Pub Date : 2024-08-01Epub Date: 2024-07-23DOI: 10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00148-6
Salome Kuchukhidze, Magdalene K Walters, Dimitra Panagiotoglou, Marie-Claude Boily, Souleymane Diabaté, W Alton Russell, Heidi Stöckl, Lynnmarie Sardinha, Francisco Mbofana, Rhoda K Wanyenze, Jeffrey W Imai-Eaton, Mathieu Maheu-Giroux
Background: Addressing gender inequities could be key to the elimination of vertical transmission of HIV. Women experiencing intimate partner violence (IPV) might be at an increased risk of vertical transmission due to their vulnerability to HIV acquisition and barriers to access to and retention in care. Sub-Saharan Africa, where IPV burden is among the highest globally, accounts for most new paediatric HIV infections. We aimed to examine the proportion of excess vertical transmission attributable to IPV in this region.
Methods: In this modelling analysis, we created a probability tree model of vertical HIV transmission among women aged 15-49 years in 46 African countries. We estimated the proportion of vertical transmission attributable to past-year physical or sexual IPV, or both, as an age-standardised population attributable fraction (PAF) and as excess vertical transmission risk per 1000 births among women experiencing IPV. We incorporated perinatal and postnatal vertical transmission among women who acquired HIV before pregnancy, during pregnancy, and during breastfeeding. Fertility, HIV prevalence, HIV incidence, antiretroviral therapy (ART) uptake, and ART retention varied in the model by women's IPV experience. The model was parameterised using UNAIDS' 2023 Spectrum model data, WHO's Global Database on Violence Against Women, and the peer-reviewed literature. Uncertainty intervals (95% UI) were calculated through 1000 Monte Carlo simulations.
Findings: Across 46 countries 13% (95% UI 6-21) of paediatric HIV infections in 2022 were attributed to IPV, corresponding to over 22 000 paediatric infections. The PAF ranged from 4% (2-7) in Niger to 28% (13-43) in Uganda. The PAF was highest among girls aged 15-19 years (20%, 8-33) and lowest among women aged 45-49 years (6%, 3-9). In southern Africa, where women's HIV prevalence is highest (23%), IPV led to 11 (5-20) additional infections per 1000 births among women affected by IPV.
Interpretation: IPV might be responsible for one in eight paediatric HIV infections in sub-Saharan Africa. Ending IPV could accelerate vertical transmission elimination, especially among young women who bear the highest burden of violence.
Funding: Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Canada Research Chair, and Fonds de recherche du Québec-Santé.
Translations: For the French, Georgian and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.
{"title":"The contribution of intimate partner violence to vertical HIV transmission: a modelling analysis of 46 African countries.","authors":"Salome Kuchukhidze, Magdalene K Walters, Dimitra Panagiotoglou, Marie-Claude Boily, Souleymane Diabaté, W Alton Russell, Heidi Stöckl, Lynnmarie Sardinha, Francisco Mbofana, Rhoda K Wanyenze, Jeffrey W Imai-Eaton, Mathieu Maheu-Giroux","doi":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00148-6","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00148-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Addressing gender inequities could be key to the elimination of vertical transmission of HIV. Women experiencing intimate partner violence (IPV) might be at an increased risk of vertical transmission due to their vulnerability to HIV acquisition and barriers to access to and retention in care. Sub-Saharan Africa, where IPV burden is among the highest globally, accounts for most new paediatric HIV infections. We aimed to examine the proportion of excess vertical transmission attributable to IPV in this region.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this modelling analysis, we created a probability tree model of vertical HIV transmission among women aged 15-49 years in 46 African countries. We estimated the proportion of vertical transmission attributable to past-year physical or sexual IPV, or both, as an age-standardised population attributable fraction (PAF) and as excess vertical transmission risk per 1000 births among women experiencing IPV. We incorporated perinatal and postnatal vertical transmission among women who acquired HIV before pregnancy, during pregnancy, and during breastfeeding. Fertility, HIV prevalence, HIV incidence, antiretroviral therapy (ART) uptake, and ART retention varied in the model by women's IPV experience. The model was parameterised using UNAIDS' 2023 Spectrum model data, WHO's Global Database on Violence Against Women, and the peer-reviewed literature. Uncertainty intervals (95% UI) were calculated through 1000 Monte Carlo simulations.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>Across 46 countries 13% (95% UI 6-21) of paediatric HIV infections in 2022 were attributed to IPV, corresponding to over 22 000 paediatric infections. The PAF ranged from 4% (2-7) in Niger to 28% (13-43) in Uganda. The PAF was highest among girls aged 15-19 years (20%, 8-33) and lowest among women aged 45-49 years (6%, 3-9). In southern Africa, where women's HIV prevalence is highest (23%), IPV led to 11 (5-20) additional infections per 1000 births among women affected by IPV.