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Demand side perception: The mediating role of public procurement regulatory framework in successful road construction implementation 需求侧感知:公共采购监管框架在道路建设成功实施中的中介作用
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.23773/2023_2
Noah Mwelu, Susan Watundu, M. Moya
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引用次数: 0
Parcel delivery systems for city logistics: a cost-based comparison between different transportation technologies 城市物流包裹递送系统:不同运输技术之间基于成本的比较
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.23773/2023_3
B. Himstedt, F. Meisel
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引用次数: 0
Decentral decision-making for energy-aware charging of intralogistics equipment 基于能量感知的物流设备充电分散决策
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.23773/2023_4
S. Scholz
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引用次数: 0
Automated Trucks and the Future of Logistics - A Delphi-Based Scenario Study 自动化卡车与物流的未来——基于delphi的情景研究
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.23773/2023_1
Svenja Escherle, Emilia Darlagiannis, Anna Sprung
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引用次数: 0
Where to locate COVID-19 mass vaccination facilities? 新冠肺炎大规模疫苗接种设施在哪里?
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-03-01 Epub Date: 2021-06-11 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22007
Dimitris Bertsimas, Vassilis Digalakis, Alexander Jacquillat, Michael Lingzhi Li, Alessandro Previero

The outbreak of COVID-19 led to a record-breaking race to develop a vaccine. However, the limited vaccine capacity creates another massive challenge: how to distribute vaccines to mitigate the near-end impact of the pandemic? In the United States in particular, the new Biden administration is launching mass vaccination sites across the country, raising the obvious question of where to locate these clinics to maximize the effectiveness of the vaccination campaign. This paper tackles this question with a novel data-driven approach to optimize COVID-19 vaccine distribution. We first augment a state-of-the-art epidemiological model, called DELPHI, to capture the effects of vaccinations and the variability in mortality rates across age groups. We then integrate this predictive model into a prescriptive model to optimize the location of vaccination sites and subsequent vaccine allocation. The model is formulated as a bilinear, nonconvex optimization model. To solve it, we propose a coordinate descent algorithm that iterates between optimizing vaccine distribution and simulating the dynamics of the pandemic. As compared to benchmarks based on demographic and epidemiological information, the proposed optimization approach increases the effectiveness of the vaccination campaign by an estimated 20%, saving an extra 4000 extra lives in the United States over a 3-month period. The proposed solution achieves critical fairness objectives-by reducing the death toll of the pandemic in several states without hurting others-and is highly robust to uncertainties and forecast errors-by achieving similar benefits under a vast range of perturbations.

2019冠状病毒病的爆发引发了一场破纪录的疫苗研发竞赛。然而,有限的疫苗能力带来了另一个巨大的挑战:如何分发疫苗来减轻疫情的近期影响?特别是在美国,拜登新政府正在全国各地启动大规模疫苗接种点,这就提出了一个明显的问题,即将这些诊所设在哪里,以最大限度地提高疫苗接种运动的有效性。本文通过一种新的数据驱动方法来解决这个问题,以优化2019冠状病毒病疫苗的分发。我们首先增强了一个称为DELPHI的最先进的流行病学模型,以捕捉疫苗接种的影响和不同年龄组死亡率的可变性。然后,我们将这个预测模型集成到一个规定模型中,以优化疫苗接种点的位置和随后的疫苗分配。该模型被公式化为双线性非凸优化模型。为了解决这个问题,我们提出了一种坐标下降算法,该算法在优化疫苗分配和模拟疫情动态之间迭代。与基于人口统计和流行病学信息的基准相比,拟议的优化方法将疫苗接种活动的有效性提高了约20%,在3个月的时间里,在美国多挽救了4000人的生命。所提出的解决方案通过在不伤害其他州的情况下减少几个州的疫情死亡人数,实现了关键的公平目标,并且对不确定性和预测误差具有很强的鲁棒性,在各种扰动下实现了类似的效益。
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引用次数: 0
Screening multi-dimensional heterogeneous populations for infectious diseases under scarce testing resources, with application to COVID-19. 在缺乏检测资源的情况下筛查传染病的多维异质性人群,并应用于COVID - 19
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-01 Epub Date: 2021-03-16 DOI: 10.1002/nav.21985
Hussein El Hajj, Douglas R Bish, Ebru K Bish, Hrayer Aprahamian

