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IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1257/app.14.1.i
(January 2022)
(2022年1月)
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引用次数: 0
Rational Habit Formation: Experimental Evidence from Handwashing in India 理性习惯的形成:来自印度洗手的实验证据
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1257/app.20190568
Reshmaan Hussam, Atonu Rabbani, Giovanni Reggiani, Natalia Rigol
We test the predictions of the rational addiction model, reconceptualized as rational habit formation, in the context of handwashing in rural India. To track handwashing, we design soap dispensers with timed sensors. We test for rational habit formation by informing some households about a future change in the returns to daily handwashing. Monitoring and incentives raise handwashing contemporaneously, and effects persist well after they end. In addition, people are rational about this habit formation: when they anticipate future monitoring, they increase their current handwashing. Average child weight and height increase for all study arms given soap dispensers. (JEL D12, D83, D91, I12, I18, J13, O12)
我们在印度农村洗手的背景下测试了理性成瘾模型的预测,将其重新定义为理性习惯的形成。为了跟踪洗手情况,我们设计了带有定时传感器的肥皂分配器。我们通过告知一些家庭未来每天洗手的回报变化来测试理性习惯的形成。监督和激励措施同时提高了洗手率,并且在洗手结束后效果会持续很长时间。此外,人们对这种习惯的形成是理性的:当他们预计未来会受到监控时,他们会增加目前的洗手次数。使用肥皂分发器后,所有实验组的儿童平均体重和身高都有所增加。(jel d12, d83, d91, i12, i18, j13, o12)
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引用次数: 0
The Origins of Common Identity: Evidence from Alsace-Lorraine 共同身份的起源:来自阿尔萨斯-洛林的证据
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1257/app.20190772
Sirus H. Dehdari, Kai Gehring
We study how more negative historical exposure to the actions of nation-states—like war, occupation, and repression—affects the formation of regional identity. The quasi-exogenous division of the French regions Alsace and Lorraine allows us to implement a geographical regression discontinuity design at the municipal level. Using measures of stated and revealed preferences, we find that more negative experiences with nation-states are associated with a stronger regional identity in the short, medium, and long run. This is linked to preferences for more regional decision-making. Establishing regional organizations seems to be a key mechanism to maintaining and strengthening regional identity. (JEL H77, N43, N44, N93, N94, Z13)
我们研究了民族国家行为(如战争、占领和镇压)的负面历史影响如何影响地区认同的形成。法国阿尔萨斯和洛林地区的准外生划分允许我们在市政层面实施地理回归不连续设计。通过对陈述和显示的偏好的测量,我们发现,从短期、中期和长期来看,与民族国家的负面经历与更强的区域认同有关。这与更倾向于区域性决策有关。建立区域组织似乎是维护和加强区域认同的关键机制。(jel h77, n43, n44, n93, n94, z13)
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引用次数: 0
The Political Impact of Immigration: Evidence from the United States 移民的政治影响:来自美国的证据
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1257/app.20190081
Anna Maria Mayda, Giovanni Peri, Walter Steingress
This paper studies the impact of immigration to the United States on the vote share for the Republican Party using county-level data from 1990 to 2016. Our main contribution is to show that an increase in high-skilled immigrants decreases the share of Republican votes, while an inflow of low-skilled immigrants increases it. These effects are mainly due to the indirect impact on existing citizens’ votes, and this is independent of the origin country and race of immigrants. We find that the political effect of immigration is heterogeneous across counties and depends on their skill level, public spending, and noneconomic characteristics. (JEL D72, J15, J24, J61, R23)
本文使用1990年至2016年的县级数据研究了美国移民对共和党选票份额的影响。我们的主要贡献是表明,高技能移民的增加会减少共和党的选票份额,而低技能移民的流入则会增加共和党的选票份额。这些影响主要是由于对现有公民投票的间接影响,而这与移民的原籍国和种族无关。我们发现,移民的政治影响在不同的国家是不同的,这取决于他们的技能水平、公共支出和非经济特征。(jj72, j15, j24, j61, r23)
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引用次数: 0
Inversions in US Presidential Elections: 1836–2016 美国总统选举中的倒置:1836-2016
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1257/app.20200210
