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Do more children lead to greater blessings? Birth quantity and household economic risk in China 更多的孩子会带来更多的祝福吗?中国出生人口数量与家庭经济风险
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13186
Ji Zhang, Wenjun Xiong, Yanmei Sun
Abstract Does the number of births in a family decrease a household's economic risk? We find that in a distribution of households by children's age stages, the economic risk of households in the middle (16–22 years) and late stages (23–38 years) appears to be more significantly affected by the dual nature of children as consumable goods and investment assets than does the risk of households in the early stage (0–15 years). Furthermore, we find that this pattern persists even when we consider China's one‐child policy. Our findings also reveal that households with higher parental education levels and education investment expenditures in the middle stage exhibit greater resilience against economic risks in the late stage.
一个家庭的生育数量是否会降低一个家庭的经济风险?我们发现,在按儿童年龄阶段进行的家庭分布中,儿童作为消费品和投资资产的双重性质对中期(16-22岁)和后期(23-38岁)家庭的经济风险的影响似乎比早期(0-15岁)家庭的风险更显著。此外,我们发现,即使考虑到中国的独生子女政策,这种模式仍然存在。研究结果还表明,父母教育水平和教育投资支出较高的家庭在后期对经济风险的抵御能力更强。
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引用次数: 0
‘Know when to fold 'em’: Policy uncertainty and acquisition abandonment “知道何时放弃”:政策不确定性和收购放弃
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-15 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13179
Andrew Ferguson, Cecilia Wei Hu, Peter Lam
Abstract This study investigates how policy uncertainty affects the acquisition process during the post‐announcement period. Utilising a sample of Australian mining project acquisitions over 1998–2017, we find that rising policy uncertainty after initial acquisition announcements is associated with delays in deal completion. In addition, prolonged high policy uncertainty plays an important role in triggering acquisition abandonment. Further, the stock market reacts less negatively to deal abandonment decisions made amid protracted policy uncertainty, and such reactions are associated with managers' explanations for terminating the deals. Overall, our findings highlight the importance of policy uncertainty as a ‘deal‐breaker’ in acquisitions.
摘要本研究探讨了政策不确定性如何影响公告后时期的收购过程。利用1998-2017年澳大利亚矿业项目收购的样本,我们发现,在最初的收购公告后,政策不确定性的上升与交易完成的延迟有关。此外,长期的高政策不确定性在引发收购放弃方面起着重要作用。此外,股市对在长期政策不确定性下做出的放弃交易决定的负面反应较小,这种反应与管理者对终止交易的解释有关。总的来说,我们的研究结果强调了政策不确定性在收购中作为“交易破坏者”的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Self‐sacrifice or empty symbolism: A study of $1 CEOs 自我牺牲还是空洞的象征:对1美元ceo的研究
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13183
Prabashi Dharmasiri, Mukesh Garg, Anthony Ng, Supardi Supardi
Abstract We examine whether CEOs' voluntary acceptance of a $1 salary is a credible signal of sacrifice. We find that firms with $1 salary CEOs are: (i) more likely to be associated with income‐increasing accrual‐based earnings management; (ii) less likely to use real earnings management; and (iii) more likely to engage in corporate tax avoidance. Our results indicate that this performance enhancement is driven by the motivation to restore salaries to their original levels. Our results suggest that extreme salary sacrifice could indicate an empty promise to improve firm performance and should be considered cautiously by investors and regulators.
摘要本文研究了ceo自愿接受1美元工资是否是一个可信的牺牲信号。我们发现,ceo薪酬为1美元的公司:(i)更有可能与收入增加的权责发生制盈余管理相关联;(ii)不太可能采用真实盈余管理;(三)更有可能参与企业避税。我们的研究结果表明,这种绩效提升是由工资恢复到原来水平的动机驱动的。我们的研究结果表明,极端的薪酬牺牲可能意味着提高公司绩效的空头承诺,投资者和监管机构应谨慎考虑。
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引用次数: 0
Do ties still bind? Analyst behaviour after financial restatements 领带还管用吗?财务重述后分析师的行为
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13184
Yi (Ava) Wu, Yu Flora Kuang, Gladys Lee, Kerui Zhai
Abstract We find that, compared to non‐connected analysts, analysts with professional connections to a coverage firm (i.e., connected analysts) are more likely to continue covering the firm after it issues a restatement. Furthermore, connected analysts are more likely to issue pessimistic earnings forecasts and to downgrade stock recommendations for the firm after its financial restatement. Our results also reveal the costs and benefits associated with connected analysts' pessimism – a reduced market reaction to the analysts' pessimistic research on the restating firm, and a positive effect on the market's perception of the quality of the analysts' research on non‐restating firms.
