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Can wealth taxation fund public investment in a caring and sustainable economy? The case of the UK 财富税能否为关爱和可持续经济的公共投资提供资金?以英国为例
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1093/cje/bead026
Özlem Onaran, Cem Oyvat, Eurydice Fotopoulou
This article develops a theoretical model integrating wealth concentration and taxation to the feminist post-Kaleckian models. We estimate the model econometrically using an instrumental variable-generalized method of moments approach for the UK. We find that an increase in the tax rate on wealth decreases wealth concentration, and has a strong positive impact on output, employment and the budget. An increase in the progressivity of income taxation by increasing the tax rate on profits and decreasing the tax rate on labour income also leads to similar results, but the effects are more modest compared to wealth taxation. Public social infrastructure investment has a high positive effect on output and productivity as well as employment and gender equality in wages and employment. Public physical infrastructure investment has also a substantial effect on output and employment, albeit creating fewer jobs for women compared to the case of social infrastructure, while productivity effects are more modest.
本文建立了一个将财富集中和税收整合到女权主义后卡列奇模型中的理论模型。我们使用英国的工具变量广义矩方法在计量经济学上估计模型。我们发现,提高财富税率会降低财富集中度,并对产出、就业和预算产生强烈的积极影响。通过提高利润税率和降低劳动所得税率来提高所得税的累进性也会导致类似的结果,但与财富税相比,效果要温和得多。公共社会基础设施投资对产出和生产率以及就业以及工资和就业方面的性别平等具有很高的积极影响。公共有形基础设施投资也对产出和就业产生重大影响,尽管与社会基础设施相比,它为妇女创造的就业机会较少,而对生产率的影响则更为温和。
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引用次数: 1
Joan Robinson: early endogenous growth theorist 琼·罗宾逊,早期内生增长理论家
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.1093/cje/bead032
C. Oughton, D. Tobin
We start from Robinson’s article on Harrod’s Dynamic Economics and her criticism that technological change was exogenous: ‘in Mr. Harrod’s world, technical progress falls like the gentle dew from heaven and is not susceptible to any economic influence’. Throughout her work she highlighted the endogenous sources of technological progress and growth and pre-empted both the National Systems of Innovation (NSI) literature and New Growth Theory (NGT), where the latter (NGT) appears to be neither new, nor able to explain innovation, growth and convergence trajectories. We also show that the productivity slowdown in advanced economies is explained by a fall in the wage share, a drop in the rate of accumulation of capital and prioritisation of incentives for R&D over policy instruments to diffuse innovation. While for developing economies, the failure of neoclassical economics to resolve the paradox of promoting market incentives for diffusion, while protecting intellectual property rights, implies an inevitable slowing of convergence.
我们从Robinson关于Harrod的《动态经济学》的文章开始,以及她对技术变革是外生的批评:“在Harrod先生的世界里,技术进步就像来自天堂的甘露,不受任何经济影响”。在她的整个工作中,她强调了技术进步和增长的内生来源,并优先考虑了国家创新体系(NSI)文献和新增长理论(NGT),后者似乎既不是新的,也无法解释创新、增长和趋同轨迹。我们还表明,发达经济体生产率放缓的原因是工资份额下降、资本积累率下降,以及研发激励措施优先于扩散创新的政策工具。而对于发展中经济体来说,新古典经济学未能解决在保护知识产权的同时促进市场激励扩散的悖论,这意味着趋同不可避免地放缓。
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引用次数: 0
Bringing freedom back to developmentalism: industrialisation as national independence 让自由回归发展主义:工业化是国家独立
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-26 DOI: 10.1093/cje/bead030
J. Ahumada
Why is developmentalism as an economic school aimed at the industrialisation of peripheral nations? Based on a reading of key authors from both the ‘American System of political economy’ of the 19th century and the Latin American structuralist and dependency schools of the 20th century, this article suggests that the answer lies, not in an economic, but in a political dimension: to ensure the material basis for national freedom. To sustain this hypothesis, the article argues that there is a common implicit conception of freedom shared by Alexander Hamilton, Henry Carey and Friedrich List, on the side of the American school, and Fernando Henrique Cardoso, Raúl Prebisch, Celso Furtado and Osvaldo Sunkel, from the Latin American school. This conception is heir to the idea of Machiavelli’s Free State, its core is the notion of liberty as non-dependency and collective autonomy and identifies in industrialisation the way for a periphery to be able to live without depending on the arbitrary will of foreign powers. This definition differs from both the liberal and capability conceptions of freedom and allows for the identification of forms of domination that occur between nations and through the global market that requires the peripheries to erect autonomous collective productive capabilities for their overcoming.
