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Point-of-care C-reactive protein measurement by community health workers safely reduces antimicrobial use among children with respiratory illness in rural Uganda: A stepped wedge cluster randomized trial. 在乌干达农村地区,由社区卫生工作者进行床旁 C 反应蛋白测量可安全减少呼吸道疾病患儿的抗菌药物使用量:阶梯式楔形分组随机试验。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-08-19 eCollection Date: 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004416
Emily J Ciccone, Di Hu, John S Preisser, Caitlin A Cassidy, Lydiah Kabugho, Baguma Emmanuel, Georget Kibaba, Fred Mwebembezi, Jonathan J Juliano, Edgar M Mulogo, Ross M Boyce
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Acute respiratory illness (ARI) is one of the most common reasons children receive antibiotic treatment. Measurement of C-reaction protein (CRP) has been shown to reduce unnecessary antibiotic use among children with ARI in a range of clinical settings. In many resource-constrained contexts, patients seek care outside the formal health sector, often from lay community health workers (CHW). This study's objective was to determine the impact of CRP measurement on antibiotic use among children presenting with febrile ARI to CHW in Uganda.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We conducted a cross-sectional, stepped wedge cluster randomized trial in 15 villages in Bugoye subcounty comparing a clinical algorithm that included CRP measurement by CHW to guide antibiotic treatment (STAR Sick Child Job Aid [SCJA]; intervention condition) with the Integrated Community Care Management (iCCM) SCJA currently in use by CHW in the region (control condition). Villages were stratified into 3 strata by altitude, distance to the clinic, and size; in each stratum, the 5 villages were randomly assigned to one of 5 treatment sequences. Children aged 2 months to 5 years presenting to CHW with fever and cough were eligible. CHW conducted follow-up assessments 7 days after the initial visit. Our primary outcome was the proportion of children who were given or prescribed an antibiotic at the initial visit. Our secondary outcomes were (1) persistent fever on day 7; (2) development of prespecified danger signs; (3) unexpected visits to the CHW; (4) hospitalizations; (5) deaths; (6) lack of perceived improvement per the child's caregiver on day 7; and (7) clinical failure, a composite outcome of persistence of fever on day 7, development of danger signs, hospitalization, or death. The 65 participating CHW enrolled 1,280 children, 1,220 (95.3%) of whom had sufficient data. Approximately 48% (587/1,220) and 52% (633/1,220) were enrolled during control (iCCM SCJA) and intervention periods (STAR SCJA), respectively. The observed percentage of children who were given or prescribed antibiotics at the initial visit was 91.8% (539/587) in the control periods as compared to 70.8% (448/633) during the intervention periods (adjusted prevalence difference -24.6%, 95% CI: -36.1%, -13.1%). The odds of antibiotic prescription by the CHW were over 80% lower in the intervention as compared to the control periods (OR 0.18, 95% CI: 0.06, 0.49). The frequency of clinical failure (iCCM SCJA 3.9% (23/585) v. STAR SCJA 1.8% (11/630); OR 0.41, 95% CI: 0.09, 1.83) and lack of perceived improvement by the caregiver (iCCM SCJA 2.1% (12/584) v. STAR SCJA 3.5% (22/627); OR 1.49, 95% CI: 0.37, 6.52) was similar. There were no unexpected visits or deaths in either group within the follow-up period.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Incorporating CRP measurement into iCCM algorithms for evaluation of children with febrile ARI by CHW in rural Uganda decreased antibio
背景:急性呼吸道疾病(ARI)是儿童接受抗生素治疗的最常见原因之一。在各种临床环境中,C反应蛋白(CRP)的测量已被证明可减少急性呼吸道感染患儿不必要的抗生素使用。在许多资源有限的情况下,患者通常会在正规医疗机构之外寻求非专业社区保健员(CHWs)的治疗。本研究的目的是确定 CRP 测量对乌干达向社区保健员就诊的发热急性呼吸道感染患儿使用抗生素的影响:我们在布戈耶次县的 15 个村庄开展了一项横断面、阶梯式楔形群组随机试验,将包括由儿童保健医生测量 CRP 以指导抗生素治疗的临床算法(STAR 病童工作助手 [SCJA];干预条件)与该地区儿童保健医生目前使用的综合社区护理管理 (iCCM) SCJA(对照条件)进行比较。根据海拔高度、距离诊所的远近和村庄大小将村庄分为 3 个分层;在每个分层中,5 个村庄被随机分配到 5 个治疗序列中的一个。2 个月至 5 岁的儿童因发烧和咳嗽而向儿童保健工作者求助时,均符合条件。儿童保健工作者在首次就诊 7 天后进行随访评估。我们的主要结果是初次就诊时获得或开具抗生素处方的儿童比例。我们的次要结果是:(1)第 7 天持续发烧;(2)出现预先指定的危险征兆;(3)儿童保健工作者意外到访;(4)住院;(5)死亡;(6)第 7 天儿童的看护人认为病情未见好转;以及(7)临床失败,即第 7 天持续发烧、出现危险征兆、住院或死亡的综合结果。65 名参与的儿童保健工作者共招募了 1,280 名儿童,其中 1,220 人(95.3%)有足够的数据。在对照期(iCCM SCJA)和干预期(STAR SCJA),分别有约 48% (587/1,220)和 52% (633/1,220)的儿童接受了治疗。在首次就诊时被给予或开具抗生素处方的儿童比例,对照组为 91.8%(539/587),而干预组为 70.8%(448/633)(调整流行率差异为 -24.6%,95% CI:-36.1%,-13.1%)。与对照组相比,干预期间由社区保健员开具抗生素处方的几率降低了 80% 以上(OR 0.18,95% CI:0.06 至 0.49)。临床失败(iCCM SCJA 3.9% (23/585) v. STAR SCJA 1.8% (11/630);OR 0.41,95% CI:0.09, 1.83)和护理人员认为病情没有改善(iCCM SCJA 2.1% (12/584) v. STAR SCJA 3.5% (22/627);OR 1.49,95% CI:0.37, 6.52)的频率相似。两组患者在随访期间均无意外就诊或死亡:结论:在乌干达农村地区,将 CRP 测量纳入 iCCM 算法,由保健社工对发热 ARI 儿童进行评估,减少了抗生素的使用。有证据表明,尽管不良事件的数量较少,但抗生素使用量的减少与临床结果的恶化并无关联。这些研究结果支持在资源有限的农村地区扩大使用简单的护理点诊断方法,以改善抗生素管理,因为在这些地区,受过有限医学培训的个人提供的医疗服务占了很大比例:试验注册:ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05294510。该研究已通过北卡罗来纳大学机构审查委员会(#18-2803)、姆巴拉拉科技大学研究伦理委员会(14/03-19)和乌干达国家科技委员会(HS 2631)的审查和批准。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of person-centered interventions to eliminate perinatal HIV transmission in Kisumu County, Kenya: A repeated cross-sectional study using aggregated registry data. 评估以人为本的干预措施,消除肯尼亚基苏木县的围产期艾滋病毒传播:使用汇总登记数据的重复横断面研究。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-08-15 eCollection Date: 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004441
Francesca Odhiambo, Raphael Onyango, Edwin Mulwa, Maurice Aluda, Linda Otieno, Elizabeth A Bukusi, Craig R Cohen, Pamela M Murnane
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Following a decline in perinatal HIV transmission from 20% to 10% between 2010 and 2017 in Kenya, rates have since plateaued with an estimated 8% transmission rate in 2021. Between October 2016 and September 2021, Family AIDS Care & Education Services (FACES) supported HIV care and treatment services across 61 facilities in Kisumu County, Kenya with an emphasis on service strengthening for pregnant and postpartum women living with HIV to reduce perinatal HIV transmission. This included rigorous implementation of national HIV guidelines and implementation of 3 locally adapted evidence-based interventions targeted to the unique needs of women and their infants. We examined whether these person-centered program enhancements were associated with changes in perinatal HIV transmission at FACES-supported sites over time.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We conducted a repeated cross-sectional study of annually aggregated routinely collected documentation of perinatal HIV transmission risk through the end of breastfeeding at FACES-supported facilities between October 2016 and September 2021. Data included 12,599 women living with HIV with baseline antenatal care metrics, and, a separate data set of 11,879 mother-infant pairs who were followed from birth through the end of breastfeeding (overlapping with those in antenatal care 2 years prior). FACES implemented 3 interventions for pregnant and postpartum women living with HIV in 2019: (1) high-risk clinics; (2) case management; and (3) a mobile app to support treatment engagement. Our primary outcome was infant HIV acquisition by the end of breastfeeding (18 to 24 months). We compared infant HIV acquisition risk in the final year of the FACES program (2021) to the year before intervention scale-up and following implementation of the "Treat All" policy (2018). Mother-infant pair loss to follow-up was a secondary outcome. Program data were aggregated by year and site, thus in multivariable regression, we adjusted for site-level characteristics, including facility type, urban versus rural, number of women with HIV in antenatal care each year, and the proportion among them under 25 years of age. Between October 2016 and September 2021, 81,172 pregnant women received HIV testing at the initiation of antenatal care, among whom 12,599 (15.5%) were living with HIV, with little variation in HIV prevalence over time. The risk of infant HIV acquisition by 24 months of age declined from 4.9% (101/2,072) in 2018 to 2.2% (48/2,156) in 2021 (adjusted risk difference -2.6% [95% confidence interval (CI): -3.7, -1.6]; p < 0.001). Loss to follow-up declined from 9.9% (253/2,556) in 2018 to 2.5% (59/2,393) in 2021 (risk difference -7.5% [95% CI: -8.8, -6.2]; p < 0.001). During the same period, UNAIDS estimated rates of perinatal transmission in the broader Nyanza region and in Kenya as a whole did not decline. The main limitation of this study is that we lacked a comparable control
背景:2010 年至 2017 年间,肯尼亚围产期艾滋病病毒传播率从 20% 下降到 10%,此后趋于平稳,预计 2021 年的传播率为 8%。2016 年 10 月至 2021 年 9 月期间,家庭艾滋病护理和教育服务(FACES)为肯尼亚基苏木县 61 家机构的艾滋病护理和治疗服务提供支持,重点是加强对感染艾滋病毒的孕妇和产后妇女的服务,以减少围产期艾滋病毒传播。这包括严格执行国家艾滋病指南,并针对妇女及其婴儿的独特需求实施 3 项经过本地调整的循证干预措施。我们研究了这些以人为本的项目改进措施是否与 FACES 支持地点的围产期 HIV 传播随时间推移而发生的变化有关:我们对 2016 年 10 月至 2021 年 9 月期间 FACES 支持机构每年收集的围产期 HIV 传播风险文件进行了重复横断面研究。数据包括 12,599 名具有产前护理基线指标的女性艾滋病毒感染者,以及 11,879 对母婴的单独数据集,这些母婴从出生到哺乳期结束一直接受跟踪(与两年前接受产前护理的母婴重叠)。FACES 在 2019 年为感染 HIV 的孕妇和产后妇女实施了 3 项干预措施:(1)高风险诊所;(2)个案管理;(3)支持参与治疗的移动应用程序。我们的主要结果是母乳喂养结束时(18 到 24 个月)婴儿感染 HIV 的情况。我们将 FACES 计划最后一年(2021 年)的婴儿感染 HIV 的风险与干预扩大前一年和实施 "全面治疗 "政策后一年(2018 年)的婴儿感染 HIV 的风险进行了比较。母婴对随访损失是次要结果。项目数据按年份和地点汇总,因此在多变量回归中,我们对地点水平特征进行了调整,包括设施类型、城市与农村、每年接受产前护理的女性艾滋病感染者人数以及其中 25 岁以下的比例。在 2016 年 10 月至 2021 年 9 月期间,有 81172 名孕妇在产前检查开始时接受了 HIV 检测,其中有 12599 人(15.5%)感染了 HIV,HIV 感染率随时间变化不大。24 个月大的婴儿感染艾滋病毒的风险从 2018 年的 4.9% (101/2,072)下降到 2021 年的 2.2%(48/2,156)(调整后风险差异 -2.6% [95% 置信区间 (CI):-3.7, -1.6]; p < 0.001)。随访丧失率从2018年的9.9%(253/2,556)下降到2021年的2.5%(59/2,393)(风险差异-7.5% [95% CI:-8.8,-6.2];P < 0.001)。同期,联合国艾滋病规划署估计的尼安萨大区和肯尼亚全国的围产期传播率并未下降。这项研究的主要局限性在于我们缺乏可比的对照组:这些研究结果表明,以人为本的干预措施的实施与围产期艾滋病病毒传播率以及孕妇和产后妇女失去随访率的显著下降有关。
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引用次数: 0
Oral resveratrol in adults with knee osteoarthritis: A randomized placebo-controlled trial (ARTHROL). 口服白藜芦醇治疗成人膝关节骨关节炎:随机安慰剂对照试验(ARTHROL)。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-08-13 eCollection Date: 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004440
Christelle Nguyen, Emmanuel Coudeyre, Isabelle Boutron, Gabriel Baron, Camille Daste, Marie-Martine Lefèvre-Colau, Jérémie Sellam, Jennifer Zauderer, Francis Berenbaum, François Rannou

