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Beyond financialisation: the longue durée of finance and production in the Global South 金融化之外:全球南方国家金融和生产的长期停滞
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-09 DOI: 10.1093/cje/beac029
Kai Koddenbrock, I. Kvangraven, N. Sylla
One of the central premises of the literature on financialisation is that we have been living in a new era of capitalism, characterised by a historical shift in the finance-production nexus. Finance has expanded to a disproportionate economic size and, more importantly, has divorced from productive economic pursuits. In this paper, we explore these claims of ‘expansion’ and ‘divorce’ based on a longue durée analysis of the link between finance and production in Senegal and Ghana. As such, we de-centre the dominant approach to financialisation. Seen from the South, we argue that although there has been expansion of financial motives and practices the ‘divorce’ between the financial and the productive economy cannot be considered a new empirical phenomenon having occurred during the last decades and even less an epochal shift of the capitalist system. The tendency for finance to neglect the needs of the domestic productive sector has been the structural operation of finance in many parts of the Global South over the last 150 years. Therefore, one cannot put forward a theory of the evolution of finance under capitalism without taking these crucial historical insights into account.
金融化文献的中心前提之一是,我们一直生活在资本主义的新时代,其特征是金融与生产关系的历史性转变。金融已经扩张到一个不成比例的经济规模,更重要的是,它已经脱离了生产性的经济追求。在本文中,我们基于对塞内加尔和加纳金融与生产之间联系的长期研究分析,探讨了这些“扩张”和“离婚”的说法。因此,我们去中心化了金融化的主要途径。从南方来看,我们认为,尽管金融动机和实践有所扩大,但金融和生产经济之间的“离婚”不能被视为过去几十年发生的一种新的经验现象,更不能被视为资本主义制度的划时代转变。过去150年来,金融忽视国内生产部门需求的趋势一直是全球南方许多地区的结构性金融运作。因此,如果不考虑这些关键的历史见解,就不能提出资本主义下金融演变的理论。
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引用次数: 13
Financialisation and the authoritarian state: the case of Russia 金融化与威权国家:以俄罗斯为例
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.1093/cje/beac038
A. Mishura, S. Ageeva
Using the example of Russia, we argue that financialisation in an authoritarian state can take place primarily through formation in financial sector monopoly-like state-related structures controlled by a limited circle of the irreplaceable elite. It occurs because financialisation and new financial technologies in an authoritarian state increase both the opportunities and incentives for dominance of large state-dependent institutions in the financial sector. The authoritarian state and its elite are using financial and information technology developments in accordance with their goals, adopting and enhancing some financial practices and innovations from the experience of developed countries while rejecting, distorting or slowing down others. As a result, on the one hand, within the framework of the formation of such monopoly-like institutions, financialisation is proceeding actively, the role of finance and financial relations in society is increasing everywhere and the use of new financial technologies, digitalisation and financial inclusion are expanding. On the other hand, some financial markets remain underdeveloped because either they imply a certain degree of competition, diversity, institutional quality and independence from state voluntarism, or the state and authoritarian elite have not yet fully elaborated a strategy of integrating these financial markets into the orbit of their interests. Thus financialisation in DEEs with an authoritarian political regime can strengthen and facilitate the dominance of authoritarian elites. We draw these conclusions considering the example of financialisation in Russia in the last two decades, where the banking sector is at the core of the financial system.
以俄罗斯为例,我们认为,威权国家的金融化主要是通过形成金融部门垄断式的国家相关结构来实现的,这些结构由少数不可替代的精英控制。之所以会出现这种情况,是因为威权国家的金融化和新的金融技术增加了依赖政府的大型机构在金融领域占据主导地位的机会和动机。专制国家及其精英正在根据自己的目标利用金融和信息技术的发展,采用和加强发达国家经验中的一些金融实践和创新,同时拒绝、扭曲或减缓其他金融实践和创新。因此,一方面,在这种垄断机构形成的框架内,金融化正在积极推进,金融和金融关系在社会中的作用无处不在,金融新技术、数字化和普惠金融的使用正在扩大。另一方面,一些金融市场仍然不发达,因为它们要么意味着一定程度的竞争、多样性、制度质量和独立于国家意志主义,要么是国家和威权精英尚未充分制定将这些金融市场纳入其利益轨道的战略。因此,威权政体国家的金融化可以加强和促进威权精英的主导地位。我们以俄罗斯过去二十年的金融化为例得出这些结论,在俄罗斯,银行业处于金融体系的核心。
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引用次数: 1
Financialisation and firm-level investment in developing and emerging economies 发展中国家和新兴经济体的金融化和企业投资
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/cje/beac030
D. Tori, Özlem Onaran
This article analyses the effects of financialisation on non-financial companies’ (NFCs) investment and explores the interactions between financialisation and the structural and institutional features of developing and emerging economies (DEEs). We estimate the effects of financialisation on physical investment for a sample of DEEs using panel data based on the balance sheets of publicly listed NFCs. Our main contribution is to assess the interactions between the financialisation of the NFCs and country-level financial development, financial reform, capital account openness and global value chain participation. We find that the effects of the financialisation of the NFCs in DEEs are highly context specific. Stock market development, financial reforms for liberalisation, capital account openness and participation in the global value chains are associated with more pronounced negative effects of financialisation on investment. Our analysis provides novel empirical evidence regarding the sources of variation in the financialisation of corporations in DEEs.