Michael Geruso, Dean Spears, Ishaana Talesara
Inversions—in which the popular vote winner loses the election— have occurred in four US presidential races. We show that rather than being statistical flukes, inversions have been ex ante likely since the early 1800s. In elections yielding a popular vote margin within 1 point (one-eighth of presidential elections), about 40 percent will be inversions in expectation. We show this conditional probability is remarkably stable across historical periods—despite differences in which groups voted, which states existed, and which parties participated. Our findings imply that the United States has experienced so few inversions merely because there have been so few elections (and fewer close elections). (JEL D72, N41, N42)
反转——普选获胜者输掉选举——在四次美国总统竞选中都发生过。我们的研究表明,自19世纪初以来,倒排可能就已经存在,而不是统计上的侥幸。在普选票数差距在1个百分点(与总统选举差距的八分之一)以内的选举中,40%左右会出现预期反转。我们表明,这种条件概率在各个历史时期都非常稳定——尽管在哪些群体投票、哪些州存在、哪些政党参与方面存在差异。我们的研究结果表明,美国之所以出现如此少的倒置现象,仅仅是因为选举很少(而且接近的选举也更少)。(jel d72, n41, n42)
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引用次数: 0
Breastfeeding and child development 母乳喂养与儿童发育
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-10-25 DOI: 10.1920/wp.ifs.2021.3821
M. Vera-Hernandez, E. Fitzsimons
We show that children who are born at or just before the weekend are less likely to be breastfed, owing to poorer breastfeeding support services in hospitals at weekends. We use this variation to estimate the effect of breastfeeding on children's development in the first seven years of life, for a sample of births of low-educated mothers. We find large effects of breastfeeding on children's cognitive development but no effects on health or noncognitive development during the period of childhood we consider. Regarding mechanisms, we study how breastfeeding affects parental investments and the quality of the mother-child relationship. (JEL I12, I14, I18, J13, J16, J24)
我们表明,由于医院在周末提供的母乳喂养支持服务较差,在周末或之前出生的儿童接受母乳喂养的可能性较小。我们使用这一变化来估计母乳喂养对儿童七岁前发育的影响,样本是受教育程度较低的母亲。我们发现母乳喂养对儿童的认知发展有很大影响,但对我们所考虑的儿童时期的健康或非认知发展没有影响。关于机制,我们研究母乳喂养如何影响父母的投资和母子关系的质量。(j12, j14, j18, j13, j16, j24)
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引用次数: 9
The Political Premium of Television Celebrity 电视名人的政治溢价
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.1257/app.20190147
Heyu Xiong
This paper studies the electoral consequences of television stardom through the career of Ronald Reagan. I utilize quasi-experimental variation in television reception to estimate the causal effect of celebrity exposure on political support. I find that Reagan’s tenure as the host of a 1950s entertainment television program translated into support for his candidacy, in terms of votes and political donations, nearly two decades after the show’s first airing. Placebo checks suggest that this impact is not driven by unobserved heterogeneity or omitted variable bias. The effect was especially pronounced in the 1976 Republican primary elections relative to the general presidential elections and partially dissipated in locations where Reagan was a known political entity. Using the American National Election Studies (ANES) surveys, I provide evidence on possible mechanisms. Consistent with rational updating, nonpolitical media increased voters’ assessment of Reagan’s character and leadership, personalizing political considerations in elections featuring him. (JEL D72, L82, Z13)
本文通过罗纳德·里根的职业生涯来研究电视明星对选举的影响。我利用电视接收的准实验变异来估计名人曝光对政治支持的因果效应。我发现,里根担任上世纪50年代一档娱乐电视节目主持人的经历,在该节目首次播出近20年后,在选票和政治捐款方面,转化成了对他候选人资格的支持。安慰剂检验表明,这种影响不是由未观察到的异质性或遗漏的变量偏倚驱动的。这种影响在1976年的共和党初选中表现得尤为明显,而在里根作为一个知名政治实体的地方,这种影响在一定程度上消失了。利用美国全国选举研究(ANES)调查,我提供了可能机制的证据。与理性更新相一致的是,非政治性媒体增加了选民对里根的性格和领导能力的评价,在有他参与的选举中将政治考虑个人化。(jel d72, l82, z13)
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引用次数: 4
Different Strokes for Different Folks? Experimental Evidence on the Effectiveness of Input and Output Incentive Contracts for Health Care Providers with Varying Skills 不同的人有不同的笔法?不同技能医疗服务提供者投入产出激励合同有效性的实验证据