Background: Resveratrol is a natural compound found in red wine. It has demonstrated anti-inflammatory properties in preclinical models. We compared the effect of oral resveratrol in a new patented formulation to oral placebo for individuals with painful knee osteoarthritis.

Methods and findings: ARTHROL was a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, Phase 3 trial conducted in 3 tertiary care centers in France. We recruited adults who fulfilled the 1986 American College of Rheumatology criteria for knee osteoarthritis and reported a pain intensity score of at least 40 on an 11-point numeric rating scale (NRS) in 10-point increments (0, no pain, to 100, maximal pain). Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) by using a computer-generated randomization list with permuted blocks of variable size (2, 4, or 6) to receive oral resveratrol (40 mg [2 caplets] twice a day for 1 week, then 20 mg [1 caplet] twice a day; resveratrol group) or matched oral placebo (placebo group) for 6 months. The primary outcome was the mean change from baseline in knee pain on a self-administered 11-point pain NRS at 3 months. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov: (NCT02905799). Between October 20, 2017 and November 8, 2021, we assessed 649 individuals for eligibility, and from November 9, 2017, we recruited 142 (22%) participants (mean age 61.4 years [standard deviation (SD) 9.6] and 101 [71%] women); 71 (50%) were randomly assigned to the resveratrol group and 71 (50%) to the placebo group. At baseline, the mean knee pain score was 56.2/100 (SD 13.5). At 3 months, the mean reduction in knee pain was -15.7 (95% confidence interval (CI), -21.1 to -10.3) in the resveratrol group and -15.2 (95% CI, -20.5 to -9.8) in the placebo group (absolute difference -0.6 [95% CI, -8.0 to 6.9]; p = 0.88). Serious adverse events (not related to the interventions) occurred in 3 (4%) in the resveratrol group and 2 (3%) in the placebo group. Our study has limitations in that it was underpowered and the effect size, estimated to be 0.55, was optimistically estimated.

Conclusions: In this study, we observed that compared with placebo, oral resveratrol did not reduce knee pain in people with painful knee osteoarthritis.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT02905799.

