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What Do We Know So Far about Multigenerational Mobility? 到目前为止,我们对多代人的流动性了解多少?
IF 3.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-06-11 DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12495
Gary Solon

‘Multigenerational mobility’ refers to the associations in socio-economic status across three or more generations. This article begins by summarising the long-standing but recently growing empirical literature on multigenerational mobility. It then discusses multiple theoretical interpretations of the empirical patterns, including the one recently proposed in Gregory Clark's book The Son Also Rises.

“多代流动”是指三代或三代以上社会经济地位的关联。本文首先总结了长期存在但最近不断增长的关于多代流动的实证文献。然后讨论了对经验模式的多种理论解释,包括格雷戈里·克拉克(Gregory Clark)最近在《儿子也会崛起》(the Son Also Rises)一书中提出的解释。
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引用次数: 115
Grandfathers Matter(ed): Occupational Mobility Across Three Generations in the US and Britain, 1850–1911 祖父的问题(编):美国和英国三代人的职业流动,1850-1911
IF 3.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-06-11 DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12590
Jason Long, Joseph Ferrie

Nearly all intergenerational mobility studies focus on fathers and sons. The possibility that the process is more than simply two-generational (AR(1)) has been difficult to assess because of the lack of the necessary multi-generational data. We remedy this shortcoming with new data that links grandfathers, fathers and sons in Britain and the US between 1850 and 1910. We find that grandfathers mattered: even controlling for father's occupation, grandfather's occupation significantly influenced the occupation of the grandson. For both Britain and the US in this time period, therefore, assessments based on two-generation estimates significantly overstate the true amount of social mobility.

几乎所有的代际流动性研究都集中在父亲和儿子身上。由于缺乏必要的多代数据,很难评估该过程不仅仅是两代人(AR(1))的可能性。我们用1850年至1910年间英国和美国的祖父、父亲和儿子的新数据弥补了这一缺陷。我们发现祖父很重要:即使控制父亲的职业,祖父的职业也显著影响孙子的职业。因此,对于这一时期的英国和美国来说,基于两代人的估算大大夸大了社会流动性的真实水平。
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引用次数: 53
Group Size and the Efficiency of Informal Risk Sharing 群体规模与非正式风险分担效率
IF 3.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-18 DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12565
Emla Fitzsimons, Bansi Malde, Marcos Vera-Hernández

This paper studies the relationship between group size and informal risk sharing. It shows that under limited commitment with coalitional deviations, this relationship is theoretically ambiguous. It investigates this question empirically using data on sibship size of household heads and spouses from rural Malawi, exploiting a social norm among the main sample ethnic group to define the potential risk-sharing group. We uncover evidence of worse risk sharing of crop losses in larger potential risk-sharing groups, and rule out alternative explanations for the findings. A simple calibration exercise indicates that our empirical findings are consistent with the theory.

本文研究了群体规模与非正式风险分担的关系。结果表明,在具有联盟偏差的有限承诺下,这种关系在理论上是模糊的。它利用马拉维农村家庭户主和配偶的兄弟姐妹人数数据,利用主要样本种族群体的社会规范来定义潜在的风险分担群体,对这个问题进行了实证研究。我们发现的证据表明,在较大的潜在风险分担群体中,作物损失的风险分担程度较差,并排除了对这一发现的其他解释。一个简单的校准练习表明,我们的实证研究结果与理论一致。
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引用次数: 8
Measuring and Changing Control: Women's Empowerment and Targeted Transfers 测量和改变控制:妇女赋权和有针对性的转移
IF 3.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-18 DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12517
Ingvild Almås, Alex Armand, Orazio Attanasio, Pedro Carneiro

This article uses a novel identification strategy to measure power in the household. Our strategy is to elicit women's willingness to pay to receive a cash transfer instead of their spouse receiving it. We selected participants from a sample of women who had already participated in a policy intervention in Macedonia offering poor households cash transfers conditional on having their children attending secondary school. The programme randomised transfers at the municipality level to either household heads (generally a male) or mothers. We show that women who were offered the transfer on average have stronger measured empowerment. Here, IV estimation confirms this result.