本文分析了金融化对非金融公司(nfc)投资的影响,并探讨了金融化与发展中经济体和新兴经济体(di)的结构和制度特征之间的相互作用。我们使用基于公开上市的nfc资产负债表的面板数据,估计了金融化对实体投资的影响。我们的主要贡献是评估nfc金融化与国家级金融发展、金融改革、资本账户开放和全球价值链参与之间的相互作用。我们发现,发展中国家金融中心金融化的影响是高度具体的。股票市场发展、金融自由化改革、资本账户开放和参与全球价值链与金融化对投资的更明显的负面影响相关。我们的分析为发展中国家企业金融化变化的来源提供了新的经验证据。
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引用次数: 4
A financial straitjacket? Côte d’Ivoire’s National Development Banks 财政紧身衣?Côte科特迪瓦国家开发银行
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-28 DOI: 10.1093/cje/beac034
G. Quist
The lack of financing options for African firms has led to a reappraisal of the role National Development Banks (NDBs) can play in promoting structural transformation the region. Through an analysis of bank data and policy reports, I argue that the focus on corruption by the mainstream to explain the lacklustre performance of NDBs in developing and emerging economies is overemphasised. Specifically, such arguments fail to account for underlying structural and relational asymmetries between financial sector participants, which make it difficult for NDBs to accomplish their mission. In Côte d’Ivoire, these constraints are characterised by a monetary system inherited from the colonial period that prioritises exchange rate stability over credit creation. The increasing push by International Financial Institutions to commercialise state banking is also causing the main Ivorian NDB (the Banque Nationale d’Investissement) to prioritise financial intermediation over the provision of credit to enterprises in productive sectors.
非洲企业缺乏融资选择,导致人们重新评估国家开发银行在促进该地区结构转型方面所能发挥的作用。通过对银行数据和政策报告的分析,我认为,在解释发展中国家和新兴经济体的新开发银行表现不佳时,主流对腐败的关注被过分强调了。具体而言,这些论点未能解释金融部门参与者之间潜在的结构性和关系不对称,这使得新开发银行难以完成其使命。在Côte科特迪瓦,这些限制的特点是继承自殖民时期的货币体系,优先考虑汇率稳定而不是信贷创造。国际金融机构日益推动国有银行业务商业化,这也导致主要的科特迪瓦国家投资银行(Banque Nationale d’investssement)将金融中介置于向生产部门企业提供信贷的优先地位。
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引用次数: 0
Connecting financialisation and structural change: a critical appraisal regarding Brazil 将金融化与结构变革联系起来:对巴西的批判性评价
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-28 DOI: 10.1093/cje/beac036
Mariana Finello Corrêa, Carmem Feijó
The contribution of this paper is to discuss the particularities of financialisation in peripheral economies, emphasising the channels through which financialisation contributes to redefining their trajectory of structural change. This paper has, as a reference, the structural regression of the Brazilian case, which is characterised by the deindustrialisation and trade specialisation marked by export reprimarisation. The aspects covered are the financialisation of non-financial corporations, of the exchange rate and of the determination of the commodity prices, which are associated with the Dutch disease.
本文的贡献是讨论外围经济体金融化的特殊性,强调金融化有助于重新定义其结构变化轨迹的渠道。本文参考了巴西案例的结构回归,其特征是去工业化和以出口重新定价为标志的贸易专业化。所涵盖的方面包括非金融公司的金融化、汇率和商品价格的确定,这些都与荷兰病有关。
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引用次数: 1
An international multi-sectoral approach to financialisation 国际上多部门的金融化方法
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-28 DOI: 10.1093/cje/beac025
Matías Torchinsky Landau
Many studies attempted to measure the degree of financialisation of an economy, generally on a country-by-country basis, given the heterogeneity of indicators and data availability. In this paper, a simple but common measure of financialisation of non-financial corporations (NFCs) is developed, namely, the participation of services provided by the financial sector (both directly and indirectly) on their value-added creation process, inspired by the methodology developed by Dávila-Fernández and Punzo (2020). To do this, we use the inter-country input-output (ICIO) matrices built by the OECD, which allow us to understand the role played by the financial sector (local or foreign) in the ‘value-added production function’ of NFCs from 45 industries, in 67 countries for the period 1995–2018. We find three main stylised facts. First, the financial sector plays a relevant role in the value-added creation process of NFCs, and its importance has increased during the last years, although there is high diversity among countries. Second, this process has been heterogeneous when different productive sectors are considered. Primary industries evidenced a low degree of financialisation, while manufacturing and the service sector generally presented a higher reliance on finance. Third, between 1995 and the global financial crisis, NFCs increased their dependence on foreign financial value-added, followed by a partial reversion of this process. Moreover, the origin of these exports of financial services changed: while some traditional financial hubs such as the UK, Switzerland and Japan decreased their importance as providers of financial value-added to NFCs, China, Russia and India became important global players.
