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What is a “likely” amount? Representative (modal) values are considered likely even when their probabilities are low “可能”的金额是多少?代表性(模态)值被认为是可能的,即使它们的概率很低
IF 4.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104166
Karl Halvor Teigen , Marie Juanchich , Erik Løhre

Research on verbal probabilities and standard scales issued by national and international authorities suggest that only events with probabilities above 60% should be labelled “likely”. We find, however, that when people apply this term to continuous variables, like expected costs, it describes the most likely (modal) outcome or interval, regardless of actual probabilities, which may be quite small. This was demonstrated in six studies in which lay participants (N = 2,228) were shown probability distributions from various domains and asked to generate or to select “likely” outcome intervals. Despite having numeric and graphically displayed information available, participants judged central, low-probability segments as “likely” (as opposed to equal or larger segments in the tails) and subsequently overestimated the chances of these outcomes. We conclude that high-probability interpretations of “likely” are only valid for binary outcomes but not for distributions of graded variables or multiple outcomes.

国家和国际权威机构发布的关于口头概率和标准尺度的研究表明,只有概率超过60%的事件才应被标记为“可能”。然而,我们发现,当人们将这个术语应用于连续变量时,比如预期成本,它描述了最可能的(模态)结果或区间,而不管实际概率,这可能是相当小的。这在六项研究中得到了证明,这些研究向非专业参与者(N = 2228)展示了来自不同领域的概率分布,并要求他们生成或选择“可能”的结果区间。尽管有数字和图形显示的信息可用,参与者判断中心,低概率的部分是“可能的”(而不是相等或更大的部分在尾部),随后高估了这些结果的机会。我们的结论是,“可能”的高概率解释只适用于二元结果,而不适用于分级变量或多重结果的分布。
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引用次数: 4
Investors respond negatively to executives’ discussion of creativity 投资者对高管对创造力的讨论反应消极
IF 4.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104155
Michael P. Haselhuhn , Elaine M. Wong , Margaret E. Ormiston

Creativity and innovation are often considered to be essential characteristics of effective organizations. However, recent experimental research suggests that individual-level creativity in the workplace is not always perceived positively because of the uncertainty inherent in creative ideas. Although this research has advanced our understanding of perceptions of individual creativity in organizations, less is known about whether this creativity bias holds in real world contexts and, if so, whether there are organizational consequences. In this paper, we examine the organizational implications of executives’ use of words related to creativity and innovation (i.e., creativity-speak) during quarterly earnings calls. We predict that due to the association between creativity and uncertainty, market reactions to creativity-speak will be negative. However, we also predict that these same discussions of creativity will be associated with higher firm financial performance. We find support for our predictions, and additionally find that the creativity bias can be ameliorated through executives’ use of a positive tone when discussing creativity and innovation. Our study has a number of theoretical implications for the study of creativity, innovation, and executive communication.

创造力和创新通常被认为是有效组织的基本特征。然而,最近的实验研究表明,在工作场所,个人层面的创造力并不总是被认为是积极的,因为创造性想法固有的不确定性。尽管这项研究提高了我们对组织中个人创造力的理解,但对于这种创造力偏见是否在现实世界中存在,以及如果存在,是否会对组织产生影响,我们知之甚少。在本文中,我们研究了高管在季度财报电话会议中使用与创造力和创新相关的词汇(即创造力语言)的组织含义。我们预测,由于创造力和不确定性之间的关联,市场对创造力言论的反应将是负面的。然而,我们也预测,这些关于创造力的讨论将与更高的公司财务绩效相关联。我们发现了对我们预测的支持,并且还发现,通过高管在讨论创造力和创新时使用积极的语气,可以改善创造力偏见。我们的研究对创造力、创新和高管沟通的研究有许多理论意义。
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引用次数: 2
Thinking outside the box helps build social connections: The role of creative mindsets in reducing daily rudeness 跳出框框思考有助于建立社会联系:创造性思维在减少日常粗鲁行为中的作用
IF 4.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104167
Trevor A. Foulk , Vijaya Venkataramani , Rujiao Cao , Satish Krishnan

Building on perspectives highlighting the social nature of workplace creativity, we argue that being in a creative mindset will highlight the value that co-workers provide to the creative process. This heightened awareness of co-workers as being integral to the creative process increases social closeness with these co-workers, subsequently reducing instigated rudeness towards, as well as perceived rudeness from, those co-workers. In four studies (both in the field as well as in the lab), we find support for these theoretical predictions. Our work also identifies when and for whom these effects are likely to be strongest, indicating that the effect of being in a creative mindset on social closeness is stronger in contexts characterized by high (vs. low) psychological safety, and weaker for employees high (vs. low) in dispositional creativity. We discuss the theoretical and practical implications of our findings.

