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Global Health research abstracts: October ‘25 全球健康研究摘要:25年10月
IF 1.2 4区 医学 Q3 EMERGENCY MEDICINE Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100922
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引用次数: 0
Global Health research abstracts: December ‘25 全球健康研究摘要:25年12月
IF 1.2 4区 医学 Q3 EMERGENCY MEDICINE Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100920
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引用次数: 0
Global Health research abstracts: August ‘25 全球健康研究摘要:25年8月
IF 1.2 4区 医学 Q3 EMERGENCY MEDICINE Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100919
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引用次数: 0
Incidence of mortality and predictors among patients with shock managed in the emergency room of a tertiary hospital in Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚一家三级医院急诊室中休克患者的死亡率和预测因素
IF 1.2 4区 医学 Q3 EMERGENCY MEDICINE Pub Date : 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100917
Kalsidagn Girma Asfaw , Abel Getachew Adugna , Nahom Mesfin Mekonen , Merahi Kefyalew Merahi , Segni Kejela , Fekadesilassie Henok Moges , Tigist Workneh Leulseged

Introduction

Shock is a common emergency condition which can lead to organ failure and death if not diagnosed and managed timely. Despite its huge global impact, data is scarce in resource-limited settings, including Ethiopia, which hinders the provision of quality care for improved outcomes. Hence, this study aimed to determine the incidence of death and predictors among adult patients with shock managed at the Emergency Department of St. Paul’s Hospital Millennium Medical College in Ethiopia.

Methods

A retrospective chart review study was conducted among eligible patients managed at the hospital between October 1, 2021 and May 20, 2022. Mortality was estimated with incidence density using person day (PD) of observation. To identify predictors of mortality, a generalized linear model using poisson regression model with robust standard errors fitted, where adjusted relative risk (ARR) with 95 % CI was used to interpret results.

Result

During the study period, a total of 196 patients were identified for assessment, of which 18 with incomplete records were excluded, resulting in 178 eligible patients for inclusion. The majority of participants were 40 or older (69.7 %) and female (51.1 %), presenting with symptoms lasting less than one week (68.5 %) and had at least one comorbid illness (70.8 %). The incidence of death was 16.5 deaths per 100 PD (95 % CI = 13.1 to 20.9). While triage to orange was associated with a decreased risk of death, high shock index, septic shock diagnosis, vasopressor use, and organ failure were associated with increased risk of death.

Conclusion

The incidence of mortality among shock patients was found to be considerable. To optimize patient care and improve outcomes, it is important to remain vigilant in the proper triage and early diagnosis of shock using more sensitive tools for prompt identification of high-risk cases, as well as to provide timely, prioritized and effective interventions.
休克是一种常见的紧急情况,如果不及时诊断和处理,可能导致器官衰竭和死亡。尽管它在全球产生了巨大影响,但在包括埃塞俄比亚在内的资源有限的环境中,数据很少,这阻碍了为改善结果提供高质量的护理。因此,本研究旨在确定埃塞俄比亚圣保罗医院千年医学院急诊科管理的成年休克患者的死亡率和预测因素。方法对该医院于2021年10月1日至2022年5月20日收治的符合条件的患者进行回顾性图表回顾研究。死亡率用观察的人日(PD)随发病率密度估计。为了确定死亡率的预测因子,采用具有稳健标准误差的泊松回归模型拟合了一个广义线性模型,其中使用95% CI的校正相对危险度(ARR)来解释结果。结果研究期间共纳入196例患者,排除记录不完整的18例,纳入178例患者。大多数参与者年龄在40岁或以上(69.7%),女性(51.1%),症状持续时间少于一周(68.5%),至少有一种合并症(70.8%)。死亡发生率为16.5 / 100 PD (95% CI = 13.1 ~ 20.9)。虽然橙色分类与死亡风险降低有关,但高休克指数、脓毒性休克诊断、血管加压药的使用和器官衰竭与死亡风险增加有关。结论休克患者的死亡率相当高。为了优化患者护理和改善预后,重要的是要保持警惕,使用更敏感的工具对休克进行适当的分类和早期诊断,以及时识别高风险病例,并提供及时、优先和有效的干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
Magnitude and associated factors of discharge against medical advice among patients treated in the adult Emergency Department at an Ethiopian University Hospital 埃塞俄比亚大学医院成人急诊科患者不遵医嘱出院的程度及相关因素
IF 1.2 4区 医学 Q3 EMERGENCY MEDICINE Pub Date : 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100918
Getachew Worku , Demelash Ataro

Background

Discharge against medical advice (DAMA) is a global phenomenon in which patients voluntarily terminate their consent to medical care before the medical team declares them fit for discharge. This adversely affects the delivery of quality health care and poses serious clinical, ethical, and legal challenges to the individual physician and the hospital. This study aims to assess the magnitude and factors associated with DAMA.