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>IPV might be responsible for one in eight paediatric HIV infections in sub-Saharan Africa. Ending IPV could accelerate vertical transmission elimination, especially among young women who bear the highest burden of violence.</p><p><strong>Funding: </strong>Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Canada Research Chair, and Fonds de recherche du Québec-Santé.</p><p><strong>Translations: </strong>For the French, Georgian and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.</p>","PeriodicalId":48725,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Hiv","volume":" ","pages":"e542-e551"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141767776","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-01DOI: 10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00184-X
The Lancet Hiv
{"title":"US funding for HIV at risk again.","authors":"The Lancet Hiv","doi":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00184-X","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00184-X","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48725,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Hiv","volume":"11 8","pages":"e495"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141861343","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-01Epub Date: 2024-07-04DOI: 10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00097-3
Juan M Pericàs, Anish K Arora, Carlotta Riebensahm, Alba Jiménez-Masip, Adrià Ramírez Mena, Trenton M White, Nikos Dedes, Giovanni Guaraldi, Annalisa Berzigotti, Gilles Wandeler, Meena B Bansal, Jordi Navarro, Jeffrey V Lazarus
People living with HIV are particularly susceptible to developing metabolic disorders, including metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and other forms of SLD. However, people living with HIV have been historically excluded from clinical trials and large cohort studies of SLD. Therefore, our understanding of the risk factors and natural history of SLD in this population is poor. Moreover, relevant knowledge gaps on the epidemiology and barriers for adequate health care, such as stigma, hamper adequate responses to the ongoing HIV and SLD syndemic. This Viewpoint provides a comprehensive perspective on how to tackle SLD in people living with HIV by examining the role of social determinants of health in the development of liver disease and metabolic syndrome comorbidities among this population, emphasising the importance of prioritising SLD management, summarising the most urgent needs in the field, and offering recommendations for advancing research to fill key data gaps and protect liver health of people living with HIV.
{"title":"Steatotic liver disease and HIV: an agenda for 2030.","authors":"Juan M Pericàs, Anish K Arora, Carlotta Riebensahm, Alba Jiménez-Masip, Adrià Ramírez Mena, Trenton M White, Nikos Dedes, Giovanni Guaraldi, Annalisa Berzigotti, Gilles Wandeler, Meena B Bansal, Jordi Navarro, Jeffrey V Lazarus","doi":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00097-3","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00097-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>People living with HIV are particularly susceptible to developing metabolic disorders, including metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and other forms of SLD. However, people living with HIV have been historically excluded from clinical trials and large cohort studies of SLD. Therefore, our understanding of the risk factors and natural history of SLD in this population is poor. Moreover, relevant knowledge gaps on the epidemiology and barriers for adequate health care, such as stigma, hamper adequate responses to the ongoing HIV and SLD syndemic. This Viewpoint provides a comprehensive perspective on how to tackle SLD in people living with HIV by examining the role of social determinants of health in the development of liver disease and metabolic syndrome comorbidities among this population, emphasising the importance of prioritising SLD management, summarising the most urgent needs in the field, and offering recommendations for advancing research to fill key data gaps and protect liver health of people living with HIV.</p>","PeriodicalId":48725,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Hiv","volume":" ","pages":"e561-e566"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141555762","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-01Epub Date: 2024-07-08DOI: 10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00179-6
Karin Hatzold, Yasmin Dunkley
{"title":"Effects of self-testing on HIV outcomes in west Africa.","authors":"Karin Hatzold, Yasmin Dunkley","doi":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00179-6","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00179-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48725,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Hiv","volume":" ","pages":"e498-e500"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141591791","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-01Epub Date: 2024-07-14DOI: 10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00153-X