基于强调工作场所创造力的社会本质的观点,我们认为处于创造性的心态将突出同事为创造性过程提供的价值。这种将同事视为创作过程中不可或缺的一部分的意识提高了与这些同事的社会亲密度,从而减少了对这些同事的主动粗鲁,以及对这些同事的感知粗鲁。在四项研究(包括实地研究和实验室研究)中,我们发现了对这些理论预测的支持。我们的工作还确定了这些影响在何时以及对谁来说可能是最强的,表明在高(相对于低)心理安全感的环境中,处于创造性思维对社会亲密度的影响更强,而在高(相对于低)性格创造力的员工中,这种影响更弱。我们讨论了我们的发现的理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 3
Shadow of conflict: How past conflict influences group cooperation and the use of punishment 冲突的阴影:过去的冲突如何影响群体合作和惩罚的使用
IF 4.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104152
Jörg Gross , Carsten K.W. De Dreu , Lennart Reddmann

Intergroup conflict profoundly affects the welfare of groups and can deteriorate intergroup relations long after the conflict is over. Here, we experimentally investigate how the experience of an intergroup conflict influences the ability of groups to establish cooperation after conflict. We induced conflict by using a repeated attacker-defender game in which groups of four are divided into two ‘attackers’ that can invest resources to take away resources from the other two participants in the role of ‘defenders.’ After the conflict, groups engaged in a repeated public goods game with peer-punishment, in which group members could invest resources to benefit the group and punish other group members for their decisions. Previous conflict did not significantly reduce group cooperation compared to a control treatment in which groups did not experience the intergroup conflict. However, when having experienced an intergroup conflict, individuals punished free-riding during the repeated public goods game less harshly and did not react to punishment by previous attackers, ultimately reducing group welfare. This result reveals an important boundary condition for peer punishment institutions. Peer punishment is less able to efficiently promote cooperation amid a ‘shadow of conflict.’ In a third treatment, we tested whether such ‘maladaptive’ punishment patterns induced by previous conflict can be mitigated by hiding the group members’ conflict roles during the subsequent public goods provision game. We find more cooperation when individuals could not identify each other as (previous) attackers and defenders and maladaptive punishment patterns disappeared. Results suggest that intergroup conflict undermines past perpetrators’ legitimacy to enforce cooperation norms. More generally, results reveal that past conflict can reduce the effectiveness of institutions for managing the commons.

群体间冲突深刻地影响群体的福利,并可能在冲突结束后很长一段时间内恶化群体间的关系。在这里,我们通过实验研究了群体间冲突的经历如何影响群体在冲突后建立合作的能力。我们通过使用一个重复的攻击-防御游戏来引发冲突,在这个游戏中,四人小组被分成两个“攻击者”,他们可以投入资源,从扮演“防御者”角色的另外两个参与者那里夺走资源。冲突结束后,群体会反复进行一场带有同伴惩罚的公共产品游戏,在这个游戏中,群体成员可以为群体利益投入资源,并惩罚其他群体成员的决定。与没有经历过群体间冲突的对照组相比,先前的冲突并没有显著减少群体合作。然而,当经历过群体间冲突时,个体在重复的公共物品博弈中对搭便车行为的惩罚较轻,并且对先前攻击者的惩罚没有反应,最终降低了群体福利。这一结果揭示了同伴惩罚制度的一个重要边界条件。在“冲突的阴影”下,同伴惩罚不太能够有效地促进合作。在第三个实验中,我们测试了这种由先前冲突引起的“不适应”惩罚模式是否可以通过在随后的公共物品提供博弈中隐藏小组成员的冲突角色来减轻。当个体无法识别对方是(以前的)攻击者和防御者时,我们发现更多的合作,不适应的惩罚模式消失了。结果表明,群体间冲突削弱了过去的犯罪者执行合作规范的合法性。更一般地说,研究结果表明,过去的冲突会降低管理公地的制度的有效性。
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引用次数: 2
The interpersonal consequences of stealing ideas: Worse character judgments and less co-worker support for an idea (vs. money) thief 窃取想法的人际后果:更糟糕的性格判断和更少的同事对想法(与金钱)窃贼的支持
IF 4.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104165
Lillien M. Ellis