Methods

An institution-based cross-sectional study was conducted at the adult emergency department of Hawassa University Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Ethiopia. A systematic random sampling technique was used to select 322 patients. The data were collected using a pretested, structured checklist through chart review. Descriptive statistics, including proportions, medians, tables, and charts, were used to describe the characteristics of the study participants. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with DAMA. The model's fitness was checked by the Hosmer and Lemeshow tests. The significance level was declared at a p-value < 0.05.

Results

This study found that the magnitude of DAMA was 7.45 % (24 out of 322); 95 % CI: 4.56–10.3 %) The majority of patients with DAMA 1041.7 %) were due to a financial issue, followed by the refusal of procedure 5, 20.8 %) and poor prognosis 4, 16.7 %). Being male [AOR: 4.1; 95 % CI: 1.17–14.11] and triage levels of Red and Orange [AOR: 2.87; 95 % CI: 1.02- 8.02] were associated with DAMA.

Conclusion

The study identified a considerable magnitude of DAMA. Being male and the severity of the triage score were found to be independent determinants of DAMA. The majority of patients had permanently left the hospital due to financial constraints. Therefore, strengthening health insurance and ensuring the availability of the necessary resources at government health facilities could help reduce DAMA.
根据医嘱出院(DAMA)是一种全球现象,即患者在医疗团队宣布其适合出院之前自愿终止对医疗护理的同意。这对提供高质量的医疗保健产生不利影响,并对医生个人和医院构成严重的临床、道德和法律挑战。本研究旨在评估DAMA的程度和相关因素。方法在埃塞俄比亚阿瓦萨大学综合专科医院成人急诊科进行一项基于机构的横断面研究。采用系统随机抽样方法抽取322例患者。通过图表审查,使用预先测试的结构化检查表收集数据。描述性统计,包括比例、中位数、表格和图表,用于描述研究参与者的特征。采用二元logistic回归分析确定与DAMA相关的因素。模型的适合度通过Hosmer和Lemeshow检验。p值<; 0.05为显著性水平。结果322例患者中DAMA发生率为7.45%(24例);95% CI: 4.56 - 10.3%)大多数DAMA患者(41.7%)是由于经济问题,其次是拒绝手术(20.8%)和预后不良(16.7%)。男性[AOR: 4.1;95% CI: 1.17-14.11]和红色和橙色的分类水平[AOR: 2.87;95% CI: 1.02 ~ 8.02]与DAMA相关。结论该研究确定了相当大的DAMA。男性和分诊评分的严重程度被发现是DAMA的独立决定因素。由于财政拮据,大多数病人已经永久离开了医院。因此,加强医疗保险和确保政府保健设施提供必要的资源有助于减少死亡人数。
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引用次数: 0
An assessment of emergency care capacity at three hospitals in the Harare metropol, Zimbabwe: A descriptive cross-sectional study using the WHO Hospital Emergency Assessment Tool (HEAT) 对津巴布韦哈拉雷市三家医院急诊护理能力的评估:使用世卫组织医院急诊评估工具(HEAT)的描述性横断面研究
IF 1.2 4区 医学 Q3 EMERGENCY MEDICINE Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100915
Prince Deka, Peter Hodkinson

Introduction

Zimbabwe has experienced significant population growth, as well as a rise in noncommunicable diseases, impacting the demand for emergency care services. However, there is limited data on the state of Zimbabwe's emergency care systems to meet this growing need. This pilot study aimed to assess the capacity of Emergency Departments at three major referral hospitals in Harare, Zimbabwe.

Methodology

A cross-sectional descriptive study was conducted using the World Health Organization’s Hospital Emergency Assessment Tool (HEAT). Key participants from each hospital were interviewed in 2023 to gather data on facility characteristics, human resources, diagnostic services, and signal functions.

