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Reexamining the Contribution of Public Health Efforts to the Decline in Urban Mortality: Comment 重新审视公共卫生努力对城市死亡率下降的贡献:评论
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.1257/app.20190711
David M. Cutler, Grant Miller
We address points raised by Anderson, Charles, and Rees (2022b), which comments on our prior work. After correcting unambiguous data mistakes, our revised estimates suggest that municipal water disinfection (filtration) explains 38 percent of the total mortality rate decline in our sample cities and years—a result not very different from our original estimate of 43 percent. However, effects on infant mortality rates are smaller than in our original analysis. Much of the difference between their analyses and ours is due to the coding of partial intervention years and to differences in population denominators, for which ideal data are difficult to find. (JEL H75, I12, I18, J13, Q18, Q51, Q53)
我们讨论了Anderson, Charles和Rees (2022b)提出的观点,他们对我们之前的工作进行了评论。在修正了明确的数据错误后,我们的修正估计表明,在我们的样本城市和年份中,市政用水消毒(过滤)解释了总死亡率下降的38%——结果与我们最初估计的43%没有太大区别。然而,对婴儿死亡率的影响比我们最初的分析要小。他们的分析与我们的分析之间的很大差异是由于部分干预年份的编码和人口分母的差异,这很难找到理想的数据。(jel h75, i12, i18, j13, q18, q51, q53)
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引用次数: 0
Unemployment Insurance as a Worker Indiscipline Device? Evidence from Scanner Data 失业保险作为工人违纪手段?来自扫描仪数据的证据
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.1257/app.20190007
Lester Lusher,Geoffrey C. Schnorr,Rebecca L.C. Taylor
We provide causal evidence of an ex ante moral hazard effect of unemployment insurance (UI ) by matching plausibly exogenous changes in UI benefit duration across state-weeks during the Great Recession to high-frequency productivity measures from individual supermarket cashiers. Estimating models with date and cashier-register fixed effects, we identify a modest but statistically significant negative relationship between UI benefits and worker productivity. This effect is strongest for more experienced and less productive cashiers, for whom UI expansions are especially relevant. Additional analyses from the American Time Use Survey reveal a similar increase in shirking during periods with increased UI benefit durations. (JEL D82, E32, J22, J24, J65, L81)
我们通过将大衰退期间失业保险(UI)福利持续时间的合理外生变化与超市收银员的高频生产率指标相匹配,为失业保险(UI)的事先道德风险效应提供了因果证据。估计具有日期和收银员固定效应的模型,我们确定了UI福利与工人生产率之间适度但统计上显着的负相关关系。这种效果对于经验丰富但效率较低的收银员来说最为明显,对他们来说UI扩展尤为重要。美国人时间使用调查的其他分析显示,在失业救济金领取时间延长期间,逃避工作的情况也有类似的增加。(j22, j24, j65, j81)
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引用次数: 0
Will Studying Economics Make You Rich? A Regression Discontinuity Analysis of the Returns to College Major 学经济学会让你富有吗?大学生专业返校的回归不连续分析
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.1257/app.20200447
Zachary Bleemer,Aashish Mehta
We investigate the wage return to studying economics by leveraging a policy that prevented students with low introductory grades from declaring a major. Students who barely met the grade point average threshold to major in economics earned $22,000 (46 percent) higher annual early-career wages than they would have with their second-choice majors. Access to the economics major shifts students' preferences toward business/finance careers, and about half of the wage return is explained by economics majors working in higher-paying industries. The causal return to majoring in economics is very similar to observational earnings differences in nationally representative data. (JEL A22, I26, J24, J31)
我们通过利用一项政策来调查学习经济学的工资回报,该政策阻止入门成绩低的学生选择专业。那些勉强达到平均绩点门槛的经济学专业学生,在职业生涯早期的年薪比他们的第二选择专业高出22,000美元(46%)。进入经济学专业使学生们对商业/金融职业的偏好发生了转变,大约一半的工资回报可以解释为经济学专业的学生在高薪行业工作。经济学专业的因果回归与全国代表性数据中观察到的收入差异非常相似。(j22, i26, j24, j31)
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引用次数: 0
LinkedIn(to) Job Opportunities: Experimental Evidence from Job Readiness Training LinkedIn(to)工作机会:来自工作准备培训的实验证据
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.1257/app.20200025
Laurel Wheeler,Robert Garlick,Eric Johnson,Patrick Shaw,Marissa Gargano
Online professional networking platforms are widely used and may help workers to search for and obtain jobs. We run the first randomized evaluation of training work seekers to join and use one of the largest platforms, LinkedIn. Training increases the end-of-program employment rate by 10 percent (7 percentage points), and this effect persists for at least 12 months. The available employment, platform use, and job search data suggest that employment effects are explained by work seekers using the platform to acquire information about prospective employers and perhaps by work seekers accessing referrals and conveying information to prospective employers on the platform. (JEL J22, J23, J24, J64, M53, O15)
