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Market leverage, debt heterogeneity, and equity returns 市场杠杆、债务异质性和股票回报
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12470
Moonsoo Kang, Seungho Baek

We explore the effect of debt heterogeneity on the cross-sectional relationship between market leverage and equity returns. Specifically, we discover that firms with high debt heterogeneity exhibit a stronger, positive association between leverage and equity returns. Any alternative economic rationale cannot explain this anomaly. We also find that leverage interacts with debt heterogeneity, making firms with heterogeneous debt structure more financially distressed or constrained. Therefore, this analysis suggests that leverage exerts more pronounced effect on equity returns among firms with heterogeneous debt composition because those firms experience higher financial distress or constraint due to the compounding interaction effect with leverage.

我们探讨了债务异质性对市场杠杆与股票回报之间横截面关系的影响。具体来说,我们发现债务异质性高的公司在杠杆率和股票回报率之间表现出更强的正相关性。任何其他经济学原理都无法解释这一反常现象。我们还发现,杠杆与债务异质性相互作用,使债务结构异质性的公司更容易陷入财务困境或受到制约。因此,这一分析表明,在债务构成异质性的企业中,杠杆对股票回报率的影响更为明显,因为这些企业在杠杆的复合互动效应下,会经历更高的财务困境或约束。
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引用次数: 0
The disclosure perspective of firm-specific political risk measure from conference calls 从披露角度看电话会议中公司特定政治风险的衡量标准
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12468
Ashrafee T. Hossain, Abdullah-Al Masum, Mostafa M. Hasan, Donghui Li, Jian Xu

Hassan et al. (2019) quantified firm-specific political risk during corporate conference calls. We argue that this metric captures voluntary risk disclosure by firms rather than just their level of political risk. Studying the impact of political risk disclosure (PRD) on stock price crash risk (SPCR) allows us to test how well their score captures firm-specific risk or disclosure. Consistent with our disclosure perspective, we document that PRD significantly reduces SPCR. Our cross-sectional analyses further indicate that the negative effect of PRD on SPCR is more pronounced for firms with poor monitoring and governance and those with more opaque information environments.

Hassan 等人(2019)在公司电话会议中量化了特定公司的政治风险。我们认为,这一指标捕捉的是企业自愿披露的风险,而不仅仅是企业的政治风险水平。通过研究政治风险披露(PRD)对股价暴跌风险(SPCR)的影响,我们可以检验他们的评分在多大程度上捕捉到了公司特定的风险或披露。与我们的信息披露观点一致,我们发现 PRD 显著降低了 SPCR。我们的横截面分析进一步表明,PRD 对 SPCR 的负面影响对于监督和治理不力以及信息环境更不透明的公司更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Credit risk correlation and the cost of bank loans 信用风险相关性与银行贷款成本
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12467
Siamak Javadi, Theophilus Osah

Using several approaches to compute firms’ credit risk correlation, we provide robust empirical evidence that lenders charge higher loan spreads to borrowers with higher credit risk correlation. Consistent with the theoretical literature, we find that the credit risk correlation effect is concentrated in investment-grade firms, driven by tightening lending conditions, and more pronounced for firms with higher rollover risk. We also show that banks whose borrowers have higher average credit risk correlation, have greater default risk themselves. Overall, our results indicate that banks view credit risk correlation as an important risk factor.

我们使用多种方法计算企业的信用风险相关性,提供了有力的经验证据,证明贷款人向信用风险相关性较高的借款人收取较高的贷款利差。与理论文献一致,我们发现信用风险相关性效应集中在投资级企业,由贷款条件收紧所驱动,并且对展期风险较高的企业更为明显。我们还发现,借款人平均信用风险相关性较高的银行,其自身的违约风险也较大。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,银行认为信用风险相关性是一个重要的风险因素。
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引用次数: 0
Anomalies, option volume, and disagreement 异常现象、期权量和分歧
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12466
Allaudeen Hameed, Byounghyun (BH) Jeon

We document robust amplification of stock market anomaly returns associated with elevated option trading volume driven by disagreement trades. Consistent with the correction of mispricing associated with biased beliefs, anomaly returns are higher when disagreement option volume is high prior to earnings announcements. Additionally, we demonstrate that disagreement-based option volume is negatively related to future stock returns among stocks that are overpriced based on anomaly characteristics. Our findings also concentrate in stocks that are also difficult to short, emphasizing the combined impact of investor bias and shorting costs. Leveraging the staggered adoption of eXtensible Business Reporting Language, we establish a plausibly identified link between investor disagreement and short-horizon mispricing in stocks.

