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Share repurchases on trial: Large-sample evidence on share price performance, executive compensation, and corporate investment 股票回购试验:有关股价表现、高管薪酬和企业投资的大样本证据
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12440

The corresponding author's name is Nicholas Guest, and their e-mail address is [email protected].

Volume 52, Issue 1, 19–40, article first published online 02 February 2023

In the article, Figure 1, Figure 2, and Table 1 need to be updated. The correct figures and table should read as follows:

通讯作者的姓名是 Nicholas Guest,电子邮件地址是 nguest@cornell.edu.Volume 52,第 1 期,19-40,文章于 2023 年 2 月 02 日首次在线发表在文章中,图 1、图 2 和表 1 需要更新。正确的图和表应如下所示:图 1在图查看器中打开PowerPoint总赔付率。该图的上部显示了 1988 年至 2020 年美国公司股息和回购的总支付额(单位:十亿美元)。下图使用消费者价格指数对通货膨胀进行了调整,以 2015 年为参考点。该图显示了 1988 年至 2020 年各回购组合的平均支付价格比。正回购 "组合包括所有回购金额为正的公司,"所有公司 "组合包括所有公司。小正值回购 "和 "大正值回购 "组合是根据当年的中位数(即低于中位数和高于中位数)对回购金额为正值的公司进行拆分的结果。不经常回购 "和 "经常回购 "组合是将回购金额为正数的公司按其在一年中的一个或两个季度(即不经常回购)或三个或四个季度(即经常回购)进行拆分的结果。派息总额面板 A:名义价值股息回购市值年份公司数合计十亿美元公司数合计十亿美元公司数合计十亿美元公司数合计十亿美元billions19881322746953033702122198913887560425343721351990135677687263254245419911321755041233212460199213798045818367229931993142384493184023332819941474875632444033703199514958668149459240521996146692736454879537319971458119900127518263841998148115711101545127854119991342128119313747901003320001216124105311345671356220011063118841754097122782002942131666923635956520039721296818435287934200411101525621313511993420051190220722278347910886200611682108173053458116412007115025389047133931276020081066249107345131581307120099272237231232891899520109292497382312904101762011996284946514283612180201210492939513812751122602013102631791239527161421920141086390990563278717552201511184321136508280618956201610864081114424276018366201710614111098449273620052201810544361191639271222992201910654631264571273724136202010994901211420283525002PanelB:通货膨胀经调整的价值股息回购市值年份公司数量2015年合计十亿美元公司数量2015年合计十亿美元公司数量2015年合计十亿美元公司数量2015年合计十亿美元billions198813221486956033704252198913881436044834374082199013561406874732544452199113211315042133214280199213791354583036725056199314231384933040235461199414741395633844035921199514951346817645926303199614661397366848798119199714581769001885182942619981481228111022451271241919991342182119319547901427520001216171105315645671866620011063158841100409716436200294217366612136351260320039721666811083528102222004111019156216435111246520051190267722337347913212200611682478173593458136872007115028989053833931458720081066274107349631581439020099272467231362891993820109292717382512904110612011996299946542283612834201210493029513932751126562013102632391240227161446620141086390990564278717573201511184321136508280618956201610864031114419276018137201710613971098434273619389201810544121191603271221702201910654291264529273722376202010994491211385283522897Note:本表面板 A 显示了 1988 年至 2020 年美国上市公司派息和回购的数量以及派息和回购总额(单位:十亿美元)。我们还列出了样本公司的数量以及样本公司的总股票市值,以供比较。面板 B 显示了以 2015 年为基准点,使用消费物价指数进行通胀调整后的金额。
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引用次数: 0
What drives closed-end fund discounts? Evidence from COVID-19 封闭式基金折价的驱动因素是什么?来自 COVID-19 的证据
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12441
Liang Ma

This paper investigates the impact of the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States on closed-end fund (CEF) discounts. I show that CEF discounts increased after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, while individual investor sentiment declined. Furthermore, CEFs with higher retail ownership had a larger discount increase, which suggests that individual investor sentiment is a potential contributor to CEF discounts. This finding seems less likely to be driven by rational channels or income-driven fire sales, as shown by further analysis. Overall, the results shed light on the CEF discount puzzle using a new setting.