Audrey Geoffroy, Luc Samison, Fidiniaina Randriatsarafara, Haja Randriantsara, Z A Randriamanantany, Christophe Vanhecke
{"title":"Madagascar urgently needs a 2024 national prevalence survey of HIV.","authors":"Audrey Geoffroy, Luc Samison, Fidiniaina Randriatsarafara, Haja Randriantsara, Z A Randriamanantany, Christophe Vanhecke","doi":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00153-X","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00153-X","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48725,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Hiv","volume":" ","pages":"e504"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141621214","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-01Epub Date: 2024-06-28DOI: 10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00178-4
Ed Holt
{"title":"Legislation threat to services for LGBTQ+ people in Georgia.","authors":"Ed Holt","doi":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00178-4","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00178-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48725,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Hiv","volume":" ","pages":"e505-e506"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141477758","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-01Epub Date: 2024-07-08DOI: 10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00126-7
Romain Silhol, Mathieu Maheu-Giroux, Nirali Soni, Arlette Simo Fotso, Nicolas Rouveau, Anthony Vautier, Clémence Doumenc-Aïdara, Olivier Geoffroy, Kouassi Noel N'Guessan, Younoussa Sidibé, Odé Kanku Kabemba, Papa Alioune Gueye, Pauline Dama Ndeye, Christinah Mukandavire, Peter Vickerman, Abdelaye Keita, Cheikh Tidiane Ndour, Joseph Larmarange, Marie-Claude Boily
<p><strong>Background: </strong>During 2019-21, the AutoTest VIH, Libre d'accéder à la connaissance de son Statut (ATLAS) programme distributed around 380 000 HIV self-testing kits to key populations, including female sex workers, men who have sex with men, and their partners, in Côte d'Ivoire, Mali, and Senegal. We aimed to estimate the effects of the ATLAS programme and national scale-up of HIV self-test distribution on HIV diagnosis, HIV treatment coverage, HIV incidence, and HIV-related mortality.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We adapted a deterministic compartmental model of HIV transmission in Côte d'Ivoire, parameterised and fitted to country-specific demographic, behavioural, HIV epidemiological, and intervention data in Côte d'Ivoire, Mali, and Senegal separately during 1980-2020. We simulated dynamics of new HIV infections, HIV diagnoses, and HIV-related deaths within scenarios with and without HIV self-test distribution among key populations. Models were separately parameterised and fitted to country-specific sets of epidemiological and intervention outcomes (stratified by sex, risk, age group, and HIV status, if available) over time within a Bayesian framework. We estimated the effects on the absolute increase in the proportion of people with HIV diagnosed at the end of 2021 for the ATLAS-only scenario and at the end of 2028 and 2038 for the HIV self-testing scale-up scenario. We estimated cumulative numbers of additional HIV diagnoses and initiations of antiretroviral therapy and the proportion and absolute numbers of new HIV infections and HIV-related deaths averted during 2019-21 and 2019-28 for the ATLAS-only scenario and during 2019-28 and 2019-38 for the HIV self-testing scale-up scenario.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>Our model estimated that ATLAS could have led to 700 (90% uncertainty interval [UI] 500-900) additional HIV diagnoses in Côte d'Ivoire, 500 (300-900) in Mali, and 300 (50-700) in Senegal during 2019-21, a 0·4 percentage point (90% UI 0·3-0·5) increase overall by the end of 2021. During 2019-28, ATLAS was estimated to avert 1900 (90% UI 1300-2700) new HIV infections and 600 (400-800) HIV-related deaths across the three countries, of which 38·6% (90% UI 31·8-48·3) of new infections and 70·1% (60·4-77·3) of HIV-related deaths would be among key populations. ATLAS would avert 1·5% (0·8-3·1) of all HIV-related deaths across the three countries during this period. Scaling up HIV self-testing would avert 16·2% (90% UI 10·0-23·1) of all new HIV infections during 2019-28 in Senegal, 5·3% (3·0-8·9) in Mali, and 1·6% (1·0-2·4) in Côte d'Ivoire. HIV self-testing scale-up among key populations was estimated to increase HIV diagnosis by the end of 2028 to 1·3 percentage points (90% UI 0·8-1·9) in Côte d'Ivoire, 10·6 percentage points (5·3-16·8) in Senegal, and 3·6 percentage points (2·0-6·4) in Mali.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Scaling up HIV self-test distribution among key populations in western Africa could a