我们发现,与非关联分析师相比,与覆盖公司有专业联系的分析师(即关联分析师)更有可能在公司发布重述后继续覆盖该公司。此外,相关分析师更有可能发布悲观的盈利预测,并在该公司财务重述后下调其股票推荐评级。我们的研究结果还揭示了与关联分析师悲观情绪相关的成本和收益——降低了市场对分析师对重述公司的悲观研究的反应,并对市场对分析师对非重述公司的研究质量的看法产生了积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Can work integrated learning deliver employability? International post‐graduate accounting students 工作整合学习能带来就业能力吗?国际研究生会计学生
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13182
Vanessa Crawford, Mark Brimble, Brett Freudenberg
Abstract International students studying a Master of Professional Accountancy (MPA), or equivalent postgraduate degree in accounting, in Australia were designed to fill the skills shortage gap for accountants, but employability rates appear low at 25% compared to 75% for domestic graduates. University work integrated learning (WIL) programs have been implemented to provide opportunities to increase employability, yet participation rates for international students appear low. This study uses an exploratory, qualitative approach, with semi‐structured interviews of industry and students, to explore the participation rates, experiences and expectations of stakeholders in relation to WIL. Implications of the findings for stakeholders include preparation programs and simulated WIL opportunities.
国际学生在澳大利亚学习专业会计硕士(MPA),或同等的会计研究生学位,旨在填补会计师技能短缺的空白,但就业率似乎很低,为25%,而国内毕业生的就业率为75%。大学工作综合学习(WIL)项目已经实施,为提高就业能力提供了机会,但国际学生的参与率似乎很低。本研究采用探索性定性方法,对行业和学生进行半结构化访谈,探讨利益相关者与工学结合相关的参与率、经验和期望。研究结果对利益相关者的影响包括准备计划和模拟的人工智能机会。
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引用次数: 0
Compensating balance and loan bargaining power in China 中国的补偿平衡和贷款议价能力
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13181
Long Wu, Jing Zhang, Lei Xu
Abstract Chinese firms simultaneously have high levels of loans and cash holdings. Through listed firms on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, we establish a negative link between cash holdings and a firm's loan bargaining power, especially in regions with less bank competition, through a firm's passive response to bank requests rather than its voluntary excess cash reserves. Furthermore, state ownership, collateral, economic contribution, and reduced information asymmetry may effectively strengthen firm bargaining power and moderate the link. However, better marketisation strengthens the link. The banking sector may need to improve its efficiency through better credit rationing in future reforms.
中国企业同时拥有高水平的贷款和现金储备。通过在上海和深圳证券交易所上市的公司,我们建立了现金持有量与公司贷款议价能力之间的负相关关系,特别是在银行竞争较少的地区,通过公司对银行请求的被动回应而不是自愿的超额现金储备。此外,国有制、抵押品、经济贡献和信息不对称的减少可以有效地增强企业议价能力并调节这一联系。然而,更好的市场化加强了这种联系。在未来的改革中,银行业可能需要通过更好的信贷配给来提高效率。
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引用次数: 0
Do rights matter? An intraday analysis of rights issues in Australia 权利重要吗?澳大利亚股票发行的盘中分析
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13180
Jozef Drienko, Stephen J. Sault, Wong Wai Han
Abstract We examine intraday abnormal returns associated with rights issue announcements in the Australian equity market over the period January 2000 to December 2022. Consistent with prior studies, we find significant abnormal returns ranging from −2.9% to −2.7% on the event day. We provide the first evidence on intraday price reactions pertaining to rights issues in Australia. Within 15 min of an announcement, we find significant abnormal trade returns of −1.2%. However, market participants are unable to profit by trading on these announcements due to transaction costs. Our results imply that the information content is fully impounded within 90 min.
