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Control risk premium: Dual-class shares, family ownership, and minority investor returns 控制风险溢价:双重股权、家族所有权和少数投资者回报
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12481
Ronald Anderson, Ezgi Ottolenghi, David Reeb, Pavel Savor

Despite exhibiting significant valuation discounts, dual-class shares surged from 1% of initial public offerings in 1980 to nearly half in recent years. This study investigates the potential harm of such structures by examining the identity and returns of minority shareholders. We find that sophisticated investors predominantly hold low-voting shares. Furthermore, outside shareholders earn a positive risk premium rather than suffering low returns, consistent with the hypothesis that market prices compensate for the risk associated with dual-class structures. Our analysis reveals that such structures are confounded with family control, which is present in 89% of dual-class firms in the Russell 3000. Interestingly, single-class firms with family shareholders also enjoy positive abnormal returns, implying minority shareholders care more about the presence of a controlling shareholder than a specific voting structure. This research contributes to the ongoing debate on restricting dual-class structures by highlighting the complex relationship between ownership, control, and shareholder returns.

尽管出现了明显的估值折扣,但双层股权结构的股票在首次公开发行(ipo)中的比例从1980年的1%飙升至近年来的近一半。本研究通过考察中小股东的身份和回报来调查这种结构的潜在危害。我们发现,老练的投资者主要持有低投票权的股票。此外,外部股东获得了正的风险溢价,而不是遭受低回报,这与市场价格补偿与双层股权结构相关的风险的假设是一致的。我们的分析表明,这种结构与家族控制相混淆,罗素3000指数中89%的双重股权结构公司都存在家族控制。有趣的是,拥有家族股东的单一类别公司也享有正的异常回报,这意味着小股东更关心控股股东的存在,而不是特定的投票结构。本研究通过强调所有权、控制权和股东回报之间的复杂关系,为限制双重股权结构的持续辩论做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Projects with no cost of capital 没有资金成本的项目
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-13 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12482
Moshe Levy

It is generally accepted that any project has an appropriate cost of capital reflecting its riskiness and that this cost of capital can be employed to calculate the project's net present value (NPV). Consequently, any future cashflow with a positive expected value has some positive present value. We show that this is not generally true. A risky cashflow with a positive expected value may have a negative present value if the cashflow is correlated with market returns. Thus, there are many realistic projects for which no cost of capital exists. We suggest a simple test to screen out such projects.

人们普遍认为,任何项目都有一个适当的反映其风险的资本成本,并且这个资本成本可以用来计算项目的净现值(NPV)。因此,任何具有正期望值的未来现金流都有一些正的现值。我们证明,这通常是不正确的。如果现金流与市场收益相关,具有正期望值的风险现金流可能具有负现值。因此,有许多不存在资金成本的现实项目。我们建议用一个简单的测试来筛选出这样的项目。
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引用次数: 0
Upstream propagation of shocks in supply chains: Evidence from earthquakes 供应链冲击的上游传播:来自地震的证据
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12480
Xianhang Qian, Shanyun Qiu, Le Zhang

We investigate how natural disaster shocks to customers propagate upstream to suppliers’ investment. Using data from the major customers of Chinese listed firms and earthquake information during 2009–2019, we investigate the impact of customers’ earthquake exposure on corporate investment. We find that firms significantly reduce investment after their customers experience earthquakes, particularly for non-state-owned enterprises, firms with higher product uniqueness, firms in competitive industries, and firms in nondurable goods industries. Furthermore, our analysis highlights firms’ sales as one of the potential channels through which customers’ earthquake exposure influences firm investment. We also find that following an earthquake supplier firms reduce their transactions with the affected customers and develop alternative customers.

