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Estimation and prediction for a progressively censored generalized inverted exponential distribution 渐进式截尾广义逆指数分布的估计与预测
Q Mathematics Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.stamet.2016.05.007
Sanku Dey , Sukhdev Singh , Yogesh Mani Tripathi , A. Asgharzadeh

In this paper, we consider generalized inverted exponential distribution which is capable of modeling various shapes of failure rates and aging criteria. The purpose of this paper is two fold. Based on progressive type-II censored data, first we consider the problem of estimation of parameters under classical and Bayesian approaches. In this regard, we obtain maximum likelihood estimates, and Bayes estimates under squared error loss function. We also compute 95% asymptotic confidence interval and highest posterior density interval estimates under the respective approaches. Second, we consider the problem of prediction of future observations using maximum likelihood predictor, best unbiased predictor, conditional median predictor and Bayes predictor. The associated predictive interval estimates for the censored observations are computed as well. Finally, we analyze two real data sets and conduct a Monte Carlo simulation study to compare the performance of the various proposed estimators and predictors.

本文考虑广义逆指数分布,该分布能够模拟各种形状的故障率和老化准则。本文的目的有两个方面。基于渐进式ii型截尾数据,首先考虑了经典方法和贝叶斯方法下的参数估计问题。对此,我们得到了极大似然估计,以及误差平方损失函数下的贝叶斯估计。我们还计算了各自方法下的95%渐近置信区间和最高后验密度区间估计。其次,我们考虑了使用最大似然预测器、最佳无偏预测器、条件中位数预测器和贝叶斯预测器预测未来观测值的问题。对截尾观测的相关预测区间估计也进行了计算。最后,我们分析了两个真实的数据集,并进行了蒙特卡罗模拟研究,以比较各种提出的估计器和预测器的性能。
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引用次数: 78
Statistical inference for a varying-coefficient partially nonlinear model with measurement errors 具有测量误差的变系数部分非线性模型的统计推断
Q Mathematics Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.stamet.2016.05.004
Yunyun Qian, Zhensheng Huang

In this study a varying-coefficient partially nonlinear model with measurement errors in the nonparametric part is proposed. Based on the corrected profile least-squared estimation methodology, we define the estimates of the unknowns of the current models, and check whether the coefficient functions are a constant or not by using the popular generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) test method. Further, the corresponding asymptotic distribution is established and a bootstrap procedure is also employed to implement the proposed methodology. Simulated and real examples are given to illustrate our proposed methodology.

本文提出了一种具有非参数部分测量误差的变系数部分非线性模型。基于修正的轮廓最小二乘估计方法,我们定义了当前模型的未知量的估计,并使用流行的广义似然比(GLR)检验方法检查系数函数是否为常数。进一步,建立了相应的渐近分布,并采用自举方法来实现所提出的方法。仿真和实际的例子说明了我们所提出的方法。
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引用次数: 9
Location-scale mixture of skew-elliptical distributions: Looking at the robust modeling 偏椭圆分布的位置尺度混合:观察鲁棒建模
Q Mathematics Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.stamet.2016.05.001
N. Nematollahi , R. Farnoosh , Z. Rahnamaei

A flexible class of skew-slash distributions which is a location-scale mixture of skew-elliptically distributed random variable with power of a beta random variable is presented. This family of distributions, which is a generalization of location-scale mixture of normal and beta distributions, contain some existing and important distributions and is appropriate for modeling data with skewness and heavy tail structure. Some distributional properties and the moments of this new family of distributions are obtained. In the special case of location-scale mixture of skew-normal distribution, we estimate the parameters via an EM-type algorithm and a simulation study and an application to real data are provided for illustration. Finally we extend some results to multivariate case.

提出了一类灵活的斜斜分布,它是斜椭圆分布随机变量与β随机变量幂的位置尺度混合。该分布族是正态分布和beta分布的位置尺度混合的推广,包含了一些现有的和重要的分布,适用于具有偏度和重尾结构的数据建模。得到了新分布族的一些分布性质和矩。在偏正态分布的位置尺度混合的特殊情况下,我们通过em型算法估计参数,并提供了仿真研究和实际数据的应用来说明。最后将一些结果推广到多元情况。
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引用次数: 4
Confidence ellipsoids for the primary regression coefficients in two seemingly unrelated regression models 两个看似不相关的回归模型中主回归系数的置信椭球
Q Mathematics Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.stamet.2016.01.004
Kent R. Riggs , Phil D. Young , Dean M. Young

