efficiency overlook gaps in authoritarian state capacity.
中国高调的反污染运动助长了专制环境效率的理论。在一个官僚们对自上而下的审查很敏感的政权中,中央运动有望成为减少污染的有力工具。我把注意力集中在中国全国范围内的污染检查活动上,评估这些独裁效率的说法。我发现中央检查(或“警察巡逻”)对空气污染没有明显的影响。我认为,检查是无效的,因为环境执法需要一定程度的持续审查,而一次性运动无法提供这种审查。该政权对独立法院和无监督公众参与的矛盾态度也削弱了检查的威慑作用。这些发现表明,中国在污染执法方面的障碍可能比预期的要大,威权效率理论忽视了威权国家能力的差距。
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引用次数: 6
Working for the Machine: Patronage Jobs and Political Services in Argentina 为机器工作:阿根廷的赞助工作和政治服务
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.5129/001041521x15974977783469
Virginia Oliveros
Conventional wisdom posits that patronage jobs are distributed to supporters in exchange for political services. But why would public employees comply with the agreement and provide political services after receiving the job? Departing from existing explanations, I argue that patronage employees engage in political activities because their jobs are tied to their patrons' political survival. Supporters' jobs will be maintained by the incumbent, but not by the opposition. Supporters, then, have incentives to help the incumbent, which makes their original commitment to provide political services a credible one. Using survey experiments embedded in a survey of 1,200 Argentine public employees, I show that patronage employees are involved in political activities and that they believe their jobs are tied to the political success of the incumbent.
传统观点认为,赞助工作分配给支持者是为了换取政治服务。但为什么公职人员在获得工作后会遵守协议并提供政治服务?与现有的解释不同,我认为赞助人员工从事政治活动是因为他们的工作与赞助人的政治生存息息相关。支持者的职位将由现任总统维持,而不是由反对派维持。因此,支持者有动机帮助现任总统,这使得他们最初提供政治服务的承诺是可信的。通过对1200名阿根廷公职人员的调查实验,我发现赞助员工参与了政治活动,他们相信自己的工作与现任公职人员的政治成功息息相关。
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引用次数: 7
Competition for Religious Authority and Islamist Mobilization in Indonesia 印尼宗教权威竞争与伊斯兰动员
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.5129/001041521x15974471626004
Alexandre Pelletier
This article seeks to explain variations in the success of Islamist mobilization. It argues that Islamist groups do better where competition for religious authority is intense. These religious "markets" are conducive to Islamist success because they 1) lower the barriers of entry to new religious entrepreneurs, 2) incentivize established leaders to support Islamist mobilization, and 3) push moderate leaders into silence. The article develops this theory by examining sub-regional variations in Islamist mobilization on the Indonesian island of Java. Using newly collected data on Java's 15,000 Islamic schools, it compares religious institutions across more than 100 regencies in Java. It also uses dozens of field interviews with Indonesian Islamists and Muslim leaders to show where market structures have facilitated the growth of Islamist groups.
这篇文章试图解释伊斯兰动员成功的不同之处。它认为,在宗教权威竞争激烈的地方,伊斯兰组织做得更好。这些宗教“市场”有助于伊斯兰主义的成功,因为它们1)降低了新宗教企业家的进入门槛,2)激励老牌领导人支持伊斯兰动员,3)迫使温和派领导人保持沉默。本文通过考察印尼爪哇岛伊斯兰动员的次区域差异来发展这一理论。它利用最新收集的爪哇15000所伊斯兰学校的数据,对爪哇100多个县的宗教机构进行了比较。它还利用对印尼伊斯兰主义者和穆斯林领导人的数十次实地采访,展示市场结构在哪里促进了伊斯兰组织的发展。
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引用次数: 3
Adjustment Policies, Union Structures, and Strategies of Mobilization: Teacher Politics in Mexico and Argentina 调整政策、工会结构与动员策略:墨西哥与阿根廷的教师政治
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.5129/001041521x15918883398085
Christopher Chambers-Ju
This article analyzes the evolving mobilizational strategies of robust unions in contemporary Latin America. The origins of these strategies are rooted in the neoliberal adjustment policies in the early 1990s that compensated and reshaped power relations in labor organizations. With union compensation, a dominant faction concentrated power and embraced instrumentalism; the union exchanged electoral support with various parties for particularistic benefits. When adjustment policies were adopted without compensation, power was dispersed in an archipelago of activists. Unions then relied on movementism, which centered on contentious demand making and resistance to partisan alliances. Comparing teachers in Mexico and Argentina, this article contributes to broader debates about the effects of democracy on contentious politics and the changing partisan identities of workers.