鉴于指标和数据的异质性,许多研究试图衡量一个经济体的金融化程度,通常是在逐个国家的基础上。在本文中,受Dávila Fernández和Punzo(2020)开发的方法的启发,开发了一种简单但常见的非金融公司融资措施,即金融部门提供的服务(直接和间接)参与其增值创造过程。为此,我们使用了经合组织建立的国家间投入产出矩阵,该矩阵使我们能够了解1995-2018年期间,67个国家45个行业的金融部门(本地或外国)在国家金融中心的“增值生产功能”中所扮演的角色。我们发现了三个主要的风格化事实。首先,金融部门在国家金融中心的增值创造过程中发挥着相关作用,尽管各国之间存在高度多样性,但其重要性在过去几年中有所增加。其次,当考虑不同的生产部门时,这一过程是异质的。第一产业的金融化程度较低,而制造业和服务业对金融的依赖程度普遍较高。第三,在1995年至全球金融危机期间,国家金融中心增加了对外国金融增值的依赖,随后这一过程出现了部分逆转。此外,这些金融服务出口的来源发生了变化:尽管英国、瑞士和日本等一些传统金融中心作为国家金融中心金融增值提供者的重要性有所下降,但中国、俄罗斯和印度成为了重要的全球参与者。
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引用次数: 1
Financialisation of developing and emerging economies and China’s experience: how China resists financialisation 发展中经济体和新兴经济体的金融化与中国经验:中国如何抵制金融化
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-26 DOI: 10.1093/cje/beac037
Fusheng Xie, Xiaolu Kuang, Zhi Li
In this paper, we discuss the process of financialisation of developing countries and emerging economies (DEEs) from the perspective of critical realism (CR). We argue that the emergence of financialisation depends on the inherent tendency of the imbalance between the accumulation of productive and financial capital being actualised, and emphasise how government’s intentional actions under current social structures relate to this process. We use China as a case study to illustrate how DEEs can resist financialisation and maintain productive accumulation during development. We elaborate on various institutional and policy adjustments undertaken by China during different phases that promoted productive accumulation and how China avoided financialisation for much of its growth period. Our discussion helps to explain why China’s limited financialisation compared to other DEEs who experienced financialisation featured by dependency. We conclude by highlighting new potential risks and sources of financialisation faced by the Chinese economy.
本文从批判现实主义的角度探讨了发展中国家和新兴经济体的金融化过程。我们认为,金融化的出现取决于生产资本和金融资本积累之间失衡的内在趋势,并强调了政府在当前社会结构下的有意行为与这一过程的关系。我们以中国为例来说明DEE如何在发展过程中抵御金融化并保持生产力积累。我们详细阐述了中国在促进生产积累的不同阶段所进行的各种制度和政策调整,以及中国如何在其增长期的大部分时间里避免金融化。我们的讨论有助于解释为什么与其他经历过依赖性金融化的DEE相比,中国的金融化有限。最后,我们强调了中国经济面临的新的潜在风险和金融化来源。
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引用次数: 3
The regional distinctiveness and variegation of financialisation in emerging economies 新兴经济体金融化的区域差异性和多样性
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-26 DOI: 10.1093/cje/beac033
E. Karwowski
The world region is missing from financialisation analysis of emerging economies (EEs) with little attention given to regional commonalities or comparative analysis across regions. This article sets out to identify regional commonalities in financialisation experiences across EEs, rooted in domestic institutions and countries’ varying integration into the global financial system. Bringing commonalities within and differences between emerging regions to the fore will help us understand the specificities of their political economies and current capitalist experiences. Based on existing research and data availability, six financialisation indicators across five macroeconomic aggregates are identified. Considering 2008–17, a ranking emerges with the most affected region being Central Easter Europe (CEE), followed by Latin America. Emerging Asia takes an intermediate position while EEs in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region and Africa show limited signs of financialisation. Our analysis identifies distinct regional features. Financialisation in CEE and Latin America is strongly driven by external forces, the key difference being the role that large domestic capitalists play in the process. Across Emerging Asia, financialisation has mainly unfolded in the private sector while state authorities could to some extent insulate public policy. In MENA, much of the private sector appears outside of the reach of financialisation because of the economic and political power of regional conglomerates. In emerging Africa, the phenomenon is concentrated in very few, if intensely affected, financialisation centres. From a theoretical perspective, we find financialisation is driven by a mix of external factors and domestically influential capitalist elites pursuing their interests.
