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Calculating the Gerber–Shiu function for Sparre Andersen process via collocation method 用配点法计算Sparre Andersen过程的Gerber-Shiu函数
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110633
Zan Yu
We develop a collocation framework for computing the Gerber–Shiu function in Sparre Andersen risk models. By discretizing it on collocation grids, the problem reduces to a well-conditioned linear algebraic system that is easy to implement. The method accommodates general claim-size distributions and requires only mild smoothness conditions. We derive convergence rates for the collocation solution and identify settings that yield higher-order accuracy. Numerical experiments across a variety of distributions and penalty functions confirm the approach’s accuracy, efficiency, and robustness.
我们开发了一个用于计算Sparre Andersen风险模型中的Gerber-Shiu函数的搭配框架。通过在配置网格上离散化,使问题简化为一个易于实现的条件良好的线性代数系统。该方法适用于一般索赔大小的分布,只需要轻微的平滑条件。我们推导了配置解决方案的收敛率,并确定了产生高阶精度的设置。各种分布和惩罚函数的数值实验证实了该方法的准确性、效率和鲁棒性。
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引用次数: 0
Friedman vs Pólya 弗里德曼vs Pólya
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110635
Raphael Alves , Rafael A. Rosales
Suppose an urn contains initially any number of balls of two colours. One ball is drawn randomly and then put back with α balls of the same colour and β balls of the opposite colour. Both cases, β=0 and β>0 are well known and correspond respectively to Pólya’s and Friedman’s replacement schemes. We consider a mixture of both of these: with probability p(0,1] balls are replaced according to Friedman’s recipe and with probability 1p according to the one by Pólya. Independently of the initial urn composition and independently of α, β, and the value of p>0, we show that the proportion of balls of one colour converges almost surely to 12. The latter is the limit behaviour obtained by using Friedman’s scheme alone, i.e. when p=1. Our result follows by adapting an argument due to D. S. Ornstein.
假设一个瓮最初含有任意数量的两种颜色的球。随机抽取一个球,然后将相同颜色的α球和相反颜色的β球放回原处。这两种情况,β=0和β>;0都是众所周知的,分别对应Pólya和Friedman的替代方案。我们考虑这两者的混合:概率为p∈(0,1)的球根据Friedman的配方被替换,概率为1−p的球根据Pólya的配方被替换。独立于初始的瓮组成,独立于α, β和p>;0的值,我们表明,一种颜色的球的比例几乎肯定地收敛到12。后者是单独使用Friedman格式得到的极限行为,即当p=1时。我们的结果是通过改编d.s. Ornstein的论点得出的。
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引用次数: 0
Central limit theorems for divergent higher-order Hermite integrals of Brownian motion 布朗运动的发散高阶Hermite积分的中心极限定理
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110636
Yinmeng Chen , Xiaoyu Xia , Litan Yan
Let B={Bt,t0} be a standard Brownian motion. This paper establishes the asymptotic normality of renormalized Hermite integrals Υɛ(m)ɛm1ɛ1H2m(Bs,s)s2mds,m{2,3,}, where H2m(x,y)=ymh2m(x/y) with y>0, and hm denotes the classical Hermite polynomial of order m. We prove that as ɛ0+, Υɛ(m)N0,σm2,σm2=(2m)!(2m1)(m1), in distribution. This result quantifies the Gaussian limit behavior of divergent Hermite integrals through renormalization.
设B={Bt,t≥0}为标准布朗运动。本文建立了重整化Hermite积分Υ æ (m)的渐近正态性,其中H2m(x,y)=ymh2m(x/y),其中y>;0, hm表示m阶的经典Hermite多项式。证明了当æ→0+,Υ æ (m) N0,σm2,σm2=(2m)!(2m−1)(m−1),分布。这一结果通过重整化量化了发散Hermite积分的高斯极限行为。
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引用次数: 0
Extreme values of scaled L-moments 缩放后的l矩的极值
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110626
Tomasz Rychlik , Magdalena Szymkowiak
Due to Hosking (1990) (J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B Stat. Methodol. 52, 105–124) all the values of scaled L-moments belong to the interval (1,1). We prove that 1 is actually the sharp upper bound for every scaled L-moment, and 1 is the optimal lower bound for the odd scaled L-moments. We present a method of determining the optimal lower bounds on even scaled L-moments, which are located in (1,0). We also present sharp lower and upper bounds on the L-moments based on nonnegative samples and measured in the units being the expectations of the parent distributions.
由于霍斯金(1990)(J. R. Stat. Soc)。爵士。B Stat. method . 52,105 - 124),所有缩放后的l -矩值都属于区间(- 1,1)。我们证明了1实际上是每个缩放l矩的锐上界,而- 1是奇数缩放l矩的最优下界。我们提出了一种确定位于(- 1,0)的均匀缩放l矩的最优下界的方法。我们还提出了基于非负样本的l矩的明显下界和上界,并在作为母分布期望的单位中测量。
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引用次数: 0
On a run-based δ-shock model with two critical levels 基于运行的两个临界水平δ冲击模型
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110632
Maxim Finkelstein , Hamed Lorvand , Reza Farhadian
In reliability engineering, the δ-shock model is used to study shock-exposed systems that are sensitive to the length of the time distance between consecutive shocks. When the system failure depends on a certain number of consecutive shocks with an inter-arrival time within a critical range, we are dealing with a run-based δ-shock model. In this paper, a new run-based δ-shock model is introduced, under which the system fails when an inter-arrival time is less than a critical threshold δ1 for the first time or k consecutive inter-arrival times fall in the interval (δ1,δ2), for 0δ1<δ2. We study the probability behavior of the system’s stopping time as well as the survival of the system under the proposed model. As an illustrative example, we examine the survival of the system when the arrival of shocks follows a Poisson process. Furthermore, an example of applications is provided to illustrate possible application aspects.