背景介绍白藜芦醇是一种存在于红葡萄酒中的天然化合物。它在临床前模型中已被证明具有抗炎特性。我们比较了口服白藜芦醇新专利配方与口服安慰剂对膝关节骨关节炎疼痛患者的效果:ARTHROL是一项双盲、随机、安慰剂对照的3期试验,在法国的3个三级医疗中心进行。我们招募了符合1986年美国风湿病学会膝关节骨性关节炎标准的成年人,他们在11点数字评分量表(NRS)上的疼痛强度至少为40分,以10点为增量(0表示无疼痛,100表示最大疼痛)。研究人员通过计算机生成的随机分配表(1:1),将参与者随机分配到口服白藜芦醇(40 毫克[2 粒],每天 2 次,持续 1 周,然后 20 毫克[1 粒],每天 2 次;白藜芦醇组)或匹配的口服安慰剂(安慰剂组),为期 6 个月。主要结果是3个月时自测的11点疼痛NRS与基线相比膝关节疼痛的平均变化。该试验已在 ClinicalTrials.gov 上注册:(NCT02905799)。2017年10月20日至2021年11月8日期间,我们对649人进行了资格评估,从2017年11月9日起,我们招募了142名(22%)参与者(平均年龄61.4岁[标准差(SD)9.6],女性101人[71%]);71人(50%)被随机分配到白藜芦醇组,71人(50%)被随机分配到安慰剂组。基线时,膝关节疼痛的平均评分为 56.2/100(标准差 13.5)。3 个月后,白藜芦醇组膝关节疼痛的平均减轻幅度为-15.7(95% 置信区间 (CI),-21.1 至 -10.3),安慰剂组为-15.2(95% CI,-20.5 至 -9.8)(绝对差异为-0.6 [95% CI,-8.0 至 6.9];P = 0.88)。白藜芦醇组有 3 例(4%)发生严重不良事件,安慰剂组有 2 例(3%)发生严重不良事件(与干预措施无关)。我们的研究存在局限性,即研究力量不足,而且效应大小(估计为0.55)是乐观估计的:在这项研究中,我们发现与安慰剂相比,口服白藜芦醇并不能减轻膝关节骨性关节炎患者的膝关节疼痛:试验注册:ClinicalTrials.gov ID:试验注册:ClinicalTrials.gov ID:NCT02905799。
{"title":"Oral resveratrol in adults with knee osteoarthritis: A randomized placebo-controlled trial (ARTHROL).","authors":"Christelle Nguyen, Emmanuel Coudeyre, Isabelle Boutron, Gabriel Baron, Camille Daste, Marie-Martine Lefèvre-Colau, Jérémie Sellam, Jennifer Zauderer, Francis Berenbaum, François Rannou","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004440","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004440","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Resveratrol is a natural compound found in red wine. It has demonstrated anti-inflammatory properties in preclinical models. We compared the effect of oral resveratrol in a new patented formulation to oral placebo for individuals with painful knee osteoarthritis.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>ARTHROL was a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, Phase 3 trial conducted in 3 tertiary care centers in France. We recruited adults who fulfilled the 1986 American College of Rheumatology criteria for knee osteoarthritis and reported a pain intensity score of at least 40 on an 11-point numeric rating scale (NRS) in 10-point increments (0, no pain, to 100, maximal pain). Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) by using a computer-generated randomization list with permuted blocks of variable size (2, 4, or 6) to receive oral resveratrol (40 mg [2 caplets] twice a day for 1 week, then 20 mg [1 caplet] twice a day; resveratrol group) or matched oral placebo (placebo group) for 6 months. The primary outcome was the mean change from baseline in knee pain on a self-administered 11-point pain NRS at 3 months. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov: (NCT02905799). Between October 20, 2017 and November 8, 2021, we assessed 649 individuals for eligibility, and from November 9, 2017, we recruited 142 (22%) participants (mean age 61.4 years [standard deviation (SD) 9.6] and 101 [71%] women); 71 (50%) were randomly assigned to the resveratrol group and 71 (50%) to the placebo group. At baseline, the mean knee pain score was 56.2/100 (SD 13.5). At 3 months, the mean reduction in knee pain was -15.7 (95% confidence interval (CI), -21.1 to -10.3) in the resveratrol group and -15.2 (95% CI, -20.5 to -9.8) in the placebo group (absolute difference -0.6 [95% CI, -8.0 to 6.9]; p = 0.88). Serious adverse events (not related to the interventions) occurred in 3 (4%) in the resveratrol group and 2 (3%) in the placebo group. Our study has limitations in that it was underpowered and the effect size, estimated to be 0.55, was optimistically estimated.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In this study, we observed that compared with placebo, oral resveratrol did not reduce knee pain in people with painful knee osteoarthritis.</p><p><strong>Trial registration: </strong>ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT02905799.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"21 8","pages":"e1004440"},"PeriodicalIF":15.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11321588/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141976983","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Identification of factors directly linked to incident chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A causal graph modeling study. 确定与慢性阻塞性肺病发病直接相关的因素:因果图模型研究。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-08-13 eCollection Date: 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004444
Robert W Gregg, Chad M Karoleski, Edwin K Silverman, Frank C Sciurba, Dawn L DeMeo, Panayiotis V Benos
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Beyond exposure to cigarette smoking and aging, the factors that influence lung function decline to incident chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remain unclear. Advancements have been made in categorizing COPD into emphysema and airway predominant disease subtypes; however, predicting which healthy individuals will progress to COPD is difficult because they can exhibit profoundly different disease trajectories despite similar initial risk factors. This study aimed to identify clinical, genetic, and radiological features that are directly linked-and subsequently predict-abnormal lung function.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We employed graph modeling on 2,643 COPDGene participants (aged 45 to 80 years, 51.25% female, 35.1% African Americans; enrollment 11/2007-4/2011) with smoking history but normal spirometry at study enrollment to identify variables that are directly linked to future lung function abnormalities. We developed logistic regression and random forest predictive models for distinguishing individuals who maintain lung function from those who decline. Of the 131 variables analyzed, 6 were identified as informative to future lung function abnormalities, namely forced expiratory flow in the middle range (FEF25-75%), average lung wall thickness in a 10 mm radius (Pi10), severe emphysema, age, sex, and height. We investigated whether these features predict individuals leaving GOLD 0 status (normal spirometry according to Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) criteria). Linear models, trained with these features, were quite predictive (area under receiver operator characteristic curve or AUROC = 0.75). Random forest predictors performed similarly to logistic regression (AUROC = 0.7), indicating that no significant nonlinear effects were present. The results were externally validated on 150 participants from Specialized Center for Clinically Oriented Research (SCCOR) cohort (aged 45 to 80 years, 52.7% female, 4.7% African Americans; enrollment: 7/2007-12/2012) (AUROC = 0.89). The main limitation of longitudinal studies with 5- and 10-year follow-up is the introduction of mortality bias that disproportionately affects the more severe cases. However, our study focused on spirometrically normal individuals, who have a lower mortality rate. Another limitation is the use of strict criteria to define spirometrically normal individuals, which was unavoidable when studying factors associated with changes in normalized forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1%predicted) or the ratio of FEV1/FVC (forced vital capacity).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study took an agnostic approach to identify which baseline measurements differentiate and predict the early stages of lung function decline in individuals with previous smoking history. Our analysis suggests that emphysema affects obstruction onset, while airway predominant pathology may play a more important role in future FEV1