Results

Three large hospitals offering round-the-clock emergency care services were included. A core of dedicated doctors and nurses manned the Emergency Department in all three facilities, yet none had specific training in emergency medicine. There were various significant challenges to the operation of emergency departments, including access to water for one, and two with limited capacity to perform emergency diagnostic tests as they lacked the necessary equipment and consumables. One hospital reported a sufficient set of emergency protocols and guidelines, while the other two hospitals exhibited varying levels of availability in these areas. Two facilities reported adequate capacity in performing >85 % of signal functions. Common challenges included the absence of emergency-trained staff, lack of a formal triage system, and equipment deficiencies, all of which constrained their ability to deliver certain signal functions.

Conclusion

This assessment revealed a spectrum of service availabilities across the three hospitals, with common barriers identified. To strengthen the country's emergency care system, efforts should be focused on improving consumable supplies, prioritising training initiatives in emergency medicine to build a skilled workforce and implementing standardised protocols and triage systems across facilities. Continuous monitoring and evaluation of implemented interventions are necessary to ensure sustainable improvements in emergency care delivery.
津巴布韦人口大幅增长,非传染性疾病也有所增加,影响了对紧急护理服务的需求。然而,关于津巴布韦紧急护理系统状况的数据有限,无法满足这一日益增长的需求。这项试点研究的目的是评估津巴布韦哈拉雷三家主要转诊医院急诊科的能力。方法采用世界卫生组织医院紧急情况评估工具(HEAT)进行横断面描述性研究。2023年对每家医院的主要参与者进行了访谈,以收集有关设施特征、人力资源、诊断服务和信号功能的数据。结果纳入3家提供24小时急诊服务的大型医院。三家医院的急诊科都有一群敬业的医生和护士,但没有人接受过急诊医学方面的专门培训。急诊部门的运作面临各种重大挑战,包括一个部门无法获得水,两个部门进行紧急诊断测试的能力有限,因为它们缺乏必要的设备和消耗品。一家医院报告说有一套足够的急救规程和准则,而另外两家医院在这些领域显示出不同程度的可用性。两个设施报告有足够的能力执行85%的信号功能。常见的挑战包括缺乏受过紧急训练的工作人员、缺乏正式的分流系统和设备不足,所有这些都限制了他们提供某些信号功能的能力。结论:该评估揭示了三家医院的服务可用性,并确定了共同的障碍。为了加强国家的紧急护理系统,应将工作重点放在改善消耗品供应、优先考虑急诊医学培训举措,以建立一支熟练的劳动力队伍,并在各设施实施标准化协议和分诊系统。必须持续监测和评估实施的干预措施,以确保持续改善急诊服务。
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引用次数: 0
Prehospital emergency response and management of pregnancy-associated haemorrhage in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa: A Retrospective Cross-Sectional Study 南非夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省妊娠相关出血的院前急救和管理:一项回顾性横断面研究
IF 1.2 4区 医学 Q3 EMERGENCY MEDICINE Pub Date : 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100912
S Govender , OP Khaliq , T Abel , J Moodley

Background

Pregnancy-associated haemorrhage (PAH) is a leading contributor to maternal mortality in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) and the fourth most common cause in South Africa. Delays in treating PAH increase maternal mortality; prompt prehospital response is therefore critical to improve outcomes. The aim of this study was to analyse response times and clinical management of PAH by public sector Emergency Care Providers in KZN, looking specifically at postpartum haemorrhage (PPH).

Methods

A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted in two phases. Phase 1 involved analysis of emergency call centre records (n = 4779) assessing response time patterns. Phase 2 analysed randomly selected PPH cases (n = 61) to assess clinical management practices. Descriptive statistics summarised demographics, response patterns, and clinical practice, Pearson correlation examined the relationships between time variables, and chi-square tests assessed associations between clinical variables (p < 0.05).

Results

More than half (51.5 %) of PAH cases had ambulance response times >60 min. Median pre-response time was 30 min; overall response time was 63.5 min but both were positively skewed by extreme delays, with higher trimmed means(50.9 min and 85.7 min respectively). Most cases (81.6 %, n = 3899) were transported from primary healthcare facilities to hospitals, with Intermediate Life Support Providers managing 75.7 % of the cases. In the sampled PPH patients, compliance with vital signs monitoring was initially high (91.8 %) but declined in transit (42.6 %). Providers were largely non-compliant in documenting blood loss and patient history. Despite almost all patients showing clinical signs of shock 44.3 % of PPH cases received no intravenous fluids.