We derive two new confidence ellipsoids (CEs) and four CE variations for covariate coefficient vectors with nuisance parameters under the seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) model. Unlike most CE approaches for SUR models studied so far, we assume unequal regression coefficients for our two regression models. The two new basic CEs are a CE based on a Wald statistic with nuisance parameters and a CE based on the asymptotic normality of the SUR two-stage unbiased estimator of the primary regression coefficients. We compare the coverage and volume characteristics of the six SUR-based CEs via a Monte Carlo simulation. For the configurations in our simulation, we determine that, except for small sample sizes, a CE based on a two-stage statistic with a Bartlett corrected (1α) percentile is generally preferred because it has essentially nominal coverage and relatively small volume. For small sample sizes, the parametric bootstrap CE based on the two-stage estimator attains close-to-nominal coverage and is superior to the competing CEs in terms of volume. Finally, we apply three SUR Wald-type CEs with favorable coverage properties and relatively small volumes to a real data set to demonstrate the gain in precision over the ordinary-least-squares-based CE.

在看似不相关回归(SUR)模型下,我们得到了带有干扰参数的协变量系数向量的两个新的置信椭球和四个置信椭球。与目前研究的大多数SUR模型的CE方法不同,我们假设两个回归模型的回归系数不等。两个新的基本CE是基于带有干扰参数的Wald统计量的CE和基于主回归系数的SUR两阶段无偏估计的渐近正态性的CE。我们通过蒙特卡罗模拟比较了六种基于sur的ce的覆盖范围和体积特性。对于我们模拟中的配置,我们确定,除了小样本量外,基于两阶段统计量的CE与Bartlett校正(1 - α)百分位数通常是首选,因为它基本上具有名义覆盖和相对较小的体积。对于小样本量,基于两阶段估计器的参数自举CE达到接近标称的覆盖范围,并且在体积方面优于竞争CE。最后,我们将三种具有良好覆盖特性和相对较小体积的SUR wald型CE应用于实际数据集,以证明其精度优于基于普通最小二乘的CE。
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引用次数: 6
Systematic deviation in smooth mixed models for multi-level longitudinal data 多层纵向数据光滑混合模型的系统偏差
Q Mathematics Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.stamet.2016.05.003
Viani A. Biatat Djeundje

The analysis of longitudinal data or repeated measurements is an important and growing area of Statistics. In this context, data come in different formats but typically, they have a hierarchical or multi-level structure including group and subject components, and the main purpose of the analysis is usually to estimate these components from the data. A standard way to perform this estimation is via mixed models. In this paper, we show that the estimated group effects from standard smooth mixed models can deviate systematically from the underlying group mean, leading to wrong conclusions about the data. We then present two ways to avoid such systematic deviations and misinterpretations when fitting flexible mixed models to multi-level data. The first method is a marginal procedure, and the second method is based on the conditional distribution of the subject effects derived from appropriate constraints. Both methods are robust against mis-specification of the covariance structure in the sense that they allow one to resolve the lack of centring found in standard smooth mixed models.

纵向数据或重复测量的分析是统计学的一个重要和不断发展的领域。在这种情况下,数据以不同的格式出现,但通常具有分层或多级结构,包括组和主题组件,分析的主要目的通常是从数据中估计这些组件。执行这种估计的标准方法是通过混合模型。在本文中,我们证明了标准平滑混合模型估计的群体效应可能系统性地偏离基础群体均值,从而导致关于数据的错误结论。然后,我们提出了两种方法来避免这种系统偏差和误解时,拟合灵活的混合模型,以多层次的数据。第一种方法是边际过程,第二种方法是基于主体效应的条件分布,由适当的约束推导出来的。这两种方法都对协方差结构的错误规范具有鲁棒性,因为它们允许人们解决标准平滑混合模型中缺乏中心的问题。
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引用次数: 6
Homogeneity testing via weighted affinity in multiparameter exponential families 多参数指数族加权亲和性同质性检验
Q Mathematics Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.stamet.2016.04.002
Alexander Katzur, Udo Kamps

Based on stochastically independent samples with underlying density functions from the same multiparameter exponential family, a weighted version of Matusita’s affinity is applied as test statistic in a homogeneity test of identical densities as well as in a discrimination problem. Asymptotic distributions of the test statistics are stated, and the impact of weights on the deviation of actual and required type I error for finite sample sizes is examined in a simulation study.

基于同一多参数指数族中具有底层密度函数的随机独立样本,将加权版本的Matusita亲和度作为检验统计量应用于相同密度的同质性检验和判别问题。说明了测试统计量的渐近分布,并在模拟研究中检验了有限样本量下权重对实际和所需I型误差偏差的影响。
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引用次数: 4
Testing variability orderings by using Gini’s mean differences 使用基尼均值差异检验可变性排序
Q Mathematics Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.stamet.2016.03.001
Miguel A. Sordo, Marilia C. de Souza, Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

In this paper, we derive a measure of discrepancy based on the Gini’s mean difference to test the null hypothesis that two random variables, which are ordered in a variability-type stochastic order, are equally dispersive versus the alternative that one strictly dominates the other. We describe the test, evaluate its performance under a variety of situations and illustrate the procedure with an example using log returns of real data.