Testing provides essential information for managing infectious disease outbreaks, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. When testing resources are scarce, an important managerial decision is who to test. This decision is compounded by the fact that potential testing subjects are heterogeneous in multiple dimensions that are important to consider, including their likelihood of being disease-positive, and how much potential harm would be averted through testing and the subsequent interventions. To increase testing coverage, pooled testing can be utilized, but this comes at a cost of increased false-negatives when the test is imperfect. Then, the decision problem is to partition the heterogeneous testing population into three mutually exclusive sets: those to be individually tested, those to be pool tested, and those not to be tested. Additionally, the subjects to be pool tested must be further partitioned into testing pools, potentially containing different numbers of subjects. The objectives include the minimization of harm (through detection and mitigation) or maximization of testing coverage. We develop data-driven optimization models and algorithms to design pooled testing strategies, and show, via a COVID-19 contact tracing case study, that the proposed testing strategies can substantially outperform the current practice used for COVID-19 contact tracing (individually testing those contacts with symptoms). Our results demonstrate the substantial benefits of optimizing the testing design, while considering the multiple dimensions of population heterogeneity and the limited testing capacity.

检测可为管理传染病暴发(如COVID - 19大流行)提供重要信息。当测试资源稀缺时,一个重要的管理决策是测试谁。由于潜在的测试对象在多个方面具有异质性,这是需要考虑的重要因素,包括他们呈疾病阳性的可能性,以及通过测试和随后的干预措施可以避免多少潜在危害,因此这一决定更加复杂。为了增加测试覆盖率,可以使用集合测试,但是当测试不完美时,这是以增加假阴性为代价的。然后,决策问题是将异构测试总体划分为三个相互排斥的集:单独测试的集,池测试的集和不测试的集。此外,要进行池测试的受试者必须进一步划分到测试池中,可能包含不同数量的受试者。目标包括危害最小化(通过检测和缓解)或检测覆盖率最大化。我们开发了数据驱动的优化模型和算法来设计集合测试策略,并通过COVID - 19接触者追踪案例研究表明,所提出的测试策略可以大大优于目前用于COVID - 19接触者追踪的做法(单独测试有症状的接触者)。我们的研究结果表明,在考虑种群异质性的多个维度和有限的测试能力的情况下,优化测试设计具有实质性的好处。
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引用次数: 0
Ontology-based Forecast of the Duration of Logistics Processes in One-of-a-Kind Production in SME 基于本体的中小企业独一无二生产物流过程持续时间预测
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.23773/2022_5
Deike Gliem, U. Jessen, S. Wenzel, Wibke Kusturica, C. Laroque
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引用次数: 0
Cargo Accumulation Risks in Maritime Supply Chains: A new perspective towards Risk Management for Theory, and Recommendations for the Insurance Industry and Cargo Shippers 海运供应链中的货物积累风险:风险管理理论的新视角,以及对保险业和货主的建议
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.23773/2022_4
Stephan L. K. Freichel, Johannes K. Wörtge, Arthur Haas, L. T. Veer
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引用次数: 1
Compatibility, opportunities and challenges in the combination of Industry 4.0 and Lean Production 工业4.0与精益生产相结合的兼容性、机遇与挑战
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.23773/2022_9
Serdar Yürekli, Carola Schulz
The continuous increase in technology associated with the Fourth Industrial Revolution and advancing digitalization are influencing today’s production processes and the competitiveness of factories. Integrating Industry 4.0 into Lean Production can generate more efficient, leaner production and logistics with the help of intelligent networking systems. However, combining the two concepts also poses some challenges, such as the complex integration of technology into the Lean Production tools, and a resistance from employees to accept new technological ways. Furthermore, there is a lack of practical studies that guide companies on which variant of the different Industry 4.0 technologies should and could be integrated into their Lean Production processes. This paper analyzes the compatibility of Industry 4.0 and Lean Production and presents practical solutions by highlighting the opportunities and challenges of combining the two. This research is based on a systematic literature analysis and evaluating expert interviews which leads to the findings and hypotheses. The results explain how Lean Production and Industry 4.0 can be successfully combined, and which aspects need to be and should be considered on a management level.