Conclusion

Significant time delays in EMS response and inconsistencies in PAH clinical management by EMS providers were identified. Improved resource allocation, focused training and adherence to clinical and departmental guidelines are vital to strengthening maternal emergency care in KZN.
妊娠相关出血(PAH)是夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省(KZN)孕产妇死亡的主要原因,也是南非第四大常见原因。延误治疗多环芳烃会增加孕产妇死亡率;因此,院前快速反应对改善预后至关重要。本研究的目的是分析KZN公共部门紧急护理提供者对PAH的反应时间和临床管理,特别是产后出血(PPH)。方法回顾性横断面研究分两期进行。第一阶段涉及分析紧急呼叫中心记录(n = 4779),评估响应时间模式。第二阶段分析随机选择的PPH病例(n = 61),以评估临床管理实践。描述性统计总结了人口统计学、反应模式和临床实践,Pearson相关性检验了时间变量之间的关系,卡方检验评估了临床变量之间的相关性(p < 0.05)。结果超过一半(51.5%)的PAH病例救护车反应时间为60 min。预反应时间中位数为30 min;总体响应时间为63.5分钟,但两者都受到极端延迟的积极影响,平均值较高(分别为50.9分钟和85.7分钟)。大多数病例(81.6%,n = 3899)从初级卫生保健机构转移到医院,中级生命支持提供者管理了75.7%的病例。在抽样的PPH患者中,生命体征监测的依从性最初很高(91.8%),但在转运中下降(42.6%)。提供者在记录出血量和患者病史方面大多不合规。尽管几乎所有患者都表现出休克的临床症状,但44.3%的PPH病例没有接受静脉输液。结论EMS响应的显著延迟和EMS提供者对PAH临床管理的不一致。改善资源分配、有重点的培训和遵守临床和部门准则对于加强KZN的产妇急诊护理至关重要。
{"title":"Prehospital emergency response and management of pregnancy-associated haemorrhage in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa: A Retrospective Cross-Sectional Study","authors":"S Govender ,&nbsp;OP Khaliq ,&nbsp;T Abel ,&nbsp;J Moodley","doi":"10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100912","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100912","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Pregnancy-associated haemorrhage (PAH) is a leading contributor to maternal mortality in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) and the fourth most common cause in South Africa. Delays in treating PAH increase maternal mortality; prompt prehospital response is therefore critical to improve outcomes. The aim of this study was to analyse response times and clinical management of PAH by public sector Emergency Care Providers in KZN, looking specifically at postpartum haemorrhage (PPH).</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted in two phases. Phase 1 involved analysis of emergency call centre records (n = 4779) assessing response time patterns. Phase 2 analysed randomly selected PPH cases (n = 61) to assess clinical management practices. Descriptive statistics summarised demographics, response patterns, and clinical practice, Pearson correlation examined the relationships between time variables, and chi-square tests assessed associations between clinical variables (p &lt; 0.05).</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>More than half (51.5 %) of PAH cases had ambulance response times &gt;60 min. Median pre-response time was 30 min; overall response time was 63.5 min but both were positively skewed by extreme delays, with higher trimmed means(50.9 min and 85.7 min respectively). Most cases (81.6 %, n = 3899) were transported from primary healthcare facilities to hospitals, with Intermediate Life Support Providers managing 75.7 % of the cases. In the sampled PPH patients, compliance with vital signs monitoring was initially high (91.8 %) but declined in transit (42.6 %). Providers were largely non-compliant in documenting blood loss and patient history. Despite almost all patients showing clinical signs of shock 44.3 % of PPH cases received no intravenous fluids.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Significant time delays in EMS response and inconsistencies in PAH clinical management by EMS providers were identified. Improved resource allocation, focused training and adherence to clinical and departmental guidelines are vital to strengthening maternal emergency care in KZN.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48515,"journal":{"name":"African Journal of Emergency Medicine","volume":"15 4","pages":"Article 100912"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2025-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145465211","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Trauma beyond the limbs: Epidemiology and outcomes of non-extremity penetrating trauma in a tertiary hospital Emergency Department, Eastern Cape, South Africa 四肢以外的创伤:南非东开普省一家三级医院急诊科非四肢穿透性创伤的流行病学和结果
IF 1.2 4区 医学 Q3 EMERGENCY MEDICINE Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100916
Laetitia Lüttich, Sian Geraty, Roshen Maharaj

Introduction

Trauma is a major health burden in low- to middle-income countries, with penetrating injuries being a leading cause of death. South Africa’s trauma rates are estimated to be 5–9 times higher than the global average. Penetrating injuries, compared to blunt trauma, carry higher morbidity and mortality. This study describes the epidemiology and resource burden of penetrating non-extremity injuries presenting to a teriary hospital Emergency Department (ED) in Gqeberha, South Africa.