As the demand for creativity grows, the vulnerability of ideas to theft becomes increasingly salient. Knowledge workers are keenly aware of idea theft and nearly one-third report having co-workers who steal ideas. However, the severity of consequences people face for stealing ideas is unclear. In this article, I investigate the interpersonal consequences of stealing ideas compared to stealing money. Across a series of experiments, I found that idea thieves are judged to have worse character than money thieves, and that individuals are less willing to offer them co-worker support. Further, I found that stronger internal attributions for idea theft behaviors drive this effect. Furthermore, I tested and found no evidence supporting value as an alternative explanation. Lastly, I found that individuals are judged more negatively for stealing creative (vs. practical) ideas. Taken together, these findings suggest that idea theft has significant interpersonal consequences with negative implications for co-worker dynamics.

随着对创造力需求的增长,创意容易被窃取的问题变得越来越突出。知识工作者敏锐地意识到创意被窃取,近三分之一的人表示有同事窃取创意。然而,窃取创意所面临的严重后果尚不清楚。在这篇文章中,我将研究窃取创意与窃取金钱之间的人际关系。通过一系列的实验,我发现偷点子的人被认为比偷钱的人人品更差,而且人们不太愿意为他们提供同事间的支持。此外,我发现更强的内部归因会推动这种效应。此外,我测试并发现没有证据支持作为另一种解释的价值。最后,我发现窃取创造性(相对于实用性)想法的人会受到更负面的评价。综上所述,这些发现表明,创意盗窃对人际关系产生了重大影响,对同事动态产生了负面影响。
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引用次数: 4
Tangibility bias in investment risk judgments 投资风险判断中的有形偏差
IF 4.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104150
Özgün Atasoy , Remi Trudel , Theodore J. Noseworthy , Patrick J. Kaufmann

The most popular ways of holding wealth include tangible investments such as real estate and gold, and intangible investments such as stocks and mutual funds. Five experiments revealed a tangibility bias whereby the tangibility of an investment or tangibility cues linked to an investment provides a false sense of financial safety. When focusing on avoiding risk, investors indicated a higher willingness to sell the stocks of companies that invest in intangible versus tangible assets (Study 1). The greater perceived permanence of tangible versus intangible assets appeared to underlie the difference in market risk assessments. Respondents judged the same asset as riskier when it was framed as intangible (Study 2), and differences in perceived permanence mediated this effect. Increasing perceived permanence independently of tangibility led to lower market risk assessments of commodity futures (Study 3). Tangibility prompts that leave asset tangibility unchanged were sufficient to lower risk judgments (studies 4 and 5). The differences in market risk assessments were not due to a general preference for tangible assets (Study 4) or differences in familiarity, complexity, or understanding of the asset types (studies 2 and 5).