为什么发展主义作为一种经济学派的目标是周边国家的工业化?基于对19世纪“美国政治经济体系”和20世纪拉丁美洲结构主义和附属学派的主要作者的阅读,本文认为答案不在于经济层面,而在于政治层面:确保国家自由的物质基础。为了支持这一假设,文章认为,美国学派的亚历山大·汉密尔顿、亨利·凯里和弗里德里希·李斯特,以及拉丁美洲学派的费尔南多·恩里克·卡多佐、劳尔·普雷比施、塞尔索·富尔塔多和奥斯瓦尔多·桑克尔都有一个共同的隐含自由概念。这一概念继承了马基雅维利的自由国家思想,其核心是自由作为非依赖性和集体自治的概念,并在工业化中确定了外围国家能够在不依赖外国势力任意意志的情况下生活的方式。这一定义不同于自由的自由和能力概念,允许识别国家之间和通过全球市场发生的统治形式,这需要周边国家建立自主的集体生产能力来克服这些能力。
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引用次数: 0
A method for measuring rents 一种测量租金的方法
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-18 DOI: 10.1093/cje/bead025
Arend Stemerding
A method for measuring rents has practical relevance for society in terms of improving competition, regulation, and taxation. This paper proposes a new way to measure rents for business corporations and at country-level: a method related to a cash flow tax (CFT). Theory, method and a proof of concept are presented and discussed. Publicly available data is used to validate the method, revealing that it yields a better indication of rents and rent-seeking compared to markup, profit, and free cash flow (FCF).
衡量租金的方法在改善竞争、监管和税收方面对社会具有实际意义。本文提出了一种新的方法来衡量企业和国家层面的租金:一种与现金流税(CFT)相关的方法。提出并讨论了理论、方法和概念证明。公开可用的数据用于验证该方法,表明与加价、利润和自由现金流(FCF)相比,它能更好地反映租金和寻租。
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引用次数: 0
From bazooka to backstop: the political economy of standing swap facilities 从火箭筒到后盾:常备互换机制的政治经济学
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-08 DOI: 10.1093/cje/bead027
Mathis L Richtmann, Lea Steininger
The permanent international lender of last resort consists of a swap line network between six major central banks (C6), centring around the US Federal Reserve. Arguably, this network is a solution to a long-debated problem as it provides public emergency liquidity provision to the world’s largest financial market, the Eurodollar market. Drawing on exclusive interviews with monetary technocrats as well as a textual analysis of Federal Open Market Committee meeting transcripts over the course of 14 years, we reconstruct how this facility came into being. Building on Kalyanpur and Newman (2017) and Braun (2015), we develop an interpretive framework of bricolage to contextualise its formation: in times of crisis, central bankers rely on retrospection, experimentation and creative re-deployment to develop their tools. In non-crisis times, however, the tools that prevail are those that offer what we call ‘bureaucratic familiarity’: the C6 swap line network became a permanent feature of international finance because technocrats had got used to it.
永久性国际最后贷款人由六大央行(C6)之间的掉期线路网络组成,以美联储为中心。可以说,这个网络是一个长期争论的问题的解决方案,因为它为世界上最大的金融市场欧洲美元市场提供了公共紧急流动性。根据对货币技术官僚的独家采访,以及对联邦公开市场委员会14年来会议记录的文本分析,我们重建了这一机制是如何形成的。在Kalyanpur和Newman(2017)以及Braun(2015)的基础上,我们开发了一个拼凑的解释框架,以将其形成背景化:在危机时期,央行行长依靠回顾、实验和创造性的重新部署来开发他们的工具。然而,在非危机时期,流行的工具是那些提供我们所说的“官僚熟悉度”的工具:C6交换线路网络成为国际金融的一个永久特征,因为技术官僚已经习惯了它。
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引用次数: 0
Premature deindustrialisation: the international evidence 过早去工业化:国际证据
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/cje/bead023
E. Özçelik, E. Özmen
We examine patterns and globalisation-related causes of premature deindustrialisation (PD) in recent decades, using a large panel of advanced, emerging and developing economies (AE, EME and DE). The results verify the existence of PD in EME and DE, except East Asian countries. African countries have been worst affected by PD. Globalisation-related determinants of PD vary across country groups. While trade openness leads to deindustrialisation in DE; it enhances ‘dependent’ industrialisation in Latin American countries and the ‘factory economies’ of East Asia, which have stronger linkages to global value chains. Financial openness fosters industrialisation in severely finance-constrained economies, whereas it brings about deindustrialisation in financially stronger ones. It is our contention that development possibilities can be expanded by aiming at more intense linkages to global value chains, but proactive industrial policies at the levels of EME and DE are required to achieve such expansion.