Methods

This descriptive retrospective study was conducted at Livingstone Tertiary Hospital (LTH) ED in Gqeberha, Eastern Cape, and included all patients with non-extremity penetrating trauma from 1 June 2020 to 31 January 2021.

Results

During the study period, there were 6020 consecutive trauma presentations to the ED, of which 1107 cases met inclusion criteria and were included in the study. The study revealed a male predominance, with a male-to-female ratio of 5.6:1 (p < 0.001). The median age was 29 years (range: 1–80 years). Most patients presented over the weekend (Saturday and Sunday) [N = 488, 44%, p < 0.001] and after hours on weekdays (N = 444, 40%). Resource utilisation in the ED increased during these periods, including increased diagnostic imaging, procedural interventions, and blood product requests. Of the study participants, 828 (75%) were brought to the ED using private transport. There were a total of 30 deaths (3%), of which 17 (57%) were deceased on arrival in the ED; the remaining 13 deaths (43%) occurred while in the ED or after disposition to a specialist.

Conclusion

This study offers insight into the epidemiology and outcomes of non-extremity penetrating trauma, including prolonged hospital stays and ICU admissions. It underscores the need for multidisciplinary prevention strategies, structured trauma systems, and comparative research to guide best practices, improve resource allocation, and reduce the broader economic impact of trauma on individuals and communities.
在低收入和中等收入国家,创伤是一个主要的健康负担,穿透性损伤是死亡的主要原因。据估计,南非的创伤率是全球平均水平的5-9倍。与钝性创伤相比,穿透性损伤具有更高的发病率和死亡率。本研究描述了南非Gqeberha一家三级医院急诊科(ED)的穿透性非四肢损伤的流行病学和资源负担。方法本描述性回顾性研究在东开普省Gqeberha的Livingstone三级医院(LTH) ED进行,纳入了2020年6月1日至2021年1月31日期间所有非四肢穿透性创伤患者。结果在研究期间,共有6020例外伤患者连续出现在急诊科,其中1107例符合纳入标准,被纳入研究。研究显示男性占优势,男女比例为5.6:1 (p < 0.001)。中位年龄为29岁(范围:1-80岁)。大多数患者在周末(周六和周日)就诊[N = 488, 44%, p < 0.001],工作日下班后就诊(N = 444, 40%)。在此期间,急诊科的资源利用率增加,包括诊断成像、程序干预和血液制品需求增加。在研究参与者中,828人(75%)是乘坐私人交通工具去急诊室的。共有30例死亡(3%),其中17例(57%)在抵达急诊科时死亡;其余13例死亡(43%)发生在急诊科或交由专科治疗后。结论本研究提供了非四肢穿透性创伤的流行病学和结局,包括延长住院时间和ICU入院。它强调需要多学科预防策略、结构化创伤系统和比较研究来指导最佳实践,改善资源分配,并减少创伤对个人和社区的更广泛的经济影响。
{"title":"Trauma beyond the limbs: Epidemiology and outcomes of non-extremity penetrating trauma in a tertiary hospital Emergency Department, Eastern Cape, South Africa","authors":"Laetitia Lüttich,&nbsp;Sian Geraty,&nbsp;Roshen Maharaj","doi":"10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100916","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100916","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Introduction</h3><div>Trauma is a major health burden in low- to middle-income countries, with penetrating injuries being a leading cause of death. South Africa’s trauma rates are estimated to be 5–9 times higher than the global average. Penetrating injuries, compared to blunt trauma, carry higher morbidity and mortality. This study describes the epidemiology and resource burden of penetrating non-extremity injuries presenting to a teriary hospital Emergency Department (ED) in Gqeberha, South Africa.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This descriptive retrospective study was conducted at Livingstone Tertiary Hospital (LTH) ED in Gqeberha, Eastern Cape, and included all patients with non-extremity penetrating trauma from 1 June 2020 to 31 January 2021.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>During the study period, there were 6020 consecutive trauma presentations to the ED, of which 1107 cases met inclusion criteria and were included in the study. The study revealed a male predominance, with a male-to-female ratio of 5.6:1 (<em>p</em> &lt; 0.001). The median age was 29 years (range: 1–80 years). Most patients presented over the weekend (Saturday and Sunday) [<em>N</em> = 488, 44%, <em>p</em> &lt; 0.001] and after hours on weekdays (<em>N</em> = 444, 40%). Resource utilisation in the ED increased during these periods, including increased diagnostic imaging, procedural interventions, and blood product requests. Of the study participants, 828 (75%) were brought to the ED using private transport. There were a total of 30 deaths (3%), of which 17 (57%) were deceased on arrival in the ED; the remaining 13 deaths (43%) occurred while in the ED or after disposition to a specialist.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>This study offers insight into the epidemiology and outcomes of non-extremity penetrating trauma, including prolonged hospital stays and ICU admissions. It underscores the need for multidisciplinary prevention strategies, structured trauma systems, and comparative research to guide best practices, improve resource allocation, and reduce the broader economic impact of trauma on individuals and communities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48515,"journal":{"name":"African Journal of Emergency Medicine","volume":"15 4","pages":"Article 100916"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2025-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145416035","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating call prioritisation discrepancies and Emergency Medical Services resource allocation in the North West province of South Africa 评估呼叫优先次序差异和紧急医疗服务资源分配在南非西北省
IF 1.2 4区 医学 Q3 EMERGENCY MEDICINE Pub Date : 2025-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100913
Bongumusa N. Mbatha , Simpiwe Sobuwa , Ntuthuko G. Chule
The overwhelming flow of non-emergent cases burdens Emergency Medical Services (EMS), reducing their capacity to respond to life-threatening emergencies and compromising care for patients with emergent clinical needs. This study evaluated the appropriateness of the EMS deployment in a district of the North West Province in South Africa.