我们记录了由分歧交易驱动的期权交易量上升对股市异常回报的有力放大。与修正与偏差信念相关的错误定价相一致的是,当盈利公布前分歧期权交易量较高时,异常回报率也较高。此外,我们还证明,在根据异常特征定价过高的股票中,基于分歧的期权交易量与未来股票回报率呈负相关。我们的研究结果还集中在难以做空的股票上,强调了投资者偏见和做空成本的综合影响。利用交错采用可扩展商业报告语言的机会,我们在投资者分歧与股票的短视距错误定价之间建立了似是而非的联系。
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引用次数: 0
Uncertainty, precautionary saving, and investment: Evidence from prescheduled election cycles 不确定性、预防性储蓄和投资:来自预定选举周期的证据
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12457
Candace E. Jens, T. Beau Page

We show empirically that firms increase cash holdings starting as early as one year before prescheduled (i.e., predictable) elections. Then, for four quarters around elections when uncertainty and external financing costs are high, firms decrease investment and draw down saved cash balances to avoid tapping external financing. We use a dynamic model of firm investment and saving to demonstrate the importance of anticipation of future financing costs to firms' pre-election precautionary saving behavior. Theoretically, if election uncertainty were only to affect potential investment, lower firm investment would result in higher contemporaneous cash balances, which is inconsistent with our empirical results.

我们的实证研究表明,企业早在预定选举(即可预测的选举)前一年就开始增加现金持有量。然后,在选举前后的四个季度里,当不确定性和外部融资成本较高时,企业会减少投资并提取储蓄的现金余额,以避免利用外部融资。我们使用企业投资和储蓄的动态模型来证明对未来融资成本的预期对企业选举前预防性储蓄行为的重要性。从理论上讲,如果选举的不确定性只影响潜在投资,那么企业投资的减少将导致同期现金余额的增加,这与我们的实证结果不符。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of social distancing on trading activity during the COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19 大流行期间社会距离对贸易活动的影响
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12456
Nasim Sabah

I explore the impact of social distancing on trading activity during the COVID-19 pandemic using real-time location tracking data from Facebook users. I find that stocks categorized as “harder-to-value,” which are typically smaller, less transparent, less visible, and less profitable, experience decreased abnormal trading with more social distancing in their headquarters counties. In contrast, “easier-to-value” stocks show an increase in abnormal trading due to high social distancing in their headquarters counties. These findings indicate that greater firm-specific information asymmetry arises from increased social distancing within the firm headquarters counties. Although “easier-to-value” stocks can use alternative information sources to mitigate the information asymmetry, “harder-to-value” stocks fail to do so and face negative impact on trading. Additional analyses using alternative information channels, market sidedness, and liquidity confirm this hypothesis.

我利用 Facebook 用户的实时位置跟踪数据,探讨了 COVID-19 大流行期间社交距离对交易活动的影响。我发现,被归类为 "较难估值 "的股票(通常规模较小、透明度较低、知名度较低、盈利能力较差)在其总部所在县的社交距离较远时,异常交易会减少。与此相反,"较易估值 "股票的异常交易则因其总部所在县的社会距离较高而增加。这些研究结果表明,公司总部所在县的社会距离增加会导致公司特定信息不对称加剧。虽然 "较易估值 "的股票可以利用其他信息来源来缓解信息不对称,但 "较难估值 "的股票却无法做到这一点,并对交易产生负面影响。利用其他信息渠道、市场边际和流动性进行的其他分析证实了这一假设。
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引用次数: 0
On the anomaly tilts of factor funds 关于要素基金的异常倾斜
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12453
Markus S. Broman, Fabio Moneta

By analyzing portfolio holdings, we find that a significant subset of hedged mutual funds (HMFs) and smart-beta exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tilt their portfolios toward well-known anomaly characteristics and that such tilts are highly persistent. Short positions of HMFs are important for amplifying their factor tilts. Moreover, HMFs with large factor tilts outperform corresponding ETFs, or HMFs with contrary tilts, both before and after accounting for implementation costs and fees. We link this outperformance to the use of short positions and higher factor-related returns. Finally, we show that only HMFs achieve similar performance (net of costs) as the academic factors.