我们研究了自然灾害对客户的冲击如何向上游传播到供应商的投资。利用2009-2019年中国上市公司主要客户数据和地震信息,研究了客户地震风险敞口对企业投资的影响。我们发现企业在客户经历地震后显著减少投资,特别是非国有企业、产品独特性较高的企业、竞争性行业企业和非耐用品行业企业。此外,我们的分析强调公司的销售是客户地震风险影响公司投资的潜在渠道之一。我们还发现,在地震发生后,供应商企业减少了与受影响客户的交易,并开发了替代客户。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting the equity premium with a high-threshold risk level and the price of risk 预测高阈值风险水平下的股权溢价及风险价格
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12474
Naresh Bansal, Chris Stivers

Over 1990 to 2023, we show that time variation in the U.S. equity premium is captured well by a parsimonious model with the CBOE's implied-volatility index VIX and the sentiment index of Baker and Wurgler (2006, Journal of Finance, 61, 1645–1680). The equity premium declines linearly with sentiment but increases nonlinearly with VIX, stepping up appreciably when VIX exceeds a threshold around its 80th to 85th percentile. For 6- and 12-month forecasting horizons, the predictive adjusted R2 values are about 19% and 29%, respectively. Our predictive findings are robustly evident for 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-month horizons, in subperiods, for in-sample and out-of-sample evaluations, and when adding control variables. Our interpretation is that a high-VIX threshold identifies episodes of market stress that generally have both a sharply higher level of risk and an elevated price of risk. Sentiment complements VIX and seems particularly effective in identifying times with a low price of risk.

从1990年到2023年,我们发现美国股票溢价的时间变化可以通过CBOE的隐含波动率指数VIX和Baker和Wurgler的情绪指数(2006,Journal of Finance, 61, 1645-1680)的简约模型很好地反映出来。股票溢价随市场情绪线性下降,但随波动率指数非线性上升,当波动率指数超过其第80至85个百分位附近的阈值时,溢价会明显上升。对于6个月和12个月的预测,调整后的预测R2值分别约为19%和29%。我们的预测结果在1个月、3个月、6个月和12个月的时间段内、样本内和样本外评估以及添加控制变量时都非常明显。我们的解释是,高波动率阈值表明,市场压力通常会同时出现风险水平急剧上升和风险价格上升的情况。情绪指数是VIX指数的补充,在识别低风险价格时似乎特别有效。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of unions on compensation consultants and CEO pay 工会对薪酬顾问和首席执行官薪酬的影响
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-29 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12472
Vikram Nanda, Takeshi Nishikawa, Andrew Prevost

Research on executive compensation finds unions to be associated with lower executive compensation, particularly incentive pay, while other work documents the role of compensation consultants in facilitating stronger CEO incentives and pay. We propose and test the implications of a simple theoretical framework that integrates these empirical findings. We find empirical support for our model's prediction that in environments less favorable to union organization (e.g., right-to-work states), firms with higher unionization rates strategically engage consultants to counter union influence, place greater value on their advice as gauged by consultant fees, and offer managers greater equity incentives opposed by unions. On the other hand, in strongly prolabor environments, unions are more successful at curtailing consultant use and have greater influence on the level of pay and incentives.

对高管薪酬的研究发现,工会与较低的高管薪酬(尤其是激励性薪酬)有关,而其他工作则记录了薪酬顾问在促进加强CEO激励和薪酬方面的作用。我们提出并测试了一个简单的理论框架,整合了这些实证研究结果的含义。我们发现实证支持我们模型的预测,即在不太有利于工会组织的环境中(例如,工作权利州),工会化率较高的公司会在战略上聘请顾问来对抗工会的影响,根据咨询费用衡量,他们的建议更有价值,并向管理人员提供工会反对的更大股权激励。另一方面,在强烈支持劳工的环境中,工会在减少顾问使用方面更成功,并对薪酬和激励水平产生更大的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Zero-beta risks and required returns: ESG and CAPM 零风险和要求回报:ESG和CAPM
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12475
David Johnstone, Andrew Grant