我们研究了近几十年来过早去工业化(PD)的模式和全球化相关原因,使用了一个大型的发达、新兴和发展中经济体(AE、EME和DE)小组。结果证实,除东亚国家外,EME和DE均存在PD。非洲国家受PD的影响最为严重。与全球化相关的PD决定因素因国家群体而异。而贸易开放导致DE的去工业化;它加强了拉丁美洲国家和东亚“工厂经济”的“依赖型”工业化,这些国家与全球价值链的联系更强。在金融严重受限的经济体,金融开放促进了工业化,而在金融实力较强的经济体,金融开放则带来了去工业化。我们认为,通过与全球价值链建立更紧密的联系,可以扩大发展的可能性,但要实现这种扩大,需要在EME和DE层面采取积极的产业政策。
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引用次数: 0
Keynes’s theories of the business cycle: evolution and contemporary relevance 凯恩斯的商业周期理论:演变及其当代意义
2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/cje/bead020
Pablo Gabriel Bortz
Abstract This paper traces the evolution of John Maynard Keynes’s theory of the business cycle from his early writings in 1913 to his policy prescriptions for the control of fluctuations in the early 1940s. The paper identifies six different ‘theories’ of business fluctuations. With different theoretical frameworks in a 30-year span, the driver of fluctuations, namely cyclical changes in expectations about future returns, remained substantially the same. The banking system also played a pivotal role throughout the different versions, by financing and influencing the behaviour of return expectations. There are four major changes in the evolution of Keynes’s business cycle theories: (i) the saving–investment framework to understand changes in economic fluctuations; (ii) the capabilities of the banking system to moderate the business cycle; (iii) the effectiveness of monetary policy to fine tune the business cycle through the control of the short-term interest rate or credit conditions; and (iv) the role of a comprehensive fiscal policy and investment policy to attenuate fluctuations. Finally, we draw some conclusions about the present relevance of the policy mix Keynes promoted for ensuring macroeconomic stability.
本文追溯了约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯经济周期理论的演变,从他1913年的早期著作到20世纪40年代初控制波动的政策处方。这篇论文确定了六种不同的商业波动“理论”。在30年的时间跨度中,虽然有不同的理论框架,但波动的驱动因素,即对未来回报预期的周期性变化,基本上是相同的。通过资助和影响回报预期行为,银行体系在不同版本中也发挥了关键作用。在凯恩斯商业周期理论的演变过程中,有四个主要变化:(i)用于理解经济波动变化的储蓄-投资框架;(ii)银行体系调节商业周期的能力;(iii)货币政策通过控制短期利率或信贷条件来微调经济周期的有效性;(四)综合财政政策和投资政策对减轻波动的作用。最后,我们对凯恩斯所提倡的确保宏观经济稳定的政策组合的当前相关性得出了一些结论。
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引用次数: 0
Human dignity in organisations: the cooperative ideal 组织中的人的尊严:合作理想
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-28 DOI: 10.1093/cje/bead022
Cian T. Mcmahon
This paper critically evaluates the liberal-humanist critique of neoclassical microeconomics and shareholder-driven corporate governance to articulate a more realistic cooperativist–humanist organisational philosophy of practice. Through an engagement with pluralist heterodox economics, it attempts to reconcile with contemporary concerns and philosophical developments around social ecology and care ethics. Our specific contribution is to develop a microfoundational complement to the macro-relational analysis of leading radical philosophical and political-economic thinkers on the Latin American left. In particular, the worker-inclusive multistakeholder cooperative (MSC) form is arrived at as the ideal firm-level organisation through which to promote diverse human (and non-human) dignity, understood through the lens of an affective-relational ethics of care.