本文研究了美国 COVID-19 大流行对封闭式基金(CEF)折价的影响。我的研究表明,COVID-19 大流行病在美国爆发后,封闭式基金的折价率上升了,而个人投资者的情绪却下降了。此外,散户持股比例较高的 CEF 折扣增幅更大,这表明个人投资者情绪是造成 CEF 折扣的潜在因素。进一步的分析表明,这一发现似乎不太可能是由理性渠道或收入驱动的火热销售推动的。总之,研究结果利用一种新的环境揭示了中欧基金折价之谜。
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引用次数: 0
Online voting and minority shareholder dissent: Evidence from China 网络投票与小股东异议:来自中国的证据
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-04 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12439
Ning Cai, Wen He, Guoqiang Wu, Xin Yu

Using proposal-level data in China, we document that online voting significantly increases minority shareholders’ participation in voting, and online voting is related to more dissenting votes. The association between online voting and minority shareholders’ participation and dissent is stronger in underperforming firms, indicating that minority shareholders tend to participate and dissent to express dissatisfaction. The association is stronger for shareholders with stronger voting power. Finally, we find that when minority shareholders’ dissent fails to veto a proposal, dissenting minority shareholders are less likely to participate and vote again the following year. Our results suggest that mechanisms designed to facilitate minority shareholder voting lead to greater and more informed participation in the corporate governance process.

利用中国的提案级数据,我们证明在线投票显著增加了中小股东的投票参与,并且在线投票与更多的反对票有关。在表现不佳的公司中,在线投票与中小股东参与和反对意见之间的关联更强,表明中小股东倾向于参与和反对意见来表达不满。对于拥有更大投票权的股东来说,协会更强大。最后,我们发现,当少数股东的异议未能否决一项提案时,持异议的少数股东不太可能参与并在次年再次投票。我们的研究结果表明,旨在促进中小股东投票的机制导致更多、更知情地参与公司治理过程。
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引用次数: 0
Market power and systematic risk 市场力量和系统性风险
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12438
Fabian Hollstein, Marcel Prokopczuk, Christoph Matthias Würsig

We examine the impact of product market competition on firms' systematic risk. Using a measure of total product market similarity, we document a strong negative relationship between market power and market betas. The effect more than triples in the most recent period of low competition. Anticompetitive mergers result in a significant reduction in market betas. Firms facing less competition seem to be partially insulated from systematic discount-rate shocks. Lower equity costs therefore imply that market power is partly self-perpetuating.

我们研究了产品市场竞争对企业系统性风险的影响。通过衡量产品市场的总体相似性,我们发现市场力量与市场押注之间存在很强的负相关关系。在最近的低竞争时期,这种影响增加了两倍多。反竞争兼并导致市场押注显著下降。面临较少竞争的企业似乎可以部分抵御系统性贴现率冲击。因此,较低的股本成本意味着市场力量在一定程度上可以自我延续。
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引用次数: 0
Are sustainability-linked loans designed to effectively incentivize corporate sustainability? A framework for review 可持续性相关贷款的设计是否有效地激励了企业的可持续性?检讨的架构
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-03 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12437
Alix Auzepy, Christina E. Bannier, Fabio Martin

This paper analyzes sustainability-linked loans (SLLs), a new category of debt instrument that incorporates environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations. Using a large sample of loans issued between 2017 and 2022, we assess the design of SLLs by evaluating their key performance indicators (KPIs) using a comprehensive quality score. Our findings suggest that SLLs only partially rely on KPIs that generate credible sustainability incentives. We document that SLL borrowers do not significantly improve their ESG performance post issuance and show that stock markets are rather indifferent to the issuance of SLLs by EU borrowers, while SLL issuance announcements by US borrowers are met with significantly negative abnormal returns by investors. These findings call into question the beneficial sustainability and signaling effects that borrowers may hope to achieve by issuing ESG-linked debt.