新兴经济体的金融化分析中缺少世界区域,很少关注区域共性或跨区域的比较分析。本文旨在确定欧洲经济区金融化经验的区域共性,这些共性植根于国内机构和各国不同程度地融入全球金融体系。突出新兴地区内部的共性和差异,将有助于我们了解其政治经济和当前资本主义经验的特殊性。根据现有研究和可用数据,确定了五个宏观经济总量中的六个金融化指标。考虑到2008-2017年,出现了一个排名,受影响最严重的地区是中欧,其次是拉丁美洲。新兴亚洲处于中间地位,而中东和北非(MENA)地区以及非洲的欧洲经济区金融化迹象有限。我们的分析确定了不同的区域特征。中东欧和拉丁美洲的金融化在很大程度上受到外部力量的驱动,关键区别在于国内大型资本家在这一过程中所扮演的角色。在整个新兴亚洲,金融化主要在私营部门展开,而国家当局可以在一定程度上隔离公共政策。在中东和北非地区,由于地区企业集团的经济和政治权力,大部分私营部门似乎不在金融化的范围内。在新兴的非洲,这种现象集中在极少数(如果受到严重影响的话)金融化中心。从理论角度来看,我们发现金融化是由外部因素和国内有影响力的资本主义精英追求利益的混合驱动的。
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引用次数: 4
Up the stairs, down in the elevator? The asymmetric response of emerging market currencies to the global liquidity cycle 上楼梯,下电梯?新兴市场货币对全球流动性周期的不对称反应
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-19 DOI: 10.1093/cje/beac026
J. Macalós, P. Rossi
This paper assesses whether there is evidence of an asymmetric relationship between the global liquidity cycle and the currencies of developing and emerging economies (DEEs), a central tenet of the Minskyan interpretation of the exchange rate behaviour in these economies and the ‘financialisation in developing and emerging economies’ literature. We use a novel panel model technique that incorporates asymmetric components to fixed-effects regressions to check if there is evidence of such asymmetry. Our results suggest that capital flows, commodity prices and the VIX have a more substantial relationship with the currencies of DEEs during the retrenchment of the global liquidity cycle than during its expansionist phase. In other words, our results suggest that the currencies of DEEs take the stairs up and the elevator down.
本文评估了是否有证据表明全球流动性周期与发展中经济体和新兴经济体的货币之间存在不对称关系,这是明斯基对这些经济体汇率行为的解释以及“发展中经济国和新兴经济国的金融化”文献的中心原则。我们使用了一种新的面板模型技术,该技术将不对称成分纳入固定效应回归,以检查是否存在这种不对称的证据。我们的研究结果表明,在全球流动性周期紧缩期间,资本流动、商品价格和波动率指数与DEE货币的关系比在扩张阶段更为密切。换言之,我们的研究结果表明,DEE的货币走楼梯,走电梯。
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引用次数: 1
Exorbitant privilege and compulsory duty: the two faces of the financialised IMS 过分的特权和强制性的义务:金融化的国际金融体系的两面
IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-19 DOI: 10.1093/cje/beac027
Ricardo Carneiro, B. De Conti
Aiming at analysing the constraints to economic development, the article takes as reference the classic Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) approach to centre–periphery relations and seeks to update it from two points of view: adding the new historical context of the financialisation of capitalism and highlighting the new format and operation of the International Monetary System (IMS). The article’s objective is thus analysing the effects of financialisation on the IMS, emphasising the hierarchies of this system and its consequences for the economic dynamic of centre and peripheral countries. The main hypothesis is that financialisation has produced changes in cross-border capital flows, but also – and chiefly – in the ‘nature’ of the key-currency of the IMS. As a consequence, the exorbitant privilege of the reserve currency issuing country reaches a paroxysm, while peripheral countries are victims of a ‘compulsory duty’.
为了分析制约经济发展的因素,文章引用了拉丁美洲和加勒比经济委员会(拉加经委会)处理中周边关系的经典方法,并试图从两个角度对其进行更新:增加资本主义金融化的新历史背景,强调国际货币体系的新形式和运作。因此,本文的目的是分析金融化对国际监测系统的影响,强调该系统的等级制度及其对中心和外围国家经济动态的影响。主要假设是,金融化导致了跨境资本流动的变化,但也主要导致了IMS关键货币的“性质”的变化。因此,储备货币发行国的过度特权达到了爆发,而周边国家则是“强制性义务”的受害者。
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引用次数: 3
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