本文批判性地评价了对新古典微观经济学和股东驱动的公司治理的自由人文主义批判,以阐明一种更现实的合作主义-人文主义的组织实践哲学。通过与多元非正统经济学的接触,它试图与当代围绕社会生态学和护理伦理的关注和哲学发展相协调。我们的具体贡献是为拉丁美洲左翼主要激进哲学和政治经济思想家的宏观关系分析开发了一个微观基础补充。特别是,工人包容的多利益相关者合作(MSC)形式被认为是理想的企业级组织,通过它来促进不同的人类(和非人类)尊严,通过情感关系关怀伦理的视角来理解。
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引用次数: 0
Disentangling the connection between Marx’s ‘sixth’ countertendency to a falling rate of profit and the rise of financialisation 解开马克思关于利润率下降的“第六”反趋势与金融化兴起之间的联系
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-27 DOI: 10.1093/cje/bead024
Stefano Di Bucchianico, L. Salvati
Marxian economics has been dealing extensively with the issue of falling profitability and its connection with financialisation. One finds in this line of research contributions linking financialisation with the list of counter-elements to the Law of the Tendency of the Rate of Profit to Fall, with financialisation being interpreted as the ‘sixth’. In the past, various authors have either briefly commented on the ‘sixth’ factor or left it aside. We aim to provide an alternative interpretation, based on three elements. First, the role of joint-stock companies’ issuance of long-term financing instruments yielding low remuneration. Second, the fact that sectors such as railways and public utilities, belonging to the category of natural monopolies, are excluded from gravitation towards an average rate of profit. Third, the role of the organic composition of capital in determining differences in sectoral profitability. Therefore, we claim that the sixth element should be read as a reference to natural monopolies remaining outside the field of profit rate equalisation.
马克思经济学一直在广泛地研究盈利能力下降的问题及其与金融化的联系。在这一系列研究贡献中,人们发现将金融化与利润率下降趋势定律的反要素列表联系起来,金融化被解释为“第六个”。过去,不同的作者要么简要地评论了“第六”因素,要么把它放在一边。我们的目的是在三个要素的基础上提供另一种解释。第一,股份公司发行长期融资工具产生低报酬的作用。第二,铁路和公用事业等属于自然垄断范畴的部门被排除在平均利润率的引力之外。第三,资本的有机组成在决定部门盈利能力差异方面的作用。因此,我们主张,第六个要素应被解读为指在利润率均衡领域之外仍然存在的自然垄断。
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引用次数: 0
Time, equilibrium and uncertainty: Bergson and Robinson 时间、均衡和不确定性:柏格森和罗宾逊
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-24 DOI: 10.1093/cje/bead019
J. Culham
The philosophy of Henri Bergson can lend fresh perspectives on some central aspects of post-Keynesian economic thought. Bergson’s concept of duration offers philosophical reinforcement for Joan Robinson’s criticisms of the treatment of time, equilibrium and uncertainty in economics. When the economy is recognised to be a dynamic living system, in which the accumulation of capital is an historical process inseparable from technical innovation, the effect of time is of utmost importance. Duration provides greater understanding of an economy moving through historical time, while adding depth to Robinson’s doubts about the validity of utility, and consequently expected utility theory. Bergson’s philosophy of evolution and duration provides a valuable basis for understanding many of the classical issues in political economy.
亨利·柏格森的哲学可以为后凯恩斯主义经济思想的一些核心方面提供新的视角。柏格森的持续时间概念为琼·罗宾逊对经济学中时间、均衡和不确定性的批评提供了哲学上的强化。当经济被认为是一个动态的生命系统时,资本的积累是一个与技术创新密不可分的历史过程,时间的影响是至关重要的。持续时间提供了对经济在历史时间中移动的更好理解,同时增加了罗宾逊对效用有效性的怀疑,从而增加了预期效用理论的深度。柏格森的演化和持续哲学为理解政治经济学中的许多经典问题提供了宝贵的基础。
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引用次数: 0
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Cambridge Journal of Economics
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