摘要本文分析了可持续发展相关贷款(sll),这是一种结合了环境、社会和治理(ESG)因素的新型债务工具。我们使用2017年至2022年期间发放的大量贷款样本,通过使用综合质量评分评估其关键绩效指标(kpi)来评估sll的设计。我们的研究结果表明,sll仅部分依赖于产生可信的可持续性激励的kpi。我们发现,中小抵押贷款借款人在发行后的ESG绩效并没有显著提高,股票市场对欧盟借款人发行中小抵押贷款相当冷漠,而美国借款人发行中小抵押贷款的公告则会获得投资者显著负的异常回报。这些发现对借款人可能希望通过发行与ESG相关的债务来实现的有益可持续性和信号效应提出了质疑。
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引用次数: 0
Investor attention and stock price efficiency: Evidence from quasi-natural experiments in China 投资者注意力与股价效率:来自中国准自然实验的证据
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12432
Zhibing Li, Jie Liu, Xiaoyu Liu, Chonglin Wu

We examine whether increasing investor attention affects stock price efficiency. To identify the causal effect, we employ daily repeated quasi-natural experiments in China where investor attention difference is purely driven by price rounding effect without information regarding stock fundamentals. Stocks tend to draw significant more attention and show higher price efficiency after being exposed to the Winner List. We also find supporting evidence for two nonexclusive channels through which investor attention enhance stock price efficiency: increasing stock liquidity and stronger net inflows from large orders. The positive relationship between investor attention and price efficiency is more pronounced among stocks with lower institutional shareholdings, stocks without overseas or Big Four audit firms, and stocks without B- or H-shares. Our findings further shed light on the significant impact of saliency on the capital market.

我们研究了投资者关注度的提高是否会影响股价效率。为了确定其因果效应,我们在中国进行了每日重复的准自然实验,在这些实验中,投资者关注度的差异纯粹由价格四舍五入效应驱动,而不涉及股票基本面信息。股票在进入 "优胜者名单 "后往往会受到更多关注,并显示出更高的价格效率。我们还发现,投资者关注度提高股价效率有两个非排他性渠道:股票流动性增加和大单净流入增加。投资者关注度与股价效率之间的正相关关系在机构持股比例较低的股票、没有海外或四大审计公司的股票以及没有 B 股或 H 股的股票中更为明显。我们的研究结果进一步揭示了显著性对资本市场的重要影响。
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引用次数: 0
Diagnostics for asset pricing models 资产定价模型诊断
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12436
Ai He, Guofu Zhou

The validity of asset pricing models implies white-noise pricing errors (PEs). However, we find that the PEs of six well-known factor models all exhibit a significant reversal pattern and are predictable by their lagged values up to 12 months. Moreover, the predictability of the PEs can produce substantial economic profits. Similar conclusions hold for recently developed machine learning models too. Additional analysis reveals that the significant PE profits cannot be explained by common behavioral biases. Our results imply that much remains to be done and there is a great need to develop new asset pricing models.

资产定价模型的有效性隐含着白噪声定价误差(pe)。然而,我们发现六个众所周知的因子模型的pe都表现出显著的反转模式,并且可以通过其滞后值预测到12个月。此外,pe的可预测性可以产生可观的经济利润。类似的结论也适用于最近开发的机器学习模型。进一步的分析表明,显著的PE利润不能用共同的行为偏差来解释。我们的研究结果表明,仍有许多工作要做,并且非常需要开发新的资产定价模型。
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引用次数: 1
Overselling corporate social responsibility 夸大企业社会责任
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12434
Najah Attig, Wenyao Hu, Mohammad M. Rahaman, Ashraf Al Zaman

We show that firms hype up their corporate social responsibility (CSR) narratives during the turn-of-the-year earnings conference calls to project an overly responsible public image of their firms. This previously unexplored phenomenon does not appear to be related to past, current, and future CSR engagements and cannot be explained by observed time-varying firm attributes and unobserved time-invariant firm and CEO attributes. We find that the fourth-quarter CSR narrative hike is more pronounced among firms that are (ex ante) expected to do more corporate good as well as firms embedded in dirty industries, but less prevalent among firms facing elevated product-market threats. Although elevated CSR narrative is associated with positive short-term market reaction and lower near-term stock price crash risk, such behavior tends to reduce financial report readability and leads to lower equity valuation in the longer term. Our analyses suggest that CSR narrative hike at the turn-of-the-year is a pervasive phenomenon in the corporate landscape and may have valuation and governance implications.