背景:除了吸烟和衰老之外,影响肺功能下降以至慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)的因素仍不清楚。将慢性阻塞性肺病分为肺气肿和气道占位性疾病亚型的工作已取得进展;然而,预测哪些健康人会发展为慢性阻塞性肺病却很困难,因为尽管初始风险因素相似,但他们可能表现出截然不同的疾病轨迹。本研究旨在确定与肺功能异常直接相关的临床、遗传和放射学特征,并据此预测肺功能异常:我们对 2643 名 COPDGene 参与者(年龄在 45 至 80 岁之间,51.25% 为女性,35.1% 为非裔美国人;入组时间为 11/2007-4/2011)进行了图形建模,这些参与者在入组时有吸烟史但肺活量正常,目的是找出与未来肺功能异常直接相关的变量。我们建立了逻辑回归和随机森林预测模型,用于区分肺功能保持正常和下降的个体。在所分析的 131 个变量中,有 6 个被确定为对未来肺功能异常有参考价值,它们分别是中段强迫呼气流量(FEF25-75%)、半径为 10 毫米的平均肺壁厚度(Pi10)、严重肺气肿、年龄、性别和身高。我们研究了这些特征是否能预测个人是否处于 GOLD 0 状态(根据全球阻塞性肺病倡议(GOLD)标准,肺活量正常)。使用这些特征训练的线性模型具有很好的预测性(接收者运算特征曲线下面积或 AUROC = 0.75)。随机森林预测因子的表现与逻辑回归相似(AUROC = 0.7),表明不存在显著的非线性效应。该研究结果在临床定向研究专业中心(SCCOR)队列的 150 名参与者(年龄 45 至 80 岁,52.7% 为女性,4.7% 为非裔美国人;入组时间:2007 年 7 月至 2012 年 12 月)中进行了外部验证:2007年7月至2012年12月)(auroc = 0.89)。进行 5 年和 10 年随访的纵向研究的主要局限性在于死亡率偏差的引入,这种偏差会不成比例地影响更严重的病例。然而,我们的研究侧重于肺活量正常的人,他们的死亡率较低。另一个局限性是使用了严格的标准来定义肺活量正常者,这在研究与1秒内正常化用力呼气容积(FEV1%predicted)或FEV1/FVC(用力生命容量)比值变化相关的因素时是不可避免的:本研究采用了一种不可知论的方法来确定哪些基线测量值可以区分和预测有吸烟史的人肺功能衰退的早期阶段。我们的分析表明,肺气肿会影响阻塞的发生,而气道主要病变可能在未来无阻塞的 FEV1(预测百分比)下降中发挥更重要的作用,FEF25-75% 可能对两者都有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Increasing coverage in cervical and colorectal cancer screening by leveraging attendance at breast cancer screening: A cluster-randomised, crossover trial. 利用参加乳腺癌筛查的机会提高宫颈癌和结直肠癌筛查的覆盖率:分组随机交叉试验。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-08-13 eCollection Date: 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004431
Anne Dorte Lerche Helgestad, Mette Bach Larsen, Sisse Njor, Mette Tranberg, Lone Kjeld Petersen, Berit Andersen
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Screening participation remains suboptimal in cervical cancer (CC) and colorectal cancer (CRC) screening despite their effectiveness in reducing cancer-related morbidity and mortality. We investigated the effectiveness of an intervention by leveraging the high participation rate in breast cancer (BC) screening as an opportunity to offer self-sampling kits to nonparticipants in CC and CRC screening.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>A pragmatic, unblinded, cluster-randomised, multiple period, crossover trial was conducted in 5 BC screening units in the Central Denmark Region (CDR) between September 1, 2021 and May 25, 2022. On each of 100 selected weekdays, 1 BC screening unit was randomly allocated as the intervention unit while the remaining units served as controls. Women aged 50 to 69 years attending BC screening at the intervention unit were offered administrative check-up on their CC screening status (ages 50 to 64 years) and CRC screening status (aged 50 to 69), and women with overdue screening were offered self-sampling. Women in the control group received only standard screening offers according to the organised programmes. The primary outcomes were differences between the intervention group and the control group in the total screening coverage for the 2 programmes and in screening participation among women with overdue screening, measured 6 months after the intervention. These were assessed using intention-to-treat analysis, reporting risk differences with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of 27,116 women were included in the trial, with 5,618 (20.7%) in the intervention group and 21,498 (79.3%) in the control group. Six months after the intervention, total coverage was higher in the intervention group as compared with the control group in CC screening (88.3 versus 83.5, difference 4.8 percentage points, 95% CI [3.6, 6.0]; p < 0.001) and in CRC screening (79.8 versus 76.0, difference 3.8 percentage points, 95% CI [2.6, 5.1]; p < 0.001). Among women overdue with CC screening, participation in the intervention group was 32.0% compared with 6.1% in the control group (difference 25.8 percentage points, 95% CI [22.0, 29.6]; p < 0.001). In CRC screening, participation among women overdue with screening in the intervention group was 23.8% compared with 8.9% in the control group (difference 14.9 percentage points, 95% CI [12.3, 17.5]; p < 0.001). Women who did not participate in BC screening were not included in this study.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Offering self-sampling to women overdue with CC and CRC screening when they attend BC screening was a feasible intervention, resulting in an increase in participation and total coverage. Other interventions are required to reach women who are not participating in BC screening.</p><p><strong>Trial registration: </strong>ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05022511. The record of processing activities for research projects in the Central Denmark Region (R. N
背景:尽管宫颈癌(CC)和结肠直肠癌(CRC)筛查在降低癌症相关发病率和死亡率方面效果显著,但筛查参与率仍不理想。我们利用乳腺癌(BC)筛查的高参与率为契机,向未参与 CC 和 CRC 筛查者提供自我采样工具包,从而研究干预措施的有效性:2021年9月1日至2022年5月25日期间,在丹麦中部大区(CDR)的5个BC筛查单位开展了一项务实、非盲目、分组随机、多阶段、交叉试验。在选定的 100 个工作日中,每个工作日随机分配 1 个 BC 筛查单位作为干预单位,其余单位作为对照单位。在干预单位接受 BC 筛查的 50 至 69 岁女性可就其 CC 筛查情况(50 至 64 岁)和 CRC 筛查情况(50 至 69 岁)接受行政检查,逾期未接受筛查的女性可进行自我采样。对照组妇女只接受按照组织计划提供的标准筛查。主要结果是干预组和对照组在两个计划的总筛查覆盖率和筛查逾期妇女的筛查参与率方面的差异,在干预6个月后进行测量。这些结果采用意向治疗分析法进行评估,报告风险差异及 95% 的置信区间 (CI)。共有27116名妇女参与了试验,其中干预组5618人(20.7%),对照组21498人(79.3%)。干预六个月后,干预组与对照组相比,CC 筛查的总覆盖率更高(88.3 对 83.5,相差 4.8 个百分点,95% CI [3.6, 6.0];P < 0.001),CRC 筛查的总覆盖率也更高(79.8 对 76.0,相差 3.8 个百分点,95% CI [2.6, 5.1];P < 0.001)。在逾期未接受 CC 筛查的妇女中,干预组的参与率为 32.0%,而对照组为 6.1%(差异为 25.8 个百分点,95% CI [22.0, 29.6];P < 0.001)。在乳腺癌筛查中,干预组逾期未接受筛查的妇女参与率为 23.8%,而对照组为 8.9%(差异为 14.9 个百分点,95% CI [12.3, 17.5];P < 0.001)。本研究不包括未参加 BC 筛查的妇女:结论:在逾期未进行CC和CRC筛查的妇女参加BC筛查时为其提供自我采样是一项可行的干预措施,可提高参与率和总覆盖率。需要采取其他干预措施来帮助未参加BC筛查的妇女:试验注册:ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05022511。丹麦中部大区研究项目处理活动记录(R. 编号:1-16-02-217-21)。
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引用次数: 0
Equity considerations in clinical practice guidelines for traumatic brain injury and the criminal justice system: A systematic review. 脑外伤和刑事司法系统临床实践指南中的公平考虑因素:系统综述。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-08-12 eCollection Date: 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004418
Zoe Colclough, Maria Jennifer Estrella, Julie Michele Joyce, Sara Hanafy, Jessica Babineau, Angela Colantonio, Vincy Chan