最受欢迎的财富持有方式包括房地产和黄金等有形投资,以及股票和共同基金等无形投资。五个实验揭示了一种有形偏见,即投资的有形性或与投资相关的有形线索提供了一种虚假的财务安全感。当专注于规避风险时,投资者表示更愿意出售投资于无形资产的公司的股票,而不是有形资产(研究1)。有形资产与无形资产的更大感知持久性似乎是市场风险评估差异的基础。当同样的资产被定义为无形资产时,被调查者认为风险更大(研究2),而感知持久性的差异介导了这种影响。增加独立于有形性的感知持久性导致商品期货的市场风险评估降低(研究3)。有形性提示保持资产有形性不变足以降低风险判断(研究4和5)。市场风险评估的差异不是由于对有形资产的普遍偏好(研究4)或熟悉程度、复杂性或对资产类型的理解差异(研究2和5)。
{"title":"Tangibility bias in investment risk judgments","authors":"Özgün Atasoy ,&nbsp;Remi Trudel ,&nbsp;Theodore J. Noseworthy ,&nbsp;Patrick J. Kaufmann","doi":"10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104150","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104150","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The most popular ways of holding wealth include tangible investments such as real estate and gold, and intangible investments such as stocks and mutual funds. Five experiments revealed a tangibility bias whereby the tangibility of an investment or tangibility cues linked to an investment provides a false sense of financial safety. When focusing on avoiding risk, investors indicated a higher willingness to sell the stocks of companies that invest in intangible versus tangible assets (Study 1). The greater perceived permanence of tangible versus intangible assets appeared to underlie the difference in market risk assessments. Respondents judged the same asset as riskier when it was framed as intangible (Study 2), and differences in perceived permanence mediated this effect. Increasing perceived permanence independently of tangibility led to lower market risk assessments of commodity futures (Study 3). Tangibility prompts that leave asset tangibility unchanged were sufficient to lower risk judgments (studies 4 and 5). The differences in market risk assessments were not due to a general preference for tangible assets (Study 4) or differences in familiarity, complexity, or understanding of the asset types (studies 2 and 5).</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48442,"journal":{"name":"Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0749597822000346/pdfft?md5=65ff842411b5e145e724c40bdec71e95&pid=1-s2.0-S0749597822000346-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46242804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
What do I make of the rest of my life? Global and quotidian life construal across the retirement transition 我的余生该如何度过?退休过渡期的全球和日常生活解析
IF 4.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104137
Jeff Steiner, Teresa M. Amabile

Retirement means relinquishing the daily structure that work provides and the career-dependent meanings that it offers life narratives. The retirement transition can therefore involve contemplating both how to spend newly-freed daily time and the implications of retirement for one’s life narrative. We investigate how American professionals construe their working and retirement lives, in a qualitative study drawing on 215 interviews with 120 participants, including 12 interviewed longitudinally throughout their years-long retirement transitions. We identify two orthogonal dimensions for contemplating the work and retirement domains of one’s life – global and quotidian life construal – and four basic modes of cognition that arise from variability across these dimensions. We induce a theoretical model describing how construal of working life prefigures construal of retirement life, which then shapes the retirement life experience. This study contributes to construal level theory, narrative psychology, and the literatures on retirement transitions and the meaning of work.

退休意味着放弃工作提供的日常结构,以及它提供的生活叙事的职业依赖意义。因此,退休的过渡可以包括考虑如何度过新释放出来的日常时间,以及退休对一个人的生活叙事的影响。我们调查了美国专业人士如何解释他们的工作和退休生活,在一项定性研究中,对120名参与者进行了215次访谈,其中12人在他们长达数年的退休过渡期间进行了纵向访谈。我们确定了两个正交的维度来思考一个人的生活的工作和退休领域-全球和日常生活解释-以及四种基本的认知模式,这些模式源于这些维度的可变性。我们归纳了一个理论模型,描述工作生活的解释如何预示退休生活的解释,然后塑造退休生活经验。本研究对解释水平理论、叙事心理学、退休过渡与工作意义的文献研究都有贡献。
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引用次数: 5
When you try your best to help but don't succeed: How self-compassionate reflection influences reactions to interpersonal helping failures 当你尽了最大的努力去帮助别人,但没有成功:自我同情的反思如何影响对人际帮助失败的反应
IF 4.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104151
Yu Tse Heng, Ryan Fehr

In this research, we explore how employees’ self-reflections following a failed attempt to help a coworker shape future helping intentions and behaviors. Specifically, we propose a dual-process model of parallel affective and cognitive pathways to delineate how, and why, reflecting on an interpersonal helping failure with self-compassion would result in countervailing effects on future helping. Whereas self-compassion reduces employees’ future helping via the alleviation of guilt (affective mechanism), it also increases employees’ future helping via the facilitation of helping self-efficacy (cognitive mechanism). We further draw on theories of attribution to propose that these effects depend on who was at fault for the helping failure, such that the effects are strengthened when coworker blame attribution is low. Results across four studies improve our understanding of the phenomenon of interpersonal helping failures, and the role of employee self-reflection in shaping the impact of these failures on future intentions and behavior.