我们发现,企业在年终财报电话会议上大肆宣扬其企业社会责任(CSR)叙事,以塑造企业过于负责任的公众形象。这种以前未被探索的现象似乎与过去、当前和未来的企业社会责任活动无关,也无法用观察到的时变公司属性和未观察到的不变公司和CEO属性来解释。我们发现,第四季度企业社会责任叙事的提升在那些(事前)预计会为企业带来更多好处的公司以及陷入肮脏行业的公司中更为明显,但在面临更高产品市场威胁的公司中不那么普遍。尽管企业社会责任叙述的提升与积极的短期市场反应和较低的近期股价暴跌风险有关,但这种行为往往会降低财务报告的可读性,并导致长期股权估值较低。我们的分析表明,企业社会责任在年初的叙事上调是企业界普遍存在的现象,可能会对估值和治理产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
Joint dynamics of stock returns and cash flows: A time-varying present-value framework 股票收益和现金流的联合动力学:一个时变现值框架
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12433
Deshui Yu, Yayi Yan

This paper proposes a novel time-varying present-value model to analyze the joint dynamics of stock returns and cash flows periodically. We use a nonparametric time-varying vector autoregressive model to examine the economic implications of the time-varying present-value model. By conducting several nonparametric tests, we reject the stability of multivariate forecasting models and the null that stock returns and cash flows are simultaneously unpredictable in any given period. Additional bootstrap analyses show that under the null of unpredictable returns, dividend growth is highly predictable. Finally, the proposed time-varying present-value framework holds robustly for both the dividend–price ratio and the earnings–price ratio.

本文提出了一种新的时变现值模型来周期性地分析股票收益和现金流的联合动力学。我们使用非参数时变向量自回归模型来检验时变现值模型的经济含义。通过进行几个非参数检验,我们拒绝了多元预测模型的稳定性以及股票收益和现金流在任何给定时期都是不可预测的零。另外的bootstrap分析表明,在不可预测回报为零的情况下,股息增长是高度可预测的。最后,所提出的时变现值框架对股息价格比和收益价格比都是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
What happens in Vegas stays in Vegas? Firsthand experience and EDGAR search activity in Las Vegas casino hotels 维加斯发生的事就留在维加斯吧?拉斯维加斯赌场酒店的第一手经验和EDGAR搜索活动
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.1111/fima.12435
Ryan Flugum, Choonsik Lee, Matthew E. Souther

What role does investors’ firsthand experience have in stock selection, and does this firsthand experience lead to better investment outcomes? Using a unique data set containing the stock research activities of patrons of Las Vegas casino hotels, we find evidence that investors’ firsthand experience motivates interest in Vegas-related travel industry stocks. Additionally, their interest in these stocks predicts strong performance; Vegas interest leads to positive abnormal returns of up to 3.7% (0.4%) over the following year (month), and abnormal returns are highest in industries that are related to Las Vegas.

投资者的第一手经验在选股中起着什么作用?这种第一手经验是否会带来更好的投资结果?使用一个包含拉斯维加斯赌场酒店顾客股票研究活动的独特数据集,我们发现有证据表明,投资者的第一手经验激发了人们对拉斯维加斯相关旅游业股票的兴趣。此外,他们对这些股票的兴趣预示着强劲的业绩;拉斯维加斯的利息导致次年(月)高达3.7%(0.4%)的正异常回报,而与拉斯维加斯相关的行业的异常回报最高。
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引用次数: 0
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Financial Management
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