Background: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is disproportionately prevalent among individuals who intersect or are involved with the criminal justice system (CJS). In the absence of appropriate care, TBI-related impairments, intersecting social determinants of health, and the lack of TBI awareness in CJS settings can lead to lengthened sentences, serious disciplinary charges, and recidivism. However, evidence suggests that most clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) overlook equity and consequently, the needs of disadvantaged groups. As such, this review addressed the research question "To what extent are (1) intersections with the CJS considered in CPGs for TBI, (2) TBI considered in CPGs for CJS, and (3) equity considered in CPGs for CJS?".

Methods and findings: CPGs were identified from electronic databases (MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO), targeted websites, Google Search, and reference lists of identified CPGs on November 2021 and March 2023 (CPGs for TBI) and May 2022 and March 2023 (CPGs for CJS). Only CPGs for TBI or CPGs for CJS were included. We calculated the proportion of CPGs that included TBI- or CJS-specific content, conducted a qualitative content analysis to understand how evidence regarding TBI and the CJS was integrated in the CPGs, and utilised equity assessment tools to understand if and how equity was considered. Fifty-seven CPGs for TBI and 6 CPGs for CJS were included in this review. Fourteen CPGs for TBI included information relevant to the CJS, but only 1 made a concrete recommendation to consider legal implications during vocational evaluation in the forensic context. Two CPGs for CJS acknowledged the prevalence of TBI among individuals in prison and one specifically recommended considering TBI during health assessments. Both CPGs for TBI and CPGs for CJS provided evidence specific to a single facet of the CJS, predominantly in policing and corrections. The use of equity best practices and the involvement of disadvantaged groups in the development process were lacking among CPGs for CJS. We acknowledge limitations of the review, including that our searches were conducted in English language and thus, we may have missed other non-English language CPGs in this review. We further recognise that we are unable to comment on evidence that is not integrated in the CPGs, as we did not systematically search for research on individuals with TBI who intersect with the CJS, outside of CPGs.

Conclusions: Findings from this review provide the foundation to consider CJS involvement in CPGs for TBI and to advance equity in CPGs for CJS. Conducting research, including investigating the process of screening for TBI with individuals who intersect with all facets of the CJS, and utilizing equity assessment tools in guideline development are critical steps to enhance equity in healthcare for this disadvantaged group.