在这项研究中,我们探讨了员工在尝试帮助同事失败后的自我反思如何塑造未来的帮助意图和行为。具体而言,我们提出了一个平行情感和认知途径的双过程模型,以描述自我同情反思人际帮助失败如何以及为什么会对未来的帮助产生抵消效应。自我同情通过内疚感的减轻(情感机制)降低了员工未来的帮助,同时也通过帮助自我效能感的促进(认知机制)提高了员工未来的帮助。我们进一步利用归因理论提出,这些影响取决于谁对帮助失败负有责任,因此当同事责备归因较低时,效果会增强。四项研究的结果提高了我们对人际帮助失败现象的理解,以及员工自我反思在塑造这些失败对未来意图和行为的影响方面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
All’s well that ends (and peaks) well? A meta-analysis of the peak-end rule and duration neglect 结局好(顶峰好)的都是好?峰值结束规则和持续时间忽视的荟萃分析
IF 4.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104149
Balca Alaybek , Reeshad S. Dalal , Shea Fyffe , John A. Aitken , You Zhou , Xiao Qu , Alexis Roman , Julia I. Baines

The peak-end rule (Fredrickson & Kahneman, 1993) asserts that, when people retrospectively evaluate an experience (e.g., the previous workday), they rely more heavily on the episode with peak intensity and on the final (end) episode than on other episodes in the experience. We meta-analyzed 174 effect sizes and found strong support for the peak-end rule. The peak-end effect on retrospective summary evaluations was: (1) large (r = 0.581, 95% Confidence Interval = 0.487–0.661), (2) robust across boundary conditions, (3) comparable to the effect of the overall average (mean) score and stronger than the effects of the trend and variability across all episodes in the experience, (4) stronger than the effects of the first (beginning) and lowest intensity (trough) episodes, and (5) stronger than the effect of the duration of the experience (which was essentially nil, thereby supporting the idea of duration neglect; Fredrickson & Kahneman, 1993). We provide a future research agenda and practical implications.

峰端规则(弗雷德里克森&;卡纳曼(Kahneman, 1993)断言,当人们回顾性地评估一段经历(例如,前一个工作日)时,他们更依赖于强度最高的那一段和最后(结束)的那一段,而不是经历中的其他部分。我们对174个效应量进行了meta分析,发现峰端规则得到了强有力的支持。回顾性总结评价的峰端效应为:(1)大(r = 0.581, 95%置信区间= 0.487-0.661),(2)跨边界条件稳健,(3)与总体平均(平均)得分的影响相当,强于经历中所有情节的趋势和变异的影响,(4)强于第一(开始)和最低强度(低谷)情节的影响,(5)强于经历持续时间的影响(基本上为零)。从而支持了持续忽视的观点;弗雷德里克森,卡尼曼,1993)。我们提供了一个未来的研究议程和实际意义。
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引用次数: 5
Blinding curiosity: Exploring preferences for “blinding” one’s own judgment 盲目的好奇心:探索“盲目”自己判断的偏好
IF 4.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104135
Sean Fath , Richard P. Larrick , Jack B. Soll

We perform the first tests of individual-level preferences for “blinding” in decision making: purposefully restricting the information one sees in order to form a more objective evaluation. For example, when grading her students’ papers, a professor might choose to “blind” herself to students’ names by anonymizing them, thus evaluating the papers on content alone. We predict that curiosity will shape blinding preferences, motivating people to seek out (vs. be blind to) irrelevant, potentially biasing information about a target of evaluation. We further predict that decision frames that reduce or satisfy curiosity about potentially biasing information will encourage choices to be blind to that information. We find support for these hypotheses across seven studies (N = 4,356) and multiple replications (N = 9,570), demonstrating consequences for bias and accuracy across a variety of evaluation contexts. We discuss implications for research on mental contamination as well as the “dark side” of curiosity.

我们对决策中的“盲化”的个人偏好进行了第一次测试:有目的地限制人们看到的信息,以形成更客观的评价。例如,在给学生的论文评分时,教授可能会选择匿名,不让自己看到学生的名字,从而只根据论文的内容来评估论文。我们预测,好奇心会形成盲目偏好,促使人们寻找(相对于视而不见)与评估目标无关的、可能有偏见的信息。我们进一步预测,减少或满足对潜在偏见信息的好奇心的决策框架将鼓励对该信息视而不见的选择。我们在7项研究(N = 4,356)和多个重复研究(N = 9,570)中发现了对这些假设的支持,证明了在各种评估背景下偏差和准确性的后果。我们讨论了心理污染研究的意义以及好奇心的“阴暗面”。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
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