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.1257/APP.20190220
M. Mohanan, K. Donato, G. Miller, Yulya Truskinovsky, M. Vera-Hernandez
A central issue in designing incentive contracts is the decision to reward agents’ input use versus outputs. The trade-off between risk and return to innovation in production can also lead agents with varying skill levels to perform differentially under different contracts. We study this issue experimentally, observing and verifying inputs and outputs in Indian maternity care. We find that both contract types achieve comparable reductions in postpartum hemorrhage rates, but payments for outputs were four times that of inputs. Providers with varying qualifications performed equivalently under input incentives, while providers with advanced qualifications may have performed better under output contracts. (JEL D82, D86, I12, J13, J16, J41, O15)
设计激励契约的一个核心问题是决定对代理人的投入使用和产出进行奖励。生产中风险与创新回报之间的权衡也会导致不同技能水平的代理人在不同的合同下表现不同。我们通过实验研究这个问题,观察和验证印度产妇护理的投入和产出。我们发现,两种合同类型在产后出血率方面都实现了相当的降低,但产出的支付是投入的四倍。不同资质的供应商在投入激励下表现相当,而具有高级资质的供应商在产出合同下可能表现更好。(jel d82、d86、j12、j13、j16、j41、j15)
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引用次数: 5
The Economics of Speed: The Electrification of the Streetcar System and the Decline of Mom-and-Pop Stores in Boston, 1885–1905 速度经济学:电车系统的电气化和波士顿夫妻店的衰落,1885-1905
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.1257/app.20180795
Wei You
Small firms dominated the American economy in the nineteenth century, and they still dominate in many developing economies today. This paper tests whether geographic market segmentation due to underdeveloped intracity transportation technology precludes the emergence of large retail/wholesale stores. I exploit the natural experiment of Boston’s rapid electrification from its previous horse-drawn streetcar system, which occurred between 1889 and 1896. Analyzing newly digitized data, I find that rail-connected locations experienced a sharp decline in the share of sole proprietorships among food retail/wholesale establishments after the electrification relative to off-rail locations. Changes in market access due to streetcar electrification can explain this effect. (JEL L25, L81, L92, N71, N91, R41)
小公司在19世纪主宰了美国经济,今天它们在许多发展中经济体中仍然占据主导地位。本文检验了由于城市交通技术不发达导致的地理市场分割是否阻碍了大型零售/批发商店的出现。我利用了波士顿在1889年至1896年之间的马车电车系统中快速电气化的自然实验。通过分析最新的数字化数据,我发现在电气化之后,与非铁路地区相比,铁路连接地区的食品零售/批发场所的独资经营比例急剧下降。有轨电车电气化导致的市场准入变化可以解释这种影响。(jel l25, l81, l92, n71, n91, r41)
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引用次数: 0
Air Pollution and Criminal Activity: Microgeographic Evidence from Chicago 空气污染和犯罪活动:来自芝加哥的微观地理证据
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.1257/app.20190091
Evan M. Herrnstadt, A. Heyes, E. Muehlegger, Soodeh Saberian
A growing literature documents that air pollution adversely impacts health, productivity, and cognition. This paper provides the first evidence of a causal link between air pollution and aggressive behavior, as documented by violent crime. Using the geolocation of crimes in Chicago from 2001–2012, we compare crime upwind and downwind of major highways on days when wind blows orthogonally to the road. Consistent with research linking pollution to aggression, we find that air pollution increases violent crime on the downwind sides of interstates. Our results suggest that pollution may reduce welfare and affect behavior through a wider set of channels than previously considered. (JEL K42, Q53)
越来越多的文献表明,空气污染会对健康、生产力和认知产生不利影响。这篇论文提供了空气污染和暴力犯罪之间的因果关系的第一个证据。利用2001年至2012年芝加哥犯罪的地理位置,我们比较了在风垂直吹向道路的日子里,主要高速公路顺风和顺风处的犯罪情况。与将污染与攻击性联系起来的研究一致,我们发现空气污染增加了州际公路顺风侧的暴力犯罪。我们的研究结果表明,污染可能会通过比以前认为的更广泛的渠道降低福利和影响行为。(jel k42, q53)
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引用次数: 36
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American Economic Journal-Applied Economics
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