Methods

A retrospective quantitative descriptive analysis was conducted on cases completed by the district EMS service between 1 and 12 January 2022. Patient report forms and control room assessment forms, containing demographic and clinical data, were analysed to assess the EMS deployment accuracy. Descriptive statistics were used to analyse the continuous and categorical variables, while Pearson’s chi-square test and ANOVA tests examined associations between call prioritisation decisions, on-scene resource allocation, and the qualifications of call takers and dispatchers.

Results

Of the 535 records meeting the inclusion criteria, 71.1% revealed mismatches between call prioritisation and on-scene triage. The over-prioritisation rate was 90.9%, while the under-prioritisation rate was 17.1%. Additionally, 35.0% of patients were transported to a medical facility without receiving any medical interventions.

Conclusion

Significant disparities exist between call prioritisation and actual patient clinical needs, exacerbating the strain on an already resource-constrained EMS system. Standardised call prioritisation protocols and improved training for call takers and dispatchers are necessary to enhance EMS efficiency.
非紧急病例的大量涌入给紧急医疗服务(EMS)带来负担,降低了它们应对危及生命的紧急情况的能力,并影响了对有紧急临床需求的患者的护理。本研究评估了在南非西北省的一个地区部署紧急医疗服务的适当性。方法对2022年1月1日至12日地区EMS服务完成的病例进行回顾性定量描述性分析。分析患者报告表格和控制室评估表格,其中包含人口统计和临床数据,以评估EMS部署的准确性。描述性统计用于分析连续变量和分类变量,而皮尔逊卡方检验和方差分析检验了呼叫优先级决策、现场资源分配以及呼叫人员和调度员资格之间的关联。结果在535条符合纳入标准的记录中,71.1%的记录显示呼叫优先级与现场分诊不匹配。优先级过高的比例为90.9%,而优先级过低的比例为17.1%。此外,35.0%的患者在没有接受任何医疗干预的情况下被送往医疗机构。结论呼叫优先级与患者实际临床需求之间存在显著差异,加剧了本已资源紧张的EMS系统的压力。标准化的呼叫优先顺序协议和改进对呼叫者和调度员的培训是提高EMS效率的必要条件。
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引用次数: 0
Performance of shock index, lactate and physician’s gestalt in predicting adverse events among critically ill adult patients at an Emergency Department in Tanzania 休克指数、乳酸和医生格式塔在预测坦桑尼亚急诊科危重成人患者不良事件中的表现
IF 1.2 4区 医学 Q3 EMERGENCY MEDICINE Pub Date : 2025-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.afjem.2025.100914
Humphrey G. Medarakini , Alphonce N. Simbila , Ellen Weber , Zeinab B. Hassan , Florian Vedasto , Jennifer Tesha , Rebecca N. Tugara , Peter P. Kunambi , Elizabeth Bernard , Said S. Kilindimo