与第四次工业革命相关的技术不断提高和不断推进的数字化正在影响当今的生产过程和工厂的竞争力。在智能网络系统的帮助下,将工业4.0集成到精益生产中可以产生更高效、更精简的生产和物流。然而,将这两个概念结合起来也会带来一些挑战,例如将技术复杂地集成到精益生产工具中,以及员工对接受新的技术方式的抵制。此外,还缺乏实际研究来指导企业将不同工业4.0技术的哪些变体集成到其精益生产流程中。本文分析了工业4.0与精益生产的兼容性,并通过强调两者结合的机遇和挑战,提出了切实可行的解决方案。本研究基于系统的文献分析和评估专家访谈,从而得出研究结果和假设。研究结果解释了精益生产和工业4.0如何成功结合,以及需要和应该在管理层面考虑哪些方面。
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引用次数: 3
Forecasting Recovery Period of the Airfreight Transportation from Covid-19 Pandemic by using Time Series Modelling 基于时间序列模型的Covid-19大流行航空货运恢复期预测
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.23773/2022_03
Tuzun Tolga Inan
COVID-19 has a dramatically negative effect globally, so all transportation modes also airfreight have been affected negatively. This study aims to forecast the airfreight load factor by applying time series to the selected variables. After providing general information about COVID-19, the forecasting results apply to the time series modeling finding the getting back time into the recovery period. It analyzes between January 2016-May 2021 with available tonne-kilometer, revenue tonne-kilometer, load factor, gross domestic product, domestic and international freight. The findings show that the cargo load factor is affected by domestic transportation in the long-term and international transport in the short-term periods. So, airfreight is firstly affected by international transport due to its global position. The forecast results show that the recovery period started in February 2021 and will continue with a robust growth trend in July 2021 due to the changing airlines’ focus on freight transportation. After the completion of vaccination, primarily related to passenger transportation, airfreight transportation also benefits from this growth trend with the configuration change of aircraft’. This paper’s contribution shows the necessity to minimize the economic damage by using passenger aircraft for freight transport to increase the speed of the recovery period in terms of GDP. © 2022, Bundesvereinigung Logistik (BVL). All rights reserved.
新冠肺炎疫情在全球范围内产生了巨大的负面影响,所有运输方式以及航空货运都受到了负面影响。本研究的目的是利用时间序列对所选变量进行预测。在提供COVID-19的一般信息后,将预测结果应用于时间序列建模,寻找恢复周期的返回时间。它分析了2016年1月至2021年5月期间的可用吨公里、收入吨公里、载客率、国内生产总值、国内和国际货运。研究结果表明,货运因子长期受国内运输影响,短期受国际运输影响。因此,航空货运由于其全球地位,首先受到国际运输的影响。预测结果显示,从2021年2月开始的恢复期,由于航空公司对货运的关注发生了变化,2021年7月将继续保持强劲的增长趋势。疫苗接种完成后,主要涉及客运,随着飞机配置的变化,航空货运也受益于这一增长趋势。本文的贡献表明,从GDP的角度来看,使用客机进行货运以增加恢复期的速度,以尽量减少经济损失的必要性。©2022,德国联邦物流公司(BVL)。版权所有。
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