在可靠性工程中,δ冲击模型用于研究对连续冲击时间间隔长度敏感的冲击暴露系统。当系统故障取决于一定数量的连续冲击,且到达间隔时间在临界范围内时,我们处理的是基于运行的δ-冲击模型。本文提出了一种新的基于运行的δ冲击模型,当到达间隔时间首次小于临界阈值δ1或连续k次到达间隔时间落在(δ1,δ2)区间时,当0≤δ1<;δ2时,系统失效。我们研究了在该模型下系统停止时间的概率行为以及系统的生存。作为一个说明性的例子,我们考察了当冲击的到来遵循泊松过程时系统的生存。此外,还提供了一个应用程序示例来说明可能的应用程序方面。
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引用次数: 0
Weak laws of large numbers together with convergence rates for random sums of random fields 随机场随机和的弱大数定律及收敛速率
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110630
Phan Tri Kien , Nguyen Van Quang , Nguyen Van Huan
The aim of this paper is to establish weak laws of large numbers together with convergence rates for random sums of M-orthogonal fields and adapted fields. Some well-known results are extended to double sums with random indices.
本文的目的是建立m -正交场和自适应场随机和的弱大数定律及其收敛速率。将一些著名的结果推广到具有随机指标的二重和。
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引用次数: 0
Complete moment convergence for pairwise i.i.d. random variables with regularly varying moments 具有正则变矩的成对i.i.d随机变量的完全矩收敛性
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110631
Yongfeng Wu , Mei Guan
The authors study the complete moment convergence for pairwise independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables with regularly varying moments. The obtained results in this work extend and improve the corresponding theorems of Stoica and Li (2025) and Chen et al. (2014).
研究了矩有规则变化的两两独立同分布随机变量的矩完全收敛性。本文所得结果扩展并改进了Stoica and Li(2025)和Chen et al.(2014)的相应定理。
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引用次数: 0
Generalized reflected backward doubly SDEs with irregular barriers and continuous coefficients 具有不规则势垒和连续系数的广义反射后向双SDEs
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110629
Badr Elmansouri , Mohamed Marzougue
In this note, we establish the existence of a minimal solution for a class of reflected generalized backward doubly stochastic differential equations with continuous and stochastic linear growth coefficients. The reflecting obstacle is not assumed to be right-continuous, but only right-upper semi-continuous and left-limited, and the noise is driven by two mutually independent Brownian motions and an independent integer-valued random measure. Our analysis begins with the case of stochastic Lipschitz coefficients, where we prove the existence and uniqueness results along with presenting a comparison result, which then allows us to derive the main existence finding of a minimal solution.
本文建立了一类具有连续和随机线性增长系数的反射广义后向双随机微分方程最小解的存在性。反射障碍物不假设为右连续,而仅假设为右上半连续和左受限,噪声由两个相互独立的布朗运动和一个独立的整数值随机测度驱动。我们的分析从随机Lipschitz系数的情况开始,在那里我们证明了存在性和唯一性结果,并给出了一个比较结果,然后允许我们推导出最小解的主要存在性发现。
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引用次数: 0
Berry–Esseen bound and Cramér-type moderate deviations of the maximum likelihood estimator in Rayleigh diffusion process 瑞利扩散过程中最大似然估计量的Berry-Esseen界和cram<s:1> -type中等偏差
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110628
Minhan Wen , Ruoning Guan , Hui Jiang
In this paper, we consider the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift coefficient in the Rayleigh diffusion process. Via the parameter-dependent change of measure method and precise asymptotic analysis techniques, we obtain the optimal Cramér-type moderate deviations and uniform Berry–Esseen bound.
本文研究了瑞利扩散过程中漂移系数的极大似然估计的渐近性质。通过参数相关的测度变化方法和精确的渐近分析技术,我们得到了最优的cram型中等偏差和一致的Berry-Esseen界。
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引用次数: 0
Martingale posteriors for generative classifiers 生成分类器的鞅后验
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2025.110627
Pier Giovanni Bissiri, Matteo Borrotti
Generative models for classification are a well-established method in statistics and machine learning. Martingales posteriors provide a computationally feasible method for performing prior-free Bayesian analysis. This paper aims to address the problem of uncertainty quantification through martingale posteriors for generative models for classification. To this aim, a conditionally identically distributed sequence of observations is considered. An empirical analysis is given.
分类的生成模型是统计学和机器学习中一个成熟的方法。鞅后验为进行无先验贝叶斯分析提供了一种计算上可行的方法。本文旨在通过生成模型的鞅后验来解决不确定性量化问题。为此,考虑了条件同分布的观测序列。并进行了实证分析。
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引用次数: 0
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Statistics & Probability Letters
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