背景:创伤性脑损伤(TBI)在与刑事司法系统(CJS)有交集或牵连的人群中尤为普遍。在缺乏适当护理的情况下,与 TBI 相关的损伤、相互交织的健康社会决定因素以及在刑事司法系统环境中缺乏对 TBI 的认识,都可能导致刑期延长、严重违纪指控和累犯。然而,有证据表明,大多数临床实践指南(CPG)忽视了公平性,因此也忽视了弱势群体的需求。因此,本综述探讨了以下研究问题:"在治疗创伤性脑损伤的临床实践指南中,(1) 在多大程度上考虑了与 CJS 的交叉;(2) 在治疗 CJS 的临床实践指南中,在多大程度上考虑了创伤性脑损伤;(3) 在治疗 CJS 的临床实践指南中,在多大程度上考虑了公平?从电子数据库(MEDLINE、Embase、CINAHL、PsycINFO)、目标网站、谷歌搜索以及 2021 年 11 月和 2023 年 3 月(针对 TBI 的 CPG)和 2022 年 5 月和 2023 年 3 月(针对 CJS 的 CPG)的参考文献列表中识别 CPG。仅纳入了针对 TBI 或 CJS 的 CPG。我们计算了包含 TBI 或 CJS 特定内容的 CPG 的比例,进行了定性内容分析,以了解如何将有关 TBI 和 CJS 的证据纳入 CPG,并利用公平性评估工具了解是否以及如何考虑公平性。57 份针对 TBI 的 CPGs 和 6 份针对 CJS 的 CPGs 被纳入本次综述。14 份针对创伤性脑损伤的 CPG 包含了与 CJS 相关的信息,但只有 1 份提出了具体建议,要求在法医背景下进行职业评估时考虑法律影响。两份针对 CJS 的 CPG 承认 TBI 在监狱服刑人员中的普遍性,其中一份特别建议在进行健康评估时考虑 TBI。针对创伤性脑损伤的 CPG 和针对刑事司法系统的 CPG 都提供了针对刑事司法系统某一方面的具体证据,主要是在警务和惩教方面。在 CJS 的 CPG 中,缺乏对公平最佳实践的使用以及弱势群体对开发过程的参与。我们承认此次审查存在局限性,包括我们的搜索是以英语进行的,因此,我们可能在此次审查中遗漏了其他非英语的 CPG。我们进一步认识到,我们无法对未纳入 CPGs 的证据进行评论,因为我们没有系统地搜索 CPGs 之外有关与 CJS 有交集的 TBI 患者的研究:本综述的研究结果为考虑 CJS 参与 TBI CPGs 以及促进 CJS CPGs 的公平性奠定了基础。开展研究,包括调查与 CJS 各方面有交集的个体进行 TBI 筛查的过程,以及在指南制定过程中使用公平评估工具,是提高这一弱势群体医疗保健公平性的关键步骤。
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引用次数: 0
Primary care to further improve vertical HIV programming outcomes: From spillover to strategy. 通过初级保健进一步改善纵向艾滋病防治计划的成果:从溢出效应到战略。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-08-05 eCollection Date: 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004434
Elvin H Geng, Ana Mocumbi, Wilbroad Mutale, Victor Davila-Roman, Michael Reid
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引用次数: 0
Benefits of specialist palliative care by identifying active ingredients of service composition, structure, and delivery model: A systematic review with meta-analysis and meta-regression. 通过确定服务组成、结构和提供模式的有效成分来确定专科姑息关怀的益处:荟萃分析和荟萃回归的系统综述。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-08-02 eCollection Date: 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004436
Miriam J Johnson, Leah Rutterford, Anisha Sunny, Sophie Pask, Susanne de Wolf-Linder, Fliss E M Murtagh, Christina Ramsenthaler
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Specialist palliative care (SPC) services address the needs of people with advanced illness. Meta-analyses to date have been challenged by heterogeneity in SPC service models and outcome measures and have failed to produce an overall effect. The best service models are unknown. We aimed to estimate the summary effect of SPC across settings on quality of life and emotional wellbeing and identify the optimum service delivery model.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We conducted a systematic review with meta-analysis and meta-regression. Databases (Cochrane, MEDLINE, CINAHL, ICTRP, clinicaltrials.gov) were searched (January 1, 2000; December 28, 2023), supplemented with further hand searches (i.e., conference abstracts). Two researchers independently screened identified studies. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) testing SPC intervention versus usual care in adults with life-limiting disease and including patient or proxy reported outcomes as primary or secondary endpoints. The meta-analysis used, to our knowledge, novel methodology to convert outcomes into minimally clinically important difference (MID) units and the number needed to treat (NNT). Bias/quality was assessed via the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2 tool and certainty of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) tool. Random-effects meta-analyses and meta-regressions were used to synthesize endpoints between 2 weeks and 12 months for effect on quality of life and emotional wellbeing expressed and combined in units of MID. From 42,787 records, 39 international RCTs (n = 38 from high- and middle-income countries) were included. For quality of life (33 trials) and emotional wellbeing (22 trials), statistically and clinically significant benefit was seen from 3 months' follow-up for quality of life, standardized mean difference (SMD in MID units) effect size of 0.40 at 13 to 36 weeks, 95% confidence interval (CI) [0.21, 0.59], p < 0.001, I2 = 60%). For quality of life at 13 to 36 weeks, 13% of the SPC intervention group experienced an effect of at least 1 MID unit change (relative risk (RR) = 1.13, 95% CI [1.06, 1.20], p < 0.001, I2 = 0%). For emotional wellbeing, 16% experienced an effect of at least 1 MID unit change at 13 to 36 weeks (95% CI [1.08, 1.24], p < 0.001, I2 = 0%). For quality of life, the NNT improved from 69 to 15; for emotional wellbeing from 46 to 28, from 2 weeks and 3 months, respectively. Higher effect sizes were associated with multidisciplinary and multicomponent interventions, across settings. Sensitivity analyses using robust MID estimates showed substantial (quality of life) and moderate (emotional wellbeing) benefits, and lower number-needed-to-treat, even with shorter follow-up. As the main limitation, MID effect sizes may be biased by relying on derivation in non-palliative care samples.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Using, to our knowledge, nove
背景:专业姑息关怀(SPC)服务可满足晚期患者的需求。迄今为止的荟萃分析受到了 SPC 服务模式和结果衡量标准异质性的挑战,未能产生整体效果。最佳服务模式尚不可知。我们的目的是估算 SPC 在不同环境下对生活质量和情绪健康的总体影响,并确定最佳的服务模式:我们通过荟萃分析和荟萃回归进行了系统回顾。我们对数据库(Cochrane、MEDLINE、CINAHL、ICTRP、clinicaltrials.gov)进行了检索(2000 年 1 月 1 日;2023 年 12 月 28 日),并辅以进一步的人工检索(即会议摘要)。两名研究人员独立筛选了已确定的研究。我们纳入的随机对照试验(RCT)对患有局限生命疾病的成人进行了 SPC 干预与常规护理的对比测试,并将患者或代理报告的结果作为主要或次要终点。据我们所知,荟萃分析采用了新颖的方法将结果转换为最小临床重要性差异(MID)单位和治疗所需人数(NNT)。偏倚/质量通过 Cochrane Risk of Bias 2 工具进行评估,证据的确定性通过建议评估、发展和评价分级(GRADE)工具进行评估。随机效应荟萃分析和荟萃回归用于综合 2 周至 12 个月的终点,以 MID 单位表示和合并对生活质量和情绪健康的影响。从 42,787 条记录中,纳入了 39 项国际 RCT(n = 38 项来自高收入和中等收入国家)。在生活质量(33 项试验)和情绪健康(22 项试验)方面,从 3 个月的随访来看,生活质量具有统计学和临床意义上的显著益处,13 至 36 周的标准化平均差(SMD,以 MID 为单位)效应大小为 0.40,95% 置信区间 (CI) [0.21, 0.59],P < 0.001,I2 = 60%)。在 13 至 36 周的生活质量方面,13% 的 SPC 干预组出现了至少 1 个 MID 单位的变化(相对风险 (RR) = 1.13,95% CI [1.06, 1.20],P < 0.001,I2 = 0%)。在情绪健康方面,16% 的患者在 13 至 36 周内至少经历了 1 个 MID 单位的变化(95% CI [1.08, 1.24],P < 0.001,I2 = 0%)。在生活质量方面,NNT 从 69 降至 15;在情绪健康方面,2 周和 3 个月的 NNT 分别从 46 降至 28。在各种情况下,多学科干预和多成分干预的效果更显著。使用稳健的 MID 估计值进行的敏感性分析表明,即使随访时间较短,也能获得实质性(生活质量)和中度(情绪健康)益处以及较低的治疗所需人数。作为主要局限性,MID效应大小可能会因为依赖于非姑息治疗样本的推导而产生偏差:据我们所知,我们采用了新颖的方法将不同的结果结合在一起,发现了明确的证据表明,无论基础病症如何,SPC对生活质量和情绪健康的总体影响大小适中,其中多学科、多成分和多设置模式最为有效。我们的数据对目前临近死亡时转诊至 SPC 的做法提出了严峻挑战。政策和服务委托应推动基于需求的转诊,至少在死亡前 3 到 6 个月进行转诊,以此作为最佳护理标准。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive value of abnormal blood tests for detecting cancer in primary care patients with nonspecific abdominal symptoms: A population-based cohort study of 477,870 patients in England. 非特异性腹部症状初级保健患者的异常血液检测对癌症检测的预测价值:对英格兰 477,870 名患者进行的人群队列研究。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-07-30 eCollection Date: 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004426
Meena Rafiq, Cristina Renzi, Becky White, Nadine Zakkak, Brian Nicholson, Georgios Lyratzopoulos, Matthew Barclay