本文采用一种新颖的认同策略来衡量家庭中的权力。我们的策略是让女性愿意支付现金转账,而不是让她们的配偶接受现金转账。我们从已经参加马其顿政策干预的妇女样本中选择了参与者,该政策干预向贫困家庭提供现金转移,条件是其子女必须上中学。该方案在市政一级随机向户主(一般为男性)或母亲转移。我们发现,平均而言,接受转移的女性拥有更强的衡量赋权。这里,IV估计证实了这一结果。
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引用次数: 95
Learning, Hygiene and Traditional Medicine 学习、卫生和传统医学
IF 3.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-18 DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12549
Daniel Bennett, Asjad Naqvi, Wolf-Peter Schmidt

Information provision is only an effective behaviour-change strategy if the information is credible. A novel programme augments conventional hygiene instruction by showing participants everyday microbes under a microscope. Through a randomised evaluation in Pakistan, we show that this programme leads to meaningful hygiene and health improvements, while instruction alone does not. Traditional medicine, which offers an alternative disease model, may undermine learning by strengthening prior beliefs about hygiene. We show that believers in traditional medicine have smaller impacts, suggesting that traditional and modern medical beliefs are substitutes and that traditional medicine may exacerbate the infectious disease burden in this context.

只有在信息可信的情况下,提供信息才是一种有效的行为改变策略。一个新项目通过向参与者展示显微镜下的日常微生物,增强了传统的卫生指导。通过在巴基斯坦进行的随机评估,我们发现该方案带来了有意义的卫生和健康改善,而仅靠教学并不能。传统医学提供了另一种疾病模型,它可能会通过加强对卫生的先前信念而破坏学习。我们表明,传统医学的信仰者的影响较小,这表明传统和现代医学信仰是替代品,在这种情况下,传统医学可能加剧传染病负担。
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引用次数: 25
Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects in Macroeconomics Using External Instruments 利用外部工具识别和估计宏观经济学中的动态因果效应
IF 3.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-07 DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12593
James H. Stock, Mark W. Watson

External sources of as-if randomness — that is, external instruments — can be used to identify the dynamic causal effects of macroeconomic shocks. One method is a one-step instrumental variables regression (local projections – IV); a more efficient two-step method involves a vector autoregression. We show that, under a restrictive instrument validity condition, the one-step method is valid even if the vector autoregression is not invertible, so comparing the two estimates provides a test of invertibility. If, however, lagged endogenous variables are needed as control variables in the one-step method, then the conditions for validity of the two methods are the same.

看似随机性的外部来源——即外部工具——可以用来确定宏观经济冲击的动态因果效应。一种方法是一步工具变量回归(局部预测- IV);一个更有效的两步方法涉及向量自回归。我们证明,在有限的工具效度条件下,即使向量自回归不可逆,一步法也是有效的,因此比较两种估计提供了可逆性的检验。但是,如果一步法中需要滞后的内生变量作为控制变量,则两种方法的有效性条件相同。
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引用次数: 362
Market Structure and Borrower Welfare in Microfinance 小额信贷市场结构与借款人福利
IF 3.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-07 DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12591
Jonathan de Quidt, Thiemo Fetzer, Maitreesh Ghatak

Motivated by recent controversies surrounding the role of commercial lenders in microfinance, and calls for regulation of the sector, we analyse borrower welfare under different market structures, considering a benevolent non-profit lender, a for-profit monopolist and a competitive credit market. To understand the magnitude of the effects analysed, we simulate the model with parameters estimated from the MIX Market database. Our results suggest that market power can have severe implications for borrower welfare, while despite possible enforcement externalities competition typically delivers similar borrower welfare to non-profit lending.

受最近围绕商业贷款机构在小额信贷中的作用的争议以及对该行业进行监管的呼吁的启发,我们分析了不同市场结构下的借款人福利,考虑了仁慈的非营利贷款机构、营利性垄断者和竞争性信贷市场。为了理解所分析的影响的大小,我们用MIX Market数据库估计的参数来模拟模型。我们的研究结果表明,市场力量可能对借款人福利产生严重影响,而尽管可能存在执行外部性,竞争通常会为非营利贷款提供类似的借款人福利。
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引用次数: 52
Lost in the Storm: The Academic Collaborations That Went Missing in Hurricane ISSAC 迷失在风暴中:在ISSAC飓风中失踪的学术合作
IF 3.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-07 DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12566
Raquel Campos, Fernanda Leon, Ben McQuillin

By exploiting the cancellation of the 2012 American Political Science Association Annual Meeting, we investigate the role of conferences in facilitating academic collaboration. We assembled data sets comprising 17,467 academics, and in difference-in-differences analysis we find that the conference cancellation led to a decrease in individuals’ likelihood of co-authoring an article with another attendant by 16%. Moreover, collaborations formed among attendants of (occurring) conferences are associated with more successful co-publications: an effect which is sharpest for teams that are new or non-collocated. Conferences seem to de-cluster the co-authorship network. Altogether, our findings demonstrate the importance of conferences in scientific production.