在本文中,我们基于基尼均值差异推导了一种差异度量,以检验零假设,即两个随机变量以可变型随机顺序排序,与一个严格支配另一个的替代方案具有相同的弥散性。我们描述了该测试,评估了其在各种情况下的性能,并通过使用真实数据的日志返回示例说明了该过程。
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引用次数: 3
Efficient estimation of varying coefficient models with serially correlated errors 具有序列相关误差的变系数模型的有效估计
Q Mathematics Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.stamet.2016.05.005
Xiaojuan Kang , Tizheng Li

The varying coefficient model provides a useful tool for statistical modeling. In this paper, we propose a new procedure for more efficient estimation of its coefficient functions when its errors are serially correlated and modeled as an autoregressive (AR) process. We establish the asymptotic distribution of the proposed estimator and show that it is more efficient than the conventional local linear estimator. Furthermore, we suggest a penalized profile least squares method with the smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) penalty function to select the order of the AR error process. Simulation evidence shows that significant gains can be achieved in finite samples with the proposed estimation procedure. Moreover, a real data example is given to illustrate the usefulness of the proposed estimation procedure.

变系数模型为统计建模提供了一个有用的工具。在本文中,我们提出了一种新的方法来更有效地估计其系数函数,当其误差是序列相关的,并建模为自回归(AR)过程。我们建立了该估计量的渐近分布,并证明了它比传统的局部线性估计量更有效。此外,我们提出了一种带有平滑裁剪绝对偏差(SCAD)惩罚函数的惩罚轮廓最小二乘法来选择AR误差过程的阶数。仿真结果表明,在有限的样本中,所提出的估计方法可以取得显著的增益。最后,给出了一个实际的数据示例来说明所提出的估计方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Notes on estimation in Poisson frequency data under an incomplete block crossover design 不完全块交叉设计下泊松频率数据估计的注意事项
Q Mathematics Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.stamet.2016.01.007
Kung-Jong Lui

For comparison of two experimental treatments with a placebo under an incomplete block crossover design, we develop the weighted-least-squares estimator (WLSE) and the conditional maximum likelihood estimator (CMLE) of the relative treatment effects in Poisson frequency data. We further develop the interval estimator based on the WLSE, the interval estimator based on the CMLE, the interval estimator based on the conditional-likelihood-ratio test and the interval estimator based on the exact conditional distribution. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we find that all interval estimators developed here can perform well in a variety of situations. The exact interval estimator derived here can be especially of use when both the number of patients and the mean number of event occurrences are small in a trial. We use the data taken as part of a double-blind randomized crossover trial comparing salbutamol and salmeterol with a placebo with respect to the number of exacerbations in asthma patients to illustrate the use of these estimators.

为了在不完全块交叉设计下比较两种实验治疗与安慰剂,我们开发了泊松频率数据中相对治疗效果的加权最小二乘估计量(WLSE)和条件最大似然估计量(CMLE)。我们进一步发展了基于WLSE的区间估计器、基于CMLE的区间估计器、基于条件似然比检验的区间估计器和基于精确条件分布的区间估计器。通过蒙特卡罗模拟,我们发现这里开发的所有区间估计器都可以在各种情况下表现良好。当试验中患者数量和事件发生的平均数量都很小时,这里导出的精确区间估计量尤其有用。我们使用双盲随机交叉试验的一部分数据,比较沙丁胺醇和沙美特罗与安慰剂在哮喘患者中加重的数量,以说明这些估计值的使用。
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引用次数: 3
On the dynamic cumulative residual quantile entropy ordering 关于动态累积残差分位数熵排序
Q Mathematics Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.stamet.2016.01.008
Dian-Tong Kang , Lei Yan

A new stochastic order called dynamic cumulative residual quantile entropy (DCRQE) order is established. Some characterizations of the new order are investigated. Closure and reversed closure properties of the DCRQE order are obtained. Applications of the DCRQE ordering in characterizing the proportional hazard rate model and the k-record values model are considered.

建立了一种新的随机顺序,称为动态累积残差分位数熵(DCRQE)。研究了新阶的一些特征。得到了DCRQE顺序的闭包和反闭包性质。考虑了DCRQE排序在描述比例风险率模型和k记录值模型中的应用。
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引用次数: 10
期刊
Statistical Methodology
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