Background: Identifying patients presenting with nonspecific abdominal symptoms who have underlying cancer is a challenge. Common blood tests are widely used to investigate these symptoms in primary care, but their predictive value for detecting cancer in this context is unknown. We quantify the predictive value of 19 abnormal blood test results for detecting underlying cancer in patients presenting with 2 nonspecific abdominal symptoms.

Methods and findings: Using data from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) linked to the National Cancer Registry, Hospital Episode Statistics and Index of Multiple Deprivation, we conducted a population-based cohort study of patients aged ≥30 presenting to English general practice with abdominal pain or bloating between January 2007 and October 2016. Positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV), sensitivity, and specificity for cancer diagnosis (overall and by cancer site) were calculated for 19 abnormal blood test results co-occurring in primary care within 3 months of abdominal pain or bloating presentations. A total of 9,427/425,549 (2.2%) patients with abdominal pain and 1,148/52,321 (2.2%) with abdominal bloating were diagnosed with cancer within 12 months post-presentation. For both symptoms, in both males and females aged ≥60, the PPV for cancer exceeded the 3% risk threshold used by the UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence for recommending urgent specialist cancer referral. Concurrent blood tests were performed in two thirds of all patients (64% with abdominal pain and 70% with bloating). In patients aged 30 to 59, several blood abnormalities updated a patient's cancer risk to above the 3% threshold: For example, in females aged 50 to 59 with abdominal bloating, pre-blood test cancer risk of 1.6% increased to: 10% with raised ferritin, 9% with low albumin, 8% with raised platelets, 6% with raised inflammatory markers, and 4% with anaemia. Compared to risk assessment solely based on presenting symptom, age and sex, for every 1,000 patients with abdominal bloating, assessment incorporating information from blood test results would result in 63 additional urgent suspected cancer referrals and would identify 3 extra cancer patients through this route (a 16% relative increase in cancer diagnosis yield). Study limitations include reliance on completeness of coding of symptoms in primary care records and possible variation in PPVs if extrapolated to healthcare settings with higher or lower rates of blood test use.

Conclusions: In patients consulting with nonspecific abdominal symptoms, the assessment of cancer risk based on symptoms, age and sex alone can be substantially enhanced by considering additional information from common blood test results. Male and female patients aged ≥60 presenting to primary care with abdominal pain or bloating warrant consideration for urgent cancer referral or investigation. Fu