{"title":"Potential population-level effects of HIV self-test distribution among key populations in Côte d'Ivoire, Mali, and Senegal: a mathematical modelling analysis.","authors":"Romain Silhol, Mathieu Maheu-Giroux, Nirali Soni, Arlette Simo Fotso, Nicolas Rouveau, Anthony Vautier, Clémence Doumenc-Aïdara, Olivier Geoffroy, Kouassi Noel N'Guessan, Younoussa Sidibé, Odé Kanku Kabemba, Papa Alioune Gueye, Pauline Dama Ndeye, Christinah Mukandavire, Peter Vickerman, Abdelaye Keita, Cheikh Tidiane Ndour, Joseph Larmarange, Marie-Claude Boily","doi":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00126-7","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00126-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>During 2019-21, the AutoTest VIH, Libre d'accéder à la connaissance de son Statut (ATLAS) programme distributed around 380 000 HIV self-testing kits to key populations, including female sex workers, men who have sex with men, and their partners, in Côte d'Ivoire, Mali, and Senegal. We aimed to estimate the effects of the ATLAS programme and national scale-up of HIV self-test distribution on HIV diagnosis, HIV treatment coverage, HIV incidence, and HIV-related mortality.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We adapted a deterministic compartmental model of HIV transmission in Côte d'Ivoire, parameterised and fitted to country-specific demographic, behavioural, HIV epidemiological, and intervention data in Côte d'Ivoire, Mali, and Senegal separately during 1980-2020. We simulated dynamics of new HIV infections, HIV diagnoses, and HIV-related deaths within scenarios with and without HIV self-test distribution among key populations. Models were separately parameterised and fitted to country-specific sets of epidemiological and intervention outcomes (stratified by sex, risk, age group, and HIV status, if available) over time within a Bayesian framework. We estimated the effects on the absolute increase in the proportion of people with HIV diagnosed at the end of 2021 for the ATLAS-only scenario and at the end of 2028 and 2038 for the HIV self-testing scale-up scenario. We estimated cumulative numbers of additional HIV diagnoses and initiations of antiretroviral therapy and the proportion and absolute numbers of new HIV infections and HIV-related deaths averted during 2019-21 and 2019-28 for the ATLAS-only scenario and during 2019-28 and 2019-38 for the HIV self-testing scale-up scenario.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>Our model estimated that ATLAS could have led to 700 (90% uncertainty interval [UI] 500-900) additional HIV diagnoses in Côte d'Ivoire, 500 (300-900) in Mali, and 300 (50-700) in Senegal during 2019-21, a 0·4 percentage point (90% UI 0·3-0·5) increase overall by the end of 2021. During 2019-28, ATLAS was estimated to avert 1900 (90% UI 1300-2700) new HIV infections and 600 (400-800) HIV-related deaths across the three countries, of which 38·6% (90% UI 31·8-48·3) of new infections and 70·1% (60·4-77·3) of HIV-related deaths would be among key populations. ATLAS would avert 1·5% (0·8-3·1) of all HIV-related deaths across the three countries during this period. Scaling up HIV self-testing would avert 16·2% (90% UI 10·0-23·1) of all new HIV infections during 2019-28 in Senegal, 5·3% (3·0-8·9) in Mali, and 1·6% (1·0-2·4) in Côte d'Ivoire. HIV self-testing scale-up among key populations was estimated to increase HIV diagnosis by the end of 2028 to 1·3 percentage points (90% UI 0·8-1·9) in Côte d'Ivoire, 10·6 percentage points (5·3-16·8) in Senegal, and 3·6 percentage points (2·0-6·4) in Mali.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Scaling up HIV self-test distribution among key populations in western Africa could a","PeriodicalId":48725,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Hiv","volume":" ","pages":"e531-e541"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141591792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-08-01Epub Date: 2024-07-14DOI: 10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00158-9
Deborah Donnell
{"title":"Reassuring long-term safety, resistance, and efficacy data for two daily formulations of PrEP.","authors":"Deborah Donnell","doi":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00158-9","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00158-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48725,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Hiv","volume":" ","pages":"e496-e497"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141621216","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-19DOI: 10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00185-1
Talha Burki
{"title":"Creativity until you drop dead.","authors":"Talha Burki","doi":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00185-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00185-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48725,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Hiv","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141749338","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-01Epub Date: 2024-05-30DOI: 10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00118-8
Alejandro G García-Ruiz de Morales, María Jesús Vivancos, María de Lagarde, Margarita Ramírez Schacke, Maria Del Mar Arcos Rueda, Eva Orviz, Adrian Curran, Francisco Carmona-Torre, Santiago Moreno, María Jesús Pérez-Elías, Javier Martínez-Sanz
Background: Ending AIDS by 2030 requires improvements across all stages of the HIV care continuum. We used a longitudinal approach to assess changes in the HIV care continuum in Spain and transition probabilities across different stages.