We ask how idiosyncratic zero-beta risks (e.g., the risk of litigation or R&D failing) affect the firm's cost of capital under capital asset pricing model (CAPM). Surprisingly, perhaps, CAPM theory reveals that adding an idiosyncratic risk to the firm's payoff distribution will usually although not necessarily increase the firm's cost of capital. Lintner's famous original CAPM expositions revealed that the firm's CAPM cost of capital is a function of the ratio of the covariance of its cash payoff with the market to its payoff mean. Lintner proved that an idiosyncratic risk that affects the firm's payoff covariance per unit of mean is“priced” in the sense that it necessarily alters the firm's CAPM discount rate. We explain and clarify Lintner's argument using elementary CAPM equations and numerical examples.

我们要问的是,在资本资产定价模型(CAPM)下,特殊的零贝塔风险(例如,诉讼或研发失败的风险)如何影响公司的资本成本。也许令人惊讶的是,CAPM理论揭示,在公司的收益分配中增加一个特殊风险通常会增加公司的资本成本,尽管不一定会增加。林特纳著名的原始CAPM理论揭示了企业的CAPM资本成本是其现金支付与市场的协方差与其支付均值之比的函数。林特纳证明,影响公司单位平均收益协方差的特殊风险是“定价”的,因为它必然会改变公司的CAPM贴现率。我们用基本的CAPM方程和数值例子来解释和澄清林特纳的论点。
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引用次数: 0
Are investor-paid credit ratings superior? 投资者支付的信用评级是否更好?
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12476
Nan Qin, Lei Zhou

We conduct pairwise comparisons of corporate bond ratings between three issuer-paid credit rating agencies (CRAs) and one investor-paid CRA regarding rating standard, accuracy, stability, and market impact. We find that neither compensation model results in more stringent or accurate ratings. While issuer-paid S&P ratings are more stringent and accurate than investor-paid Egan-Jones ratings (EJR), issuer-paid Fitch ratings are less stringent and have similar or lower accuracy compared to EJR ratings. In contrast, investor- and issuer-paid ratings exhibit different rating change behaviors. EJR updates its ratings more frequently with fewer multinotch downgrades but also has a higher likelihood of rating reversals, while rating change behaviors are similar among the three issuer-paid CRAs. Finally, issuer-paid rating changes trigger stronger market responses.

我们对三家发行人付费信用评级机构(CRAs)和一家投资者付费信用评级机构之间的公司债券评级进行了两两比较,包括评级标准、准确性、稳定性和市场影响。我们发现两种补偿模型都不能产生更严格或更准确的评级。发行人付费的标普评级比投资者付费的伊根-琼斯评级(Egan-Jones ratings,简称EJR)更为严格和准确,而发行人付费的惠誉评级则不那么严格,与EJR评级的准确性相似或更低。相比之下,投资者付费评级和发行人付费评级表现出不同的评级变动行为。EJR更新评级的频率更高,评级下调的多档数更少,但评级逆转的可能性也更高,而这三家由发行人付费的评级机构的评级变化行为相似。最后,发行人支付的评级变化会引发更强烈的市场反应。
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引用次数: 0
Does common institutional ownership mitigate hold-up problems along the supply chain? 共同的机构所有权能否缓解供应链上的搁置问题?
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12473
Yongning Deng, Jing Li, Qilin Peng, Wentao Yao

We show that common institutional ownership (CIO) along the supply chain mitigates hold-up problems faced by supplier–customer relationships resulting from incomplete contracts. Suppliers make more relationship-specific investments (RSIs) measured by R&D and patent filings toward their customers that share common institutional investors. Such effect is stronger as the CIO network between a supplier and customer pair becomes wider and deeper. We establish causality by exploiting exogenous shocks to CIO using a broad sample of mergers between financial institutions and further find the CIO effects on suppliers’ innovation specificity are stronger for those who ex ante face severer hold-up concerns. Lastly, we provide evidence that CIO involvement increases the combined valuations of supply chain pairs (mainly for customers). Our work sheds light on the hold-up mitigation effect of CIO on firms’ decision to make RSIs along the supply chain.