背景:鉴别出现非特异性腹部症状的患者是否患有潜在癌症是一项挑战。在初级医疗中,常见的血液化验被广泛用于调查这些症状,但它们对在这种情况下检测癌症的预测价值尚不清楚。我们量化了 19 项异常血液化验结果对检测两种非特异性腹部症状患者潜在癌症的预测价值:我们利用英国临床实践研究数据链接(CPRD)中与国家癌症登记、医院病例统计和多重贫困指数相关联的数据,对 2007 年 1 月至 2016 年 10 月间因腹痛或腹胀到英国全科诊所就诊的年龄≥30 岁的患者进行了一项基于人群的队列研究。针对腹痛或腹胀就诊后 3 个月内在基层医疗机构同时出现的 19 项异常血液检测结果,计算了癌症诊断的阳性和阴性预测值(PPV 和 NPV)、灵敏度和特异性(总体和癌症部位)。共有9,427/425,549(2.2%)名腹痛患者和1,148/52,321(2.2%)名腹胀患者在就诊后12个月内被确诊为癌症。对于这两种症状,在年龄≥60 岁的男性和女性中,癌症的 PPV 都超过了英国国家健康与护理卓越研究所建议紧急癌症专科转诊时使用的 3% 风险阈值。三分之二的患者(64%的腹痛患者和70%的腹胀患者)同时进行了血液化验。在 30 至 59 岁的患者中,有几种血液异常将患者的癌症风险提高到了 3% 的临界值以上:例如,在 50 至 59 岁腹胀的女性患者中,血液检测前的癌症风险从 1.6% 上升到:铁蛋白升高时为 10%,铁蛋白升高时为 9%:铁蛋白升高时为 10%,白蛋白降低时为 9%,血小板升高时为 8%,炎症指标升高时为 6%,贫血时为 4%。与仅根据主诉症状、年龄和性别进行风险评估相比,每 1000 名腹胀患者中,如果评估纳入了血液化验结果信息,则可增加 63 例紧急疑似癌症转诊,并通过这一途径多发现 3 名癌症患者(癌症诊断率相对增加 16%)。研究的局限性包括对初级医疗记录中症状编码完整性的依赖,以及如果推断血液化验使用率较高或较低的医疗机构,PPV 可能存在差异:结论:对于有非特异性腹部症状的就诊者,仅根据症状、年龄和性别进行癌症风险评估,可通过考虑常见血液化验结果中的额外信息大大提高评估结果的准确性。≥60岁的男性和女性患者因腹痛或腹胀到初级保健机构就诊时,应考虑进行紧急癌症转诊或调查。30 至 59 岁的患者如果同时出现血液化验异常,也应考虑进一步的癌症评估。这种方法可通过快速转诊途径发现更多潜在癌症患者,并可指导针对不同癌症部位的专科转诊和检查策略决策。
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引用次数: 0
Using contact network dynamics to implement efficient interventions against pathogen spread in hospital settings: A modelling study. 利用接触网络动力学实施有效干预,防止病原体在医院环境中传播:建模研究。
IF 15.8 1区 医学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-07-30 eCollection Date: 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004433
Quentin J Leclerc, Audrey Duval, Didier Guillemot, Lulla Opatowski, Laura Temime

Background: Long-term care facilities (LTCFs) are hotspots for pathogen transmission. Infection control interventions are essential, but the high density and heterogeneity of interindividual contacts within LTCF may hinder their efficacy. Here, we explore how the patient-staff contact structure may inform effective intervention implementation.

Methods and findings: Using an individual-based model (IBM), we reproduced methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus colonisation transmission dynamics over a detailed contact network recorded within a French LTCF of 327 patients and 263 staff over 3 months. Simulated baseline cumulative colonisation incidence was 21 patients (prediction interval: 11, 31) and 35 staff (prediction interval: 19, 54). We examined the potential impact of 3 types of interventions against transmission (reallocation reducing the number of unique contacts per staff, reinforced contact precautions, and hypothetical vaccination protecting against acquisition), targeted towards specific populations. All 3 interventions were effective when applied to all nurses or healthcare assistants (median reduction in MRSA colonisation incidence up to 35%), but the benefit did not exceed 8% when targeting any other single staff category. We identified "supercontactor" individuals with most contacts ("frequency-based," overrepresented among nurses, porters, and rehabilitation staff) or with the longest cumulative time spent in contact ("duration-based," overrepresented among healthcare assistants and patients in elderly care or persistent vegetative state (PVS)). Targeting supercontactors enhanced interventions against pathogen spread in the LTCF. With contact precautions, targeting frequency-based staff supercontactors led to the highest incidence reduction (20%, 95% CI: 19, 21). Vaccinating a mix of frequency- and duration-based staff supercontactors led to a higher reduction (23%, 95% CI: 22, 24) than all other approaches. Although based on data from a single LTCF, when varying epidemiological parameters to extend to other pathogens, our results suggest that targeting supercontactors is always the most effective strategy, indicating this approach could be applied to prevent transmission of other nosocomial pathogens.

Conclusions: By characterising the contact structure in hospital settings and identifying the categories of staff and patients more likely to be supercontactors, with either more or longer contacts than others, interventions against nosocomial spread could be more effective. We find that the most efficient implementation strategy depends on the intervention (reallocation, contact precautions, vaccination) and target population (staff, patients, supercontactors). Importantly, both staff and patients may be supercontactors, highlighting the importance of including patients in measures to prevent pathogen transmission in LTCF.

背景:长期护理设施(LTCF)是病原体传播的热点。感染控制干预措施至关重要,但 LTCF 内个体间接触的高密度和异质性可能会阻碍干预措施的效果。在此,我们探讨了病人与工作人员的接触结构如何为有效实施干预措施提供信息:利用基于个体的模型(IBM),我们在法国一家由 327 名患者和 263 名员工组成的 LTCF 中,通过详细的接触网络记录,再现了耐甲氧西林金黄色葡萄球菌在 3 个月内的定植传播动态。模拟的基线累积定植发生率为 21 名患者(预测区间:11-31)和 35 名员工(预测区间:19-54)。我们研究了针对特定人群的 3 种预防传播干预措施的潜在影响(重新分配减少每名员工的唯一接触者人数、加强接触预防措施和接种预防感染的假定疫苗)。当这三种干预措施应用于所有护士或医护助理时均有效(MRSA定植发生率的中位数降幅高达 35%),但当针对任何其他单一员工类别时,其效益不超过 8%。我们确定了接触最多("基于频率",在护士、搬运工和康复人员中比例偏高)或累计接触时间最长("基于持续时间",在医护助理和老年护理或持续植物人状态(PVS)患者中比例偏高)的 "超级接触者"。针对超级接触者加强了对 LTCF 中病原体传播的干预。在采取接触预防措施时,以频度为基础的超级接触者为目标可最大程度地降低发病率(20%,95% CI:19、21)。与所有其他方法相比,为频率型和持续时间型超级接触者混合接种疫苗可降低更高的发病率(23%,95% CI:22, 24)。我们的研究结果表明,以超级接触者为目标始终是最有效的策略,这表明这种方法可用于预防其他院内病原体的传播:通过分析医院环境中接触者的结构特征,确定哪些类别的员工和患者更有可能成为超级接触者,他们的接触次数比其他人多或接触时间比其他人长,这样就能更有效地干预非医院传播。我们发现,最有效的实施策略取决于干预措施(重新分配、接触预防、疫苗接种)和目标人群(员工、患者、超级接触者)。重要的是,工作人员和患者都可能是超级接触者,这突出了将患者纳入预防病原体在 LTCF 传播的措施中的重要性。
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