通过分析投资组合持仓,我们发现对冲共同基金(HMFs)和智能贝塔交易所交易基金(ETFs)中有很大一部分投资组合向众所周知的异常特征倾斜,而且这种倾斜具有很强的持续性。HMF 的空头头寸对于放大其因子倾斜非常重要。此外,无论在考虑实施成本和费用之前还是之后,具有较大因子倾斜的 HMF 的表现都优于相应的 ETF 或具有相反倾斜的 HMF。我们将这种优异表现与使用空头头寸和更高的因子相关回报联系起来。最后,我们表明,只有 HMF 取得了与学术因子类似的表现(扣除成本)。
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引用次数: 0
Partisanship, optimism, and firm innovation 党派、乐观主义和企业创新
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12455
Anqi Jiao, Juntai Lu, Honglin Ren

Political partisanship significantly shapes firm executives’ economic outlook. We find that firms, whose managers share political alignment with the US president, achieve superior innovation outcomes, including higher patent counts, increased patent citations, and greater patent value. We establish a causal relationship through a difference-in-differences approach, focusing on periods around US presidential elections. This effect is more pronounced in firms with overconfident CEOs and during periods of heightened policy uncertainty, suggesting that partisan optimism stimulates innovation incentives. Firms led by partisan-aligned managers generate patents with greater originality, generality, and an exploratory style.

政治党派在很大程度上影响着企业高管的经济前景。我们发现,管理者与美国总统在政治上保持一致的企业会取得更好的创新成果,包括更高的专利数量、更多的专利引用和更高的专利价值。我们通过差分法建立了因果关系,重点关注美国总统选举前后的时期。这种效应在首席执行官过于自信的企业和政策不确定性增加的时期更为明显,这表明党派乐观主义会刺激创新动机。由党派一致的经理人领导的公司所创造的专利具有更高的原创性、通用性和探索性。
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引用次数: 0
The US–China trade war and corporate innovation: Evidence from China 中美贸易战与企业创新:来自中国的证据
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-29 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12454
Dongmin Kong, Chen Liu, Paresh Kumar Narayan, Susan Sunila Sharma

This study investigates the effect of the US–China trade war on corporate innovation in the context of China. We find that the first-order effect of the trade war on corporate innovation is significantly negative. That is, Chinese firms exposed to the US–China trade war have lower numbers of patent applications and invention patent applications. Underlying mechanisms include reductions in market expansion and innovation input. Our findings are more pronounced for firms connected to the United States and those suffering financial distress and for non-state-owned enterprises. We further contribute to the literature by showing that firms with developed managerial ability, more confident managers, and better corporate social responsibility performance tend to increase innovation for competitiveness in response to the trade war. Finally, we explore the effect of Chinese retaliatory tariff shocks on corporate innovation and find that US tariffs and Chinese retaliatory tariffs hinder corporate innovation in China.

本研究以中国为背景,探讨了中美贸易战对企业创新的影响。我们发现,贸易战对企业创新的一阶效应显著为负。也就是说,受到中美贸易战影响的中国企业的专利申请数量和发明专利申请数量都有所下降。其根本机制包括市场扩张和创新投入的减少。我们的研究结果对与美国有关联的企业、遭受财务困境的企业以及非国有企业更为明显。我们的研究还表明,管理能力强、管理者更自信、企业社会责任表现更好的企业在应对贸易战时倾向于增加创新以提高竞争力,从而为相关文献做出了进一步贡献。最后,我们探讨了中国报复性关税冲击对企业创新的影响,发现美国关税和中国报复性关税阻碍了中国的企业创新。
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引用次数: 0
Do corporate site visits affect the informational role of independent directors? 公司实地考察是否会影响独立董事的信息作用?
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-21 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12452
Qiong Wang, Zhangfan Cao, Edward Lee

This study examines the influence of corporate site visits on information acquisition and dissemination by independent directors (IDs). Employing two unique sources of data from Chinese listed firms based on the mandatory disclosure of IDs’ (i) site visit activities and (ii) opinions about corporate decisions, we find that the acquisition of firm-specific information and the dissemination of such information to the market are greater among IDs who conduct visits than their counterparts without such visits. Moreover, this effect is more pronounced in firms with complex information environments, in firms with lower proprietary costs, and among IDs with greater internal information asymmetry, superior external information, and stronger incentives and abilities to perform their duties. Furthermore, the firm-specific information disseminated by IDs leads to stronger market reactions and improves stock price efficiency. Our study shows that site visits contribute to the informational role of IDs, and our evidence offers important corporate governance and regulatory implications.

本研究探讨了企业实地考察对独立董事信息获取和传播的影响。通过利用中国上市公司强制披露独立董事(i)实地考察活动和(ii)对公司决策的意见这两个独特的数据来源,我们发现,与不进行实地考察的独立董事相比,进行实地考察的独立董事获取公司特定信息和向市场传播这些信息的程度更高。此外,这种效应在信息环境复杂的公司、所有权成本较低的公司以及内部信息不对称程度较高、外部信息较好、履行职责的动机和能力较强的 ID 中更为明显。此外,ID 传播的公司特定信息会导致更强烈的市场反应,并提高股价效率。我们的研究表明,实地考察有助于发挥内部审计师的信息作用,我们的证据提供了重要的公司治理和监管意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Financial Management
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