在线专业社交平台被广泛使用,可以帮助工人寻找和获得工作。我们进行了第一次随机评估,培训求职者加入并使用最大的平台之一LinkedIn。培训使项目结束后的就业率提高了10%(7个百分点),这种效果至少持续12个月。现有的就业、平台使用和求职数据表明,就业效应可以通过求职者使用平台获取有关潜在雇主的信息来解释,也可以通过求职者在平台上访问推荐并向潜在雇主传递信息来解释。(j22, j23, j24, j64, m53, o15)
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引用次数: 0
Can Information Reduce Ethnic Discrimination? Evidence from Airbnb 信息能减少种族歧视吗?来自Airbnb的证据
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1257/app.20190188
Morgane Laouénan, Roland Rathelot
We use data from Airbnb to identify the mechanisms underlying discrimination against ethnic minority hosts. Within the same neighborhood, hosts from minority groups charge 3.2 percent less for comparable listings. Since ratings provide guests with increasingly rich information about a listing’s quality, we can measure the contribution of statistical discrimination, building upon Altonji and Pierret (2001). We find that statistical discrimination can account for the whole ethnic price gap: ethnic gaps would disappear if all unobservables were revealed. Also, three-quarters (2.5 points) of the initial ethnic gap can be attributed to inaccurate beliefs of potential guests about hosts’ average group quality. (JEL D83, J15, L84)
我们使用Airbnb的数据来识别歧视少数族裔房东的潜在机制。在同一街区内,少数族裔房东的房费比其他同类房源低3.2%。由于评级为客人提供了关于房源质量的越来越丰富的信息,我们可以在Altonji和Pierret(2001)的基础上衡量统计歧视的贡献。我们发现统计歧视可以解释整个种族价格差距:如果所有不可观察的因素都被揭示出来,种族差距就会消失。此外,四分之三(2.5分)的最初种族差距可归因于潜在客人对主人的平均群体素质的不准确看法。(jel 83, j15, l84)
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引用次数: 20
Does Patient Demand Contribute to the Overuse of Prescription Drugs? 病人的需求导致处方药的过度使用吗?
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1257/app.20190722
C. Lopez, A. Sautmann, Simone Schaner
In an experiment in Mali, we tested whether patients pressure providers to prescribe unnecessary medical treatment. We varied patients’ information about a discount for antimalarial tablets and measure demand for both tablets and costlier antimalarial injections. We find evidence of patient-driven demand: informing patients about the discount, instead of letting providers decide to share this information, increased discount use by 35 percent and overall malaria treatment by 10 percent. These marginal patients rarely had malaria, worsening the illness-treatment match. Providers did not use the information advantage to sell injections—their use fell in both information conditions. (JEL D83, I11, I12, O15)
在马里的一项实验中,我们测试了患者是否会向医生施压,让他们开出不必要的医疗处方。我们改变了患者关于抗疟疾药片折扣的信息,并测量了对药片和更昂贵的抗疟疾注射的需求。我们发现了患者驱动需求的证据:告知患者有关折扣的信息,而不是让提供者决定共享这些信息,使折扣的使用增加了35%,总体疟疾治疗增加了10%。这些边缘病人很少患疟疾,这使得疾病与治疗的匹配更加糟糕。供应商没有利用信息优势来销售注射剂——在两种信息条件下,他们的使用率都下降了。(jel 83, i11, i12, o15)
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引用次数: 2
Finally a Smoking Gun? Compensating Differentials and the Introduction of Smoking Bans 终于有确凿的证据了?补偿差异和禁烟令的引入
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1257/app.20180077
Daniel Wissmann
Using the staggered introduction of smoking bans in the German hospitality industry over 2007–2008, I find a robust 2.4 percent decline in the daily earnings of workers in bars and restaurants associated with the most comprehensive smoking ban. This effect is unlikely to be driven by a decline in hospitality revenues or hours worked but is consistent with a simple model of compensating differentials. (JEL I12, I18, J22, J31, J81, L83)
通过对2007-2008年德国酒店业错开禁烟令的研究,我发现,在最全面的禁烟令实施后,酒吧和餐馆员工的日收入大幅下降了2.4%。这种影响不太可能是由酒店收入或工作时间减少造成的,而是与补偿差异的简单模型相一致的。(j12, j18, j22, j31, j81, l83)
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引用次数: 6
Subways and Urban Air Pollution. 地铁与城市空气污染。
IF 5.5 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1257/app.20180168
Nicolas Gendron-Carrier, Marco Gonzalez-Navarro, Stefano Polloni, Matthew A Turner

We investigate the effect of subway system openings on urban air pollution. On average, particulate concentrations are unchanged by subway openings. For cities with higher initial pollution levels, subway openings reduce particulates by 4 percent in the area surrounding a city center. The effect decays with distance to city center and persists over the longest time horizon that we can measure with our data, about four years. For highly polluted cities, we estimate that a new subway system provides an external mortality benefit of about $1 billion per year. For less polluted cities, the effect is indistinguishable from zero. Back of the envelope cost estimates suggest that reduced mortality due to lower air pollution offsets a substantial share of the construction costs of subways.