Introduction

Physicians working in Emergency Departments (ED) must be able to identify critically ill patients likely to deteriorate and prioritize their care. While shock index, point of lactate and physician gestalt are commonly used in high-income countries to predict adverse events their applicability has not been widely tested in low-middle income countries.

Methods

A prospective cohort study of all adult patients (≥18 years) triaged to the resuscitation area of Muhimbili ED in Tanzania from 1st September - 31st December 2022. Shock index (SI) on arrival, initial point of care lactate and the physician’s estimates of the probability of an adverse event were recorded. The discriminatory ability of these index tests was compared for prediction of an adverse event in the ED, using DeLong’s test. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were calculated. For SI, a standard cut off ≥ 1 was used and for lactate a standard cut off > 2 mmol/L was used. For physician gestalt, the optimum cut off of a 70 % probability of adverse event was determined based on Youdens’ index.

Results

A total of 320 critically ill patients were enrolled. SI (AUC = 0.734, 95 % CI 0.658 to 0.810) achieved a sensitivity of 59.3 % and a specificity of 83.1 %. Elevated lactate (AUC = 0.819, 95 % CI 0.76 to 0.88) achieved a sensitivity of 89.8 % and a specificity of 58.2 %. Physician gestalt had an AUC = 0.877, (95 % CI 0.833 to 0.922) using the optimal probability of ≥70 % and achieved a sensitivity of 88.1 % and a specificity of 76.2 %. The AUC of physician’s gestalt was significantly higher than that of SI (p = 0.0008), but was not significantly different from lactate (p = 0.067). The difference in AUC for lactate and SI was also not statistically significant (p = 0.10).

Discussion

Physicians gestalt in our setting demonstrated superior predictive performance compared to shock index and a comparable performance to lactate. This supports the use of gestalt as a low-resource risk stratification tool in emergency settings. However, accuracy of gestalt may depend on physician experience.
在急诊科(ED)工作的医生必须能够识别可能恶化的危重病人,并优先考虑他们的护理。虽然休克指数、乳酸点和医师格式塔在高收入国家常用来预测不良事件,但它们在中低收入国家的适用性尚未得到广泛测试。方法对2022年9月1日至12月31日在坦桑尼亚Muhimbili ED复苏区分类的所有成年患者(≥18岁)进行前瞻性队列研究。记录到达时的休克指数(SI)、初始护理点乳酸和医生对不良事件概率的估计。采用DeLong试验比较这些指标试验预测ED不良事件的区分能力。计算敏感性、特异性、阳性预测值和阴性预测值。SI采用标准截止值≥1,乳酸采用标准截止值2 mmol/L。对于完形医生来说,不良事件概率为70%的最佳临界值是根据Youdens指数确定的。结果共纳入320例危重患者。SI (AUC = 0.734, 95% CI 0.658 ~ 0.810)的敏感性为59.3%,特异性为83.1%。乳酸浓度升高(AUC = 0.819, 95% CI 0.76 ~ 0.88)的敏感性为89.8%,特异性为58.2%。医师格式塔的AUC = 0.877 (95% CI 0.833 ~ 0.922),最佳概率≥70%,灵敏度为88.1%,特异性为76.2%。医师格式塔的AUC显著高于SI (p = 0.0008),但与乳酸无显著差异(p = 0.067)。乳酸和SI的AUC差异也无统计学意义(p = 0.10)。讨论:在我们的研究中,医师格式塔比休克指数和乳酸盐表现出更优越的预测性能。这支持在紧急情况下使用格式塔作为低资源风险分层工具。然而,格式塔的准确性可能取决于医生的经验。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
African Journal of Emergency Medicine
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