本文分析了当代拉丁美洲强大工会不断发展的动员策略。这些策略的起源根植于20世纪90年代初的新自由主义调整政策,这些政策补偿和重塑了劳工组织中的权力关系。在工会的补偿下,一个占主导地位的派系集中了权力,接受了工具主义;工会与各党派交换选举支持,以换取特殊利益。在没有补偿的情况下采取调整政策时,权力分散在一群积极分子手中。然后工会依靠运动主义,集中在有争议的需求提出和对党派联盟的抵制。通过比较墨西哥和阿根廷的教师,本文对民主对有争议的政治的影响以及工人党派身份的变化进行了更广泛的讨论。
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引用次数: 5
Purifying the Religion: An Analysis of Haram Targeting among Salafi Jihadi Groups 净化宗教:萨拉菲圣战组织针对圣地的分析
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.5129/001041522x16264419205870
David S. Siroky, E. Souleimanov, Jean-François Ratelle, Milos Popovic
Islamic law denotes as haram any forbidden behavior, object, beverage, or food. Despite subscribing to a similar Salafi ideology, very few jihadi groups use violence against haram targets (e.g., brothels, casinos, statues, liquor stores, mixed sex schools, and gay clubs). This study argues that haram-centered violence unites ethnically-mixed jihadi groups by fostering a superordinate Islamic identity that enables them to overcome their collective action problems. As a result, ethnically-mixed Salafi jihadi groups deploy haram targeting much more than homogenous ones. Using new disaggregated group-level data, our analyses demonstrate that the ethnic structure of Salafi jihadi groups shapes haram targeting, both in Dagestan and on a global scale. The article discusses these findings and directions for future research on religious violence.
伊斯兰教法将任何被禁止的行为、物品、饮料或食物都称为haram。尽管赞同类似的萨拉菲意识形态,很少有圣战组织对圣地目标(如妓院、赌场、雕像、酒类商店、男女混合学校和同性恋俱乐部)使用暴力。这项研究认为,以伊斯兰教为中心的暴力通过培养一种优越的伊斯兰身份,使他们能够克服集体行动的问题,从而团结了种族混合的圣战组织。因此,种族混合的萨拉菲圣战组织部署的圣地目标远不止单一种族。我们的分析使用了新的分组数据,表明萨拉菲圣战组织的种族结构影响了达吉斯坦和全球范围内的圣地目标。本文讨论了这些发现以及未来宗教暴力研究的方向。
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引用次数: 0
Equifinality in the Smallholder Slot: Cash Crop Development in the Brazilian Amazon and Indonesian Borneo 小农的平等地位:巴西亚马逊和印尼婆罗洲的经济作物发展
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.5129/001041521x16050183696029
Gregory M. Thaler
This article presents a comparative ethnography of the smallholder agroforestry projects of an international environmental organization. Migrant ranchers in Brazil sell cattle from private properties in a heavily-deforested landscape. Indigenous farmers in Indonesia rely on subsistence food production on customary lands in a heavily-forested landscape. Despite these differences, the projects identify both migrant ranchers and indigenous farmers as “smallholders” and prescribe cash crop agroforestry as the solution to both their predicaments. In the face of expanding ranches and plantations, this cash crop solution accepts the destruction of forest ecosystems and livelihoods as inevitable, funneling smallholders into market agroforestry in agro-industrial landscapes. This article strengthens the case for comparative ethnography and challenges discursive conflations and political-economic biases of prevailing sustainable development policies.
本文介绍了一个国际环境组织的小农农林业项目的比较民族志。巴西的移民农场主在森林被严重砍伐的土地上出售私人财产中的牛。印度尼西亚的土著农民依靠在森林茂密地区的习惯土地上生产自给自足的粮食。尽管存在这些差异,但这些项目将移徙牧场主和土著农民都确定为“小农”,并规定将经济作物农林复合作为解决这两种困境的办法。面对不断扩大的牧场和种植园,这种经济作物解决方案承认森林生态系统和生计的破坏是不可避免的,将小农引导到农用工业景观中的农用林业市场。本文加强了比较民族志的案例,并挑战了普遍的可持续发展政策的话语合并和政治经济偏见。
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引用次数: 0
Great Expectations, Great Grievances: The Politics of Citizens’ Complaints in India 远大的期望,巨大的不满:印度公民抱怨的政治
IF 2.3 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.5129/001041521X16106633880914
Gabrielle Kruks-Wisner
To complain to and about government is an essential political act, with consequences for citizen-state relations. This article examines these dynamics in the policing sector, through a study of grievance redressal hearings in the Indian state of Madhya Pradesh. The hearings provide a critical channel to justice for some of the most marginalized, including women. However, most participants become less satisfied following their hearings, as initial hopes are dashed against the constraints of local policing. The study highlights the promise and limits of formal complaints mechanisms, which can amplify citizens’ voices but—when coupled with an expectations gap—can also deepen grievances. Complaining, I argue, is a powerful but at times paradoxical form of voice, conditioned by citizens’ expectations and by state capacity.
向政府抱怨和抱怨政府是一种基本的政治行为,会对公民与国家的关系产生影响。本文通过对印度中央邦申诉听证会的研究,考察了警务部门的这些动态。听证会为包括妇女在内的一些最边缘化群体提供了诉诸司法的重要渠道。然而,大多数参与者在听证会后变得不那么满意,因为最初的希望在当地警察的限制下破灭了。该研究强调了正式投诉机制的前景和局限性,它可以放大公民的声音,但如果与期望差距相结合,也会加深不满。我认为,抱怨是一种强大但有时自相矛盾的声音形式,受到公民期望和国家能力的制约。
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引用次数: 6
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Comparative Politics
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