我们研究了地铁系统开放对城市空气污染的影响。平均而言,颗粒物浓度不会因地铁开通而改变。对于初始污染水平较高的城市,地铁开通后,市中心周边地区的颗粒物浓度降低了 4%。这种效应随着与市中心距离的增加而减弱,并在我们的数据所能测量的最长时间跨度(约四年)内持续存在。对于污染严重的城市,我们估计新建地铁系统每年可带来约 10 亿美元的外部死亡率效益。而对于污染较轻的城市,其效果与零无异。回溯成本估算表明,因空气污染减少而降低的死亡率可以抵消地铁建设成本的很大一部分。
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引用次数: 0
The Long-Run Effects of Recessions on Education and Income 经济衰退对教育和收入的长期影响
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1257/app.20180055
Bryan A. Stuart
This paper examines the long-run effects of the 1980–1982 recession on education and income. Using confidential census data, I estimate difference-in-difference regressions that exploit variation across counties in recession severity and across cohorts in age at the time of the recession. For individuals age 0–10 in 1979, a 10 percent decrease in earnings per capita in their county of birth reduces four-year college degree attainment by 15 percent and earnings in adulthood by 5 percent. Simple calculations suggest that in aggregate, the 1980–1982 recession led to 1.3–2.8 million fewer college graduates and $66–$139 billion less earned income per year. (JEL E32, I21, I26, J24, J31)
本文考察了1980-1982年经济衰退对教育和收入的长期影响。使用保密的人口普查数据,我估计了差异中的差异回归,这种回归利用了不同县在经济衰退严重程度上的差异,以及经济衰退时不同年龄群体的差异。1979年,0-10岁的人,其出生县的人均收入下降10%,四年制大学学位的获得率下降15%,成年后的收入下降5%。简单的计算表明,总的来说,1980-1982年的经济衰退导致大学毕业生减少了130万至280万人,每年的劳动收入减少了660亿至1390亿美元。(j32, j21, j26, j24, j31)
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引用次数: 0
How Effective Are Monetary Incentives to Vote? Evidence from a Nationwide Policy 金钱激励投票的效果如何?来自全国政策的证据
IF 6.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1257/app.20200482
Mariella Gonzales, Gianmarco León-Ciliotta, Luis R. Martínez
We study voters’ response to marginal changes to the fine for electoral abstention in Peru, leveraging variation from a nationwide reform. A smaller fine has a robust, negative effect on voter turnout, partly through irregular changes in voter registration. However, representation is largely unaffected, as most of the lost votes are blank or invalid. We also show that the effect of an exemption from compulsory voting is substantially larger than that of a full fine reduction, suggesting that nonmonetary incentives are the main drivers behind the effectiveness of compulsory voting. (JEL D72, K16, O17)
我们研究了秘鲁选民对选举弃权罚款的微小变化的反应,利用了全国改革的差异。较小的罚款会对选民投票率产生强烈的负面影响,部分原因是选民登记的不规则变化。然而,代表权在很大程度上不受影响,因为大多数丢失的选票是空白或无效的。我们还表明,免除强制投票的影响远远大于完全减少罚款的影响,这表明非货币激励是强制投票有效性背后的主要驱动因素。(jel d72, k16, o17)
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引用次数: 0
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American Economic Journal-Applied Economics
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