我们的研究表明,供应链上的共同机构所有权(CIO)可以缓解供应商-客户关系因不完全合约而面临的搁置问题。供应商会对拥有共同机构投资者的客户进行更多的特定关系投资(RSI),以研发和专利申请来衡量。随着供应商与客户之间的首席信息官网络变得更广、更深,这种效应也会更强。我们利用金融机构间合并的广泛样本,利用 CIO 的外生冲击建立了因果关系,并进一步发现 CIO 对供应商创新特异性的影响对于那些事前面临更严重搁置担忧的供应商更强。最后,我们提供的证据表明,首席信息官的参与增加了供应链对(主要是客户)的综合估值。我们的研究揭示了首席信息官对企业在供应链上进行 RSI 的决策所产生的搁置缓解效应。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional trading around M&A announcements 围绕并购公告的机构交易
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12469
Eliezer M. Fich, Viktoriya Lantushenko, Clemens Sialm

We contrast the investment strategies of hedge funds and mutual funds around mergers and acquisitions (M&A). We find that hedge funds, on average, increase their holdings of soon-to-be takeover targets by 7.5% during the quarter before M&A announcements. Conversely, mutual funds, on average, reduce their equity holdings in impending targets by 3.0% over the same time period. The reduction in M&A holdings by mutual funds is less pronounced for more actively managed funds. Our results suggest that hedge funds enjoy superior access to private information or possess superior ability to process public information related to M&A transactions.

我们对比了对冲基金和共同基金围绕并购(M&A)的投资策略。我们发现,在并购公告发布前的一个季度,对冲基金平均增持即将被收购目标公司的股票 7.5%。相反,共同基金在同一时期平均减持即将被收购目标的股票 3.0%。对于管理更积极的基金来说,共同基金减持 M&A 的情况并不明显。我们的研究结果表明,对冲基金可以获得更多的私人信息,或拥有更强的处理与 M&A 交易相关的公共信息的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Disagreement exploitation and the cross-section of hedge fund performance 分歧利用与对冲基金业绩横截面
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12471
Gady Jacoby, Shi Li, Nanying Lin, Yan Yang

This study examines the role of market disagreement in explaining the cross-section of hedge fund performance. In a market where disagreement fluctuates, skilled arbitrageurs may employ trading strategies to exploit the mispricing caused by disagreement and short-sale constraints. Skilled hedge funds with high sensitivity to disagreement can take advantage of mispricing in high-disagreement periods to improve their performance. We show that hedge funds with a high disagreement beta tend to possess skill in exploiting disagreement and, as such, they can earn higher cross-sectional returns compared to other hedge funds lacking this skill. Existing risk factors and a tradable disagreement factor do not fully explain the difference in hedge fund performance between those with high and low disagreement betas. Further evidence shows that experienced hedge funds and hedge funds that charge a high incentive fee are likely to have high disagreement betas. Our empirical findings are robust in using various disagreement measures and methodologies to estimate disagreement beta.

本研究探讨了市场分歧在解释对冲基金业绩横截面方面的作用。在分歧波动的市场中,熟练的套利者可能会采用交易策略来利用分歧和卖空限制造成的错误定价。对分歧敏感度高的熟练对冲基金可以利用高分歧期的错误定价来提高业绩。我们的研究表明,具有高分歧贝塔值的对冲基金往往拥有利用分歧的技能,因此,与缺乏这种技能的其他对冲基金相比,它们可以获得更高的横截面回报。现有的风险因素和可交易的分歧因素并不能完全解释高分歧贝塔系数和低分歧贝塔系数对冲基金之间的业绩差异。进一步的证据表明,经验丰富的对冲基金和收取高额奖励费用的对冲基金很可能具有较高的分歧押注。我们的实证研究结果在使用各种分歧度量和方法来估计分歧贝塔时都是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
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Financial Management
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