摘要本文研究了2000年1月至2022年12月期间澳大利亚股票市场配股公告相关的日内异常收益。与先前的研究一致,我们发现事件当天的显著异常收益范围为- 2.9%至- 2.7%。我们提供了有关澳大利亚配股问题的盘中价格反应的第一个证据。在公告发布后的15分钟内,我们发现显著的异常交易回报为- 1.2%。然而,由于交易成本的原因,市场参与者无法通过交易这些公告获利。我们的结果表明,信息内容在90分钟内被完全捕获。
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引用次数: 0
Why does operating profitability predict returns? New evidence on risk versus mispricing explanations 为什么经营盈利能力预示着回报?关于风险与错误定价解释的新证据
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13178
Anwer Ahmed, Michael Neel, Irfan Safdar
Abstract This study develops new evidence on risk versus mispricing explanations of the well‐known profitability premium. First, we examine whether exposure to expected downside risk is a plausible explanation. We find that high profitability is associated with both lower ex ante and ex post probabilities of future price crashes. Thus, less profitable firms exhibit greater downside risk than highly profitable firms, making a downside risk explanation implausible. Although this fact is overlooked by the market in general, it is anticipated by options traders; we find that put options of low profitability firms are relatively more expensive. Simultaneously, these firms do not exhibit greater probability of jumps, indicating that volatility(risk)‐based explanations for the profitability premium are unlikely to be descriptive. Second, we find that the sticky‐expectations model of Bouchaud et al. (2019, The Journal of Finance , 74, 639–674) only partially explains the profitability premium. While on average, analysts' forecast revisions correct in the same direction as recent profitability, the profitability premium still exhibits a strong relationship to the non‐sticky component of analysts' forecast revisions. Third, institutional investors trade profitability‐based signals but do so with a delay, likely contributing to the premium. Overall, our evidence favours the explanation that the profitability premium is related to investor mispricing of potential downside risk and provides greater clarity on recent findings in the literature.
摘要本研究为众所周知的盈利溢价的风险与错误定价解释提供了新的证据。首先,我们检验暴露于预期的下行风险是否是一个合理的解释。我们发现,高盈利能力与未来价格崩盘的事前和事后概率都较低有关。因此,利润较低的公司比利润较高的公司表现出更大的下行风险,使得下行风险的解释难以置信。虽然这一事实通常被市场所忽视,但期权交易者却预料到了这一点;我们发现低盈利能力公司的看跌期权相对更昂贵。同时,这些公司并没有表现出更大的跳跃概率,这表明基于波动性(风险)的盈利溢价解释不太可能是描述性的。其次,我们发现Bouchaud等人(2019,the Journal of Finance, 74, 639-674)的粘性-预期模型只能部分解释盈利溢价。虽然平均而言,分析师的预测修正与近期盈利能力的方向相同,但盈利能力溢价仍然与分析师预测修正的非粘性成分有很强的关系。第三,机构投资者交易基于盈利能力的信号,但交易时间较晚,这可能会导致溢价。总体而言,我们的证据支持盈利溢价与投资者对潜在下行风险的错误定价有关的解释,并为近期文献中的发现提供了更清晰的解释。
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引用次数: 0
Liquidity ratios and corporate failures 流动性比率和公司破产
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13174
Ken Li
Abstract One of the most widespread claims in financial statement analysis is that liquidity ratios are useful for predicting failures. However, academic research has found surprisingly little empirical support for this claim. Using logistic regression splines, a non‐parametric method, this paper finds that the relation between the current ratio and failures differs significantly depending on the level of the current ratio. At low, but not high levels, the current ratio is significantly negatively related to failure. Incorporating such context provides statistically and economically significant predictive power about failures. These findings help resolve the discrepancy between practitioners and the academic literature.
财务报表分析中最普遍的主张之一是流动性比率对预测失败有用。然而,令人惊讶的是,学术研究发现很少有实证支持这一说法。利用逻辑回归样条(一种非参数方法),本文发现电流比与故障之间的关系随着电流比的高低而显著不同。在低但不高的水平下,电流比率与故障显著负相关。结合这样的背景,提供了对故障的统计和经济上重要的预测能力。这些发现有助于解决实践者与学术文献之间的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Accounting firm office size and tax aggressiveness 会计师事务所的办公室规模和税收侵略性
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1111/acfi.13177
Yi (Dale) Fu, Youngdeok Lim, Elizabeth Carson
Abstract This paper empirically investigates the association between the size of accounting firm offices and corporate tax aggressiveness. We find that clients audited by large offices have lower levels of corporate tax aggressiveness. We also find that such a negative relation is less pronounced when an accounting firm office provides tax services or when the office possesses tax‐specific industry expertise, and it is more pronounced when a client is financially important. The study contributes to the literature by documenting the role of accounting firm offices in influencing tax aggressiveness.
摘要本文对会计师事务所规模与企业税收侵略性之间的关系进行了实证研究。我们发现,由大型事务所审计的客户在企业税方面的进取心较低。我们还发现,当会计师事务所办事处提供税务服务或拥有税务特定行业专业知识时,这种负相关关系不那么明显,而当客户在财务上很重要时,这种负相关关系更为明显。该研究通过记录会计师事务所办公室在影响税收侵略性方面的作用,为文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Accounting and Finance
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