Methods: We used data from the prospective Cohort of the Spanish HIV/AIDS Research Network to analyse the time from diagnosis to linkage to care, linkage to care to antiretroviral therapy (ART), and ART to viral suppression in five calendar periods defined by milestones in ART, from 2005 to 2022. We used the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard models to estimate cumulative probabilities of stage transition within 1, 3, 6, and 12 months of stage eligibility, by period.
Findings: We included 18 529 participants. Comparing the initial (2005-09) and final (2020-22) periods, time to linkage to care decreased from a median of 6·0 weeks to 1·3 weeks, time to ART initiation from 15·9 weeks to 0·4 weeks, and time to viral suppression from 13·3 weeks to 7·1 weeks. Adjusted hazard ratios for the comparison between the last period and the initial period were 3·1 (95% CI 2·8-3·4) for linkage to care within 1 month, 11·4 (10·1-12·3) for ART initiation within 1 month, and 2·2 (1·2-2·4) for viral suppression within 3 months. The aggregate proportion of late diagnoses was 38·6%, increasing after 2012 to 46·4% in the 2020-22 period. Same-day ART initiation increased from 18% to 39% from 2005 to 2022. The overall incidence rate of virological failure was 1·05 failures per 1000 person-years and showed a non-significant decline throughout the study.
Interpretation: The great improvement in transition times through the HIV care cascade might put Spain on the verge of achieving the UNAIDS targets for HIV elimination. However, late diagnosis remains a challenge that should be addressed.
Funding: Instituto de Salud Carlos III and Spanish AIDS Research Network.
{"title":"Transition times across the HIV care continuum in Spain from 2005 to 2022: a longitudinal cohort study.","authors":"Alejandro G García-Ruiz de Morales, María Jesús Vivancos, María de Lagarde, Margarita Ramírez Schacke, Maria Del Mar Arcos Rueda, Eva Orviz, Adrian Curran, Francisco Carmona-Torre, Santiago Moreno, María Jesús Pérez-Elías, Javier Martínez-Sanz","doi":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00118-8","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00118-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Ending AIDS by 2030 requires improvements across all stages of the HIV care continuum. We used a longitudinal approach to assess changes in the HIV care continuum in Spain and transition probabilities across different stages.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used data from the prospective Cohort of the Spanish HIV/AIDS Research Network to analyse the time from diagnosis to linkage to care, linkage to care to antiretroviral therapy (ART), and ART to viral suppression in five calendar periods defined by milestones in ART, from 2005 to 2022. We used the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard models to estimate cumulative probabilities of stage transition within 1, 3, 6, and 12 months of stage eligibility, by period.</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>We included 18 529 participants. Comparing the initial (2005-09) and final (2020-22) periods, time to linkage to care decreased from a median of 6·0 weeks to 1·3 weeks, time to ART initiation from 15·9 weeks to 0·4 weeks, and time to viral suppression from 13·3 weeks to 7·1 weeks. Adjusted hazard ratios for the comparison between the last period and the initial period were 3·1 (95% CI 2·8-3·4) for linkage to care within 1 month, 11·4 (10·1-12·3) for ART initiation within 1 month, and 2·2 (1·2-2·4) for viral suppression within 3 months. The aggregate proportion of late diagnoses was 38·6%, increasing after 2012 to 46·4% in the 2020-22 period. Same-day ART initiation increased from 18% to 39% from 2005 to 2022. The overall incidence rate of virological failure was 1·05 failures per 1000 person-years and showed a non-significant decline throughout the study.</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>The great improvement in transition times through the HIV care cascade might put Spain on the verge of achieving the UNAIDS targets for HIV elimination. However, late diagnosis remains a challenge that should be addressed.</p><p><strong>Funding: </strong>Instituto de Salud Carlos III and Spanish AIDS Research Network.</p>","PeriodicalId":48725,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Hiv","volume":" ","pages":"e470-e478"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141200298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}