以2012年美国政治科学协会年会的取消为例,我们探讨了会议在促进学术合作中的作用。我们收集了包括17,467名学者的数据集,在差异中差异分析中,我们发现会议取消导致个人与另一名与会者共同撰写文章的可能性降低了16%。此外,(正在举行的)会议的参与者之间形成的合作与更成功的共同出版物有关:对于新团队或非组合团队来说,这种影响最为明显。会议似乎分散了合作作者网络。总之,我们的发现证明了会议在科学生产中的重要性。
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引用次数: 38
Upward Pricing Pressure in Two-sided Markets: Corrigendum 双边市场的价格上行压力:勘误表
IF 3.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-07 DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12597
Pauline Affeldt, Lapo Filistrucchi, Tobias J. Klein

The original code producing the results in Affeldt et al. (2013) did not calculate the two-sided diversion ratios correctly. In this corrigendum, we present results that are obtained using revised code. The code is also provided as an updated replication package.

Tables 2 and 4 are affected by the coding error. Here, we present corrected versions of those tables. Comparing Table 2 to the original one in the published article shows that diversion ratios in the bottom panel and in the last column of the top panel are affected. In the article, we point out that two-sided diversion ratios on the advertising side are positive and explain why this is to be expected. This is still the case.

Comparing Table 4 to the corresponding one in the published article shows that results for two-sided upward pricing pressure (UPP) measures are affected mainly on the advertising side. The necessary efficiency credits are lower than previously reported. Nevertheless, there is evidence for UPP on both market sides, while we have already documented in the article that one-sided UPP measures only suggest this to be the case for the readership side. So, importantly, the main conclusion that one cannot, in general, use one-sided UPP measures in two-sided markets, still holds.

产生Affeldt et al.(2013)结果的原始代码没有正确计算双面转移比率。在这个勘误表中,我们给出了使用修订后的代码获得的结果。该代码还作为更新的复制包提供。表2和表4受到编码错误的影响。在这里,我们提供这些表格的更正版本。将表2与已发表文章中的原始表进行对比,可以发现,底部面板和顶部面板最后一列的导流比率受到了影响。在这篇文章中,我们指出,广告方面的双边转移比率是正的,并解释了为什么这是预期的。现在仍然是这样。将表4与已发表文章中相应的表进行比较,可以看出,双向上行定价压力(UPP)措施的结果主要在广告端受到影响。必要的效率抵免额比以前报告的要低。尽管如此,市场双方都有UPP的证据,而我们已经在文章中记录了片面的UPP测量只表明这是读者方面的情况。因此,重要的是,通常不能在双边市场中使用单边UPP指标的主要结论仍然成立。
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引用次数: 1
Communication Costs and the Internal Organisation of Multi-plant Businesses: Evidence from the Impact of the French High-speed Rail 通信成本与多工厂企业内部组织:来自法国高铁影响的证据
IF 3.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-07 DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12592
Pauline Charnoz, Claire Lelarge, Corentin Trevien

We take advantage of the expansion of the French High-speed Rail to study the impact of decreases in communication costs in the form of lower travel times between headquarters and affiliated plants of corporate groups. We show that such shocks foster the functional specialisation of remote affiliates on their production activities. Support activities shrink because of the transfer of high-skilled managers to headquarters. These organisational rationalisations have a significant but small impact on overall profit. Our results hold across all industries but are strongest in services where the information to be transmitted across sites is arguably softer.

我们利用法国高速铁路的扩建来研究通信成本降低的影响,其形式是企业集团总部和附属工厂之间的旅行时间减少。我们表明,这种冲击促进了远程子公司在其生产活动上的功能专业化。由于高技能管理人员调往总部,支助活动减少。这些组织合理化对整体利润有显著但很小的影响。我们的研究结果适用于所有行业,但在需要跨站点传输的信息较为柔软的服务领域表现最为突出。
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引用次数: 50
期刊
Economic Journal
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